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Forest growing stock volume mapping with accompanying uncertainty in heterogeneous landscapes using remote sensing data 利用遥感数据绘制具有不确定性的异质地貌森林蓄积量地图
IF 2.8 4区 地球科学 Q2 COMPUTER SCIENCE, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2024-08-26 DOI: 10.1007/s12145-024-01457-6
Azamat Suleymanov, Ruslan Shagaliev, Larisa Belan, Ekaterina Bogdan, Iren Tuktarova, Eduard Nagaev, Dilara Muftakhina

Understanding the spatial distribution of forest properties can help improve our knowledge of carbon storage and the impacts of climate change. Despite the active use of remote sensing and machine learning (ML) methods in forest mapping, the associated uncertainty predictions are relatively uncommon. The objectives of this study were: (1) to evaluate the spatial resolution effect on growing stock volume (GSV) mapping using Sentinel-2A and Landsat 8 satellite images, (2) to identify the most key predictors, and (3) to quantify the uncertainty of GSV predictions. The study was conducted in heterogeneous landscapes, covering anthropogenic areas, logging, young plantings and mature trees. We employed an ML approach and evaluated our models by root mean squared error (RMSE) and coefficient of determination (R2) through a 10-fold cross-validation. Our results indicated that the Sentinel-2A provided the best prediction performances (RMSE = 56.6 m3/ha, R2 = 0.53) in compare with Landsat 8 (RMSE = 71.2 m3/ha, R2 = 0.23), where NDVI, LSWI and B08 band (near-infrared spectrum) were identified as key variables, with the highest contribution to the model. Moreover, the uncertainty of GSV predictions using the Sentinel-2A was much smaller compared with Landsat 8. The combined assessment of accuracy and uncertainty reinforces the suitability of Sentinel-2A for applications in heterogeneous landscapes. The higher accuracy and lower uncertainty observed with the Sentinel-2A underscores its effectiveness in providing more reliable and precise information for decision-makers. This research is important for further digital mapping endeavours with accompanying uncertainty, as uncertainty assessment plays a pivotal role in decision-making processes related to spatial assessment and forest management.

了解森林属性的空间分布有助于提高我们对碳储存和气候变化影响的认识。尽管遥感和机器学习(ML)方法在森林测绘中得到了积极应用,但相关的不确定性预测却相对少见。本研究的目标是(1)利用 Sentinel-2A 和 Landsat 8 卫星图像评估空间分辨率对生长蓄积量(GSV)绘图的影响;(2)确定最关键的预测因子;(3)量化 GSV 预测的不确定性。这项研究是在异质景观中进行的,涵盖了人为区域、伐木、幼苗种植和成熟树木。我们采用了 ML 方法,并通过 10 倍交叉验证,用均方根误差(RMSE)和判定系数(R2)对模型进行了评估。结果表明,与 Landsat 8(RMSE = 71.2 立方米/公顷,R2 = 0.23)相比,Sentinel-2A 的预测效果最好(RMSE = 56.6 立方米/公顷,R2 = 0.53),其中 NDVI、LSWI 和 B08 波段(近红外光谱)被认为是关键变量,对模型的贡献最大。此外,与大地遥感卫星 8 相比,使用 Sentinel-2A 预测 GSV 的不确定性要小得多。 对精度和不确定性的综合评估加强了 Sentinel-2A 在异质地貌中的应用。在哨兵-2A 上观测到的较高精度和较低不确定性突出表明,它能有效地为决策者提供更可靠、更精确的信息。这项研究对于进一步开展带有不确定性的数字制图工作非常重要,因为不确定性评估在与空间评估和森林管理有关的决策过程中发挥着关键作用。
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引用次数: 0
A diverse underwater image formation model for underwater image restoration 用于水下图像修复的多样化水下图像形成模型
IF 2.8 4区 地球科学 Q2 COMPUTER SCIENCE, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2024-08-26 DOI: 10.1007/s12145-024-01462-9
Sami Ullah, Najmul Hassan, Naeem Bhatti

