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A revisit to the IPO spillover effect: On the importance of technological proximity 重新审视IPO溢出效应:论技术接近性的重要性
IF 3.8 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-10-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2025.107563
Christine Jiang , Yiyin Wu , John Qi Zhu
An initial public offering (IPO) can have diverse impacts on incumbent firms. We identify a valuation channel using a pairwise measure of technological proximity between the new entrant and incumbent firms. By analyzing the patent data of firms listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange’s STAR Board, we find a significant increase in the valuation of the incumbent firm when its patent portfolio exhibits a higher degree of similarity to the IPO firm. This positive spillover effect differs from other well-documented peer effects of IPO shocks, suggesting a novel mechanism that operates through technological linkages, particularly among technology-intensive firms.
首次公开募股(IPO)可以对现有公司产生多种影响。我们使用新进入者和现有公司之间的技术接近度的成对测量来确定估值渠道。通过分析上海证券交易所创业板上市公司的专利数据,我们发现,当现有公司的专利组合与IPO公司的相似度较高时,其估值显著增加。这种积极的溢出效应不同于其他有充分记录的IPO冲击的对等效应,表明存在一种通过技术联系(尤其是在技术密集型公司之间)运作的新机制。
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引用次数: 0
Cyber insurance valuation with endogenous cyber loss 基于内生网络损失的网络保险估值
IF 3.8 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-10-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2025.107564
Chang-Chih Chen , Chia-Chien Chang , Ying Rui , Min-Teh Yu
This research proposes a novel firm-based model for pricing cyber insurance. Our model considers two types of cyber risk: virus attacks and data breaches. Virus attacks deliver adverse shocks to the firm’s productivity, while data breaches cause premium customer departures that worsen the prospect of the firm’s product demand. We derive the endogenous structural form of cyber losses in firms and utilize it to solve the formula for cyber insurance premiums. Our quantitative results show that the consensus prediction about a strictly positive premium-risk nexus is no longer valid. Asymmetries in the sub-premium’s sensitivity to cyber risks from different sources and the premium customer loss rates jointly shape the complexity of the relation between cyber insurance premiums and cyber risks. Improvements in the product demand conditions enhance firms’ incentives to hedge cyber losses and push premiums higher. Lastly, we discuss the influence of product price competition on premiums.
本研究提出了一种新的基于企业的网络保险定价模型。我们的模型考虑了两种网络风险:病毒攻击和数据泄露。病毒攻击会对公司的生产力造成不利冲击,而数据泄露会导致优质客户流失,从而恶化公司产品需求的前景。我们推导了企业网络损失的内生结构形式,并利用它来求解网络保险费的计算公式。我们的定量结果表明,关于严格正的溢价-风险关系的共识预测不再有效。子保费对不同来源网络风险敏感性的不对称性和保费客户损失率的不对称性共同决定了网络保险保费与网络风险关系的复杂性。产品需求状况的改善增强了企业对冲网络损失的动机,并推高了保费。最后,讨论了产品价格竞争对保费的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Credit standards and corporate loan default. Insights for macroprudential policy 信用标准和企业贷款违约。宏观审慎政策的见解
IF 3.8 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-10-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2025.107566
Luis Fernández Lafuerza, Jorge E. Galán
We provide compelling evidence of the association between credit standards at loan origination in the corporate sector and default risk. While this relationship has been extensively studied in the mortgage market, it remains underexplored in corporate lending. Using a comprehensive dataset from the Spanish credit register merged with firm-level balance sheet information over a full financial cycle, we show that debt-to-assets and interest coverage ratios at loan origination are significant predictors of future corporate loan defaults. The strength of this association varies across the financial cycle, sectors, firm size and age, and prior banking relationships. Real estate firms and small and medium-sized enterprises exhibit the strongest link between initial credit conditions and future default outcomes. Our findings suggest that limits in corporate credit standards, similar to those widely used in mortgage markets, could enhance firms’ resilience to adverse shocks and complement capital-based instruments within the macroprudential toolkit. However, the effectiveness and potential side effects of such measures depend critically on firm-specific characteristics and sectoral heterogeneity, underscoring the need for a targeted and flexible policy design.
