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Sources and characteristics of different mode aerosols in the Mt. Everest region 珠穆朗玛峰地区不同模式气溶胶的来源和特征
IF 2.9 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-12-09 DOI: 10.1007/s11869-025-01878-2
Yaowen Lv, Xianjie Cao, Tao Wang, Zeren Yu, Chen Cui, Pengfei Tian, Jiening Liang, Lei Zhang

This study analyzed the characteristics and sources of aerosols in the Mt. Everest region from May to October 2022 based on instrumental observations and Potential Source Contribution Function (PSCF) analysis. Aerosols were classified into background-, coarse-, and fine-mode dominated types according to the PM₂.₅/PM₁₀ mass-ratio. Both coarse- and fine-mode aerosol increases were linked to low temperature and humidity, strong winds, and high single-scattering albedo (SSA), with black carbon (BC) showing the strongest positive correlation, indicating enhanced transport and reduced wet removal. The scattering and absorption Ångström exponents (SAE and AAE) effectively describe particle size and absorption feature, showing clear spectral signatures of dust-dominated scattering and carbonaceous absorption. The absorption and scattering coefficients of different aerosol modes decreased with increasing wavelength, whereas SSA increased with increasing wavelength, which was consistent with the optical behavior of dust in this region. PSCF analysis showed distinct source regions for each aerosol mode: coarse-mode aerosols mainly originated from northeastern and central India, whereas fine-mode aerosols were primarily transported from the Bay of Bengal. Although the Mt. Everest atmosphere is generally clean, it is strongly influenced by transboundary aerosols from South Asia. These results provide new insights into the physical, optical, and meteorological mechanisms governing regional and long-range pollution over high-altitude environments of the Tibetan Plateau.

基于仪器观测和潜在源贡献函数(PSCF)分析,对2022年5 - 10月珠峰地区气溶胶特征和来源进行了分析。根据PM 2,将气溶胶分为背景模式为主、粗模式为主和细模式为主。₅/ PM₁₀质量比。粗模和细模气溶胶的增加都与低温和低湿度、强风和高单散射反照率(SSA)有关,其中黑碳(BC)表现出最强烈的正相关,表明运输增强和减湿。散射和吸收Ångström指数(SAE和AAE)有效地描述了颗粒的大小和吸收特征,显示出清晰的尘埃主导散射和碳质吸收的光谱特征。不同气溶胶模式的吸收和散射系数随波长的增加而减小,而SSA随波长的增加而增大,这与该地区尘埃的光学特性一致。PSCF分析显示,每种气溶胶模态的来源区域不同:粗模态气溶胶主要来自印度东北部和中部,而细模态气溶胶主要来自孟加拉湾。虽然珠穆朗玛峰的大气总体上是干净的,但它受到来自南亚的跨界气溶胶的强烈影响。这些结果为青藏高原高海拔环境区域和远距离污染的物理、光学和气象机制提供了新的见解。
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引用次数: 0
Quantifying the effectiveness of superposed roughness elements to reduce dust emissions at the Salton Sea using computational fluid dynamics simulations 使用计算流体动力学模拟量化叠加粗糙度元素在索尔顿海减少粉尘排放的有效性
IF 2.9 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-12-09 DOI: 10.1007/s11869-025-01871-9
E. Furtak-Cole, J. A. Gillies, G. Nikolich, Y. Lin, S. Roy

The Salton Sea region faces significant air quality challenges, with particulate matter ≤10 μm (aerodynamic diameter, i.e., PM10) concentrations exceeding regulatory standards for 24-hour mean values established by the US Environmental Protection Agency (150 µg m⁻³) and the State of California (50 µg m⁻³). The lake’s receding shoreline has exposed areas of lakebed, creating potential sources for wind-blown dust. In response, the Salton Sea Management Plan aims to construct habitats and implement dust suppression strategies for areas expected to be exposed by 2028. A key component of this effort is to use roughness elements superposed on the exposed lakebed to mitigate dust emissions by reducing wind shear and inhibiting saltation. This study uses computational fluid dynamics to analyze array effectiveness across multiple wind directions for a defined roughness element size, density (number per hectare), and distribution (nominally a staggered array). In contrast to other studies of roughness arrays, we utilize roughness element locations and orientations from an existing array at the Salton Sea and perform a surface integral over the exposed surface to predict emissions. A relation between mass flux of PM10 and shear stress was used in the post-processing of simulated wind shear on the surface, to estimate the total emissions of PM10 before and after the installation of the roughness array. Our findings demonstrate a significant reduction in both shear stress on the intervening surface and dust emissions compared to the same area without the roughness, a result that is further supported by measurements. This research underscores the potential of engineered roughness arrays to improve air quality in regions affected by dust emissions.

