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Automated calibration of farm-scale mixed linear programming models using bi-level programming 使用双级规划的农场规模混合线性规划模型的自动校准
IF 0.5 4区 经济学 Q4 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2021-09-01 DOI: 10.30430/70.2021.3.165-181
W. Britz
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引用次数: 4
Verringerung von Ammoniakemissionen durch Gülleansäuerung auf dem Feld: Teilnahmebereitschaft von Landwirten an Förderprogrammen 农民参加推广方案以提高土壤吸收度,从而减少氨基污染物的排放
IF 0.5 4区 经济学 Q4 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2021-09-01 DOI: 10.30430/70.2021.3.192-207
Insa Thiermann, G. Breustedt, Uwe Latacz-Lohmann
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引用次数: 1
Beyond Cost Minimisation: Farmers’ Perspectives on the Adoption of GM Fodder in Sweden 超越成本最小化:瑞典农民对采用转基因饲料的看法
IF 0.5 4区 经济学 Q4 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2021-06-01 DOI: 10.30430/70.2021.2.84-100
K. Fischer, S. Hess
Swedish farmers were surveyed about their perceptions of genetically modified (GM) feed. Livestock in the EU are frequently given feed containing imported genetically modified (GM) crops, with GM fodder often being cheaper for farmers. However, there is also a growing market for ‘GM-free’ animal-based products. While public concerns about GMOs have been studied extensively, less is known about farmers’ views. The limited literature on farmers and GMOs tends to focus on the economic factors influencing their adoption. The present study contributes the perspective of farmers as members of the general public, thus including a broader set of factors known to be relevant for the public perception of GMOs. The results indicated that farmers were worried about: i) unforeseen consequences for the environment, ii) un­foreseen consequences for human and animal health, and iii) the dominance of multinational companies. Farmers who could expect their farm businesses to benefit from existing GMOs were more positive, whereas those who were unlikely to experience any benefits or who could expect their farm business to be adversely affected were more negative. Nevertheless, adherence to a broader set of positive or negative values suggests that Swedish farmers’ perspectives on GMOs go further than pure considerations of farm management.
瑞典农民接受了关于他们对转基因饲料的看法的调查。欧盟的牲畜经常被喂食含有进口转基因作物的饲料,对农民来说,转基因饲料通常更便宜。然而,“无转基因”动物性产品的市场也在不断增长。虽然公众对转基因生物的担忧已经得到了广泛的研究,但农民的观点却鲜为人知。关于农民和转基因生物的有限文献往往集中在影响其采用的经济因素上。本研究提供了农民作为普通公众成员的观点,因此包括了已知与公众对转基因生物的看法有关的更广泛的因素。调查结果表明,农民担心的是:(1)对环境的不可预见后果;(2)对人类和动物健康的不可预见后果;(3)跨国公司的主导地位。那些期望他们的农场业务从现有的转基因生物中受益的农民更积极,而那些不太可能获得任何好处或预计他们的农场业务会受到不利影响的农民则更消极。然而,坚持一套更广泛的积极或消极的价值观表明,瑞典农民对转基因生物的看法比单纯的农场管理考虑更进一步。
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引用次数: 2
Development of Supply Curves for Biodiversity Offsets on Agricultural Land – a Case Study from the Stuttgart Region 农业用地生物多样性补偿供给曲线的发展——以斯图加特地区为例
IF 0.5 4区 经济学 Q4 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2021-06-01 DOI: 10.30430/70.2021.2.70-83
Christian Sponagel, Hans Back, E. Angenendt, E. Bahrs
Impacts on nature and landscape are to be offset in accordance with different nature conservation acts in various European countries. In Germany in particular, biodiversity offsets can also be made in advance, for instance, by booking them into eco-accounts, and then allocating them to an intervention. In Baden-Württemberg, these offset measures are assessed in eco credits in accordance with the Eco Account Regulation (ÖKVO). As a means of income diversification, farmers can voluntarily implement offset measures on their land, and then generate and sell corresponding eco credits. Using a geodata-based model, the potential for implementing biodiversity offsets on arable land – areas with major eco credit potential – is analysed from an economic perspective. The Stuttgart Region is a steadily growing conurbation in south-west Germany. It serves as a study region since the loss of farmland due to large-scale construction measures and the related offsetting are a major issue here. In the analysis, the gross margins of the crops grown, their yield capacity, the associated standard land values and the costs of possible offset measures are used to determine the net present value of the arable land at parcel level. From a theoretical point of view and depending on the market price for eco credits, there is a significant potential for offset measures on arable land. Production-integrated compensation (PIC) – an extensification of arable land use – is less economically viable than the conversion of arable land into grassland or its utilisation for nature conservation. There are major spatial disparities between the city of Stuttgart and the surrounding districts. The implementation of biodiversity offsets is not economically viable at a price of less than € 1.00 per eco credit in the city of Stuttgart. By contrast, in surrounding districts, offset measures may be economically viable and implemented on a large scale for less than € 0.30. This is particularly relevant as the districts concerned are located in the same natural area as the city of Stuttgart and the eco credits can, therefore, be attributed in the event of interventions. Based on derived supply curves, decision-makers can see the scale of additional costs of biodiversity offset measures if they are implemented in a spatially restricted region. The analyses presented here can help decision-makers to more easily weigh up the desired natural characteristics and economic effects in the context of agricultural land.
