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A Thorough Comparison Between Independent Cascade and Susceptible-Infected-Recovered Models 独立级联模型与易感-感染-恢复模型的全面比较
Pub Date : 2024-08-21 DOI: arxiv-2408.11470
Panfeng Liu, Guoliang Qiu, Biaoshuai Tao, Kuan Yang
We study cascades in social networks with the independent cascade (IC) modeland the Susceptible-Infected-recovered (SIR) model. The well-studied IC modelfails to capture the feature of node recovery, and the SIR model is a variantof the IC model with the node recovery feature. In the SIR model, by computingthe probability that a node successfully infects another before its recoveryand viewing this probability as the corresponding IC parameter, the SIR modelbecomes an "out-going-edge-correlated" version of the IC model: the events ofthe infections along different out-going edges of a node become dependent inthe SIR model, whereas these events are independent in the IC model. In thispaper, we thoroughly compare the two models and examine the effect of thisextra dependency in the SIR model. By a carefully designed coupling argument,we show that the seeds in the IC model have a stronger influence spread thantheir counterparts in the SIR model, and sometimes it can be significantlystronger. Specifically, we prove that, given the same network, the same seedsets, and the parameters of the two models being set based on theabove-mentioned equivalence, the expected number of infected nodes at the endof the cascade for the IC model is weakly larger than that for the SIR model,and there are instances where this dominance is significant. We also study theinfluence maximization problem with the SIR model. We show that theabove-mentioned difference in the two models yields different seed-selectionstrategies, which motivates the design of influence maximization algorithmsspecifically for the SIR model. We design efficient approximation algorithmswith theoretical guarantees by adapting the reverse-reachable-set-basedalgorithms, commonly used for the IC model, to the SIR model.
我们用独立级联(IC)模型和易感-感染-恢复(SIR)模型来研究社交网络中的级联。已被广泛研究的 IC 模型未能捕捉到节点恢复的特征,而 SIR 模型是 IC 模型的一个变体,具有节点恢复的特征。在 SIR 模型中,通过计算一个节点在恢复之前成功感染另一个节点的概率,并将该概率视为相应的 IC 参数,SIR 模型成为 IC 模型的 "出边相关 "版本:在 SIR 模型中,节点不同出边的感染事件变得相互依赖,而在 IC 模型中,这些事件是独立的。在本文中,我们全面比较了这两种模型,并研究了 SIR 模型中这种额外依赖性的影响。通过精心设计的耦合论证,我们证明了 IC 模型中的种子比 SIR 模型中的种子具有更强的影响力传播,有时甚至强得多。具体来说,我们证明了在相同的网络、相同的种子集以及根据上述等价性设置两个模型的参数的情况下,IC 模型在级联结束时受感染节点的预期数量弱于 SIR 模型,而且在某些情况下这种优势是显著的。我们还研究了 SIR 模型的影响最大化问题。我们发现,上述两种模型的差异会产生不同的种子选择策略,这促使我们设计出专门针对 SIR 模型的影响力最大化算法。我们通过将常用于 IC 模型的基于反向可达集的算法调整到 SIR 模型,设计出了具有理论保证的高效近似算法。
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引用次数: 0
Impact of changing the wet deposition schemes in ldx on 137-cs atmosperic deposits after the fukushima accident 福岛核事故后改变ldx湿沉积方案对137-cs大气沉积物的影响
Pub Date : 2024-08-21 DOI: arxiv-2408.11460
Arnaud QuérelIRSN, IRSN/PSE-SANTE/SESUC/BMCA, Denis QuéloIRSN/PSE-SANTE/SESUC/BMCA, IRSN, Yelva RoustanCEREA, Anne MathieuIRSN, IRSN/PSE-SANTE/SESUC/BMCA, Mizuo KajinoMRI, Thomas SekiyamaMRI, Kouji AdachiMRI, Damien DidierIRSN, IRSN/PSE-SANTE/SESUC/BMCA, Yasuhito IgarashiMRI, Takashi MakiMRI
The Fukushima-Daiichi release of radioactivity is a relevant event to studythe atmospheric dispersion modelling of radionuclides. Actually, theatmospheric deposition onto the ground may be studied through the map ofmeasured Cs-137 established consecutively to the accident. The limits ofdetection were low enough to make the measurements possible as far as 250kmfrom the nuclear power plant. This large scale deposition has been modelledwith the Eulerian model ldX. However, several weeks of emissions in multipleweather conditions make it a real challenge. Besides, these measurements areaccumulated deposition of Cs-137 over the whole period and do not inform ofdeposition mechanisms involved: in-cloud, below-cloud, dry deposition. In aprevious study (Qu{'e}rel et al., 2016), a comprehensive sensitivity analysiswas performed in order to understand wet deposition mechanisms. It has beenshown that the choice of the wet deposition scheme has a strong impact onassessment of deposition patterns. Nevertheless, a ``best'' scheme could not behighlighted as it depends on the selected criteria: the ranking differsaccording to the statistical indicators considered (correlation, figure ofmerit in space and factor 2). A possibility to explain the difficulty todiscriminate between several schemes was the uncertainties in the modelling,resulting from the meteorological data for instance. Since the move of theplume is not properly modelled, the deposition processes are applied with aninaccurate activity concentration in the air. In the framework of the SAKURAproject, an MRI-IRSN collaboration, new meteorological fields at higherresolution (Sekiyama et al., 2013) were provided and allow to reconsider theprevious study. An update including these new meteorology data is presented. Inaddition, the focus is put on the deposition schemes commonly used in nuclearemergency context.
