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Developing a dynamic/adaptive geofencing algorithm for HVTT cargo security in road transport 开发动态/自适应地理围栏算法,保障公路运输中的高电压隧道货物安全
IF 2.8 4区 地球科学 Q2 COMPUTER SCIENCE, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2024-08-21 DOI: 10.1007/s12145-024-01410-7
Jakub Kuna, Dariusz Czerwiński, Wojciech Janicki, Piotr Filipek

Cargo security is one of the most critical issues in modern logistics. For high-value theft-targeted (HVTT) cargo the driving phase of transportation takes up a major part of thefts. Dozen fleet management solutions based on GNSS positioning were introduced in recent years. Existing tracking solutions barely meet the requirements of TAPA 2020. Map-matching algorithms present valuable ideas on handling GNSS inaccuracy, however, universal map-matching methods are overcomplicated. Commercial map data providers require additional fees for the use of real-time map-matching functionality. In addition, at the map-matching stage, information on the actual distance from which the raw data was captured is lost. In HVTT security, the distance between the raw GNSS position and map-matched position can be used as a quantitative security factor. The goal of this research was to provide empirical data for TAPA TSR 2020 Level 1 certification in terms of tracking vehicles during typical operating conditions (cargo loading, routing, transportation, stopover, unloading) as well as detecting any geofencing violations. The Dynamic Geofencing Algorithm (DGA) presented in this article was developed for this specific purpose and this is the first known pulication to examine TAPA Standarization in terms of cargo positioning and fleet monitoring. The DGA is adaptive geometric-based matching (alternately curve-to-curve, point-to-curve, point-to-point). The idea behind the algorithm is to detect and eliminate the atypical matching circumstances—namely if the raw position is registered at one of the exceptions described in the paper. The problem of dynamic/adaptive cartographic projection is also addressed so that the robus Euclidean calculactions could be used in global scale.

货物安全是现代物流中最关键的问题之一。对于高价值失窃目标(HVTT)货物而言,运输过程中的驾驶阶段是失窃的主要环节。近年来,基于全球导航卫星系统(GNSS)定位的车队管理解决方案层出不穷。现有的跟踪解决方案几乎无法满足 TAPA 2020 的要求。地图匹配算法为处理全球导航卫星系统的不准确性提供了宝贵的思路,然而,通用的地图匹配方法过于复杂。商业地图数据提供商需要为使用实时地图匹配功能支付额外费用。此外,在地图匹配阶段,原始数据采集的实际距离信息会丢失。在 HVTT 安全方面,GNSS 原始位置与地图匹配位置之间的距离可用作定量安全因素。本研究的目标是为 TAPA TSR 2020 1 级认证提供经验数据,以便在典型运行条件(货物装载、路线、运输、中途停留、卸载)下跟踪车辆,并检测任何地理围栏违规行为。本文中介绍的动态地理围栏算法(DGA)就是为此特定目的而开发的,这也是已知的首个用于在货物定位和车队监控方面检查 TAPA 标准化的 Pulication。DGA 是基于几何匹配的自适应算法(曲线对曲线、点对曲线、点对点交替匹配)。该算法背后的理念是检测并消除非典型匹配情况--即如果原始位置登记在本文所述的例外情况之一。该算法还解决了动态/自适应制图投影的问题,从而可以在全球范围内使用 robus 欧几里得计算。
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引用次数: 0
Forecasting future scenarios of coastline changes in Türkiye's Seyhan Basin: a comparative analysis of statistical methods and Kalman Filtering (2033–2043) 预测土耳其塞罕盆地海岸线变化的未来情景:统计方法与卡尔曼滤波法的比较分析 (2033-2043)
IF 2.8 4区 地球科学 Q2 COMPUTER SCIENCE, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2024-08-21 DOI: 10.1007/s12145-024-01445-w
Münevver Gizem Gümüş