根据欧洲各国不同的自然保护法案,对自然和景观的影响将被抵消。特别是在德国,生物多样性补偿也可以提前进行,例如,将其记入生态账户,然后将其分配给干预措施。在巴登-符腾堡州,这些抵消措施按照生态帐户条例(ÖKVO)以生态信用额进行评估。作为收入多样化的一种手段,农民可以在自己的土地上自愿实施抵消措施,然后产生和出售相应的生态信用。利用基于地理数据的模型,从经济角度分析了在耕地(具有主要生态信用潜力的地区)实施生物多样性补偿的潜力。斯图加特地区是德国西南部一个稳步发展的大都市。由于大规模建设措施导致的耕地流失和相关的补偿是这里的主要问题,因此它被作为研究区域。在分析中,种植作物的毛利率、它们的产量能力、相关的标准土地价值和可能抵消措施的成本被用来确定地块一级可耕地的净现值。从理论角度来看,根据生态信用的市场价格,在可耕地上采取抵消措施的可能性很大。生产一体化补偿(PIC)——一种耕地利用的扩大——在经济上不如将耕地转化为草地或将其用于自然保护更可行。斯图加特市和周边地区之间存在着巨大的空间差异。在斯图加特市,如果每个生态信用额度的价格低于1欧元,生物多样性抵消的实施在经济上是不可行的。相比之下,在周边地区,抵消措施可能在经济上是可行的,并以不到0.30欧元的价格大规模实施。这一点尤其重要,因为有关地区与斯图加特市位于同一自然地区,因此,如果采取干预措施,就可以获得生态信用。根据导出的供给曲线,决策者可以看到在空间受限的区域实施生物多样性抵消措施的额外成本规模。本文提出的分析可以帮助决策者更容易地权衡所需的自然特征和农业用地的经济效应。
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引用次数: 2
Der Markt für Milch und Milcherzeugnisse 2020 2020年牛奶和牛奶市场
IF 0.5 4区 经济学 Q4 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2021-04-01 DOI: 10.30430/70.2021.5.23-46
Clara Mehlhose, Tim Knöpfel, Bernhard Brümmer, A. Spiller, G. Busch
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引用次数: 0
World agricultural commodity markets in the marketing year 2020/21 2020/21销售年度的世界农产品市场
IF 0.5 4区 经济学 Q4 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2021-04-01 DOI: 10.30430/70.2021.5.13-22
Jakob Dehoust, E. Albrecht, Oliver Balkhausen
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引用次数: 0
Aspekte der Agrarpolitik 2020
IF 0.5 4区 经济学 Q4 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2021-04-01 DOI: 10.30430/70.2021.5.1-12
T. Herzfeld
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引用次数: 0
Der Markt für Zucker 砂糖市场
IF 0.5 4区 经济学 Q4 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2021-04-01 DOI: 10.30430/70.2021.5.128-155
R. Klepper
Nach 2012/13 werden auch fur das Jahr 2013/14 Produktionsuberschusse am Zuckermarkt erwartet. Die Zuckererzeugung liegt voraussichtlich rund 4 Mio. t uber dem Bedarf, sodass die weltweiten Bestande weiter auf ein komfortables Niveau von rund 45 % des Verbrauches anwachsen werden. Die Bestande bilden damit ein so hohes Sicherheitspolster, wie wir es seit sechs Jahren nicht mehr sahen. Dies kann nicht ohne Wirkung auf die weitere Preisentwicklung bleiben. Bereits zum Jahreswechsel 2013/14 notierten die Zuckerpreise auf einem dreieinhalb Jahrestief. Der Trend rucklaufiger Preise wird sich zwar kaum weiter fortsetzen konnen, doch eine nachhaltige Erholung vor 2015 ist in Anbetracht der hohen Lagerbestande unwahrscheinlich. Trotz weltweit wachsender Erzeugung werden die wichtigen Exporteure, wie Brasilien, Indien, Thailand, Australien und Guatemala, ihre Positionen halten oder sogar ausbauen konnen. Dies ist erklartes Ziel ihrer Regierungen, gestutzt durch entsprechende Masnahmen dieser Lander. Diese