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Behavioural interventions targeting the prevention and treatment of young children's mental health problems in low- and middle-income countries: a scoping review.
IF 4.5 3区 医学 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2025-01-24 DOI: 10.7189/jogh.15.04018
Getachew Mullu Kassa, Zhiyuan Yu, Fentahun Minwuyelet, Deborah Gross

Background: Globally, 10% of children and adolescents live with mental health problems and often lack high-quality care. Over 80% of people facing mental health issues reside in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). Failing to address children's mental health may prolong these challenges into adulthood, impeding their chances for a healthy life. This scoping review aims to describe the types, implementation strategies, effectiveness, and gaps of existing interventions for preventing and treating mental health problems in early childhood (<10 years) in LMICs.

Methods: The study employed a scoping review of experimental studies published 2007-2023. Major databases including PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, and PsycINFO were searched using key terms related to the population (children), intervention (mental and/or behavioural health programmes), and outcome (mental health problems). Three authors independently conducted search strategy, article screening, data extraction, and quality assessment. The findings were presented using descriptive analysis and narrative synthesis.

Results: Of 39 499 identified articles, 33 were included in the study, covering 7629 children and published between 2009-2022. Seventeen studies (51.5%) were from upper-middle-income countries, 13 (39.4%) were from lower-middle-income, and three (9.1%) were from low-income countries. Enrolment was community-based in 23 studies and health-facility based in 10 studies; the majority (79%) focused on children aged 3-8 years old. Almost two-third (63.6%) of studies were conducted in urban settings. Programmes encompassed various interventions such as parenting programmes (33.3%). A majority of studies (57.5%) employed group therapy for delivering the programme, with mental health professionals (21.2%) acting as the primary intervention providers. Interventions were primarily received by children (39.4%), followed by mothers/caregivers (33.3%). Most studies explored disruptive disorders (20 studies), social and behavioural problems (16 studies), and anxiety disorders (12 studies). Statistically significant intervention effects on child mental health outcomes were reported for 90% of published studies.

Conclusions: Diverse behavioural programmes that improve the mental health of young children are available and effective in LMICs. Most interventions were delivered in urban settings and focus was on the use of health care professionals. Diverse intervention approaches, including parenting programmes and group therapy, were effective in addressing various mental health issues among young children.

{"title":"Behavioural interventions targeting the prevention and treatment of young children's mental health problems in low- and middle-income countries: a scoping review.","authors":"Getachew Mullu Kassa, Zhiyuan Yu, Fentahun Minwuyelet, Deborah Gross","doi":"10.7189/jogh.15.04018","DOIUrl":"10.7189/jogh.15.04018","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Globally, 10% of children and adolescents live with mental health problems and often lack high-quality care. Over 80% of people facing mental health issues reside in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). Failing to address children's mental health may prolong these challenges into adulthood, impeding their chances for a healthy life. This scoping review aims to describe the types, implementation strategies, effectiveness, and gaps of existing interventions for preventing and treating mental health problems in early childhood (<10 years) in LMICs.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>The study employed a scoping review of experimental studies published 2007-2023. Major databases including PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, and PsycINFO were searched using key terms related to the population (children), intervention (mental and/or behavioural health programmes), and outcome (mental health problems). Three authors independently conducted search strategy, article screening, data extraction, and quality assessment. The findings were presented using descriptive analysis and narrative synthesis.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Of 39 499 identified articles, 33 were included in the study, covering 7629 children and published between 2009-2022. Seventeen studies (51.5%) were from upper-middle-income countries, 13 (39.4%) were from lower-middle-income, and three (9.1%) were from low-income countries. Enrolment was community-based in 23 studies and health-facility based in 10 studies; the majority (79%) focused on children aged 3-8 years old. Almost two-third (63.6%) of studies were conducted in urban settings. Programmes encompassed various interventions such as parenting programmes (33.3%). A majority of studies (57.5%) employed group therapy for delivering the programme, with mental health professionals (21.2%) acting as the primary intervention providers. Interventions were primarily received by children (39.4%), followed by mothers/caregivers (33.3%). Most studies explored disruptive disorders (20 studies), social and behavioural problems (16 studies), and anxiety disorders (12 studies). Statistically significant intervention effects on child mental health outcomes were reported for 90% of published studies.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Diverse behavioural programmes that improve the mental health of young children are available and effective in LMICs. Most interventions were delivered in urban settings and focus was on the use of health care professionals. Diverse intervention approaches, including parenting programmes and group therapy, were effective in addressing various mental health issues among young children.</p>","PeriodicalId":48734,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Global Health","volume":"15 ","pages":"04018"},"PeriodicalIF":4.5,"publicationDate":"2025-01-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143030188","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Pandemic preparedness in Vietnam: a review of health system resilience and areas for improvement.
IF 4.5 3区 医学 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2025-01-24 DOI: 10.7189/jogh.15.03001
Bach Xuan Tran, Taufique Joarder, Vincent Junxiong Pang, Clara Marin Carballo, Hoa Thi Do, Cuong Tat Nguyen, Linh Gia Vu, Ngo Van Toan, Shenglan Tang

