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Machine Learning and Political Events: Application of a Semi-supervised Approach to Produce a Dataset on Presidential Cabinets 机器学习与政治事件:应用半监督方法生成总统内阁数据集
IF 4.1 2区 社会学 Q2 COMPUTER SCIENCE, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2025-01-20 DOI: 10.1177/08944393251315917
Bastián González-Bustamante
This paper describes the creation of a novel dataset on ministerial turnover and resignation calls in 12 presidential cabinets in Latin America from the mid-1970s to the early 2020s. The indicators on resignation calls and reallocations of cabinet members are entirely novel. Both constitute a relevant empirical contribution not only to the study of political dynamics in presidential systems and cabinet politics but also to public opinion and public policy topics. We focus on the creation of the dataset using optical recognition algorithms on press report archives together with machine learning models. The models permitted the training of ensemble semi-supervised classifiers over a period of almost 50 years. Subsequently, we provide a number of measurement validity checks to cross-validate the dataset by comparing it with similar existing data and an exploratory analysis.
本文介绍了拉丁美洲 12 个总统内阁从 20 世纪 70 年代中期到 20 世纪 20 年代初的部长更替和辞职情况的新数据集。有关辞职要求和内阁成员重新分配的指标都是全新的。这两项指标不仅对总统制和内阁政治中的政治动态研究,而且对舆论和公共政策课题都构成了相关的实证贡献。我们的重点是利用新闻报道档案的光学识别算法和机器学习模型创建数据集。这些模型允许对近 50 年的半监督分类器进行集合训练。随后,我们提供了一系列测量有效性检查,通过与类似的现有数据和探索性分析进行比较,对数据集进行交叉验证。
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引用次数: 0
A Dual-Role Trust Model for Social Media Influencers: The Paradox of Perceived Friendship 社交媒体影响者的双重角色信任模型:感知友谊的悖论
IF 4.1 2区 社会学 Q2 COMPUTER SCIENCE, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2024-12-24 DOI: 10.1177/08944393241311586
Shang Chen, Xuefei Xu, Qingfei Min, Lin Liu
As companies come to appreciate social media’s economic advantages, it has transformed into a dichotomous social-commercial landscape. In this specific situation, followers evaluate social media influencers that play both the friend and marketer roles in the decision-making process. This study creates a dual-role trust model based on the role theory to investigate trust processes across different roles. More importantly, this study goes deeper into examining the potential paradoxical positive and negative moderating roles of perceived friendship in the dual-role trust mechanism. The structural equation model approach is first conducted to test our hypotheses using a survey of 465 TikTok respondents. Next, the study model’s hypotheses are further tested using a post hoc analysis to see if they change based on followers’ regulatory focus. The findings support perceived friendship’s complementary and replacement functions in a dual role-based trust mechanism, as well as the transfer of trust between dual roles. There is a discussion of the implications for theory and practice.
随着企业逐渐认识到社交媒体的经济优势,它已经转变为一种社会与商业两分法的格局。在这种特殊情况下,追随者评估在决策过程中扮演朋友和营销角色的社交媒体影响者。本研究以角色理论为基础,建立双角色信任模型,探讨不同角色间的信任过程。更重要的是,本研究更深入地探讨了感知友谊在双角色信任机制中的潜在矛盾的积极和消极调节作用。结构方程模型方法首先通过对465名抖音受访者的调查来检验我们的假设。接下来,使用事后分析进一步检验研究模型的假设,看看它们是否会根据追随者的监管焦点而变化。研究结果支持感知友谊在基于双重角色的信任机制中的补充和替代功能,以及双重角色之间的信任转移。对理论和实践的含义进行了讨论。
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引用次数: 0
Testing Motivation-Based vs. Social Exchange Communication Strategies in Email Survey Recruitment 在电子邮件调查招聘中测试基于动机与社交交换的沟通策略
IF 4.1 2区 社会学 Q2 COMPUTER SCIENCE, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2024-12-18 DOI: 10.1177/08944393241308509
Jason Kosakow, Pierce Greenberg
Despite well-documented challenges, researchers across the social sciences continue to rely on email to recruit research participants. However, few studies examine how different communication strategies impact email open and conversion rates, especially among surveys of establishments. Our paper aims to fill that gap by examining whether motivation-based appeals—which we develop from respondents’ reasons for participating—outperform a communication approach based on social exchange theory. Our study identified the top three motivations why current panel members participate in the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond Business Survey: (1) access to data and other benefits, (2) the ability to influence economic policy, and (3) to help make their communities better. Then, we crafted email subject lines and messages to match those three motivations and a version based on tenets of social exchange theory. Our results find that the social exchange version outperforms the motivation-based appeals in both email open and conversion rates—with a stronger influence on conversion rates. We discuss the implications of these results for how social science researchers communicate with potential research participants by email.
