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Validation of the environmental Kuznets curve and role of economic globalization: an aggregate and sectoral analysis of an Indian economy 环境库兹涅茨曲线的验证和经济全球化的作用:对印度经济的总体和部门分析
IF 5.1 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2023-07-08 DOI: 10.1007/s11869-023-01390-5
Ashfaq Ahmad, Muhammad Mobeen Shafqat, Muhammad Ilyas, Muhammad Umair Ashraf, Afshan Urooj, Zhao Yu huan

This research investigates the validation of the environment Kuznets curve (EKC) at aggregate and sectoral levels for the Indian economy both. The study covers the period 1970–2020. The stationarity of the variables was also confirmed by some traditional unit root tests, and structural breaks were also determined by the Zivot-Andrews test. The autoregression distributive lag model (ARDL) bound test is deployed to observe the cointegration between variables with different structural breaks. Additionally, we investigate short-run, long-run, and combined causal relations among the variables by employing the vector error correction model (VECM) test. The results validate the presence of EKC not only at the aggregate level but also at the sectoral level. Moreover, energy consumption increases CO2 emissions, while economic globalization reduces CO2 emissions. The findings reveal that economic globalization is beneficial to environmental quality, while energy consumption hampers it in India. As a result of these findings, policymakers in India should include economic globalization as an essential element in the carbon emissions function while designing an enhanced economic policy framework that leads to low carbon-driven, sustainable, and inclusive economic growth at the aggregate and disaggregated levels.

本研究调查了印度经济在总量和部门层面上的环境库兹涅茨曲线(EKC)的有效性。该研究涵盖1970年至2020年期间。一些传统的单位根检验也证实了变量的平稳性,Zivot-Andrews检验也确定了结构断裂。采用自回归分配滞后模型(ARDL)界检验来观察具有不同结构断裂的变量之间的协整关系。此外,我们通过使用向量误差校正模型(VECM)检验来研究变量之间的短期、长期和组合因果关系。结果不仅在总体层面,而且在部门层面验证了EKC的存在。此外,能源消耗增加了二氧化碳排放,而经济全球化减少了二氧化碳排放。研究结果表明,经济全球化有利于环境质量,而能源消耗阻碍了印度的环境质量。由于这些发现,印度的政策制定者应该将经济全球化作为碳排放职能的一个基本要素,同时设计一个强化的经济政策框架,在总体和分类层面实现低碳驱动、可持续和包容性的经济增长。
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引用次数: 1
(PM_{2.5}) concentrations estimation using machine learning methods with combination of MAIAC - MODIS AOD product - a case study in western Iran 利用机器学习方法结合MAIAC-MODIS AOD产品估算(PM_{2.5})浓度——以伊朗西部为例
IF 5.1 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2023-07-07 DOI: 10.1007/s11869-023-01354-9
Loghman Fathollahi, Falin Wu, Reza Maleki, Barbara Pongracic

The harmful effects of ambient air pollution on human health have been consistently documented by many epidemiological studies around the world, and it is estimated that at least seven million deaths worldwide each year are caused by the effects of air pollution. Harmful airborne particles are identified by the Particulate Matter (PM) parameter, which is a term that used for solid and liquid particles in varying size, shape, composition and with different sources, suspended in the air. The aim of this study is to build (PM_{2.5}) concentrations estimation model with meteorological data such as PBLH, and a combination of two AOD’s data retrieved from MODIS satellite (MAIAC - MODIS AOD product) using machine learning methods. The study area is in the Western part of Iran, where dust storms as one of the most important sources of air pollutants increasing sharply in recent decades, and this increase has caused numerous health and environmental problems. The data period is four years from 1 January 2018 to 31 December 2021, and three machine learning methods, LightGBM, MLP, and Random Forest algorithms were used. For the three typical machine learning methods, the RF model presents the best result by obtaining the lowest RMSE (30.1 (mu g/m^{3})) and MAE (25.0 (mu g/m^{3})) values in combination with the highest (R^{2}) (0.64) value for daily predictions.