索尔顿海地区面临着严重的空气质量挑战,颗粒物≤10 μm(空气动力学直径,即PM10)的浓度超过了美国环境保护署(150µg⁻³)和加利福尼亚州(50µg⁻³)制定的24小时平均值的监管标准。湖泊后退的海岸线暴露了湖床的部分区域,为风吹来的灰尘创造了潜在的来源。因此,“索尔顿海管理计划”的目标是,到2028年,在预计暴露的地区建立栖息地并实施粉尘抑制战略。这项工作的一个关键组成部分是将粗糙元素叠加在裸露的湖床上,通过减少风切变和抑制跳跃来减少粉尘排放。本研究使用计算流体动力学来分析阵列在多个风向下的有效性,以确定粗糙度单元的大小、密度(每公顷数量)和分布(名义上是交错阵列)。与其他粗糙阵列的研究相比,我们利用萨尔顿海现有阵列的粗糙单元位置和方向,并在暴露表面上进行表面积分来预测排放。利用PM10质量通量与切变应力之间的关系对地面模拟风切变进行后处理,估算粗糙度阵列安装前后PM10的总排放量。我们的研究结果表明,与没有粗糙度的相同区域相比,中间表面的剪切应力和粉尘排放都显着减少,这一结果得到了测量结果的进一步支持。这项研究强调了工程粗糙度阵列在受粉尘排放影响的地区改善空气质量的潜力。
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引用次数: 0
Evaluating environmental policies’ impact on india’s environmental Kuznets curve: evidence of Policy-Driven shifts in growth and pollution dynamics 评估环境政策对印度环境库兹涅茨曲线的影响:增长和污染动态中政策驱动转变的证据
IF 2.9 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-12-09 DOI: 10.1007/s11869-025-01869-3
Usama Al-Mulali, Ibrahim lanre Ridwan, Alper Aslan, Alina Raboshuk

This study investigates how environmental policy interventions influence the Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) in India, an emerging economy, using annual data from 1980 to 2023 and the Dynamic Autoregressive Distributed Lag (DARDL) model. It focuses on major initiatives including the Perform, Achieve and Trade (PAT) scheme, the FAME programs, and the National Hydrogen Energy Mission. By incorporating interaction terms between GDP and policy variables, the analysis measures how these policies moderate the impact of economic growth on CO₂ emissions. The results confirm an inverted U-shaped EKC for India, with economic growth initially increasing emissions but declining after a threshold income. Importantly, the policies significantly flatten the curve: a 1% increase in electric vehicle adoption and hydrogen use reduces CO₂ emissions by approximately 1.5% in the short term and 0.16% in the long term. Policy interventions also bring forward the EKC turning point from around USD 28,000 per capita to roughly USD 1,800 per capita, demonstrating that strategic environmental policies can accelerate emission reductions without hindering growth. These findings emphasize that India’s environmental improvements are driven by proactive policy measures rather than market forces alone, offering valuable guidance for policymakers in other emerging economies seeking sustainable growth.

