Pub Date : 2024-07-07DOI: 10.1016/j.spl.2024.110201
Mohamed Kayid
In this paper we have investigated some stochastic aspects of residual extropy and past extropy. We then apply the results to the context of order statistics, coherent systems and record values. Nonparametric estimators for residual extropy and past extropy were introduced and their performance was illustrated using simulated data sets and real data sets.
{"title":"Further results involving residual and past extropy with their applications","authors":"Mohamed Kayid","doi":"10.1016/j.spl.2024.110201","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.spl.2024.110201","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>In this paper we have investigated some stochastic aspects of residual extropy and past extropy. We then apply the results to the context of order statistics, coherent systems and record values. Nonparametric estimators for residual extropy and past extropy were introduced and their performance was illustrated using simulated data sets and real data sets.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":49475,"journal":{"name":"Statistics & Probability Letters","volume":"214 ","pages":"Article 110201"},"PeriodicalIF":0.9,"publicationDate":"2024-07-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141622301","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-07-06DOI: 10.1016/j.spl.2024.110203
Mingzhou Xu, Xuhang Kong
In this article, we studied complete th moment convergence of the moving average processes produced by -widely acceptable (-WA) random variables under sub-linear expectations. The results here extend those of the moving average processes generated by -WOD random variables in probability.
{"title":"Complete qth moment convergence of moving average processes for m-widely acceptable random variables under sub-linear expectations","authors":"Mingzhou Xu, Xuhang Kong","doi":"10.1016/j.spl.2024.110203","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.spl.2024.110203","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>In this article, we studied complete <span><math><mi>q</mi></math></span>th moment convergence of the moving average processes produced by <span><math><mi>m</mi></math></span>-widely acceptable (<span><math><mi>m</mi></math></span>-WA) random variables under sub-linear expectations. The results here extend those of the moving average processes generated by <span><math><mi>m</mi></math></span>-WOD random variables in probability.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":49475,"journal":{"name":"Statistics & Probability Letters","volume":"214 ","pages":"Article 110203"},"PeriodicalIF":0.9,"publicationDate":"2024-07-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141605061","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-07-06DOI: 10.1016/j.spl.2024.110202
Xuekang Zhang , Chengzhe Huang , Shounian Deng
The paper is concerned with the nonparametric estimation problem for periodic stochastic differential equations driven by -Brownian motion based on continuous observations. The consistency and asymptotic distribution of the nonparametric estimator are discussed. Computer simulations are performed to illustrate our theory.
本文关注基于连续观测的 G 布朗运动驱动的周期性随机微分方程的非参数估计问题。本文讨论了非参数估计器的一致性和渐近分布。通过计算机模拟来说明我们的理论。
{"title":"Nonparametric estimation for periodic stochastic differential equations driven by G-Brownian motion","authors":"Xuekang Zhang , Chengzhe Huang , Shounian Deng","doi":"10.1016/j.spl.2024.110202","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.spl.2024.110202","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The paper is concerned with the nonparametric estimation problem for periodic stochastic differential equations driven by <span><math><mi>G</mi></math></span>-Brownian motion based on continuous observations. The consistency and asymptotic distribution of the nonparametric estimator are discussed. Computer simulations are performed to illustrate our theory.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":49475,"journal":{"name":"Statistics & Probability Letters","volume":"214 ","pages":"Article 110202"},"PeriodicalIF":0.9,"publicationDate":"2024-07-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141605060","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-07-05DOI: 10.1016/j.spl.2024.110204
P. Vishwakarma, K.K. Kataria
In this paper, we consider a time-changed path integral of the homogeneous birth–death process. Here, the time changes according to an inverse stable subordinator. It is shown that its joint distribution with the time-changed birth–death process is governed by a fractional partial differential equation. In a linear case, the explicit expressions for the Laplace transform of their joint generating function, means, variances and covariance are obtained. The limiting behavior of this integral process has been studied. Later, we consider the fractional integrals of linear birth–death processes and their time-changed versions. The mean values of these fractional integrals are obtained and analyzed. In a particular case, it is observed that the time-changed path integral of the linear birth–death process and the fractional integral of time-changed linear birth–death process have equal mean growth.
