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Municipal Compost Public Health, Waste Management, and Urban Agriculture: A Decadal Study of Fugitive Pb in City of Boston, Massachusetts, USA 城市堆肥的公共卫生、废物管理和都市农业:美国马萨诸塞州波士顿市逸散铅十年期研究
IF 4.8 2区 医学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-03-06 DOI: 10.1029/2023GH000810
Chansie Yang, Claire Hayhow, Emma Jackman, Danielle Andrews, Daniel Brabander

Compostable materials constitute roughly half of waste generated globally, but only 5% of waste is actually processed through composting, suggesting that expanding compost programs may be an effective way to process waste. Compostable waste, if properly collected and processed, has value-added end use options including: residential and park landscaping, remediation of brownfield sites, and as growing media in urban agriculture (UA). Since 2001, our lab has partnered with The Food Project, a non-profit focused on youth leadership development through urban farming. From 2006 to 2022 we collected compost materials that were delivered to the farm from a variety of local sources and analyzed a suite of biogeochemical properties including lead (Pb) concentrations, organic carbon, and grain size distribution. Pb concentrations of Boston's municipal compost always exceeded the current City of San Francisco soil and compost purchase standard (80 μg/g). In 2012 Boston's composting program was halted when it exceeded the 400 μg/g Environmental Protection Agency's Pb in soil benchmark. Urban Pb is geomobile and must be managed to minimize resuspension and transport of fines whose Pb concentration is often elevated compared to bulk compost. Consequently, urban farmers have to source lower Pb compost from suburban suppliers at significantly greater cost. Over a 15 year period and through several city vendor contracts, Pb concentrations in municipal compost remain at levels that warrant continued surveillance and risk assessment.

可堆肥材料约占全球产生的垃圾的一半,但实际上只有 5%的垃圾是通过堆肥处理的,这表明扩大堆肥计划可能是处理垃圾的有效途径。可堆肥垃圾如果收集和处理得当,其最终用途还可以增值,包括:美化住宅和公园景观、修复棕色地块以及作为城市农业(UA)的生长介质。自 2001 年以来,我们的实验室一直与 "食品项目"(The Food Project)合作,这是一个通过城市农业培养青年领导力的非营利组织。从 2006 年到 2022 年,我们收集了从各种当地来源运送到农场的堆肥材料,并分析了一系列生物地球化学特性,包括铅(Pb)浓度、有机碳和粒度分布。波士顿市政堆肥中的铅浓度始终超过旧金山市现行的土壤和堆肥采购标准(80 微克/克)。2012 年,波士顿的堆肥计划因土壤中的铅含量超过了环境保护署规定的 400 微克/克基准而停止。城市中的铅具有地质流动性,必须加以管理,以尽量减少细粒的再悬浮和迁移,因为与散装堆肥相比,细粒的铅浓度通常较高。因此,城市农民不得不从郊区供应商那里采购含铅量较低的堆肥,而成本却要高得多。在 15 年的时间里,通过与几家城市供应商签订合同,城市堆肥中的铅浓度仍保持在需要持续监控和风险评估的水平。
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引用次数: 0
Air Quality and Health Impacts of Onshore Oil and Gas Flaring and Venting Activities Estimated Using Refined Satellite-Based Emissions 利用基于卫星的精细排放估算陆上油气燃烧和排放活动对空气质量和健康的影响
IF 4.8 2区 医学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-03-06 DOI: 10.1029/2023GH000938
Huy Tran, Erin Polka, Jonathan J. Buonocore, Ananya Roy, Beth Trask, Hillary Hull, Saravanan Arunachalam