尽管有充分的证据表明存在挑战,但社会科学领域的研究人员继续依靠电子邮件招募研究参与者。然而,很少有研究考察不同的沟通策略如何影响电子邮件的打开率和转化率,尤其是在对企业的调查中。我们的论文旨在填补这一空白,通过研究基于动机的呼吁——我们从受访者的参与原因中发展出来的——是否优于基于社会交换理论的沟通方法。我们的研究确定了当前小组成员参与里士满联邦储备银行商业调查的三大动机:(1)获取数据和其他利益,(2)影响经济政策的能力,(3)帮助改善他们的社区。然后,我们根据社会交换理论的原则,精心设计了符合这三种动机的电子邮件主题和信息。我们的研究结果发现,社交交换版本在电子邮件打开率和转化率方面都优于基于动机的吸引力——对转化率的影响更大。我们讨论了这些结果对社会科学研究人员如何通过电子邮件与潜在的研究参与者沟通的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Asking for Traces: A Vignette Study on Acceptability Norms and Personal Willingness to Donate Digital Trace Data 询问痕迹:关于捐赠数字痕迹数据的可接受性规范和个人意愿的小研究
IF 4.1 2区 社会学 Q2 COMPUTER SCIENCE, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2024-12-09 DOI: 10.1177/08944393241305776
Henning Silber, Johannes Breuer, Barbara Felderer, Frederic Gerdon, Patrick Stammann, Jessica Daikeler, Florian Keusch, Bernd Weiß
Digital trace data are increasingly used in the social sciences. Given the risks associated with data access via application programming interfaces (APIs) as well as ethical discussions around the use of such data, data donations have been proposed as a methodologically reliable and ethically sound way of collecting digital trace data. While data donations have many advantages, study participants may be reluctant to share their data, for example, due to privacy concerns. To assess which factors in a data donation request are relevant for participants’ acceptance and decisions, we conducted a vignette experiment investigating the general acceptability and personal willingness to donate various data types (i.e., data from GPS, web browsing, LinkedIn/Xing, Facebook, and TikTok) for research purposes. The preregistered study was implemented in the probability-based German Internet Panel (GIP) and gathered responses from n = 3821 participants. Results show that people rate the general acceptability of data donation requests higher than their own willingness to donate data. Regarding the different data types, respondents indicated that they would be more willing to donate their LinkedIn/Xing, TikTok, and GPS data compared to web browsing and Facebook data. In contrast, information about whether the donated data would be shared with other researchers and data security did not affect the responses to the respective donation scenarios. Based on these results, we discuss implications for studies employing data donations.
数字轨迹数据在社会科学领域的应用越来越广泛。考虑到通过应用程序编程接口(api)访问数据的风险,以及围绕使用此类数据的伦理讨论,数据捐赠已被提议作为一种方法上可靠且伦理上合理的收集数字痕迹数据的方式。虽然数据捐赠有很多好处,但研究参与者可能不愿意分享他们的数据,例如,出于隐私方面的考虑。为了评估数据捐赠请求中的哪些因素与参与者的接受和决定相关,我们进行了一个小插图实验,调查了捐赠各种数据类型(即来自GPS,网页浏览,LinkedIn/Xing, Facebook和TikTok的数据)的一般可接受性和个人意愿,用于研究目的。预注册研究在基于概率的德国互联网小组(GIP)中实施,并收集了n = 3821名参与者的反馈。结果表明,人们对数据捐赠请求的普遍可接受性的评价高于自己捐赠数据的意愿。对于不同的数据类型,受访者表示,与网页浏览和Facebook数据相比,他们更愿意捐赠他们的LinkedIn/Xing、TikTok和GPS数据。相比之下,关于捐赠数据是否会与其他研究人员共享和数据安全的信息并不影响对各自捐赠场景的反应。基于这些结果,我们讨论了采用数据捐赠研究的意义。
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引用次数: 0
People, Platforms, and Places: The Conditional Effects of Psychological Distances on Livestream Viewership 人、平台和地点:心理距离对直播收视率的条件影响
IF 4.1 2区 社会学 Q2 COMPUTER SCIENCE, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2024-12-02 DOI: 10.1177/08944393241305780
Zhang Hao Goh, Minzheng Hou, Edson C. Tandoc
Reducing the social distance between livestreamers and viewers is known to enhance viewership as well as generate desirable psychosocial and economic outcomes. However, apart from the social dimension, scholars have not explored other distance dimensions that may induce the same benefits. Leveraging the construal level theory, the current study explicates the concept of distance in the form of three different perceived psychological distance dimensions (i.e., perceived response latency, heterophily, and spatialization) to examine how it can induce viewership in the context of livestreaming. A survey conducted in Singapore ( n = 401) found that the effect of perceived heterophily affecting viewership in livestream was moderated by viewers’ chronic construal tendencies, demonstrating a construal fit. The current study provides insights into how chronic differences in viewers’ construal can influence viewership.