本研究利用1980年至2023年的年度数据和动态自回归分布滞后(DARDL)模型,研究了环境政策干预如何影响新兴经济体印度的环境库兹涅茨曲线(EKC)。它侧重于主要举措,包括执行,实现和贸易(PAT)计划,FAME计划和国家氢能使命。通过纳入GDP和政策变量之间的相互作用项,该分析衡量了这些政策如何调节经济增长对二氧化碳排放的影响。结果证实了印度的EKC呈倒u形,经济增长最初会增加排放量,但在达到收入阈值后会下降。重要的是,这些政策显著地使曲线趋于平缓:电动汽车的采用和氢的使用每增加1%,短期内二氧化碳排放量将减少约1.5%,长期减少0.16%。政策干预也将EKC拐点从人均2.8万美元左右提前至人均1800美元左右,表明战略性环境政策可以在不阻碍增长的情况下加速减排。这些发现强调,印度的环境改善是由积极的政策措施推动的,而不仅仅是市场力量,这为寻求可持续增长的其他新兴经济体的政策制定者提供了有价值的指导。
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引用次数: 0
All-cause and cause-specific mortality attributable to diurnal temperature range in Ningbo City, China: a time-series study based on 188,039 death records, 2014–2018 宁波市日气温变化导致的全因死亡率和病因特异性死亡率:基于2014-2018年188039例死亡记录的时间序列研究
IF 2.9 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-12-08 DOI: 10.1007/s11869-025-01876-4
Qunwu Zha, Guorong Chai, Ling Zhang, Liangliang Cheng, Yonghong Li, Xiaoyuan Yao

Temperature variability, particularly diurnal temperature range (DTR), has been linked to mortality, yet evidence from low- and middle-income settings remains limited. We analyzed 188,039 deaths in Ningbo, China (2014–2018) using a time-series design with a distributed lag non-linear model. A J-shaped DTR–mortality curve was observed, with a city-specific minimum-mortality DTR (MMDTR) of 15.3 °C. Both low and high DTR increased mortality risk. Cause-specific effects were largest for endocrine, nutritional, and metabolic diseases (higher excess risk 18.9%), followed by circulatory (5.7%) and respiratory (4.2%) deaths. Females and older adults were more vulnerable. Children showed elevated risks that were not statistically significant and were imprecisely estimated (wide confidence intervals). Overall, 22.7% (~42,711) of deaths were attributable to DTR, largely from the common low-to-moderate DTR range (20.4%;~38,369), despite steeper relative risks at the upper tail. Both low- and high-DTR conditions merit attention; preparedness for high-DTR episodes may need to increase with climate change, while routine protection during frequent low-DTR days could yield substantial benefits, especially for females and older adults, and children, who showed high point estimates despite wide confidence intervals.

温度变异性,特别是昼夜温度范围(DTR)与死亡率有关,但来自低收入和中等收入环境的证据仍然有限。我们使用具有分布滞后非线性模型的时间序列设计分析了2014-2018年中国宁波市188,039例死亡病例。DTR -死亡率呈j型曲线,城市最小死亡率DTR (MMDTR)为15.3°C。低和高DTR均增加死亡风险。病因特异性影响最大的是内分泌、营养和代谢疾病(较高的超额风险为18.9%),其次是循环系统(5.7%)和呼吸系统(4.2%)死亡。女性和老年人更容易受到伤害。儿童表现出的风险升高在统计学上不显著,而且估计不精确(宽置信区间)。总体而言,22.7%(约42,711)的死亡可归因于DTR,主要来自常见的低至中度DTR范围(20.4%;约38,369),尽管上尾的相对风险更大。低和高dtr条件都值得注意;随着气候变化,可能需要增加对高dtr发作的准备,而在频繁的低dtr天进行常规保护可以产生实质性的益处,特别是对女性、老年人和儿童,尽管置信区间很宽,但他们的估计值很高。
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引用次数: 0
Air pollution and health burden: a generalized additive mixed model approach to PM2.5, life Expectancy, and respiratory infections and tuberculosis in Thailand, Malaysia, and Singapore 空气污染与健康负担:泰国、马来西亚和新加坡PM2.5、预期寿命、呼吸道感染和结核病的广义加性混合模型方法
IF 2.9 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-12-03 DOI: 10.1007/s11869-025-01872-8
Wong Ming Wong, Wunhong Su

The objective of this study is to examine the association between air pollution and health burden in Thailand, Malaysia, and Singapore from 2000 to 2021. PM2.5 concentrations and life expectancy are measures of air pollution. Health outcomes include death, incidence, and prevalence of respiratory infections and tuberculosis. The data are obtained from the Global Burden of Disease and the Air Quality Life Index. A Generalized Additive Mixed Model is used to analyze spatial and temporal patterns in a panel dataset with repeated annual observations across countries. This method allows for the detection of nonlinear relationships and considers cross-country variation and time series. The results show that Thailand has a significantly lower death rate from respiratory infections and tuberculosis compared to Malaysia, while the difference for Singapore is not statistically significant. Incidence, prevalence, and time are significantly associated with the death rate. PM2.5 concentrations and life expectancy do not show significant effects in the model. The study contributes to the understanding of how disease-specific indicators and time trends influence death. It provides cross-country evidence from Southeast Asia and supports the use of burden-specific indicators in public health planning and surveillance.

