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The Impact of High-Standard Farmland Construction Policy on Grain Quality from the Perspectives of Technology Adoption and Cultivated Land Quality 高标准农田建设政策对粮食质量的影响——以技术采用和耕地质量为视角
IF 3.6 2区 农林科学 Q1 AGRONOMY Pub Date : 2023-08-29 DOI: 10.3390/agriculture13091702
Yanling Gong, Yingliang Zhang, Yu Chen
The shift from increasing grain production to improving grain quality is a key measure to adapt to the changing structure of residents’ food consumption demand. High-standard farmland construction is an important means to achieve high grain production and excellent quality. To estimate the intervention effect of high-standard farmland construction policy, this paper analyzes it from the perspective of policy evaluation. The continuous DID model, moderating effect model, and the mediating effect model are used to systematically analyze the mechanism of high-standard farmland construction policy and its influence on grain quality. The findings are as follows: (1) The high-standard farmland construction policy has a significant promoting effect on grain quality, and the interaction coefficient of policy implementation is 0.074. is the results are still significant under the robustness test of lagging the explanatory variable by one period, replacing the core explanatory variable, changing the timing of policy implementation, and eliminating the interference of other relevant policies. (2) The adoption of environmentally friendly technology has played a positive moderating role in the process by which high-standard farmland construction policy promotes grain quality, with a moderating effect of 0.044. (3) The high-standard farmland construction policy can improve grain quality by improving cultivated land quality and adoption level of agricultural mechanization. (4) Heterogeneity analysis shows that high-standard farmland construction policy in major grain-producing areas and also non-major grain-producing areas can increase grain quality; the implementation of the policy has a more obvious effect on improving grain quality in areas with low distribution of grain quality. Accordingly, it is suggested to continue to promote high-standard farmland construction and implement special actions for farmland protection, focus on key technologies, encourage farmers to adopt environment-friendly technologies, accelerate the cultivation of diversified agricultural machinery service entities, and enhance the abilities of agricultural mechanization operations. This study provides a new perspective for improving grain quality and proves that a high-standard farmland construction policy is an important strategy for increasing grain quality.
从增加粮食产量转向提高粮食品质,是适应居民粮食消费需求结构变化的重要举措。高标准农田建设是实现粮食高产优质的重要手段。为了评估高标准农田建设政策的干预效果,本文从政策评价的角度进行了分析。采用连续DID模型、调节效应模型和中介效应模型,系统分析了高标准农田建设政策的机制及其对粮食质量的影响。结果表明:(1)高标准农田建设政策对粮食品质有显著的促进作用,政策执行的交互系数为0.074。即在解释变量滞后一个周期、替换核心解释变量、改变政策实施时间、消除其他相关政策干扰的稳健性检验下,结果仍然显著。(2)环境友好型技术的采用对高标准农田建设政策对粮食质量的提升起到正向调节作用,调节效应为0.044。(3)高标准农田建设政策可以通过提高耕地质量和农业机械化采用水平来提高粮食质量。(4)异质性分析表明,无论是主产区还是非主产区,高标准农田建设政策都能提高粮食品质;在粮食品质分布较低的地区,该政策的实施对改善粮食品质的效果更为明显。据此,建议继续推进高标准农田建设和实施农田保护专项行动,聚焦关键技术,鼓励农民采用环境友好型技术,加快培育多元化农机服务主体,提高农业机械化作业能力。本研究为提高粮食品质提供了新的视角,证明了高标准农田建设政策是提高粮食品质的重要策略。
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引用次数: 0
Influence Relationship between Online News Articles and the Consumer Selling Price of Agricultural Products—Focusing on Onions 网络新闻文章对农产品消费者销售价格的影响关系——以洋葱为例
IF 3.6 2区 农林科学 Q1 AGRONOMY Pub Date : 2023-08-29 DOI: 10.3390/agriculture13091707
Jiyoung Ha, Seunghyun Lee, Sangtae Kim
This study aimed to verify the influence relationship between the news articles on onions produced in Korea and the consumer selling price of onions. The analysis methods were the LDA topic modeling technique and the multiple regression analysis. As a result of the analysis, a total of eight topics were found in onion-related news articles. This study analyzed which articles out of the eight topics affected the consumer selling price of onions. As a result, Topic 1 (hypermarket onion sales-related articles), Topic 5 (onion supply and demand stabilization measures), and Topic 6 (inflation) had a statistically significant influence relationship. These results meant that as the number of hypermarket-related articles increased, the consumer selling price increased, and as the macroeconomic articles such as supply and demand stabilization measures and inflation increased, the selling price decreased. The significance of this study was that it revealed that news articles related to onions did not affect the selling price in the consumer market as a whole, and that only the articles directly related to the consumption market (distributors, macroeconomic indicators, etc.) had an effect.
