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Food system adaptation and maintaining trade could mitigate global famine in abrupt sunlight reduction scenarios 在日照骤减的情况下,粮食系统的适应和维持贸易可减轻全球饥荒
IF 9.8 1区 经济学 Q1 FOOD SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-09-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.gfs.2024.100807
Morgan Rivers , Michael Hinge , Kevin Rassool , Simon Blouin , Florian U. Jehn , Juan B. García Martínez , Vasco Amaral Grilo , Victor Jaeck , Ross J. Tieman , James Mulhall , Talib E. Butt , David C. Denkenberger
After a major nuclear war, volcanic eruption or asteroid or comet impact that causes an abrupt sunlight reduction scenario, agricultural yields would plummet. We analyzed a nuclear winter scenario involving the injection of 150 Tg of soot in the stratosphere using a linear optimization model with and without global food trade. We investigated the effects of loss of global food trade, some simple adaptations like rationing and storage of excess food for the coldest years, and rapid, large-scale deployment of food sources which are less dependent on present day climate (so called resilient foods) including cool tolerant crops, methane single cell protein, lignocellulosic sugar, greenhouse crops, and seaweed. In the worst case of no global food trade and no adaptations, the model predicts a global famine. However, scaling up resilient foods quickly could mitigate this for many countries. Maintaining global food trade would further alleviate pressure on local food systems, unlocking the potential to feed the entire global population. However, insufficient preparation, post-disaster conflict, or economic collapse would worsen outcomes and hinder adaptation.
在大规模核战争、火山爆发或小行星或彗星撞击导致日照骤减的情况下,农业产量将急剧下降。我们利用一个线性优化模型,在有和没有全球粮食贸易的情况下,分析了在平流层注入 150 吨烟尘的核冬天情景。我们研究了失去全球粮食贸易的影响、一些简单的适应措施(如在最寒冷的年份配给和储存多余的粮食)以及快速、大规模部署对当今气候依赖性较低的食物来源(所谓的弹性食物),包括耐寒作物、甲烷单细胞蛋白、木质纤维素糖、温室作物和海藻。在没有全球粮食贸易和不采取适应措施的最坏情况下,模型预测会出现全球饥荒。然而,迅速推广抗灾食品可以缓解许多国家的饥荒。维持全球粮食贸易将进一步减轻当地粮食系统的压力,释放养活全球人口的潜力。然而,准备不足、灾后冲突或经济崩溃将导致结果恶化,阻碍适应。
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引用次数: 0
Informal pandemic precarity and migrant food enterprise in South Africa during COVID-19 COVID-19 期间南非的非正规大流行病不稳定性和移民食品企业
IF 9.8 1区 经济学 Q1 FOOD SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-09-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.gfs.2024.100804
Jonathan Crush , Godfrey Tawodzera
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引用次数: 0
‘Road runners’ and Fanta: Intersectional cultural food in/security among Zimbabwean migrants living in UK cities 路跑者 "和芬达:生活在英国城市中的津巴布韦移民的交叉文化饮食/安全问题
IF 9.8 1区 经济学 Q1 FOOD SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-09-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.gfs.2024.100805
Kavita Datta , Tim Brown , Thabani Mutambasere

The incidence of food insecurity among migrant and diasporic communities living in rich global North cities is growing. A key dimension of this is the absence of culturally appropriate food which is integral to both feeding and nourishing mobile bodies. In this paper, we deploy an intersectional approach to cultural food in/security to explore the foodscapes of Zimbabwean communities living in British cities. We unpack how and why food cultures are critical in shaping migrant experiences of food in/security and the diversification of food cultures over time and place and mediated by intersectional subjectivities. We map local, regional and transnational food supply chains as migrants seek to redress issues of access and availability to source foods familiar to them to maintain the cultural significance of food and food practices within families and diaspora communities.

