Jinting Zou, Junliang Tao, Juan Jiang, Changfu Xiong, Bin He, Dingwei Sun, Ying Liu, Dongxian Zhang
Background: Hypertension-diabetes comorbidity (HDC) substantially increases the risk of cardiovascular and microvascular complications, yet population-based evidence from tropical island settings in China remains limited. This study estimated the prevalence of HDC among adults in Hainan Province and examined associated factors across sociodemographic, metabolic, and lifestyle domains.
Methods: We analysed data from the Hainan Province '2 + 3' health service package epidemiological survey, a population-based cross-sectional study conducted across all 24 administrative divisions from 3 November to 31 December 2022 using a two-stage disproportionate cluster sampling design. After prespecified data quality control and cleaning, 32 857 adults were included. Survey weights were applied to produce population-representative estimates, and survey-weighted multivariable logistic regression was used to identify factors associated with HDC.
Results: The weighted prevalence of HDC was 7.0%, higher in men (8.0%) than women (6.0%), and increased sharply with age (1.6% in 18-39 years, 7.7% in 40-59 years, and 18.5% in ≥ 60 years). In the fully adjusted model, female sex was inversely associated with HDC (adjusted odds ratio (aOR) = 0.64; 95% confidence interval (CI) = 0.55-0.74), while older age (40-59 years: aOR = 5.42; 95% CI = 4.29-6.85), (≥ 60 years: aOR = 16.37; 95% CI = 13.38-20.04) and Li ethnicity (aOR = 1.60; 95% CI = 1.20-2.14) were associated with higher odds. Overweight (aOR = 1.83; 95% CI = 1.63-2.06), obesity (aOR = 2.68; 95% CI = 2.28-3.15), and dyslipidaemia (aOR = 1.74; 95% CI = 1.58-1.92) were independently associated with HDC, whereas underweight showed an inverse association (aOR = 0.67; 95% CI = 0.52-0.86). Among participants with self-reported diagnosed hypertension and diabetes, 66.8% reported taking any blood pressure control measure and 36.9% reported taking any blood glucose control measure, respectively.
Conclusions: In tropical China, HDC affects a substantial proportion of adults and is strongly associated with male sex, older age, excess adiposity, and dyslipidaemia. The low uptake of diabetes control measures among diagnosed individuals highlights the need to strengthen integrated screening, follow-up, and chronic disease management in this setting.
背景:高血压-糖尿病合并症(HDC)大大增加了心血管和微血管并发症的风险,但在中国热带岛屿地区基于人群的证据仍然有限。本研究估计了海南省成人HDC患病率,并检查了社会人口统计学、代谢和生活方式领域的相关因素。方法:我们分析了海南省“2 + 3”卫生服务包流行病学调查的数据,这是一项基于人群的横断面研究,于2022年11月3日至12月31日在所有24个行政区划进行,采用两阶段不成比例整群抽样设计。经过预先规定的数据质量控制和清理,纳入32 857名成年人。使用调查加权来产生人口代表性估计,并使用调查加权多变量逻辑回归来确定与HDC相关的因素。结果:HDC的加权患病率为7.0%,男性(8.0%)高于女性(6.0%),且随着年龄的增长而急剧增加(18-39岁为1.6%,40-59岁为7.7%,≥60岁为18.5%)。在完全校正模型中,女性性别与HDC呈负相关(校正优势比(aOR) = 0.64;95%可信区间(CI) = 0.55-0.74),而年龄较大(40-59岁:aOR = 5.42; 95% CI = 4.29-6.85)、≥60岁:aOR = 16.37; 95% CI = 13.38-20.04)和李族(aOR = 1.60; 95% CI = 1.20-2.14)与较高的风险相关。超重(aOR = 1.83; 95% CI = 1.63-2.06)、肥胖(aOR = 2.68; 95% CI = 2.28-3.15)和血脂异常(aOR = 1.74; 95% CI = 1.58-1.92)与HDC独立相关,而体重不足与HDC呈负相关(aOR = 0.67; 95% CI = 0.52-0.86)。在自我报告诊断为高血压和糖尿病的参与者中,66.8%的人报告采取了血压控制措施,36.9%的人报告采取了血糖控制措施。结论:在中国热带地区,HDC影响了相当大比例的成年人,并且与男性、年龄较大、过度肥胖和血脂异常密切相关。诊断个体对糖尿病控制措施的接受程度较低,这突出了在这种情况下加强综合筛查、随访和慢性疾病管理的必要性。
{"title":"Hypertension-diabetes comorbidity in tropical Chinese adults.","authors":"Jinting Zou, Junliang Tao, Juan Jiang, Changfu Xiong, Bin He, Dingwei Sun, Ying Liu, Dongxian Zhang","doi":"10.7189/jogh.16.04091","DOIUrl":"10.7189/jogh.16.04091","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Hypertension-diabetes comorbidity (HDC) substantially increases the risk of cardiovascular and microvascular complications, yet population-based evidence from tropical island settings in China remains limited. This study estimated the prevalence of HDC among adults in Hainan Province and examined associated factors across sociodemographic, metabolic, and lifestyle domains.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>We analysed data from the Hainan Province '2 + 3' health service package epidemiological survey, a population-based cross-sectional study conducted across all 24 administrative divisions from 3 November to 31 December 2022 using a two-stage disproportionate cluster sampling design. After prespecified data quality control and cleaning, 32 857 adults were included. Survey weights were applied to produce population-representative estimates, and survey-weighted multivariable logistic regression was used to identify factors associated with HDC.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>The weighted prevalence of HDC was 7.0%, higher in men (8.0%) than women (6.0%), and increased sharply with age (1.6% in 18-39 years, 7.7% in 40-59 years, and 18.5% in ≥ 60 years). In the fully adjusted model, female sex was inversely associated with HDC (adjusted odds ratio (aOR) = 0.64; 95% confidence interval (CI) = 0.55-0.74), while older age (40-59 years: aOR = 5.42; 95% CI = 4.29-6.85), (≥ 60 years: aOR = 16.37; 95% CI = 13.38-20.04) and Li ethnicity (aOR = 1.60; 95% CI = 1.20-2.14) were associated with higher odds. Overweight (aOR = 1.83; 95% CI = 1.63-2.06), obesity (aOR = 2.68; 95% CI = 2.28-3.15), and dyslipidaemia (aOR = 1.74; 95% CI = 1.58-1.92) were independently associated with HDC, whereas underweight showed an inverse association (aOR = 0.67; 95% CI = 0.52-0.86). Among participants with self-reported diagnosed hypertension and diabetes, 66.8% reported taking any blood pressure control measure and 36.9% reported taking any blood glucose control measure, respectively.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>In tropical China, HDC affects a substantial proportion of adults and is strongly associated with male sex, older age, excess adiposity, and dyslipidaemia. The low uptake of diabetes control measures among diagnosed individuals highlights the need to strengthen integrated screening, follow-up, and chronic disease management in this setting.</p>","PeriodicalId":48734,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Global Health","volume":"16 ","pages":"04091"},"PeriodicalIF":4.3,"publicationDate":"2026-03-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12964091/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147366974","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Background: The COVID-19 pandemic disrupted country health systems and necessitated urgent actions to offset its effects on service provision, especially for vulnerable populations such as mothers and children. We aimed to analyse the experiences of healthcare workers in Burkina Faso and Mozambique, and the perceived effects of COVID-19 on reproductive, maternal, newborn, and child health (RMNCH) service provision and utilisation.