本研究旨在验证有关韩国产洋葱的新闻报道与洋葱消费者销售价格之间的影响关系。分析方法为LDA主题建模技术和多元回归分析。分析结果显示,在与洋葱相关的新闻文章中,共发现了8个话题。本研究分析了8个主题中哪些文章影响了洋葱的消费者销售价格。因此,Topic 1(大卖场洋葱销售相关文章)、Topic 5(洋葱供需稳定措施)和Topic 6(通货膨胀)具有统计学显著的影响关系。这些结果表明,随着大卖场相关物品数量的增加,消费者的销售价格也随之上升,而随着供需稳定措施、通货膨胀等宏观经济物品的增加,销售价格则有所下降。本研究的意义在于,它揭示了与洋葱相关的新闻文章对消费市场的整体销售价格没有影响,只有与消费市场直接相关的文章(经销商、宏观经济指标等)才有影响。
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引用次数: 0
Determination of Material and Interaction Properties of Granular Fertilizer Particles Using DEM Simulation and Bench Testing 利用DEM模拟和台架试验确定颗粒肥料颗粒的物质和相互作用特性
IF 3.6 2区 农林科学 Q1 AGRONOMY Pub Date : 2023-08-29 DOI: 10.3390/agriculture13091704
X. Lei, Wencheng Wu, X. Deng, Tao Li, Hongnan Liu, Jinyue Guo, Ju Li, Peixu Zhu, Ke Yang
The discrete element method (DEM) is an effective tool for obtaining qualitative and quantitative information on particle motion, which aids in the design and optimization of agricultural equipment structures. The accuracy of the DEM simulation parameters significantly impacts the simulation results. This study employed a combination of high-speed camera measurement, DEM simulation, and validation tests to determine the material and interaction property parameters for fertilizer particles. The basic parameters (triaxial size, bulk density, density, and coefficient of static friction) and coefficients of restitution between fertilizer and material were measured for three fertilizer varieties. There was a significant difference in the angle of repose between various material plates and fertilizer particles. The calibration values of coefficients of restitution and coefficients of rolling friction between fertilizer particles were optimized using the Box–Behnken method. The angle of repose was significantly affected by the coefficient of static friction and the coefficient of rolling friction between the fertilizer particles. The determined values for the coefficient of restitution, coefficient of static friction, and coefficient of rolling friction between the fertilizer particles were 0.323, 0.381, and 0.173, respectively. The error in the angle of the repose test was less than 3.0%, and the variation coefficient for each row consistency was less than 1.68 percentage points under the optimal simulation parameters. DEM simulations of the angle of repose and each row consistency variation coefficient test using the measured parameters can accurately predict the experimental results. The findings of this paper provide a theoretical basis for the DEM study of fertilizer particles.
