The effects of long-term no-tillage (NT) and mulching on water retention, yield increase, and yield stability under different precipitation conditions are inconsistent, and few studies have simultaneously explored the combined effects of these factors. Therefore, we conducted a 20-year field experiment (2004–2023) to study the effects of tillage systems (conventional tillage (CT) and no-tillage (NT)) and mulching patterns (no mulching (NM), plastic mulching (PM), straw mulching (SM), and straw and plastic dual mulching (SPM)) under different precipitation conditions on soil water storage (SWS) and utilization characteristics, yield and its stability. The results showed that long-term no-tillage significantly increased SWS during both the fallow and growing periods under three precipitation types. SPM significantly increased pre-sowing SWS (SWSGB) compared to single mulching (PM and SM) in dry and wet years (P < 0.05). In dry years, PM increased the consumption of deep soil water (100–220 cm), and the evapotranspiration (ET) of PM was the highest (P < 0.05). In dry and normal years, NT and SPM significantly improved water use efficiency (WUE) and precipitation use efficiency (PUE) during the growing period. The combination of no-tillage and mulching enhances soil water content, and long-term implementation contributes to higher yield and increased yield stability. The effect of NT and mulching on yield increase was positively correlated with the duration of cultivation. Specifically, after 10, 15, and 20 years, the yield under NT was significantly higher than CT by 6.5 %, 6.0 %, and 8.3 %. Over the 20 years, the yield under PM, SM, and SPM was higher than NM by 13.8 %, 10.1 %, and 20.3 % (P < 0.05). PUE, SWSGB, and WUE are important factors affecting yield in dry and normal years. Therefore, NT and SPM have broader applicability across different precipitation types. In particular, under the future trends of global warming and increasing aridity, this practice is well-suited for the arid and semi-arid regions.
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