世界各地的许多流行病学研究一直记录着环境空气污染对人类健康的有害影响,据估计,全球每年至少有700万人死于空气污染。空气中的有害颗粒物通过颗粒物(PM)参数来识别,该参数用于指悬浮在空气中的不同大小、形状、成分和来源的固体和液体颗粒物。本研究的目的是利用PBLH等气象数据,以及利用机器学习方法从MODIS卫星上获取的两个AOD数据(MAIAC-MODIS AOD产品)的组合,建立PM_{2.5}浓度估计模型。研究区域位于伊朗西部,近几十年来,沙尘暴作为最重要的空气污染物来源之一急剧增加,这种增加造成了许多健康和环境问题。数据期为四年,从2018年1月1日至2021年12月31日,使用了三种机器学习方法,LightGBM、MLP和随机森林算法。对于三种典型的机器学习方法,RF模型通过获得最低的RMSE(30.1(mu g/m^{3}))和MAE(25.0(mug/m^{3}))值以及最高的(R^{2})(0.64)值来进行日常预测,从而呈现出最佳结果。
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引用次数: 0
Emission inventory of air pollutants from residential coal combustion over the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region in 2020 京津冀地区2020年居民燃煤大气污染物排放清单
IF 5.1 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2023-07-05 DOI: 10.1007/s11869-023-01375-4
Ruting Zhang, Chuanmin Chen, Songtao Liu, Huacheng Wu, Weiqing Zhou, Peng Li

To investigate the atmospheric pollutant emission from residential coal combustion (RCC) in BTH region in 2020, based on the bottom-up methodology, a high spatial and temporal resolution air pollutant emission inventory was established. The results showed that the emissions of PM10, PM2.5, BC, OC, CO, NOx, SO2, and VOCs in BTH region in 2020 were 19.58, 15.67, 2.98, 8.33, 296.96, 3.51, 36.67, and 5.87 million tons, respectively. Chengde contributed the most PM2.5, BC, OC, and VOCs in BTH region, accounted for 11.48%, 13.71%, 11.52%, and 12.72%, respectively. While Shijiazhuang contributed the most PM10, CO, NOx, and SO2 in BTH region, accounted for 11.55%, 11.60%, 11.55%, and 12.10%, respectively. The spatial distribution characteristics of pollutants showed that high emissions concentrated in northern, eastern, and southern areas of BTH region. Based on the time distribution factor obtained from the long-term follow-up survey data of RCC of households in BTH region, the annual emissions of different cities were allocated according to the temporal resolution of monthly, daily, and hourly. It was found that for each pollutant, the highest emissions appeared in January; the higher emissions occurred in mid-December, early January, and mid-February; and the peak emission appeared at 8:00, 11:00, 18:00, and 21:00. Furthermore, the uncertainty analysis of the emission inventory was carried out by using the Monte Carlo method. This study provides a more high temporal and spatial resolution emission inventory of RCC for air quality model, which can accurately simulate regional pollutant emission scenarios.

为了调查BTH地区2020年居民燃煤大气污染物排放情况,基于自下而上的方法,建立了高时空分辨率的大气污染物排放清单。结果显示,2020年BTH地区PM10、PM2.5、BC、OC、CO、NOx、SO2和VOCs的排放量分别为19.58、15.67、2.98、8.33、296.96、351、3667和587万吨。承德地区PM2.5、BC、OC和VOCs的贡献率最高,分别为11.48%、13.71%、11.52%和12.72%。而石家庄对BTH地区PM10、CO、NOx和SO2的贡献最大,分别占11.55%、11.60%、11.55%和12.10%。污染物的空间分布特征表明,高排放集中在BTH区域的北部、东部和南部。基于BTH地区家庭RCC长期跟踪调查数据获得的时间分布因子,按照月、日、小时的时间分辨率对不同城市的年排放量进行分配。研究发现,对于每种污染物,1月份的排放量最高;较高的排放发生在12月中旬、1月初和2月中旬;峰值发射出现在8:00、11:00、18:00和21:00。此外,采用蒙特卡罗方法对排放清单进行了不确定性分析。本研究为空气质量模型提供了一个更高时空分辨率的RCC排放清单,可以准确模拟区域污染物排放情景。
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引用次数: 0
Design and development of a PM10 multi-inlet cyclone and comparison with reference cyclones PM10多入口旋流器的设计与开发及与参考旋流器的比较
IF 5.1 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2023-06-26 DOI: 10.1007/s11869-023-01384-3
Prashant Patel, Shankar G. Aggarwal, Thi-Cuc Le, Khem Singh, Daya Soni, Chuen-Jinn Tsai