Complex changes in coastlines are increasing with climate, sea level, and human impacts. Remote Sensing (RS) and Geographic Information Systems (GIS) provide critical information to rapidly and precisely monitor environmental changes in coastal areas and to understand and respond to environmental, economic, and social impacts. This study aimed to determine the temporal changes in the coastline of the Seyhan Basin, Türkiye, using Landsat satellite images from 1985 to 2023 on the Google Earth Engine (GEE) platform. The approximately 50 km of coastline was divided into three regions and analyzed using various statistical techniques with the Digital Shoreline Analysis System (DSAS) tool. In Zone 1, the maximum coastal accretion was 1382.39 m (Net Shoreline Movement, NSM) and 1430.63 m (Shoreline Change Envelope, SCE), while the maximum retreat was -76.43 m (NSM). Zone 2 showed low retreat and accretion rates, with maximum retreat at -2.39 m/year (End Point Rate, EPR) and -2.45 m/year (Linear Regression Rate, LRR), and maximum accretion at 0.99 m/year (EPR) and 0.89 m/year (LRR). Significant changes were observed at the mouth of the Seyhan delta in Zone 3. According to the NSM method, the maximum accretion was 1337.72 m, and maximum retreat was 1301.4 m; the SCE method showed a maximum retreat of 1453.65 m. EPR and LRR methods also indicated high retreat and accretion rates. Statistical differences between the methods were assessed using the Kruskal–Wallis H test and ANOVA test. Generally, NSM and EPR methods provided similar results, while other methods varied by region. Additionally, the Kalman filtering model was used to predict the coastline for 2033 and 2043, identifying areas vulnerable to future changes. Comparisons were made to determine the performance of Kalman filtering. In the 10-year and 20-year future forecasts for determining the coastline for the years 2033 and 2043 with the Kalman filtering model, it was determined that the excessive prediction time negatively affected the performance in determining the coastal boundary changes.

随着气候、海平面和人类活动的影响,海岸线的复杂变化与日俱增。遥感(RS)和地理信息系统(GIS)为快速、精确地监测沿海地区的环境变化以及了解和应对环境、经济和社会影响提供了重要信息。本研究旨在利用谷歌地球引擎(GEE)平台上 1985 年至 2023 年的 Landsat 卫星图像,确定土耳其塞罕盆地海岸线的时间变化。约 50 公里的海岸线被划分为三个区域,并利用数字海岸线分析系统(DSAS)工具的各种统计技术进行分析。在 1 区,海岸线最大增量为 1382.39 米(海岸线净移动量,NSM)和 1430.63 米(海岸线变化包络线,SCE),最大退缩量为-76.43 米(海岸线净移动量,NSM)。2 区的退缩率和增生率均较低,最大退缩率为-2.39 米/年(终点速率,EPR)和-2.45 米/年(线性回归速率,LRR),最大增生率为 0.99 米/年(终点速率,EPR)和 0.89 米/年(线性回归速率,LRR)。在第 3 区塞汉三角洲口观察到了显著变化。根据 NSM 方法,最大增高为 1337.72 米,最大退缩为 1301.4 米;SCE 方法显示最大退缩为 1453.65 米。采用 Kruskal-Wallis H 检验法和方差分析检验法评估了各种方法之间的统计差异。一般来说,NSM 和 EPR 方法得出的结果相似,而其他方法则因地区而异。此外,还使用卡尔曼滤波模型预测了 2033 年和 2043 年的海岸线,确定了易受未来变化影响的区域。通过比较确定了卡尔曼滤波法的性能。在用卡尔曼滤波模式确定 2033 年和 2043 年海岸线的 10 年和 20 年未来预测中,确定过长的预测时间对确定海岸边界变化的性能产生了负面影响。
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引用次数: 0
Relating Urban Land Surface Temperature to Vegetation Leafing using Thermal Imagery and Vegetation Indices 利用热成像和植被指数将城市地表温度与植被落叶联系起来
IF 2.8 4区 地球科学 Q2 COMPUTER SCIENCE, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2024-08-20 DOI: 10.1007/s12145-024-01443-y
C. Munyati

Detecting the influence of temperature on urban vegetation is useful for planning urban biodiversity conservation efforts, since temperature affects several ecosystem processes. In this study, the relationships between land surface temperature (LST) and vegetation phenology events (start of growing season, SOS; end of growing season, EOS; peak phenology) was examined in native savannah woodland and grass parcels of a hot climate town. For comparison, similar woodland and grass parcels on the town’s periphery, and a wetland, were used. The vegetation parcel LST values (°C) in one calendar year (2023) were obtained from Landsat-8 (L8) and Landsat-9 (L9) thermal imagery, whose combination yielded an 8-day image frequency. Phenology changes relative to seasonal air temperature and LST were determined using vegetation index (VI) values computed from accompanying 30 m resolution L8-L9 non-thermal bands: the Normalised Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) and one improved VI, the Soil Adjusted Vegetation Index (SAVI). Higher imaging frequency, 250 m resolution NDVI and Enhanced Vegetation Index (EVI) MOD13Q1 layers supplemented the L8-L9 VIs. LST correlated highly with air temperature (p < 0.001). On nearly all L8-L9 image dates, the urban vegetation parcel’s mean LST was higher (p < 0.001) than that at its peri-urban equivalent. Improved VIs (SAVI, EVI) detected some phenology events to have occurred slightly earlier than detected by the NDVI. Associated with the higher LST, the SOS was earlier in the urban than in the peri-urban woodland. This association has scarcely been demonstrated in savannah vegetation, necessitating proactive efforts to reduce potential biodiversity effects.

