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Bonferroni-Free and Indifference-Zone-Flexible Sequential Elimination Procedures for Ranking and Selection 排序和选择的Bonferroni-Free和indifferential - zone - flexible顺序淘汰法
IF 0.7 4区 管理学 Q3 Engineering Pub Date : 2023-04-11 DOI: 10.1287/opre.2023.2447
Wenyu Wang, Hong Wan, Xi Chen
The curse of dimensionality has long been one of the biggest challenges in solving large-scale simulation ranking and selection (R&S) problems. As the number of systems grows, existing approaches to R&S relying on the Bonferroni correction become increasingly conservative, rendering them overachieving in error control and consuming more computational resources than necessary. In “Bonferroni-Free and Indifference-Zone-Flexible Sequential Elimination Procedures for Ranking and Selection,” Wang, Wan, and Chen develop Bonferroni-free and indifference-zone-optional ranking and selection procedures to deliver the prescribed probabilistic guarantee without overshooting. Their approach is to conduct always valid and fully sequential hypothesis tests that enable continuous monitoring of each candidate system and control the probability of correct selection. In addition, the indifference-zone parameter becomes dispensable in their procedures; however, when provided appropriately, it could improve the procedures’ computational and statistical efficiency.
长期以来,维数诅咒一直是解决大规模仿真排序和选择问题的最大挑战之一。随着系统数量的增长,依赖Bonferroni校正的现有R&S方法变得越来越保守,使得它们在错误控制方面取得了过高的成绩,并且消耗了不必要的计算资源。在“Bonferroni-Free and indifferential -zone- flexible Sequential Elimination Procedures for Ranking and Selection”中,Wang、Wan和Chen开发了Bonferroni-Free and indifferential -zone-optional Ranking and Selection程序,以提供规定的概率保证而不超调。他们的方法是进行始终有效且完全顺序的假设检验,从而能够持续监测每个候选系统并控制正确选择的概率。此外,在它们的过程中,无差异区参数变得可有可无;但是,如果提供适当,它可以提高程序的计算和统计效率。
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引用次数: 1
Risk-Averse Regret Minimization in Multistage Stochastic Programs 多阶段随机规划中的风险规避后悔最小化
IF 0.7 4区 管理学 Q3 Engineering Pub Date : 2023-01-30 DOI: 10.1287/opre.2022.2429
Mehran Poursoltani, E. Delage, A. Georghiou
Regret minimization has gained popularity in a wide range of decision-making problems under uncertainty because of its capacity to identify more opportunistic solutions than worst-case value optimization. Unfortunately, the rigidity of current worst-case regret models and scarcity of tractable solution methods have been serious obstacles in multistage applications. In “Risk-Averse Regret Minimization in Multistage Stochastic Programs,” M. Poursoltani, E. Delage, and A. Georghiou consider a multistage stochastic programming setting with a discrete scenario tree. They introduce the notion of the Δ-regret model, which bridges between the ex ante and ex post regret minimization paradigms that are currently used in the regret minimization literature for single-stage problems. The notion of Δ-regret minimization is investigated for the first time both theoretically and numerically in order to better understand its behavior under a set of popular risk measures.