Emissions from flaring and venting (FV) in oil and gas (O&G) production are difficult to quantify due to their intermittent activities and lack of adequate monitoring and reporting. Given their potentially significant contribution to total emissions from the O&G sector in the United States, we estimate emissions from FV using Visible Infrared Imaging Radiometer Suite satellite observations and state/local reported data on flared gas volume. These refined estimates are higher than those reported in the National Emission Inventory: by up to 15 times for fine particulate matter (PM2.5), two times for sulfur dioxides, and 22% higher for nitrogen oxides (NOx). Annual average contributions of FV to ozone (O3), NO2, and PM2.5 in the conterminous U.S. (CONUS) are less than 0.15%, but significant contributions of up to 60% are found in O&G fields with FV. FV contributions are higher in winter than in summer months for O3 and PM2.5; an inverse behavior is found for NO2. Nitrate aerosol contributions to PM2.5 are highest in the Denver basin whereas in the Permian and Bakken basins, sulfate and elemental carbon aerosols are the major contributors. Over four simulated months in 2016 for the entire CONUS, FV contributes 210 additional instances of exceedances to the daily maximum 8-hr average O3 and has negligible contributions to exceedance of NO2 and PM2.5, given the current form of the national ambient air quality standards. FV emissions are found to cause over $7.4 billion in health damages, 710 premature deaths, and 73,000 asthma exacerbations among children annually.

由于石油和天然气(O&G)生产中的燃烧和排气(FV)活动时断时续,且缺乏足够的监测和报告,因此其排放量难以量化。鉴于其对美国 O&G 行业总排放量的潜在重大贡献,我们利用可见红外成像辐射计套件卫星观测数据和州/地方报告的燃烧气体量数据对 FV 排放量进行了估算。这些细化的估算值比《国家排放清单》中报告的数据要高:细颗粒物(PM2.5)高出 15 倍,二氧化硫高出 2 倍,氮氧化物高出 22%。在美国本土(CONUS),FV 对臭氧 (O3)、二氧化氮和 PM2.5 的年均贡献率低于 0.15%,但在有 FV 的 O&G 区域,贡献率高达 60%。对于 O3 和 PM2.5,FV 在冬季的贡献率高于夏季;对于 NO2,FV 的贡献率与之相反。在丹佛盆地,硝酸盐气溶胶对 PM2.5 的贡献最大,而在二叠纪盆地和巴肯盆地,硫酸盐和元素碳气溶胶是主要贡献者。在 2016 年整个 CONUS 的四个模拟月中,考虑到国家环境空气质量标准的当前形式,FV 对日最大 8 小时平均 O3 的超标贡献增加了 210 次,对 NO2 和 PM2.5 的超标贡献微乎其微。研究发现,FV 排放每年会造成超过 74 亿美元的健康损失,710 人过早死亡,73,000 名儿童哮喘加重。
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引用次数: 0
Impacts of Deforestation on Childhood Malaria Depend on Wealth and Vector Biology 森林砍伐对儿童疟疾的影响取决于财富和病媒生物学
IF 4.8 2区 医学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-02-28 DOI: 10.1029/2022GH000764
Tafesse Kefyalew Estifanos, Brendan Fisher, Gillian L. Galford, Taylor H. Ricketts

Ecosystem change can profoundly affect human well-being and health, including through changes in exposure to vector-borne diseases. Deforestation has increased human exposure to mosquito vectors and malaria risk in Africa, but there is little understanding of how socioeconomic and ecological factors influence the relationship between deforestation and malaria risk. We examined these interrelationships in six sub-Saharan African countries using demographic and health survey data linked to remotely sensed environmental variables for 11,746 children under 5 years old. We found that the relationship between deforestation and malaria prevalence varies by wealth levels. Deforestation is associated with increased malaria prevalence in the poorest households, but there was not significantly increased malaria prevalence in the richest households, suggesting that deforestation has disproportionate negative health impacts on the poor. In poorer households, malaria prevalence was 27%–33% larger for one standard deviation increase in deforestation across urban and rural populations. Deforestation is also associated with increased malaria prevalence in regions where Anopheles gambiae and Anopheles funestus are dominant vectors, but not in areas of Anopheles arabiensis. These findings indicate that deforestation is an important driver of malaria risk among the world's most vulnerable children, and its impact depends critically on often-overlooked social and biological factors. An in-depth understanding of the links between ecosystems and human health is crucial in designing conservation policies that benefit people and the environment.