众所周知,减少直播者和观众之间的社会距离可以提高收视率,并产生理想的社会心理和经济结果。然而,除了社会维度,学者们还没有探索其他可能产生同样利益的距离维度。利用解释水平理论,本研究以三个不同的感知心理距离维度(即感知反应延迟、异质性和空间化)的形式解释了距离的概念,以研究它如何在直播背景下诱导观看。在新加坡进行的一项调查(n = 401)发现,感知异质性对直播收视率的影响被观众的慢性解释倾向所缓和,表现出一种解释契合。目前的研究提供了关于观众解释的长期差异如何影响收视率的见解。
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引用次数: 0
Has ChatGPT Disrupted the Education Sector in the U.S.? ChatGPT 是否颠覆了美国的教育领域?
IF 4.1 2区 社会学 Q2 COMPUTER SCIENCE, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2024-11-22 DOI: 10.1177/08944393241301330
Erik Haugom, Štefan Lyócsa, Martina Halousková
The introduction of ChatGPT and other tools based on artificial intelligence (AI) has the potential to revolutionize the field of education. We study how the public release of ChatGPT and the increased attention on this new large language model from OpenAI are associated with the expected returns of publicly traded firms that operate in the education sector. We also perform separate subgroup analyses for the traditional education sector and the so-called education technology sector. Using linear and threshold CAPM-GARCH models, we find that after the public release of ChatGPT, both the education sector as a whole and the education technology sector have underperformed benchmarks. Our results show that increased attention leads to lower next-day returns in the education sector as a whole and the education technology sector in particular. Additionally, during periods of higher attention, expected returns tend to decline in these two sectors. We also show that the introduction of ChatGPT or the increased interest in this AI tool in the population does not affect the traditional education sector. The introduction of ChatGPT thus has a heterogeneous effect across the various education sectors we examine, with the education technology sector receiving most of the disruption.
ChatGPT 和其他基于人工智能(AI)的工具的推出有可能彻底改变教育领域。我们研究了 ChatGPT 的公开发布以及 OpenAI 对这一新型大型语言模型关注度的增加与教育领域上市公司预期收益的关系。我们还对传统教育行业和所谓的教育技术行业进行了单独的分组分析。通过使用线性和阈值 CAPM-GARCH 模型,我们发现在 ChatGPT 公开发布后,教育行业整体和教育技术行业的表现均低于基准。我们的结果表明,关注度的提高导致整个教育行业,尤其是教育技术行业的次日回报率降低。此外,在关注度较高的时期,这两个行业的预期回报往往会下降。我们的研究还表明,引入 ChatGPT 或提高人们对这一人工智能工具的兴趣并不会影响传统教育行业。因此,ChatGPT 的引入对我们所研究的各个教育部门产生了不同的影响,其中教育技术部门受到的干扰最大。
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引用次数: 0
The Moderating Role of Self-Esteem in the Relationship Between Social Media Use and Life Satisfaction Among Older Adults 自尊在社交媒体使用与老年人生活满意度关系中的调节作用
IF 4.1 2区 社会学 Q2 COMPUTER SCIENCE, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2024-11-15 DOI: 10.1177/08944393241301045
Yesolran Kim
This study examines the relationship between social media use and life satisfaction among older adults, with a focus on the moderating role of self-esteem. Cross-sectional data from the 2021 Korea Media Panel Survey were analyzed, focusing on responses from 192 older adults aged 65 and older who had experience using social media platforms. The findings reveal that among older adults with low self-esteem, social media use is negatively associated with life satisfaction, whereas for those with high self-esteem, this association reverses and becomes positive. However, for older adults with medium self-esteem, the relationship between social media use and life satisfaction is not significant. This study contributes to the scholarly understanding of the structural relationship between social media use, self-esteem, and life satisfaction among older adults and offers insights for tailored interventions aimed at enhancing well-being in this demographic.
