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Daily PM2.5 concentration forecasting in Mashhad metropolis using long short-term memory (LSTM) neural networks and feature importance analysis 基于LSTM神经网络和特征重要性分析的马什哈德市区PM2.5日浓度预报
IF 2.9 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-02-09 DOI: 10.1007/s11869-026-01892-y
Mohamad Javad Zoqi, Aliasghar Dehqanpour Aliaqa, Seyed Javad Rasouli, Mohammad Reza Mansouri Daneshvar

Urban air quality, particularly the concentration of fine particulate matter less than 2.5 micrometers in diameter (PM2.5), poses a significant environmental and public health challenge, necessitating accurate forecasting in major metropolitan areas. This study develops and evaluates daily PM2.5 concentration forecasting models for Mashhad, one of Iran’s largest metropolitan centers. Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) neural networks were utilized to model the complex PM2.5 concentration time series at three air quality monitoring stations: Taghiabad, Nakhrisi, and Resalat. The input dataset comprised the previous day’s mean PM2.5 concentration, meteorological parameters (temperature, relative humidity, wind speed and direction, precipitation, and solar radiation), and temporal features (day of the week and month of the year), spanning the period from 2018 to 2023. A feature importance analysis was conducted using Normalized Mutual Information (NMI) to identify the most influential predictors—specifically, the previous day’s PM2.5 concentration and relative humidity—and to exclude variables with low correlation, such as wind direction and solar radiation. To optimize forecasting performance and ensure station-specific adaptation, the LSTM model’s hyperparameters were independently tuned for each station using a Genetic Algorithm (GA). The results showed that the proposed LSTM models delivered strong and reliable performance. The Taghiabad station achieved the highest accuracy, with R2 = 0.86 and RMSE = 5.82 µg/m3, followed by the Resalat and Nakhrisi stations with R2 values of 0.83 and 0.73 and RMSEs of 6.37 µg/m3 and 8.36 µg/m3, respectively. These predictive accuracies highlight the considerable potential of the proposed model as an effective tool for urban air quality management and timely public health advisories in megacities with similar environmental conditions.

城市空气质量,特别是直径小于2.5微米的细颗粒物(PM2.5)的浓度,对环境和公共卫生构成重大挑战,需要在主要大都市地区进行准确预报。本研究开发并评估了伊朗最大的都市中心之一马什哈德的每日PM2.5浓度预测模型。利用长短期记忆(LSTM)神经网络对Taghiabad、Nakhrisi和Resalat三个空气质量监测站的复杂PM2.5浓度时间序列进行建模。输入的数据集包括2018年至2023年期间前一天的平均PM2.5浓度、气象参数(温度、相对湿度、风速和风向、降水和太阳辐射)以及时间特征(一周中的哪一天和一年中的哪一个月)。使用归一化互信息(NMI)进行特征重要性分析,以确定最具影响力的预测因子,特别是前一天的PM2.5浓度和相对湿度,并排除相关性较低的变量,如风向和太阳辐射。为了优化预测性能并确保台站自适应,利用遗传算法对每个台站的LSTM模型的超参数进行独立调整。结果表明,所提出的LSTM模型具有强大而可靠的性能。Taghiabad站的R2为0.86,RMSE为5.82µg/m3,其次是Resalat和Nakhrisi站,R2为0.83和0.73,RMSE分别为6.37和8.36µg/m3。这些预测的准确性突出了所提出的模型作为具有类似环境条件的特大城市的城市空气质量管理和及时公共卫生咨询的有效工具的巨大潜力。
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引用次数: 0
Microplastics sampling methods and standardization requirements in atmospheric environment—a critical review 大气环境中微塑料取样方法及标准化要求综述
IF 2.9 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-02-09 DOI: 10.1007/s11869-026-01886-w
Bo Ren, Yuchuan Meng, Xiaofeng Yang, Yu Chen, Guodong Liu