{"title":"On integrals of birth–death processes at random time","authors":"P. Vishwakarma, K.K. Kataria","doi":"10.1016/j.spl.2024.110204","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.spl.2024.110204","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>In this paper, we consider a time-changed path integral of the homogeneous birth–death process. Here, the time changes according to an inverse stable subordinator. It is shown that its joint distribution with the time-changed birth–death process is governed by a fractional partial differential equation. In a linear case, the explicit expressions for the Laplace transform of their joint generating function, means, variances and covariance are obtained. The limiting behavior of this integral process has been studied. Later, we consider the fractional integrals of linear birth–death processes and their time-changed versions. The mean values of these fractional integrals are obtained and analyzed. In a particular case, it is observed that the time-changed path integral of the linear birth–death process and the fractional integral of time-changed linear birth–death process have equal mean growth.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":49475,"journal":{"name":"Statistics & Probability Letters","volume":"214 ","pages":"Article 110204"},"PeriodicalIF":0.9,"publicationDate":"2024-07-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141582376","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-07-03DOI: 10.1016/j.spl.2024.110200
Steffen Lauritzen
This note establishes that if a sequence of probability measures converges in total variation to the limiting probability measure , and -algebras and are conditionally independent given with respect to for all , then they are also conditionally independent with respect to the limiting measure . As a corollary, this also extends to pointwise convergence of densities to a density.
本注释指出,如果概率度量序列 Pn,n=1,... 在总变化中收敛于极限概率度量 P,并且σ代数 A 和 B 在给定 H 的条件下对于所有 n 的 Pn 是独立的,那么它们对于极限度量 P 也是条件独立的。
{"title":"Total variation convergence preserves conditional independence","authors":"Steffen Lauritzen","doi":"10.1016/j.spl.2024.110200","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.spl.2024.110200","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This note establishes that if a sequence <span><math><mrow><msub><mrow><mi>P</mi></mrow><mrow><mi>n</mi></mrow></msub><mo>,</mo><mi>n</mi><mo>=</mo><mn>1</mn><mo>,</mo><mo>…</mo></mrow></math></span> of probability measures converges in total variation to the limiting probability measure <span><math><mi>P</mi></math></span>, and <span><math><mi>σ</mi></math></span>-algebras <span><math><mi>A</mi></math></span> and <span><math><mi>B</mi></math></span> are conditionally independent given <span><math><mi>H</mi></math></span> with respect to <span><math><msub><mrow><mi>P</mi></mrow><mrow><mi>n</mi></mrow></msub></math></span> for all <span><math><mi>n</mi></math></span>, then they are also conditionally independent with respect to the limiting measure <span><math><mi>P</mi></math></span>. As a corollary, this also extends to pointwise convergence of densities to a density.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":49475,"journal":{"name":"Statistics & Probability Letters","volume":"214 ","pages":"Article 110200"},"PeriodicalIF":0.9,"publicationDate":"2024-07-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S016771522400169X/pdfft?md5=c56dd1436844d549837b401ab4b369b9&pid=1-s2.0-S016771522400169X-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141542315","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-07-02DOI: 10.1016/j.spl.2024.110199
Péter Kevei
We determine the tail asymptotics of the stationary distribution of a branching process with immigration in a random environment, when the immigration distribution dominates the offspring distribution. The assumptions are the same as in the Grincevičius–Grey theorem for the stochastic recurrence equation.