由于后悔最小化算法比最坏情况值优化算法更能识别机会主义的解决方案,因此在不确定条件下的决策问题中得到了广泛的应用。然而,目前最坏情况后悔模型的刚性和可处理的求解方法的缺乏已经成为多阶段应用的严重障碍。M. Poursoltani, E. Delage和a . Georghiou在“多阶段随机规划中的风险规避遗憾最小化”一文中考虑了具有离散情景树的多阶段随机规划设置。他们引入了Δ-regret模型的概念,该模型连接了目前在单阶段问题的后悔最小化文献中使用的事前和事后后悔最小化范式。本文首次从理论上和数值上研究了Δ-regret最小化的概念,以便更好地理解它在一组流行的风险度量下的行为。
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引用次数: 1
New Algorithms for Hierarchical Optimization in Kidney Exchange Programs 肾交换项目分层优化的新算法
IF 0.7 4区 管理学 Q3 Engineering Pub Date : 2023-01-25 DOI: 10.1287/opre.2022.2374
Maxence Delorme, Sergio García, J. Gondzio, J. Kalcsics, D. Manlove, William Pettersson
New Exact Approaches Tailored for Kidney Exchange Programs with Hierarchical Objectives Kidney exchange programs increase the rate of living donor kidney transplantation. Whereas effective integer programming models aimed at maximizing the total number of transplants have been proposed in the literature, these cannot always be extended to handle a hierarchy of objectives, which is often a requirement in practice. In “New Algorithms for Hierarchical Optimization in Kidney Exchange Programs,” Delorme, García, Gondzio, Kalcsics, Manlove, and Pettersson introduce a new integer programming framework to solve large-size instances of kidney exchange programs. The authors use an ad hoc preprocessing and a reduced-cost variable fixing algorithm to dramatically decrease the size of the models, and they devise a diving algorithm that exploits the hierarchical structure of the problem to significantly reduce the number of integer programs that need to be solved. They also show that it is possible to transition between models as different layers are traversed in the hierarchy, allowing each layer to be solved with the most effective model. Experiments on three different European kidney exchange programs show that running times can be reduced by up to three orders of magnitude.
分级目标肾交换计划的精确新方法提高活体供体肾移植率。虽然文献中已经提出了旨在最大化移植总数的有效整数规划模型,但这些模型并不总是能够扩展到处理目标层次结构,而这通常是实践中的要求。Delorme, García, gonzio, Kalcsics, Manlove和Pettersson在“肾脏交换计划中的分层优化新算法”中介绍了一个新的整数规划框架来解决肾脏交换计划的大规模实例。作者使用了一种特别的预处理和一种低成本的变量固定算法来显著减少模型的大小,并且他们设计了一种潜水算法,利用问题的层次结构来显著减少需要解决的整数程序的数量。它们还表明,当在层次结构中遍历不同的层时,可以在模型之间进行转换,从而允许使用最有效的模型来求解每一层。在三个不同的欧洲肾脏交换项目上的实验表明,运行时间可以减少三个数量级。
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引用次数: 6
Customized Dynamic Pricing When Customers Develop a Habit or Satiation 当客户形成习惯或满足时,定制动态定价
IF 0.7 4区 管理学 Q3 Engineering Pub Date : 2023-01-23 DOI: 10.1287/opre.2022.2412
Wen Chen, Ying He, S. Bansal
In Dynamic Pricing with Customer State Dependence, Wen Chen, Ying He, and Saurabh Bansal discuss optimal prices that a firm should offer to customers who develop a habit or satiation from consumption. At a high discount (or equivalently a lower price), a habit-prone customer will purchase a large amount in a current period. The firm will earn a low revenue per unit on the amount bought by the customer in this period. However, this large purchase will also create a stronger habit in the customer that the firm can exploit in the future periods. At a low discount, the firm will earn a higher per unit revenue in this period. However, the lower purchase quantity will also result in a weaker habit in the customer for the future periods. This tradeoff exists in every period. These effects are reversed for a satiation-prone customer. Using an analytical model, the authors determine the optimal profit-maximizing dynamic prices that a firm should offer to such habit- or satiation-prone customers. The results are robust for various specifications for habit formation, and yet in each specification they are obtainable tractably.
