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Robust economic design of NP-chart under different process and economic parameters scenarios 不同工艺和经济参数情景下np图的稳健经济设计
IF 2.8 2区 工程技术 Q3 ENGINEERING, INDUSTRIAL Pub Date : 2022-06-07 DOI: 10.1080/16843703.2022.2072632
A. Attia, M. A. Abdel-Aal
ABSTRACT Control charts are one of the most commonly used statistical process control (SPC) tools in industry or service sectors to improve quality and productivity. The control chart design of a particular process is a well-established and vibrant area of research. It considers the techniques that allow decision-makers to decide on the optimal values of the design parameters. However, these design techniques are not reliable in a dynamic production environment. In such cases, the Robust Economic Control Chart Design (RECCD) approach is more reliable because it considers all possible scenarios of model parameters. This paper aims to develop a RECCD model for np-chart design to mitigate the risks associated with the uncertainty in the economic and process parameters of the production environment. A case study from an automotive manufacturer is used, and sensitivity analysis is carried out to show the effectiveness of the RECCD technique for the np-chart design. It has been shown that the proposed approach can achieve a 45.56% reduction in the total cost compared to the traditional design.
摘要控制图是工业或服务业中最常用的统计过程控制(SPC)工具之一,用于提高质量和生产力。特定过程的控制图设计是一个成熟而充满活力的研究领域。它考虑了允许决策者决定设计参数的最佳值的技术。然而,这些设计技术在动态生产环境中是不可靠的。在这种情况下,鲁棒经济控制图设计(RECCD)方法更可靠,因为它考虑了模型参数的所有可能情况。本文旨在开发一个用于np图设计的RECCD模型,以减轻与生产环境的经济和工艺参数的不确定性相关的风险。通过一个汽车制造商的案例研究,并进行了灵敏度分析,以表明RECCD技术在np图设计中的有效性。研究表明,与传统设计相比,所提出的方法可以使总成本降低45.56%。
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引用次数: 2
Monitoring the multivariate coefficient of variation in presence of autocorrelation with variable parameters control charts 用可变参数控制图监测存在自相关的多变量变异系数
IF 2.8 2区 工程技术 Q3 ENGINEERING, INDUSTRIAL Pub Date : 2022-06-01 DOI: 10.1080/16843703.2022.2075193
H. Sabahno, G. Celano
ABSTRACT The coefficient of variation is a very important process parameter in many processes. A few control charts have been considered so far for monitoring its multivariate counterpart, i.e., the multivariate coefficient of variation (MCV). In addition, autocorrelation is very likely to occur in processes with high sampling frequency. Hence, designing suitable control charts and investigating the effect of autocorrelation on these charts is necessary. However, no control chart has been developed so far for the coefficient of variation that is capable of accounting for autocorrelation in either univariate or multivariate cases. This paper fills the gap by developing multivariate Shewhart-type control charts to monitor MCV with different autocorrelation structures for the observations: vector autoregressive, vector moving average, and vector mixed autoregressive and moving average. In addition, we add variable parameters adaptive features to the Shewhart-type scheme, in order to improve its performance. We develop a Markov chain model to get the statistical performance measures; then, we perform extensive numerical analyses to evaluate the effect of autocorrelation on adaptive and non-adaptive charts in the presence of downward and upward MCV shifts. Finally, we present an illustrative example from a healthcare process to show the implementation of this scheme in real practice.