生活在富裕的全球北方城市的移民和散居群体的粮食不安全问题日益严重。其中一个关键因素是缺乏文化上适宜的食物,而这些食物对于喂养和滋养流动的身体是不可或缺的。在本文中,我们将采用一种交叉方法来探讨文化食物的缺乏/不安全问题,从而探索生活在英国城市中的津巴布韦社区的食物景观。我们揭示了饮食文化如何以及为何在塑造移民的饮食不安全/不安全体验方面起着至关重要的作用,以及饮食文化在时间和地点上的多样化,并以交叉主体性为中介。我们绘制了当地、区域和跨国食品供应链图,因为移民寻求解决获取和供应他们熟悉的食品来源的问题,以保持家庭和侨民社区中食品和饮食习惯的文化意义。
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引用次数: 0
Agricultural and rural development interventions and poverty reduction: Global evidence from 16 impact assessment studies 农业和农村发展干预措施与减贫:来自 16 项影响评估研究的全球证据
IF 9.8 1区 经济学 Q1 FOOD SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-09-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.gfs.2024.100806
Marup Hossain, Vibhuti Mendiratta, Sara Savastano

Agricultural and rural development interventions can reduce global poverty by providing growth-oriented tools, including access to finance, training, and markets. While such interventions effectively reduce monetary poverty (e.g., $1 a day poverty line), there is increasing interest in incorporating non-monetary poverty indicators, such as education, health, and living standards, to capture inherent multidimensionality in poverty. This study analyzes data from 16 impact evaluation studies conducted between 2019 and 2023 to examine whether and to what extent agricultural and rural development interventions affect multidimensional poverty of small-scale producers. Our analysis shows a 4 percent reduction in multidimensional poverty for treatment households compared to comparison households. Our findings suggest that agricultural and rural development interventions play a positive role in reducing poverty and have the potential to improve the long-term well-being of poor households.

农业和农村发展干预措施可以通过提供以增长为导向的工具(包括获得资金、培训和市场)来减少全球贫困。虽然此类干预措施能有效减少货币贫困(如每天 1 美元的贫困线),但人们越来越关注纳入非货币贫困指标,如教育、健康和生活水平,以捕捉贫困的内在多维性。本研究分析了 2019 年至 2023 年期间开展的 16 项影响评估研究的数据,以考察农业和农村发展干预措施是否以及在多大程度上影响了小规模生产者的多维贫困。我们的分析表明,与对比家庭相比,治疗家庭的多维贫困率降低了 4%。我们的研究结果表明,农业和农村发展干预措施在减少贫困方面发挥着积极作用,并有可能改善贫困家庭的长期福祉。
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引用次数: 0
Holistic risk assessments of food systems 食品系统的整体风险评估
IF 9.8 1区 经济学 Q1 FOOD SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-09-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.gfs.2024.100802
Erika Országh , Constanza De Matteu Monteiro , Sara M. Pires , Ákos Jóźwiak , Stéphan Marette , Jeanne-Marie Membré , Rodney J. Feliciano

Food systems are composed of interrelated activities that transform agricultural products into food. Their operations need to meet several food security, food safety, and sustainability requirements. Therefore, risk assessment of food systems must be multidisciplinary and include food safety, nutrition, environmental, economics, and social criteria. However, combining these criteria to assess multiple impacts remains a challenge in complex and multi-stakeholder systems. Until now, only a few holistic assessments, whether domain-oriented or generic and with different levels of quantification, have covered all criteria and the whole food systems. We reviewed and presented the various assessment methods and their applications in food systems, highlighting their advantages and disadvantages. Recommendations were made for a tiered approach combining different holistic assessment methods.

