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Improved calibration of building models using approximate Bayesian calibration and neural networks 改进了使用近似贝叶斯校准和神经网络的建筑模型校准
IF 2.5 4区 工程技术 Q1 Engineering Pub Date : 2022-10-29 DOI: 10.1080/19401493.2022.2137236
Kevin Cant, R. Evins
Deep energy retrofits of buildings are crucial to meeting climate targets and depend on calibrated energy models for investor confidence. Bayesian inference can improve the rigour in standard practice and improve confidence in calibrated energy models. Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) methods using neural networks present an opportunity to calibrate energy models while inherently accounting for parameter uncertainty, and face less computational burden than the current standard process for Bayesian calibration. A case study for a large, complex building is presented to demonstrate the applicability of ABC and parameter sensitivity screening is found to result in over-confidence in the resulting inference by between 14% and 85%. Finally, the presentation of posterior distributions as independent distributions may be misleading, which can misattribute the true likelihood of parameters. Highlights Implementation of an Approximate Bayesian Computation method incorporating the Sequential Monte Carlo algorithm with a neural network surrogate model. A comparison of Bayesian inference with standard practice. An investigation of sensitivity screening for parameter selection on the inference results. Application to a complex multi-zone dynamic energy model of a large retail building.
建筑物的深层节能改造对于实现气候目标至关重要,并依赖于校准的能源模型来提高投资者的信心。贝叶斯推理可以提高标准实践的严谨性,提高校准能量模型的置信度。使用神经网络的近似贝叶斯计算(ABC)方法提供了校准能量模型的机会,同时固有地考虑了参数的不确定性,并且比目前的贝叶斯校准标准过程面临更少的计算负担。本文以一个大型复杂建筑为例进行了研究,以证明ABC的适用性,并发现参数敏感性筛选导致结果推断的过度置信度在14%到85%之间。最后,后验分布作为独立分布的表示可能会产生误导,这可能会错误地归因于参数的真实似然。重点介绍了一种近似贝叶斯计算方法的实现,该方法结合了时序蒙特卡罗算法和神经网络代理模型。贝叶斯推理与标准实践的比较。基于推理结果的参数选择敏感性筛选研究。应用于大型零售建筑复杂的多区域动态能量模型。
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引用次数: 1
Thermal model of heat transfer in a PCM multilayer construction using Moving Mushy Volume Approach – verification, validation and sensitivity analysis 基于移动糊状体积法的PCM多层结构传热模型——验证、验证和灵敏度分析
IF 2.5 4区 工程技术 Q1 Engineering Pub Date : 2022-10-28 DOI: 10.1080/19401493.2022.2138548
D. Heim, T. Kułakowski
A new model for predicting the thermal performance of a thin layer of phase change material enclosed in a multilayer structure has been developed, verified, and validated. Numerical verification includes heat transfer and solar radiation processes, while only heat transfer was considered for experimental validation. The model considers thermo-optical properties of the PCM layer using a Moving Mushy Volume Approach. The basic assumption of the proposed approach is to divide the PCM domain into sub-volumes and determine their physical state separately, which allows varying the parameters in time. Each sublayer can be in a solid, liquid, or semi-transient state (mushy) where the level of latent heat and the solid–liquid ratio is determined by a dimensionless temperature-dependent melting function. Hence, it is appropriate for use in whole-building simulation programs, where it can be applied to more precise determination of heat transfer within a transparent PCM structure.
一个预测多层结构中相变材料薄层热性能的新模型已经被开发、验证和验证。数值验证包括传热和太阳辐射过程,而实验验证只考虑传热。该模型采用移动糊状体积法考虑PCM层的热光学特性。该方法的基本假设是将PCM域划分为子体,并分别确定其物理状态,从而允许随时间变化参数。每个子层可以处于固体、液体或半瞬态(糊状),其中潜热水平和固液比由无因次温度相关的熔化函数决定。因此,它适用于整个建筑模拟程序,可以应用于更精确地确定透明PCM结构内的传热。
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引用次数: 3
Optimizing the design of courtyard houses for passive cooling in hot, dry regions 在炎热干燥地区,优化四合院被动制冷的设计
IF 2.5 4区 工程技术 Q1 Engineering Pub Date : 2022-10-28 DOI: 10.1080/19401493.2022.2134460
H. M. Khan, G. F. Lane-Serff, J. Dewsbury
The courtyard is an architectural element found in hot arid regions due to its thermal performance that gives it cooler temperatures than the outside resulting from shading and night cooling. Previous papers focus only on either shading or ventilation and never together. This paper employs CFD techniques to simulate heat transfer in the courtyard. The results are presented through time constants showing the response of the thermal mass of the building containing the courtyard toward solar radiation and night cooling and the effect of both being combined in a factor called the Night-Time Effectiveness Ratio (NTER). The research includes simulation for different courtyard sizes and other building elements around the courtyard, like galleries. The results show the importance of the courtyard’s width in changing the performance of night ventilation. Adding extra shading elements such as galleries can enhance thermal performance by 30–60%.