福岛第一核电站的放射性释放是研究放射性核素大气扩散模型的一个相关事件。实际上,可以通过事故发生后连续绘制的铯-137 测量图来研究地面的大气沉降。由于探测极限很低,因此可以在距离核电站 250 千米的地方进行测量。这种大规模沉积是用欧拉模型 ldX 模拟的。然而,在多种天气条件下进行数周的排放是一项真正的挑战。此外,这些测量结果是整个时期内 Cs-137 的累积沉积,并不能说明沉积机制:云中沉积、云下沉积、干沉积。在之前的研究(Qu{'e}rel 等人,2016 年)中,为了了解湿沉积机制,进行了全面的敏感性分析。研究表明,湿沉降方案的选择对沉降模式的评估有很大影响。然而,"最佳 "方案并不突出,因为它取决于所选的标准:根据所考虑的统计指标(相关性、空间中的概率和因子 2),排序是不同的。难以区分几种方案的一个可能原因是建模中的不确定性,例如气象数据造成的不确定性。由于没有正确模拟烟羽的移动,因此在应用沉积过程时,空气中的放射性浓度并不准确。在 MRI-IRSN 合作的 SAKURA 项目框架内,提供了更高分辨率的新气象场(Sekiyama 等人,2013 年),从而可以重新考虑之前的研究。本文介绍了包括这些新气象数据在内的最新情况。此外,还重点介绍了核紧急情况下常用的沉积方案。
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引用次数: 0
Diversity and stylization of the contemporary user-generated visual arts in the complexity-entropy plane 复杂-熵平面上当代用户生成视觉艺术的多样性和风格化
Pub Date : 2024-08-19 DOI: arxiv-2408.10356
Seunghwan Kim, Byunghwee Lee, Wonjae Lee
The advent of computational and numerical methods in recent times hasprovided new avenues for analyzing art historiographical narratives and tracingthe evolution of art styles therein. Here, we investigate an evolutionaryprocess underpinning the emergence and stylization of contemporaryuser-generated visual art styles using the complexity-entropy (C-H) plane,which quantifies local structures in paintings. Informatizing 149,780 imagescurated in DeviantArt and Behance platforms from 2010 to 2020, we analyze therelationship between local information of the C-H space and multi-level imagefeatures generated by a deep neural network and a feature extraction algorithm.The results reveal significant statistical relationships between the C-Hinformation of visual artistic styles and the dissimilarities of themulti-level image features over time within groups of artworks. By disclosing aparticular C-H region where the diversity of image representations isnoticeably manifested, our analyses reveal an empirical condition of emergingstyles that are both novel in the C-H plane and characterized by greaterstylistic diversity. Our research shows that visual art analyses combined withphysics-inspired methodologies and machine learning, can provide macroscopicinsights into quantitatively mapping relevant characteristics of anevolutionary process underpinning the creative stylization of uncharted visualarts of given groups and time.