本研究的目的是研究2000年至2021年期间泰国、马来西亚和新加坡空气污染与健康负担之间的关系。PM2.5浓度和预期寿命是衡量空气污染的指标。健康结果包括死亡、呼吸道感染和结核病的发病率和流行程度。数据来自全球疾病负担和空气质量寿命指数。一个广义可加性混合模型用于分析各国每年重复观测的面板数据集中的时空格局。该方法允许检测非线性关系,并考虑跨国变化和时间序列。结果显示,与马来西亚相比,泰国的呼吸道感染和结核病死亡率明显较低,而新加坡的差异在统计上并不显著。发病率、流行率和时间与死亡率显著相关。PM2.5浓度和预期寿命在模型中没有显示出显著的影响。这项研究有助于了解特定疾病指标和时间趋势如何影响死亡。它提供了来自东南亚的跨国证据,并支持在公共卫生规划和监测中使用针对具体负担的指标。
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引用次数: 0
The hot topics and trends about research on the relationship between air pollution and urban green space based on ecosystem services perspective 基于生态系统服务视角的大气污染与城市绿地关系研究热点与趋势
IF 2.9 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-12-01 DOI: 10.1007/s11869-025-01844-y
Chuntian Lu, Zhengbing Guo, Li Miao

Urban green space (UGS) plays a critical role in mitigating air pollution and enhancing urban sustainability through ecosystem services. However, the complex interactions between UGS and air pollution present both benefits and challenges. By adopting an ecosystem services perspective, the study pursues two main objectives: on the ond hand, to conduct a comprehensive review of the interactions between UGS and air pollution; and on the other hand, to identify current limitations in the field and highlight future research trends. Our study examines this relationship through a comprehensive bibliometric analysis spanning from 2003 to 2025. Using data from the Web of Science, we analyze 422 relevant publications through co-occurrence analysis, keyword clustering analysis, and keyword burst detection, employing CiteSpace and VOSviewer for visualization. The results show that: (1) Our study identifies research hotspots, including the regulatory role of UGS in air pollution control, the impact of air pollution on green space quality, and the interactions between UGS, air quality, and public health. (2) Findings reveal three distinct research phases: initial focus on pollutant removal mechanisms, expansion into urban sustainability frameworks, and recent emphasis on climate adaptation and ecosystem resilience. (3) Future research should pay greater attention to the reciprocal interactions between UGS and air pollution. Our study provides valuable insights to guide future studies and supports the development of more effective strategies for integrating urban greenery into air quality management and sustainable urban planning.

城市绿地在缓解空气污染和通过生态系统服务增强城市可持续性方面发挥着至关重要的作用。然而,UGS和空气污染之间复杂的相互作用既带来了好处,也带来了挑战。通过采用生态系统服务的观点,本研究有两个主要目标:一方面,全面审查UGS与空气污染之间的相互作用;另一方面,确定该领域当前的局限性,并强调未来的研究趋势。我们的研究通过从2003年到2025年的综合文献计量分析来检验这种关系。利用Web of Science的数据,通过共现分析、关键词聚类分析和关键词突发检测,利用CiteSpace和VOSviewer进行可视化,对422篇相关出版物进行分析。结果表明:(1)研究明确了UGS在大气污染控制中的调控作用、空气污染对绿地质量的影响、UGS与空气质量、公众健康的相互作用等研究热点。(2)研究结果显示了三个不同的研究阶段:最初关注污染物去除机制,扩展到城市可持续性框架,最近重点关注气候适应和生态系统恢复力。(3)未来的研究应更多地关注UGS与大气污染之间的相互作用。我们的研究为指导未来的研究提供了宝贵的见解,并支持制定更有效的策略,将城市绿化纳入空气质量管理和可持续城市规划。
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引用次数: 0
Closing demographic gaps in air quality monitoring: Community-deployed PurpleAir sensors and PM2.5 data in Chicago 缩小空气质量监测方面的人口差距:芝加哥社区部署的PurpleAir传感器和PM2.5数据
IF 2.9 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-11-27 DOI: 10.1007/s11869-025-01870-w
Mena CR Whalen, Alyssa Peer, Leigha DeRango, Nastaran Ghorbani, Lily Kraus, Jessica Post, Ping Jing