The underwater images (UWIs) are one of the most effective sources to collect information about the underwater environment. Due to the irregular optical properties of different water types, the captured UWIs suffer from color cast, low visibility and distortion. Moreover, each water type offers different optical absorption, scattering, and attenuation of red, green and blue bands, which makes restoration of UWIs a challenging task. The revised underwater image formation model (RUIFM) considers only the peak values of the corresponding attenuation coefficient of each water type to restore UWIs. The performance of RUIFM suffers due to the inter-class variations of UWIs in a water type. In this paper, we propose an improved version of RUIFM as the Diverse Underwater Image Formation Model (DUIFM). The DUIFM increases the diversity of RUIFM by deeply encountering the optical properties of each water type. We investigate the inter-class variations of Jerlov-based classes of UWIs in terms of light attenuation and statistical features and further classify each image into low, medium and high bands. Which, in turn, provides the precise inherent optical attenuation coefficient of water and increases the generality of the DUIFM in color restoration and enhancement. The qualitative and quantitative performance evaluation results on publicly available real-world underwater enhancement (RUIE), underwater image enhancement benchmark (UIEB) and enhanced underwater visual perception (EUVP) data sets demonstrate the effectiveness of our proposed DUIFM.

水下图像(UWIs)是收集水下环境信息的最有效来源之一。由于不同类型水体的光学特性不尽相同,拍摄到的水下图像存在偏色、能见度低和失真等问题。此外,每种水体对红色、绿色和蓝色波段的光学吸收、散射和衰减各不相同,这使得水下成像的还原成为一项具有挑战性的任务。修订后的水下图像形成模型(RUIFM)仅考虑每种水体相应衰减系数的峰值来还原 UWI。由于水域类型中 UWIs 的类间差异,RUIFM 的性能受到影响。在本文中,我们提出了 RUIFM 的改进版本,即多样化水下图像形成模型(DUIFM)。DUIFM 通过深入了解每种水体的光学特性,增加了 RUIFM 的多样性。我们从光衰减和统计特征方面研究了基于杰洛夫分类的水下图像的类间变化,并进一步将每幅图像分为低、中、高三个波段。这反过来又提供了精确的水固有光衰减系数,提高了 DUIFM 在色彩还原和增强方面的通用性。在公开的真实水下增强(RUIE)、水下图像增强基准(UIEB)和增强水下视觉感知(EUVP)数据集上的定性和定量性能评估结果证明了我们提出的 DUIFM 的有效性。
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引用次数: 0
Two-stage forecasting of TCN-GRU short-term load considering error compensation and real-time decomposition 考虑误差补偿和实时分解的 TCN-GRU 短期负荷两阶段预测
IF 2.8 4区 地球科学 Q2 COMPUTER SCIENCE, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2024-08-26 DOI: 10.1007/s12145-024-01456-7
Yang Li, Yongsheng Ye, Yanlong Xu, Lili Li, Xi Chen, Jianghua Huang

With the continuous development of power system and the growth of load demand, accurate short-term load forecasting (SLTF) provides reliable guidance for power system operation and scheduling. Therefore, this paper proposes a two-stage short-term load forecasting method. In the first stage, the original load is processed by improved complete ensemble empirical mode decomposition with adaptive noise (ICEEMDAN). The time series features of the load are extracted by temporal convolutional network (TCN), which is used as an input to realize the initial load prediction based on gated recurrent unit (GRU). At the same time, in order to overcome the problem that the prediction model established by the original subsequence has insufficient adaptability in the newly decomposed subsequence, the real-time decomposition strategy is adopted to improve the generalization ability of the model. To further improve the prediction accuracy, an error compensation strategy is constructed in the second stage. The strategy uses adaptive variational mode decomposition (AVMD) to reduce the unpredictability of the error sequence and corrects the initial prediction results based on the temporal convolutional network-gated recurrent unit (TCN-GRU) error compensator. The proposed two-stage forecasting method was evaluated using load data from Queensland, Australia. The analysis results show that the proposed method can better capture the nonlinearity and non-stationarity in the load data. The mean absolute percentage error of its prediction is 0.819%, which are lower than the other compared models, indicating its high applicability in SLTF.