生态系统变化会对人类福祉和健康产生深远影响,包括通过改变接触病媒传播疾病的机会。在非洲,森林砍伐增加了人类接触蚊媒的机会和疟疾风险,但人们对社会经济和生态因素如何影响森林砍伐与疟疾风险之间的关系知之甚少。我们利用与遥感环境变量相关联的人口和健康调查数据,对撒哈拉以南非洲六个国家的 11746 名 5 岁以下儿童进行了研究。我们发现,森林砍伐与疟疾发病率之间的关系因财富水平而异。森林砍伐与最贫困家庭疟疾发病率的增加有关,但最富有家庭的疟疾发病率并没有显著增加,这表明森林砍伐对穷人的健康产生了不成比例的负面影响。在城市和农村人口中,森林砍伐每增加一个标准差,贫困家庭的疟疾发病率就会增加 27% 至 33%。在冈比亚按蚊和法氏按蚊是主要病媒的地区,森林砍伐也与疟疾发病率的增加有关,但在阿拉伯按蚊流行的地区则没有关系。这些研究结果表明,砍伐森林是世界上最易感儿童中疟疾风险的一个重要驱动因素,其影响主要取决于经常被忽视的社会和生物因素。深入了解生态系统与人类健康之间的联系对于制定有利于人类和环境的保护政策至关重要。
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引用次数: 0
Tracking Progress Toward Urban Nature Targets Using Landcover and Vegetation Indices: A Global Study for the 96 C40 Cities 利用土地覆盖物和植被指数跟踪城市自然目标的进展情况:针对 96 个 C40 城市的全球研究
IF 4.8 2区 医学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-02-26 DOI: 10.1029/2023GH000996
Greta K. Martin, Katelyn O’Dell, Patrick L. Kinney, Marcia Pescador-Jimenez, David Rojas-Rueda, Robert Canales, Susan C. Anenberg

Access to urban natural space, including blue and greenspace, is associated with improved health. In 2021, the C40 Cities Climate Leadership Group set 2030 Urban Nature Declaration (UND) targets: “Quality Total Cover” (30% green area within each city) and “Equitable Spatial Distribution” (70% of the population living close to natural space). We evaluate progress toward these targets in the 96 C40 cities using globally available, high-resolution data sets for landcover and normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI). We use the European Space Agency (ESA)'s WorldCover data set to define greenspace with discrete landcover categories and ESA's Sentinel-2A to calculate NDVI, adding the “open water” landcover category to characterize total natural space. We compare 2020 levels of urban green and natural space to the two UND targets and predict the city-specific NDVI level consistent with the UND targets using linear regressions. The 96-city mean NDVI was 0.538 (range: 0.148, 0.739). Most (80%) cities meet the Quality Total Cover target, and nearly half (47%) meet the Equitable Spatial Distribution target. Landcover-measured greenspace and total natural space were strong (mean R2 = 0.826) and moderate (mean R2 = 0.597) predictors of NDVI and our NDVI-based natural space proximity measure, respectively. The 96-city mean predicted NDVI value of meeting the UND targets was 0.478 (range: 0.352–0.565) for Quality Total Cover and 0.660 (range: 0.498–0.767) for Equitable Spatial Distribution. Our translation of the area- and access-based metrics common in urban natural space targets into the NDVI metric used in epidemiology allows for quantifying the health benefits of achieving such targets.

城市自然空间(包括蓝色和绿色空间)的使用与健康状况的改善息息相关。2021 年,C40 城市气候领导小组制定了 2030 年城市自然宣言(UND)目标:"优质全覆盖"(每个城市 30% 的绿化面积)和 "公平空间分布"(70% 的人口居住在自然空间附近)。我们利用全球可用的高分辨率土地覆盖和归一化差异植被指数 (NDVI) 数据集,评估了 96 个 C40 城市在实现这些目标方面的进展。我们使用欧洲航天局(ESA)的 WorldCover 数据集,以离散的地表覆盖类别来定义绿地,并使用欧空局的 Sentinel-2A 来计算归一化植被指数,同时增加 "开放水域 "地表覆盖类别来描述总的自然空间。我们将 2020 年的城市绿地和自然空间水平与联合国发展计划的两个目标进行了比较,并使用线性回归法预测了与联合国发展计划目标一致的特定城市 NDVI 水平。96 个城市的 NDVI 平均值为 0.538(范围:0.148, 0.739)。大多数城市(80%)达到了优质总覆盖目标,近一半城市(47%)达到了公平空间分布目标。地表覆盖测量的绿地和自然空间总量分别对 NDVI 和基于 NDVI 的自然空间接近度测量具有较强的预测作用(平均 R2 = 0.826)和中等的预测作用(平均 R2 = 0.597)。达到联合国发展目标的 96 个城市的平均预测 NDVI 值为:优质总覆盖为 0.478(范围:0.352-0.565),公平空间分布为 0.660(范围:0.498-0.767)。我们将城市自然空间目标中常见的基于面积和利用率的指标转化为流行病学中使用的 NDVI 指标,从而可以量化实现这些目标所带来的健康益处。
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引用次数: 0
Satellite Remote Sensing: A Tool to Support Harmful Algal Bloom Monitoring and Recreational Health Advisories in a California Reservoir 卫星遥感:支持加利福尼亚州水库有害藻华监测和娱乐健康警告的工具
IF 4.8 2区 医学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-02-23 DOI: 10.1029/2023GH000941
Brittany N. Lopez Barreto, Erin L. Hestir, Christine M. Lee, Marc W. Beutel