In this viewpoint, we explore Vietnam's health system vulnerabilities and its national response to the COVID-19 pandemic, as well as critical areas of health system resilience, including health financing, workforce distribution, information systems, and governance. While Vietnam achieved early success through strong governance and mass vaccination campaigns, the pandemic revealed weaknesses in resource procurement, workforce imbalance, and limitations of its health information system. There are challenges in ensuring the rapid disbursement of financial resources and reliance on imported medical supplies, which delayed response times. Uneven healthcare workforce distribution, particularly in rural areas, further strained the health system. Although telemedicine and digital health solutions were implemented, weak digital infrastructure and inadequate information technology literacy hindered their effectiveness. Governance efforts, while generally strong, highlighted the need for better coordination and role clarity during health emergencies. Our findings identify areas for improvement, including effective resource mobilisation and allocation, enhanced digital infrastructure, expanded telemedicine access, and better support for healthcare workers. Governance enhancements, such as improved priority setting and interagency coordination, were also critical. These insights offer valuable guidance for strengthening Vietnam's health system and ensuring greater preparedness for future pandemics, but could also help other low- and middle-income countries facing similar challenges.

{"title":"Pandemic preparedness in Vietnam: a review of health system resilience and areas for improvement.","authors":"Bach Xuan Tran, Taufique Joarder, Vincent Junxiong Pang, Clara Marin Carballo, Hoa Thi Do, Cuong Tat Nguyen, Linh Gia Vu, Ngo Van Toan, Shenglan Tang","doi":"10.7189/jogh.15.03001","DOIUrl":"10.7189/jogh.15.03001","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>In this viewpoint, we explore Vietnam's health system vulnerabilities and its national response to the COVID-19 pandemic, as well as critical areas of health system resilience, including health financing, workforce distribution, information systems, and governance. While Vietnam achieved early success through strong governance and mass vaccination campaigns, the pandemic revealed weaknesses in resource procurement, workforce imbalance, and limitations of its health information system. There are challenges in ensuring the rapid disbursement of financial resources and reliance on imported medical supplies, which delayed response times. Uneven healthcare workforce distribution, particularly in rural areas, further strained the health system. Although telemedicine and digital health solutions were implemented, weak digital infrastructure and inadequate information technology literacy hindered their effectiveness. Governance efforts, while generally strong, highlighted the need for better coordination and role clarity during health emergencies. Our findings identify areas for improvement, including effective resource mobilisation and allocation, enhanced digital infrastructure, expanded telemedicine access, and better support for healthcare workers. Governance enhancements, such as improved priority setting and interagency coordination, were also critical. These insights offer valuable guidance for strengthening Vietnam's health system and ensuring greater preparedness for future pandemics, but could also help other low- and middle-income countries facing similar challenges.</p>","PeriodicalId":48734,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Global Health","volume":"15 ","pages":"03001"},"PeriodicalIF":4.5,"publicationDate":"2025-01-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143030190","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Alkaline phosphatase of late pregnancy promotes the prediction of adverse birth outcomes.
IF 4.5 3区 医学 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2025-01-24 DOI: 10.7189/jogh.15.04028
Bin Zhang, Zhaolong Zhan, Sijie Xi, Yinglu Zhang, Xiaosong Yuan

Background: Adverse birth outcomes (ABO), such as preterm birth (PTB), small and large for gestational age (SGA/LGA), can compromise both the short- and long-term health of mothers and their foetuses. The purpose of this observational study was to investigate the association between maternal serum alkaline phosphatase (ALP) levels in late pregnancy and the risk of ABO, and to evaluate its predictive value of maternal ALP levels for ABO in women with singleton pregnancies.

Methods: A total of 11 853 consecutive pregnant women underwent hepatic and renal function tests, lipid profile assessments, ALP and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein levels measurements upon admission for labour. Their clinical perinatal parameters and outcomes were also analysed.

Results: The prevalence of PTB, SGA, and LGA in this study was 7.2% (n = 849), 8.9% (n = 1053), and 15.6% (n = 1844), respectively. With increasing quartiles of maternal serum ALP levels, the foetal gestational age increased by 0.58 weeks (95% confidence interval (CI) = 0.50-0.66), 0.78 weeks (95% CI = 0.70-0.86), and 0.98 weeks (95% CI = 0.90-1.06), respectively, and the birth weight increased by 62.91 g (95% CI = 43.96-81.86), 91.54 g (95% CI = 72.41-110.67), and 117.92 g (95% CI = 98.18-137.67), respectively. Compared to women in the bottom quartile of ALP, those in the top quartile had a lower risk of PTB (adjusted odds ratio (OR) = 0.14; 95% CI = 0.11-0.18), a lower risk of SGA (adjusted OR = 0.65; 95% CI = 0.53-0.80), and a higher risk of LGA (adjusted OR = 1.92; 95% CI = 1.62-2.28). Sensitivity analyses conducted among individuals without advanced maternal age, obesity, multiparity, pregnancy complications, and PTB (for SGA/LGA) validated the consistency of these results. More importantly, adding ALP to the established model significantly increased the area under the curve (AUC) for predicting adverse birth outcomes: for PTB, the AUC increased from 0.761 to 0.809 (P < 0.001); for SGA, it increased from 0.754 to 0.759 (P = 0.014); and for LGA, it increased from 0.750 to 0.755 (P < 0.001).