庭院是炎热干旱地区的一个建筑元素,因为它的热性能使它的温度比外面更低,这是由于遮阳和夜间冷却。以前的论文只关注遮阳或通风,从未同时关注。本文采用CFD技术对庭院内的传热进行模拟。结果通过时间常数呈现,显示了包含庭院的建筑的热质量对太阳辐射和夜间冷却的响应,以及两者结合在一个称为夜间有效比(NTER)的因素中的影响。研究包括模拟不同大小的庭院和庭院周围的其他建筑元素,如画廊。结果表明,庭院宽度对夜间通风性能的影响。增加额外的遮阳元素,如走廊,可以提高30-60%的热性能。
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引用次数: 1
Solving parametric problems in building renovation with a spectral reduced-order method 用谱降阶方法求解建筑改造中的参数问题
IF 2.5 4区 工程技术 Q1 Engineering Pub Date : 2022-10-13 DOI: 10.1080/19401493.2022.2126527
S. Gasparin, J. Berger, R. Belarbi, D. Dutykh, N. Mendes
In this paper, the spectral method is developed as a reduced-order model for the solution of parametric problems within the building refurbishment framework. We propose to use the spectral reduced-order method to solve parametric problems in an innovative way, integrating the unknown parameter as one of the coordinates of the decomposition. The residual is minimized combining the Tau–Galerkin method with the Collocation approach. The developed method is evaluated in terms of accuracy and reduction of the computational time in three different cases. The dynamic behaviour of unidimensional moisture diffusion is investigated. The cases focus on solving parametric problems in which the solution depends on space, time, diffusivity and material thickness. Results highlight that the parametric spectral reduced-order method provides accurate solutions and can reduce 10 times the degree of freedom of the solution. It allows efficient computation of the physical phenomena with a lower error when compared to traditional approaches.
本文将谱法作为一种降阶模型,用于求解建筑翻新框架内的参数问题。我们提出了一种利用谱降阶方法求解参数问题的创新方法,将未知参数作为分解的坐标之一进行积分。将陶伽辽金法与配点法相结合,使残差最小化。在三种不同的情况下,评估了所开发的方法的准确性和减少的计算时间。研究了一维水分扩散的动态特性。案例集中于解决参数问题,其中的解依赖于空间、时间、扩散率和材料厚度。结果表明,参数谱降阶方法提供了精确的解,并可将解的自由度降低10倍。与传统方法相比,它可以有效地计算物理现象,误差更小。
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引用次数: 0
A hybrid clustering multi-source fault diagnosis method for chiller temperature sensors 冷水机组温度传感器的混合聚类多源故障诊断方法
IF 2.5 4区 工程技术 Q1 Engineering Pub Date : 2022-09-26 DOI: 10.1080/19401493.2022.2126011
Xiuying Yan, Guangyu Liu, Boyan Zhang, Kaixing Fan, Jun Yu Li, Yifan Du
ABSTRACT Sensor faults have been observed to negatively impact the operation of the HVAC system. Among these faults is the complexity of multi-source sensor faults, which may result in fault confusion due to multiple fault points and different fault patterns. This paper proposes a fault diagnosis model applicable to single- and multi-source faults of HVAC system sensors. Based on the distribution patterns of chillers sensor data, the ensemble empirical mode decomposition soft threshold denoising Gaussian mixture model (EEMDSTD-GMM) is proposed. The study suggests a K-means-based pre-classification method for potentially confusing types of sensor faults. EEMDSTD-GMM-K-means has shown a better fault diagnosis capability under four single-source sensor faults and five multi-source sensor faults. Under the three examined fault levels, the results indicate a satisfactory performance with an average diagnosis rate of 98.7% for single-source faults and 96.5% for multi-source faults.