The widespread use of plastics has greatly improved people's daily lives, but at the same time, it has also brought serious environmental challenges. Microplastics (MPs) pose a serious threat to ecosystems and human health due to their potential toxicity and ability to carry other pollutants. Especially MPs suspended in the atmosphere, which humans continuously inhale during daily breathing. The atmosphere, as an important link in the Earth's ecosystem, plays a crucial role in the global spread of MPs. Therefore, the research on atmospheric MPs has become a hot topic of global concern. Researchers used passive or active sampling methods to obtain atmospheric MPs samples, but there were significant differences in the sampling details among various studies. The inconsistency of sampling strategies and the non standardized sampling process limit the comparability and credibility of relevant research data. This review reviews the development history of atmospheric MPs and analyzes the sampling methods used to collect atmospheric MPs in 92 articles published between 2015 and 2023, including key factors such as sampling tools, time settings, sampling locations, sources, and intake flow rates. The focus was on comparing the advantages and disadvantages of different methods and evaluating the potential impact of the sampling process on the research results. To promote in-depth research on global atmospheric MPs pollution, it is urgent to establish standardized sampling methods to ensure the accuracy and comparability of data. Highlights Analyze and compare different sampling methods for atmospheric MPs. Establish a standardized sampling method for global atmospheric MPs. Non standardized sampling methods can affect the credibility and comparability of observation results. Summarize the current research status of global atmospheric MPs pollution. The atmosphere is the main transport pathway for MPs.

Graphical abstract

塑料的广泛使用极大地改善了人们的日常生活,但同时也带来了严重的环境挑战。微塑料由于其潜在的毒性和携带其他污染物的能力,对生态系统和人类健康构成严重威胁。尤其是悬浮在大气中的MPs,人类在日常呼吸中不断吸入。大气作为地球生态系统的重要一环,在MPs的全球传播中起着至关重要的作用。因此,大气MPs的研究已成为全球关注的热点。研究人员采用被动或主动采样方法获取大气MPs样品,但不同研究在采样细节上存在显著差异。抽样策略的不一致性和抽样过程的不规范限制了相关研究数据的可比性和可信度。本文回顾了大气MPs的发展历史,分析了2015年至2023年发表的92篇论文中用于收集大气MPs的采样方法,包括采样工具、时间设置、采样地点、来源和吸入流量等关键因素。重点是比较不同方法的优缺点,并评估抽样过程对研究结果的潜在影响。为了推进全球大气MPs污染的深入研究,迫切需要建立标准化的采样方法,以保证数据的准确性和可比性。分析和比较大气MPs的不同采样方法。建立全球大气MPs标准化采样方法。非标准化抽样方法会影响观测结果的可信度和可比性。综述了全球大气MPs污染的研究现状。大气是MPs的主要运输途径。图形抽象
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引用次数: 0
From atmosphere to lungs: health risks of airborne microplastics in public spaces 从大气到肺部:公共场所空气中微塑料的健康风险
IF 2.9 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-02-07 DOI: 10.1007/s11869-026-01919-4
S N Sruthi, C. Krishna Deepak, Sivan Sangeetha, Appukuttan Saritha, M S ShyleshChandran

Airborne microplastics (MPs) are an emerging class of particulate pollutants with profound implications for environmental and human health. This study presents the first comprehensive assessment of airborne MPs across indoor and outdoor public spaces in Kerala, India—a tropical region underrepresented in global MPs research. Air dust samples were collected from locations including bus terminals, supermarkets, educational institutions, government offices, libraries, laboratories, and hospitals. Analyses using stereomicroscopy and Raman spectroscopy revealed variations in abundance, shape, and polymer composition. The highest MP concentrations were found in bus terminals (960 ± 53 particles/kg), followed by supermarkets, while the hospitals showed the lowest concentrations (111 ± 10 particles/kg). Fibres (47.2%) were the commonly occurring morphology of microplastics, while polyethene (37.8%) and polyvinyl chloride (PVC) were the dominant polymers. Health risk assessments, such as the Polymer Risk Index (PRI), Estimated Daily Intake (EDI), and Microplastic Cancer Risk (MPCR), highlighted the major health threats posed by Poly Vinyl Chloride (PRI: 1333.4; MPCR: 11.51 mg/kg/day) and polystyrene. Infants were the most vulnerable group (EDI: 6.06 mg/kg/day) to MPs pollution than adults. These findings underscore the growing risk of MP inhalation in densely occupied public areas and call for targeted interventions, including improved plastic waste management, source control of indoor particles, and reduced plastic usage in high-traffic spaces. The study provides critical baseline data for airborne MPs in tropical India and supports the need for regulatory and epidemiological actions.