Conclusions: Maternal serum ALP levels in late pregnancy are significantly associated with the risk of ABO. When combined with clinical characteristics and routine laboratory results, ALP has incremental predictive value for ABO, particularly for PTB.

{"title":"Alkaline phosphatase of late pregnancy promotes the prediction of adverse birth outcomes.","authors":"Bin Zhang, Zhaolong Zhan, Sijie Xi, Yinglu Zhang, Xiaosong Yuan","doi":"10.7189/jogh.15.04028","DOIUrl":"10.7189/jogh.15.04028","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Adverse birth outcomes (ABO), such as preterm birth (PTB), small and large for gestational age (SGA/LGA), can compromise both the short- and long-term health of mothers and their foetuses. The purpose of this observational study was to investigate the association between maternal serum alkaline phosphatase (ALP) levels in late pregnancy and the risk of ABO, and to evaluate its predictive value of maternal ALP levels for ABO in women with singleton pregnancies.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>A total of 11 853 consecutive pregnant women underwent hepatic and renal function tests, lipid profile assessments, ALP and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein levels measurements upon admission for labour. Their clinical perinatal parameters and outcomes were also analysed.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>The prevalence of PTB, SGA, and LGA in this study was 7.2% (n = 849), 8.9% (n = 1053), and 15.6% (n = 1844), respectively. With increasing quartiles of maternal serum ALP levels, the foetal gestational age increased by 0.58 weeks (95% confidence interval (CI) = 0.50-0.66), 0.78 weeks (95% CI = 0.70-0.86), and 0.98 weeks (95% CI = 0.90-1.06), respectively, and the birth weight increased by 62.91 g (95% CI = 43.96-81.86), 91.54 g (95% CI = 72.41-110.67), and 117.92 g (95% CI = 98.18-137.67), respectively. Compared to women in the bottom quartile of ALP, those in the top quartile had a lower risk of PTB (adjusted odds ratio (OR) = 0.14; 95% CI = 0.11-0.18), a lower risk of SGA (adjusted OR = 0.65; 95% CI = 0.53-0.80), and a higher risk of LGA (adjusted OR = 1.92; 95% CI = 1.62-2.28). Sensitivity analyses conducted among individuals without advanced maternal age, obesity, multiparity, pregnancy complications, and PTB (for SGA/LGA) validated the consistency of these results. More importantly, adding ALP to the established model significantly increased the area under the curve (AUC) for predicting adverse birth outcomes: for PTB, the AUC increased from 0.761 to 0.809 (P < 0.001); for SGA, it increased from 0.754 to 0.759 (P = 0.014); and for LGA, it increased from 0.750 to 0.755 (P < 0.001).</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Maternal serum ALP levels in late pregnancy are significantly associated with the risk of ABO. When combined with clinical characteristics and routine laboratory results, ALP has incremental predictive value for ABO, particularly for PTB.</p>","PeriodicalId":48734,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Global Health","volume":"15 ","pages":"04028"},"PeriodicalIF":4.5,"publicationDate":"2025-01-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143030186","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Willingness and determinants of elder care modes among elderly individuals: insights from underdeveloped regions in Western China.
IF 4.5 3区 医学 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2025-01-24 DOI: 10.7189/jogh.15.04031
Yunhua Wang, Guorong Chai, Jiancheng Wang

Background: The aim of the present study was to investigate the willingness of elderly individuals regarding their choice of elderly care modes in underdeveloped regions of Western China and to identify the key factors influencing the willingness.

Methods: We distributed a total of 20 000 questionnaires using the multistage stratified cluster random sampling method, and successfully collected 19 460 of them. After conducting quality checks, we deemed 19 040 questionnaires valid for analysis. The survey covered seven cities, 24 counties, and 255 villages in Gansu Province. We conducted statistical analyses, including univariate χ2 test, Kruskal-Wallis test and multivariate logistic regression, to assess the willingness of elderly individuals regarding care modes and the factors influencing these choices.

Results: Among the 19 040 valid responses, 88.55% preferred home care, 5.01% opted for community care, 5.01% chose institutional care, 1.08% preferred mutual care, and 0.36% selected smart care. Elderly individuals who have a lower level of education, residence within a 15-minute walking distance to the nearest health care facility, and believe that elder care should rely on themselves or their children, etc. exhibit a higher willingness for choosing the home care mode (P < 0.05). Elderly individuals who believe that elderly care should be reliant on their children, and possess a greater knowledge for the combination of medical and elderly care, etc. exhibit a stronger willingness for choosing the community care (P < 0.05). Elderly individuals with lower educational level and lack endowment insurance, etc. exhibit a higher willingness for choosing the mutual care (P < 0.05). Elderly individuals who are not afflicted with chronic illnesses and reside within a 15-minute distance from the nearest medical centre exhibit a higher willingness for choosing the smart care mode (P < 0.05).

