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Geoscape Characterization of Ashtamudi, Sasthamkotta, and Vembanad Ramsar Sites in Kerala, India 印度喀拉拉邦 Ashtamudi、Sasthamkotta 和 Vembanad 拉姆萨尔遗址的地貌特征
IF 1 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q4 WATER RESOURCES Pub Date : 2024-07-10 DOI: 10.1134/s009780782360273x
Nandakrishnan, P. Rama Chandra Prasad

Abstract

Wetlands, which serve as transitional zones between terrestrial and aquatic environments, play a crucial role in providing diverse ecosystem services for the sustenance of wildlife and mankind. Unfortunately, these delicate systems have experienced illicit human interventions in recent times, resulting in degradation and deterioration. Despite being designated as protected areas, wetlands are being exploited beyond their ecological capacity, posing a threat to their sustainability and potential existence in the near future. The present study aims to analyse the historical spatial changes in three wetlands located in Kerala, India, both before and after their declaration as Ramsar sites. Ashtamudi Lake, Sasthamkotta Lake, and Vembanad Lake were the focus areas, and the study employed multi-temporal satellite data sets from 1988 to 2023 to generate land use and land cover maps. The objective was to assess the ecological transitions, particularly the expansion of urbanization and subsequent reclamation of wetlands. By analysing the changes in aerial extent of each land cover class within the study area, the study identified spatio-temporal transitions and modifications occurring in and around the Ramsar sites. A comparison of the thematic maps from 1988 to 2023 revealed a significant increase in built-up areas and a noticeable reduction in vegetation, agriculture, and water bodies, both in terms of extent and quality. The study identified various socio-economic drivers that are responsible for these changes and emphasized the urgent need for regular monitoring and management of these wetland ecosystems. It stresses the importance of treating wetland conservation as a priority.

摘要 湿地是陆地环境和水生环境之间的过渡地带,在为野生动物和人类的生存提供各种生态系统服务方面发挥着至关重要的作用。不幸的是,这些脆弱的系统近来受到人类的非法干预,导致退化和恶化。尽管湿地被指定为保护区,但其开发利用已超出其生态能力,对其可持续性和在不久的将来的潜在存在构成了威胁。本研究旨在分析位于印度喀拉拉邦的三处湿地在被宣布为拉姆萨尔湿地前后的历史空间变化。研究以 Ashtamudi 湖、Sasthamkotta 湖和 Vembanad 湖为重点区域,采用 1988 年至 2023 年的多时空卫星数据集生成土地利用和土地覆被图。研究的目的是评估生态过渡,特别是城市化的扩张和随后的湿地开垦。通过分析研究区域内每类土地覆被的空中范围变化,该研究确定了拉姆萨尔遗址及其周围发生的时空转变和变化。对 1988 年至 2023 年的专题地图进行比较后发现,建筑区显著增加,植被、农业和水体的范围和质量都明显减少。研究确定了造成这些变化的各种社会经济驱动因素,并强调迫切需要对这些湿地生态系统进行定期监测和管理。它强调了将湿地保护作为优先事项的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
Ionic Composition of Different Types of Natural Water Sources in the River Basins of the Crimean Mountains 克里米亚山脉河流流域不同类型天然水源的离子成分
IF 1 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q4 WATER RESOURCES Pub Date : 2024-07-10 DOI: 10.1134/s0097807824700830
T. S. Gubareva, G. N. Amelichev, B. I. Gartsman, S. V. Tokarev, L. I. Khrustaleva, V. M. Moreido

Abstract

The results of generalization of field studies of the ionic composition of natural waters in the river basins of the Crimean Mountains during hydrological and hydrochemical expedition surveys in 2021–2022 are presented. The boundaries of catchment areas and their recharge areas have been estimated and five main types of water circulating in the river basins have been identified. The main patterns of change in ion concentrations in the water with change in runoff in the outlet sections of the Kuchuk-Uzenbash and Tonas rivers and karst aquifer systems (Karstovyi and Ayan springs and Kizil-Koba Cave (Red Cave)) have been identified. The typification of underground spring waters by chemical composition and altitudinal position of their discharge onto the surface of the catchment areas demonstrates their vertical hydrochemical zonality on the scale of a small river basin.