Cyanobacterial harmful algal blooms (cyanoHABs) can harm people, animals, and affect consumptive and recreational use of inland waters. Monitoring cyanoHABs is often limited. However, chlorophyll-a (chl-a) is a common water quality metric and has been shown to have a relationship with cyanobacteria. The World Health Organization (WHO) recently updated their previous 1999 cyanoHAB guidance values (GVs) to be more practical by basing the GVs on chl-a concentration rather than cyanobacterial counts. This creates an opportunity for widespread cyanoHAB monitoring based on chl-a proxies, with satellite remote sensing (SRS) being a potentially powerful tool. We used Sentinel-2 (S2) and Sentinel-3 (S3) to map chl-a and cyanobacteria, respectively, classified chl-a values according to WHO GVs, and then compared them to cyanotoxin advisories issued by the California Department of Water Resources (DWR) at San Luis Reservoir, key infrastructure in California's water system. We found reasonably high rates of total agreement between advisories by DWR and SRS, however rates of agreement varied for S2 based on algorithm. Total agreement was 83% for S3, and 52%–79% for S2. False positive and false negative rates for S3 were 12% and 23%, respectively. S2 had 12%–80% false positive rate and 0%–38% false negative rate, depending on algorithm. Using SRS-based chl-a GVs as an early indicator for possible exposure advisories and as a trigger for in situ sampling may be effective to improve public health warnings. Implementing SRS for cyanoHAB monitoring could fill temporal data gaps and provide greater spatial information not available from in situ measurements alone.

蓝藻有害藻华(cyanoHABs)会伤害人类和动物,并影响内陆水域的消费和娱乐使用。对蓝藻有害藻华的监测通常很有限。不过,叶绿素 a(chl-a)是一种常见的水质指标,已被证明与蓝藻有关。世界卫生组织(WHO)最近更新了其 1999 年发布的蓝藻水华指导值(GVs),将 GVs 建立在叶绿素-a 浓度而非蓝藻数量的基础上,从而使 GVs 更为实用。这为基于 chl-a 代用指标进行广泛的 cyanoHAB 监测创造了机会,而卫星遥感 (SRS) 则是一种潜在的有力工具。我们利用哨兵-2(S2)和哨兵-3(S3)分别绘制了藻蓝蛋白和蓝藻图,根据世界卫生组织的 GVs 对藻蓝蛋白值进行了分类,然后将其与加利福尼亚州水资源部(DWR)在圣路易斯水库发布的蓝藻毒素警告进行了比较,圣路易斯水库是加利福尼亚州水利系统的重要基础设施。我们发现,DWR 和 SRS 发出的警告之间的总一致率相当高,但 S2 的一致率因算法而异。S3 的总一致率为 83%,S2 为 52%-79%。S3 的假阳性率和假阴性率分别为 12% 和 23%。根据算法的不同,S2 的假阳性率为 12%-80%,假阴性率为 0%-38%。使用基于 SRS 的 chl-a GVs 作为可能的暴露警告的早期指标和原位采样的触发器,可能会有效改善公共健康警告。实施 SRS 进行蓝藻水华监测可以填补时间数据空白,并提供更多空间信息,而这些信息仅靠原位测量是无法提供的。
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引用次数: 0
Health-Damaging Climate Events Highlight the Need for Interdisciplinary, Engaged Research 损害健康的气候事件凸显跨学科参与研究的必要性
IF 4.8 2区 医学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-02-16 DOI: 10.1029/2024GH001022
Jennifer D. Stowell, Susan Anenberg, Benjamin F. Zaitchik, Daniel Q. Tong, Claire J. Horwell, Dennis P. Stolle, Rita R. Colwell, Christine McEntee