我们提供了令人信服的证据,证明企业部门贷款发放时的信用标准与违约风险之间存在关联。虽然这种关系在抵押贷款市场上得到了广泛的研究,但在企业贷款领域仍未得到充分探讨。利用西班牙信用登记的综合数据集,结合整个金融周期内企业层面的资产负债表信息,我们表明,贷款发起时的资产负债率和利息覆盖率是未来企业贷款违约的重要预测指标。这种联系的强度因金融周期、行业、公司规模和年龄以及之前的银行关系而异。房地产公司和中小企业在初始信贷条件和未来违约结果之间表现出最强的联系。我们的研究结果表明,企业信贷标准的限制,类似于抵押贷款市场广泛使用的限制,可以增强企业对不利冲击的抵御能力,并补充宏观审慎工具包中的资本基础工具。但是,这些措施的效力和潜在的副作用主要取决于具体公司的特点和部门的不均匀性,因此需要有针对性和灵活的政策设计。
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引用次数: 0
All Days Are Not Created Equal: Understanding Momentum by Learning to Weight Past Returns 并非所有日子都是平等的:通过学习衡量过去的回报来理解势头
IF 3.8 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-10-07 DOI: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2025.107565
Heiner Beckmeyer, Timo Wiedemann
By flexibly weighting the information contained in past realized returns, we construct a momentum strategy that outperforms and subsumes the performance of traditional stock momentum. The strategy performs well in crises and continues to work in the most recent decades. We show that the way past returns are weighted is in line with the strategy exploiting an underreaction to the information contained in realized returns, but also investigate alternative behavioral and risk-based explanations. We find that the response to earnings announcements, market-wide jumps and large individual returns realized in the formation period are most informative about future stock returns.
通过灵活地加权过去已实现收益中包含的信息,我们构建了一个超越并包含传统股票动量表现的动量策略。这一战略在危机中表现良好,并在最近几十年继续发挥作用。我们表明,过去收益的加权方式符合利用对已实现收益中包含的信息的反应不足的策略,但也研究了其他行为和基于风险的解释。我们发现,对收益公告的反应,市场范围的跳跃和在形成期内实现的巨大个人回报是未来股票回报的最重要信息。
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引用次数: 0
Share pledging of insiders and corporate debt contracting 内部人士股权质押和公司债务承包
IF 3.8 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-10-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2025.107567
Carl Hsin-han Shen , Hao Zhang
We examine whether insiders’ pledging of company stock as collateral for personal loans influences a company’s debt contracting. We attempt to identify causality through difference-in-differences analyses of an unexpected legislative change that exogenously reduced board directors’ pledging incentives. We find that firms with higher initial pledging levels, which subsequently experienced a significant decline in pledging ratios due to the regulation, benefited from lower loan spreads and less stringent non-price loan terms. We further hypothesize and provide evidence that the positive impact of insider pledging on corporate borrowing costs is less pronounced in closely held firms. Examining the mechanisms, we find that share pledging is positively related to earnings management, firm risk-taking behaviors, and agency problems. Overall, these findings suggest that banks perceive insider share pledging as engendering significant risks.
我们考察了内部人士以公司股票作为个人贷款抵押品是否影响公司的债务承包。我们试图通过对外生性降低董事会承诺激励的意外立法变化的差异分析来确定因果关系。我们发现,具有较高初始质押水平的公司,随后由于监管而经历了质押比率的显着下降,受益于较低的贷款利差和较宽松的非价格贷款条款。我们进一步假设并提供证据表明,内部人质押对公司借贷成本的积极影响在封闭式公司中不那么明显。通过机制分析,我们发现股权质押与盈余管理、企业风险承担行为和代理问题呈正相关。总体而言,这些发现表明,银行认为内部股权质押会产生重大风险。
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引用次数: 0
Economic policy uncertainty and covenants in venture capital contracts 经济政策的不确定性与风险投资合同中的契约
IF 3.8 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-10-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2025.107562
Na Ding , Panpan Feng , Jianjun Liu , Zhaoyue Ren , Xueyong Zhang
This study investigates how economic policy uncertainty (EPU) affects venture capital (VC) contract terms. Using a unique database of contracts between VCs and entrepreneurial firms in China, we provide evidence that EPU positively affects the presence of investor-friendly covenants in VC contracts. Our mechanism analysis shows that screening for high-quality startups and VCs’ increased bargaining power are potential channels. Furthermore, we find that including more investor-friendly covenants mitigates the negative effect of EPU on VC exit performance.