Uberschusslander werden weiterhin die Versorgungslucke der Lander Afrikas und des Nahen und Mittleren Ostens sowie Teilen Asiens schliesen. Fur die EU, weiterhin ein stark geschutzter Wirtschaftsraum fur die Rubenanbauer und die Zuckerindustrie, wird erst die fur 2017 beschlossene Zuckermarktreform wesentliche Anderungen bringen. Noch profitieren die genannten Marktteilnehmer von hohen Zuckerpreisen bei eingeschranktem Wettbewerb. Die Marktversorgung ist durch die Quotenbindung und ausbleibende bzw. nicht ausreichende Importe aus den Praferenzabkommen schwach. Entsprechend hoch sind die Einstandspreise fur die Zuckerverarbeiter und Verbraucher. Die Zuckermuhlen und Rubenanbauer produzieren weiterhin proaktiv, was zu einem weiteren Anstieg der Zuckerbestande auch in der EU gefuhrt hat. Zumindest zum Jahresende 2013 ist eine leichte Annaherung der EU-Binnenmarktpreise an den Weltmarktpreis erkennbar. Ein Trend lasst sich daraus jedoch noch nicht ableiten. Die Rahmenbedingungen sind nach wie vor noch die gleichen. So sind die Zuckerpreise in der EU immer noch fast doppelt so hoch wie die Notierungen an den internationalen Borsen. Trotz des stark eingeschrankten Wettbewerbes scheinen die Haupterzeugerlander, allen voran Frankreich, ihre Positionen ausbauen zu konnen. Die leicht sinkenden Zuckerpreise in der EU und die nach Angaben der Zuckerindustrie hohen Beschaffungskosten haben nach einem Rekordjahr 2012/13 jedoch schon erste Spuren in den jungsten Bilanzen der (deutschen) Unternehmen im laufenden Wirtschaftsjahr hinterlassen. Der nach wie vor grose Preisabstand zu den Weltmarkten sollte auch auf absehbare Zeit Anreiz genug sein, die praferentiellen, grostenteils zollfreien Importe aus den Entwicklungs- und Transformationslandern in die EU zu befordern. Die im Jahr 2013 neu in Kraft getretenen Freihandelsabkommen mit mittel- und sudamerikanischen Staaten konnten ebenfalls dazu beitragen, dass die Zuckerpreise in der EU sinken. Ebenso das neue EU-Mitglied K
2012/13年后,想必2013/14年糖市场上的胜出者将开始讨论糖的产量预计约为400万。如此一来,全世界供能将其达到消费的45%左右。他们能做成一个安全舱但是,不可能完全没有其他的变化。在2013/14年新年来临时,糖价已经触及三年半。下跌的价格可能不会持续下去,但考虑到现有库存存量如此之高,想在2015年之前可持续地复苏已经不太可能。尽管全球经济的消费额在不断增加,但巴西、印度、泰国、澳大利亚、危地马拉等主要出口国将会坚守甚至获得优势。到处都是敌人这是本国政府的明确目标这些人面山地将继续供电给非洲、中东和亚洲部分地区。只有在2017年通过的甘蔗市场改革才会带来重大改变,以保护欧盟,作为一个高度保护的经济体和糖业,甜,糖,这些市场参与者仍然在拉加竞争中从高糖价格中获益。市场供给因为配额联系有余和距离协议不见而不足。因此,甘蔗生产商和消费者的出厂价格相应会很高。大量的小麦制品和木柴种植者继续积极生产,这导致欧盟内糖叶产量进一步上升。至少从2013年年底开始,人们可以看到欧盟内部市场的价格在全球市场上并不显而易见。然而,现在还没有形成这样的趋势。那个架构和以前一样事实上,欧盟内部的糖价格依然比国际海关收费高出近一倍。虽然国际争夺战重重,但主要的土制国家,尤其是法国,看起来还会改善他们的势力范围。来看看欧盟廉价的糖价格。糖业表示采购成本高昂。在可预见的未来,继续维持和世界分辨是非对口的价格差距也应该足以激励各国对发展中国家和转型期国家的免税进口产品欧盟。2013年生效的与中欧和苏达三国的自由贸易协定也有助于降低欧盟的糖价格。新欧盟成员国克罗地亚也出现了在全球贸易经是非对错的地方,除了坚韧的价格波动以外,大国大国中国和印尼,甚至俄罗斯和印度也变得如此,而后者又一次成为了世界棉花市场的净进口国。毫无疑问巴西这个世界上最大的生产国和出口国也会赞同这句话。其经济发展和乙醇/汽油市场的政策变化仍然不可预测,甚至可能产生糖出口。全球需求将根据此前的趋势,增加2%的受益者将是甘蔗产区,在此期间,甘蔗类开采将难以捍卫其目前20%的份额。研究糖的一种替代品——糖分市场份额还很小的葡萄糖,通过作者的研究,可能会难以获得更多(欧盟)市场份额。可是,只有在2017年非糖/温室气体比下降时,才能为欧盟制定这一章。