由于温度会影响多个生态系统过程,因此检测温度对城市植被的影响有助于规划城市生物多样性保护工作。在这项研究中,我们考察了一个气候炎热城镇的原生热带草原林地和草地地块的地表温度(LST)与植被物候事件(生长季节开始,SOS;生长季节结束,EOS;物候高峰)之间的关系。为了进行比较,还使用了该镇周边类似的林地和草地地块以及一块湿地。一个日历年(2023 年)的植被地块 LST 值(°C)来自 Landsat-8(L8)和 Landsat-9(L9)热图像,其组合产生了 8 天的图像频率。利用随附的 30 米分辨率 L8-L9 非热波段计算的植被指数(VI)值,确定相对于季节性气温和 LST 的物候变化:归一化差异植被指数(NDVI)和一种改进的植被指数,即土壤调整植被指数(SAVI)。成像频率较高、分辨率为 250 米的归一化差异植被指数(NDVI)和增强植被指数(EVI)MOD13Q1 图层对 L8-L9VIs 进行了补充。LST 与气温高度相关(p < 0.001)。在几乎所有的 L8-L9 图像日期,城市植被地块的平均 LST 都高于其城市周边等同地块(p < 0.001)。改进的植被指数(SAVI、EVI)检测到的一些物候事件比 NDVI 检测到的稍早。与较高的 LST 相关联,城市林地的 SOS 早于城郊林地。这种关联很少在热带稀树草原植被中得到证实,因此有必要积极努力减少潜在的生物多样性影响。
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引用次数: 0
Evaluating the impact of different point cloud sampling techniques on digital elevation model accuracy – a case study of Kituro, Kenya 评估不同点云采样技术对数字高程模型精度的影响--肯尼亚基图罗案例研究
IF 2.8 4区 地球科学 Q2 COMPUTER SCIENCE, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2024-08-19 DOI: 10.1007/s12145-024-01440-1
Mary Wamai, Qulin Tan

Accurate digital elevation models (DEMs) derived from airborne light detection and ranging (LiDAR) data are crucial for terrain analysis applications. As established in the literature, higher point density improves terrain representation but requires greater data storage and processing capacities. Therefore, point cloud sampling is necessary to reduce densities while preserving DEM accuracy as much as possible. However, there has been a limited examination directly comparing the effects of various sampling algorithms on DEM accuracy. This study aimed to help fill this gap by evaluating and comparing the performance of three common point cloud sampling methods octree, spatial, and random sampling methods in high terrain. DEMs were then generated from the sampled point clouds using three different interpolation algorithms: inverse distance weighting (IDW), natural neighbor (NN), and ordinary kriging (OK). The results showed that octree sampling consistently produced the most accurate DEMs across all metrics and terrain slopes compared to other methods. Spatial sampling also produced more accurate DEMs than random sampling but was less accurate than octree sampling. The results can be attributed to differences in how the sampling methods represent terrain geometry and retain microtopographic detail. Octree sampling recursively subdivides the point cloud based on density distributions, closely conforming to complex microtopography. In contrast, random sampling disregards underlying densities, reducing accuracy in rough terrain. The findings guide optimal sampling and interpolation methods of airborne lidar point clouds for generating DEMs for similar complex mountainous terrains.