离散元法(DEM)是获得颗粒运动的定性和定量信息的有效工具,有助于农业装备结构的设计和优化。DEM模拟参数的准确性对模拟结果影响很大。本研究采用高速相机测量、DEM模拟和验证试验相结合的方法,确定了肥料颗粒的物质和相互作用特性参数。测定了3个肥料品种的基本参数(三轴尺寸、堆积密度、密度、静摩擦系数)和肥料与物料之间的恢复系数。不同料板与肥料颗粒之间的休止角有显著差异。采用Box-Behnken方法对恢复系数和颗粒间滚动摩擦系数的定标值进行了优化。肥料颗粒间的静摩擦系数和滚动摩擦系数对休止角有显著影响。肥料颗粒间恢复系数、静摩擦系数和滚动摩擦系数的测定值分别为0.323、0.381和0.173。在最优模拟参数下,休止试验角度误差小于3.0%,每行一致性变异系数小于1.68个百分点。利用实测参数进行休止角DEM模拟和各排一致性变异系数测试,可以较准确地预测实验结果。本文的研究结果为肥料颗粒的DEM研究提供了理论依据。
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引用次数: 0
An Environmental and Economic Analysis of Strawberry Production in Southern Italy 意大利南部草莓生产的环境与经济分析
IF 3.6 2区 农林科学 Q1 AGRONOMY Pub Date : 2023-08-29 DOI: 10.3390/agriculture13091705
M. Pérgola, A. Maffia, Giuseppe Carlucci, A. Persiani, A. M. Palese, M. Zaccardelli, Gessica Altieri, G. Celano
This paper aims to provide an evaluation of the environmental and economic aspects of strawberry cultivation in the Campania and Basilicata regions of Southern Italy, and to consider the effects on strawberry productivity following compost tea (CT) application. Eight strawberry-growing systems were tested. To this end, compost tea production and characterization were described; a quantitative analysis of the strawberries’ yield was performed, and environmental impact per ha and per kg of strawberries was estimated using the life cycle assessment methodology. To compare the profitability of the systems analyzed, the gross profit of the farmers was calculated, also considering the social cost of pollution. One of the two organic systems analyzed, using solarization for soil disinfestation, biological fight for pest control, and corrugated boxes as packaging recycled at the end-of-life, was the most sustainable system with carbon credits. At the same time, organic crops are not always the most sustainable and profitable systems if significant irrigation and fertigation interventions are carried out, as in another organic system analyzed. Plastic materials and zinc structures were the most impacting items in almost all analyzed systems. The use of a CT with an elevated number of beneficial microorganisms with a high suppressive action allowed to obtain a good increase of the yield, in both systems that used it, and to have a higher gross profit. On the other hand, the validity of this technique was strongly linked to the finding of high-quality green compost.
本文旨在对意大利南部坎帕尼亚和巴西利卡塔地区草莓种植的环境和经济方面进行评估,并考虑施用堆肥茶(CT)对草莓产量的影响。对八种草莓种植系统进行了测试。为此,介绍了堆肥茶的生产和特性;对草莓的产量进行了定量分析,并利用生命周期评估方法估计了每公顷和每公斤草莓的环境影响。为了比较所分析的系统的盈利能力,计算了农民的毛利润,同时考虑了污染的社会成本。所分析的两种有机系统之一,使用日光进行土壤消毒,生物对抗害虫,并在使用寿命结束时回收瓦楞纸箱作为包装,是具有碳信用的最可持续的系统。与此同时,如果像分析的另一个有机系统那样进行大量的灌溉和施肥干预,有机作物并不总是最可持续和最有利可图的系统。在几乎所有分析系统中,塑料材料和锌结构是影响最大的项目。使用具有高抑制作用的有益微生物数量增加的CT,可以在使用它的两个系统中获得良好的产量增加,并获得更高的毛利润。另一方面,这项技术的有效性与发现高质量的绿色堆肥密切相关。
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引用次数: 0
Estimation of Irrigation Water Use by Using Irrigation Signals from SMAP Soil Moisture Data 利用SMAP土壤水分数据估算灌溉用水量
IF 3.6 2区 农林科学 Q1 AGRONOMY Pub Date : 2023-08-29 DOI: 10.3390/agriculture13091709
Liming Zhu, Huifeng Wu, Min Li, Chaoyin Dou, A. Zhu
Accurate irrigation water-use data are essential to agricultural water resources management and optimal allocation. The obscuration presented by ground cover in farmland and the subjectivity of irrigation-related decision-making processes mean that effectively identifying regional irrigation water use remains a critical problem to be solved. In view of the advantages of satellite microwave remote sensing in monitoring soil moisture, previous studies have proposed a method for estimating irrigation water use using the satellite microwave remote sensing of soil moisture. However, the method is affected by false irrigation signals from soil moisture increases caused by non-irrigation factors, causing irrigation water use to be overestimated. Therefore, the purpose of this study is to improve the estimation of irrigation water use in drylands by using irrigation signals from SMAP soil moisture data. In this paper, the irrigation water use in Henan Province is estimated by using the irrigation signals from SMAP (soil moisture active and passive) soil moisture data. Firstly, a method for recognizing irrigation signals in soil moisture data obtained by microwave satellite remote sensing was used. Then, an estimation model of the amount of irrigation water (SM2Rainfall model) was built on each data pixel of the satellite microwave remote sensing of soil moisture. Finally, the amount of irrigation water utilized in Henan Province was estimated by combining the irrigation signals and irrigation water-use estimation model, and the results were evaluated. According to the findings, this study improved the estimation accuracy of irrigation water use by using the irrigation signals in Henan Province. The result of this study is of great importance to accurately obtain irrigation water use in the region.
