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Volatile organic compound concentrations under two different ventilation structures and their health risks in the adhesive tape manufacturing workplace 胶带生产场所两种不同通风结构下的挥发性有机化合物浓度及其健康风险
IF 5.1 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2023-08-05 DOI: 10.1007/s11869-023-01399-w
Ülkü Alver Şahin, Nurgül Elif Oğur, Coşkun Ayvaz, Yetkin Dumanoğlu, Burcu Onat, Burcu Uzun, Fazilet Özkaya, Özcan Akın

Exposure to the high volatile organic compounds (VOCs) concentration in the workplaces where solvents are used is an essential point for worker’s health. However, the VOCs in the indoor air of an adhesive tape production facilities that use large amounts of solvents and the health risk of the toxic compounds have not been sufficiently investigated to this date. VOC samples were collected in the morning and afternoon times of day in the indoor air of workplaces of an adhesive tape production facility at 9 different points under two different central ventilation conditions. Carbon dioxide, humidity, temperature, flow rate, and pressure values were measured continuously throughout the work time with an average recording period of 1 min. The total VOC value had a wide range from 0.1 to 138 mg/m3. BTEX (benzene, toluene, ethylbenzene, xylenes) contribution to total VOC accounted for between 40 and 60% and the toluene, methylepentane, and trichloroethane concentrations among the sampling points and campaigns dominated the total VOCs. The total hazard quotient (HQ) values for each measurement campaigns were higher than the acceptable limit of 1.0, while the lifetime cancer risk (LCR) values for benzene and carbon tetrachloride were lower than the acceptable limit of 1.0×10−6. This observational study suggests that the effective and efficient operation of the workplace ventilation systems and the feasibility of the designed ventilation systems are essential on the accumulation of toxic compounds in the air and must be well evaluated.

在使用溶剂的工作场所暴露于高挥发性有机化合物(VOCs)浓度是工人健康的重要因素。然而,到目前为止,尚未对使用大量溶剂的胶带生产设施的室内空气中的挥发性有机物和有毒化合物的健康风险进行充分的研究。在两种不同的中央通风条件下,在胶带生产设施的工作场所的室内空气中,在一天中的上午和下午的9个不同点采集VOC样品。在整个工作时间内连续测量二氧化碳、湿度、温度、流速和压力值,平均记录时间为1分钟。总VOC值范围从0.1到138 mg/m3。BTEX(苯、甲苯、乙苯、二甲苯)对总VOC的贡献率在40%至60%之间,采样点和活动中的甲苯、甲基环戊烷和三氯乙烷浓度占总VOC的主导地位。每次测量活动的总危险系数(HQ)值均高于1.0的可接受限值,而苯和四氯化碳的终身癌症风险(LCR)值均低于1.0×10−6的可接受极限值。这项观察性研究表明,工作场所通风系统的有效和高效运行以及设计的通风系统的可行性对空气中有毒化合物的积累至关重要,必须进行充分评估。
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引用次数: 0
Age-specific lobar and regional deposition of size-segregated particulate in a glass city of India and their health impact 印度一座玻璃城市中大小分离颗粒物的年龄特异性叶和区域沉积及其对健康的影响
IF 5.1 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2023-07-29 DOI: 10.1007/s11869-023-01398-x
Kalpana Rajouriya, Ajay Taneja