Methods: We conducted key informant interviews with healthcare workers involved in direct patient care and managerial positions in two provinces in Burkina Faso (Kadiogo and Boulkiemdé) (n = 33) and three provinces in Mozambique (Maputo City, Maputo Province, and Nampula) (n = 66). We audio-recorded, transcribed, and coded the interviews using a deductive and inductive coding approach. We analysed perceptions of RMNCH service disruptions and compared the results between the two countries. We used an inductive analysis method.
Results: The health systems in Burkina Faso and Mozambique reacted quickly and in a similar way to contain the COVID-19 pandemic. However, the adoption of COVID-19 activities and the implementation of rotational staff schedules may have slowed down the provision of services. Some services, such as antenatal care and child nutritional services, were limited. In both countries, respondents reported that unforeseen patient costs, such as for face masks, shortages in child medications, and fear from patients of getting COVID-19 virus at health facilities appeared to have hindered service utilisation.
Conclusions: The COVID-19 pandemic did not appear to have ceased the availability of or cause substantial disruptions to RMNCH services at health facilities in either country, but our findings showed that key informants perceived the pandemic did influence the reorganisation of health services, and the provision and utilisation of RMNCH services.
{"title":"The effects of COVID-19 on reproductive, maternal, neonatal, and child health service provision and utilisation: qualitative results from Burkina Faso and Mozambique.","authors":"Kelsey Zack, Souleymane Zorome, Midália Uamba, Kadidiatou Kadio, Sérgio Mahumane, Moussa Bougma, Milton Sengo, Hannah Fritz, Celso Monjane, Abdoulaye Maïga, Almamy Malick Kante, Ivalda Macicame, Agbessi Amouzou","doi":"10.7189/jogh.16.04036","DOIUrl":"10.7189/jogh.16.04036","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>The COVID-19 pandemic disrupted country health systems and necessitated urgent actions to offset its effects on service provision, especially for vulnerable populations such as mothers and children. We aimed to analyse the experiences of healthcare workers in Burkina Faso and Mozambique, and the perceived effects of COVID-19 on reproductive, maternal, newborn, and child health (RMNCH) service provision and utilisation.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>We conducted key informant interviews with healthcare workers involved in direct patient care and managerial positions in two provinces in Burkina Faso (Kadiogo and Boulkiemdé) (n = 33) and three provinces in Mozambique (Maputo City, Maputo Province, and Nampula) (n = 66). We audio-recorded, transcribed, and coded the interviews using a deductive and inductive coding approach. We analysed perceptions of RMNCH service disruptions and compared the results between the two countries. We used an inductive analysis method.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>The health systems in Burkina Faso and Mozambique reacted quickly and in a similar way to contain the COVID-19 pandemic. However, the adoption of COVID-19 activities and the implementation of rotational staff schedules may have slowed down the provision of services. Some services, such as antenatal care and child nutritional services, were limited. In both countries, respondents reported that unforeseen patient costs, such as for face masks, shortages in child medications, and fear from patients of getting COVID-19 virus at health facilities appeared to have hindered service utilisation.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>The COVID-19 pandemic did not appear to have ceased the availability of or cause substantial disruptions to RMNCH services at health facilities in either country, but our findings showed that key informants perceived the pandemic did influence the reorganisation of health services, and the provision and utilisation of RMNCH services.</p>","PeriodicalId":48734,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Global Health","volume":"16 ","pages":"04036"},"PeriodicalIF":4.3,"publicationDate":"2026-03-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12964330/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147366989","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Background: The high incidence and economic burden of coronary heart disease (CHD) represent a major public health challenge in Xinjiang, a region in northwest China. We aimed to assess the effects of a diagnosis-related group (DRG) policy on treatment costs and treatment efficiency in Bortala Mongol Autonomous Prefecture, Kashgar, and Kizilsu Kirghiz Autonomous Prefecture of Xinjiang, China.
Methods: We retrieved data on CHD inpatients from three prefectures in the Xinjiang medical insurance database. Then, we used interrupted time series analyses to evaluate the effect of the DRG policy on these inpatients. The analysis spanned the period from 1 January 2022 to 31 December 2024, with the policy intervention point for each prefecture defined by its respective DRG implementation date. We divided patients into pre-DRG and post-DRG groups based on the timing of the DRG policy's implementation. The outcome variables for treatment costs were total cost, drug cost, medical supplies cost, and out-of-pocket (OOP) payments; the outcome variable for treatment efficiency was length of stay (LOS).
Results: Compared to the pre-DRG period, the total cost, drug cost, OOP, and LOS for CHD inpatients in three prefectures all decreased, with a growth rate (GR)<0. In contrast, the medical supplies cost in the Bortala Mongol Autonomous Prefecture and the Kizilsu Kirghiz Autonomous Prefecture increased (GR>0). Following the implementation of the DRG in Xinjiang, CHD inpatients in the Bortala Mongol Autonomous Prefecture saw a significant downward trend in drug cost (β3 = -26.898; 95% confidence interval (CI) = -45.303, -8.493; P = 0.004), and their LOS decreased significantly in both level (P = 0.001) and trend (P = 0.034). The total cost for CHD inpatients in Kashgar showed a significant downward trend, and drug cost decreased significantly in both level (P = 0.003) and trend (P < 0.001). However, we observed no statistically significant differences in the remaining indicators of the two regions, or for all changes for CHD inpatients in the Kizilsu Kirghiz Autonomous Prefecture (all P > 0.05).