In response to concerns about urban air quality, this study examines particulate matter (PM2.5) exposure and data completeness across diverse demographics in Chicago using low-cost PurpleAir sensors. Chicago’s air quality, periodically worsened by both local emissions and external sources like wildfire smoke, presents health risks that are unevenly distributed across the city. PurpleAir public sensors started to be placed in 2018 with just 7 sensors, the network in Chicago has since expanded to 75 sensors by 2023, with new placements from community members helping to spread spatial and demographic gaps and enabling more detailed air quality data collection across diverse areas. Sensor coverage, data completeness, and correlations with community demographics were assessed over time, revealing that missing data was initially more prevalent in lower-income, majority-Hispanic neighborhoods. Results indicate that increased sensor placement has reduced demographic disparities in data completeness, yet certain communities remain underrepresented. Missingness remains a significant concern, especially during initial deployment and setup, highlighting the need for support to ensure data reliability. While increased coverage has improved spatial representation, targeted placement in high-risk areas and denser neighborhood-level sensor distribution are essential for equitable air quality monitoring. These findings underscore the need for further sensor deployment and maintenance strategies to ensure that air quality data effectively informs public health initiatives in all Chicago neighborhoods.

为了回应人们对城市空气质量的担忧,本研究使用低成本的PurpleAir传感器检测了芝加哥不同人口统计数据的颗粒物(PM2.5)暴露和数据完整性。芝加哥的空气质量因当地排放和野火烟雾等外部来源而周期性恶化,给整个城市带来了不均匀分布的健康风险。PurpleAir公共传感器于2018年开始部署,当时只有7个传感器,到2023年,芝加哥的网络已扩展到75个传感器,来自社区成员的新部署有助于缩小空间和人口差距,并在不同地区收集更详细的空气质量数据。随着时间的推移,对传感器覆盖率、数据完整性以及与社区人口统计学的相关性进行了评估,发现数据缺失最初在低收入、西班牙裔为主的社区更为普遍。结果表明,增加传感器的放置减少了数据完整性的人口差异,但某些社区仍然代表性不足。丢失仍然是一个重要的问题,特别是在初始部署和设置期间,突出了对确保数据可靠性的支持的需求。虽然增加的覆盖范围改善了空间表征,但在高风险地区有针对性地放置传感器和更密集的社区级传感器分布对于公平的空气质量监测至关重要。这些发现强调了进一步部署传感器和维护策略的必要性,以确保空气质量数据有效地为芝加哥所有社区的公共卫生倡议提供信息。
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引用次数: 0
Prolonging the ozone season and intensifying spatial disparities: The role of meteorological conditions in Eastern China’s coastal region 臭氧季延长与空间差异加剧:中国东部沿海地区气象条件的作用
IF 2.9 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-11-26 DOI: 10.1007/s11869-025-01862-w
Libo Gao, Hao Wu, Hong Wu, Chen Pan, Wenlian Yan, Hao Chen

This study examines the spatio-temporal dynamics of surface ozone (O₃) pollution and the critical role of meteorological conditions in shaping its distribution across a major coastal province in eastern China. Based on high-resolution observational data from 2019 to 2023, we identify distinct spatial gradients and seasonal patterns in O₃ concentrations, with pronounced differences between urban and coastal zones. O₃ pollution frequency peaks at approximately 60% in June, with concentrations reaching ~ 200 µg m⁻³. Although pollution levels generally decline after July, elevated O₃ persists into September, particularly in urban areas south of the Yangtze River. Meteorological drivers exhibit strong regional heterogeneity: near-surface temperature dominates O₃ variability in inland urban areas, whereas solar radiation and wind fields become increasingly influential in coastal and industrialized regions. Crucially, we demonstrate that meteorological variations not only modulate daily pollution intensity but also extend the duration of high-O₃ episodes. This dual modulation effect contributes directly to the prolongation of the ozone season and the amplification of spatial disparities across the region. Our findings highlight the pivotal role of meteorology in exacerbating O₃ pollution in rapidly urbanizing coastal zones. These results are representative of many industrialized coastal cities in East Asia, where the convergence of urbanization, emissions, and complex coastal meteorology shapes evolving air quality challenges. The insights provided are essential for developing region-specific strategies to manage seasonal ozone risks under a changing climate.