Size-segregated sampling of particulate matter (PM) using impactor suffers from D50 cutoff shift due to particle loading and re-entrainment problems. Cyclonic separation is a viable option to overcome the above problem. However, conventional reverse flow cyclone design having a single inlet and upward-facing outlet also presents a common issue of sample (particle) loss during sampling and requires several arrangements to convert it into an efficient PM sampler. Therefore, here we present a high-volume (HV) PM10 multi-inlet cyclone (MIC) design with a downward-facing outlet, which overcomes existing problems and has additional advantages, such as omnidirectional sampling where a filter collector is placed in a straight line below the cyclone outlet to minimize sample loss. Moreover, like the existing USEPA reference low-volume PM2.5 sampler inlet design, which consists of 2-impactor stages (PM10 followed by PM2.5) in a straight path, this developed HV PM10 MIC sampler can accommodate a second size fractionator (e.g., PM2.5 impactor) to sample finer-size PM on a filter. D50 cutoff of developed PM10 MIC is numerically and experimentally investigated. Since the study regarding cutoff size of another type PM10 cyclone, called respirable dust sampler (RDS) is not available in the public domain and is widely used for PM10 monitoring in India, we investigated its cutoff size empirically and experimentally, and also performed field comparisons. Collocating field evaluation of PM10 MIC and PM10 RDS cyclone was done under a wide range of particle mass loading, and results were compared with USEPA-approved high-volume PM10 impactor sampler and with a real-time particle sizer. The D50 cutoff of PM10 MIC is experimentally achieved to be 9.89 ± 0.3 µm, which is close to 9.94 µm predicted numerically and lies in the range of 9.5–10.5 µm size measured by others for PM10 impactor sampler (USEPA). The D50 cutoff of the PM10 RDS cyclone is experimentally determined to be 3.56 ± 0.1 µm, which is surprisingly lower than its claimed cutoff of 10 µm mentioned in numerous articles, where it has been used for air quality reporting and studies related to aerosol science. The field comparison correlation of PM10 MIC for PM10-2.5 levels with PM10 sampler (USEPA) (R = 0.99) and particle sizer (R = 0.94) correlated well, and the mean deviations are found to be 6.2% and 3%, respectively. While PM10 (RDS) cyclone poorly correlates (R = 0.67), and the mean deviation is 68%. Overall, the developed PM10 MIC overcomes issues associated with existing impactor and conventional cyclone sampler, and can be a better option for high-volume PM10 sampling, especially under a wide range of amb

由于颗粒负载和再夹带问题,使用冲击器对颗粒物(PM)进行尺寸分离取样时会发生D50截止偏移。旋风分离是克服上述问题的可行选择。然而,具有单个入口和向上出口的传统逆流旋流器设计也存在采样期间样品(颗粒)损失的常见问题,并且需要多种布置来将其转换为有效的PM采样器。因此,我们提出了一种具有向下出口的高容量(HV)PM10多入口旋风分离器(MIC)设计,它克服了现有的问题,并具有额外的优势,例如全向采样,其中过滤器收集器放置在旋风分离器出口下方的直线上,以最大限度地减少样品损失。此外,与美国环保局现有的参考低体积PM2.5采样器入口设计一样,该设计由直线路径中的两个冲击器级(PM10和PM2.5)组成,该开发的HV PM10 MIC采样器可以容纳第二尺寸的分馏器(例如PM2.5冲击器),以在过滤器上对更细尺寸的PM进行采样。对所开发的PM10 MIC的D50截止进行了数值和实验研究。由于关于另一种类型的PM10气旋(称为可吸入粉尘采样器(RDS))的截止尺寸的研究在公共领域不可用,并且在印度广泛用于PM10监测,我们对其截止尺寸进行了实证和实验研究,并进行了现场比较。在大范围的颗粒物质量负荷下,对PM10 MIC和PM10 RDS旋流器进行了配置场评估,并将结果与美国环保局批准的大容量PM10冲击采样器和实时粒度仪进行了比较。PM10 MIC的D50截止值通过实验达到9.89 ± 0.3µm,接近数值预测的9.94µm,在其他人为PM10冲击采样器(USEPA)测量的9.5–10.5µm范围内。PM10 RDS旋风分离器的D50截止值通过实验确定为3.56 ± 0.1µm,这比许多文章中提到的10µm的临界值低得惊人,在许多文章中,它被用于空气质量报告和气溶胶科学相关研究。PM10 MIC与PM10采样器(USEPA)(R = 0.99)和粒度仪(R = 0.94)相关良好,平均偏差分别为6.2%和3%。而PM10(RDS)气旋相关性较差(R = 0.67),平均偏差为68%。总体而言,所开发的PM10 MIC克服了与现有冲击器和传统旋风采样器相关的问题,并且可以是大容量PM10采样的更好选择,尤其是在大范围的环境条件下,特别是在颗粒质量负载持续较高的情况下。
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引用次数: 0
Applying an air curtain to reduce surgical smoke concentration 应用空气幕降低手术烟雾浓度
IF 5.1 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2023-06-26 DOI: 10.1007/s11869-023-01383-4
Xuan-Huy Ninh, Hung-Yu Tzeng, Tak-Wah Wong, Yu-Ting Wu, Yao-Lung Kuo, Ming-Yeng Lin