Conclusions: The DRG policy in Xinjiang has successfully controlled certain treatment costs and improved treatment efficiency for inpatients with CHD in the Bortala Mongol Autonomous Prefecture and in Kashgar. However, the implementation of DRG in the Kizilsu Kirghiz Autonomous Prefecture has not yet shown significant results and thus warrants monitoring and research.
{"title":"The effect of diagnosis-related group policy on treatment cost and treatment efficiency of inpatients with coronary heart disease in Xinjiang: an interrupted time series analysis.","authors":"Ningning Wang, Hongbin Yi, Jiale Yang, Aizezijiang Aierken, Haishaerjiang Wushouer, Sheng Han, Wenbing Yao","doi":"10.7189/jogh.16.04078","DOIUrl":"10.7189/jogh.16.04078","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>The high incidence and economic burden of coronary heart disease (CHD) represent a major public health challenge in Xinjiang, a region in northwest China. We aimed to assess the effects of a diagnosis-related group (DRG) policy on treatment costs and treatment efficiency in Bortala Mongol Autonomous Prefecture, Kashgar, and Kizilsu Kirghiz Autonomous Prefecture of Xinjiang, China.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>We retrieved data on CHD inpatients from three prefectures in the Xinjiang medical insurance database. Then, we used interrupted time series analyses to evaluate the effect of the DRG policy on these inpatients. The analysis spanned the period from 1 January 2022 to 31 December 2024, with the policy intervention point for each prefecture defined by its respective DRG implementation date. We divided patients into pre-DRG and post-DRG groups based on the timing of the DRG policy's implementation. The outcome variables for treatment costs were total cost, drug cost, medical supplies cost, and out-of-pocket (OOP) payments; the outcome variable for treatment efficiency was length of stay (LOS).</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Compared to the pre-DRG period, the total cost, drug cost, OOP, and LOS for CHD inpatients in three prefectures all decreased, with a growth rate (GR)<0. In contrast, the medical supplies cost in the Bortala Mongol Autonomous Prefecture and the Kizilsu Kirghiz Autonomous Prefecture increased (GR>0). Following the implementation of the DRG in Xinjiang, CHD inpatients in the Bortala Mongol Autonomous Prefecture saw a significant downward trend in drug cost (β<sub>3</sub> = -26.898; 95% confidence interval (CI) = -45.303, -8.493; P = 0.004), and their LOS decreased significantly in both level (P = 0.001) and trend (P = 0.034). The total cost for CHD inpatients in Kashgar showed a significant downward trend, and drug cost decreased significantly in both level (P = 0.003) and trend (P < 0.001). However, we observed no statistically significant differences in the remaining indicators of the two regions, or for all changes for CHD inpatients in the Kizilsu Kirghiz Autonomous Prefecture (all P > 0.05).</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>The DRG policy in Xinjiang has successfully controlled certain treatment costs and improved treatment efficiency for inpatients with CHD in the Bortala Mongol Autonomous Prefecture and in Kashgar. However, the implementation of DRG in the Kizilsu Kirghiz Autonomous Prefecture has not yet shown significant results and thus warrants monitoring and research.</p>","PeriodicalId":48734,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Global Health","volume":"16 ","pages":"04078"},"PeriodicalIF":4.3,"publicationDate":"2026-03-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12964326/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147367069","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Background: Tuberculosis (TB) remains a major public health challenge in China and worldwide, with smoking being a key modifiable risk factor. Given China's large population and rising smoking rates, this paper aims to examine the link between smoking and TB incidence.
Methods: We systematically searched six databases from inception for studies reporting smoking exposure, TB outcomes, and smoker-non-smoker comparisons. Two reviewers independently screened records, extracted data, and assessed bias. We analysed smoking-TB associations using random-effects meta-analysis of odds ratios (ORs) and hazard ratios (HRs).
Results: We included 17 studies reporting ORs and 7 studies reporting HRs in the quantitative synthesis. The pooled OR for TB incidence among smokers compared with non-smokers was 1.77 (95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.29-2.43), indicating a statistically significant increase in risk of TB. For studies reporting hazard ratios, the pooled estimate was 2.39 (95% CI = 1.28-4.45), showing a significant association between smoking and increased TB incidence.
Conclusions: Both active and passive smoking significantly elevate the risk of TB and worsen its outcomes in China. Our result indicate that COVID-19 pandemic may have indirectly exacerbated smoking-related risks through disruptions to TB services, heightened psychosocial stress, and shifts in smoking behaviours, with potential implications for TB risk and outcomes. Thus, integrating smoking cessation strategies into TB programmes, focusing on heavy smokers in especially high-prevalence areas, and raising public awareness could enhance efforts to prevent and control TB worldwide.
Registration: PROSPERO: CRD420251070123.