在顾客状态依赖的动态定价中,Wen Chen, Ying He和Saurabh Bansal讨论了企业应该向从消费中形成习惯或满足的顾客提供的最优价格。在高折扣(或相当于较低的价格)下,习惯倾向的顾客会在当期购买大量商品。在这段时间内,公司每单位的客户购买量将获得较低的收入。然而,这一大笔购买也会在客户中形成一种更强的习惯,公司可以在未来的时期利用这种习惯。在低折扣的情况下,公司在这段时间内将获得更高的单位收入。然而,较低的购买数量也会导致客户在未来一段时间内的习惯变弱。这种权衡存在于每个时期。对于容易满足的顾客,这些影响是相反的。使用一个分析模型,作者确定了一个公司应该提供给这种习惯或满足倾向的客户的利润最大化的最优动态价格。结果对于习惯形成的各种规范都是健壮的,并且在每个规范中都是可追踪的。
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引用次数: 1
Scheduling Advertising on Cable Television 在有线电视上安排广告
IF 0.7 4区 管理学 Q3 Engineering Pub Date : 2023-01-18 DOI: 10.1287/opre.2022.2430
S. Souyris, Sridhar Seshadri, Sriram Subramanian
Scheduling Advertising on Cable Television Advertisement scheduling is a daily essential operational process in the television business. Efficient distribution of viewers among advertisers allows the television network to satisfy contracts and increase ad sale revenues. Ad scheduling is a challenging multiperiod, mixed-integer programming problem in which the network must create schedules to meet advertisers’ campaign goals and maximize ad revenues. Each campaign must meet a specific target group of viewers and a unique set of constraints. Moreover, the number of viewers is uncertain. To solve this problem, S. Souyris, S. Seshadri, and S. Subramanian develop and implement a practical approach that combines mathematical programming and machine learning to create daily schedules. According to standard business metrics and the small integer programming gap, these schedules are of high quality. Using their methods, leading networks in the United States and India experience a 3% to 5% revenue increase, which translates to about $60 million annually for one prominent user.
有线电视广告调度广告调度是电视业务中必不可少的日常操作过程。观众在广告商之间的有效分配使电视网络能够满足合同并增加广告销售收入。广告调度是一个具有挑战性的多周期,混合整数规划问题,其中网络必须创建时间表,以满足广告商的活动目标和最大化广告收入。每个活动都必须满足特定的目标受众群体和一组独特的约束条件。此外,观众的数量是不确定的。为了解决这个问题,S. Souyris, S. Seshadri和S. Subramanian开发并实施了一种实用的方法,将数学编程和机器学习相结合,以创建日常时间表。根据标准的业务指标和较小的整数规划差距,这些计划是高质量的。使用他们的方法,美国和印度的主要网络的收入增加了3%至5%,这意味着一个知名用户每年可以获得约6,000万美元的收入。
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引用次数: 0
Robust Assortment Optimization Under the Markov Chain Choice Model 马尔可夫链选择模型下的鲁棒分类优化
IF 0.7 4区 管理学 Q3 Engineering Pub Date : 2023-01-13 DOI: 10.1287/opre.2022.2420
Antoine Désir, Vineet Goyal, Bo Jiang, Tian Xie, Jiawei Zhang
Robust Assortment Optimization Under the Markov Chain Choice Model Assortment optimization arises widely in many practical applications. In this problem, the goal is to select products to offer customers in order to maximize the expected revenue. We study a robust assortment-optimization problem under the Markov chain choice model, in which the parameters of the choice model are assumed to be uncertain, and the goal is to maximize the worst case expected revenue over all parameter values in an uncertainty set. Our main contribution is to prove a min-max duality result when the uncertainty set is row-wise. The result is surprising as the objective function does not satisfy the properties usually needed for known min-max results. Inspired by the duality result, we develop an efficient iterative algorithm for computing the optimal robust assortment under the Markov chain choice model. Moreover, our results yield operational insights into the effect of changing the uncertainty set on the optimal robust assortment.