随着电力系统的不断发展和负荷需求的增长,准确的短期负荷预测(SLTF)为电力系统的运行和调度提供了可靠的指导。因此,本文提出了一种两阶段短期负荷预测方法。在第一阶段,用带自适应噪声的改进型完全集合经验模式分解(ICEEMDAN)处理原始负荷。通过时序卷积网络(TCN)提取负荷的时间序列特征,并以此为输入,实现基于门控递归单元(GRU)的初始负荷预测。同时,为了克服原始子序列建立的预测模型在新分解的子序列中适应性不足的问题,采用了实时分解策略来提高模型的泛化能力。为了进一步提高预测精度,第二阶段构建了误差补偿策略。该策略使用自适应变异模式分解(AVMD)来降低误差序列的不可预测性,并基于时序卷积网络门控递归单元(TCN-GRU)误差补偿器修正初始预测结果。利用澳大利亚昆士兰州的负荷数据对所提出的两阶段预测方法进行了评估。分析结果表明,所提出的方法能更好地捕捉到负荷数据中的非线性和非平稳性。其预测的平均绝对百分比误差为 0.819%,低于其他比较模型,表明其在 SLTF 中具有较高的适用性。
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引用次数: 0
Conceptual modelling of sensor-based geographic data: interoperable approach with real-time air quality index (AQI) dashboard 基于传感器的地理数据概念建模:与实时空气质量指数(AQI)仪表板的互操作方法
IF 2.8 4区 地球科学 Q2 COMPUTER SCIENCE, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2024-08-24 DOI: 10.1007/s12145-024-01444-x
Rabia Bovkir, Arif Cagdas Aydinoglu

The rapid and uncontrolled development in the urban environment leads to significant problems, negatively affecting the quality of life in many areas. Smart Sustainable City concept has emerged to solve these problems and enhance the quality of life for its citizens. A smart city integrates the physical, digital and social system in order to provide a sustainable and comfortable future by the help of the Information and Communication Technologies (ICT) and Spatial Data Infrastructures (SDI). However, the integrated management of urban data requires the inclusion of ICT enabled SDI that can be applied as a decision support element in different urban problems by giving a comprehensive understanding of city dynamics; an interoperable and integrative conceptual data modelling, essential for smart sustainable cities and successful management of big urban data. The main purpose of this study is to propose an integrated data management approach in accordance with international standards for sustainable management of smart cities. Thematic data model designed within the scope of quality of life, which is one of the main purposes of smart cities, offers an exemplary approach to overcome the problems arising from the inability to manage and analyse big and complex urban data for sustainability. In this aspect, it is aimed to provide a conceptual methodology for successful implementation of smart sustainable city applications within the international and national SDIs with environmental quality of life theme. With this object, firstly, the literature on smart sustainable cities was examined together with the scope of quality and sustainability of urban environment along with all related components. Secondly, the big data and its management was examined within the concept of the urban SDI. In this perspective, new trends and standards related to sensors, internet of things (IoT), real-time data, online services and application programming interfaces (API) were investigated. After, thematic conceptual models for the integrated management of sensor-based data were proposed and a real time Air Quality Index (AQI) dashboard was designed in Istanbul, Türkiye as the thematic case application of proposed models.

城市环境的快速和无节制发展导致了许多问题,对许多地区的生活质量产生了负面影响。智能可持续城市概念的出现就是为了解决这些问题,提高市民的生活质量。智能城市整合了物理、数字和社会系统,借助信息与通信技术(ICT)和空间数据基础设施(SDI),提供一个可持续发展和舒适的未来。然而,要对城市数据进行综合管理,就必须纳入信息和通信技术支持的空间数据基础设施(SDI),通过对城市动态的全面了解,将其作为决策支持要素应用于不同的城市问题;建立可互操作的综合概念数据模型,这对智能可持续城市和成功管理城市大数据至关重要。本研究的主要目的是根据智能城市可持续管理的国际标准,提出一种综合数据管理方法。生活质量是智慧城市的主要目的之一,在生活质量范围内设计的专题数据模型为克服因无法管理和分析复杂的城市大数据而产生的问题提供了一个可借鉴的方法。在这方面,其目的是提供一种概念方法,以便在以环境生活质量为主题的国际和国家 SDI 中成功实施智能可持续城市应用。为此,首先对有关智能可持续城市的文献以及城市环境质量和可持续性的范围和所有相关组成部分进行了研究。其次,在城市 SDI 概念范围内对大数据及其管理进行了研究。从这个角度出发,研究了与传感器、物联网(IoT)、实时数据、在线服务和应用编程接口(API)相关的新趋势和新标准。随后,提出了传感器数据综合管理的主题概念模型,并在土耳其伊斯坦布尔设计了实时空气质量指数(AQI)仪表板,作为所提模型的主题案例应用。
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引用次数: 0
Estimation of soil salinity using satellite-based variables and machine learning methods 利用卫星变量和机器学习方法估算土壤盐度
IF 2.8 4区 地球科学 Q2 COMPUTER SCIENCE, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2024-08-24 DOI: 10.1007/s12145-024-01467-4
Wanli Wang, Jinguang Sun