本研究探讨经济政策不确定性对风险投资合约条款的影响。利用中国风险投资公司和创业公司之间的独特合同数据库,我们提供了证据,证明EPU积极影响风险投资合同中投资者友好契约的存在。我们的机制分析表明,筛选优质创业公司和提高风投议价能力是潜在的渠道。此外,我们发现加入更多的投资者友好型契约可以缓解EPU对风险投资退出绩效的负面影响。
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引用次数: 0
Non-bank lending and firm performance: Evidence from the syndicate loan market 非银行贷款与企业绩效:来自银团贷款市场的证据
IF 3.8 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-09-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2025.107561
Sonny Biswas , Neslihan Ozkan , Junyang Yin
We find that in the leveraged loan sector, firms borrowing from non-banks have lower profitability following loan originations, compared to firms borrowing from banks, after controlling for observable factors. As non-bank borrowers experience less intense monitoring than bank borrowers, they engage in more risk-taking, which could explain their lower profitability following loan issuance. Using the leveraged lending guidance as a plausibly exogenous shock, which resulted in the migration of borrowers from banks to non-banks, we provide causal evidence corroborating our main results. Overall, our findings suggest that macroprudential policies which exclusively target the traditional banking sector may have negative consequences.
我们发现,在杠杆贷款领域,在控制了可观察因素后,与从银行借款的企业相比,从非银行机构借款的企业在贷款发放后的盈利能力较低。由于非银行借款人受到的监管不如银行借款人严格,它们承担的风险更大,这可以解释它们在发放贷款后盈利能力较低的原因。利用杠杆贷款指导作为一种看似合理的外生冲击,导致借款人从银行向非银行机构迁移,我们提供了证实我们主要结果的因果证据。总体而言,我们的研究结果表明,专门针对传统银行业的宏观审慎政策可能会产生负面影响。
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引用次数: 0
Does trade secret protection spur human capital investment? Evidence from the Inevitable Disclosure Doctrine 商业秘密保护是否会刺激人力资本投资?不可避免披露原则的证据
IF 3.8 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-09-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2025.107559
Steven Xianglong Chen , Zhangfan Cao , Xiaolan Zheng
This study investigates the effect of trade secret protection on corporate investment in human capital. By leveraging the staggered adoption of the Inevitable Disclosure Doctrine (IDD) by U.S. states as an exogenous shock that significantly reduces talent mobility, we find that IDD adoption results in firms overinvesting in human capital, suggesting that firms strategically engage in precautionary human capital hoarding in response to the reduced talent supply in the labor market and increased labor adjustment costs. Our cross-sectional analyses show that the effect of IDD adoption on human capital investment is more pronounced for (1) firms in high-skill industries and (2) firms facing higher levels of product market competition. Finally, further analyses reveal that, in the context of a limited talent supply under IDD restrictions, high-skill firms with human capital reserves enjoy superior performance to those without such reserves. Overall, our study reveals an unintended consequence of growing trade secret protection in shifting the focus of firms’ human capital investment from “head-hunting” talent from rivals to “internal cultivation” of existing human capital within firms and has implications for both managers and policymakers amid the increasingly knowledge-intensive economic environment.
