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The existence of a class of asymmetric orthogonal arrays with seven factors 一类七因子不对称正交阵列的存在性
IF 0.7 4区 数学 Q3 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2025-10-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.spl.2025.110578
Yan Zhu , Shanqi Pang , Xiao Lin , Chen Li
This paper investigates asymmetric orthogonal arrays with seven factors of strength two and presents a few new constructions. The proposed method is straightforward and constructive. We obtain numerous infinite families of such arrays. Selective arrays are tabulated for practical uses.
本文研究了强度为二的七因子正交不对称阵列,并提出了几种新的结构。所提出的方法是直接和建设性的。我们得到了这类数组的无数族。选择性数组被制成表格以供实际使用。
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引用次数: 0
A generalisation of Ville’s inequality to monotonic lower bounds and thresholds 关于单调下界和阈值的维尔不等式的推广
IF 0.7 4区 数学 Q3 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2025-10-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.spl.2025.110577
Wouter M. Koolen , Muriel F. Pérez-Ortiz , Tyron Lardy
Essentially all anytime-valid methods hinge on Ville’s inequality to gain validity across time without incurring a union bound. Ville’s inequality is a proper generalisation of Markov’s inequality. It states that a non-negative supermartingale will only ever reach a multiple of its initial value with small probability. In the classic rendering both the lower bound (of zero) and the threshold are constant in time. We generalise both to monotonic curves. That is, we bound the probability that a supermartingale which remains above a given decreasing curve exceeds a given increasing threshold curve. We show our bound is tight by exhibiting a supermartingale for which the bound is an equality. Using our generalisation, we derive a cleaner finite-time version of the law of the iterated logarithm.
从本质上讲,所有在任何时间都有效的方法都依赖于Ville的不等式来获得跨越时间的有效性,而不会产生联合边界。维尔不等式是马尔可夫不等式的适当推广。它表明非负上鞅只会以很小的概率达到其初始值的倍数。在经典渲染中,下界(零)和阈值在时间上都是恒定的。我们将两者推广到单调曲线。也就是说,我们限定了一个上鞅保持在给定的递减曲线之上,超过给定的递增阈值曲线的概率。我们通过展示一个上鞅来证明我们的界是紧的,这个上鞅的界是一个等式。利用我们的推广,我们推导出迭代对数定律的一个更清晰的有限时间版本。
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引用次数: 0
Stochastic comparisons of two-series–parallel systems with independent components randomly chosen from two batches 从两个批次中随机选择独立组件的两个串并联系统的随机比较
IF 0.7 4区 数学 Q3 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2025-10-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.spl.2025.110576
Longxiang Fang , Yu Ruan , N. Balakrishnan
Stochastic comparisons are quite helpful in optimizing system designs by evaluating the performance of different configurations and ensuring that critical systems meet reliability standards under diverse conditions. In this paper, we discuss stochastic comparisons of lifetimes of two-series–parallel systems with 2n independent components randomly chosen from two different batches. We assume the n components from the first batch is more reliable than the n components from the second batch. Then, in the case of two-series–parallel system, we prove that the reliability of the system increases in terms of the usual stochastic order, as the random number, K, taking values in {0,1,,[n+12]}, of components chosen from the first batch increases in increasing concave order or the random number, K, taking values in {[n+12]+1,,n}, of components chosen from the first batch decreases in increasing convex order. We also present some numerical examples to illustrate all the results established here.
随机比较通过评估不同配置的性能,确保关键系统在不同条件下满足可靠性标准,有助于优化系统设计。本文讨论了从两个不同批次随机选择2n个独立元件的两串并联系统寿命的随机比较。我们假设来自第一批的n个成分比来自第二批的n个成分更可靠。然后,对于两串并联系统,我们证明了系统的可靠性在通常的随机顺序上增加,因为从第一批中选取的组件的随机数K在{0,1,…,[n+12]}中取值呈凹递增顺序增加,或者从第一批中选取的组件的随机数K在{[n+12]+1,…,n}中取值呈凸递增顺序减少。我们还提供了一些数值例子来说明这里所建立的所有结果。
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引用次数: 0
A note on blinded continuous monitoring for continuous outcomes 关于连续结果的盲法连续监测的说明
IF 0.7 4区 数学 Q3 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2025-10-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.spl.2025.110575
Long-Hao Xu, Tim Friede
Continuous monitoring is becoming more popular due to its significant benefits, including reducing sample sizes and reaching earlier conclusions. In general, it involves monitoring nuisance parameters (e.g., the variance of outcomes) until a specific condition is satisfied. The blinded method, which does not require revealing group assignments, was recommended because it maintains the integrity of the experiment and mitigates potential bias. Although Friede and Miller (2012) investigated the characteristics of blinded continuous monitoring through simulation studies, its theoretical properties are not fully explored. In this paper, we aim to fill this gap by presenting the asymptotic and finite-sample properties of the blinded continuous monitoring for continuous outcomes. Furthermore, we examine the impact of using blinded versus unblinded variance estimators in the context of continuous monitoring. Simulation results are also provided to evaluate finite-sample performance and to support the theoretical findings.