摘要介绍了 2021-2022 年水文和水化学考察期间对克里米亚山脉河流流域天然水离子组成的实地研究结果。对集水区及其补给区的边界进行了估算,并确定了在河流流域循环的五种主要水体类型。确定了库楚克-乌岑巴什河和托纳斯河出境段以及岩溶含水层系统(卡尔斯托夫伊泉、阿扬泉和克孜勒-科巴洞穴(红洞))中的水离子浓度随径流变化的主要变化规律。根据化学成分及其排放到集水区地表的海拔位置对地下泉水进行分类,证明了其在小流域范围内的垂直水化学地带性。
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引用次数: 0
Changes in Water Quality in the Modonkul River Assessed by Combinatory Pollution Index 用综合污染指数评估莫东库尔河的水质变化
IF 1 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q4 WATER RESOURCES Pub Date : 2024-07-10 DOI: 10.1134/s0097807824700921
Z. I. Khazheeva, A. M. Plyusnin, B. V. Dampilova

Abstract

Water quality in the Modonkul’ River, flowing in a territory with mining industry, is considered. The analyzed data characterize the period 2019–2021. The assessment of pollution or the parameterization of water quality were carried out using the universal combinatory index of water pollution. In the upper reaches of the Modonkyl’ River, the water chemistry is of hydrocarbonate calcium type. In the zone of mixing of river and mine waters, the water chemistry changes to sulfate, mostly, sodium-calcium-magnesium type. The general regularity in the behavior of microelements in the Modonkul’ R. water is an increase in their concentration at an increase in TDS. Downstream the river, the concentrations of heavy metals increase: Cu, Zn, Pb by 1.1–1.4 times; Mn, Co, As by 6.6–11 times; and Cd, by 8 times. In the upper reaches of the river, its water quality was classified as weakly polluted, 2nd class. Further downstream, the water is classified as dirty, 4th class with a decrease in the subclass from a to b.

摘要 考察了流经采矿业地区的莫东库尔河的水质情况。分析数据的时间跨度为 2019-2021 年。污染评估或水质参数化采用水污染通用组合指数进行。在莫东基尔河上游,水化学类型为碳氢钙型。在河水和矿井水混合区,水化学变为硫酸盐型,主要是钠钙镁型。莫东库尔河水中微量元素行为的一般规律是,随着 TDS 的增加,微量元素的浓度也随之增加。在河流下游,重金属的浓度增加:铜、锌、铅增加了 1.1-1.4 倍;锰、钴、砷增加了 6.6-11 倍;镉增加了 8 倍。在河流上游,其水质被列为弱污染,二级。再往下游,水质被归类为脏污,为第 4 类,亚类从 a 降为 b。
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引用次数: 0
Simulating the Dynamics of Characteristics of Snow Cover Formation Regime in Russian Federation Territory. 3. Field and Forest Areas in Siberia and Far East in the Historical Period 模拟俄罗斯联邦境内积雪形成机制的动态特征。3.历史时期西伯利亚和远东地区的田野和林区
IF 1 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q4 WATER RESOURCES Pub Date : 2024-07-10 DOI: 10.1134/s0097807824700842
E. M. Gusev, O. N. Nasonova, E. E. Kovalev, E. A. Shurkhno

Abstract

SWAP land surface model, developed by the authors of this article, was used to carry out many-year calculations of snow cover characteristics for forest and field areas in the main regions of Asian Russia: West Siberia, East Siberia, and Far East for a historic period (1967−2019). The comparison of simulation results with the appropriate data of route snow surveys at meteorological stations in the Asian part of RF showed that SWAP adequately reproduces the dynamics of snow water equivalent, snow depth and density in open areas and under forest canopy at the chosen sites. For all sites located in snow survey areas, climatic values of the characteristics of snow cover formation regime were obtained for two types of the land surface (forest and field) and two climatic periods (1967−1992 and 1993−2019) and used to identify trends in changes in these characteristics in the historic period. It was shown that the direction of changes in the climatic values of snow cover characteristics in forest and field areas in West Siberia, East Siberia, and Far East is the same and corresponds to projections for the XXI century derived from climate models.