Conclusions: In underdeveloped regions in China, home care continues to be the predominant choice among elderly individuals. However, the growing demand for diverse elderly care modes warrants attention. Multiple factors influence the willingness of elderly individuals when selecting care modes. This study offers valuable insights for policymakers, enabling government departments to implement targeted strategies and interventions to meet the diverse service needs of the elderly population effectively.

{"title":"Willingness and determinants of elder care modes among elderly individuals: insights from underdeveloped regions in Western China.","authors":"Yunhua Wang, Guorong Chai, Jiancheng Wang","doi":"10.7189/jogh.15.04031","DOIUrl":"10.7189/jogh.15.04031","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>The aim of the present study was to investigate the willingness of elderly individuals regarding their choice of elderly care modes in underdeveloped regions of Western China and to identify the key factors influencing the willingness.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>We distributed a total of 20 000 questionnaires using the multistage stratified cluster random sampling method, and successfully collected 19 460 of them. After conducting quality checks, we deemed 19 040 questionnaires valid for analysis. The survey covered seven cities, 24 counties, and 255 villages in Gansu Province. We conducted statistical analyses, including univariate χ<sup>2</sup> test, Kruskal-Wallis test and multivariate logistic regression, to assess the willingness of elderly individuals regarding care modes and the factors influencing these choices.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Among the 19 040 valid responses, 88.55% preferred home care, 5.01% opted for community care, 5.01% chose institutional care, 1.08% preferred mutual care, and 0.36% selected smart care. Elderly individuals who have a lower level of education, residence within a 15-minute walking distance to the nearest health care facility, and believe that elder care should rely on themselves or their children, etc. exhibit a higher willingness for choosing the home care mode (P < 0.05). Elderly individuals who believe that elderly care should be reliant on their children, and possess a greater knowledge for the combination of medical and elderly care, etc. exhibit a stronger willingness for choosing the community care (P < 0.05). Elderly individuals with lower educational level and lack endowment insurance, etc. exhibit a higher willingness for choosing the mutual care (P < 0.05). Elderly individuals who are not afflicted with chronic illnesses and reside within a 15-minute distance from the nearest medical centre exhibit a higher willingness for choosing the smart care mode (P < 0.05).</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>In underdeveloped regions in China, home care continues to be the predominant choice among elderly individuals. However, the growing demand for diverse elderly care modes warrants attention. Multiple factors influence the willingness of elderly individuals when selecting care modes. This study offers valuable insights for policymakers, enabling government departments to implement targeted strategies and interventions to meet the diverse service needs of the elderly population effectively.</p>","PeriodicalId":48734,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Global Health","volume":"15 ","pages":"04031"},"PeriodicalIF":4.5,"publicationDate":"2025-01-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143030191","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Age- and sex-specific care cascades to detect gaps in the care of children with tuberculosis in Bangladesh: a cohort study.
IF 4.5 3区 医学 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2025-01-24 DOI: 10.7189/jogh.15.04024
Daniel Ramirez, Amanda Brumwell, Md Mahfuzur Rahman, Farzana Hossain, Suchitra Kulkarni, Amyn A Malik, Jeffrey I Campbell, Brittney J van de Water, Md Kamruzzaman Kamul, Md Toufiq Rahman, Hamidah Hussain, Jacob Creswell, Tapash Roy, Meredith B Brooks

Background: Programmatic interventions to increase the detection of children with tuberculosis (TB) are rarely evaluated to understand age- and sex-specific completion rates. We applied modified TB screening and treatment cascade frameworks to assess indicators of effective implementation by age and sex of a TB screening program for children (zero to 14 years) in Bangladesh.

Methods: We implemented an intensified screening program for paediatric TB detection in 119 health care facilities (2018-21). We followed systematic verbal screening by referral for full evaluation for children who reported symptoms or contact history with a patient with TB. Further, we linked children to treatment if diagnosed and followed for outcomes. We calculated the percentage of children, by age and sex, progressing through each step of the care cascade and compared the frequency of step completion by sex using χ2 tests.

Results: In total, we screened 552 182 males and 461 419 females for TB. 2.8% of males and 2.6% of females screened positive (P < 0.001). 74.2% of males and 73.9% of females underwent appropriate evaluation (P = 0.560). 10.3% of males and 11.5% of females were diagnosed with TB (P = 0.008). 100% of children initiated treatment, and 97.6% of males and 97.1% of females achieved a successful treatment outcome (P = 0.428). The percent of children screening positive on verbal screen, who were clinically evaluated for TB, and who were diagnosed with TB generally increased with age, with some variability throughout (ranges: 1.2-9.1%, 59.8-88.5%, 6.5-21.9%, respectively).