Soil salinity is one of the significant environmental issues that can reduce crop growth and productivity, ultimately leading to land degradation. Therefore, accurate monitoring and mapping of soil salinity are essential for implementing effective measures to combat increasing salinity. This study aims to estimate the spatial distribution of soil salinity using machine learning methods in Huludao City, located in northeastern China. By meticulously collecting data, soil salinity was measured in 310 soil samples. Subsequently, environmental parameters were calculated using remote sensing data. In the next step, soil salinity was modeled using machine learning methods, including random forest (RF), support vector machine (SVM), and artificial neural network (ANN). Additionally, to estimate uncertainty, the lower limit (5%) and upper limit (95%) prediction intervals were used. The results indicated that accurate maps for predicting soil salinity could be obtained using machine learning methods. By comparing the methods employed, it was determined that the RF model is the most accurate approach for estimating soil salinity (RMSE=0.03, AIC=-919, BIS=-891, and R2=0.84). Furthermore, the results from the prediction interval coverage probability (PICP) index, utilizing the uncertainty maps, demonstrated the high predictive accuracy of the methods employed in this study. Moreover, it was revealed that the environmental parameters, including NDVI, GNDVI, standh, and BI, are the main controllers of the spatial patterns of soil salinity in the study area. However, there remains a need to explore more precise methods for estimating soil salinity and identifying salinity patterns, as soil salinity has intensified with increased human activities, necessitating more detailed investigations.

土壤盐碱化是重大环境问题之一,会降低作物生长和生产力,最终导致土地退化。因此,准确监测和绘制土壤盐分分布图对于采取有效措施应对日益严重的盐分问题至关重要。本研究旨在利用机器学习方法估算位于中国东北部的葫芦岛市土壤盐分的空间分布。通过细致的数据采集,测量了 310 个土壤样本的土壤盐度。随后,利用遥感数据计算了环境参数。下一步,使用机器学习方法对土壤盐度进行建模,包括随机森林(RF)、支持向量机(SVM)和人工神经网络(ANN)。此外,为了估计不确定性,还使用了下限(5%)和上限(95%)预测区间。结果表明,使用机器学习方法可以获得准确的土壤盐度预测图。通过比较所采用的方法,确定 RF 模型是估算土壤盐度最准确的方法(RMSE=0.03,AIC=-919,BIS=-891,R2=0.84)。此外,利用不确定性地图得出的预测区间覆盖概率(PICP)指数结果表明,本研究采用的方法具有很高的预测准确性。此外,研究还发现,环境参数(包括 NDVI、GNDVI、standh 和 BI)是研究区域土壤盐渍化空间模式的主要控制因素。然而,随着人类活动的增加,土壤盐碱化程度加剧,仍需探索更精确的方法来估算土壤盐碱化程度并确定盐碱化模式,因此有必要进行更详细的调查。
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引用次数: 0
Predicting galaxy morphology using attention-enhanced ResNets 利用注意力增强型 ResNets 预测星系形态
IF 2.8 4区 地球科学 Q2 COMPUTER SCIENCE, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2024-08-24 DOI: 10.1007/s12145-024-01449-6
Akshit Gupta, Kanwarpreet Kaur, Neeru Jindal

The practice of categorizing the galaxies according to morphologies exists and offers crucial details on the creation and development of the universe. The conventional visual inspection techniques have been very subjective and time-consuming. However, it is now possible to classify galaxies with greater accuracy owing to advancements in deep learning techniques. Deep Learning has demonstrated considerable potential in the research of galaxy classification and offers fresh perspectives on the genesis and evolution of galaxies. The suggested methodology employs Residual Networks for variety in a transfer learning-based method. To improve the accuracy of ResNet, an attention mechanism has been included. In our investigation, we used two relatively shallow ResNet models, ResNet18 and ResNet50 by incorporating a soft attention mechanism into them. The presented approach is validated on the Galaxy Zoo dataset from Kaggle. The accuracy increases from 60.15% to 80.20% for ResNet18 and from 78.21% to 80.55% for ResNet50, thus, demonstrating that the proposed work is now on a level with the accuracy of the far more complex, ResNet152 model. We have found that the attention mechanism can successfully improve the accuracy of even shallow models, which has implications for future studies in image recognition tasks.