Graphical Abstract

空气中的微塑料(MPs)是一类新兴的颗粒污染物,对环境和人类健康具有深远的影响。本研究首次全面评估了印度喀拉拉邦室内和室外公共空间的机载下院议员,这是一个在全球下院议员研究中代表性不足的热带地区。空气粉尘样本采集地点包括公交总站、超市、教育机构、政府办公室、图书馆、实验室和医院。利用立体显微镜和拉曼光谱分析揭示了丰度、形状和聚合物组成的变化。公共汽车终点站pm2.5浓度最高(960±53),超市次之,医院最低(111±10)。纤维(47.2%)是微塑料最常见的形态,聚乙烯(37.8%)和聚氯乙烯(PVC)是主要的聚合物。健康风险评估,如聚合物风险指数(PRI)、估计每日摄入量(EDI)和微塑料癌症风险(MPCR),强调了聚氯乙烯(PRI: 1333.4; MPCR: 11.51 mg/kg/day)和聚苯乙烯构成的主要健康威胁。婴儿是最易受MPs污染的群体(EDI: 6.06 mg/kg/day)。这些发现强调了在人员密集的公共区域吸入多聚塑料的风险日益增加,并呼吁采取有针对性的干预措施,包括改善塑料废物管理,控制室内颗粒的来源,减少在交通繁忙的空间使用塑料。该研究为印度热带地区空气传播的MPs提供了关键的基线数据,并支持需要采取管制和流行病学行动。图形抽象
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引用次数: 0
Investigating the benefits of green infrastructure using i-Tree canopy software: A case study of the 2500-year gardens of Qazvin 使用i-Tree树冠软件调查绿色基础设施的好处:以卡兹文2500年花园为例
IF 2.9 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-02-06 DOI: 10.1007/s11869-026-01898-6
Mina Rahmani, Mohammad Mehdi Zarrabi, Javad Imani Shamloo, Sama Abdollahi Milani

Urban Green Infrastructure (UGI) is increasingly recognized as vital for sustainable urban development due to the ecosystem services it provides. Using 2023 data, this study employed I-Tree Canopy 7.1 to evaluate traditional gardens in Qazvin Province (~2,500 ha) in terms of their ecosystem services and economic value. The results indicate substantial air pollution reduction, with ozone being the most removed pollutant (151.45 tons annually) and carbon monoxide the least (2.79 tons annually). The gardens also contribute significantly to carbon sequestration and storage, with 30.96 kilotons of CO₂ sequestered annually (valued at $1,440,054) and 777.51 kilotons stored in total (valued at $36,165,161). In water management, the vegetation helps control surface runoff, preventing 3.2 thousand gallons per square mile each year (valued at $29). While the economic value of runoff reduction is modest, it represents a key ecosystem service; broader benefits such as flood mitigation and water quality improvement are not fully captured by the model. These findings demonstrate the measurable benefits of UGI and offer guidance for optimizing urban green spaces to enhance environmental performance.