Operation room personnel are exposed to high concentrations of surgical smoke during electrosurgery and laser treatment. Surgical smoke contains viral aerosol, particulate matter, volatile organic compounds, and microorganisms. Current local exhaust ventilation control methods can be noisy, bulky, and expensive. In this study, we are the first to build a cost-effective air curtain device to remove surgical smoke. Experiments were conducted in an operating room by cutting porcine samples with electrosurgical units. An air curtain system was installed below the surgical light. We measured the particle number and mass concentrations in the breathing zone. The concentrations were recorded under four scenarios: no control, commercial smoke evacuation pencil, low-velocity air curtain, and high-velocity air curtain. Results indicate that the air curtain reduces the concentration of particulate matter and produces less noise than commercial smoke evacuation pencils. The particle number removal efficiencies for the smoke evacuation pencil, low-velocity air curtain, and high-velocity air curtain were 88.52%, 70.79%, and 91.29%, respectively. The respective PM2.5 removal efficiencies were 90.92%, 85.38%, and 97.99%. Thus, installing an air curtains under surgical lights is a promising method for reducing surgical smoke and protecting medical personnel.

在电外科手术和激光治疗过程中,手术室工作人员暴露在高浓度的手术烟雾中。手术烟雾含有病毒气溶胶、颗粒物、挥发性有机化合物和微生物。目前的局部排气通风控制方法可能噪音大、体积大、成本高。在这项研究中,我们率先构建了一种具有成本效益的空气幕装置来去除手术烟雾。实验是在手术室里用电外科装置切割猪的样本进行的。手术灯下面安装了一个空气幕系统。我们测量了呼吸区中的粒子数量和质量浓度。浓度记录在四种情况下:无控制、商业烟雾疏散笔、低速空气幕和高速空气幕。结果表明,与商用排烟笔相比,空气幕降低了颗粒物的浓度,产生的噪音更小。排烟笔、低速空气幕和高速空气幕的颗粒数去除率分别为88.52%、70.79%和91.29%。PM2.5的去除率分别为90.92%、85.38%和97.99%。因此,在手术灯下安装空气幕是减少手术烟雾和保护医务人员的一种很有前途的方法。
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引用次数: 0
Modelling approaches to particle deposition and clearance in the human respiratory tract 人类呼吸道颗粒沉积和清除的建模方法
IF 5.1 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2023-06-24 DOI: 10.1007/s11869-023-01386-1
Mihalis Lazaridis

Dosimetry models for the estimation of particle deposition in the human respiratory tract (RT) in conjunction with clearance transport models are vital components to relate human exposure with internal dose in a quantitative manner. The current work highlights knowledge and modelling approaches on particle deposition and translocation in the human body in an effort to determine health risks in respect to different particle physicochemical properties and human physiology parameters. These include breathing conditions, variability of the geometry of the RT, chemical composition and size of deposits. Different dosimetry modelling approaches have been studied including empirical formulations, one-dimensional flow modelling and computational fluid dynamic methods (CFD). The importance of a realistic modelling of hygroscopicity has been also investigated. A better understanding of the relationship between health effects and inhaled particle dose may be elaborated using dosimetry and clearance modelling tools. A future required approach is to combine dosimetry models with physiologically based pharmacokinetic models (PBPK) to simulate the transport and cumulative dose of particle-bound chemical species in different organs and tissues of the human body.