准确的灌溉用水数据对农业水资源管理和优化配置至关重要。农田地被覆盖的隐蔽性和灌溉决策过程的主观性意味着有效识别区域灌溉用水仍然是一个亟待解决的关键问题。鉴于卫星微波遥感在土壤水分监测方面的优势,已有研究提出了利用卫星微波遥感土壤水分估算灌溉用水量的方法。然而,该方法受非灌溉因素引起的土壤水分增加所产生的虚假灌溉信号的影响,导致灌溉用水量被高估。因此,本研究的目的是利用SMAP土壤水分数据中的灌溉信号来改进旱地灌溉用水量的估算。本文利用SMAP (soil moisture active and passive soil moisture)土壤水分数据的灌溉信号,估算了河南省灌溉用水量。首先,采用微波卫星遥感土壤水分数据中灌溉信号的识别方法。然后,基于卫星微波遥感土壤湿度的每个数据像元,建立灌溉水量估算模型(SM2Rainfall模型)。最后,结合灌溉信号和灌溉用水量估算模型对河南省灌溉用水量进行估算,并对结果进行评价。根据研究结果,本研究提高了利用河南省灌溉信号估算灌溉用水量的精度。研究结果对准确获取该地区灌溉用水量具有重要意义。
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引用次数: 0
Citrus Canopy SPAD Prediction under Bordeaux Solution Coverage Based on Texture- and Spectral-Information Fusion 基于纹理和光谱信息融合的波尔多溶液覆盖下柑橘冠层SPAD预测
IF 3.6 2区 农林科学 Q1 AGRONOMY Pub Date : 2023-08-29 DOI: 10.3390/agriculture13091701
Shunshun Ding, Juanli Jing, Shiqing Dou, Menglin Zhai, Wenjie Zhang
Rapid and nondestructive prediction of chlorophyll content and response to the growth of various crops using remote sensing technology is a prominent topic in agricultural remote sensing research. Bordeaux mixture has been extensively employed for managing citrus diseases, such as black star and ulcer disease. However, the presence of pesticide residues in Bordeaux mixture can significantly modify the spectral response of the citrus canopy, thereby exerting a substantial influence on the accurate prediction of agronomic indices in fruit trees. In this study, we used unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) multispectral imaging technology to obtain remote sensing imagery of Bordeaux-covered citrus canopies during the months of July, September, and November. We integrated spectral and texture information to construct a high-dimensional feature dataset and performed data downscaling and feature optimization. Furthermore, we established four machine learning models, namely, partial least squares regression (PLS), ridge regression (RR), ridge, random forest (RF), and support vector regression (SVR). Our objectives were to identify the most effective prediction model for estimating the SPAD (soil plant analysis development) value of Bordeaux-covered citrus canopies, assess the variation in prediction accuracy between fused features and individual features, and investigate the impact of Bordeaux solution on the spectral reflectance of the citrus canopy. The results showed that (1) the impact of Bordeaux mixture on citrus canopy reflectance bands ranked from the highest to the lowest as follows: near-infrared band at 840 nm, red-edge band at 730 nm, blue band at 450 nm, green band at 560 nm, and red band at 650 nm. (2) Fused feature models had better prediction ability than single-feature modeling, with an average R2 value of 0.641 for the four model test sets, improving by 0.117 and 0.039, respectively, compared with single-TF (texture feature) and -VI (vegetation index) modeling, and the test-set root-mean-square error (RMSE) was 2.594 on average, which was 0.533 and 0.264 lower than single-TF and -VI modeling, respectively. (3) Multiperiod data fusion effectively enhanced the correlation between features and SPAD values and consequently improved model prediction accuracy. Compared with accuracy based on individual months, R improved by 0.013 and 0.011, while RMSE decreased by 0.112 and 0.305. (4) The SVR model demonstrated the best performance in predicting citrus canopy SPAD under Bordeaux solution coverage, with R2 values of 0.629 and 0.658, and RMSE values of 2.722 and 2.752 for the training and test sets, respectively.