Conclusions: The largest gap observed for both sexes and among all ages was children who were not appropriately evaluated for TB despite screening positive. In our research, we highlight the value of identifying gaps in paediatric TB care to inform innovative, age- and sex-tailored interventions to improve future care in children.

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引用次数: 0
Long-term impact of COVID-19-related nonpharmaceutical interventions on tuberculosis: an interrupted time series analysis using Bayesian method.
IF 4.5 3区 医学 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2025-01-24 DOI: 10.7189/jogh.15.04012
Yongbin Wang, Yue Xi, Yanyan Li, Peiping Zhou, Chunjie Xu

Background: The implementation of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) during the COVID-19 pandemic may inadvertently influence the epidemiology of tuberculosis (TB). (TB). However, few studies have explored how NPIs impact the long-term epidemiological trends of TB. We aimed to estimate the impact of NPIs implemented against COVID-19 on the medium- and long-term TB epidemics and to forecast the epidemiological trend of TB in Henan.

Methods: We first collected monthly TB case data from January 2013 to September 2022, after which we used the data from January 2013 to December 2021 as a training data set to fit the Bayesian structural time series (BSTS) model and the remaining data as a testing data set to validate the model's predictive accuracy. We then conducted an intervention analysis using the BSTS model to evaluate the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on TB epidemics and to project trends for the upcoming years.

Results: A total of 590 455 TB cases were notified from January 2013 to September 2022, resulting in an annual incidence rate of 57.4 cases per 100 000 population, with a monthly average of 5047 cases (5.35 cases per 100 000 population). The trend in TB incidence showed a significant decrease during the study period, with an annual average percentage change of -7.3% (95% confidence interval (CI) = -8.4, -6.1). The BSTS model indicated an average monthly reduction of 25% (95% CI = 17, 32) in TB case notifications from January 2020 to December 2021 due to COVID-19 (probability of causal effect = 99.80%, P = 0.002). The mean absolute percentage error in the forecast set was 14.86%, indicating relatively high predictive accuracy of the model. Furthermore, TB cases were projected to total 43 584 (95% CI = 29 471, 57 291) from October 2022 to December 2023, indicating a continued downward trend.

Conclusions: COVID-19 has had medium- and long-term impacts on TB epidemics, while the overall trend of TB incidence in Henan is generally declining. The BSTS model can be an effective option for accurately predicting the epidemic patterns of TB, and its results can provide valuable technical support for the development of prevention and control strategies.

{"title":"Long-term impact of COVID-19-related nonpharmaceutical interventions on tuberculosis: an interrupted time series analysis using Bayesian method.","authors":"Yongbin Wang, Yue Xi, Yanyan Li, Peiping Zhou, Chunjie Xu","doi":"10.7189/jogh.15.04012","DOIUrl":"10.7189/jogh.15.04012","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>The implementation of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) during the COVID-19 pandemic may inadvertently influence the epidemiology of tuberculosis (TB). (TB). However, few studies have explored how NPIs impact the long-term epidemiological trends of TB. We aimed to estimate the impact of NPIs implemented against COVID-19 on the medium- and long-term TB epidemics and to forecast the epidemiological trend of TB in Henan.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>We first collected monthly TB case data from January 2013 to September 2022, after which we used the data from January 2013 to December 2021 as a training data set to fit the Bayesian structural time series (BSTS) model and the remaining data as a testing data set to validate the model's predictive accuracy. We then conducted an intervention analysis using the BSTS model to evaluate the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on TB epidemics and to project trends for the upcoming years.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>A total of 590 455 TB cases were notified from January 2013 to September 2022, resulting in an annual incidence rate of 57.4 cases per 100 000 population, with a monthly average of 5047 cases (5.35 cases per 100 000 population). The trend in TB incidence showed a significant decrease during the study period, with an annual average percentage change of -7.3% (95% confidence interval (CI) = -8.4, -6.1). The BSTS model indicated an average monthly reduction of 25% (95% CI = 17, 32) in TB case notifications from January 2020 to December 2021 due to COVID-19 (probability of causal effect = 99.80%, P = 0.002). The mean absolute percentage error in the forecast set was 14.86%, indicating relatively high predictive accuracy of the model. Furthermore, TB cases were projected to total 43 584 (95% CI = 29 471, 57 291) from October 2022 to December 2023, indicating a continued downward trend.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>COVID-19 has had medium- and long-term impacts on TB epidemics, while the overall trend of TB incidence in Henan is generally declining. The BSTS model can be an effective option for accurately predicting the epidemic patterns of TB, and its results can provide valuable technical support for the development of prevention and control strategies.</p>","PeriodicalId":48734,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Global Health","volume":"15 ","pages":"04012"},"PeriodicalIF":4.5,"publicationDate":"2025-01-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143030189","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Improving complex health systems and lived environments for maternal and perinatal well-being in urban sub-Saharan Africa: the UrbanBirth Collective.
IF 4.5 3区 医学 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2025-01-23 DOI: 10.7189/jogh.15.03009