从机载光探测与测距(LiDAR)数据中提取的精确数字高程模型(DEM)对于地形分析应用至关重要。根据文献记载,较高的点密度可以提高地形的代表性,但需要更大的数据存储和处理能力。因此,有必要进行点云采样,以降低密度,同时尽可能保持 DEM 的精度。然而,直接比较各种采样算法对 DEM 精度的影响的研究还很有限。本研究旨在通过评估和比较八叉树、空间和随机三种常见点云采样方法在高地形中的性能,帮助填补这一空白。然后使用三种不同的插值算法:反距离加权 (IDW)、自然邻接 (NN) 和普通克里金 (OK),从采样点云生成 DEM。结果表明,在所有指标和地形坡度方面,与其他方法相比,八叉树采样始终能生成最精确的 DEM。空间取样也比随机取样生成了更精确的 DEM,但精确度低于八叉树取样。这些结果可归因于取样方法在表示地形几何形状和保留微地形细节方面的差异。八叉树采样根据密度分布递归细分点云,与复杂的微地形密切相关。相比之下,随机取样忽略了底层密度,降低了粗糙地形中的精度。这些发现为机载激光雷达点云的最佳采样和插值方法提供了指导,以便为类似的复杂山区地形生成 DEM。
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引用次数: 0
Probabilistic quantile multiple fourier feature network for lake temperature forecasting: incorporating pinball loss for uncertainty estimation 用于湖泊温度预报的概率量化多重傅里叶特征网络:结合弹球损失进行不确定性估计
IF 2.8 4区 地球科学 Q2 COMPUTER SCIENCE, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2024-08-17 DOI: 10.1007/s12145-024-01448-7
Siyuan Liu, Jiaxin Deng, Jin Yuan, Weide Li, Xi’an Li, Jing Xu, Shaotong Zhang, Jinran Wu, You-Gan Wang

Lake temperature forecasting is crucial for understanding and mitigating climate change impacts on aquatic ecosystems. The meteorological time series data and their relationship have a high degree of complexity and uncertainty, making it difficult to predict lake temperatures. In this study, we propose a novel approach, Probabilistic Quantile Multiple Fourier Feature Network (QMFFNet), for accurate lake temperature prediction in Qinghai Lake. Utilizing only time series data, our model offers practical and efficient forecasting without the need for additional variables. Our approach integrates quantile loss instead of L2-Norm, enabling probabilistic temperature forecasts as probability distributions. This unique feature quantifies uncertainty, aiding decision-making and risk assessment. Extensive experiments demonstrate the method’s superiority over conventional models, enhancing predictive accuracy and providing reliable uncertainty estimates. This makes our approach a powerful tool for climate research and ecological management in lake temperature forecasting. Innovations in probabilistic forecasting and uncertainty estimation contribute to better climate impact understanding and adaptation in Qinghai Lake and global aquatic systems.

湖泊温度预报对于了解和减轻气候变化对水生生态系统的影响至关重要。气象时间序列数据及其关系具有高度的复杂性和不确定性,因此很难预测湖泊温度。在本研究中,我们提出了一种新方法--概率量化多重傅立叶特征网络(QMFFNet),用于准确预测青海湖的湖温。我们的模型仅利用时间序列数据,无需额外变量即可提供实用高效的预测。我们的方法整合了量子损失而非 L2-正值,使温度预测成为概率分布。这一独特功能量化了不确定性,有助于决策和风险评估。广泛的实验证明,该方法优于传统模型,可提高预测准确性并提供可靠的不确定性估计。这使我们的方法成为湖泊温度预测方面气候研究和生态管理的有力工具。概率预报和不确定性估计的创新有助于青海湖和全球水生系统更好地理解和适应气候影响。
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引用次数: 0
Remote sensing insights into subsurface-surface relationships: Land Cover Analysis and Copper Deposits Exploration 遥感对地下-地表关系的洞察力:土地覆盖分析与铜矿勘探
IF 2.8 4区 地球科学 Q2 COMPUTER SCIENCE, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2024-08-16 DOI: 10.1007/s12145-024-01423-2
Matthieu Tshanga M, Lindani Ncube, Elna van Niekerk

This review article examines the critical role of remote sensing techniques in analysing land cover and its implications for copper deposit exploration. The study aims to provide a comprehensive review of current research and technical advancements in using remote sensing to characterise land cover in copper-rich areas. It draws attention to the complex relationships that exist between subsurface copper mineralisation, surface vegetation, and soil types by combining case studies and modern literature. Integrating satellite imagery, geospatial data, and advanced analytical methods, this review demonstrates how remote sensing can effectively identify and map areas with high potential for copper deposits. Furthermore, it discusses the challenges and opportunities associated with remote sensing applications in geological studies and offers insights into future research directions to enhance mineral exploration and environmental management practices.