利用遥感技术快速、无损地预测叶绿素含量及其对作物生长的响应是农业遥感研究的一个重要课题。波尔多混合液已被广泛应用于柑橘病害的防治,如黑星病和溃疡病。然而,波尔多混合物中农药残留的存在会显著改变柑橘冠层的光谱响应,从而对果树农艺指标的准确预测产生实质性影响。本研究采用无人机(UAV)多光谱成像技术,获取波尔多地区7月、9月和11月柑橘冠层的遥感影像。结合光谱和纹理信息构建高维特征数据集,并对数据进行降尺度和特征优化。此外,我们建立了四种机器学习模型,即偏最小二乘回归(PLS)、脊回归(RR)、脊回归、随机森林(RF)和支持向量回归(SVR)。我们的目标是确定最有效的预测模型来估计波尔多覆盖的柑橘冠层的SPAD(土壤植物分析发展)值,评估融合特征和单个特征之间的预测精度变化,并研究波尔多溶液对柑橘冠层光谱反射率的影响。结果表明:(1)波尔多混合剂对柑橘冠层反射率波段的影响从高到低依次为:近红外波段840 nm、红边波段730 nm、蓝边波段450 nm、绿边波段560 nm、红边波段650 nm。(2)融合特征模型的预测能力优于单一特征建模,4个模型测试集的平均R2值为0.641,比单一tf(纹理特征)和-VI(植被指数)建模分别提高0.117和0.039,测试集均方根误差(RMSE)平均为2.594,比单一tf和-VI建模分别低0.533和0.264。(3)多周期数据融合有效增强了特征与SPAD值之间的相关性,从而提高了模型预测精度。与基于单月的准确率相比,R提高了0.013和0.011,RMSE降低了0.112和0.305。(4) SVR模型对波尔多溶液覆盖下柑橘冠层SPAD的预测效果最好,训练集和测试集的R2分别为0.629和0.658,RMSE分别为2.722和2.752。
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引用次数: 0
The Impact of Climate Change on the Urban–Rural Income Gap in China 气候变化对中国城乡收入差距的影响
IF 3.6 2区 农林科学 Q1 AGRONOMY Pub Date : 2023-08-29 DOI: 10.3390/agriculture13091703
Yifeng Xie, Haitao Wu, Rui Yao
Based on the annual average climate data and economic and social data from 262 prefecture-level cities in China from 2001 to 2019, this paper explores the impact of climate change on urban–rural income inequality and its mechanisms using fixed-effects (FEs) and mediated-effects (MEs) models. This study finds that (1) climate change has an inverted U-shaped relationship with the urban–rural income disparity; (2) climate change can affect the urban–rural income disparity by influencing urban and rural income levels, the regional degree of urbanization, and the labor force employment structure; (3) the impact of climate change on the urban–rural income gap is heterogeneous in East, Center, and West China; and (4) extreme heat can widen the urban–rural income gap, and extreme drought can narrow the urban–rural income gap. Climate change has a significant impact on the urban–rural income gap, and there is a need to continue to promote urbanization and the optimization of the employment structure of the workforce, reduce the vulnerability of rural residents to climate change, and narrow the urban–rural income gap.