在许多过程中,变异系数是一个非常重要的过程参数。到目前为止,已经考虑了一些控制图来监测其多变量对应物,即多变量变异系数(MCV)。此外,在具有高采样频率的过程中,很可能发生自相关。因此,设计合适的控制图并研究自相关对这些图的影响是必要的。然而,到目前为止,还没有开发出能够在单变量或多变量情况下解释自相关的变异系数的控制图。本文通过开发多变量休哈特型控制图来监测具有不同自相关结构的MCV,以填补这一空白:向量自回归、向量移动平均以及向量混合自回归和移动平均。此外,我们在休哈特型方案中添加了可变参数自适应特征,以提高其性能。我们开发了一个马尔可夫链模型来获得统计性能度量;然后,我们进行了广泛的数值分析,以评估在MCV向下和向上移动的情况下,自相关对自适应和非自适应图的影响。最后,我们给出了一个医疗过程的示例,以展示该方案在实际实践中的实施。
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引用次数: 4
Mechanism equivalence analysis for accelerated degradation tests based on tweedie exponential dispersion process 基于指数离散过程的加速降解试验机理等效分析
IF 2.8 2区 工程技术 Q3 ENGINEERING, INDUSTRIAL Pub Date : 2022-05-18 DOI: 10.1080/16843703.2022.2071536
Han Wang, Xiaobing Ma, Rui Bao, K. Zhou
ABSTRACT Mechanism equivalence analysis, focusing on the underlying quantitative relationship between degradation model parameters under different stress levels when the accelerated failure mechanism remains unchanged, has been developed and adopted widely in accelerated degradation tests (ADTs) over recent years. For a specific degradation process, the mechanism equivalence conditions can be derived based on the acceleration factor invariant principle and further utilized to test whether the accelerated failure mechanism remains unchanged or not under different stress levels. In this paper, a unified form of the mechanism equivalence conditions for commonly-used stochastic process models is derived based on Tweedie exponential dispersion process. The unified form can cover the conditions of Wiener, Gamma and inverse Gaussian processes, etc. Based on this, a complete procedure for mechanism equivalence test of ADT is proposed through the joint application of normality test and parameter hypothesis tests. In this way, the availability of the ADT data can be distinguished before using them for lifetime prediction of products. In addition, the effects caused by degradation model mis-specification and ADT data misuse are further analyzed from the perspective of relative error. A simulation example and two real-world case studies are used to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed methods.
摘要:近年来,机构等效分析在加速退化试验中得到了广泛的发展和采用,该分析侧重于在加速失效机制不变的情况下,不同应力水平下退化模型参数之间的潜在定量关系。对于特定的退化过程,可以基于加速因子不变原理推导出机制等效条件,并进一步用于测试加速失效机制在不同应力水平下是否保持不变。本文基于Tweedie指数离散过程,导出了常用随机过程模型的机制等价条件的统一形式。统一形式可以覆盖Wiener、Gamma和逆高斯过程等条件。在此基础上,通过正态性检验和参数假设检验的联合应用,提出了ADT机构等效性检验的完整程序。通过这种方式,在将ADT数据用于产品寿命预测之前,可以区分其可用性。此外,从相对误差的角度进一步分析了退化模型不规范和ADT数据误用造成的影响。通过一个仿真实例和两个真实世界的案例研究来证明所提出方法的有效性。
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引用次数: 1
The alpha power Weibull transformation distribution applied to describe the behavior of electronic devices under voltage stress profile 用于描述电压应力分布下电子器件行为的α-幂-威布尔变换分布
IF 2.8 2区 工程技术 Q3 ENGINEERING, INDUSTRIAL Pub Date : 2022-05-17 DOI: 10.1080/16843703.2022.2071526
L. C. Méndez-González, L. A. Rodríguez-Picón, I. J. C. Pérez-Olguín, L. Pérez-Domínguez, David Luviano Cruz
ABSTRACT This paper presents a life-stress methodology that models the failure rate in the form of a bathtub curve. The model consists of the Alpha Power Transformation (APT), which adds an extra parameter to the probability distributions to achieve better flexibility in the representation in the data analysis. To build the life–stress relationship, the APT is combined with the Weibull Distribution (WD) and the Inverse Power Law (IPL) as a stress model to relate the data from the accelerated life tests (ALT), thus presenting the APTW-IPL. Statistical properties of the APTW-IPL are analyzed and discussed. For the parameter estimation of APTW-IPL, the Maximum Likelihood Estimator was used. On the other hand, to test the efficacy of the APTW-IPL, the model is compared with other methodologies that describe the behavior of the bathtub curve in two case studies related to determining the behavior of electronic devices that were subjected to ALT. The results show that the APTW-IPL can be a good option for reliability analysis in electronic devices. It represents the failure times in the form of a bathtub curve, the value of MTTF, and fitting the distribution to the case study data.