While maternal mortality decreased during the Millennium Development Goals era, it remains unacceptably high, with stagnation in reductions possible due to shocks such as COVID-19. Most women in low- and middle-income countries already receive antenatal care and over half give birth in health facilities. In cities, use of health facilities for childbirth is near universal (>90%). Cities present complex challenges in ensuring pregnant women receive equitable, high-quality care. The UrbanBirth Collective is a portfolio of projects in sub-Saharan African cities seeking to address an important knowledge gap: how to adapt urban healthcare systems and lived environments to improve maternal and perinatal well-being? Its key focus is care during labour, childbirth, and the early postnatal period, when most poor maternal and perinatal outcomes occur. Our starting projects focus on harnessing open source data to examine and compare cities on the continent, including in-depth case studies of three cities: Grand Conakry (Guinea), Grand Nokoué metropolitan area (Benin), and Lubumbashi (Democratic Republic of the Congo), where we will capture and analyse three main dimensions of the dynamics: maternal health service provision; maternal healthcare use by women; and the complex, nonlinear interactions between the provision and use of care within the spatial, social, and political ecosystem of a city. By comparing these three cities, we shall propose a generalisable model which can be validated and applied in other cities in sub-Saharan Africa. The growth of cities demands increasing attention on future-proofing them with the capacity to develop, implement, and continuously adapt a coherent strategy for the provision of equitable maternal and newborn care. Our ambition is to contribute to reaching zero preventable maternal deaths in cities. To achieve these goals through understanding specific contexts and facilitating the adoption and application of research findings and recommendations, we will collaborate closely with local stakeholders, including healthcare workers, community leaders, and policymakers.

{"title":"Improving complex health systems and lived environments for maternal and perinatal well-being in urban sub-Saharan Africa: the UrbanBirth Collective.","authors":"","doi":"10.7189/jogh.15.03009","DOIUrl":"10.7189/jogh.15.03009","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>While maternal mortality decreased during the Millennium Development Goals era, it remains unacceptably high, with stagnation in reductions possible due to shocks such as COVID-19. Most women in low- and middle-income countries already receive antenatal care and over half give birth in health facilities. In cities, use of health facilities for childbirth is near universal (>90%). Cities present complex challenges in ensuring pregnant women receive equitable, high-quality care. The UrbanBirth Collective is a portfolio of projects in sub-Saharan African cities seeking to address an important knowledge gap: how to adapt urban healthcare systems and lived environments to improve maternal and perinatal well-being? Its key focus is care during labour, childbirth, and the early postnatal period, when most poor maternal and perinatal outcomes occur. Our starting projects focus on harnessing open source data to examine and compare cities on the continent, including in-depth case studies of three cities: Grand Conakry (Guinea), Grand Nokoué metropolitan area (Benin), and Lubumbashi (Democratic Republic of the Congo), where we will capture and analyse three main dimensions of the dynamics: maternal health service provision; maternal healthcare use by women; and the complex, nonlinear interactions between the provision and use of care within the spatial, social, and political ecosystem of a city. By comparing these three cities, we shall propose a generalisable model which can be validated and applied in other cities in sub-Saharan Africa. The growth of cities demands increasing attention on future-proofing them with the capacity to develop, implement, and continuously adapt a coherent strategy for the provision of equitable maternal and newborn care. Our ambition is to contribute to reaching zero preventable maternal deaths in cities. To achieve these goals through understanding specific contexts and facilitating the adoption and application of research findings and recommendations, we will collaborate closely with local stakeholders, including healthcare workers, community leaders, and policymakers.</p>","PeriodicalId":48734,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Global Health","volume":"15 ","pages":"03009"},"PeriodicalIF":4.5,"publicationDate":"2025-01-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11755202/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143025540","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Moderate full-fat and low-fat yoghurt consumption correlates with reduced mortality risk: a large-scale prospective analysis. 适量食用全脂和低脂酸奶与降低死亡风险相关:一项大规模前瞻性分析。
IF 4.5 3区 医学 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2025-01-17 DOI: 10.7189/jogh.15.04014
Zhengjun Lin, Min Zeng, Zijian Sui, Yanlin Wu, Xianzhe Tang, Tang Liu

Background: Yoghurt is a commonly consumed fermented food recommended by many guidelines. Yoghurt consumption can contribute to the intake of multiple nutrients and reduce the risk of several diseases. However, prospective evidence is limited on the associations between full/low-fat yoghurt consumption and mortality risk. In this prospective cohort study, we aimed to assess the dose-dependent associations between full/low-fat yoghurt intake and all-cause or cause-specific mortality.

Methods: We enrolled 186 168 participants from the UK Biobank who had joined the study between 2006 and 2010 and were followed up until 2022. We obtained data on self-reported intake of full/low-fat yoghurt and mortality from all causes and specific causes of death, including cancers and cardiovascular diseases (CVDs). We then used Cox proportional hazard models to calculate the hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) to evaluate the associations between full-fat and low-fat yoghurt intake and mortality. Lastly, we conducted subgroup and sensitivity analyses to examine the robustness of our findings.