这篇综述文章探讨了遥感技术在分析土地覆被方面的关键作用及其对铜矿勘探的影响。研究旨在全面回顾当前利用遥感技术描述富铜地区土地覆被特征的研究和技术进展。它通过结合案例研究和现代文献,提请人们注意地下铜矿化、地表植被和土壤类型之间存在的复杂关系。通过整合卫星图像、地理空间数据和先进的分析方法,本综述展示了遥感技术如何有效地识别和绘制铜矿床高潜力地区的地图。此外,它还讨论了与遥感应用于地质研究相关的挑战和机遇,并对未来的研究方向提出了见解,以加强矿产勘探和环境管理实践。
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引用次数: 0
Machine learning algorithms for building height estimations using ICESat-2/ATLAS and Airborne LiDAR data 利用 ICESat-2/ATLAS 和机载激光雷达数据估算建筑物高度的机器学习算法
IF 2.8 4区 地球科学 Q2 COMPUTER SCIENCE, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2024-08-14 DOI: 10.1007/s12145-024-01429-w
Muge Agca, Aslıhan Yucel, Efdal Kaya, Ali İhsan Daloglu, Mert Kayalık, Mevlut Yetkin, Femin Yalcın

Building height information is essential for determining urban morphology, urban planning studies, and manage sustainable growth. This study aims to use machine learning algorithms to estimate building heights from airborne LiDAR and spaceborne ICESat-2/ATLAS data. The performance of different machine learning algorithms was investigated when analyzing ICESat-2/ATLAS and airborne LiDAR data. The accuracy of building height information was compared with field measurements. Machine learning algorithms such as K-Nearest Neighbors (K-NN), Random Forest (RF), Support Vector Machines (SVM), Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs), and Random Sample and Consensus (RANSAC) were used to classify spaceborne and airborne LiDAR data. Among all the algorithms applied to ICESat-2/ATLAS, the RF algorithm provided the best results for the strong and weak beams with 0.9683 and 0.9614, respectively. The K-NN yielded the best result for the airborne LiDAR dataset with 0.9999. Statistical analyzes were applied to both LiDAR datasets. The results of statistical analyzes for the pair of field measurement and ICESat-2 were R2 = 0.9894, RMSE = 0.4131, MSE = 0.1706, MAE = 0.3184, and ME = 0.0003; for the pair of field measurement and airborne LiDAR: R2 = 0.8368, RMSE = 1.9646, MSE = 3.8597, MAE = 1.0586, and ME = -0.3450; and for the pair of airborne LiDAR and ICESat-2: R2 = 0.8275, RMSE = 1.6664, MSE = 2.7770, MAE = 0.9040, and ME = 0.4598. As a result of the analysis, it was seen that the data obtained from the ICESat-2 system was successful in estimating building height and provided reliable data.

建筑高度信息对于确定城市形态、城市规划研究和管理可持续增长至关重要。本研究旨在利用机器学习算法从机载 LiDAR 和空间 ICESat-2/ATLAS 数据中估算建筑高度。在分析 ICESat-2/ATLAS 和机载激光雷达数据时,研究了不同机器学习算法的性能。建筑物高度信息的准确性与实地测量结果进行了比较。K-近邻(K-NN)、随机森林(RF)、支持向量机(SVM)、人工神经网络(ANN)和随机抽样与共识(RANSAC)等机器学习算法被用于对空间和机载激光雷达数据进行分类。在应用于 ICESat-2/ATLAS 的所有算法中,RF 算法对强光束和弱光束的分类结果最好,分别为 0.9683 和 0.9614。K-NN 算法为机载激光雷达数据集提供了最佳结果(0.9999)。统计分析适用于两个激光雷达数据集。实地测量和 ICESat-2 数据集的统计分析结果为:R2 = 0.9894,RMSE = 0.4131,MSE = 0.1706,MAE = 0.3184,ME = 0.0003;实地测量和机载激光雷达数据集的统计分析结果为:R2 = 0.8368, RMSE = 1.9646, MSE = 3.8597, MAE = 1.0586, ME = -0.3450; 而对于机载 LiDAR 和 ICESat-2 这对:R2 = 0.8275, RMSE = 1.6664, MSE = 2.7770, MAE = 0.9040, ME = 0.4598。分析结果表明,ICESat-2 系统获得的数据成功地估算了建筑物高度,并提供了可靠的数据。
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引用次数: 0
Analysis of the temporal and spatial changes of ecological environment quality using the optimization remote sensing ecological index in the middle Yellow River Basin, China 利用优化遥感生态指数分析中国黄河中游流域生态环境质量的时空变化
IF 2.8 4区 地球科学 Q2 COMPUTER SCIENCE, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2024-08-13 DOI: 10.1007/s12145-024-01441-0
Guanwen Li, Naichang Zhang, Yongxiang Cao, Zhaohui Xia, Chenfang Bao, Liangxin Fan, Sha Xue