摘要 本文作者开发的SWAP地表模型被用于对俄罗斯亚洲主要地区的森林和田野地区的积雪覆盖特征进行多年计算:计算了历史时期(1967-2019 年)西西伯利亚、东西伯利亚和远东地区的森林和田野积雪特征。将模拟结果与俄罗斯亚洲地区气象站路线积雪调查的相关数据进行比较后发现,SWAP 能够充分再现所选地点空旷地区和林冠下的积雪水当量、积雪深度和密度的动态变化。对于所有位于积雪调查区的站点,均获得了两种地表类型(森林和田野)和两个气候时期(1967-1992 年和 1993-2019 年)的雪盖形成机制特征的气候值,并用于确定历史时期这些特征的变化趋势。结果表明,西西伯利亚、东西伯利亚和远东地区森林和田野积雪覆盖特征气候值的变化方向是一致的,并且与气候模型得出的二十一世纪预测值相一致。
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引用次数: 0
Modeling Long-Term Dynamics of River Flow in the Lena River Basin Based on a Distributed Conceptual Runoff Model 基于分布式概念径流模型的勒拿河流域河水长期动态模拟
IF 1 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q4 WATER RESOURCES Pub Date : 2024-07-10 DOI: 10.1134/s0097807824700854
A. I. Krylova, N. A. Lapteva

Abstract

A new version of a conceptual climate model of river runoff was used to calculate daily and monthly hydrographs for the Lena R. basin with the use of MERRA reanalysis data and data on runoff from R-ArcticNet archive over a 32-year period (1980–2011). The optimization of model parameters and corrections to precipitation allowed the authors to obtain a good quality of the calculated runoff hydrographs and to reveal a trend in the long-term runoff dynamics over the historical period since 1985 to 2011. The period 1985–2011 shows an abrupt increase in the surface air temperature, an increase in precipitation in the Arctic region since the mid-1980s, in particular, in the Lena River basin. The climate changes have led to changes in the hydrological regime of the river basin, and the question of assessing the long-term dynamics of water discharges over this period, in particular, using the conceptual model, gains in importance.

摘要 利用 MERRA 再分析数据和 R-ArcticNet 存档的 32 年(1980-2011 年)径流数据,使用新版河流径流概念气候模型计算了勒拿河流域的日和月水文图。通过优化模型参数和降水修正,作者获得了高质量的径流水文计算结果,并揭示了自 1985 年至 2011 年这一历史时期的长期径流动态趋势。1985-2011 年期间,地表气温突然升高,自 20 世纪 80 年代中期以来,北极地区降水量增加,尤其是在勒拿河流域。气候变化导致该流域的水文机制发生变化,因此,评估这一时期的长期排水动态,特别是利用概念模型评估这一动态的问题变得更加重要。
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引用次数: 0
Hydrogeochemical Characteristics and Evolution Processes of Multilayer Karst Aquifer in the Huayingshan Coalfield, Southwest China 中国西南花营山煤田多层岩溶含水层水文地质化学特征及演化过程
IF 1 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q4 WATER RESOURCES Pub Date : 2024-07-10 DOI: 10.1134/s009780782360153x
Wang Xiaotong, Chen Meng, Wu Yong, Yuan Renmao, Yao Jinqian