摘要本文提出了一种寿命应力方法,该方法以浴缸曲线的形式对故障率进行建模。该模型由阿尔法功率变换(APT)组成,它在概率分布中添加了一个额外的参数,以在数据分析中实现更好的表示灵活性。为了建立寿命-应力关系,APT与威布尔分布(WD)和逆幂律(IPL)相结合,作为应力模型,将加速寿命测试(ALT)的数据关联起来,从而呈现APTW-IPL。分析和讨论了APTW-IPL的统计特性。对于APTW-IPL的参数估计,使用了最大似然估计。另一方面,为了测试APTW-IPL的有效性,在两个与确定受ALT影响的电子设备的行为相关的案例研究中,将该模型与描述浴缸曲线行为的其他方法进行了比较。结果表明,APTW-ISL可以是电子设备可靠性分析的一个很好的选择。它以浴缸曲线的形式表示故障次数,MTTF的值,并将分布拟合到案例研究数据中。
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引用次数: 6
Estimation of P(Y 对数正态分布中P(Y<X)的估计
IF 2.8 2区 工程技术 Q3 ENGINEERING, INDUSTRIAL Pub Date : 2022-05-04 DOI: 10.1080/16843703.2022.2052585
Y. Tripathi, C. Petropoulos, M. Jha
ABSTRACT The problem of estimating a stress-strength parameter is considered under the assumption that both stress and strength variables follow independent lognormal distributions. The maximum likelihood estimator of this parametric function is obtained and based on its asymptotic distribution, approximate intervals are constructed. Properties of a heuristic estimator are studied as well. Bootstrap intervals are also constructed. Bayes estimator is derived against proper and improper prior distributions. We further compute credible intervals of stress–strength parameter using importance sampling. The empirical Bayes procedure is also discussed. Proposed point and interval estimators are compared numerically using Monte Carlo simulations. Analysis of a real data set is presented for illustration purposes.
在假定应力和强度变量均服从独立对数正态分布的情况下,研究了应力-强度参数的估计问题。得到了该参数函数的极大似然估计量,并根据其渐近分布构造了近似区间。研究了启发式估计器的性质。还构造了引导区间。针对合适和不合适的先验分布分别导出了贝叶斯估计量。进一步利用重要抽样法计算应力-强度参数的可信区间。本文还讨论了经验贝叶斯方法。用蒙特卡罗模拟对所提出的点估计和区间估计进行了数值比较。为了说明目的,本文给出了一个真实数据集的分析。
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引用次数: 2
An M/G/1 queueing model with k sequential heterogeneous service steps and vacations in the transient state 具有k个连续异构服务步骤和暂态休假的M/G/1队列模型
IF 2.8 2区 工程技术 Q3 ENGINEERING, INDUSTRIAL Pub Date : 2022-04-26 DOI: 10.1080/16843703.2021.1981529
Ali Mohammadi, M. R. Salehi Rad
ABSTRACT This article studies a transient state queueing model with sequential heterogeneous service phase and vacations. According to a Poisson process, entrants, each arrival is serviced sequentially in k phases in the order of arrival. The service times follow a general distribution function. Upon completion of the service, the server could take a vacation with the probability and remain in the system to provide service to other customers with the probability . For this model, first, we obtain the Laplace transform of the probability generating functions. The probability generating functions of system sizes are obtained for a special case in the transient state. The mean system size is obtained by using numerical analysis. Then, the sensitivity of the model is considered.
摘要研究了一种具有异构服务阶段和休假条件的瞬态队列模型。根据泊松过程,进入者,每次到达按到达顺序在k个阶段依次服务。服务时间遵循一般分布函数。服务完成后,服务器可以以该概率休假,并留在系统中以该概率为其他客户提供服务。对于该模型,我们首先得到了概率生成函数的拉普拉斯变换。在暂态的特殊情况下,得到了系统大小的概率生成函数。通过数值分析得到系统平均尺寸。然后,考虑了模型的灵敏度。
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引用次数: 4
Optimal replacement policies for systems under sporadic shocks and healing impetus 偶发性冲击和愈合动力下系统的最优替代政策
IF 2.8 2区 工程技术 Q3 ENGINEERING, INDUSTRIAL Pub Date : 2022-04-25 DOI: 10.1080/16843703.2022.2051846
Debolina Chatterjee, J. Sarkar
ABSTRACT A system is experiencing two kinds of sporadic impacts: valid shocks that cause damage instantaneously, and positive interventions that induce partial healing. Whereas each shock inflicts a fixed magnitude of damage, the accumulated effect of positive interventions nullify the damaging effect of one shock. The system is said to be in stage 1, when it can possibly heal, until the net count of impacts (valid shocks registered minus valid shocks nullified) reaches a threshold . Thereafter, the system enters stage 2, when no more healing is possible. The system fails when the net count of valid shocks reaches another threshold . The inter-arrival times between successive valid shocks and those between successive positive interventions are independent and follow arbitrary distributions; thereby we remove the restrictive assumption of exponential distributions often found in the literature. We find the distributions of the sojourn time in stage 1 and the failure time of the system. Finally, we find the optimal values of choice variables that minimize the expected maintenance cost per unit time for three different maintenance policies.