城市绿色基础设施(UGI)因其提供的生态系统服务而日益被认为对可持续城市发展至关重要。本研究利用2023年的数据,采用I-Tree Canopy 7.1对加兹温省(~ 2500 ha)传统园林的生态系统服务和经济价值进行了评价。结果表明,空气污染显著减少,臭氧是去除最多的污染物(151.45吨/年),一氧化碳最少(2.79吨/年)。这些花园还对碳封存和储存做出了重大贡献,每年封存30.96千吨二氧化碳(价值1440,054美元),总储存777.51千吨(价值36,165,161美元)。在水资源管理方面,植被有助于控制地表径流,每年每平方英里可减少3.2万加仑(价值29美元)。虽然径流减少的经济价值不大,但它代表了一种关键的生态系统服务;该模型没有充分考虑到洪水缓解和水质改善等更广泛的效益。这些发现证明了UGI的可衡量效益,并为优化城市绿地以提高环境绩效提供了指导。
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引用次数: 0
Spatiotemporal air quality monitoring using Sentinel 5P in the arid region for environmental sustainability 基于Sentinel 5P的干旱区环境可持续性时空空气质量监测
IF 2.9 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-02-04 DOI: 10.1007/s11869-026-01904-x
Bijay Halder, Biswarup Rana, Minhaz Farid Ahmed, Khadeijah Yahya Faqeih, Somayah Moshrif Alamri, Eman Rafi Alamery, Chaitanya Baliram Pande, Zaher Mundher Yaseen

The extensive industrialization, rapid urbanization, and strong fossil fuel use in the Middle East (ME) significantly contribute to increasing air pollution levels. Gas and oil production are the main sources of nitrogen dioxide (NO₂), methane (CH₄), ozone (O₃), sulphur dioxide (SO₂), carbon monoxide (CO), and formaldehyde (HCHO) in countries like Saudi Arabia, Iran, Iraq, and Kuwait. Current progress in satellite remote sensing (RS) has enabled record valuations of the air pollution across country borders, helping data-driven policymaking and regional assistance in handling air quality (AQ). Therefore, this study examines monthly and annual air pollutants and aerosol optical depth (AOD) in the ME from 2019 to 2024 using Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) and Sentinel-5P images. The study specifies that highest AOD decreased from 0.5360 in 2019 to 0.5277 in 2024, while further air pollutants varies annually, such as SO2 (0.0014 mol/m² in 2019 to 0.0027 mol/m² in 2024), CO (0.117 mol/m² in 2019 to 0.171 mol/m² in 2024), O₃ (0.146 mol/m² in 2019 to 0.155 mol/m² in 2024), and CH₄ (2304.23 ppb in 2019 to 2457.17 ppb in 2024). In ME countries where CH₄ emissions from fossil fuel processes are dominant (like Saudi Arabia, Iran, and Iraq), measured stages often surpass 1900 ppb. Although CO and HCHO trends propose minor improvements, recurrent SO2 spikes exemplify the tenacity of high-impact emission procedures. These outlines highlight the necessity for stronger regional air pollution monitoring and mitigation plans, reflecting AQ dynamics in key ME cities.

中东地区广泛的工业化、快速的城市化和化石燃料的大量使用大大增加了空气污染水平。在沙特阿拉伯、伊朗、伊拉克和科威特等国家,天然气和石油生产是二氧化氮(NO₂)、甲烷(CH₄)、臭氧(O₃)、二氧化硫(SO₂)、一氧化碳(CO)和甲醛(HCHO)的主要来源。目前卫星遥感(RS)的进展使跨越国界的空气污染估值达到创纪录水平,有助于数据驱动的政策制定和处理空气质量(AQ)的区域援助。因此,本研究利用中分辨率成像光谱仪(MODIS)和Sentinel-5P图像,研究了2019 - 2024年ME中月度和年度空气污染物和气溶胶光学深度(AOD)。该研究指出,最高AOD从2019年的0.5360下降到2024年的0.5277,而大气污染物SO2(从2019年的0.0014 mol/m²到2024年的0.0027 mol/m²)、CO(从2019年的0.117 mol/m²到2024年的0.171 mol/m²)、O₃(从2019年的0.146 mol/m²到2024年的0.155 mol/m²)、CH₄(从2019年的2304.23 ppb到2024年的2457.17 ppb)等每年都在变化。在化石燃料过程中甲烷排放占主导地位的ME国家(如沙特阿拉伯、伊朗和伊拉克),测量的阶段通常超过1900 ppb。虽然CO和HCHO的趋势略有改善,但反复出现的SO2峰值证明了高影响排放程序的持久性。这些大纲强调了加强区域空气污染监测和缓解计划的必要性,反映了主要中东和北非城市的空气质量动态。
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引用次数: 0
Geospatial analysis of urban heat Islands and heat vulnerability in Chattogram, Bangladesh: implications for public health risks 孟加拉国城市热岛和热脆弱性的地理空间分析:对公共健康风险的影响
IF 2.9 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-02-03 DOI: 10.1007/s11869-026-01920-x
Mst Sanjida Alam