用于估计人体呼吸道(RT)中颗粒沉积的剂量测定模型与清除转运模型是以定量方式将人体暴露与内部剂量联系起来的重要组成部分。目前的工作重点介绍了颗粒在人体内沉积和迁移的知识和建模方法,以确定不同颗粒物理化学性质和人体生理参数的健康风险。这些包括呼吸条件、RT几何形状的可变性、化学成分和沉积物的大小。已经研究了不同的剂量测定建模方法,包括经验公式、一维流动建模和计算流体动力学方法(CFD)。还研究了吸湿性真实建模的重要性。可以使用剂量测定和清除率建模工具来更好地理解健康影响和吸入颗粒物剂量之间的关系。未来需要的方法是将剂量测定模型与基于生理学的药代动力学模型(PBPK)相结合,以模拟人体不同器官和组织中颗粒结合化学物质的运输和累积剂量。
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引用次数: 0
Temporal distribution characteristics of odorous compounds in swine houses of South Korea 韩国猪舍气味化合物的时间分布特征
IF 5.1 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2023-06-24 DOI: 10.1007/s11869-023-01387-0
Sung-Chul Seo, Woo-Je Lee, Doo-Young Kim, Ki-Youn Kim

Currently odor problems caused by animal feeding operation play a role in provoking environmental civil petition. The objectives of this study were to investigate the monthly distribution characteristics of 22 offensive odor compounds in swine houses, which are under regulation in Korea, and to compare their levels according to ventilation type and manure treatment mode. During the 1 year survey between July 2021 and June 2022, air samples were collected. In this study, ammonia was observed at the highest levels (the annual mean, 13.9 × 103 ppb) among other offensive odorous compound regardless of the types of swine house and seasons, followed by fatty acids (139.9 ppb), sulfuric odorous compounds (52.3 ppb), volatile organic compounds (27.5 ppb), and trimethyl amine (24.5 ppb). Furthermore, hydrogen sulfide among sulfur compounds, methyl ethyl ketone among volatile organic compounds, and propionic acid and n-butylic acid among fatty acids were observed to the highest level of several hundreds of ppb. In particular, five aldehydes (acetaldehyde, propionaldehyde, butyraldehyde, n-valeraldehyde, and i-valeraldehyde) among the 22 offensive odor-generating compounds were not detected in any season. The levels of odorous compounds were the highest in winter (Dec.–Feb.) and lowest in summer (June–Aug.). For comparison of overall distribution regarding concentrations of odorous compounds by ventilation type and manure removal mode, relatively lower concentrations were observed in swine houses with forced ventilation or with scrapper type. Our findings indicate that annual monitoring for these odorous compounds would be necessary for establishment of control strategy. Also, installation of active ventilation, as well as the increase of removal frequency of pig manure could contribute to lower concentrations of odorous compounds in swine buildings.

目前,动物饲养引起的气味问题引发了环境民事诉讼。本研究的目的是调查韩国监管猪舍中22种恶臭化合物的月度分布特征,并根据通风类型和粪肥处理模式对其水平进行比较。在2021年7月至2022年6月的一年调查中,收集了空气样本。在这项研究中,无论猪舍类型和季节如何,在其他令人反感的气味化合物中,氨的含量最高(年平均值13.9×103ppb),其次是脂肪酸(139.9ppb)、硫酸气味化合物(52.3ppb)、挥发性有机化合物(27.5ppb)和三甲胺(24.5ppb)。此外,硫化合物中的硫化氢、挥发性有机化合物中的甲乙酮以及脂肪酸中的丙酸和正丁酸被观察到数百ppb的最高水平。特别是,在22种产生难闻气味的化合物中,有5种醛(乙醛、丙醛、丁醛、正戊醛和异戊醛)在任何季节都没有被检测到。气味化合物的水平在冬季(12月至2月)最高,在夏季(6月至8月)最低。为了比较通风类型和粪肥去除模式的气味化合物浓度的总体分布,在强制通风或刮粪器类型的猪舍中观察到相对较低的浓度。我们的研究结果表明,对这些气味化合物进行年度监测对于制定控制策略是必要的。此外,安装主动通风,以及增加猪粪的清除频率,都有助于降低猪舍中气味化合物的浓度。
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引用次数: 0
Characterizing and interpreting the spatial variation of traffic pollution in urban non-motorized lanes using mobile measurements 利用移动测量表征和解释城市非机动车道交通污染的空间变化
IF 5.1 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2023-06-23 DOI: 10.1007/s11869-023-01382-5
Ruhui Cao, Binru Luo, Kaixuan Liu, Zhanyong Wang, Ming Cai, Xisheng Hu, Jinqiang Xu, Zhongmou Fan