一个系统正在经历两种偶发影响:即时造成损伤的有效冲击和诱导部分愈合的积极干预。虽然每次冲击造成的损害程度是固定的,但积极干预的累积效果会抵消一次冲击的破坏性影响。系统被认为处于第一阶段,此时它可能会恢复,直到净冲击计数(有效冲击登记减去有效冲击无效)达到阈值。此后,系统进入第二阶段,此时不可能有更多的治疗。当净冲击次数超过阈值时,系统故障。连续有效冲击和连续积极干预之间的间隔到达时间是独立的,服从任意分布;因此,我们消除了文献中经常发现的指数分布的限制性假设。得到了系统在阶段1的停留时间和失效时间的分布。最后,我们找到了选择变量的最优值,使三种不同的维护策略的单位时间预期维护成本最小化。
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引用次数: 2
A multi-station unreliable machine model with working vacation policy and customers’ impatience 考虑休假政策和客户不耐烦的多站不可靠机器模型
IF 2.8 2区 工程技术 Q3 ENGINEERING, INDUSTRIAL Pub Date : 2022-04-24 DOI: 10.1080/16843703.2022.2054088
A. Bouchentouf, Mohamed Boualem, Lahcene Yahiaoui, Hijaz Ahmad
ABSTRACT Working vacation queues with breakdowns and customers impatience have many applications in different real-life situations. The development of these models to determine their performance is extremely important. In this paper, we deal with a finite population Markovian multi-server machine system with breakdowns, repairs, Bernoulli feedback, balking, reneging, and retention of reneged customers, under multiple synchronous working vacations. The investigated model has a potential application in the real-world machine systems, such as the automated manufacturing systems with limited space. For the analysis purpose, we employ Q-matrix method in order to obtain the steady-state probabilities as well as closed-form expressions for several system characteristics. Particular cases of the current study are presented. We construct the expected cost function and develop an optimization problem to determine the optimum cost. The direct search method and the Quasi–Newton method are applied to find the optimum system capacity, the minimum number of servers, and the optimum service rates during both working vacation and regular busy periods at minimum cost. Lastly, a sensitivity analysis for the numerical simulation is carried out.
摘要:在不同的现实生活中,工作假期排队、故障和客户不耐烦有很多应用。开发这些模型以确定其性能是极其重要的。在本文中,我们处理了一个有限种群的马尔可夫多服务器系统,该系统在多个同步工作假期下,具有故障、维修、伯努利反馈、拒绝、背叛和保留背叛客户。所研究的模型在现实世界的机器系统中具有潜在的应用,例如空间有限的自动化制造系统。为了进行分析,我们采用Q矩阵方法来获得稳态概率以及几个系统特性的闭合形式表达式。介绍了当前研究的具体案例。我们构造了期望成本函数,并发展了一个优化问题来确定最优成本。应用直接搜索法和拟牛顿法以最小的成本找到工作假期和正常繁忙期间的最佳系统容量、最小服务器数量和最佳服务率。最后,对数值模拟进行了灵敏度分析。
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引用次数: 10
Desensitized control charts with operational importance for autocorrelated processes 对自相关过程具有操作重要性的脱敏控制图
IF 2.8 2区 工程技术 Q3 ENGINEERING, INDUSTRIAL Pub Date : 2022-04-18 DOI: 10.1080/16843703.2022.2058720
samrad Jafarian-Namin, M. Fallahnezhad, R. Tavakkoli-Moghaddam, A. Salmasnia
ABSTRACT Organizations that achieved higher capabilities to meet expectations by successfully implementing quality improvement plans can make adjustments to process monitoring without any losses for customers. This approach may reduce costs due to desensitization in monitoring. In this regard, the acceptance control chart (ACC) under the assumptions of independence and normality has already been introduced. However, in practice, particular correlation patterns can be extracted among samples that violate the assumption of independence. Autocorrelation reduces the performance of traditional control charts. In the present study, three types of ACC are extended for monitoring the mean of the most widely used autocorrelated processes. The performance of the proposed charts is evaluated using statistical measures. It is found that the residual-based exponentially weighted moving average ACC (R-EWMA-ACC) has the best performance. Also, two numerical examples illustrate its application. Moreover, optimizing the economic-statistical model indicates that the R-EWMA-ACC spends less than the ARMA control chart.