根据形态对星系进行分类的做法是存在的,它提供了有关宇宙产生和发展的重要细节。传统的视觉检测技术非常主观且耗时。然而,由于深度学习技术的进步,现在可以更准确地对星系进行分类。深度学习已在星系分类研究中展现出相当大的潜力,并为星系的起源和演化提供了全新的视角。所建议的方法采用基于迁移学习的残差网络(Residual Networks)进行分类。为了提高残差网络的准确性,还加入了注意力机制。在研究中,我们使用了两个相对较浅的 ResNet 模型 ResNet18 和 ResNet50,并在其中加入了软注意力机制。所提出的方法在 Kaggle 的 Galaxy Zoo 数据集上进行了验证。ResNet18的准确率从60.15%提高到80.20%,ResNet50的准确率从78.21%提高到80.55%,这表明所提出的方法与更为复杂的ResNet152模型的准确率相当。我们发现,即使是浅层模型,注意力机制也能成功提高其准确性,这对未来图像识别任务的研究具有重要意义。
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引用次数: 0
A novel spectral-spatial 3D auxiliary conditional GAN integrated convolutional LSTM for hyperspectral image classification 用于高光谱图像分类的新型光谱空间三维辅助条件 GAN 集成卷积 LSTM
IF 2.8 4区 地球科学 Q2 COMPUTER SCIENCE, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2024-08-23 DOI: 10.1007/s12145-024-01451-y
Pallavi Ranjan, Ashish Girdhar, Ankur, Rajeev Kumar

Hyperspectral Imaging (HSI) has revolutionized earth observation through advanced remote sensing technology, providing rich spectral and spatial information across multiple bands. However, this wealth of data introduces significant challenges for classification, including high spectral correlation, the curse of dimensionality due to limited labeled data, the need to model long-term dependencies, and the impact of sample input on deep learning performance. These challenges are further exacerbated by the costly and complex acquisition of HSI data, resulting in limited availability of labeled samples and class imbalances. To address these critical issues, our study proposes a novel approach for generating high-quality synthetic hyperspectral data cubes using an advanced Generative Adversarial Network (GAN) integrated with the Wasserstein loss and gradient penalty phenomenon (WGAN-GP). This approach aims to augment real-world data, mitigating the scarcity of labeled samples that has long been a bottleneck in hyperspectral image analysis and classification. To fully leverage both the synthetic and real data, we introduce a novel Convolutional LSTM classifier designed to process the intricate spatial and spectral correlations inherent in hyperspectral data. This classifier excels in modeling multi-dimensional relationships within the data, effectively capturing long-term dependencies and improving feature extraction and classification accuracy. The performance of our proposed model, termed 3D-ACWGAN-ConvLSTM, is rigorously validated using benchmark hyperspectral datasets, demonstrating its effectiveness in augmenting real-world data and enhancing classification performance. This research contributes to addressing the critical need for robust data augmentation techniques in hyperspectral imaging, potentially opening new avenues for applications in areas constrained by limited data availability and complex spectral-spatial relationships.

高光谱成像(HSI)通过先进的遥感技术彻底改变了地球观测,提供了跨多个波段的丰富光谱和空间信息。然而,如此丰富的数据给分类带来了巨大挑战,包括高光谱相关性、标注数据有限导致的维度诅咒、建立长期依赖关系模型的需要以及样本输入对深度学习性能的影响。由于获取人机交互数据的成本高且复杂,导致标记样本的可用性有限和类不平衡,这些挑战进一步加剧。为了解决这些关键问题,我们的研究提出了一种新方法,利用先进的生成对抗网络(GAN)与瓦瑟斯坦损失和梯度惩罚现象(WGAN-GP)相结合,生成高质量的合成高光谱数据立方体。这种方法旨在增强真实世界的数据,缓解长期以来一直是高光谱图像分析和分类瓶颈的标记样本稀缺问题。为了充分利用合成数据和真实数据,我们引入了一种新型卷积 LSTM 分类器,旨在处理高光谱数据固有的复杂空间和光谱相关性。这种分类器擅长对数据中的多维关系建模,能有效捕捉长期依赖关系,提高特征提取和分类的准确性。我们提出的模型被称为 3D-ACWGAN-ConvLSTM ,其性能通过基准高光谱数据集得到了严格验证,证明了它在增强真实世界数据和提高分类性能方面的有效性。这项研究有助于满足高光谱成像对稳健数据增强技术的迫切需求,为受限于有限数据可用性和复杂光谱空间关系的领域的应用开辟了新途径。
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引用次数: 0
Comparison of support vector machines (SVMs) and the learning vector quantization (LVQ) techniques for geological domaining: a case study from Darehzar porphyry copper deposit, SE Iran 支持向量机 (SVM) 与学习向量量化 (LVQ) 技术在地质域划分方面的比较:伊朗东南部 Darehzar 斑岩铜矿床案例研究
IF 2.8 4区 地球科学 Q2 COMPUTER SCIENCE, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2024-08-23 DOI: 10.1007/s12145-024-01452-x
Maliheh Abbaszadeh, Vahid Khosravi, Amin Beiranvand Pour