粮食系统由相互关联的活动组成,这些活动将农产品转化为粮食。其运作需要满足粮食安全、食品安全和可持续发展等多项要求。因此,食品系统的风险评估必须是多学科的,包括食品安全、营养、环境、经济和社会标准。然而,在复杂的多方利益相关者系统中,结合这些标准来评估多重影响仍然是一项挑战。迄今为止,只有少数整体评估,无论是面向领域的还是通用的,以及不同程度的量化,都涵盖了所有标准和整个食品系统。我们回顾并介绍了各种评估方法及其在粮食系统中的应用,强调了它们的优缺点。我们还就结合不同整体评估方法的分层方法提出了建议。
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引用次数: 0
Analyzing diet cost and affordability: A dataset from Fill the Nutrient Gap analyses (2015–2021) 分析饮食成本和可负担性:填补营养缺口分析数据集(2015-2021 年)
IF 9.8 1区 经济学 Q1 FOOD SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.gfs.2024.100798
Zuzanna Turowska , Janosch Klemm , Saskia de Pee

Between 2015 and 2021, the World Food Programme (WFP) carried out “Fill the Nutrient Gap” (FNG) analyses in 37 countries. Apart from a few early FNG analyses, each analysis calculated the cost of energy-sufficient diets, staple-adjusted nutrient-adequate diets, and the non-affordability of the latter at the subnational level during a specific period decided by in-country stakeholders and data availability. In 2021–2022, all FNG output data were compiled into one dataset, which is provided as an online supplement to this paper. Here, we describe the parameters and data used in these FNG analyses and the process for standardizing diet costs for time (to January 2020) and in currency (PPP USD and MER USD). The objective of this paper was to provide the dataset utilized in the other papers in this GFS special issue on diet cost and affordability analyses conducted as part of FNG analyses by WFP and partners, and to provide a description of the considerations and methods employed for compiling this dataset.

2015 年至 2021 年期间,世界粮食计划署(WFP)在 37 个国家开展了 "填补营养缺口"(FNG)分析。除了早期的几项 "填补营养缺口 "分析外,每项分析都计算了能量充足膳食的成本、主食调整后营养充足膳食的成本,以及后者在国家以下层面的不可负担性,具体时期由国内利益相关方和数据可用性决定。在 2021-2022 年期间,国家粮食署的所有产出数据被汇编成一个数据集,作为本文的在线补编提供。在此,我们将介绍这些 FNG 分析中使用的参数和数据,以及按时间(至 2020 年 1 月)和货币(购买力平价美元和市面汇率美元)对饮食成本进行标准化的过程。本文的目的是提供本期GFS特刊中其他论文所使用的数据集,这些论文涉及世界粮食计划署及其合作伙伴作为FNG分析的一部分所进行的膳食成本和可负担性分析,并介绍了编制该数据集所采用的考虑因素和方法。
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引用次数: 0
Affordability of nutrient-adequate diets as an indicator for food and nutrition security. Evidence from fill the nutrient gap analyses 作为粮食和营养安全指标的营养充足膳食的可负担性。填补营养缺口分析的证据
IF 9.8 1区 经济学 Q1 FOOD SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.gfs.2024.100796
Sabrina Kuri , Zuzanna Turowska , Claudia Damu , Janosch Klemm , Saskia de Pee

We conducted an ecological study using data from 373 subnational units in 32 countries collected from 2011 to 2020, to explore the associations of non-affordability of nutrient-adequate diets and of food insecurity (percentage of people with poor or borderline Food Consumption Score) with indicators measuring dietary quality and nutritional status. We found a strong negative monotonic correlation between non-affordability of nutrient-adequate diets and minimum dietary diversity in children 6–23 months (rs=0.65,p<0.01), and a weaker correlation between poor or borderline Food Consumption Score with the same dietary diversity indicator (rs=0.39,p<0.01). The relations between non-affordability and nutrition outcomes (prevalence of stunting and the composite indicator of ‘people deprived in nutrition’) were also highly significant at the subnational level, and had larger coefficients than indicators focusing on caloric adequacy. Examining these relations subnationally could provide relevant information for policies and programs aiming to address the risk of nutrition insecurity due to economic inaccessibility. Compared to dietary quality indicators, non-affordability is a relatively easy indicator to calculate and has the potential to use secondary data already captured through existing government systems.