这项研究调查了地表臭氧(O₃)污染的时空动态,以及气象条件在塑造其在中国东部一个主要沿海省份的分布中的关键作用。基于2019年至2023年的高分辨率观测数据,我们发现了O₃浓度的不同空间梯度和季节模式,城市和沿海地区之间存在显著差异。O₃污染频率在6月份达到最高峰,约为60%,浓度达到~ 200µg³。虽然污染水平在7月后普遍下降,但O₃的升高会持续到9月,特别是在长江以南的城市地区。气象驱动因素表现出强烈的区域异质性:在内陆城市地区,近地表温度主导着O₃的变化,而在沿海和工业化地区,太阳辐射和风场的影响越来越大。至关重要的是,我们证明了气象变化不仅调节了每日污染强度,而且延长了高o₃事件的持续时间。这种双重调制效应直接导致了臭氧季节的延长和区域空间差异的扩大。我们的研究结果强调了气象在快速城市化的沿海地区加剧O₃污染方面的关键作用。这些结果代表了东亚许多工业化沿海城市,在这些城市,城市化、排放和复杂的沿海气象共同形成了不断变化的空气质量挑战。所提供的见解对于制定区域特定战略以管理气候变化下的季节性臭氧风险至关重要。
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引用次数: 0
Pollution characteristics of O3-HCHO in australia: Spatiotemporal Trends, Drivers, and health impacts using GTWR 澳大利亚O3-HCHO污染特征:基于GTWR的时空趋势、驱动因素和健康影响
IF 2.9 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-11-24 DOI: 10.1007/s11869-025-01865-7
Cheng Huang, Zhenming Ji

O3 and HCHO (Formaldehyde) exceedances occur periodically in Australian cities such as Sydney, Melbourne, and Brisbane. This study constructed spatio-temporal distribution patterns of pollutants in Australia based on daily O₃-HCHO data from 2012 to 2021. Influencing factors were examined using big data, slope-hurst analysis, and GTWR (geotemporally weighted regression) methods, while the Ben-Map model assessed health risk benefits of ozone reduction in Australia. The findings indicate: (1) Spatially, high-concentration area for both ozone and formaldehyde are distributed across southeastern Australia, with HCHO predominantly classified as Grade 4, Grade 3, and Grade 5.(2) Analysis of time series and trends indicates: ozone concentrations follow the pattern: winter > spring > autumn > summer, with a monthly average of 249.57 DU and an overall increasing trend; The maximum formaldehyde concentration occurs during summer, with a monthly average of 11.31 × 10¹⁵ molec/cm², exhibiting a predominantly decreasing trend. (3) Among natural sources, NDVI (normalised vegetation index), MC(moisture content) and T(temperature) exert the greatest influence on O3-HCHO; amongst human activities, coal, oil and gas represent the primary contributing sources. (4) There was an overall decreasing trend in premature deaths due to ozone pollution in Australia, with the average number of deaths: all-cause (1105) > cardiovascular disease (703) > respiratory disease (430). The above research provides crucial theoretical support for the Australian government to enhance regional atmospheric environmental quality and public health benefits.