Abstract

The Huayingshan coalfield is one of the most important coal districts in Southwest China. Coal mining may have an impact on the hydrochemical characteristics and regional evolution of karst groundwater. This study aims to analyze the hydrogeochemical characteristics, identify the evolution processes, and influencing factors that govern the hydrochemistry in multilayer karst aquifers in the coalfield. Statistical methods and conventional techniques were utilized to gain a thorough understanding of the origin and hydrogeochemical evolution of karst groundwater. The results revealed that the groundwater was fresh water and natural to mildly alkaline. It suggested that the relative abundance of main ions was proposed to be Ca2+ ( gg ) Mg2+ > K+ + Na+ for cations and ({text{HCO}}_{3}^{ - }) ( gg ) ({text{SO}}_{4}^{{2 - }}) > Cl > ({text{NO}}_{3}^{ - }) for anions. A Piper diagram of the investigated water samples demonstrated that most groundwater was of the HCO3-Ca type. The results showed that dissolution of carbonate, gypsum, halite, and silicate minerals highly influenced the formation of ({text{HCO}}_{3}^{ - }), ({text{SO}}_{4}^{{2 - }}), Ca2+, Mg2+, and Na+. Cation exchange and/or absorption was another important regulatory process. ({text{NO}}_{3}^{ - }) concentrations were excessively high, proving that karst water was affected by agricultural activities in certain aquifers. Moreover, S2– concentrations were high in the borehole and mine tunnel samples, suggesting great acidification potential. Coal mining carries a risk of deteriorating the local water environment. This exposes sulfide minerals to oxygen and water, increases ({text{SO}}_{4}^{{2 - }}) concentration, and reduces groundwater pH. Scientific research must focus on specific recharge area locations, runoff and drainage pathways, and hydrochemical evolution processes of karst water, and the contact of sulfide with water and oxygen must be controlled to protect groundwater quality and reduce pollution. The results suggest it may be helpful for investigation and treatment of water environment pollution, aid the protection of karst groundwater in the Huayingshan coalfield, and serve as a model for other comparable studies.

摘要 华应山煤田是中国西南地区最重要的煤区之一。煤炭开采可能对岩溶地下水的水文地质化学特征和区域演化产生影响。本研究旨在分析煤田多层岩溶含水层的水文地球化学特征,确定其演化过程和影响因素。研究利用统计方法和常规技术对岩溶地下水的来源和水文地球化学演变过程进行了深入了解。结果显示,地下水为淡水,呈天然弱碱性。结果表明,主要离子的相对丰度为阳离子:Ca2+ ( gg ) Mg2+ > K+ + Na+;阴离子:({text{HCO}}_{3}^{ - }) ({text{SO}}_{4}^{{2 - }}) > Cl- > ({text{NO}}_{3}^{ - }) 。调查水样的 Piper 图显示,大多数地下水属于 HCO3-Ca 类型。结果表明,碳酸盐、石膏、海绿石和硅酸盐矿物的溶解在很大程度上影响了 ({text{HCO}}_{3}^{ - }), ({text{SO}}_{4}^{{2 - }}), Ca2+, Mg2+ 和 Na+ 的形成。阳离子交换和/或吸收是另一个重要的调节过程。({text{NO}}_{3}^{ - }}) 浓度过高,证明岩溶水受到某些含水层农业活动的影响。此外,钻孔和矿井隧道样本中的 S2- 浓度很高,表明酸化的可能性很大。煤炭开采有可能导致当地水环境恶化。这使硫化矿物质暴露在氧气和水中,增加了硫化矿物质的浓度,降低了地下水的 pH 值。科学研究必须关注岩溶水的具体补给区位置、径流和排水途径以及水化学演化过程,必须控制硫化物与水和氧气的接触,以保护地下水水质,减少污染。研究结果表明,该研究有助于水环境污染的调查和治理,有助于保护华应山煤田岩溶地下水,并可为其他同类研究提供范例。
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引用次数: 0
Evaluating Operational Performance and Sustainability of Water Supply Reservoirs in the Yesilirmak Basin, Turkey 评估土耳其耶希尔河流域供水水库的运营绩效和可持续性
IF 1 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q4 WATER RESOURCES Pub Date : 2024-07-10 DOI: 10.1134/s0097807823601632
Murat Pinarlik, Zeliha Selek