In the glass industrial city Firozabad, real-time monitoring (mass as well as number) of size-segregated particulate matter (PM) was done by a GRIMM portable aerosol spectrometer at two different sites to know about the deposition of size-segregated PM in the human respiratory tract. The average mass concentrations of PMs were recorded as PM10 (184.68 μg/m−3), PM2.5 (54.48 μg/m−3), and PM1.0 (31.02 μg/m−3). PM number concentrations were found as PM10 (18.64 μg/m−3), PM2.5 (496.22 μg/m−3), and PM1.0 (1105.87 μg/m−3). The concentrations of PM10 and PM2.5 exceeded the National Ambient Air Quality Standards (NAAQS) and the World Health Organization (WHO) guidelines. It was observed that PM10 and PM2.5 were the highest deposited in the head region (99.58–84.66%, 92.02–32.70%, 99.56–85.05%, and 97.20–69.25%) followed by the tracheobronchial (TB) region respectively in urban and rural. It was revealed that children with 3 and 9 years age group have the highest deposition and highly affected by lung diseases in both sampling sites. The children in the urban site have highly deposited PM mass visualization as compared to the rural site. Hazard quotient (HQ) results showed that a sensitive exposed population (children) may be at non-carcinogenic risk from acute exposure to PM10 in urban (3.83) as well as in rural site (2.971) because the safer limit (HQ > 1) the prescribed by USEPA is exceeded, while the excess lifetime cancer risk (ELCR) assessment of PM2.5 for both adult (68.7 × 10−2, 45.8 × 10−2) and child (195.4 × 10−1, 130.2 × 10−1) exceeded the safer limit (≥ 10−6) in both sites which inferred greater carcinogenic risk for adults and children.

在玻璃工业城市菲罗扎巴德,通过GRIMM便携式气溶胶光谱仪在两个不同的地点对尺寸分离的颗粒物(PM)进行实时监测(质量和数量),以了解尺寸分离的PM在人类呼吸道中的沉积情况。PM的平均质量浓度记录为PM10(184.68μg/m−3)、PM2.5(54.48μg/m–3)和PM1.0(31.02μg/m-3)。PM数浓度为PM10(18.64μg/m−3)、PM2.5(496.22μg/m–3)和PM1.0(1105.87μg/m-3)。PM10和PM2.5的浓度超过了国家环境空气质量标准(NAAQS)和世界卫生组织(世界卫生组织)的指导方针。据观察,PM10和PM2.5在头部沉积最高(99.58-84.66%、92.02-32.70%、99.56-85.05%和97.20-69.25%),其次是城市和农村的气管支气管(TB)区域。结果显示,在两个采样点,3岁和9岁年龄组的儿童沉积量最高,受肺部疾病影响很大。与农村地区相比,城市地区的儿童具有高度沉积的PM质量可视化。危险商(HQ)结果表明,敏感暴露人群(儿童)在城市(3.83)和农村(2.971)急性暴露于PM10可能具有非致癌风险,因为超过了美国环保局规定的安全限值(HQ>1),而成人(68.7×10−2,45.8×10−1)和儿童(195.4×。
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引用次数: 0
ASTGC: Attention-based Spatio-temporal Fusion Graph Convolution Model for Fine-grained Air Quality Analysis ASTGC:用于细粒度空气质量分析的基于注意力的时空融合图卷积模型
IF 5.1 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2023-07-27 DOI: 10.1007/s11869-023-01369-2
Yaning Zhao, Shurui Fan, Kewen Xia, Yingmiao Jia, Li Wang, Wenbiao Yang

The deployment of air quality monitoring stations is limited in number and unevenly distributed, resulting in a limited number of collected samples, so fine-grained analysis of air quality is a challenging task. To solve the problem, a spatio-temporal fusion graph convolution network method based on an attention mechanism named ASTGC is proposed in this paper. The ASTGC divides the observation data and various influencing factors of monitoring stations and target locations into dynamic temporal features and static spatial features. Different models are used to model them separately, and then fuse them to achieve the purpose of spatio-temporal interaction. An attention mechanism is introduced to calculate the importance of different monitoring stations to construct an adjacency matrix for the target location. Finally, the AQI of the target location in the future is predicted through a graph convolution network. The proposed model is evaluated on a real dataset, and the experimental results demonstrate the method’s superiority over baseline models.