In 2023 human populations experienced multiple record-breaking climate events, with widespread impacts on human health and well-being. These events include extreme heat domes, drought, severe storms, flooding, and wildfires. Due to inherent lags in the climate system, we can expect such extremes to continue for multiple decades after reaching net zero carbon emissions. Unfortunately, despite these significant current and future impacts, funding for research in climate and health has lagged behind that for other geoscience and biomedical research. While some initial efforts from funding agencies are evident, there is still a significant need to increase the resources available for multidisciplinary research in the face of this issue. As a group of experts at this important intersection, we call for a more concerted effort to encourage interdisciplinary and policy-relevant investigations into the detrimental health effects of continued climate change.

2023 年,人类经历了多次破纪录的气候事件,对人类健康和福祉造成了广泛影响。这些事件包括极端高温、干旱、严重风暴、洪水和野火。由于气候系统固有的滞后性,我们可以预计,在实现碳净零排放后,此类极端事件还将持续数十年。遗憾的是,尽管当前和未来会产生这些重大影响,但气候与健康研究的资金却一直落后于其他地球科学和生物医学研究。虽然资助机构已经做出了一些初步努力,但面对这一问题,仍亟需增加多学科研究的可用资源。作为这一重要交叉领域的专家小组,我们呼吁更加协调一致地努力,鼓励对持续气候变化的有害健康影响进行跨学科和政策相关的调查。
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引用次数: 0
Reflections on a Century of Extreme Heat Event-Related Mortality Reporting in Canada 对加拿大一个世纪以来极端高温事件相关死亡率报告的反思
IF 4.8 2区 医学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-02-16 DOI: 10.1029/2023GH000895
Liv Yoon, Gregory R. A. Richardson, Melissa Gorman

Climate change is causing more frequent and severe extreme heat events (EHEs) in Canada, resulting in significant loss of life. However, patterns across mortality reporting for historical EHEs have not been analyzed. To address this gap, we studied deaths in Canadian EHEs from 1936 to 2021, identifying trends and challenges. Our analysis revealed inconsistencies in mortality data, discrepancies between vulnerable populations identified, difficulties in determining the cause of death, and inconsistent reporting on social vulnerability indicators. We provide some observations that could help inform solutions to address the gaps and challenges, by moving toward more consistent and comprehensive reporting to ensure no population is overlooked. Accurately accounting for affected populations could help better target evidence-based interventions, and reduce vulnerability to extreme heat.

气候变化导致加拿大极端高温事件(EHEs)更加频繁和严重,造成重大生命损失。然而,我们尚未对历史上极端高温事件的死亡率报告模式进行分析。为了填补这一空白,我们研究了 1936 年至 2021 年加拿大极端高温事件中的死亡人数,确定了趋势和挑战。我们的分析揭示了死亡率数据的不一致性、确定的弱势人群之间的差异、确定死因的困难以及社会脆弱性指标报告的不一致性。我们提出了一些意见,这些意见可以帮助我们找到应对差距和挑战的解决方案,方法是进行更一致、更全面的报告,以确保不遗漏任何人群。准确统计受影响人群有助于更好地确定循证干预措施的目标,并降低极端高温的脆弱性。
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引用次数: 0
Identification of Neighborhood Hotspots via the Cumulative Hazard Index: Results From a Community-Partnered Low-Cost Sensor Deployment 通过累积危害指数识别邻里热点:社区合作的低成本传感器部署成果
IF 4.8 2区 医学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-02-14 DOI: 10.1029/2023GH000935
Sakshi Jain, Rivkah Gardner-Frolick, Nika Martinussen, Dan Jackson, Amanda Giang, Naomi Zimmerman