Results: A total of 9402 deaths occurred during a mean follow-up of 13.4 years, including 1687 CVD-related and 5073 cancer-related deaths. Relative to non-consumers, the HRs (95% CIs) for all-cause mortality risk in participants consuming >0-50, 50-100, and >100 g of full-fat yoghurt a day were 0.82 (95% CI = 0.72, 0.93), 0.97 (95% CI = 0.86, 1.09), and 0.96 (95% CI = 0.84, 1.1) respectively. The corresponding HR estimates relative to non-consumers for participants consuming low-fat yoghurt were 0.88 (95% CI  = 0.81, 0.95), 0.91 (95% CI = 0.85, 0.98), and 0.95 (95% CI = 0.89, 1.01), respectively. Subgroup analysis indicated women who had moderate consumption of full-fat yoghurt had lower all-cause mortality risk, while men consuming low-fat yoghurt had lower all-cause mortality risk.

Conclusions: Moderate consumption of full-fat and low-fat yoghurt was correlated with decreased all-cause mortality. Future cohort studies are warranted to verify the potential of adopting yoghurt consumption as part of a healthy diet to reduce mortality.

背景:酸奶是许多指南推荐的一种常见的发酵食品。喝酸奶有助于摄入多种营养物质,降低患多种疾病的风险。然而,关于全脂/低脂酸奶消费与死亡风险之间关系的前瞻性证据有限。在这项前瞻性队列研究中,我们旨在评估全脂/低脂酸奶摄入量与全因或病因特异性死亡率之间的剂量依赖性关联。方法:我们从英国生物银行(UK Biobank)招募了186 168名参与者,他们在2006年至2010年期间加入了这项研究,并随访至2022年。我们获得了自我报告的全脂/低脂酸奶摄入量和所有原因和特定原因的死亡率的数据,包括癌症和心血管疾病(cvd)。然后,我们使用Cox比例风险模型来计算风险比(HR)和95%置信区间(CI),以评估全脂和低脂酸奶摄入与死亡率之间的关系。最后,我们进行了亚组分析和敏感性分析,以检验我们研究结果的稳健性。结果:在平均13.4年的随访期间,共发生9402例死亡,其中与心血管疾病相关的死亡1687例,与癌症相关的死亡5073例。与非消费者相比,每天摄入100 -50、50-100和100克全脂酸奶的参与者全因死亡风险的hr (95% CI)分别为0.82 (95% CI = 0.72, 0.93)、0.97 (95% CI = 0.86, 1.09)和0.96 (95% CI = 0.84, 1.1)。食用低脂酸奶的参与者相对于非消费者的相应HR估计分别为0.88 (95% CI = 0.81, 0.95)、0.91 (95% CI = 0.85, 0.98)和0.95 (95% CI = 0.89, 1.01)。亚组分析表明,食用适量全脂酸奶的女性全因死亡风险较低,而食用低脂酸奶的男性全因死亡风险较低。结论:适量食用全脂和低脂酸奶与降低全因死亡率相关。未来的队列研究有必要验证将酸奶消费作为健康饮食的一部分以降低死亡率的潜力。
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引用次数: 0
Geographic variations, temporal trends, and equity in healthcare resource allocation in China, 2010-21. 2010-21年中国医疗资源分配的地理差异、时间趋势和公平性。
IF 4.5 3区 医学 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2025-01-17 DOI: 10.7189/jogh.15.04008
Shaohua Yin, Zhenlin Liu, Sujuan Yu, Ying Li, Ji An, Dong Wang, Hongjia Yan, Ying Xiao, Feng Xu, Yun Tian, Xiaoxiao Luan

Background: Inequity in healthcare resources has been identified as a global public health priority, yet the geographic variations and temporal trends in distribution and inequity in China remain unclear. We aimed to investigate these variations and temporal trends in healthcare resources and evaluate inequity in healthcare resource allocation in China.

Methods: In this nationwide descriptive study, we used provincial-level data on healthcare infrastructure, human, and service resources from 31 provinces of mainland China, publicly released by the National Health Commission of China between 2010-21. We assessed the spatial autocorrelation of healthcare infrastructure, human, and service resources using Moran's I index, and identified spatial clusters of resource allocation. We evaluated the equity in healthcare resource allocation using the Lorenz curve, Gini coefficient, and Theil index by population and geographic dimensions.

Results: Between 2010-21, the density of healthcare infrastructure and human resources in China increased, with the average stay decreasing from 10.5 to 9.2 days. There were substantial regional disparities, with higher resource density exhibited in eastern regions compared to western regions. Spatial autocorrelation was more pronounced for the density of practising (assistant) physicians (Moran's I = 0.465; P < 0.001), practising physicians (Moran's I = 0.351; P < 0.001), and bed occupancy rate (Moran's I = 0.256; P < 0.001), with significant geographic clusters of resource allocation. Lorenz curves showed that healthcare resource allocation was closer to the absolute equity by population but not geographic dimension, with Gini coefficients indicating severe inequity (>0.6) by geographic dimension compared to perfect equity (<0.2) by population dimension. Intraregional Theil index by population was higher than the inter-regional index, with contribution rates exceeding 60%.