空气质量监测站的部署数量有限,分布不均,导致采集的样本数量有限,因此对空气质量进行细粒度分析是一项具有挑战性的任务。为了解决这个问题,本文提出了一种基于注意力机制ASTGC的时空融合图卷积网络方法。ASTGC将监测站和目标位置的观测数据和各种影响因素划分为动态时间特征和静态空间特征。使用不同的模型对它们进行单独建模,然后将它们融合,以达到时空交互的目的。引入注意力机制来计算不同监测站的重要性,以构建目标位置的邻接矩阵。最后,通过图卷积网络预测了目标位置未来的AQI。在真实数据集上对所提出的模型进行了评估,实验结果表明该方法优于基线模型。
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引用次数: 1
Spatiotemporal characteristics and influencing factors of Air pollutants over port cities of the Yangtze River Delta 长江三角洲港口城市大气污染物时空特征及影响因素
IF 5.1 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2023-07-22 DOI: 10.1007/s11869-023-01397-y
Yang Zhang, Rui Zhou, Jihong Chen, Xinjia Gao, Rui Zhang

Bustling port activities give rise to serious air pollution in port cities of China’s Yangtze River Delta (YRD). Understanding the characteristics and driving forces of air pollutants over port cities of the YRD is conducive to the prevention and control of air pollution. This study analyzed the spatiotemporal characteristics and influencing factors of three air pollutants—PM2.5, NO2, and SO2—over coastal port cities (CPCs) and inland port cities (IPCs) in YRD from 2015 to 2020. The concentrations of air pollutants vary across geographic locations (low in the south/east and high in the north/west) and seasons (low in summer and high in winter). IPCs show higher pollutant concentrations than CPCs. The PM2.5, NO2, and SO2 concentrations over port cities in the YRD declined by 41.48%, 18.68%, and 64.8% from 2015 to 2020; CPCs have reduced more PM2.5 and NO2 than IPCs, while IPCs have reduced more SO2 than CPCs. There is a high synergy among the three air pollutants, with a stronger synergy found in CPCs. The impacts of wind speed and boundary layer height on air pollution are greater in CPCs than in IPCs. Concentrations of different air pollutants are strongly associated with emissions from different sectors. NO2 is the only one among the three air pollutants that cargo throughput shows a significant impact on, with the impact greater in CPCs than in IPCs. Findings from this study deepen the understanding of air pollution in port cities of YRD and may support air quality control in this area.

繁忙的港口活动导致中国长江三角洲港口城市的空气污染严重。了解长江三角洲港口城市大气污染物的特征和驱动力,有利于大气污染的防治。本研究分析了2015-2020年长江三角洲沿海港口城市和内陆港口城市PM2.5、NO2和SO2三种大气污染物的时空特征及其影响因素。空气污染物的浓度因地理位置(南部/东部低,北部/西部高)和季节(夏季低,冬季高)而异。IPCs显示的污染物浓度高于CPCs。2015-2020年,长江三角洲港口城市PM2.5、NO2和SO2浓度分别下降了41.48%、18.68%和64.8%;CPCs减少的PM2.5和NO2比IPCs多,而IPCs减少的SO2比CPCs多。三种空气污染物之间存在高度协同作用,CPCs的协同作用更强。风速和边界层高度对CPCs空气污染的影响大于IPCs。不同空气污染物的浓度与不同部门的排放量密切相关。NO2是货物吞吐量对三种空气污染物中唯一一种产生重大影响的污染物,在CPCs中的影响大于在IPCs中的影响。本研究结果加深了对长江三角洲港口城市空气污染的认识,有助于该地区的空气质量控制。
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引用次数: 1
Micromorphology of size-segregated aerosols and their airway deposition in public transport commuters 公共交通通勤者颗粒分离气溶胶的微观形态及其气道沉积
IF 5.1 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2023-07-20 DOI: 10.1007/s11869-023-01395-0
Dipanjali Majumdar, Rita Mondal, Abhijeet Mondal, Kamalika Sen, Deepanjan Majumdar