The Strathcona neighborhood in Vancouver is particularly vulnerable to environmental injustice due to its close proximity to the Port of Vancouver, and a high proportion of Indigenous and low-income households. Furthermore, local sources of air pollutants (e.g., roadways) can contribute to small-scale variations within communities. The aim of this study was to assess hyperlocal air quality patterns (intra-neighborhood variability) and compare them to average Vancouver concentrations (inter-neighborhood variability) to identify possible disparities in air pollution exposure for the Strathcona community. Between April and August 2022, 11 low-cost sensors (LCS) were deployed within the neighborhood to measure PM2.5, NO2, and O3 concentrations. The collected 15-min concentrations were down-averaged to daily concentrations and compared to greater Vancouver region concentrations to quantify the exposures faced by the community relative to the rest of the region. Concentrations were also estimated at every 25 m grid within the neighborhood to quantify the distribution of air pollution within the community. Using population information from census data, cumulative hazard indices (CHIs) were computed for every dissemination block. We found that although PM2.5 concentrations in the neighborhood were lower than regional Vancouver averages, daily NO2 concentrations and summer O3 concentrations were consistently higher. Additionally, although CHIs varied daily, we found that CHIs were consistently higher in areas with high commercial activity. As such, estimating CHI for dissemination blocks was useful in identifying hotspots and potential areas of concern within the neighborhood. This information can collectively assist the community in their advocacy efforts.

温哥华的斯特拉斯科纳(Strathcona)社区毗邻温哥华港,土著家庭和低收入家庭比例较高,因此特别容易受到环境不公正的影响。此外,当地的空气污染物来源(如道路)也会造成社区内的小范围变化。本研究旨在评估超本地空气质量模式(社区内变异性),并将其与温哥华平均浓度(社区间变异性)进行比较,以确定斯特拉斯科纳社区在空气污染暴露方面可能存在的差异。2022 年 4 月至 8 月期间,在该社区部署了 11 个低成本传感器(LCS),以测量 PM2.5、二氧化氮和臭氧浓度。收集到的 15 分钟浓度被下平均到每日浓度,并与大温哥华地区的浓度进行比较,以量化该社区相对于该地区其他地方所面临的暴露。此外,还估算了社区内每 25 米网格的浓度,以量化社区内空气污染的分布情况。利用人口普查数据中的人口信息,计算出了每个传播街区的累积危害指数(CHIs)。我们发现,虽然该社区的 PM2.5 浓度低于温哥华地区的平均值,但每天的二氧化氮浓度和夏季的臭氧浓度却一直较高。此外,虽然 CHIs 每天都有变化,但我们发现,在商业活动频繁的地区,CHIs 始终较高。因此,估算传播街区的空气污染指数(CHI)有助于确定社区内的热点和潜在关注区域。这些信息可以共同帮助社区开展宣传工作。
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引用次数: 0
PM2.5 Is Insufficient to Explain Personal PAH Exposure PM2.5 不足以解释个人 PAH 暴露
IF 4.8 2区 医学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-02-10 DOI: 10.1029/2023GH000937
Lisa M. Bramer, Holly M. Dixon, Diana Rohlman, Richard P. Scott, Rachel L. Miller, Laurel Kincl, Julie B. Herbstman, Katrina M. Waters, Kim A. Anderson

To understand how chemical exposure can impact health, researchers need tools that capture the complexities of personal chemical exposure. In practice, fine particulate matter (PM2.5) air quality index (AQI) data from outdoor stationary monitors and Hazard Mapping System (HMS) smoke density data from satellites are often used as proxies for personal chemical exposure, but do not capture total chemical exposure. Silicone wristbands can quantify more individualized exposure data than stationary air monitors or smoke satellites. However, it is not understood how these proxy measurements compare to chemical data measured from wristbands. In this study, participants wore daily wristbands, carried a phone that recorded locations, and answered daily questionnaires for a 7-day period in multiple seasons. We gathered publicly available daily PM2.5 AQI data and HMS data. We analyzed wristbands for 94 organic chemicals, including 53 polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons. Wristband chemical detections and concentrations, behavioral variables (e.g., time spent indoors), and environmental conditions (e.g., PM2.5 AQI) significantly differed between seasons. Machine learning models were fit to predict personal chemical exposure using PM2.5 AQI only, HMS only, and a multivariate feature set including PM2.5 AQI, HMS, and other environmental and behavioral information. On average, the multivariate models increased predictive accuracy by approximately 70% compared to either the AQI model or the HMS model for all chemicals modeled. This study provides evidence that PM2.5 AQI data alone or HMS data alone is insufficient to explain personal chemical exposures. Our results identify additional key predictors of personal chemical exposure.