Rapid urbanization and land use change are intensifying the Urban Heat Island (UHI) effect and its associated health risks. It is the most common problem in the cities across the Global South. Chattogram the second-largest city in Bangladesh that has highly urbanized and experiencing transformation of croplands and vegetation into impervious surfaces. The changes contribute to the increase in the surface temperature and vulnerability of urban residents. This study aims to determine spatiotemporal patterns of UHI between 2011 and 2024 and the Heat Vulnerability Index (HVI) for 2024 and its associated health risk of Chattogram District. The HVI was developed using eighteen geospatial, demographic, and socioeconomic indicators grouped under exposure, sensitivity, and adaptive capacity. For weighting and normalizing variables, Principal Component Analysis (PCA) was used, and for spatial statistics Global Moran’s I, Local Moran’s I, and Getis-Ord Gi were used to detect clustering patterns of heat risk. Results indicate that the average Land Surface Temperature (LST) rose by 1.8° C during the study period, and hotspots were concentrated in middle Thanas of Sadarghat, Kotwali, and Double Mooring. The HVI map shows that the vulnerability is very low at 94.4% although very high vulnerability is only 0.8% and is concentrated in the urban core. These findings highlight differential exposure to heat stress in Chattogram and need to incorporate vulnerability assessment into urban planning to inform climate adaptation and reduce possible public health effects in fast-growing cities.

快速城市化和土地利用变化加剧了城市热岛效应及其相关的健康风险。这是全球南方城市最常见的问题。孟加拉国第二大城市,高度城市化,正在经历农田和植被向不透水表面的转变。这些变化增加了地表温度和城市居民的脆弱性。本研究旨在确定2011 - 2024年城市热岛指数的时空格局,以及2024年城市热脆弱性指数(HVI)及其相关的健康风险。HVI是利用18个地理空间、人口统计和社会经济指标制定的,这些指标按暴露、敏感性和适应能力分组。对于权重和归一化变量,采用主成分分析(PCA);对于空间统计,采用Global Moran’s I、Local Moran’s I和Getis-Ord Gi来检测热风险的聚类模式。结果表明:研究期间平均地表温度上升了1.8°C,热点地区集中在Sadarghat、Kotwali和Double Mooring的中部地区;HVI地图显示,虽然非常高的脆弱性仅为0.8%,但非常低的脆弱性为94.4%,并且集中在城市核心。这些发现强调了Chattogram中不同的热应激暴露,需要将脆弱性评估纳入城市规划,为气候适应提供信息,并减少快速发展的城市可能产生的公共卫生影响。
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引用次数: 0
Comparative analysis of machine learning models for predicting PM₁₀ and PM2.5 Concentrations in Pulau Pinang, Malaysia 预测马来西亚槟榔屿PM₁0和PM2.5浓度的机器学习模型的比较分析
IF 2.9 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-02-02 DOI: 10.1007/s11869-026-01915-8
Emmanuel Yohanna, Lim Hwee San