背景:结核病(TB)在中国和世界范围内仍然是一个主要的公共卫生挑战,吸烟是一个关键的可改变的危险因素。鉴于中国人口众多,吸烟率不断上升,本文旨在研究吸烟与结核病发病率之间的联系。方法:我们从一开始就系统地检索了六个数据库,以报告吸烟暴露、结核病结局和吸烟者与非吸烟者比较的研究。两名审稿人独立筛选记录、提取数据并评估偏倚。我们使用优势比(ORs)和风险比(hr)的随机效应荟萃分析分析了吸烟与结核病的关系。结果:我们在定量综合中纳入了17项报告ORs的研究和7项报告hr的研究。与非吸烟者相比,吸烟者结核病发病率的合并OR为1.77(95%可信区间(CI) = 1.29-2.43),表明吸烟者结核病风险有统计学意义的增加。对于报告危险比的研究,汇总估计值为2.39 (95% CI = 1.28-4.45),显示吸烟与结核病发病率增加之间存在显著关联。结论:在中国,主动吸烟和被动吸烟都会显著增加结核病的风险,并使其预后恶化。我们的研究结果表明,COVID-19大流行可能通过破坏结核病服务、加剧心理社会压力和吸烟行为的转变,间接加剧了与吸烟相关的风险,对结核病风险和结果有潜在影响。因此,将戒烟战略纳入结核病规划,重点关注高流行地区的重度吸烟者,并提高公众意识,可以加强全世界预防和控制结核病的努力。报名:普洛斯彼罗:CRD420251070123。
{"title":"Quantifying the evidence and burden of smoking behaviour on tuberculosis incidence among adult population: a systematic review and meta-analysis.","authors":"Wenmei Zhao, Wai Yan Min Htike, Yiu-Wing Kam","doi":"10.7189/jogh.16.04079","DOIUrl":"10.7189/jogh.16.04079","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Tuberculosis (TB) remains a major public health challenge in China and worldwide, with smoking being a key modifiable risk factor. Given China's large population and rising smoking rates, this paper aims to examine the link between smoking and TB incidence.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>We systematically searched six databases from inception for studies reporting smoking exposure, TB outcomes, and smoker-non-smoker comparisons. Two reviewers independently screened records, extracted data, and assessed bias. We analysed smoking-TB associations using random-effects meta-analysis of odds ratios (ORs) and hazard ratios (HRs).</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>We included 17 studies reporting ORs and 7 studies reporting HRs in the quantitative synthesis. The pooled OR for TB incidence among smokers compared with non-smokers was 1.77 (95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.29-2.43), indicating a statistically significant increase in risk of TB. For studies reporting hazard ratios, the pooled estimate was 2.39 (95% CI = 1.28-4.45), showing a significant association between smoking and increased TB incidence.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Both active and passive smoking significantly elevate the risk of TB and worsen its outcomes in China. Our result indicate that COVID-19 pandemic may have indirectly exacerbated smoking-related risks through disruptions to TB services, heightened psychosocial stress, and shifts in smoking behaviours, with potential implications for TB risk and outcomes. Thus, integrating smoking cessation strategies into TB programmes, focusing on heavy smokers in especially high-prevalence areas, and raising public awareness could enhance efforts to prevent and control TB worldwide.</p><p><strong>Registration: </strong>PROSPERO: CRD420251070123.</p>","PeriodicalId":48734,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Global Health","volume":"16 ","pages":"04079"},"PeriodicalIF":4.3,"publicationDate":"2026-03-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12964331/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147367075","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Background: Epilepsy is a common neurological disorder characterised by spontaneous seizures without an identifiable cause, leading to high morbidity and a significant public health burden. Understanding trends in its incidence, prevalence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) is essential for developing effective prevention and treatment strategies. We aim to describe global trends in epilepsy over the past 32 years and explore the impact of sociodemographic index (SDI) levels on disease burden using the Global Burden of Disease 2021 data.
Methods: We analysed the global burden of epilepsy (1990-2019) using age-standardised rates (ASRs) and their 95% uncertainty intervals (UI). We assessed temporal trends with estimated annual percentage change and joinpoint regression. We used decomposition analysis to quantify the effects of population growth, ageing, and epidemiological shifts. Using the Pearson correlation, we examined the relationship between SDI and DALY rates. Additionally, we evaluated global disparities using the slope index of inequality and the concentration index. We used multidimensional health inequality analysis to identify the population with the highest disease burden. Lastly, we used frontier analysis to identify DALY gaps across 204 countries, and the Bayesian age-period-cohort model to predict future burden.
Results: The global burden of epilepsy decreased from 1990 (ASR = 208.1; 95% UI = 163.2, 260.3) to 2021 (ASR = 177.8; 95% UI = 137.7, 225.9). However, there was a gradual increase in incidence from 1990 (ASR = 38.1; 95% UI = 27.9, 49.5) to 2021 (ASR = 42.8; 95% UI = 31.2, 53.7) and prevalence from 1990 (ASR = 287.5; 95% UI = 215.7, 363.0) to 2021 (ASR = 307.4; 95% UI = 234.7, 389.0). The ASR of DALYs was negatively correlated with SDI (R2 = 0.619; P < 0.001). Furthermore, a multidimensional analysis of health inequalities identified specific groups with a high disease burden. Frontier analysis identified countries and regions that require targeted interventions to address the burden. We projected that the ASDR will continue to decline, with rates dropping to 159.56 (95% UI = 102.26, 216.86) for males and to 109.32 (95% UI = 70.47, 148.17) for females by 2050.
Conclusions: We provide valuable insights into global trends and the burden of epilepsy, emphasising the need for targeted prevention and healthcare strategies across socioeconomic levels.
{"title":"Global, regional, and national burden of epilepsy, 1990-2021: a Global Burden of Disease study.","authors":"Jinqing Zhao, Qiannan Chen, Jiahan Dong, Meng Gao, Siqi Ge, Anxin Wang","doi":"10.7189/jogh.16.04066","DOIUrl":"10.7189/jogh.16.04066","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Epilepsy is a common neurological disorder characterised by spontaneous seizures without an identifiable cause, leading to high morbidity and a significant public health burden. Understanding trends in its incidence, prevalence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) is essential for developing effective prevention and treatment strategies. We aim to describe global trends in epilepsy over the past 32 years and explore the impact of sociodemographic index (SDI) levels on disease burden using the Global Burden of Disease 2021 data.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>We analysed the global burden of epilepsy (1990-2019) using age-standardised rates (ASRs) and their 95% uncertainty intervals (UI). We assessed temporal trends with estimated annual percentage change and joinpoint regression. We used decomposition analysis to quantify the effects of population growth, ageing, and epidemiological shifts. Using the Pearson correlation, we examined the relationship between SDI and DALY rates. Additionally, we evaluated global disparities using the slope index of inequality and the concentration index. We used multidimensional health inequality analysis to identify the population with the highest disease burden. Lastly, we used frontier analysis to identify DALY gaps across 204 countries, and the Bayesian age-period-cohort model to predict future burden.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>The global burden of epilepsy decreased from 1990 (ASR = 208.1; 95% UI = 163.2, 260.3) to 2021 (ASR = 177.8; 95% UI = 137.7, 225.9). However, there was a gradual increase in incidence from 1990 (ASR = 38.1; 95% UI = 27.9, 49.5) to 2021 (ASR = 42.8; 95% UI = 31.2, 53.7) and prevalence from 1990 (ASR = 287.5; 95% UI = 215.7, 363.0) to 2021 (ASR = 307.4; 95% UI = 234.7, 389.0). The ASR of DALYs was negatively correlated with SDI (R<sup>2</sup> = 0.619; P < 0.001). Furthermore, a multidimensional analysis of health inequalities identified specific groups with a high disease burden. Frontier analysis identified countries and regions that require targeted interventions to address the burden. We projected that the ASDR will continue to decline, with rates dropping to 159.56 (95% UI = 102.26, 216.86) for males and to 109.32 (95% UI = 70.47, 148.17) for females by 2050.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>We provide valuable insights into global trends and the burden of epilepsy, emphasising the need for targeted prevention and healthcare strategies across socioeconomic levels.</p>","PeriodicalId":48734,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Global Health","volume":"16 ","pages":"04066"},"PeriodicalIF":4.3,"publicationDate":"2026-03-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12964325/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147366890","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Boni Maxime Ale, Calixte Oswald Assogba, Eugénie Dansou, Olushina Ayo Junior Ale, Oswald Lionel Koutangni, Adébiyi Raphaël K Alogou, Simon Giscard Akpi, Kenneth Geovania Dèlonou Damassoh, Eric Youm, Nelly Njeri Wakaba, Houénoudé Mickaël Arnaud Assogba, Kouessi Anthelme Agbodande, Angèle Azon Kouanou, Franck Biaou Guy Ale
Background: Depression and anxiety are common comorbidities among people living with HIV (PLHIV) and may be influenced by sleep quality; evidence from Benin remains limited. We assessed the prevalence of depression and anxiety among PLHIV on antiretroviral therapy (ART) and evaluated their association with sleep quality.