由于其显著的好处,包括减少样本量和更早地得出结论,持续监测正变得越来越受欢迎。一般来说,它包括监控干扰参数(例如,结果的方差),直到满足特定条件。盲法不需要揭示分组分配,被推荐使用,因为它保持了实验的完整性并减轻了潜在的偏倚。Friede和Miller(2012)虽然通过仿真研究研究了盲法连续监测的特点,但其理论性质并没有得到充分的探讨。在本文中,我们的目标是通过提出盲法连续监测结果的渐近和有限样本性质来填补这一空白。此外,我们研究了在连续监测的背景下使用盲法和非盲法方差估计器的影响。仿真结果也提供了评估有限样本性能和支持理论研究结果。
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引用次数: 0
Variance-based difference between graphical identification conditions of causal effects in linear structural equation models 线性结构方程模型中因果效应图形识别条件的方差差异
IF 0.7 4区 数学 Q3 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2025-10-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.spl.2025.110561
Chie Taguchi , Manabu Kuroki
In the context of statistical causal inference using linear structural equation models, researchers in the field of artificial intelligence and statistical science have developed several identification conditions for evaluating causal effects. However, there are some scenarios where several identification conditions can be applied simultaneously to estimate causal effects. To enhance estimation accuracy, we focus on five key identification conditions: the back-door criterion, the front-door criterion, the front-door-like criterion, the conditional instrumental variable condition, and the effect restoration condition. We then compare these five identification conditions in terms of estimation accuracy (asymptotic variance) and conclude that, in some cases, the qualitative comparison of estimation accuracy among these identification conditions can be directly assessed from the graphical structure, even before statistical data are collected.
在利用线性结构方程模型进行统计因果推理的背景下,人工智能和统计科学领域的研究人员开发了几种评估因果效应的识别条件。然而,在某些情况下,可以同时应用几个识别条件来估计因果效应。为了提高估计精度,我们重点研究了五个关键的识别条件:后门准则、前门准则、类前门准则、条件工具变量条件和效果恢复条件。然后,我们在估计精度(渐近方差)方面比较了这五种识别条件,并得出结论,在某些情况下,甚至在收集统计数据之前,可以直接从图形结构中评估这些识别条件之间估计精度的定性比较。
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引用次数: 0
Spatial local linear quantile regression under association 关联下空间局部线性分位数回归
IF 0.7 4区 数学 Q3 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2025-10-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.spl.2025.110573
Xin-Yi Xu , Jiang-Feng Wang , Kang Hu , Shan He , Yu Xia
This paper investigates the asymptotic properties of local linear quantile regression estimators for spatial data generated by strictly stationary and associated spatial processes {(Yi,Xi),iZN}. We study local linear estimators for both the conditional quantile function qp(x) and its first-order partial derivatives. Under appropriate regularity conditions, we derive the Bahadur representation for these estimators, which is utilized to establish their joint asymptotic normality. To assess finite-sample performance, we conduct Monte Carlo simulations in a two-dimensional space (N=2). The results demonstrate the applicability of the proposed estimators and confirm the theoretical asymptotic properties.
本文研究了由严格平稳及其相关空间过程{(Yi,Xi),i∈ZN}生成的空间数据的局部线性分位数回归估计的渐近性质。研究了条件分位数函数qp(x)及其一阶偏导数的局部线性估计。在适当的正则性条件下,我们导出了这些估计量的Bahadur表示,并利用该表示建立了它们的联合渐近正态性。为了评估有限样本性能,我们在二维空间(N=2)中进行蒙特卡罗模拟。结果证明了所提估计量的适用性,并证实了理论渐近性质。
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引用次数: 0
Iterated ergodic theorems and Erdös–Rényi law of large numbers 迭代遍历定理和Erdös-Rényi大数定律
IF 0.7 4区 数学 Q3 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2025-09-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.spl.2025.110572
Yuri Kifer
We obtain ergodic theorems and a version of the Erdös–Rènyi law of large numbers for multiple iterated sums and integrals of the form Σ(ν)(t)=0k1<...<kνtξ(k1)ξ(kν), t[0,T] and Σ(ν)(t)=0s1sνtξ(s1)ξ(sν)ds1dsν where {ξ(k)}<k< and {ξ(s)}<s< are stationary vector stochastic processes.