The ongoing improvement of urban air quality urgently needs refined understanding of air pollution variation. For urban roads, due to the changeable traffic flow and complex road environments, commuters usually confront with a direct but uncertain exposure to traffic-induced air pollutants. However, the current lack of fine-grained measurements and reliable analytical methods restricts our knowledge of road air pollution risk. Therefore, we designed a bicycling experiment to collect fine-scale concentration samples of PM2.5, PM10, and black carbon (BC) in non-motorized lanes beside an expressway. Mobile measurements revealed high particle pollution at the building-intensive roadside, and the background pollution concentration removal clarified high-polluted sections. Generalized additive models demonstrated that the background pollution concentrations dominated the overall pattern of particles, and meteorological factors had significant but varied impacts on local variations of particles. Riverside winds lowered PM2.5 and PM10 levels most time, while BC was more affected by roadside greenery, distance from roadway and diesel vehicles. At the hotspots, an increase of 100 diesel vehicles per hour could increase roadside BC by about 2% per kilometer but brought no obvious increase in PM2.5 and PM10. These results confirm the availability of mobile measurements and generalized additive models in high-resolution pollution analysis, and are beneficial to countermeasures of reducing personal exposure risk of slow-moving traffic.

城市空气质量的持续改善迫切需要对空气污染变化有更深入的了解。对于城市道路来说,由于交通流量的变化和道路环境的复杂性,通勤者通常会直接但不确定地暴露在交通诱导的空气污染物中。然而,目前缺乏精细的测量和可靠的分析方法,限制了我们对道路空气污染风险的了解。因此,我们设计了一个骑自行车的实验来收集高速公路旁非机动车道上PM2.5、PM10和黑碳(BC)的精细浓度样本。移动测量显示,建筑密集型路边的颗粒物污染较高,背景污染浓度的去除澄清了高污染路段。广义加性模型表明,背景污染浓度主导了颗粒物的总体模式,气象因素对颗粒物的局部变化有显著但不同的影响。河滨风在大多数时候都降低了PM2.5和PM10水平,而BC更受路边绿化、距离道路和柴油车的影响。在热点地区,每小时增加100辆柴油车可能会使路边BC每公里增加约2%,但PM2.5和PM10没有明显增加。这些结果证实了移动测量和广义加性模型在高分辨率污染分析中的可用性,有利于降低慢速交通的个人暴露风险。
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引用次数: 0
Independent and combined effects of PM2.5 and its constituents on preterm birth: a retrospective study in a seaside city PM2.5及其成分对早产的独立和综合影响:一项海滨城市的回顾性研究
IF 5.1 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2023-06-22 DOI: 10.1007/s11869-023-01363-8
Chao Dong, Mingzhi Zhang, Yuhong Zhang, Xiaochen Zhang, Yin Zhuang, Yifen Wang, Qian Qian, Wei Li, Yanyan Yu, Yankai Xia

Mounting studies explored associations between fine particulate matter (PM2.5) and preterm birth (PTB); however, individual and combined impacts of PM2.5 constituents on PTB were less known. PM2.5 and its seven constituents were assessed by V4.CH.02 product of the Dalhousie University Atmospheric Composition Analysis Group, a dataset containing combined geophysical-statistical estimates of PM2.5 across China. Effects of PM2.5 and its constituents on PTB and gestational age were firstly explored. Furthermore, weighted quantile sum (WQS) regression was conducted to reveal the impacts of total PM2.5 mass and identify contributing constituents. An interquartile range (IQR) increase in PM2.5 was associated with increased odds ratio (OR) of PTB. PM2.5 constituents were widely associated with PTB and reduced gestational age, with different time window. The total mass of PM2.5 (per IQR increment) in the first and the second trimester was positively associated with PTB by WQS regression (Trimester 1: OR = 1.38, 95%CI: 1.15, 1.65; Trimester 2: OR = 1.47, 95%CI: 1.21, 1.79). The most contributing factors were black carbon in the first trimester and sulphate ion in the second trimester, respectively. Especially, sea salt was identified as contributing constituent during the first trimester. The study indicated that prenatal exposure to PM2.5 and its constituents was individually and jointly associated with PTB and reduced gestational age. Sea salt was firstly identified as a risk factor of PTB in the seaside city, which needs further exploration.