Commuters’ exposure to size-segregated fine particulates in four public transport microenvironments was assessed in the Kolkata megacity of India. Personal exposure to PM2.5 and PM1 varied from 130.8 & 112.1 μg m−3 in air-conditioned (AC) buses, followed by 158.5 μg m−3 & 134.3 μg m−3 in non-AC buses, 187.1 μg m−3 & 150.8 μg m−3 in non-AC cars, to 242.2 μg m−3 & 199.6 μg m−3 in 3-wheeler auto rickshaws, respectively. The exposure ratio for PM1/PM2.5 was comparable in all transport modes (0.64 to 0.94, 0.83 ± 0.07). The micromorphology of fine particulates, studied by scanning electron microscopy-energy-dispersive X-ray spectrometry, revealed several morphological features in both inorganic and carbonaceous particulates with Al, Si, Ca, K, Fe, and S impregnations. Soot particles were predominantly present in PM< 0.25, and its semi-aggregated net-like structure trapped fine and ultrafine particles. The possible formation of carbonaceous aerosols from inorganic seeds via the nucleation pathway was also captured. The estimated deposition rate in the human respiratory system translated into a total PM2.5 respiratory deposition rate (RDR) of 25.5 ± 8.9 μg h−1 in the respiratory tract was about 26% of the entire inhalation exposure to PM2.5. The average RDR of PM2.5–1.0 and PM1.0–0.5 was 11.7 ± 5.9 μg h−1 and 4.5 ± 2.3 μg h−1 that may get preferentially deposited in the head airways of the human respiratory system (75% and 60%, respectively). While the finest particles mainly get deposited in the deepest alveolar region of the human respiratory system (the RDR for PM0.5–0.25 and PM< 0.25 was 3.5 ± 1.5 μg h−1 (49%) and 5.8 ± 2.5 μg h−1 (79%), respectively). The highest airway deposition of PM2.5 in auto rickshaw commuters indicates that this transport mode could be the most harmful to commuters exposing them to tailpipe emissions from on-road vehicles and resuspended road dust due to low floor height and the open nature of the vehicle. Auto rickshaw commuters should practice using PM2.5-restricting face masks to reduce exposure to fine particulates while commuting when this mode of commute cannot be avoided.

在印度加尔各答特大城市,对通勤者在四个公共交通微环境中暴露于尺寸分离的细颗粒物进行了评估。个人暴露于PM2.5和PM1的范围从130.8&;空调(AC)公交车为112.1μg m−3,其次为158.5μg m–3&;134.3μg m−3在非AC总线中,187.1μg m–3&;150.8μg m−3在非AC汽车中,至242.2μg m–3&;三轮人力车分别为199.6μg m−3。PM1/PPM2.5在所有传输模式下的暴露率都是可比的(0.64至0.94,0.83±0.07)。通过扫描电子显微镜能量色散X射线光谱法研究的细颗粒的微观形态揭示了Al、Si、Ca、K、Fe和S浸渍的无机和碳质颗粒的几种形态特征。烟灰颗粒主要存在于PM<; 0.25,并且其半聚集网状结构捕获细颗粒和超细颗粒。还捕捉到无机种子通过成核途径形成碳质气溶胶的可能性。人类呼吸系统中的估计沉积率转化为呼吸道中25.5±8.9μg h−1的PM2.5总呼吸沉积率(RDR),约占PM2.5吸入暴露总量的26%。PM2.5–1.0和PM1.0–0.5的平均RDR分别为11.7±5.9μg h−1和4.5±2.3μg h–1,可能优先沉积在人类呼吸系统的头部气道中(分别为75%和60%)。而最细的颗粒主要沉积在人类呼吸系统的最深肺泡区域(PM0.5–0.25和PM<; 0.25分别为3.5±1.5μg h−1(49%)和5.8±2.5μg h–1(79%)。汽车人力车通勤者PM2.5的最高气道沉积表明,由于地板高度低和车辆的开放性,这种交通方式可能对通勤者最有害,使他们暴露在道路车辆的尾气排放和重新悬浮的道路灰尘中。当无法避免这种通勤模式时,人力车通勤者应该练习使用PM2.5限制口罩,以减少在通勤时接触细颗粒物。
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引用次数: 0
The air pollution mitigation effect of tourism development and its formation mechanism: new insights from BMA and SEM approaches 旅游业发展的空气污染缓解效应及其形成机制——基于BMA和SEM方法的新见解
IF 5.1 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2023-07-18 DOI: 10.1007/s11869-023-01393-2
Yun Tong, Li Pang, Hao Li