我们利用从 2011 年到 2020 年收集的 32 个国家的 373 个国家以下单位的数据开展了一项生态学研究,以探讨营养充足膳食的不可负担性和粮食不安全性(粮食消费水平较低或处于边缘的人口比例)与衡量膳食质量和营养状况的指标之间的关联。我们发现,在 6-23 个月的儿童中,营养充足膳食的不可负担性与最低膳食多样性之间存在较强的单调负相关(rs=-0.65,p<0.01),而贫困或边缘食物消费分数与同一膳食多样性指标之间的相关性较弱(rs=-0.39,p<0.01)。在国家以下层面,不负担能力与营养结果(发育迟缓发生率和 "营养不良人口 "综合指标)之间的关系也非常显著,且系数大于关注热量充足性的指标。在国家以下层面研究这些关系可为旨在解决因经济不发达而导致营养不安全风险的政策和计划提供相关信息。与膳食质量指标相比,不可负担性是一个相对容易计算的指标,而且有可能使用现有政府系统中已经获取的二级数据。
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引用次数: 0
How do non-reciprocal trade preferences affect the food exports and food availability per capita of Global South countries? 非互惠贸易优惠如何影响全球南部国家的粮食出口和人均粮食供应?
IF 9.8 1区 经济学 Q1 FOOD SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.gfs.2024.100800
Christian Ritzel , Dela-Dem Doe Fiankor

We investigate the historical effects of non-reciprocal preferential trade agreements (NRPTAs) on food exports and food availability per capita in 112 countries in the Global South to address concerns about their potential non-trade effects. Our empirical analyses use FAO Food Balance Sheet data for the years 1961–2013, covering 14 food categories and 91 product groups. We assess the link between NRPTA intensity - measured at the country level as the annaul sum of NRPTAs a country has in place - and the two outcomes using fixed effects dummy variable regressions. Our findings show that NRPTA intensity has a positive effect on food export performance and on food availability per capita, with heterogeneities across least developed, transition, and developing country groups, and its export effects do not jeopardize food insecurity.

我们调查了非互惠性优惠贸易协定(NRPTAs)对全球南方 112 个国家的粮食出口和人均粮食供应的历史影响,以消除对其潜在非贸易影响的担忧。我们的实证分析使用了粮农组织 1961-2013 年的粮食平衡表数据,涵盖 14 个粮食类别和 91 个产品组。我们使用固定效应虚拟变量回归法评估了非自由贸易协定强度(在国家层面上以一国已实施的非自由贸易协定的总和来衡量)与两种结果之间的联系。我们的研究结果表明,《非农产品贸易协定》强度对粮食出口绩效和人均粮食供应具有积极影响,在最不发达国家、转型期国家和发展中国家组别中存在异质性,其出口效应不会危及粮食不安全。
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引用次数: 0
Consumer pesticide concerns and the choice of fruit and vegetable markets in five low- and middle-income countries 五个中低收入国家消费者对农药的关注和对果蔬市场的选择
IF 9.8 1区 经济学 Q1 FOOD SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.gfs.2024.100801
Justice A. Tambo , Monica K. Kansiime , Jayanthi R. Alaganthiran , Muhammad Danish , Solomon A. Duah , Shah Faisal , Makaiko G. Khonje , Fredrick Mbugua , Ganeshamoorthy Rajendran

Fruits and vegetables (FV) are critical components of nutritious and healthy diets, but there are growing concerns about food safety risks linked to their consumption. In this article, we explore consumers’ concerns about pesticide-related food safety risks and how they relate to the choice of FV outlets, using survey data from 8644 consumers in five low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). Results show that pesticide residue is the most frequently cited source of food safety concern in each country, partly due to the intensive use of synthetic pesticides in FV production. We also find that FV retail environments are dominated by traditional open-air markets, despite the rapid growth and reach of modern retail outlets (e.g., supermarkets) in LMICs. Generally, consumers pay more attention to convenience and price when making FV purchase decisions, but pesticide-related food safety concerns also influence their FV outlet choices. Regression results of the associations between pesticide concerns and choice of FV outlets are heterogeneous across countries, but we find evidence suggesting that consumers who cited concerns with pesticides are more likely to demand FV from specialist shops and avoid purchasing from street hawkers. Our findings highlight the need to address pesticide risk concerns that can undermine consumer demand for nutritious foods, such as FV.