Methods: We conducted a hospital-based cross-sectional study at Benin's National Teaching Hospital from December 2023 to February 2024. Adults on ART ≥ 6 months were randomly sampled from the clinic registry. Validated tools were used: Patient Health Questionnaire-9 and Generalized Anxiety Disorder-7, moderate-or-worse threshold ≥ 10; Pittsburgh Sleep Quality Index, poor sleep > 5. Multivariable logistic regression identified factors independently associated with depression and anxiety.
Results: Among 312 participants (68.3% female; mean age 44.3 ± 12.3 years), the prevalence of depression and anxiety was 20.8% (n/N = 65/312) and 12.8% (n/N = 40/312), respectively; poor sleep quality was common (57.1%, n/N = 178/312). Good sleep quality was independently protective for both depression with adjusted odds ratio (aOR) = 0.3, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 0.2-0.6 and anxiety (aOR = 0.4; 95% CI = 0.2-0.9). Age ≥ 44 years was associated with higher odds of anxiety (aOR = 2.1; 95% CI = 1.0-4.5), while other sociodemographic and clinical covariates were not independently associated.
Conclusions: Moderate-or-worse depressive and anxiety symptoms are frequent among PLHIV in this setting, and sleep quality shows a robust independent association with both outcomes. Integrating routine mental-health and sleep screening with clear referral pathways within ART services is warranted; longitudinal and interventional studies should test whether improving sleep reduces symptoms and enhances ART outcomes.
背景:抑郁和焦虑是艾滋病毒感染者(PLHIV)常见的合并症,可能受睡眠质量的影响;来自贝宁的证据仍然有限。我们评估了接受抗逆转录病毒治疗(ART)的PLHIV患者中抑郁和焦虑的患病率,并评估了它们与睡眠质量的关系。方法:我们于2023年12月至2024年2月在贝宁国家教学医院进行了一项基于医院的横断面研究。接受抗逆转录病毒治疗≥6个月的成人从临床登记处随机抽样。使用经过验证的工具:患者健康问卷-9和广泛性焦虑障碍-7,中等或更差阈值≥10;匹兹堡睡眠质量指数,睡眠差bbbb50。多变量logistic回归确定了与抑郁和焦虑独立相关的因素。结果:312名参与者中(女性68.3%,平均年龄44.3±12.3岁),抑郁和焦虑患病率分别为20.8% (n/ n = 65/312)和12.8% (n/ n = 40/312);睡眠质量差较为常见(57.1%,n/ n = 178/312)。良好的睡眠质量对抑郁和焦虑均具有独立的保护作用,调整优势比(aOR) = 0.3, 95%可信区间(CI) = 0.2-0.6;调整优势比(aOR) = 0.4, 95% CI = 0.2-0.9。年龄≥44岁与较高的焦虑发生率相关(aOR = 2.1; 95% CI = 1.0-4.5),而其他社会人口统计学和临床协变量没有独立相关。结论:在这种情况下,中度或更严重的抑郁和焦虑症状在PLHIV患者中很常见,睡眠质量与这两种结果显示出强大的独立关联。有必要将常规心理健康和睡眠筛查与抗逆转录病毒治疗服务中的明确转诊途径结合起来;纵向和介入性研究应该测试改善睡眠是否能减轻症状并提高抗逆转录病毒治疗的结果。
{"title":"Mental health disorders among people living with human immunodeficiency virus on antiretroviral therapy in Benin: the overlooked role of sleep quality.","authors":"Boni Maxime Ale, Calixte Oswald Assogba, Eugénie Dansou, Olushina Ayo Junior Ale, Oswald Lionel Koutangni, Adébiyi Raphaël K Alogou, Simon Giscard Akpi, Kenneth Geovania Dèlonou Damassoh, Eric Youm, Nelly Njeri Wakaba, Houénoudé Mickaël Arnaud Assogba, Kouessi Anthelme Agbodande, Angèle Azon Kouanou, Franck Biaou Guy Ale","doi":"10.7189/jogh.16.04076","DOIUrl":"10.7189/jogh.16.04076","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Depression and anxiety are common comorbidities among people living with HIV (PLHIV) and may be influenced by sleep quality; evidence from Benin remains limited. We assessed the prevalence of depression and anxiety among PLHIV on antiretroviral therapy (ART) and evaluated their association with sleep quality.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>We conducted a hospital-based cross-sectional study at Benin's National Teaching Hospital from December 2023 to February 2024. Adults on ART ≥ 6 months were randomly sampled from the clinic registry. Validated tools were used: Patient Health Questionnaire-9 and Generalized Anxiety Disorder-7, moderate-or-worse threshold ≥ 10; Pittsburgh Sleep Quality Index, poor sleep > 5. Multivariable logistic regression identified factors independently associated with depression and anxiety.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Among 312 participants (68.3% female; mean age 44.3 ± 12.3 years), the prevalence of depression and anxiety was 20.8% (n/N = 65/312) and 12.8% (n/N = 40/312), respectively; poor sleep quality was common (57.1%, n/N = 178/312). Good sleep quality was independently protective for both depression with adjusted odds ratio (aOR) = 0.3, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 0.2-0.6 and anxiety (aOR = 0.4; 95% CI = 0.2-0.9). Age ≥ 44 years was associated with higher odds of anxiety (aOR = 2.1; 95% CI = 1.0-4.5), while other sociodemographic and clinical covariates were not independently associated.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Moderate-or-worse depressive and anxiety symptoms are frequent among PLHIV in this setting, and sleep quality shows a robust independent association with both outcomes. Integrating routine mental-health and sleep screening with clear referral pathways within ART services is warranted; longitudinal and interventional studies should test whether improving sleep reduces symptoms and enhances ART outcomes.</p>","PeriodicalId":48734,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Global Health","volume":"16 ","pages":"04076"},"PeriodicalIF":4.3,"publicationDate":"2026-03-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12964090/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147366992","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Chu Li, Yuyao Jin, Wanwan Xu, Yuqi Shao, Yingying Hu
Background: Air pollution is an environmental stimulus that may predispose pregnant women to postpartum depression (PPD). However, the relationship between maternal exposure to air pollutants and PPD is still unclear. Understanding the magnitude of this effect is critical to developing public health policies that protect women's reproductive health.