Tourism development makes significant contributions to the modern economic system, while simultaneously generating profound environmental externalities. However, the effects and mechanisms by which tourism development affects air pollution are still unclear, possibly due to model uncertainty arising from the complexity of air pollution sources. Therefore, based on a novel combined empirical strategy and high-quality multi-source datasets of 284 Chinese cities, this paper uncovers whether and how tourism development can affect air pollution in the context of “government, enterprise, and public” pluralistic environmental co-governance. The results reveal that: (1) Tourism development has a significant air pollution mitigation effect in China’s campaign against air pollution. A 1% increase in tourism specialization directly reduces air pollution by 0.1925%. (2) Two single mediation channels are found: “tourism development → public environmental concern → air pollution”, “tourism development → industrial structure → air pollution”. Additionally, there are two serial mediation channels: “tourism development → government environmental governance → public environmental concern → air pollution” and “tourism development → government environmental governance → industrial structure → air pollution”. (3) The above evidence provides meaningful policy implications for China to address the intractable problem of environmental governance. (4) The empirical strategy of innovatively integrating Bayesian model averaging, structural equation modeling, and panel data is effective, especially for macroscopic variables with complex influence mechanisms. (5) The relevant empirical evidence may have limited external validity outside of China, but the proposed empirical strategy can provide new strategic options to reveal the multi-path mechanisms at the macro level.

旅游业的发展对现代经济体系做出了重大贡献,同时也产生了深刻的环境外部性。然而,旅游业发展影响空气污染的影响和机制仍不清楚,这可能是由于空气污染源的复杂性导致的模型不确定性。因此,本文基于一种新颖的组合实证策略和284个中国城市的高质量多源数据集,揭示了在“政府、企业和公众”多元环境共治的背景下,旅游业发展是否以及如何影响空气污染。研究结果表明:(1)旅游业发展对我国大气污染防治具有显著的缓解作用。旅游专业化水平提高1%,可直接减少0.1925%的空气污染 → 公众环境关注 → 空气污染”、“旅游业发展” → 产业结构 → 空气污染”。此外,还有两个连续的调解渠道:“旅游业发展 → 政府环境治理 → 公众环境关注 → 空气污染与旅游业发展 → 政府环境治理 → 产业结构 → 空气污染”。(3) 上述证据为中国解决环境治理这一棘手问题提供了有意义的政策启示。(4) 创新地将贝叶斯模型平均、结构方程建模和面板数据相结合的经验策略是有效的,尤其是对于影响机制复杂的宏观变量。(5) 相关实证证据在中国以外可能具有有限的外部有效性,但所提出的实证策略可以为揭示宏观层面的多路径机制提供新的战略选择。
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引用次数: 0
Validation of MODIS AOD retrievals in West Africa: a comparison with AERONET observations 西非MODIS AOD反演的验证:与AERONET观测结果的比较
IF 5.1 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2023-07-14 DOI: 10.1007/s11869-023-01391-4
Chinelo Okpalaonwuka, Christiana Funmilola Olusegun, Adeyemi Olusola, Samuel Ogunjo

There is increasing use of satellite data for environmental monitoring in data-sparse regions of the world. However, challenges such as cloud cover and swath area of satellite sensors necessitate the validation of satellite retrievals, particularly in regions where ground-based measurements or high-density coverage may be sparse. In this study, the performance of two NASA MODIS products—AQUA and TERRA—were compared with observational AERONET data over eight study sites in West Africa for the period 2000–2022. Results obtained showed a regression slope between 0.09 and 0.83 for TERRA data and 0.11 and 0.86 for AQUA data. The normalized root mean square error between AERONET and AQUA data was in the range of 0.097–0.517, while a range of 0.123–0.540 was reported for TERRA data. Although both AQUA and TERRA AOD products had similar aerosol trends across the eight AERONET study sites, AQUA has an overall better performance with lower error estimates. Generally, the satellite retrieved data performed well during the wet season but poorly in the dry season. The performance of both MODIS products over the region suggests they can be used at most locations with little error/adjustment.