水果和蔬菜(FV)是营养健康饮食的重要组成部分,但人们越来越关注与水果和蔬菜消费相关的食品安全风险。在这篇文章中,我们利用对五个中低收入国家(LMICs)8644 名消费者的调查数据,探讨了消费者对农药相关食品安全风险的担忧,以及这些担忧与选择果蔬销售点之间的关系。结果显示,农药残留是各国消费者最常提到的食品安全问题,部分原因是食品添加剂生产中大量使用合成农药。我们还发现,尽管现代零售店(如超市)在低收入国家发展迅速,覆盖面广,但传统的露天市场仍主导着食品和饮料零售环境。一般来说,消费者在做出食品零售店购买决定时更注重便利性和价格,但与农药相关的食品安全问题也会影响他们对食品零售店的选择。各国对农药问题与食品零售店选择之间关系的回归结果不尽相同,但我们发现有证据表明,担心农药问题的消费者更倾向于要求从专业商店购买食品零售店,而避免从街头小贩那里购买。我们的研究结果凸显了解决农药风险问题的必要性,因为农药风险问题可能会削弱消费者对营养食品(如家常菜)的需求。
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引用次数: 0
Exploring the relationship between food environment indicators and dietary intake of children 6–23 months old; findings from 20 low and lower-middle income countries 探索食品环境指标与 6-23 个月大儿童膳食摄入量之间的关系;20 个中低收入国家的调查结果
IF 9.8 1区 经济学 Q1 FOOD SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.gfs.2024.100795
Janosch Klemm , Christopher Coffey , Mysbah Balagamwala , Zuzanna Turowska , Sabrina Kuri , Saskia de Pee

Understanding food environments and how they shape dietary and nutrition outcomes is key to ensuring that food systems can support healthy and sustainable diets for the most vulnerable. Using subnational data from 20 low and lower-middle income countries, we explored how assortment, relative and absolute food prices relate to the dietary intake of children aged 6–23 months. We found that greater assortment of nutrient-dense foods in the market showed a positive association with dietary intake (foods rich in iron or vitamin A) of children 6–23 months of age at the subnational level. Higher relative price of nutrient-dense foods compared to starchy staples was negatively associated with intake of foods rich in iron or vitamin A and minimum dietary diversity. We also found negative association between minimum price of nutrient-dense foods and the same dietary intake indicators. This provides evidence on the degree to which assortment and the relative price of foods influence household food choices. The variability in assortment and price within countries highlights the importance of collecting information on food environments at the subnational level, as they determine which foods households can access, and by extension, how diverse and nutritious the diets of children aged 6–23 months in the household, can be.

了解食品环境及其如何影响膳食和营养结果,是确保食品系统能够为最弱势群体提供健康和可持续膳食的关键。我们利用 20 个低收入和中低收入国家的国家以下各级数据,探讨了食品种类、相对价格和绝对价格与 6-23 个月大儿童膳食摄入量之间的关系。我们发现,在国家以下一级,市场上营养丰富的食品种类越多,6-23 个月儿童的膳食摄入量(富含铁或维生素 A 的食品)就越高。与淀粉类主食相比,营养密集型食品的相对价格较高与富含铁或维生素 A 的食物摄入量和最低膳食多样性呈负相关。我们还发现营养密集型食品的最低价格与相同的膳食摄入指标之间存在负相关。这证明了食物的种类和相对价格对家庭食物选择的影响程度。各国国内食品种类和价格的差异凸显了在国家以下层面收集食品环境信息的重要性,因为这些信息决定了家庭可以获得哪些食品,进而决定了家庭中 6-23 个月大儿童的膳食多样性和营养程度。
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引用次数: 0
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