Methods: We searched all studies published in PubMed, Embase, Scopus, and Web of Science up to December 2024. The research protocol has been registered in PROSPERO. Test for homogeneity based on Cochran's Q and I2 statistics was calculated, and the restricted maximum likelihood random effect model was applied. We assessed the overall quality of pooled estimates, the influence of single studies on the meta-analytic estimates, sources of between-study heterogeneity, and publication bias.
Results: Of the 7881 unique publications identified, nine studies met the inclusion criteria for final review, involving 405 635 pregnant women. We comprehensively assessed the available data on air pollutants and PPD risk. Maternal exposure to particulate matter diameter ≤10 μm (PM10) increases the risk of PPD (pooled odds ratio (OR) = 1.08; 95% CI = 1.02-1.14, the whole pregnancy; pooled OR = 1.09; 95% CI = 1.03-1.15, the second trimester). Additionally, PPD was significantly associated with an increase of carbon monoxide (CO), nitrate ion (NO3-), and ammonium ion (NH4+).
Conclusions: Maternal exposure to PM10, CO, NO3-, and NH4+ during pregnancy is associated with PPD occurrence, especially in the second trimester. Interventions to improve air pollutants may mitigate the maternal risks of developing PPD. Our findings support public health interventions and environmental policy reforms to protect maternal mental health.
Registration: PROSPERO CRD42024626359.
背景:空气污染是一种环境刺激因素,可能使孕妇易患产后抑郁症(PPD)。然而,母亲接触空气污染物与产后抑郁症之间的关系尚不清楚。了解这种影响的严重程度对于制定保护妇女生殖健康的公共卫生政策至关重要。方法:检索截至2024年12月在PubMed、Embase、Scopus和Web of Science上发表的所有研究。研究方案已在普洛斯彼罗注册。采用Cochran’s Q和I2统计量进行同质性检验,采用限制性最大似然随机效应模型。我们评估了汇总估计的总体质量、单个研究对meta分析估计的影响、研究间异质性的来源和发表偏倚。结果:在7881篇独特的出版物中,有9篇研究符合最终评审的纳入标准,涉及405 635名孕妇。我们全面评估了空气污染物和PPD风险的现有数据。母亲暴露于直径≤10 μm的颗粒物(PM10)中会增加PPD的风险(合并优势比(OR) = 1.08;95% CI = 1.02-1.14,全孕期;合并OR = 1.09;95% CI = 1.03-1.15,妊娠中期)。此外,PPD与一氧化碳(CO),硝酸盐离子(NO3-)和铵离子(NH4+)的增加显著相关。结论:孕妇在妊娠期间暴露于PM10、CO、NO3-和NH4+与PPD的发生有关,尤其是在妊娠中期。改善空气污染物的干预措施可能会减轻产妇患产后抑郁症的风险。我们的研究结果支持公共卫生干预和环境政策改革,以保护孕产妇心理健康。注册号:PROSPERO CRD42024626359。
{"title":"Maternal air pollution exposure and postpartum depression: a systematic review and meta-analysis.","authors":"Chu Li, Yuyao Jin, Wanwan Xu, Yuqi Shao, Yingying Hu","doi":"10.7189/jogh.16.04020","DOIUrl":"10.7189/jogh.16.04020","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Air pollution is an environmental stimulus that may predispose pregnant women to postpartum depression (PPD). However, the relationship between maternal exposure to air pollutants and PPD is still unclear. Understanding the magnitude of this effect is critical to developing public health policies that protect women's reproductive health.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>We searched all studies published in PubMed, Embase, Scopus, and Web of Science up to December 2024. The research protocol has been registered in PROSPERO. Test for homogeneity based on Cochran's Q and I<sup>2</sup> statistics was calculated, and the restricted maximum likelihood random effect model was applied. We assessed the overall quality of pooled estimates, the influence of single studies on the meta-analytic estimates, sources of between-study heterogeneity, and publication bias.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Of the 7881 unique publications identified, nine studies met the inclusion criteria for final review, involving 405 635 pregnant women. We comprehensively assessed the available data on air pollutants and PPD risk. Maternal exposure to particulate matter diameter ≤10 μm (PM<sub>10</sub>) increases the risk of PPD (pooled odds ratio (OR) = 1.08; 95% CI = 1.02-1.14, the whole pregnancy; pooled OR = 1.09; 95% CI = 1.03-1.15, the second trimester). Additionally, PPD was significantly associated with an increase of carbon monoxide (CO), nitrate ion (NO<sub>3</sub><sup>-</sup>), and ammonium ion (NH<sub>4</sub><sup>+</sup>).</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Maternal exposure to PM<sub>10</sub>, CO, NO<sub>3</sub><sup>-</sup>, and NH<sub>4</sub><sup>+</sup> during pregnancy is associated with PPD occurrence, especially in the second trimester. Interventions to improve air pollutants may mitigate the maternal risks of developing PPD. Our findings support public health interventions and environmental policy reforms to protect maternal mental health.</p><p><strong>Registration: </strong>PROSPERO CRD42024626359.</p>","PeriodicalId":48734,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Global Health","volume":"16 ","pages":"04020"},"PeriodicalIF":4.3,"publicationDate":"2026-03-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12968735/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147366986","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
W Douglas Evans, Jeffrey B Bingenheimer, Taiseer Zaman, Samson Babatunde Adebayo, Fasiku Adekunle David, Sani Ali Gar, Masduk Abdulkarim
Background: In previous studies in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs), group antenatal care (gANC) has been shown to increase health facility delivery and enhance the care experience for both women and providers. Here, we investigate whether those benefits lead to improvements in postnatal outcomes.