在马尔可夫链选择模型下,分类优化在许多实际应用中得到了广泛的应用。在这个问题中,目标是选择产品提供给客户,以最大限度地提高预期收入。研究了马尔可夫链选择模型下的鲁棒分类优化问题,该问题假设选择模型的参数是不确定的,其目标是在不确定集合中所有参数值的最坏情况下最大化期望收益。我们的主要贡献是证明了当不确定性集是行方向时的最小-最大对偶性结果。结果令人惊讶,因为目标函数不满足已知最小-最大结果通常需要的性质。受对偶结果的启发,我们开发了一种计算马尔可夫链选择模型下最优鲁棒分类的高效迭代算法。此外,我们的结果对改变不确定性集对最优鲁棒分类的影响产生了操作性的见解。
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引用次数: 0
Revenue Management with Heterogeneous Resources: Unit Resource Capacities, Advance Bookings, and Itineraries over Time Intervals 异构资源的收益管理:单位资源容量,提前预订,和行程的时间间隔
IF 0.7 4区 管理学 Q3 Engineering Pub Date : 2023-01-12 DOI: 10.1287/opre.2022.2427
Paat Rusmevichientong, Mika Sumida, Huseyin Topaloglu, Yicheng Bai
There are a variety of revenue management systems that require making pricing or availability decisions for unique resources. For example, lodging marketplaces, boutique hotels, and bed-and-breakfasts offer unique rooms, apartments, or houses. Matching platforms for freelancers recommend differentiated workers with unique characteristics. When managing unique resources, one has to keep track of the availability of each resource at each time point in the future. Moreover, if the customers substitute between different resources, then the pricing and availability decisions for all resources become interdependent. Thus, it can be challenging to find good policies to make pricing or availability decisions. In “Revenue Management with Heterogeneous Resources: Unit Resource Capacities, Advance Bookings, and Itineraries over Time Intervals,” Rusmevichientong, Sumida, Topaloglu, and Bai consider revenue management problems when unique resources are requested for use over intervals of time under advance reservations. Using the interval structure of resource requests, they give policies with performance guarantees.
有各种各样的收入管理系统需要为独特的资源做出定价或可用性决策。例如,住宿市场,精品酒店和住宿加早餐提供独特的房间,公寓或房子。自由职业者配对平台推荐有特色的差异化工作者。在管理惟一的资源时,必须在将来的每个时间点跟踪每个资源的可用性。此外,如果客户在不同资源之间进行替代,那么所有资源的定价和可用性决策就变得相互依赖。因此,找到合适的策略来制定定价或可用性决策是一项挑战。在“异构资源的收益管理:单位资源容量、提前预订和一段时间内的行程”一文中,Rusmevichientong、Sumida、Topaloglu和Bai考虑了在提前预订的一段时间内请求使用独特资源时的收益管理问题。使用资源请求的间隔结构,它们提供具有性能保证的策略。
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引用次数: 4
Distinguishing Useful and Wasteful Slack 区分有用和浪费的懈怠
IF 0.7 4区 管理学 Q3 Engineering Pub Date : 2022-12-28 DOI: 10.1287/opre.2022.2415
P. Bogetoft, P. Kerstens
Can inefficiency be rational? Excess resources or slack may serve as a buffer against environmental shocks, help decouple organizations, ease planning and implementation, support innovation, and enable effective responses to competitors. Slack may however also be the result of inefficiency. In Bogetoft and Kerstens, Distinguishing useful and wasteful slack, we propose an approach to separate useful and wasteful slack. If an organization can maintain the same levels of output and slack at lower cost, there is wasteful or nonrationalizable spending. We develop ways to measure the extent to which total spending can be rationalized and show how to statistically estimate and test the usefulness of the available slack using bootstrapping.