Global health is threatened by air pollution, as particulate matter (PM10 and PM2.5) exposure worsens cardiopulmonary diseases. Malaysia’s haze conditions mandate machine-learning forecasts beyond traditional linear models. This study examines Support Vector Regression (SVR) and Multiple Linear Regression (MLR) using five years of PM10 and PM2.5 monthly averages data (2018–2022) from four regulatory monitoring stations in Pulau Pinang to assess the efficacy of SVR and MLR models in forecasting particulate matter concentrations, predictive accuracy, error characteristics, and robustness in haze events. The analysis incorporates atmospheric and meteorological predictors; carbon monoxide (CO), nitrogen dioxide (NO₂), ozone (O₃), Sulphur dioxide (SO₂), temperature, and aerosol optical depth (AOD). SVR consistently outperformed MLR across all locations, achieving higher coefficient of determination (R² = 0.88–0.99), lower root mean square error (RMSE = 2.1–0.71), and reduced mean absolute error (MAE = 0.96 − 0.28) relative to MLR. A scatter index (SI = 0.080 to 0.040) supports relative performance improvements by enhancing error homogeneity and stability. SVR’s performance index (PI) consistently exceeded MLR’s between 0.66 and 0.89, indicating improved generalization and dependability suggesting that SVR offers better generalization and dependability in its performance. SVR predicted the peak size and onset date of southwest monsoon haze with 50% to 65% accuracy. Seasonal investigations revealed that regional smoke transport and climatic effects increased PM2.5 concentrations during haze events. These findings indicate that SVR is an effective framework for forecasting particulate matter in monsoon-affected urban areas, showing its potential for integration into Malaysia’s real-time air quality warning and haze management systems.

全球健康受到空气污染的威胁,因为接触颗粒物(PM10和PM2.5)会使心肺疾病恶化。马来西亚的雾霾状况需要机器学习预测,而不是传统的线性模型。本研究利用槟榔屿4个监管监测站的5年PM10和PM2.5月平均数据(2018-2022),采用支持向量回归(SVR)和多元线性回归(MLR)方法,评估SVR和MLR模型在雾霾事件中预测颗粒物浓度、预测精度、误差特征和鲁棒性方面的有效性。该分析纳入了大气和气象预报;一氧化碳(CO)、二氧化氮(NO₂)、臭氧(O₃)、二氧化硫(SO₂)、温度和气溶胶光学深度(AOD)。SVR在所有地点均优于MLR,获得较高的决定系数(R²= 0.88-0.99),较低的均方根误差(RMSE = 2.1-0.71),以及相对于MLR而言较低的平均绝对误差(MAE = 0.96 - 0.28)。散点指数(SI = 0.080至0.040)通过增强误差均匀性和稳定性来支持相对的性能改进。SVR的性能指数(PI)在0.66 ~ 0.89之间持续优于MLR,表明SVR的泛化和可靠性有所提高,表明SVR在性能上具有更好的泛化和可靠性。SVR预测西南季风霾的峰值大小和开始日期的准确率为50% ~ 65%。季节性调查显示,区域烟雾输送和气候效应增加了雾霾事件期间PM2.5浓度。这些发现表明,SVR是预测受季风影响的城市地区颗粒物质的有效框架,显示了将其纳入马来西亚实时空气质量预警和雾霾管理系统的潜力。
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引用次数: 0
Assessment of health implications of PM2.5, NO2, and SO2 exposure in Türkiye: A metropolitan and demographic-based approach (2020–2024) <s:1>基耶耶PM2.5、NO2和SO2暴露对健康影响的评估:基于大都市和人口统计学的方法(2020-2024)
IF 2.9 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-01-30 DOI: 10.1007/s11869-026-01887-9
Kemal Ulusoy, S. Levent Kuzu, Neslihan Dogan-Saglamtimur

Air pollution causes various adverse health effects on millions of people every year. This study focused on provinces that house 65% of Türkiye’s population to analyze the trends and potential health impacts of PM2.5, NO2, and SO2. Furthermore, a 2025 health impact forecast was developed based on observed pollutant trends. The health impact assessment was structured around two key variables: population size and population density. Concurrently, trend analysis was differentiated based on the provinces’ metropolitan status. The AirQ + assessment tool identified Hatay and Düzce provinces as having the most significant health impacts. Conversely, SO2 trend analysis demonstrated higher average concentration values within non-metropolitan provinces. Over the five-year study period (2020–2024), specific mortality findings were documented. The highest PM2.5-attributed mortality was due to stroke in the 25–29 age group. In contrast, the highest NO2-attributed mortality was observed for Acute Lower Respiratory Tract Infections (ALRI) in adults aged 30 and over. Analysis revealed that the peak number of pollutant-attributed deaths occurred in 2022. The 2025 forecast offers valuable insights for future pollutant-based health impact assessments, with the outputs presented on a pollutant-oriented basis. The study concludes with various recommendations, ranging from individual protection measures to national-level investment priorities.