Methods: We examine three time points of data on participation in the gANC programme as an independent variable to predict postnatal mother and newborn health outcomes using multivariate analysis and propensity matching techniques. This approach aimed to isolate the causal effect of the number of gANC meetings attended on the probability of postnatal healthcare checks for the mother and infant, modern contraception utilisation, and breastfeeding. To achieve this, we used inverse-probability weighting in addition to adjusted multivariate logistic regression models.
Results: We observed high retention at final follow-up and high attendance overall, with higher attendance associated with a variety of background and sociodemographic variables. Participants' attrition (under 24%) was well within power analysis assumptions. We found evidence of a strong positive relationship between greater gANC session attendance and mothers' postnatal health checks, breastfeeding initiation, and modern contraception utilisation. Adjustment for a set of sociodemographic and prior pregnancy- and delivery-related variables via inverse probability weighting suggested that a positive effect on these outcomes generally persists, especially at the highest levels of gANC session attendance.
Conclusions: The gANC programme at scale in Nigeria produced high levels of participation and resulted in positive postnatal outcomes among women who attended most of the meetings.
{"title":"Evaluation of postnatal outcomes from a group antenatal care intervention in Nigeria: a quasi-experimental study.","authors":"W Douglas Evans, Jeffrey B Bingenheimer, Taiseer Zaman, Samson Babatunde Adebayo, Fasiku Adekunle David, Sani Ali Gar, Masduk Abdulkarim","doi":"10.7189/jogh.16.04023","DOIUrl":"10.7189/jogh.16.04023","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>In previous studies in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs), group antenatal care (gANC) has been shown to increase health facility delivery and enhance the care experience for both women and providers. Here, we investigate whether those benefits lead to improvements in postnatal outcomes.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>We examine three time points of data on participation in the gANC programme as an independent variable to predict postnatal mother and newborn health outcomes using multivariate analysis and propensity matching techniques. This approach aimed to isolate the causal effect of the number of gANC meetings attended on the probability of postnatal healthcare checks for the mother and infant, modern contraception utilisation, and breastfeeding. To achieve this, we used inverse-probability weighting in addition to adjusted multivariate logistic regression models.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>We observed high retention at final follow-up and high attendance overall, with higher attendance associated with a variety of background and sociodemographic variables. Participants' attrition (under 24%) was well within power analysis assumptions. We found evidence of a strong positive relationship between greater gANC session attendance and mothers' postnatal health checks, breastfeeding initiation, and modern contraception utilisation. Adjustment for a set of sociodemographic and prior pregnancy- and delivery-related variables via inverse probability weighting suggested that a positive effect on these outcomes generally persists, especially at the highest levels of gANC session attendance.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>The gANC programme at scale in Nigeria produced high levels of participation and resulted in positive postnatal outcomes among women who attended most of the meetings.</p>","PeriodicalId":48734,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Global Health","volume":"16 ","pages":"04023"},"PeriodicalIF":4.3,"publicationDate":"2026-03-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12964324/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147366887","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Jie Ren, Xiaonan Zhou, Yaozong Zheng, Xiaohan Ye, Lanyan Hu, Xiaochang Ma, Bin Lin, Lining Yang
Background: China's sustained fertility decline has intensified population contraction and ageing. Following the rollout of the three-child policy, clarifying fertility intentions among the childbearing-age population and their determinants is crucial for effective policy design and fertility promotion.
Methods: We conducted a systematic search of PubMed, Embase, the Cochrane Library, Web of Science, China National Knowledge Infrastructure, Wanfang, China Science and Technology Journal Database, and Chinese Biomedical Literature Database. We included in the analysis studies published from 31 May 2021 to 10 May 2025 that examined third-child fertility intention (TCFI) and its determinants among the childbearing-age population in China. We used the Joanna Briggs Institute Critical Appraisal Checklist for cross-sectional studies to assess the quality of studies. Further, we estimated pooled prevalence with random-effects models.
Results: A total of 37 studies were included in the analysis (n = 113 009 participants). The pooled prevalence of TCFI and willingness to have another child (WHAC) were 7.6% and 12.7%. Factors associated with higher TCFI included age >35 years, male sex, education at or below high school level, monthly personal income >CNY 2000, ethnic minority status, having at least one non-only-child spouse, and having no pension insurance. For WHAC, remarriage and good self-assessed health were significant determinants.
Conclusions: Both TCFI and WHAC remain low in China's childbearing-age population. Enhancing childcare subsidies, strengthening medical security, and addressing core economic constraints such as housing and education may help raise fertility intentions.
Registration: PROSPERO: CRD420251036086.