在世界上数据稀少的地区,越来越多地使用卫星数据进行环境监测。然而,由于云覆盖和卫星传感器的带状区域等挑战,必须对卫星反演进行验证,特别是在地面测量或高密度覆盖可能稀疏的地区。在这项研究中,将美国国家航空航天局的两种MODIS产品——AQUA和TERRA——的性能与2000-2002年期间西非八个研究地点的AERONET观测数据进行了比较。所获得的结果显示,TERRA数据的回归斜率在0.09和0.83之间,AQUA数据的回归坡度在0.11和0.86之间。AERONET和AQUA数据之间的归一化均方根误差在0.097–0.517之间,而TERRA数据的归一化均方误差在0.123–0.540之间。尽管AQUA和TERRA AOD产品在八个AERONET研究点的气溶胶趋势相似,但AQUA的总体性能更好,误差估计更低。一般来说,卫星检索的数据在雨季表现良好,但在旱季表现不佳。这两种MODIS产品在该地区的性能表明,它们可以在大多数位置使用,误差/调整很小。
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引用次数: 0
Estimation of radon emanation power: a comparison of different methods 氡发射功率的估算:不同方法的比较
IF 5.1 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2023-07-14 DOI: 10.1007/s11869-023-01389-y
Jelena M. Stajic, Biljana Nikic, Ljiljana Gulan, Milena Zivkovic, Slavko Radonjic, Dragoslav Nikezic

Radon emanation power was estimated by applying three different methods. The first was based on measuring radon exhalation rates by closed-loop accumulation method employing RAD7 device. Radon leakage rate was determined by applying two models of fitting the experimental data. Specific activities of 226Ra in soil samples were measured by coaxial HPGe detector (GEM30-70, ORTEC). The second method was indirect gamma-ray spectrometry method which included two separate measurements of counts under the photopeaks of 351.9 keV (214Pb) and 609.3 keV (214Bi). The influence of sample moisture content on radon emanation was demonstrated by both methods. Radon emanation power of the sample with the highest radon exhalation rate was also estimated by 2-month exposure of two radon diffusion chambers equipped with CR-39 detectors. A good agreement among the results was obtained; coefficient of variation was below 10% for the samples employed in the study. Assuming zero volumetric fraction of 218Po in air provided more consistent results.

用三种不同的方法估算了氡的发射功率。第一种是基于采用RAD7装置的闭环累积法测量氡呼出率。采用两种模型拟合实验数据,确定了氡泄漏率。采用同轴HPGe探测器(GEM30-70,ORTEC)测定土壤样品中226Ra的比活性。第二种方法是间接伽马射线光谱法,包括在351.9 keV(214Pb)和609.3 keV(214 Bi)的光峰下进行两次单独的计数测量。两种方法都证明了样品含水量对氡散发的影响。通过两个装有CR-39探测器的氡扩散室暴露2个月,还估算了氡呼出率最高的样品的氡散发能力。结果一致性良好;研究中使用的样本的变异系数低于10%。假设空气中218Po的零体积分数提供了更一致的结果。
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引用次数: 0
An assessment of four decades atmospheric PM2.5 trends in urban locations over Southern Africa using MERRA-2 reanalysis 使用MERRA-2再分析对南部非洲城市地区40年大气PM2.5趋势的评估
IF 5.1 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2023-07-12 DOI: 10.1007/s11869-023-01392-3
Matthews Nyasulu, Fabiano Gibson Daud Thulu, Francis Alexander

Excess concentration of aerosols with aerodynamic diameter less than 2.5 μm (PM2.5) in atmosphere has significant implications to both climate and human health. For the first time, this study estimated four decades (1980–2021) trends of PM2.5 in urban locations across Southern Africa using the Modern-Era Retrospective Analysis for Research and Applications Version 2 (MERRA-2) aerosol simulations. The findings show that the highest PM2.5 is recorded during the peak of biomass burning, September-October-November (SON season) in locations selected over Mozambique, Malawi, Zambia, Zimbabwe, Madagascar, Botswana, Namibia, and north of South Africa while during Jun-July-August (JJA season) in locations selected over Southern Mozambique, eastern locations of South Africa, and west of Angola. The lowest PM2.5 concentration is observed during December-January-February (DJF) and March-April-May (MAM) seasons across the region due to increased precipitation which reduces excess PM2.5 in the atmosphere. The annual concentration of PM2.5 in most locations exceeds the recent recommendation by the World Health Organization (WHO, 2021) of 5μg m−3, hence high threat to human health due to long-term exposure to PM2.5. Long-term trends showed a significant increase of PM2.5 over the region during the last four decades, with the highest increment observed during SON season. Implementation of regional measures that can reduce excess PM2.5 concentration is therefore required across the region.