{"title":"Branching processes with immigration in a random environment—The Grincevičius–Grey setup","authors":"Péter Kevei","doi":"10.1016/j.spl.2024.110199","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.spl.2024.110199","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>We determine the tail asymptotics of the stationary distribution of a branching process with immigration in a random environment, when the immigration distribution dominates the offspring distribution. The assumptions are the same as in the Grincevičius–Grey theorem for the stochastic recurrence equation.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":49475,"journal":{"name":"Statistics & Probability Letters","volume":"214 ","pages":"Article 110199"},"PeriodicalIF":0.9,"publicationDate":"2024-07-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141542405","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-07-02DOI: 10.1016/j.spl.2024.110198
Christian H. Weiß
For important count distributions, such as (zero-inflated) Poisson and (negative-)binomial, the th factorial moment is proportional to the th power of the mean. This property is utilized to derive a general approach for computing higher-order moments of integer-valued generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (INGARCH) processes. The proposed approach covers a wide range of existing model specifications, and its potential benefits are illustrated by an analysis of skewness and excess kurtosis in INGARCH processes.
对于重要的计数分布,如(零膨胀)泊松和(负)二项分布,第 k 个阶乘矩与均值的第 k 次幂成正比。利用这一特性,可以推导出计算整值广义自回归条件异方差(INGARCH)过程高阶矩的一般方法。所提出的方法涵盖了多种现有模型规格,并通过分析 INGARCH 过程中的偏度和过度峰度说明了其潜在优势。
{"title":"On higher-order moments of INGARCH processes","authors":"Christian H. Weiß","doi":"10.1016/j.spl.2024.110198","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.spl.2024.110198","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>For important count distributions, such as (zero-inflated) Poisson and (negative-)binomial, the <span><math><mi>k</mi></math></span>th factorial moment is proportional to the <span><math><mi>k</mi></math></span>th power of the mean. This property is utilized to derive a general approach for computing higher-order moments of integer-valued generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (INGARCH) processes. The proposed approach covers a wide range of existing model specifications, and its potential benefits are illustrated by an analysis of skewness and excess kurtosis in INGARCH processes.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":49475,"journal":{"name":"Statistics & Probability Letters","volume":"214 ","pages":"Article 110198"},"PeriodicalIF":0.9,"publicationDate":"2024-07-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0167715224001676/pdfft?md5=1a05e917c26685be8f2bdbd5ed320859&pid=1-s2.0-S0167715224001676-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141542314","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-06-29DOI: 10.1016/j.spl.2024.110197
Zhenlong Chen, Peng Xu
Let be a centered space–time anisotropic Gaussian random field values in . Under some general conditions, the existence and smoothness (in the sense of Meyer-Watanabe) of the higher-order derivative of the local times of are studied. Moreover, we show that the derivatives of the local time of is jointly continuous on . The existing results on local times of fractional Brownian motion and other Gaussian random fields are extended to higher-order derivative of local times of more general space–time anisotropic Gaussian random fields.
{"title":"Higher-order derivative of local times for space–time anisotropic Gaussian random fields","authors":"Zhenlong Chen, Peng Xu","doi":"10.1016/j.spl.2024.110197","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.spl.2024.110197","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Let <span><math><mrow><mi>X</mi><mo>=</mo><mrow><mo>{</mo><mi>X</mi><mrow><mo>(</mo><mi>t</mi><mo>)</mo></mrow><mo>,</mo><mi>t</mi><mo>∈</mo><msup><mrow><mi>R</mi></mrow><mrow><mi>N</mi></mrow></msup><mo>}</mo></mrow></mrow></math></span> be a centered space–time anisotropic Gaussian random field values in <span><math><msup><mrow><mi>R</mi></mrow><mrow><mi>d</mi></mrow></msup></math></span>. Under some general conditions, the existence and smoothness (in the sense of Meyer-Watanabe) of the higher-order derivative of the local times of <span><math><mrow><mi>X</mi><mrow><mo>(</mo><mi>t</mi><mo>)</mo></mrow></mrow></math></span> are studied. Moreover, we show that the derivatives of the local time of <span><math><mrow><mi>X</mi><mrow><mo>(</mo><mi>t</mi><mo>)</mo></mrow></mrow></math></span> is jointly continuous on <span><math><mrow><msup><mrow><mi>R</mi></mrow><mrow><mi>d</mi></mrow></msup><mo>×</mo><msup><mrow><mrow><mo>[</mo><mn>0</mn><mo>,</mo><mn>1</mn><mo>]</mo></mrow></mrow><mrow><mi>N</mi></mrow></msup></mrow></math></span>. The existing results on local times of fractional Brownian motion and other Gaussian random fields are extended to higher-order derivative of local times of more general space–time anisotropic Gaussian random fields.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":49475,"journal":{"name":"Statistics & Probability Letters","volume":"214 ","pages":"Article 110197"},"PeriodicalIF":0.9,"publicationDate":"2024-06-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141542313","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-06-29DOI: 10.1016/j.spl.2024.110196
Xiaochang Wang , Shui Feng , Yiping Guo , Bruno N. Rémillard
The large deviation principle is established for the Yule–Walker estimator of the near critical order one autoregressive process. The rate function is identified explicitly. Our result shows that, at the exponential scale, one cannot distinguish between near critical and the critical Yule–Walker estimators.