空气污染每年对数百万人的健康造成各种不良影响。本研究以占日本人口65%的省份为重点,分析PM2.5、二氧化氮和二氧化硫的趋势和潜在健康影响。此外,根据观察到的污染物趋势,制定了2025年健康影响预测。健康影响评估围绕两个关键变量进行:人口规模和人口密度。同时,根据各省的都市地位进行趋势分析。AirQ +评估工具确定哈塔伊省和省 zce省对健康的影响最为显著。相反,SO2趋势分析显示,非大城市省份的平均浓度较高。在五年的研究期间(2020-2024年),记录了具体的死亡率发现。在25-29岁年龄组中,pm2.5导致的死亡率最高的是中风。相比之下,在30岁及以上的成年人中,急性下呼吸道感染(ALRI)的二氧化氮死亡率最高。分析显示,污染导致的死亡人数高峰出现在2022年。2025年预测为未来基于污染物的健康影响评估提供了宝贵的见解,其产出以污染物为导向。该研究最后提出了各种建议,从个人保护措施到国家一级的投资重点。
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引用次数: 0
Spatial clustering in air quality data accuracy: assessment of low-cost sensors in Lisbon using a novel correlation-distance index 空间聚类在空气质量数据的准确性:评估低成本传感器在里斯本使用一个新的相关距离指数
IF 2.9 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-01-29 DOI: 10.1007/s11869-026-01882-0
Sina Ataee, Myriam Lopes, Maria Isabel Nunes, Sónia Gouveia, Mohammad Vahidi Borji, Helder Relvas

Effective air quality monitoring is essential for ensuring urban environmental comfort and protecting public health, especially within smart-city frameworks. In Lisbon, the performance of low-cost NO₂ and PM10 sensors was assessed using a novel Correlation-Distance Index (CDI) coupled with Principal Component Analysis (PCA) weighting, alongside a demographic-weighted spatial association technique, benchmarked against reference monitoring stations. The analysis began by quantifying the inverse relationship between sensor–sensor correlation and Euclidean distance. This metric was then refined through the integration of PCA-derived weights and local population density, resulting in a composite CDI-PCA score assigned to each sensor. Spatial clustering of these scores identified zones of underperforming sensors, particularly in densely populated downtown and western neighborhoods. When these clusters were compared with census-block population data, there was a statistically significant association between CDI patterns and population density (χ²=406.5, p < 0.001). High-performing sensors were 22.5% more enriched in densely populated areas, indicating that demographic context provides meaningful spatial structure for network optimization, even though the modest effect size suggests the influence of multiple underlying factors. Robustness was verified through seasonal subsampling and leave-one-out cross-validation, confirming that distance-decay patterns and cluster boundaries remain consistent across environmental conditions and are not driven by individual outliers. The results demonstrate that coupling multivariate spatial statistics with demographic context supports targeted sensor calibration and redeployment strategies. Prioritizing high-population areas and dynamically adjusting sensor densities can improve real-time data accuracy and promote more equitable air quality monitoring.

有效的空气质量监测对于确保城市环境舒适和保护公众健康至关重要,特别是在智慧城市框架内。在里斯本,低成本的NO₂和PM10传感器的性能评估使用了一种新的相关距离指数(CDI),结合主成分分析(PCA)加权,以及人口加权空间关联技术,以参考监测站为基准。分析开始于量化传感器-传感器相关和欧几里得距离之间的反比关系。然后,通过整合pca衍生的权重和当地人口密度来改进该指标,从而为每个传感器分配复合CDI-PCA评分。这些分数的空间聚类确定了传感器表现不佳的区域,特别是在人口稠密的市中心和西部社区。当将这些聚类与普查块人口数据进行比较时,CDI模式与人口密度之间存在统计学上显著的关联(χ 2 =406.5, p < 0.001)。在人口密集地区,高性能传感器的丰度高出22.5%,这表明人口背景为网络优化提供了有意义的空间结构,尽管适度的效应大小表明多重潜在因素的影响。鲁棒性通过季节性子抽样和留一交叉验证验证,确认距离衰减模式和集群边界在各种环境条件下保持一致,而不是由个别异常值驱动。结果表明,将多元空间统计与人口背景相结合,可以支持有针对性的传感器校准和重新部署策略。优先考虑人口密集地区和动态调整传感器密度可以提高实时数据的准确性,促进更公平的空气质量监测。
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引用次数: 0
Research on the coordinated development of regional energy-economy-environment-carbon coupling systems 区域能源-经济-环境-碳耦合系统协调发展研究
IF 2.9 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-01-28 DOI: 10.1007/s11869-026-01895-9
Yang Wei, Han Zhang, Yumin Chen, Zhengwei Chang, Jie Zhang