Monitoring and assessing spatiotemporal changes and driving factors of ecological environment quality in the middle Yellow River Basin (MYRB) is significant for ecological environment protection, management, and high-quality development. We reconstructed data from 1986‒2023 Landsat series images using the harmonic analysis of time series (HANTS) algorithm on the Google Earth Engine platform to optimize the remote-sensing ecological index (RSEI) calculation process, and analyzed the trends and sustainability of ecological environment quality changes. The HANTS algorithm reduced dispersion and anomalies, filled in missing images, and enhanced the Landsat series image quality. The RSEI accurately reflected the ecological environment quality from 1986‒2023 in the MYRB, reducing the "pseudo-variation" conclusion of multi-year evaluations, and enhancing the stability of regional ecological environment quality assessments. Ecological environment quality in the MYRB generally showed an improving trend from 1986‒2023, with significant improvement covering 71.6% of the area; however, the change in ecological environment quality showed weak sustainability. The results reflected the positive effects of ecological restoration and the negative impact of urban construction. The optimized RSEI effectively reflected the ecological environment quality of the MYRB, improved the long-term RSEI stability, and satisfied the requirements of large-scale and long-term ecological environment quality monitoring.

黄河中游流域生态环境质量时空变化及驱动因子的监测与评估对于生态环境保护、管理和高质量发展具有重要意义。我们利用谷歌地球引擎平台上的时间序列谐波分析(HANTS)算法重建了1986-2023年Landsat系列影像数据,优化了遥感生态指数(RSEI)计算过程,分析了生态环境质量变化的趋势和可持续性。HANTS 算法减少了离散和异常,填补了缺失图像,提高了 Landsat 系列图像质量。RSEI 准确反映了 MYRB 1986-2023 年的生态环境质量,减少了多年评价的 "伪变化 "结论,增强了区域生态环境质量评价的稳定性。1986-2023 年,MYRB 区域生态环境质量总体呈改善趋势,显著改善面积占 71.6%,但生态环境质量变化的可持续性较弱。结果反映了生态修复的积极作用和城市建设的消极影响。优化后的 RSEI 有效反映了 MYRB 的生态环境质量,提高了 RSEI 的长期稳定性,满足了大规模、长期生态环境质量监测的要求。
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引用次数: 0
Analysis of summer high temperature observations based on different sub surfaces 基于不同子表面的夏季高温观测分析
IF 2.8 4区 地球科学 Q2 COMPUTER SCIENCE, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2024-08-13 DOI: 10.1007/s12145-024-01439-8
Jiajia Zhang, Genghua Zhu, Jianan Yin, Jing Ma, Xiangru Kong

This paper selects three typical observation sites in Hengshui city, Hengshui Lake wetland, and youth woodland along the river, and uses non-contact infrared temperature measurement equipment to carry out high-temperature continuous observation of four kinds of underlay surfaces, namely, asphalt, grassland, woodland, and wetland, to compare the temporal characteristics of the surface temperature of each kind of underlay surface and its relationship with meteorological factors, and to establish the multivariate linear regression equations for the four kinds of maximum surface temperatures of underlay surfaces based on a variety of meteorological factors. Regression equations were established, and the main results were as follows: ①The daily maximum temperature, daily average temperature, and daily minimum temperature change curves of asphalt underlay were significantly higher than those of other underlay, and the change trends of grassland, woodland, and wetland were the same, and the curves were close to each other. ②The maximum and minimum temperatures of the four types of underlayment were ranked as asphalt > wetland > forestland > grassland. ③The maximum surface temperatures of the four types of underlayment were positively correlated with the daily maximum air temperature and solar radiation, with correlation coefficients around 0.9, and negatively correlated with the daily total cloudiness and the daily maximum relative humidity, with correlation coefficients above 0.5. ④The four types of sub surface maximum temperature forecasts are well fitted to the observed values, with correlation coefficients of 0.70 or more, and the error results are within the acceptable range, which can meet the needs of high-temperature forecasting, among which the grassy subsurface has the best fit, with a correlation coefficient of 0.90.The results have certain reference significance for knowing thermal environment of different urban underlying surfaces, while. providing scientific evidence for the development of refined urban meteorological forecasting services.