{"title":"Large deviations for the Yule–Walker estimator of near critical autoregressive processes","authors":"Xiaochang Wang , Shui Feng , Yiping Guo , Bruno N. Rémillard","doi":"10.1016/j.spl.2024.110196","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.spl.2024.110196","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The large deviation principle is established for the Yule–Walker estimator of the near critical order one autoregressive process. The rate function is identified explicitly. Our result shows that, at the exponential scale, one cannot distinguish between near critical and the critical Yule–Walker estimators.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":49475,"journal":{"name":"Statistics & Probability Letters","volume":"214 ","pages":"Article 110196"},"PeriodicalIF":0.9,"publicationDate":"2024-06-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0167715224001652/pdfft?md5=8c91327797986f45c565d9a45f468be2&pid=1-s2.0-S0167715224001652-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141582477","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-06-28DOI: 10.1016/j.spl.2024.110195
Dennis D. Boos , Shannon Ari , Roger L. Berger
Starting with Barnard (1945, 1947), many papers have shown that exact unconditional tests outperform Fisher’s Exact Test in 2 × 2 tables with independent binomial data. Less has been published about unconditional tests with multinomial data. However, in many multinomial 2 × 2 analyses, a binomial-like comparison of proportions is of interest rather than inference in terms of odds ratios. Thus, this paper proposes using a partially conditional binomial analysis with data that are actually multinomially distributed. This partially conditional analysis, conditioning on the row totals and then using the unconditional binomial analysis, is more powerful than the fully conditional Fisher’s Exact Test, has good power comparable to the fully unconditional multinomial analysis, and provides exact confidence intervals for the difference of proportions. Also, the partially conditional binomial analysis requires considerably less computation than the fully unconditional analysis.
{"title":"Exact partially conditional binomial analysis for multinomial data in 2 × 2 tables","authors":"Dennis D. Boos , Shannon Ari , Roger L. Berger","doi":"10.1016/j.spl.2024.110195","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.spl.2024.110195","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Starting with Barnard (1945, 1947), many papers have shown that exact unconditional tests outperform Fisher’s Exact Test in 2 × 2 tables with independent binomial data. Less has been published about unconditional tests with multinomial data. However, in many multinomial 2 × 2 analyses, a binomial-like comparison of proportions is of interest rather than inference in terms of odds ratios. Thus, this paper proposes using a partially conditional binomial analysis with data that are actually multinomially distributed. This partially conditional analysis, conditioning on the row totals and then using the unconditional binomial analysis, is more powerful than the fully conditional Fisher’s Exact Test, has good power comparable to the fully unconditional multinomial analysis, and provides exact confidence intervals for the difference of proportions. Also, the partially conditional binomial analysis requires considerably less computation than the fully unconditional analysis.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":49475,"journal":{"name":"Statistics & Probability Letters","volume":"214 ","pages":"Article 110195"},"PeriodicalIF":0.9,"publicationDate":"2024-06-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141542312","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}