Abstract

Water scarcity is becoming a common problem due to urbanization, industrialization, rapid population growth, and climate change. The situation is exacerbated in semi-arid and arid regions due to low or no rainfall and the resulting pronounced seasonality of river flows. Accurate assessment of reservoir operational performance plays a critical role in water resource sustainability and utilization. In this study, Water Evaluation and Planning (WEAP) models were developed to evaluate the operational performance of five reservoirs in the Yesilirmak Basin in Turkey. Since each reservoir is a single reservoir system, calibration of the WEAP model involved adjusting the approximate rule curves derived by the sequent peak algorithm and the allocation coefficient during hedging until the simulated reservoir storage states matched the observed ones as closely as possible. The agreement of the simulated storage capacities of the WEAP model with the measured volumes was evaluated using the coefficient of determination (R2) and the Nash-Sutcliffe model efficiency coefficient (NSE). The results demonstrate that the WEAP model can be used to design and plan the operational strategies for the reservoirs in the Yesilirmak Basin. The performance of the reservoirs operated with the designed rule curves was evaluated using the reliability, resilience, vulnerability, and sustainability indices. For Cakmak, Corum and Yenihayat reservoirs, it is shown that these reservoirs are sufficient to meet the demand. The vulnerability of Alaca reservoir is only 1%, which is negligible. The vulnerability for Yedikir is 24% and the failure cannot be ignored.

摘要 由于城市化、工业化、人口快速增长和气候变化,缺水正成为一个普遍问题。在半干旱和干旱地区,由于降雨量低或无降雨以及由此导致的河流流量明显的季节性,这种情况更加严重。对水库运行性能的准确评估对水资源的可持续性和利用起着至关重要的作用。本研究开发了水资源评价与规划(WEAP)模型,用于评估土耳其耶希尔河流域五座水库的运行绩效。由于每个水库都是一个单一的水库系统,WEAP 模型的校准包括调整由序列峰值算法推导出的近似规则曲线和对冲期间的分配系数,直到模拟的水库蓄水状态尽可能与观测到的状态相匹配。使用判定系数(R 2)和纳什-苏克里夫模型效率系数(NSE)评估了 WEAP 模型模拟库容与实测库容的一致性。结果表明,WEAP 模型可用于设计和规划耶希尔河流域水库的运行策略。使用可靠性、恢复力、脆弱性和可持续性指数评估了按照设计的规则曲线运行的水库的性能。结果表明,Cakmak、Corum 和 Yenihayat 水库足以满足需求。阿拉卡水库的脆弱性仅为 1%,可以忽略不计。耶迪基尔(Yedikir)水库的脆弱性为 24%,其故障不容忽视。
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引用次数: 0
The Effect of the Physicochemical Properties and the Composition of Dubna River Water on the State of the Processes of Lipid Peroxidation in Biological Systems 杜布纳河水的理化性质和成分对生物系统中脂质过氧化过程状态的影响
IF 1 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q4 WATER RESOURCES Pub Date : 2024-07-10 DOI: 10.1134/s0097807824700933
V. O. Shvydkyi, A. S. Dubovik, M. V. Kozlov, A. Yu. Povkh, L. N. Shishkina

Abstract

The dynamics of water physicochemical properties and hydrochemical characteristics in the Dubna River was studied from April 18, 2021 to July 4, 2021. The study showed an increase in pH with increasing water temperature and considerable variation in the concentrations of ammonium, nitrite, and phosphate ions in it. Promising approaches were shown to be the use of mathematical processing of UV-spectra of water samples by Gauss method and model biological systems based on natural lipids (low-temperature oxidation of lecithin, and its ability to spontaneously aggregate in a polar environment) for assessing the quality of natural water and its effect on the regulation of oxidation processes in biological objects. Thus, analysis of UV-spectra revealed the presence in water of hydrophobic organic compounds throughout the observation period, compounds with conjugated double bonds and N-containing compounds in late April, free fatty acids, organic compounds with a carbonyl group and P-containing compounds at the end of May and an increase in the diversity of components in water samples in late June. Water samples taken in summer, increased the rate of lecithin oxidation by a factor of more than 1.8, and, throughout the observation period, they caused staged changes in the size of aggregates formed by it and produced a considerable effect on their dzeta-potential.