Geological domaining is an essential aspect of mineral resource evaluation. Various explicit and implicit modeling approaches have been developed for this purpose, but most of them are computationally expensive and complex, particularly when dealing with intricate mineralization systems and large datasets. Additionally, most of them require a time-consuming process for hyperparameter tuning. In this research, the application of the Learning Vector Quantization (LVQ) classification algorithm has been proposed to address these challenges. The LVQ algorithm exhibits lower complexity and computational costs compared to other machine learning algorithms. Various versions of LVQ, including LVQ1, LVQ2, and LVQ3, have been implemented for geological domaining in the Darehzar porphyry copper deposit in southeastern Iran. Their performance in geological domaining has been thoroughly investigated and compared with the Support Vector Machine (SVM), a widely accepted classification method in implicit domaining. The overall classification accuracy of LVQ1, LVQ2, LVQ3, and SVM is 90%, 90%, 91%, and 98%, respectively. Furthermore, the calculation time of these algorithms has been compared. Although the overall accuracy of the SVM method is ∼ 7% higher, its calculation time is ∼ 1000 times longer than LVQ methods. Therefore, LVQ emerges as a suitable alternative for geological domaining, especially when dealing with large datasets.

地质区域划分是矿产资源评估的一个重要方面。为此,人们开发了各种显式和隐式建模方法,但大多数方法计算成本高且复杂,尤其是在处理复杂的成矿系统和大型数据集时。此外,大多数方法都需要耗时的超参数调整过程。本研究提出应用学习矢量量化(LVQ)分类算法来应对这些挑战。与其他机器学习算法相比,LVQ 算法具有更低的复杂度和计算成本。不同版本的 LVQ(包括 LVQ1、LVQ2 和 LVQ3)已在伊朗东南部 Darehzar 斑岩铜矿床的地质域划分中得到应用。对它们在地质域划分中的性能进行了深入研究,并与支持向量机(SVM)进行了比较,SVM 是隐式域划分中一种广为接受的分类方法。LVQ1、LVQ2、LVQ3 和 SVM 的总体分类准确率分别为 90%、90%、91% 和 98%。此外,还比较了这些算法的计算时间。虽然 SVM 方法的总体准确率比 LVQ 方法高出 7%,但其计算时间却是 LVQ 方法的 1000 倍。因此,LVQ 是地质域划分的合适替代方法,尤其是在处理大型数据集时。
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引用次数: 0
Streamflow forecasting with deep learning models: A side-by-side comparison in Northwest Spain 利用深度学习模型进行水流预报:西班牙西北部的并行比较
IF 2.8 4区 地球科学 Q2 COMPUTER SCIENCE, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2024-08-23 DOI: 10.1007/s12145-024-01454-9
Juan F. Farfán-Durán, Luis Cea

Accurate hourly streamflow prediction is crucial for managing water resources, particularly in smaller basins with short response times. This study evaluates six deep learning (DL) models, including Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU), Convolutional Neural Network (CNN), and their hybrids (CNN-LSTM, CNN-GRU, CNN-Recurrent Neural Network (RNN)), across two basins in Northwest Spain over a ten-year period. Findings reveal that GRU models excel, achieving Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency (NSE) scores of approximately 0.96 and 0.98 for the Groba and Anllóns catchments, respectively, at 1-hour lead times. Hybrid models did not enhance performance, which declines at longer lead times due to basin-specific characteristics such as area and slope, particularly in smaller basins where NSE dropped from 0.969 to 0.24. The inclusion of future rainfall data in the input sequences has improved the results, especially for longer lead times from 0.24 to 0.70 in the Groba basin and from 0.81 to 0.92 in the Anllóns basin for a 12-hour lead time. This research provides a foundation for future exploration of DL in streamflow forecasting, in which other data sources and model structures can be utilized.