Conclusions: Per capita access to healthcare resources in China has improved, but significant geographic variations and clustering exist, particularly with higher resource density in eastern regions. While resource allocation by population showed better equity than by geographic area, substantial intra-regional disparities highlight the need for targeted strategies to enhance equitable distribution, particularly in the western regions.

背景:医疗资源不公平已被确定为全球公共卫生优先事项,但中国分布和不公平的地理差异和时间趋势尚不清楚。我们的目的是调查这些变化和医疗资源的时间趋势,并评估中国医疗资源分配的不公平。方法:在这项全国性的描述性研究中,我们使用了中国大陆31个省份2010-21年间由中国国家卫生健康委员会公开发布的卫生保健基础设施、人力和服务资源的省级数据。利用Moran's I指数评估了医疗卫生基础设施、人力资源和服务资源的空间自相关性,并确定了资源配置的空间集群。我们利用洛伦兹曲线、基尼系数和泰尔指数对人口和地理维度的医疗资源分配公平性进行了评估。结果:2010-21年,中国医疗卫生设施和人力资源密度增加,平均住院时间从10.5天减少到9.2天。区域差异明显,东部地区资源密度高于西部地区。执业(助理)医师密度的空间自相关性更为显著(Moran’s I = 0.465;结论:中国人均医疗资源可及性有所提高,但存在显著的地理差异和聚集性,特别是东部地区资源密度较高。虽然按人口分配的资源比按地理区域分配的资源更公平,但区域内的巨大差距突出了需要有针对性的战略来加强公平分配,特别是在西部区域。
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引用次数: 0
Current trends in household food insecurity, dietary diversity, and stunting among children under five in Asia: a systematic review. 亚洲家庭粮食不安全、饮食多样性和五岁以下儿童发育迟缓的当前趋势:系统综述。
IF 4.5 3区 医学 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2025-01-17 DOI: 10.7189/jogh.15.04049
Binish Islam, Tasiu Ibrahim Ibrahim, Tingting Wang, Mingyang Wu, Jiabi Qin

Background: Household food insecurity (HFI) and poor dietary diversity (DD) are major public health challenges in Asia, greatly contributing to stunting among children under five. While previous research has focussed primarily on African regions, this systematic review provides novel insights into the association between HFI, DD, and stunting within the Asian context.

Methods: We searched across six major databases for studies published between 2019 and 2023 exploring the association between HFI, DD, and stunting in children under five across Asia. We then extracted their characteristics, evaluation methods, and outcomes related to stunting for analysis.

Results: From 3215 records, 37 met the inclusion criteria. Most studies were from South Asia (n = 22), followed by Southeast Asia (n = 8), with fewer from West (n = 4), East (n = 2), and Central Asia (n = 1), highlighting geographical research gaps. We found high stunting rates among children under five, especially in South and Southeast Asia. Stunting was strongly linked to HFI and poor DD, suggesting that these factors are critical in addressing malnutrition. Socioeconomic factors, maternal education, and access to clean water also influence stunting outcomes.

Conclusions: Current research on HFI, DD, and stunting in Asia shows substantial variation, with the highest stunting rates in South and Southeast Asia. Limited data from Central and East Asia highlights the need for more comprehensive research in these regions. Addressing HFI and improving DD is critical for reducing stunting and achieving global nutrition targets by 2030.

背景:家庭粮食不安全(HFI)和饮食多样性差(DD)是亚洲主要的公共卫生挑战,在很大程度上导致五岁以下儿童发育迟缓。虽然以前的研究主要集中在非洲地区,但这一系统综述为在亚洲背景下HFI、DD和发育迟缓之间的关系提供了新的见解。方法:我们在六个主要数据库中检索了2019年至2023年间发表的研究,探讨了亚洲五岁以下儿童HFI、DD和发育迟缓之间的关系。然后,我们提取了他们的特征、评估方法和与发育迟缓相关的结果进行分析。结果:3215例中,37例符合纳入标准。大多数研究来自南亚(n = 22),其次是东南亚(n = 8),较少的研究来自西方(n = 4)、东方(n = 2)和中亚(n = 1),突出了地理研究的差距。我们发现5岁以下儿童的发育迟缓率很高,尤其是在南亚和东南亚。发育迟缓与HFI和不良DD密切相关,表明这些因素对解决营养不良至关重要。社会经济因素、孕产妇教育和获得清洁水也会影响发育迟缓的结果。结论:目前对亚洲地区HFI、DD和发育迟缓的研究显示存在很大差异,南亚和东南亚的发育迟缓率最高。来自中亚和东亚的有限数据凸显了对这些区域进行更全面研究的必要性。解决HFI问题和改善DD对于到2030年减少发育迟缓和实现全球营养目标至关重要。
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Journal of Global Health
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