基于2001 - 2019年中国262个地级市的年平均气候数据和经济社会数据,采用固定效应和中介效应模型,探讨了气候变化对城乡收入不平等的影响及其机制。研究发现:(1)气候变化与城乡收入差距呈倒u型关系;(2)气候变化可以通过影响城乡收入水平、区域城市化程度和劳动力就业结构来影响城乡收入差距;③气候变化对城乡收入差距的影响在东、中、西部呈现异质性;④极端高温会扩大城乡收入差距,极端干旱会缩小城乡收入差距。气候变化对城乡收入差距影响显著,需要继续推进城镇化和优化劳动力就业结构,降低农村居民对气候变化的脆弱性,缩小城乡收入差距。
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引用次数: 0
Balancing Yield and Antioxidant Capacity in Basil Microgreens: An Exploration of Nutrient Solution Concentrations in a Floating System 罗勒微型蔬菜平衡产量和抗氧化能力:漂浮系统中营养液浓度的探索
IF 3.6 2区 农林科学 Q1 AGRONOMY Pub Date : 2023-08-28 DOI: 10.3390/agriculture13091691
Mohammad Reza Fayezizadeh, N. Ansari, M. M. Sourestani, M. Hasanuzzaman
The appropriate concentration of the nutrient solution (NS) plays an important role in the yield, antioxidant capacity, and biochemical compounds of basil microgreens in the floating system. This study examined the impact of five different concentrations of Hoagland’s NS (25%, 50%, 75%, 100%, and 125%) on the antioxidant capacity, biochemical compounds, and yield of four basil cultivars and genotypes (Persian Ablagh, Violeto, Kapoor and Red Rubin) in a floating system, utilizing a split plots designs. Results revealed that the highest yield was achieved with a 50% NS concentration. The Persian Ablagh genotype, under a 125% NS concentration, exhibited the highest content of carotenoids, flavonoids, phenolic compounds, and antioxidant potential index (APCI). The Violeto cultivar at a 100% NS concentration produced the highest amounts of vitamin C and anthocyanin. The Kapoor cultivar, when grown with a 100% NS concentration, demonstrated the greatest antioxidant capacity. The nutrient solution with 125% concentration compared to 50% concentration reduced the yield by 23.29%. Also, the performance of the Violeto cultivar increased by 36.24% compared to the red variety of Robin. According to the APCI index, the genotype of Iranian Ablaq basil increased by 152.79% in the treatment of nutrient solution with a concentration of 125% compared to 50%. In this study, yield and total chlorophyll showed a significant negative correlation. A significant positive correlation was observed between vitamin C content and flavonoids, anthocyanin, phenolic compounds, and antioxidant capacity. Anthocyanin content exhibited a positive and significant correlation with the APCI. Based on these findings, we recommend a 50% NS concentration of Hoagland’s NS for optimal yield, a 125% NS concentration for the production of secondary metabolites with enhanced antioxidant capacity, and a 100% NS concentration as a balance between antioxidant properties and yield for basil microgreens production in a floating system.
适宜的营养液浓度对漂浮体系中罗勒微绿叶的产量、抗氧化能力和生化成分有重要影响。本研究采用分割区设计,研究了五种不同浓度的Hoagland’s NS(25%、50%、75%、100%和125%)对漂浮系统中4个罗勒品种和基因型(波斯阿布拉格、紫罗兰、卡普尔和红鲁宾)的抗氧化能力、生化化合物和产量的影响。结果表明,当硝态氮浓度为50%时,产率最高。在125% NS处理下,波斯Ablagh基因型的类胡萝卜素、类黄酮、酚类化合物含量和抗氧化潜力指数(APCI)最高。在100% NS浓度下,紫罗兰品种产生的维生素C和花青素含量最高。卡普尔品种在100% NS浓度下生长时,表现出最大的抗氧化能力。与50%浓度的营养液相比,125%浓度的营养液产量降低了23.29%。与红色品种相比,紫色品种的生产性能提高了36.24%。根据APCI指数,在125%浓度的营养液处理下,伊朗Ablaq罗勒基因型比50%浓度处理提高了152.79%。在本研究中,产量与总叶绿素呈显著负相关。维生素C含量与黄酮类化合物、花青素、酚类化合物和抗氧化能力呈正相关。花青素含量与APCI呈极显著正相关。基于这些发现,我们推荐50%的Hoagland’s NS浓度为最佳产量,125%的NS浓度为产生具有增强抗氧化能力的次级代谢物,100%的NS浓度为浮动体系中罗勒微绿生产的抗氧化性能和产量之间的平衡。
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引用次数: 0
World Forage Import Market: Competitive Structure and Market Forces 世界饲料进口市场:竞争结构和市场力量
IF 3.6 2区 农林科学 Q1 AGRONOMY Pub Date : 2023-08-28 DOI: 10.3390/agriculture13091695
Wenxin Wang, Yaowen Liang, Zhuo Ru, H. Guo, Bingjie Zhao
Trade market power serves as a significant indicator of pricing power within the trade market. This paper aims to examine the market structure of global forage trade from 1997 to 2020 and assess the market power of forage exporters in major importing countries, namely Japan, China, and South Korea, by utilizing an extended G-K model based on the theory of residual elasticity of demand. The findings of this analysis provide several key insights. Firstly, it is revealed that the United States and Australia hold a monopoly on forage trade, while China has emerged as the most pivotal market for worldwide forage trade. Notably, China’s growing demand for forage imports is profoundly influencing the global forage trade landscape. Secondly, the extent and effectiveness of exporting countries’ market power in forage-importing nations, such as China, varies considerably. Lastly, the market power of forage-exporting countries is determined by various factors, including the demand for forage in importing nations, export monopoly, import structure, demand elasticity, and the level of marketization.