本文选取衡水市区、衡水湖湿地、沿河青年林场三个典型观测点,利用非接触式红外测温设备对沥青、草地、林地、湿地四种下垫面进行高温连续观测、比较每种下垫面表面温度的时间特征及其与气象要素的关系,建立基于多种气象要素的四种下垫面最高表面温度的多元线性回归方程。建立了回归方程,主要结果如下:沥青下垫面的日最高气温、日平均气温、日最低气温变化曲线明显高于其他下垫面,草地、林地、湿地的变化趋势相同,曲线接近。四种下垫面的最高温度和最低温度依次为沥青下垫面、湿地下垫面、林地下垫面和草原下垫面。四种下垫面的最高地表温度与日最高气温和太阳辐射呈正相关,相关系数在 0.9 左右;与日总云量和日最大相对湿度呈负相关,相关系数在 0.5 以上。四种地表下最高气温预报与观测值拟合良好,相关系数均在 0.70 以上,误差结果均在可接受范围内,能够满足高温预报的需要,其中草地地表下拟合效果最好,相关系数达到 0.90,该结果对了解不同城市地表下的热环境具有一定的参考意义,同时也为开展精细化城市气象预报服务提供了科学依据。
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引用次数: 0
Integration of machine learning and remote sensing for drought index prediction: A framework for water resource crisis management 将机器学习与遥感技术整合用于干旱指数预测:水资源危机管理框架
IF 2.8 4区 地球科学 Q2 COMPUTER SCIENCE, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2024-08-07 DOI: 10.1007/s12145-024-01437-w
Hamed Talebi, Saeed Samadianfard

A drought is a complex event characterized by low rainfall and has negative implications for agricultural and hydrological systems, as well as for community life. A common meteorological drought index used for drought monitoring and water resource management is the Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI). Using SPEI can assist in predicting drought onset and estimating drought severity. The objective of this research is to assess the accuracy of machine learning models in estimating the SPEI-1 (one-month) index in semi-arid climates. To achieve this goal, the data will be analyzed using remote sensing parameters, a worldwide database, and meteorological station information. SPEI-1 was predicted in Tabriz, Iran, between 1990 and 2022 using multilayer perceptron (MLP) and random forest (RF) techniques combined with genetic algorithm (GA) methods. The parameters used are average air temperature, average relative humidity, monthly precipitation, wind speed, sunny hours, as well as the one-month standard precipitation index (SPI-1) (from ground data), daily precipitation products from satellites named PERSIANN (PRC-PR) (from remote sensing), and SPEIbase data (from global databases). The results suggest that the use of satellite remote sensing characteristics and global databases has significantly enhanced the precision and efficiency of prediction models. Based on the GA-RF model with an R2 of 0.992 and an RMSE of 0.124, it exhibits the best performance among all models in Scenario 1. By combining remote sensing parameters, this study presents an innovative approach to predicting the SPEI index and demonstrates their capabilities in drought management and mitigation.

干旱是以降雨量低为特征的复杂事件,对农业和水文系统以及社区生活都有负面影响。用于干旱监测和水资源管理的常用气象干旱指数是标准化降水蒸散指数 (SPEI)。使用 SPEI 可以帮助预测干旱的发生和估计干旱的严重程度。本研究的目的是评估机器学习模型在半干旱气候条件下估算 SPEI-1(一个月)指数的准确性。为实现这一目标,将利用遥感参数、全球数据库和气象站信息对数据进行分析。使用多层感知器(MLP)和随机森林(RF)技术,结合遗传算法(GA)方法,预测了 1990 年至 2022 年伊朗大不里士的 SPEI-1。使用的参数包括平均气温、平均相对湿度、月降水量、风速、日照时数以及一个月标准降水指数 (SPI-1)(来自地面数据)、PERSIANN (PRC-PR) 卫星的日降水产品(来自遥感数据)和 SPEIbase 数据(来自全球数据库)。结果表明,卫星遥感特征和全球数据库的使用大大提高了预测模型的精度和效率。基于 GA-RF 模型的 R2 为 0.992,RMSE 为 0.124,在方案 1 的所有模型中表现最佳。通过结合遥感参数,本研究提出了一种预测 SPEI 指数的创新方法,并展示了其在干旱管理和缓解方面的能力。
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Earth Science Informatics
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