近代计算和数值方法的出现为分析艺术史学叙事和追踪其中艺术风格的演变提供了新的途径。在此,我们使用量化绘画局部结构的复杂性熵(C-H)平面研究了当代用户生成的视觉艺术风格的出现和风格化的演变过程。我们利用 DeviantArt 和 Behance 平台从 2010 年到 2020 年收集的 149,780 张图片,分析了 C-H 空间的局部信息与深度神经网络和特征提取算法生成的多层次图像特征之间的关系。我们的分析通过揭示图像表现形式多样性明显体现的特定 C-H 区域,揭示了新出现的风格的经验条件,这些风格在 C-H 平面上既新颖,又具有更高的风格多样性特征。我们的研究表明,视觉艺术分析与物理学启发的方法论和机器学习相结合,可以提供宏观视角,定量绘制特定群体和时间的未知视觉艺术创意风格化进化过程的相关特征。
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引用次数: 0
Application of dual-sensitive decision mechanism based on queuing theory in airport taxi management 基于排队理论的双敏决策机制在机场出租车管理中的应用
Pub Date : 2024-08-18 DOI: arxiv-2408.11867
Fang He
With the rapid development of economy and global trade, flying hasincreasingly become the main way for people to travel, and taxi is the maintransfer tool of the airport, especially in the airport with wide passengersources and large passenger flow. However, at present, many large airports havethe phenomenon of low taxi load rate, unbalanced income and long waiting timefor passengers. Therefore, how can drivers make decisions to maximize theirbenefits, and how can management departments allocate resources and formulatemanagement systems to improve ride efficiency and balance drivers' benefitshave become urgent problems to be solved. This paper solves the above problemsby establishing the taxi driver dual-sensitive decision model, the longitudinaltaxi queuing model and the short-distance passenger re-return forced M/M/1queuing model.
随着经济和全球贸易的快速发展,乘坐飞机日益成为人们出行的主要方式,而出租车是机场最主要的换乘工具,尤其是在客源广、客流量大的机场。然而,目前很多大型机场都存在出租车载客率低、收入不平衡、乘客候车时间长等现象。因此,驾驶员如何决策才能使自身利益最大化,管理部门如何分配资源、制定管理制度才能提高乘车效率、平衡驾驶员利益,成为亟待解决的问题。本文通过建立出租车司机双敏决策模型、出租车纵向排队模型和短途乘客再返回强迫 M/M/1 排队模型来解决上述问题。
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引用次数: 0
Bringing Leaders of Network Sub-Groups Closer Together Does Not Facilitate Consensus 拉近网络分组领导人之间的距离无助于达成共识
Pub Date : 2024-08-17 DOI: arxiv-2408.09309
Matthew I. Jones, Nicholas A. Christakis
Consensus formation is a complex process, particularly in networked groups.When individuals are incentivized to dig in and refuse to compromise, leadersmay be essential to guiding the group to consensus. Specifically, the relativegeodesic position of leaders (which we use as a proxy for ease of communicationbetween leaders) could be important for reaching consensus. Additionally,groups searching for consensus can be confounded by noisy signals in whichindividuals are given false information about the actions of their fellow groupmembers. We tested the effects of the geodesic distance between leaders(geodesic distance ranging from 1-4) and of noise (noise levels at 0%, 5%, and10%) by recruiting participants (N=3,456) for a set of experiments (n=216groups). We find that noise makes groups less likely to reach consensus, andthe groups that do reach consensus take longer to find it. We find thatleadership changes the behavior of both leaders and followers in important ways(for instance, being labeled a leader makes people more likely to 'go with theflow'). However, we find no evidence that the distance between leaders is asignificant factor in the probability of reaching consensus. While othernetwork properties of leaders undoubtedly impact consensus formation, thedistance between leaders in network sub-groups appears not to matter.