本研究探讨了老年人使用社交媒体与生活满意度之间的关系,重点关注自尊的调节作用。研究分析了 2021 年韩国媒体小组调查的横截面数据,重点是 192 名有社交媒体平台使用经验的 65 岁及以上老年人的回答。研究结果表明,在自尊心较低的老年人中,社交媒体的使用与生活满意度呈负相关,而在自尊心较高的老年人中,这种关系则发生逆转,变为正相关。然而,对于自尊心中等的老年人来说,社交媒体的使用与生活满意度之间的关系并不显著。这项研究有助于学者们理解老年人使用社交媒体、自尊和生活满意度之间的结构关系,并为旨在提高这一人群幸福感的有针对性的干预措施提供启示。
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引用次数: 0
Feminist Identity and Online Activism in Four Countries From 2019 to 2023 2019 年至 2023 年四个国家的女权主义者身份和网络活动
IF 4.1 2区 社会学 Q2 COMPUTER SCIENCE, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2024-11-15 DOI: 10.1177/08944393241301050
Shelley Boulianne, Katharina Heger, Nicole Houle, Delphine Brown
The COVID-19 pandemic heightened burdens on caregivers, but also the visibility of caregiving inequalities. These grievances may activate a feminist identity which in turn leads to greater civic and political participation. During a pandemic, online forms of participation are particularly attractive as they require less effort than offline forms of participation and pose less health risks compared to collective forms of offline activism. Using survey data from four countries (Canada, France, the United States, and the United Kingdom) collected in 2019 (prior to the pandemic), 2021 (during the pandemic), and 2023 (post-pandemic), we examine the relationship between self-identifying as a feminist and signing online petitions ( n = 18,362). Our multivariate analyses show that having a feminist identity is positively related to signing online petitions. We consider the differential effects of this identity on participation for men, women, non-binary people; caregivers versus non-caregivers; and respondents in different countries with varying levels of restrictions due to the pandemic. A feminist identity is more important for mobilizing caregivers than non-caregivers, whether or not the caregiver is a man or a woman. While grievance theory suggests differential effects by country and time period, we find a consistent role of feminist identity in predicting the signing of online petitions across time and across countries. These findings offer insights into how different groups in varying contexts are mobilized to participate.
COVID-19 大流行加重了护理人员的负担,同时也凸显了护理不平等现象。这些不满情绪可能会激活女权主义者的身份认同,进而导致更多的公民和政治参与。在大流行病期间,网络参与形式尤其具有吸引力,因为与线下参与形式相比,网络参与形式需要付出的努力更少,而且与集体形式的线下活动相比,网络参与形式带来的健康风险更小。我们利用在 2019 年(大流行之前)、2021 年(大流行期间)和 2023 年(大流行之后)收集的四个国家(加拿大、法国、美国和英国)的调查数据,研究了自我认同为女权主义者与签署网上请愿书(n = 18,362 人)之间的关系。我们的多变量分析表明,拥有女权主义者身份与签署网上请愿书呈正相关。我们考虑了这一身份对男性、女性、非二元人群;照顾者与非照顾者;以及因大流行病而受到不同程度限制的不同国家的受访者的参与的不同影响。与非护理者相比,无论护理者是男性还是非女性,女权主义者的身份对于动员护理者都更为重要。尽管申诉理论认为不同国家和不同时期会产生不同的影响,但我们发现女权主义者的身份在预测不同时期和不同国家的网上请愿签名方面发挥着一致的作用。这些发现为我们了解不同背景下不同群体如何被动员参与提供了启示。
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引用次数: 0
Improving the Quality of Individual-Level Web Tracking: Challenges of Existing Approaches and Introduction of a New Content and Long-Tail Sensitive Academic Solution 提高个人层面网络跟踪的质量:现有方法面临的挑战与新内容和长尾敏感学术解决方案的介绍
IF 4.1 2区 社会学 Q2 COMPUTER SCIENCE, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2024-10-16 DOI: 10.1177/08944393241287793
Silke Adam, Mykola Makhortykh, Michaela Maier, Viktor Aigenseer, Aleksandra Urman, Teresa Gil Lopez, Clara Christner, Ernesto de León, Roberto Ulloa
This article evaluates the quality of data collection in individual-level desktop web tracking used in the social sciences and shows that the existing approaches face sampling issues, validity issues due to the lack of content-level data and their disregard for the variety of devices and long-tail consumption patterns as well as transparency and privacy issues. To overcome some of these problems, the article introduces a new academic web tracking solution, WebTrack, an open-source tracking tool maintained by a major European research institution, GESIS. The design logic, the interfaces, and the backend requirements for WebTrack are discussed, followed by a detailed examination of the strengths and weaknesses of the tool. Finally, using data from 1,185 participants, the article empirically illustrates how an improvement in data collection through WebTrack leads to innovative shifts in the use of tracking data. As WebTrack allows for collecting the content people are exposed to beyond the classical news platforms, it can greatly improve the detection of politics-related information consumption in tracking data through automated content analysis compared to traditional approaches that rely on the source-level analysis.