要了解化学品暴露如何影响健康,研究人员需要能捕捉个人化学品暴露复杂性的工具。在实践中,来自室外固定监测器的细颗粒物(PM2.5)空气质量指数(AQI)数据和来自卫星的危害绘图系统(HMS)烟雾密度数据经常被用作个人化学品暴露的替代物,但并不能捕捉到化学品暴露总量。与固定式空气监测仪或烟雾卫星相比,硅胶腕带可以量化更多的个人暴露数据。然而,人们并不了解这些替代测量值与腕带测量的化学数据相比有何不同。在这项研究中,参与者每天佩戴腕带,随身携带记录位置的手机,并在多个季节回答为期 7 天的每日问卷。我们收集了可公开获得的每日 PM2.5 空气质量指数数据和 HMS 数据。我们分析了腕带上的 94 种有机化学物质,包括 53 种多环芳烃。不同季节的腕带化学物质检测结果和浓度、行为变量(如室内活动时间)和环境条件(如 PM2.5 AQI)存在显著差异。仅使用 PM2.5 AQI、仅使用 HMS 以及包括 PM2.5 AQI、HMS 及其他环境和行为信息在内的多元特征集,拟合机器学习模型来预测个人化学品暴露。与空气质量指数模型或 HMS 模型相比,多元模型对所有建模化学品的预测准确率平均提高了约 70%。这项研究提供的证据表明,仅凭 PM2.5 AQI 数据或 HMS 数据不足以解释个人化学品暴露。我们的研究结果确定了个人化学品暴露的其他关键预测因素。
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引用次数: 0
Spatio-Temporal Pattern of Tuberculosis Distribution in Romania and Particulate Matter Pollution Associated With Risk of Infection 罗马尼亚结核病分布的时空模式以及与感染风险相关的颗粒物污染
IF 4.8 2区 医学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-02-06 DOI: 10.1029/2023GH000972
D. Peptenatu, A. M. Băloi, O. Andronic, A. Bolocan, N. Cioran, A. K. Gruia, A. Grecu, T. C. Panciu, L. Georgescu, I. Munteanu, A. Pistol, F. Furtunescu, I. R. Strâmbu, E. Ibrahim, D. Băiceanu, G. G. Popescu, D. Păduraru, V. Jinga, B. Mahler

The study proposes a dynamic spatio-temporal profile of the distribution of tuberculosis incidence and air pollution in Romania, where this infectious disease induces more than 8,000 new cases annually. The descriptive analysis for the years 2012–2021 assumes an identification of the structuring patterns of mycobacterium tuberculosis risk in the Romanian population, according to gender and age, exploiting spatial modeling techniques of time series data. Through spatial autocorrelation, the degree of similarity between the analyzed territorial systems was highlighted and the relationships that are built between the analysis units in spatial proximity were investigated. By modeling the geographical distribution of tuberculosis, the spatial correlation with particulate matter (PM2.5) pollution was revealed. The identification of clusters of infected persons is an indispensable step in the construction of efficient tuberculosis management systems. The results highlight the link between the distribution of tuberculosis, air pollution and socio-economic development, which requires a detailed analysis of the epidemiological data obtained in the national tuberculosis surveillance and control program from the perspective of geographical distribution.

该研究提出了罗马尼亚结核病发病率和空气污染分布的动态时空概况,该传染病每年在罗马尼亚诱发 8000 多例新病例。通过对 2012-2021 年的描述性分析,利用时间序列数据的空间建模技术,根据性别和年龄确定了罗马尼亚人口中结核分枝杆菌风险的结构模式。通过空间自相关性,突出了所分析的地域系统之间的相似程度,并研究了空间邻近分析单元之间的关系。通过建立结核病地理分布模型,揭示了结核病与颗粒物(PM2.5)污染的空间相关性。确定感染者集群是构建高效结核病管理系统不可或缺的一步。研究结果凸显了结核病分布、空气污染和社会经济发展之间的联系,这就需要从地理分布的角度对国家结核病监测和控制计划中获得的流行病学数据进行详细分析。
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