摘要 对 2021 年 4 月 18 日至 2021 年 7 月 4 日期间杜布纳河水理化性质和水化学特征的动态进行了研究。研究结果表明,随着水温的升高,pH 值上升,其中铵离子、亚硝酸盐离子和磷酸盐离子的浓度变化很大。利用高斯法对水样的紫外线光谱进行数学处理,以及利用基于天然脂质的模型生物系统(卵磷脂的低温氧化及其在极地环境中自发聚集的能力)来评估天然水的质量及其对生物物体氧化过程的调节作用,都是很有前途的方法。因此,紫外线光谱分析显示,在整个观测期间,水中存在疏水性有机化合物,4 月底存在共轭双键化合物和含 N 的化合物,5 月底存在游离脂肪酸、含羰基的有机化合物和含 P 的化合物,6 月底水样中的成分多样性有所增加。夏季采集的水样使卵磷脂的氧化率提高了 1.8 倍以上,在整个观察期间,它们使卵磷脂形成的聚集体的大小发生了阶段性变化,并对其 dzeta 电位产生了相当大的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Assessment of Physicochemical Profile and Heavy Metal Constituents in the Groundwaters of Rural Areas in Southwest Tanzania 坦桑尼亚西南部农村地区地下水的物理化学特征和重金属成分评估
IF 1 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q4 WATER RESOURCES Pub Date : 2024-07-10 DOI: 10.1134/s0097807823602765
M. J. Mkelemi, G. N. Mwaijengo, M. J. Rwiza

Abstract

This study focuses on groundwater quality in rural areas of Tanzania, addressing the literature gap on water quality data for sustainable rural development. Most rural communities in sub-Saharan Africa depend on groundwater for their domestic use. Despite this importance of groundwater for rural community development, limited research has been conducted on the physicochemical and heavy metal content, creating a significant knowledge gap. The absence of such information raises concerns about water quality in rural areas of Africa, posing potential challenges to public health and community well-being due to the risk of groundwater contamination. To bridge this gap, a comprehensive study was conducted to assess groundwater quality in a selected district, focussing on physicochemical and heavy metal content in 19 boreholes across various villages. The Water Quality Index (WQI) and Principal Component Analysis (PCA) were employed for providing a detailed evaluation of groundwater quality. Results revealed a widespread acidity, iron, and manganese in most boreholes, with 6 exceeding the World Health Organization (WHO) and Tanzania Bureau standards (TBS) for Pb in rainy and dry seasons. Additionally, total dissolved solids, chloride, and hardness surpassed WHO and TBS limits in a single borehole. One-way ANOVA and paired t-tests confirmed significant differences (p < 0.01) among boreholes and across seasons. Pearson’s correlation test found strongly significant dependences between pH and iron, as well as hardness and manganese. Approximately 73.68% of water samples were classified as poor and polluted water, rendering them unsuitable for drinking. Elevated heavy metals could be attributed to the region’s geological features and mining activities. The study underscores the need for pragmatic monitoring and treatment measures to address identified issues and ensure safe drinking water for the community.