已经观察到传感器故障会对暖通空调系统的运行产生负面影响。其中多源传感器故障较为复杂,由于故障点多、故障模式不同,容易造成故障混淆。提出了一种适用于暖通空调系统传感器单源和多源故障的故障诊断模型。根据冷水机组传感器数据的分布规律,提出了集成经验模态分解软阈值去噪高斯混合模型(EEMDSTD-GMM)。该研究提出了一种基于k均值的预分类方法,用于可能混淆的传感器故障类型。EEMDSTD-GMM-K-means在4种单源传感器故障和5种多源传感器故障下表现出较好的故障诊断能力。在三个检测的故障级别下,结果显示了令人满意的性能,对单源故障的平均诊断率为98.7%,对多源故障的平均诊断率为96.5%。
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引用次数: 3
Validation of spectral simulation tools in the context of ipRGC-influenced light responses of building occupants 光谱模拟工具在iprgc影响建筑居住者光响应的背景下的验证
IF 2.5 4区 工程技术 Q1 Engineering Pub Date : 2022-09-26 DOI: 10.1080/19401493.2022.2125582
C. Pierson, M. Aarts, M. Andersen
With the growing awareness about ipRGC-influenced light (IIL) responses, design applications related to these responses are flourishing. To compare design options and optimize lighting conditions for building occupants, lighting simulations are typically used. However, as our IIL responses depend on the spectral characteristics of light, spectral simulations are required. The goal of this study is to validate two spectral simulation tools, ALFA and Lark, for the study of indoor spaces in relation to occupants’ IIL responses. Indicators associated with IIL responses derived from ALFA- and Lark-simulated data are compared against indicators derived from data measured under indoor daylighting and electric lighting conditions. The results show that Lark outperforms ALFA in most cases, with a simulation error in the ±20% range for point-in-time indicators. When accounting for time dynamics of light exposure, at least 9% of the daylight exposures simulated for a 6-h period in Lark lead to a significant error.
随着人们对iprgc影响的光(IIL)响应的认识不断提高,与这些响应相关的设计应用正在蓬勃发展。为了比较设计方案和优化建筑居住者的照明条件,通常使用照明模拟。然而,由于我们的IIL响应依赖于光的光谱特性,光谱模拟是必需的。本研究的目的是验证两种光谱模拟工具,ALFA和Lark,用于研究室内空间与居住者il反应的关系。从ALFA和lark模拟数据中得出的与IIL响应相关的指标与在室内采光和电力照明条件下测量的数据得出的指标进行了比较。结果表明,Lark在大多数情况下优于ALFA,对于时间点指标的模拟误差在±20%范围内。当考虑光照射的时间动态时,在Lark中模拟的6小时内至少有9%的日光照射会导致显着误差。
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引用次数: 6
Implementation of real-time model predictive heating control for a factory building using ANN-based lumped modelling approach 采用基于人工神经网络的集总建模方法实现厂房的实时模型预测加热控制
IF 2.5 4区 工程技术 Q1 Engineering Pub Date : 2022-09-22 DOI: 10.1080/19401493.2022.2125581
Seon-Jung 쇱꽑以 Ra, H. Shin, C. Park
ABSTRACT It is important to control the heating system by following real-time demand, while considering the dynamic changes and non-uniform distributions of indoor environments. This paper presents a model predictive control (MPC) scheme for predicting indoor air temperatures at multiple points in a large factory building that consists of large irregular spaces and heat-generating equipment. Instead of using a full-blown dynamic simulation model (e.g. EnergyPlus), the authors developed a lumped simulation model. This model can accurately predict the temperatures and is, therefore, used for the optimal on/off control of 61 unit heaters installed in the factory building. Based on the MPC, energy savings of 56.3% were realized over three weeks, and the indoor air temperatures were maintained within a comfortable range. It is highlighted in the paper that this MPC approach based on the minimalistic lumped model can accurately predict indoor thermal behaviour and save significant energy.
在考虑室内环境的动态变化和不均匀分布的情况下,根据实时需求对供暖系统进行控制是非常重要的。本文提出了一种模型预测控制(MPC)方案,用于预测由大型不规则空间和发热设备组成的大型厂房室内多点空气温度。作者没有使用成熟的动态仿真模型(例如EnergyPlus),而是开发了一个集总仿真模型。该模型可以准确地预测温度,因此可用于厂房内61台加热器的最优开/关控制。基于MPC,在三周内实现了56.3%的节能,室内空气温度保持在舒适的范围内。文中着重指出,这种基于极简总集总模型的MPC方法能够准确预测室内热行为,节约大量能源。
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引用次数: 0
Performance comparison of quadratic, nonlinear, and mixed integer nonlinear MPC formulations and solvers on an air source heat pump hydronic floor heating system 二次型、非线性型和混合整数型非线性MPC公式及求解器在空气源热泵液压地板采暖系统中的性能比较
IF 2.5 4区 工程技术 Q1 Engineering Pub Date : 2022-09-16 DOI: 10.1080/19401493.2022.2120631
Ettore Zanetti, Donghun Kim, David H. Blum, R. Scoccia, M. Aprile
There is a gap in literature on comparisons between different MPC optimal control formulations and solver choices for the same building HVAC system. Mixed Integer Nonlinear (MINL) formulations are rarely considered, despite being the most physically accurate way to represent HVAC systems. This work compares several MPC formulations, including Quadratic, Nonlinear, and MINL, applied to a case study building and investigates benefits and challenges of MINL MPCs from practical perspectives. Ten different MPC formulations were developed and implemented using Pyomo. Then, a detailed emulator model was developed using open-source Modelica libraries and used with BOPTEST to assess the performance of each MPC. Results show that convergence and control switching behaviours of MINL MPCs are sensitive to formulations, initialization approaches, solver selections, and solver parameters. Thus, they require significant effort for tuning. However, a very well-tuned MINL MPC performed similarly to successful Nonlinear MPC formulations.