低效率是理性的吗?过剩的资源或懈怠可以作为对环境冲击的缓冲,帮助分离组织,简化计划和实施,支持创新,并使对竞争对手的有效反应成为可能。然而,懈怠也可能是效率低下的结果。在Bogetoft和Kerstens的《区分有用和浪费的松弛》中,我们提出了一种区分有用松弛和浪费松弛的方法。如果一个组织能够以较低的成本保持相同的产出水平,那么就存在浪费或不合理的支出。我们开发了一些方法来衡量总支出可以合理化的程度,并展示了如何使用自举来统计估计和测试可用闲置的有用性。
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引用次数: 1
Inventory Sharing for Perishable Products: Application to Platelet Inventory Management in Hospital Blood Banks 易腐产品库存共享:在医院血库血小板库存管理中的应用
IF 0.7 4区 管理学 Q3 Engineering Pub Date : 2022-12-23 DOI: 10.1287/opre.2022.2410
Can Zhang, T. Ayer, Chelsea C. White, Joy N. Bodeker, J. Roback
A Simple and Provably Good Inventory Policy Led to a Significant Reduction in Platelet Outdates Platelets are critical blood products. The management of platelet inventory is particularly challenging because of its perishable nature with a short shelf life. This paper studies how the wastage of platelets and, more broadly, perishable products can be reduced through inventory sharing. The authors derive structural results on the optimal ordering and transshipment policies for a two-location perishable inventory system and prove that an easy-to-implement myopic transshipment policy is optimal for a few special cases relevant to practice and serves as a lower bound on the optimal transshipment policy for more general settings. This policy has been successfully implemented by the Emory University Hospital System, which led to a reduction of approximately 20% in platelet outdates. Moreover, this paper also sheds light on how the presence of inventory sharing affects the optimal ordering quantities and provides insights that significant depart from existing findings for nonperishable inventory systems.
一个简单的和可证明的良好的库存政策导致血小板显著减少过时的血小板是重要的血液制品。血小板库存的管理尤其具有挑战性,因为它的易腐性和保质期短。本文研究了如何通过库存共享来减少血小板和更广泛的易腐产品的浪费。本文给出了两地点易腐库存系统的最优订货和最优转运策略的结构结果,并证明了易于实现的近视转运策略在一些与实践相关的特殊情况下是最优的,并作为更一般情况下最优转运策略的下界。这一政策已被埃默里大学医院系统成功实施,导致血小板过期率降低了约20%。此外,本文还揭示了库存共享的存在如何影响最优订购数量,并提供了与现有的非易腐库存系统的发现有重大不同的见解。
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引用次数: 1
Equilibrium Identification and Selection in Finite Games 有限对策中的均衡辨识与选择
IF 0.7 4区 管理学 Q3 Engineering Pub Date : 2022-12-23 DOI: 10.1287/opre.2022.2413
Tobias Crönert, S. Minner
Decision-making under simultaneous competition Hardly any decision is made in isolation and most decision makers are dealing with fierce competition when trying to find the optimal decision for their problem. The expected outcome of such a competitive problem setting or the individually optimal course of action for each competitor is not evident. In a finite game, a finite set of decision makers simultaneously select their action from a finite set of strategies. In “Equilibrium identification and selection in finite games”, T. Crönert and S. Minner propose a solution approach enumerating all equilibria and selecting the most likely equilibrium in finite games. The approach is targeted toward large finite games that cannot be efficiently represented in normal form. They apply their algorithm to two- and three-player knapsack and facility location and design games. Their numerical experiments show that prior approaches identifying a single equilibrium can result in unlikely outcomes.
几乎没有任何决策是孤立地做出的,大多数决策者在寻求问题的最优决策时都面临着激烈的竞争。这种竞争性问题设置的预期结果或每个竞争者的个人最佳行动方案并不明显。在有限博弈中,有限组决策者同时从有限组策略中选择他们的行动。在“有限博弈中的均衡识别和选择”中,T. Crönert和S. Minner提出了一种枚举有限博弈中所有均衡并选择最可能均衡的解决方法。该方法针对的是无法以正常形式有效表示的大型有限博弈。他们将自己的算法应用到双人和三人背包和设施定位和设计游戏中。他们的数值实验表明,先前确定单一平衡的方法可能导致不太可能的结果。
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引用次数: 3
期刊
Military Operations Research
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