我们得到了多次迭代和积分的遍历定理和Erdös-Rènyi大数定律的一个版本,其形式为Σ(ν)(t)=∑0≤k1<;…<kν≤tξ(k1)⊗⋯⊗ξ(kν), t∈[0,t]和Σ(ν)(t)=∫0≤s1≤⋯≤sν≤tξ(s1)⊗⋯⊗ξ(sν)ds1⋯dsν,其中{ξ(k)}−∞<k<;∞和{ξ(s)}−∞<s<;∞是平稳向量随机过程。
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引用次数: 0
Multiple imputation of censored bivariate event-times via inverse transform and nonparametric Gibbs sampling 基于反变换和非参数Gibbs抽样的截尾双变量事件时间的多次插值
IF 0.7 4区 数学 Q3 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2025-09-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.spl.2025.110564
Daniela Angulo, Susan Murray
Bivariate time-to-event data, subject to right censoring, frequently arise in medical research. This paper introduces a novel nonparametric multiple imputation (MI) procedure for analyzing censored bivariate time-to-event data. Our methodology offers a straightforward, easy-to-implement inverse transform MI method that effectively captures the joint distribution of bivariate random variables through the imputation of censored event-times.
医学研究中经常出现经过正确审查的双变量事件时间数据。本文介绍了一种新的非参数多重插值(MI)方法,用于分析截尾双变量时间事件数据。我们的方法提供了一种简单、易于实现的逆变换MI方法,该方法通过截除事件时间的插入有效地捕获二元随机变量的联合分布。
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引用次数: 0
Change-point detection in Vector-Tensor linear model 向量张量线性模型的变点检测
IF 0.7 4区 数学 Q3 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2025-09-25 DOI: 10.1016/j.spl.2025.110563
Haiyue Su , Zhiming Xia , Wenyuan Shang , Meili Shi
For high-throughput low-rank data, CANDECOMP/PARAFAC (CP) decomposition is frequently employed to reduce the dimensionality to a manageable level. In this article, we consider a Vector-Tensor linear regression model, where the low-rank structure is expressed through CP decomposition, and the change-point structure is incorporated into the multi-array coefficients. A novel procedure is proposed to jointly detect the change-point and estimate the tensor structure by minimizing the sum of squared residuals. The associated algorithm is developed based on Alternating Least Squares (ALS) algorithm, and is computationally efficient and scalable. Furthermore, we establish the consistency of the change-point estimator under a set of general conditions. Simulations and empirical studies illustrate the validity and effectiveness.
对于高吞吐量低秩数据,经常使用CANDECOMP/PARAFAC (CP)分解将维数降低到可管理的水平。在本文中,我们考虑一个向量张量线性回归模型,其中低秩结构通过CP分解表示,并将变点结构纳入多阵列系数中。提出了一种利用残差平方和最小化来联合检测变点和估计张量结构的新方法。该算法基于交替最小二乘(ALS)算法,具有计算效率高、可扩展性强的特点。进一步,我们在一组一般条件下建立了变点估计量的相合性。仿真和实证研究验证了该方法的有效性。
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引用次数: 0
Double dipping with balanced sampling 双浸均匀取样
IF 0.7 4区 数学 Q3 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2025-09-25 DOI: 10.1016/j.spl.2025.110562
Blair Robertson, Chris Price, Marco Reale
Doubly balanced samples from spatial populations have approximate balance on auxiliary variables and spread over spatial coordinates. This article shows that doubly balanced sampling is also efficient on non-spatial populations when we balance on auxiliary variables and spread over the space spanned by them. Numerical results on three example applications show that our extension of doubly balanced sampling works well in practice.
来自空间总体的双平衡样本在辅助变量上具有近似平衡,并且分布在空间坐标上。本文表明,当我们在辅助变量上进行平衡并在它们所跨越的空间上进行扩展时,双平衡抽样对非空间种群也是有效的。三个实例的数值计算结果表明,本文提出的双平衡抽样扩展方法在实际应用中效果良好。
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引用次数: 0
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Statistics & Probability Letters
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