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引用次数: 0
Der Markt für Obst und Gemüse im Jahr 2020 2020年的水果和蔬菜市场
IF 0.5 4区 经济学 Q4 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2021-04-01 DOI: 10.30430/70.2021.5.68-86
Christoph Frank Wiedenroth, Verena Otter
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引用次数: 1
Elasticities of Food Demand in Germany – A Demand System Analysis Using Disaggregated Household Scanner Data 德国食品需求的弹性——使用分类家庭扫描仪数据的需求系统分析
IF 0.5 4区 经济学 Q4 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2021-03-01 DOI: 10.30430/70.2021.1.49-62
Jonas Peltner, Silke Thiele
This paper presents price and income elasticities of food demand for Germany. Using disaggregated household scanner data and the Quadratic Almost Ideal Demand System (QUAIDS). The QUAIDS is modified to account for censoring and include household demographics. Furthermore, a two-stage budgeting approach is used to more accurately reflect households’ purchasing behaviour. Having disaggregated data also allowed to include convenience aspects into the demand system. High expenditure elasticities are found for fruits and nuts and meat, fish and eggs. The highest own-price elasticity is found for beverages. At the second stage, the bread toppings group reveals new insights into demand relations between cold cuts, cheese and other spreads. Cold cuts have both the highest expenditure and own-price elasticity. Cross-price elasticities indicate mostly complementary relations between cold cuts and other bread toppings. Comparing different income groups shows that expenditure elasticities of raw foods or basic ingredient foods tend to decrease as income increases, whereas expenditure elasticities of foods that require minimal or no preparation tend to increase with income. In conclusion, this study stresses the need for regularly updated elasticities of food demand that reflect up-to-date consumption behavior.
本文介绍了德国粮食需求的价格和收入弹性。利用分解的家庭扫描仪数据和二次几乎理想需求系统(QUAIDS)。QUAIDS进行了修改,以考虑审查并包括家庭人口统计数据。此外,两阶段预算方法被用来更准确地反映家庭的购买行为。分类数据还允许将便利方面纳入需求系统。水果、坚果、肉类、鱼类和蛋类的消费弹性较高。自身价格弹性最高的是饮料。在第二阶段,面包浇头小组揭示了对冷切、奶酪和其他涂酱之间需求关系的新见解。冷切既具有最高的支出,又具有自身的价格弹性。交叉价格弹性主要表明冷切和其他面包浇头之间的互补关系。对不同收入群体的比较表明,生食或基本配料食品的支出弹性往往随着收入的增加而降低,而只需极少加工或无需加工的食品的支出弹性往往随着收入的增加而增加。总之,本研究强调需要定期更新反映最新消费行为的粮食需求弹性。
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引用次数: 1
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German Journal of Agricultural Economics
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