越来越多的研究探讨了细颗粒物(PM2.5)与早产(PTB)之间的关系;然而,PM2.5成分对PTB的单独和综合影响尚不清楚。PM2.5及其七种成分由达尔豪斯大学大气成分分析小组的V4.CH.02产品进行了评估,该数据集包含了中国PM2.5的综合地球物理统计估计。首次探讨了PM2.5及其成分对PTB和胎龄的影响。此外,还进行了加权分位数和(WQS)回归,以揭示PM2.5总质量的影响并确定贡献成分。PM2.5的四分位间距(IQR)增加与PTB的比值比(OR)增加有关。PM2.5成分与PTB和胎龄降低有着广泛的相关性,具有不同的时间窗口。通过WQS回归,妊娠早期和中期的PM2.5总质量(每IQR增量)与PTB呈正相关(妊娠1:OR = 1.38,95%置信区间:1.15,1.65;学期2:OR = 1.47,95%可信区间:1.21,1.79)。最主要的影响因素分别是妊娠早期的炭黑和妊娠中期的硫酸根离子。特别是,在妊娠早期,海盐被确定为主要成分。研究表明,产前暴露于PM2.5及其成分与PTB和胎龄降低单独或共同相关。在海滨城市,海盐首次被确定为PTB的危险因素,需要进一步探索。
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引用次数: 0
An ensemble NLSTM-based model for PM2.5 concentrations prediction considering feature extraction and data decomposition 考虑特征提取和数据分解的基于NLSTM的PM2.5浓度预测集成模型
IF 5.1 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2023-06-21 DOI: 10.1007/s11869-023-01385-2
Rui Zhang, Norhashidah Awang

Fine particulate matter (PM2.5) is a hazardous air pollutant with an aerodynamic diameter of 2.5 μm or less, which can lead to severe health impacts such as cardiovascular disease, respiratory illnesses, and various types of cancer. Therefore, accurate forecasting of PM2.5 concentrations is crucial for public health and policy-making. However, due to the stochastic nature of PM2.5, achieving high prediction accuracy and efficiency remains a challenge. To address this challenge, this study proposes a hybrid deep learning model consisting of principal component analysis (PCA), discrete stationary wavelet transform (DSWT), and Nested LSTM (NLSTM) neural network to predict PM2.5 concentrations. The proposed model aims to leverage the strengths of each technique to achieve better accuracy and efficiency in PM2.5 forecasting. Specifically, PCA is employed as the feature extraction method to reduce the dimensionality of the data and improve computing efficiency. Additionally, DSWT is utilized to decompose the reduced-dimensional data into several sub-signals that are more regular and stable, enabling the NLSTM network to learn each sub-signal separately. Finally, the predicted values of each sub-signal are reconstructed to obtain the final PM2.5 forecast. The proposed model is validated using daily air pollutants and meteorological variables collected in Taiyuan, China, from January 1, 2016, to December 31, 2020. The long-term, medium-term, and short-term forecast results demonstrate that the proposed model achieves better accuracy and efficiency compared to existing models. Overall, the proposed hybrid deep learning model provides a promising solution for accurate and efficient forecasting of PM2.5 concentrations, and the findings of this study have important implications for public health and environmental policy.

细颗粒物(PM2.5)是一种空气动力学直径为2.5μm或更小的有害空气污染物,可导致严重的健康影响,如心血管疾病、呼吸道疾病和各种类型的癌症。因此,准确预测PM2.5浓度对公共卫生和政策制定至关重要。然而,由于PM2.5的随机性,实现高预测精度和效率仍然是一个挑战。为了应对这一挑战,本研究提出了一种混合深度学习模型,该模型由主成分分析(PCA)、离散平稳小波变换(DSWT)和嵌套LSTM(NLSTM)神经网络组成,用于预测PM2.5浓度。所提出的模型旨在利用每种技术的优势,在PM2.5预测中实现更好的准确性和效率。具体而言,PCA被用作特征提取方法,以降低数据的维数并提高计算效率。此外,DSWT用于将降维数据分解为更规则和稳定的几个子信号,使NLSTM网络能够单独学习每个子信号。最后,对每个子信号的预测值进行重构,得到最终的PM2.5预测值。使用2016年1月1日至2020年12月31日在中国太原收集的每日空气污染物和气象变量对所提出的模型进行了验证。长期、中期和短期预测结果表明,与现有模型相比,该模型具有更好的准确性和效率。总体而言,所提出的混合深度学习模型为准确有效地预测PM2.5浓度提供了一个很有前途的解决方案,本研究的结果对公共卫生和环境政策具有重要意义。
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引用次数: 1
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Air Quality Atmosphere and Health
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