O3和HCHO(甲醛)超标在澳大利亚的悉尼、墨尔本和布里斯班等城市定期发生。基于2012 - 2021年的O₃-HCHO日数据,构建了澳大利亚污染物的时空分布格局。使用大数据、slope-hurst分析和GTWR(地时加权回归)方法检查了影响因素,同时Ben-Map模型评估了澳大利亚臭氧减少的健康风险效益。结果表明:①在空间上,臭氧和甲醛的高浓度区域分布在澳大利亚东南部,HCHO主要分为4级、3级和5级;(2)时间序列和趋势分析表明:臭氧浓度表现为冬季>;春季>;秋季>;夏季,月平均值249.57 DU,总体呈上升趋势;甲醛浓度最大值出现在夏季,月平均值为11.31 × 10¹分子/cm²,呈明显下降趋势。(3)在自然来源中,NDVI(标准化植被指数)、MC(含水率)和T(温度)对O3-HCHO的影响最大;在人类活动中,煤、石油和天然气是主要的排放源。(4)澳大利亚因臭氧污染导致的过早死亡总体呈下降趋势,平均死亡人数为:全因死亡(1105人);心血管疾病死亡(703人);呼吸系统疾病死亡(430人)。上述研究为澳大利亚政府提升区域大气环境质量和公共健康效益提供了至关重要的理论支持。
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引用次数: 0
A hybrid LSTM-XGBoost model with residual correction for air quality prediction using SSA 带残差校正的混合LSTM-XGBoost模型用于SSA空气质量预测
IF 2.9 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-11-22 DOI: 10.1007/s11869-025-01867-5
Sergio Diaz, Maria Fernanda Camargo, JC Castiblanco, Henry Mauricio Sánchez, Johan S. Duque, Ella Cecilia Escandón Dussan, Omar F. Rojas-Moreno, Alejandra Baena

Air pollution is a major contributor to respiratory and cardiovascular diseases, prompting recent studies to adopt AI models for forecasting pollutant levels. In this work, we introduce a hybrid framework—SSA-LSTM-XGBoost—that applies a residual-correction strategy in four stages: (i) data preprocessing, (ii) training an LSTM network optimised with the Sparrow Search Algorithm (SSA), (iii) modelling the residuals with an SSA-optimised XGBoost learner, and (iv) fusing both outputs to obtain the final prediction. The framework is assessed on test and out-of-sample datasets and benchmarked against SVR, BiGRU, random forest, BiLSTM, and GRU. On the test set, SSA-LSTM-XGBoost attains the highest accuracy, recording an R(^{varvec{2}}) of 0.9554 and the lowest errors (RMSE = 2.5194, MAE = 1.4885, MAPE = 0.0635), amounting to an average error reduction of roughly 8.2% relative to the runner-up SSA-SVR. When validated on unseen data, it remains superior (R(^{varvec{2}}) = 0.8830, RMSE = 2.4838), achieving an average error decrease of about 3.5% compared with SSA-SVR despite the harsher evaluation conditions. These findings attest to the robustness and strong generalisability of the proposed framework for reliable PM(_{varvec{2.5}}) forecasting. In practice, such forecasts enable near-real-time hotspot alerts, short-term exposure advisories for vulnerable groups, and preventive traffic or industrial controls, thereby supporting municipal air-quality management and policy decisions in Duitama.

空气污染是呼吸系统和心血管疾病的主要诱因,促使最近的研究采用人工智能模型来预测污染物水平。在这项工作中,我们引入了一个混合框架- SSA-LSTM-XGBoost -它在四个阶段应用残差校正策略:(i)数据预处理,(ii)训练用麻雀搜索算法(SSA)优化的LSTM网络,(iii)用SSA优化的XGBoost学习器建模残差,以及(iv)融合两个输出以获得最终预测。该框架在测试和样本外数据集上进行评估,并针对SVR、BiGRU、随机森林、BiLSTM和GRU进行基准测试。在测试集上,SSA-LSTM-XGBoost的准确率最高,R (^{varvec{2}})为0.9554,误差最低(RMSE = 2.5194, MAE = 1.4885, MAPE = 0.0635),平均误差降低约8.2% relative to the runner-up SSA-SVR. When validated on unseen data, it remains superior (R(^{varvec{2}}) = 0.8830, RMSE = 2.4838), achieving an average error decrease of about 3.5% compared with SSA-SVR despite the harsher evaluation conditions. These findings attest to the robustness and strong generalisability of the proposed framework for reliable PM(_{varvec{2.5}}) forecasting. In practice, such forecasts enable near-real-time hotspot alerts, short-term exposure advisories for vulnerable groups, and preventive traffic or industrial controls, thereby supporting municipal air-quality management and policy decisions in Duitama.
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Air Quality Atmosphere and Health
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