贸易市场力量是衡量贸易市场内定价权的重要指标。本文利用基于需求剩余弹性理论的扩展G-K模型,研究了1997 - 2020年全球饲料贸易的市场结构,并评估了主要进口国日本、中国和韩国的饲料出口商的市场力量。这项分析的发现提供了几个关键的见解。首先,美国和澳大利亚在饲料贸易中处于垄断地位,而中国已成为世界饲料贸易中最关键的市场。值得注意的是,中国日益增长的饲料进口需求正在深刻影响全球饲料贸易格局。其次,出口国对饲料进口国(如中国)的市场支配力的程度和有效性差异很大。最后,饲料出口国的市场力量是由多种因素决定的,包括进口国对饲料的需求、出口垄断、进口结构、需求弹性和市场化水平。
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引用次数: 0
Portuguese Agrifood Sector Resilience: An Analysis Using Structural Breaks Applied to International Trade 葡萄牙农业食品部门弹性:使用结构性断裂应用于国际贸易的分析
IF 3.6 2区 农林科学 Q1 AGRONOMY Pub Date : 2023-08-28 DOI: 10.3390/agriculture13091699
M. D. F. Oliveira, Pedro Reis
In the last two decades, Portugal suffered the effects of two global crises, the financial crisis and the COVID-19 pandemic, as well as the Common Agriculture Policy reforms. These crises had a great impact on the Portuguese economy, but it is completely unclear how they affected the dynamics of the Portuguese agrifood sector. This study’s objective is to analyze the resilience of this sector to European and global socks, testing the effects on international trade. Secondary data from the Portuguese Statistics Institute were used for the exports and imports trade series of animal and vegetable products and food industries from 2000 to 2020. The methodology was based on the structural xtbreak model, stability analysis, and tests for structural breaks. Some volatility was observed in the trade series, particularly in imports, without consistency among years, trade sectors, or imports versus exports trade. In the case of exports, one or two structural breaks in the different sectors occurred in different years. The most relevant dynamics occurred after the sovereign debt crisis. It was concluded that CAP reforms and global crises seem to not have caused new relevant dynamics in the Portuguese international agrifood trade. This revealed the resilience of the sector to external shocks.
在过去二十年中,葡萄牙遭受了两次全球危机的影响,即金融危机和2019冠状病毒病大流行,以及共同农业政策改革。这些危机对葡萄牙经济产生了巨大影响,但目前还完全不清楚它们是如何影响葡萄牙农业食品部门的动态的。本研究的目的是分析该部门对欧洲和全球袜子的弹性,测试对国际贸易的影响。2000年至2020年的动植物产品和食品工业的进出口贸易系列采用了葡萄牙统计局的二手数据。该方法基于结构断裂模型、稳定性分析和结构断裂测试。在贸易序列中观察到一些波动,特别是在进口方面,在年份、贸易部门或进出口贸易之间没有一致性。就出口而言,不同部门在不同年份出现了一两次结构性断裂。最相关的动态发生在主权债务危机之后。结论是,共同农业政策改革和全球危机似乎没有在葡萄牙国际农产品贸易中引起新的相关动态。这显示了该行业对外部冲击的抵御能力。
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Agriculture-Basel
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