本研究探讨商业秘密保护对企业人力资本投资的影响。通过将美国各州交错采用“不可避免披露原则”(IDD)作为显著降低人才流动性的外生冲击,我们发现,采用“不可避免披露原则”导致企业对人力资本过度投资,这表明企业战略性地进行预防性人力资本囤积,以应对劳动力市场人才供应减少和劳动力调整成本增加。我们的横断面分析表明,采用IDD对人力资本投资的影响在(1)高技能行业的企业和(2)面临较高产品市场竞争水平的企业中更为明显。最后,进一步分析表明,在人才供给有限的IDD限制下,拥有人力资本储备的高技能企业的绩效优于没有人力资本储备的高技能企业。总体而言,我们的研究揭示了日益增长的商业秘密保护将企业人力资本投资的重点从从竞争对手那里“猎头”人才转移到企业内部现有人力资本的“内部培养”的意外后果,这对日益知识密集型的经济环境中的管理者和决策者都有启示。
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引用次数: 0
The innovation effects of regulation on bank wealth management products: Theory and evidence from China 监管对银行理财产品的创新效应:来自中国的理论与证据
IF 3.8 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-09-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2025.107558
Hong Chen , Zhao Jin , Yanfei Tang
This paper investigates how the regulation of bank wealth management products (WMPs) affects corporate innovation. We build a concise model linking firms’ assets allocation decisions to regulatory variables affecting banks. The model suggests that current WMP regulation can enhance formal lending and stimulate innovation among state-owned enterprises (SOEs), while having no impact on innovation in private enterprises (PEs). Empirically, we identify firms’ exposure to bank regulation by examining the number of WMPs issued by banks in 2017 and the distance between banks and firms. Our results indicate that innovation output significantly increased for highly exposed SOEs, while there was no significant change for PEs. Using city-level data, we further observe that regulation fosters innovation in regions with higher exposure. Our findings suggest that regulation exerts heterogeneous effects on the real economy by banks’ credit allocation and firms’ investment strategies.
本文研究了银行理财产品监管对企业创新的影响。我们建立了一个简洁的模型,将企业的资产配置决策与影响银行的监管变量联系起来。该模型表明,当前的理财产品监管可以增强国有企业的正规贷款,刺激国有企业的创新,而对民营企业的创新没有影响。从经验上看,我们通过考察2017年银行发行的理财产品数量以及银行与企业之间的距离来确定企业对银行监管的敞口。研究结果表明,高敞口国有企业的创新产出显著增加,而pe的创新产出变化不显著。利用城市层面的数据,我们进一步观察到,在风险敞口较高的地区,监管促进了创新。研究发现,监管通过银行信贷配置和企业投资策略对实体经济产生异质效应。
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引用次数: 0
Housing markets: Auctions, granular shocks, and microstructure frictions 房地产市场:拍卖、颗粒冲击和微观结构摩擦
IF 3.8 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-09-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2025.107553
Alina Arefeva
This paper examines the drivers of housing market volatility through dynamic search-and-matching models that incorporate auctions. Two versions of the model are developed: one in which buyers visit homes randomly and another where search is directed by seller reserve prices. The analysis demonstrates that granular shocks and microstructure frictions—arising from the interaction of idiosyncratic and infrequent transactions, search frictions, and auctions-based pricing—generate persistent volatility, even in large markets such as Los Angeles. The paper also identifies systematic weekly patterns in housing activity, which account for up to 60% of monthly variation in sales and listings due to calendar composition. Recognizing and filtering out these predictable fluctuations ensures that the model targets economically meaningful sources of volatility. Together, granular shocks, microstructure frictions, and weekly patterns explain 70%–80% of sales and listings volatility, with the remainder driven by exogenous shocks. These findings underscore the importance of auctions, granular shocks, microstructure frictions, and weekly patterns in understanding housing market dynamics.
本文通过包含拍卖的动态搜索与匹配模型考察了住房市场波动的驱动因素。该模型有两种版本:一种是买家随机拜访房屋,另一种是根据卖家的底价进行搜索。分析表明,颗粒冲击和微观结构摩擦——由特殊和不频繁的交易、搜索摩擦和基于拍卖的定价的相互作用产生——产生持续的波动,即使在洛杉矶这样的大型市场也是如此。该论文还确定了住房活动的系统性每周模式,由于日历构成,这种模式占每月销售和上市变化的60%。识别并过滤掉这些可预测的波动,可确保模型以经济上有意义的波动源为目标。颗粒冲击、微观结构摩擦和每周模式共同解释了70%-80%的销售和上市波动,其余部分由外生冲击驱动。这些发现强调了拍卖、颗粒冲击、微观结构摩擦和每周模式在理解房地产市场动态方面的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
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Journal of Banking & Finance
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