通过成功实施质量改进计划而获得更高能力以满足期望的组织可以对过程监控进行调整,而不会给客户带来任何损失。这种方法可以降低监测的脱敏性,从而降低成本。在这方面,已经介绍了独立性和正态性假设下的验收控制图(ACC)。然而,在实践中,可以从违反独立性假设的样本中提取特定的相关模式。自相关降低了传统控制图的性能。在本研究中,扩展了三种类型的ACC来监测最广泛使用的自相关过程的平均值。所提出的图表的性能是用统计方法来评估的。研究发现,基于残差的指数加权移动平均ACC (R-EWMA-ACC)具有最佳的性能。并给出了两个数值算例。此外,优化经济统计模型表明,R-EWMA-ACC比ARMA控制图花费更少。
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引用次数: 4
One-sided Adaptive Truncated Exponentially Weighted Moving Average X¯ Schemes for Detecting Process Mean Shifts 检测过程均值移位的单侧自适应截断指数加权移动平均X¯方案
IF 2.8 2区 工程技术 Q3 ENGINEERING, INDUSTRIAL Pub Date : 2022-04-11 DOI: 10.1080/16843703.2022.2033404
Fupeng Xie, P. Castagliola, Zhonghua Li, Jinsheng Sun, Xuelong Hu
ABSTRACT One-sided type schemes are known to be more appropriate for monitoring a process when the direction of a potential mean shift can be anticipated. The one-sided adaptive truncated exponentially weighted moving average (ATEWMA) scheme recommended in this paper is a control chart that combines a Shewhart scheme and a new one-sided EWMA scheme together in a smooth way for rapidly detecting the upward (or downward) mean shifts. The truncation method used in this paper helps to improve the sensitivity of the recommended scheme for detecting both small and large mean shifts simultaneously. To further improve the detection efficiency of the recommended scheme, we also suggest integrating a variable sampling interval (VSI) feature into the recommended scheme. Markov chain models are established to analyze the run length (RL) properties of the recommended scheme in both the zero-state and the steady-state cases. Comparison results show that the recommended one-sided ATEWMA scheme works better than the conventional adaptive EWMA (AEWMA) chart and the improved one-sided EWMA chart in detecting a wide range of mean shifts. Finally, a numerical example is presented to illustrate the usage of the proposed one-sided ATEWMA scheme for detecting process mean shifts.
当可以预测潜在平均位移的方向时,单侧型方案更适合于监测过程。本文推荐的单边自适应截断指数加权移动平均(ATEWMA)方案是一种将休哈特方案和一种新的单边EWMA方案平滑地结合在一起的控制图,用于快速检测向上(或向下)的均值偏移。本文中使用的截断方法有助于提高推荐方案同时检测小平均位移和大平均位移的灵敏度。为了进一步提高推荐方案的检测效率,我们还建议在推荐方案中集成可变采样间隔(VSI)特征。建立了马尔可夫链模型,分析了推荐方案在零状态和稳态情况下的游程(RL)特性。比较结果表明,推荐的单边ATEWMA方案在检测宽范围的平均偏移方面比传统的自适应EWMA(AEWMA)图和改进的单边EWMA图效果更好。最后,给出了一个数值例子来说明所提出的单边ATEWMA方案在检测过程平均偏移方面的应用。
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引用次数: 2
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