本文评估了社会科学中使用的个人级桌面网络跟踪的数据收集质量,并指出现有方法面临着抽样问题、因缺乏内容级数据而导致的有效性问题、对各种设备和长尾消费模式的忽视,以及透明度和隐私问题。为了克服其中的一些问题,文章介绍了一种新的学术网络跟踪解决方案--WebTrack,这是一种由欧洲主要研究机构 GESIS 维护的开源跟踪工具。文章讨论了 WebTrack 的设计逻辑、界面和后台要求,随后详细分析了该工具的优缺点。最后,文章利用 1 185 名参与者的数据,以实证的方式说明了通过 WebTrack 改进数据收集工作如何导致跟踪数据的使用发生创新性转变。由于 WebTrack 可以收集人们在传统新闻平台之外接触到的内容,因此,与依赖于来源层面分析的传统方法相比,WebTrack 可以通过自动内容分析大大提高跟踪数据中政治相关信息消费的检测能力。
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引用次数: 0
Can AI Lie? Chabot Technologies, the Subject, and the Importance of Lying 人工智能会说谎吗?查博特技术、研究对象和说谎的重要性
IF 4.1 2区 社会学 Q2 COMPUTER SCIENCE, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2024-10-16 DOI: 10.1177/08944393241282602
Jack Black
This article poses a simple question: can AI lie? In response to this question, the article examines, as its point of inquiry, popular AI chatbots, such as, ChatGPT. In doing so, an examination of the psychoanalytic, philosophical, and technological significance of AI and its complexities are located in relation to the dynamics of truth, falsity, and deception. That is, by critically considering the chatbot’s ability to engage in natural language conversations and provide contextually relevant responses, it is argued that what separates the AI chatbot from anthropocentric debates, which allude to some form of conscious recognition on behalf of AI, is the importance of the lie – an importance which a psychoanalytic approach can reveal. Indeed, while AI technologies can undoubtedly blur the line between lies and truth-speaking, in the case of the AI chatbot, it is detailed how such technology remains unable to lie authentically or, in other words, is unable to lie like a human. For psychoanalysis, the capacity to lie bears witness to the unconscious and, thus, plays an important role in determining the subject. It is for this reason that rather than uncritically accepting the chatbot’s authority – an authority that is easily reflected in its honest responses and frank admissions – a psychoanalytic (Lacanian) perspective can highlight the significance of the unconscious as a distorting factor in determining the subject. To help elucidate this argument, specific attention is given to introducing and applying Lacan’s subject of enunciation and subject of the enunciated. This is used to assert that what continues (for now) to set us apart from AI technology is not necessarily our ‘better knowledge’ but our capability to consciously engage in acts of falsehood that function to reveal the social nuances and significances of the lie.
本文提出了一个简单的问题:人工智能会说谎吗?为了回答这个问题,文章以流行的人工智能聊天机器人(如 ChatGPT)为研究对象。在此过程中,我们将对人工智能的精神分析、哲学和技术意义及其复杂性进行研究,并将其与真实、虚假和欺骗的动态关系联系起来。也就是说,通过批判性地考虑聊天机器人参与自然语言对话并提供与上下文相关的回应的能力,我们认为,人工智能聊天机器人与人类中心主义辩论的区别在于谎言的重要性--精神分析方法可以揭示谎言的重要性。事实上,虽然人工智能技术无疑可以模糊谎言与真话之间的界限,但在人工智能聊天机器人的案例中,却详细说明了这种技术如何仍然无法真实地说谎,或者换句话说,无法像人类一样说谎。对精神分析而言,说谎能力是无意识的见证,因此在确定主体方面发挥着重要作用。正因如此,与其不加批判地接受聊天机器人的权威性--这种权威性很容易从它诚实的回答和坦率的承认中体现出来--不如从精神分析(拉康)的角度来强调无意识作为决定主体的扭曲因素的重要性。为了帮助阐明这一论点,我们特别注意介绍和应用拉康的 "阐释主体 "和 "被阐释主体"。拉康的这一论点被用来断言,(就目前而言)使我们与人工智能技术区别开来的不一定是我们的 "更好的知识",而是我们有意识地参与虚假行为的能力,这种行为的作用是揭示谎言的社会细微差别和意义。
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引用次数: 0
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