对于同一建筑暖通空调系统不同MPC最优控制公式和求解器选择的比较,文献中存在空白。混合整数非线性(MINL)公式很少被考虑,尽管是最准确的物理方式来表示暖通空调系统。这项工作比较了几种MPC公式,包括二次型、非线性和MINL,应用于案例研究构建,并从实际角度研究了MINL MPC的好处和挑战。使用Pyomo开发并实现了十种不同的MPC配方。然后,使用开源Modelica库开发了详细的仿真器模型,并与BOPTEST一起评估每个MPC的性能。结果表明,MINL MPCs的收敛和控制切换行为对公式、初始化方法、求解器选择和求解器参数都很敏感。因此,它们需要大量的优化工作。然而,一个非常好的调整MINL MPC执行类似于成功的非线性MPC配方。
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引用次数: 2
A new approach of optimal appliance scheduling for peak load reduction of an off-grid residential building 离网住宅减峰用电优化调度新方法
IF 2.5 4区 工程技术 Q1 Engineering Pub Date : 2022-09-06 DOI: 10.1080/19401493.2022.2119601
A. Rajaei, Morteza Haddadi, N. Nord
Demand for electricity, due to the fast growth in urbanization and industrialization, is on the rapid rise. Load shift is a basic method for demand side management (DSM) that can be used by the central controller in buildings and can lead to the maximum use of renewable energy sources, maximum economic benefits, and reduction of peak demand. This paper proposes an algorithm for shifting the flexible loads of four selected appliances with respect to boundary limits for each appliance. A standalone four-story building with different number of occupants is considered to evaluate this algorithm. The algorithm was trained on Richardson model to minimize two objectives including aggregated demand, and the scheduling discomfort. The proposed algorithm led to significant reduction in aggregated peak demand and thereby savings in standalone system investment. The results demonstrated a major reduction in peak demand from 37% to 44% for winter and summer seasons, respectively.
由于城市化和工业化的快速发展,对电力的需求正在迅速上升。负荷转移是需求侧管理(DSM)的一种基本方法,可以由建筑物的中央控制器使用,可以最大限度地利用可再生能源,实现最大的经济效益,并减少高峰需求。本文提出了一种算法来转移四个选定的设备的柔性负载相对于每个设备的边界限制。考虑一个独立的四层建筑,不同的居住者数量来评估该算法。算法在Richardson模型上进行训练,以最小化总需求和调度不适两个目标。提出的算法显著降低了峰值总需求,从而节省了独立系统的投资。结果显示,冬季和夏季的高峰需求分别从37%下降到44%。
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引用次数: 1
Empirical modelling of variable capacity air-to-air heat pumps in trnsys trnsys变容量空气-空气热泵的经验建模
IF 2.5 4区 工程技术 Q1 Engineering Pub Date : 2022-09-03 DOI: 10.1080/19401493.2022.2052964
Gregor Strugala, M. Kummert, M. Kegel
Variable capacity heat pumps improve seasonal performance and operate at lower temperatures by varying their compressor speed to match their capacity to a specific thermal load. They constitute a great asset in our struggle to lower energy consumption and carbon emissions, especially in cold climates. However, being a more recent and complex technology, they are not easily integrated in the design of building energy systems as adequate models are lacking. A trnsys model for variable capacity air-to-air heat pumps (vcaahps) relying on performance maps and restricted to mini-split systems was therefore developed to streamline this design process and provide more accurate results. The model is presented first; it can reproduce most common heat pump behaviours – such as defrost and latent cooling. Then, a methodology relying on experimental data to supplement (often incomplete) manufacturer performance maps is provided. Finally, model usage is exemplified through a case study highlighting specific features and behaviours.
可变容量热泵改善季节性性能,并在较低的温度下运行,通过改变其压缩机速度,以匹配其容量,以特定的热负荷。在我们努力降低能源消耗和碳排放的过程中,尤其是在寒冷气候下,它们是一笔巨大的财富。然而,作为一项较新的复杂技术,由于缺乏适当的模型,它们不容易集成到建筑能源系统的设计中。因此,trnsys公司开发了一种基于性能图的可变容量空气对空气热泵(vcaahps)模型,该模型仅限于小型分体式系统,以简化设计过程并提供更准确的结果。首先给出了模型;它可以重现最常见的热泵行为-如除霜和潜在冷却。然后,提供了一种依靠实验数据来补充(通常不完整)制造商性能图的方法。最后,通过一个突出具体特征和行为的案例研究来举例说明模型的使用。
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引用次数: 1
期刊
Journal of Building Performance Simulation
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