摘要 本研究侧重于坦桑尼亚农村地区的地下水水质,填补了水质数据促进农村可持续发展方面的文献空白。撒哈拉以南非洲的大多数农村社区都依赖地下水作为生活用水。尽管地下水对农村社区的发展非常重要,但有关地下水理化和重金属含量的研究却非常有限,这就造成了巨大的知识空白。这些信息的缺失引发了人们对非洲农村地区水质的担忧,地下水污染的风险给公共卫生和社区福祉带来了潜在的挑战。为了弥补这一差距,我们开展了一项综合研究,对一个选定地区的地下水质量进行评估,重点是各个村庄 19 个井眼中的物理化学和重金属含量。采用水质指数(WQI)和主成分分析法(PCA)对地下水质量进行了详细评估。结果显示,大多数井眼普遍存在酸度、铁和锰,其中 6 个井眼的铅含量在雨季和旱季超过了世界卫生组织(WHO)和坦桑尼亚局(TBS)的标准。此外,有一个井眼的总溶解固体、氯化物和硬度超过了世界卫生组织(WHO)和坦桑尼亚局(TBS)的限值。单因子方差分析和配对 t 检验证实了不同井眼和不同季节之间的显著差异(p < 0.01)。Pearson 相关性检验发现,pH 值与铁之间以及硬度与锰之间存在非常明显的相关性。约 73.68% 的水样被归类为劣质水和污染水,不适合饮用。重金属含量升高可能与该地区的地质特征和采矿活动有关。这项研究强调,有必要采取务实的监测和处理措施,以解决已发现的问题,确保社区的饮用水安全。
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引用次数: 0
Dynamic-Stochastic Modeling of Long-Term Level Regime of the Caspian Sea during Early Khvalynsk and Late Khvalynsk Transgressions 早期赫瓦林斯克和晚期赫瓦林斯克横断期间里海长期水位变化的动态-随机模型
IF 1 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q4 WATER RESOURCES Pub Date : 2024-07-10 DOI: 10.1134/s009780782470091x
A. V. Frolov

Abstract

The article presents the results of dynamic-stochastic modeling of long-term variations of Caspian Sea level during the Early khvalyn (Buinak stage) and the Late khvalyn (Makhachkala stage) transgressions. A linearized model of Caspian level variations with a negative feedback due to the dependence of sea water area on water level is shown to be applicable to the paleo-Caspian. The calculations were based on the results of simulation and analytical modeling. The regimes of long-term level variations in the paleo-Caspian Sea for the considered transgressions are shown to differ. For example, the variance of the Caspian Sea level for the Early and Late khvalyn transgressions is equal to 4.2 and 2.5 m2, respectively, and the average duration of the level rise above its equilibrium value during a single event is ~50 and ~40 years, respectively. Estimates of the duration of sea level rises can be used to assess the possibility of formation of various coastal–shelf geomorphological forms during long-term level rises. The obtained characteristics of the processes of long-term sea level variations, including the variance, autocorrelation, probability distribution density, the mean duration of level rises above (or level drops below) specified level marks during one such event, the dependence of the parameter of inertia of level variations significantly expand our knowledge about the character of Caspian Sea level variations in the paleotime.

摘要 文章介绍了早赫瓦伦(布依纳克阶段)和晚赫瓦伦(马哈奇卡拉阶段)横断期间里海水位长期变化的动态-随机建模结果。由于海水面积与水位的关系,一个具有负反馈的线性化里海水位变化模型被证明适用于古里海。计算以模拟和分析模型的结果为基础。结果表明,所考虑的横断面在古里海的长期水位变化机制是不同的。例如,早期和晚期赫瓦林横断面的里海海平面方差分别为 4.2 平方米和 2.5 平方米,单次事件中海平面上升超过平衡值的平均持续时间分别为 ~50 年和 ~40 年。对海平面上升持续时间的估算,可用于评估在海平面长期上升过程中形成各种沿岸-陆 棚地貌形态的可能性。所获得的长期海平面变化过程的特征,包括方差、自相关性、概率分布密度、一次海平面上升超过(或下降低于)特定海平面标志的平均持续时间、海平面变化惯性参数的依赖性等,极大地扩展了我们对古时里海海平面变化特征的认识。
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Water Resources
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