大气中空气动力学直径小于2.5μm的气溶胶(PM2.5)浓度过高对气候和人类健康都有重大影响。这项研究首次使用现代研究与应用回顾分析第二版(MERRA-2)气溶胶模拟估计了南部非洲城市地区40年(1980-2021)PM2.5的趋势。研究结果显示,在莫桑比克、马拉维、赞比亚、津巴布韦、马达加斯加、博茨瓦纳、纳米比亚和南非北部的生物质燃烧高峰9月至10月至11月(SON季节)期间,PM2.5最高,而在莫桑比克南部、南非东部和安哥拉西部的6月至7月至8月(JJA季节)期间。由于降水量的增加减少了大气中过量的PM2.5,该地区的PM2.5浓度在12月至1月至2月(DJF)和3月至4月至5月(MAM)季节最低。大多数地区的PM2.5年浓度超过了世界卫生组织(世界卫生组织,2021)最近提出的5μg m−3的建议,因此长期暴露于PM2.5对人类健康的威胁很大。长期趋势显示,在过去四十年中,该地区PM2.5显著增加,其中SON季节的增幅最高。因此,需要在整个地区实施能够降低PM2.5过量浓度的区域措施。
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引用次数: 0
Air pollutant concentration prediction based on a new hybrid model, feature selection, and secondary decomposition 基于新混合模型、特征选择和二次分解的大气污染物浓度预测
IF 5.1 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2023-07-11 DOI: 10.1007/s11869-023-01388-z
Weijun Wang, Tianyu Ma, Lianru Wang

The concentration of air pollutants is closely related to people’s production and life. Air quality prediction is the premise for environmental management departments to make decisions and put forward pollution control measures. A novel air pollutant prediction model was proposed in this paper to predict air pollutant concentration more accurately. Firstly, the data were decomposed into several subsequences by a complete ensemble empirical mode decomposition with adaptive noise and calculated the sample entropy of the subsequence. Secondly, variational mode decomposition is used to decompose the sequence with the highest sample entropy, and a fast correlation-based filter is used to select the features of the second decomposed sequence and the remaining sequences. Then, a multi-layer perceptron is used to predict the processed quadratic decomposition sequence, and a gated recurrent unit is used to predict the remaining sequences. According to the experimental results, three main conclusions can be drawn. First, through two groups of comparative experiments, it is found that the model has a good prediction effect. Second, after adding the decomposition algorithm, the average improvement levels of mean absolute error and root mean squared error were 44.50% and 34.77%, respectively. Third, after the re-decomposition of intrinsic mode functions 1, the mean absolute percentage error can be reduced by 22.98% on average on the original basis. The results of this study can provide a valuable reference for the prediction of atmospheric pollutants.

大气污染物的浓度与人们的生产生活密切相关。空气质量预测是环境管理部门决策和提出污染控制措施的前提。为了更准确地预测大气污染物浓度,本文提出了一种新的大气污染物预测模型。首先,通过自适应噪声的完全集成经验模式分解将数据分解为多个子序列,并计算子序列的样本熵。其次,使用变分模分解来分解具有最高样本熵的序列,并使用基于快速相关的滤波器来选择第二个分解序列和剩余序列的特征。然后,使用多层感知器来预测处理后的二次分解序列,并使用门控递归单元来预测剩余序列。根据实验结果,可以得出三个主要结论。首先,通过两组对比实验,发现该模型具有良好的预测效果。其次,添加分解算法后,平均绝对误差和均方根误差的平均改进水平分别为44.50%和34.77%。第三,对固有模函数1进行重新分解后,平均绝对百分比误差可以在原来的基础上平均减少22.98%。研究结果可为大气污染物预测提供有价值的参考。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Air Quality Atmosphere and Health
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