背景:中国持续的生育率下降加剧了人口萎缩和老龄化。随着三孩政策的推出,明确育龄人口的生育意愿及其决定因素对于有效的政策设计和促进生育至关重要。方法:系统检索PubMed、Embase、Cochrane图书馆、Web of Science、中国国家知识基础设施、万方、中国科技期刊库、中国生物医学文献库。我们纳入了从2021年5月31日至2025年5月10日发表的研究,这些研究检查了中国育龄人口中第三胎生育意愿(TCFI)及其决定因素。我们使用乔安娜布里格斯研究所的关键评估清单来评估研究的质量。此外,我们用随机效应模型估计了合并患病率。结果:共纳入37项研究(n = 113009名受试者)。TCFI和生育意愿(WHAC)的总患病率分别为7.6%和12.7%。与TCFI较高相关的因素包括:年龄在35岁至35岁之间、性别为男性、高中以下教育程度、个人月收入在2000元以上、少数民族、配偶中至少有一名非独生子女以及没有养老保险。对于WHAC,再婚和良好的自我评估健康是重要的决定因素。结论:TCFI和WHAC在中国育龄人口中仍处于较低水平。提高托儿补贴、加强医疗保障、解决住房和教育等核心经济制约因素,可能有助于提高生育意愿。报名:普洛斯彼罗:CRD420251036086。
{"title":"Fertility intention and its determinants of childbearing-age population in China after the three-child policy: a systematic review and meta-analysis.","authors":"Jie Ren, Xiaonan Zhou, Yaozong Zheng, Xiaohan Ye, Lanyan Hu, Xiaochang Ma, Bin Lin, Lining Yang","doi":"10.7189/jogh.16.04074","DOIUrl":"10.7189/jogh.16.04074","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>China's sustained fertility decline has intensified population contraction and ageing. Following the rollout of the three-child policy, clarifying fertility intentions among the childbearing-age population and their determinants is crucial for effective policy design and fertility promotion.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>We conducted a systematic search of PubMed, Embase, the Cochrane Library, Web of Science, China National Knowledge Infrastructure, Wanfang, China Science and Technology Journal Database, and Chinese Biomedical Literature Database. We included in the analysis studies published from 31 May 2021 to 10 May 2025 that examined third-child fertility intention (TCFI) and its determinants among the childbearing-age population in China. We used the Joanna Briggs Institute Critical Appraisal Checklist for cross-sectional studies to assess the quality of studies. Further, we estimated pooled prevalence with random-effects models.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>A total of 37 studies were included in the analysis (n = 113 009 participants). The pooled prevalence of TCFI and willingness to have another child (WHAC) were 7.6% and 12.7%. Factors associated with higher TCFI included age >35 years, male sex, education at or below high school level, monthly personal income >CNY 2000, ethnic minority status, having at least one non-only-child spouse, and having no pension insurance. For WHAC, remarriage and good self-assessed health were significant determinants.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Both TCFI and WHAC remain low in China's childbearing-age population. Enhancing childcare subsidies, strengthening medical security, and addressing core economic constraints such as housing and education may help raise fertility intentions.</p><p><strong>Registration: </strong>PROSPERO: CRD420251036086.</p>","PeriodicalId":48734,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Global Health","volume":"16 ","pages":"04074"},"PeriodicalIF":4.3,"publicationDate":"2026-03-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12967243/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147366956","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Background: Globally, widowhood affects 258 million females, with India contributing 56 million individuals and 78% of spousal losses being women. Increased life expectancy and reduced mortality inequalities imply a rise in widowhood. Despite profound personal and societal consequences, granular demographic and temporal insights into widowhood in India are limited. This study provides estimates of widowhood prevalence and headcount disaggregated by age and gender at the sub-national level.
Methods: The complete case records of ever-married persons from five rounds of the National Family Health Survey (NFHS), between 1993 to 2021 were analysed. We estimate widowhood prevalence and headcount by age and gender across states and union territories. Integrated Public Use Microdata Series Population Weight (IPUMS POPWT) methodology was utilised to estimate the headcount. Additionally, Standardized Absolute Change (SAC) was estimated to quantify the change in percentage point of widowhood prevalence.
Results: Widowhood prevalence has remained relatively stable; however, the headcount has increased from 40 819 749 to 77 079 889 between 1993 to 2021 in India. At the state-level, the prevalence of widowhood has declined and converged, while its headcount has increased and diverged. Female widowhood prevalence has consistently remained higher, but a faster decline among females, primarily driven by an increased age at marriage. For instance, among females aged 65 years or above, prevalence of widowhood exceeds 50%. This shifts widowhood towards older ages for females, suggesting feminisation and rectangularisation of widowhood in India. A pronounced North-South divide persisted, influenced by differing sociocultural norms.
Conclusions: Widowhood prevalence is increasingly concentrated among older females across states in India. Given the multiple vulnerabilities faced by widows, it is imperative to gain insight from areas where widows survive for extended period after their spouse's death as well as areas, where widows have shorter lifespan such as the northern regions to meaningfully address their specific vulnerabilities.
{"title":"Prevalence of widowhood across states and union territories in India, 1993-2021: a repeated cross-sectional study.","authors":"Avnish Pal, Rockli Kim, S V Subramanian","doi":"10.7189/jogh.16.04068","DOIUrl":"10.7189/jogh.16.04068","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Globally, widowhood affects 258 million females, with India contributing 56 million individuals and 78% of spousal losses being women. Increased life expectancy and reduced mortality inequalities imply a rise in widowhood. Despite profound personal and societal consequences, granular demographic and temporal insights into widowhood in India are limited. This study provides estimates of widowhood prevalence and headcount disaggregated by age and gender at the sub-national level.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>The complete case records of ever-married persons from five rounds of the National Family Health Survey (NFHS), between 1993 to 2021 were analysed. We estimate widowhood prevalence and headcount by age and gender across states and union territories. Integrated Public Use Microdata Series Population Weight (IPUMS POPWT) methodology was utilised to estimate the headcount. Additionally, Standardized Absolute Change (SAC) was estimated to quantify the change in percentage point of widowhood prevalence.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Widowhood prevalence has remained relatively stable; however, the headcount has increased from 40 819 749 to 77 079 889 between 1993 to 2021 in India. At the state-level, the prevalence of widowhood has declined and converged, while its headcount has increased and diverged. Female widowhood prevalence has consistently remained higher, but a faster decline among females, primarily driven by an increased age at marriage. For instance, among females aged 65 years or above, prevalence of widowhood exceeds 50%. This shifts widowhood towards older ages for females, suggesting feminisation and rectangularisation of widowhood in India. A pronounced North-South divide persisted, influenced by differing sociocultural norms.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Widowhood prevalence is increasingly concentrated among older females across states in India. Given the multiple vulnerabilities faced by widows, it is imperative to gain insight from areas where widows survive for extended period after their spouse's death as well as areas, where widows have shorter lifespan such as the northern regions to meaningfully address their specific vulnerabilities.</p>","PeriodicalId":48734,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Global Health","volume":"16 ","pages":"04068"},"PeriodicalIF":4.3,"publicationDate":"2026-02-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12926678/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146259688","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}