精确的每小时流量预测对于水资源管理至关重要,尤其是在响应时间较短的小型流域。本研究评估了六个深度学习(DL)模型,包括长短期记忆(LSTM)、门控递归单元(GRU)、卷积神经网络(CNN)及其混合模型(CNN-LSTM、CNN-GRU、CNN-递归神经网络(RNN))。研究结果表明,GRU 模型表现出色,在 1 小时准备时间内,Groba 和 Anllóns 流域的纳什-萨特克利夫效率(NSE)分别达到约 0.96 和 0.98。混合模型并没有提高效率,由于流域面积和坡度等流域特性,混合模型的效率在更长的准备时间内会下降,特别是在较小的流域,NSE 从 0.969 降至 0.24。在输入序列中加入未来降雨量数据后,结果有所改善,尤其是在较长的前置时间内,格罗巴盆地的结果从 0.24 升至 0.70,安洛盆地的结果从 0.81 升至 0.92(前置时间为 12 小时)。这项研究为今后探索 DL 在河水流量预报中的应用奠定了基础,在此过程中还可以利用其他数据源和模型结构。
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引用次数: 0
River flood prediction through flow level modeling using multi-attention encoder-decoder-based TCN with filter-wrapper feature selection 利用基于多注意编码器-解码器的 TCN 和滤波器-包装器特征选择,通过水位建模进行河流洪水预测
IF 2.8 4区 地球科学 Q2 COMPUTER SCIENCE, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2024-08-22 DOI: 10.1007/s12145-024-01446-9
G. Selva Jeba, P. Chitra

Floods, among the most destructive climate-induced natural disasters, necessitate effective prediction models for early warning systems. The proposed Multi-Attention Encoder-Decoder-based Temporal Convolutional Network (MA-TCN-ED) prediction model combines the strengths of the Temporal Convolutional Network (TCN), Multi-Attention (MA) mechanism, and Encoder-Decoder (ED) architecture along with filter-wrapper feature selection for optimal feature selection. This framework aims to improve flood prediction accuracy by effectively capturing temporal dependencies and intricate patterns in atmospheric and hydro-meteorological data. The proposed framework was pervasively assessed for predicting the real-world flood-related data of the river Meenachil, Kerala, and the results showed that MA-TCN-ED using a filter-wrapper feature selection approach achieved higher accuracy in flood prediction. Further the model was validated on the dataset of river Pamba, Kerala. The proposed model exhibits better performance with about 32% reduced MAE, 39% reduced RMSE, 12% increased NSE, 14% enhanced R2, and 17% enhanced accuracy relative to the average performance of all the compared baseline models. The proposed work holds promise for enhancing early warning systems and mitigating the impact of floods and contributes to the broader understanding of leveraging deep learning models for effective climate-related risk mitigation.

洪水是由气候引起的最具破坏性的自然灾害之一,因此有必要为预警系统建立有效的预测模型。所提出的基于多注意编码器-解码器的时空卷积网络(MA-TCN-ED)预测模型结合了时空卷积网络(TCN)、多注意(MA)机制和编码器-解码器(ED)架构的优势,以及用于优化特征选择的滤波器包装特征选择。该框架旨在通过有效捕捉大气和水文气象数据中的时间依赖性和复杂模式来提高洪水预测的准确性。在对喀拉拉邦 Meenachil 河的真实世界洪水相关数据进行预测时,对所提出的框架进行了全面评估,结果表明,采用滤波器-包装特征选择方法的 MA-TCN-ED 在洪水预测中取得了更高的准确率。此外,该模型还在喀拉拉邦 Pamba 河的数据集上进行了验证。与所有比较过的基线模型的平均性能相比,所提出的模型性能更好,MAE 降低了 32%,RMSE 降低了 39%,NSE 提高了 12%,R2 提高了 14%,准确率提高了 17%。所提出的工作有望加强早期预警系统和减轻洪水的影响,并有助于更广泛地理解利用深度学习模型有效减轻气候相关风险的问题。
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Earth Science Informatics
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