With the accelerated pace of industrialization, energy demand continues to increase, exacerbating the contradictions between economic development and environmental protection. Rising carbon emissions have posed serious challenges to ecosystems. Achieving coordinated development among energy, economy, environment, and carbon emissions is therefore essential for regional sustainable development. Accordingly, this study investigates the coordinated development within the regional energy-economy-environment-carbon (EEEC) coupling system. Firstly, this research integrates energy consumption, economic industrial structure, ecological environmental quality, and carbon emission levels into a unified analytical framework, thereby developing an EEEC coupling system. Secondly, a coupling coordination model is employed to quantitatively assess the level of coordinated development within the regional EEEC system. Then, an optimization model aiming at maximizing the coupling coordination degree is established. This model comprehensively considers multiple constraints, such as economic and energy factors, facilitating the optimization of industrial structures and exploration of sustainable development pathways. Lastly, the developed model is empirically applied to Southwest China to verify its effectiveness. The main findings of this study are as follows: (1) Energy carbon emissions in the Southwest region show an overall upward trend. Electricity is the largest contributor to energy carbon emissions in the region, followed by raw coal, with carbon emission volumes of 76100.59 (({10^8}kgC{O_2}eq)) and 31942.16 (({10^8}kgC{O_2}eq)), respectively. (2) The coupling coordination degree of the Energy-Economy-Environment-Carbon system presents a gradually rising trend. In 2022, the coupling coordination degree across various regions was approximately 0.7; however, it remains in the intermediate coordination stage, indicating that the overall synergy level of the system still has room for further optimization. (3) Industry still holds a relatively large proportion in the industrial structure of various regions. The structures of agriculture, the construction industry, and other industries have improved, with average increases of 0.08%, 0.12%, and 9.88%, respectively.

随着工业化步伐的加快,能源需求不断增加,加剧了经济发展与环境保护之间的矛盾。不断上升的碳排放对生态系统构成了严重挑战。实现能源、经济、环境、碳排放协调发展,是区域可持续发展的必然要求。据此,本研究对区域能源-经济-环境-碳耦合系统内的协调发展进行了研究。首先,本研究将能源消耗、经济产业结构、生态环境质量、碳排放水平整合到一个统一的分析框架中,构建EEEC耦合体系。其次,采用耦合协调模型定量评价区域经济共同体系统内的协调发展水平。然后,建立了以耦合协调度最大化为目标的优化模型。该模型综合考虑了经济、能源等多重约束因素,有利于优化产业结构,探索可持续发展路径。最后,以西南地区为例,验证了模型的有效性。研究结果表明:①西南地区能源碳排放总体呈上升趋势;电力是该地区能源碳排放的最大贡献者,其次是原煤,碳排放量分别为76100.59 (({10^8}kgC{O_2}eq))和31942.16 (({10^8}kgC{O_2}eq))。(2)能源-经济-环境-碳系统的耦合协调度呈逐渐上升的趋势。2022年,各区域间的耦合协调度约为0.7;但仍处于中间协调阶段,说明系统整体协同水平仍有进一步优化的空间。(3)工业在各地区产业结构中的比重仍然较大。农业、建筑业等行业结构优化,平均增长0.08个百分点%, 0.12%, and 9.88%, respectively.
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引用次数: 0
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Air Quality Atmosphere and Health
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