共识的形成是一个复杂的过程,尤其是在网络群体中。当个体被激励坚持己见、拒绝妥协时,领导者可能是引导群体达成共识的关键。具体来说,领导者的相对位置(我们用它来代表领导者之间沟通的难易程度)可能对达成共识非常重要。此外,寻求共识的群体可能会受到嘈杂信号的干扰,在嘈杂信号中,个体会得到关于其同伴行动的错误信息。我们通过招募参与者(人数=3456)参加一组实验(人数=216 组),测试了领导者之间的大地距离(大地距离范围为 1-4)和噪音(噪音水平为 0%、5% 和 10%)的影响。我们发现,噪音会降低小组达成共识的可能性,而达成共识的小组需要更长的时间才能找到共识。我们发现,领导力会以重要的方式改变领导者和追随者的行为(例如,被贴上领导者的标签会让人们更愿意 "随大流")。但是,我们没有发现任何证据表明,领导者之间的距离是影响达成共识概率的重要因素。领导者的其他网络属性无疑会影响共识的形成,但网络子群中领导者之间的距离似乎并不重要。
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引用次数: 0
Social contagion under hybrid interactions 混合互动下的社会传染
Pub Date : 2024-08-09 DOI: arxiv-2408.05050
Xincheng Shu, Man Yang, Zhongyuan Ruan, Qi Xuan
Threshold-driven models and game theory are two fundamental paradigms fordescribing human interactions in social systems. However, in mimicking socialcontagion processes, models that simultaneously incorporate these twomechanisms have been largely overlooked. Here, we study a general model thatintegrates hybrid interaction forms by assuming that a part of nodes in anetwork are driven by the threshold mechanism, while the remaining nodesexhibit imitation behavior governed by their rationality (under thegame-theoretic framework). Our results reveal that the spreading dynamics aredetermined by the payoff of adoption. For positive payoffs, increasing thedensity of highly rational nodes can promote the adoption process, accompaniedby a hybrid phase transition. The degree of rationality can regulate thespreading speed, with less rational imitators slowing down the spread. Wefurther find that the results are opposite for negative payoffs of adoption.This model may provide valuable insights into understanding the complexdynamics of social contagion phenomena in real-world social networks.
阈值驱动模型和博弈论是描述社会系统中人类互动的两个基本范式。然而,在模仿社会传染过程中,同时包含这两种机制的模型在很大程度上被忽视了。在这里,我们研究了一个包含混合互动形式的一般模型,假设网络中的部分节点受阈值机制驱动,而其余节点则表现出受其理性支配的模仿行为(在博弈论框架下)。我们的研究结果表明,传播动态是由采用的报酬决定的。对于正报酬,增加高理性节点的密度可以促进采用过程,并伴随着混合阶段的转变。理性程度可以调节传播速度,理性程度较低的模仿者会减缓传播速度。我们进一步发现,在采用的负报酬情况下,结果恰恰相反。这个模型可以为理解现实世界社交网络中社会传染现象的复杂动力学提供有价值的见解。
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引用次数: 0
Higher-Order Temporal Network Prediction and Interpretation 高阶时态网络预测与解释
Pub Date : 2024-08-09 DOI: arxiv-2408.05165
H. A. Bart Peters, Alberto Ceria, Huijuan Wang
A social interaction (so-called higher-order event/interaction) can beregarded as the activation of the hyperlink among the correspondingindividuals. Social interactions can be, thus, represented as higher-ordertemporal networks, that record the higher-order events occurring at each timestep over time. The prediction of higher-order interactions is usuallyoverlooked in traditional temporal network prediction methods, where ahigher-order interaction is regarded as a set of pairwise interactions. Theprediction of future higher-order interactions is crucial to forecast andmitigate the spread the information, epidemics and opinion on higher-ordersocial contact networks. In this paper, we propose novel memory-based modelsfor higher-order temporal network prediction. By using these models, we aim topredict the higher-order temporal network one time step ahead, based on thenetwork observed in the past. Importantly, we also intent to understand whatnetwork properties and which types of previous interactions enable theprediction. The design and performance analysis of these models are supportedby our analysis of the memory property of networks, e.g., similarity of thenetwork and activity of a hyperlink over time respectively. Our models assumethat a target hyperlink's future activity (active or not) depends the pastactivity of the target link and of all or selected types of hyperlinks thatoverlap with the target. We then compare the performance of both models with abaseline utilizing a pairwise temporal network prediction method. In eightreal-world networks, we find that both models consistently outperform thebaseline and the refined model tends to perform the best. Our models alsoreveal how past interactions of the target hyperlink and different types ofhyperlinks that overlap with the target contribute to the prediction of thetarget's future activity.
社会互动(所谓的高阶事件/互动)可视为相应个体之间超链接的激活。因此,社会互动可以用高阶时态网络来表示,它记录了随着时间推移在每个时间步发生的高阶事件。在传统的时态网络预测方法中,高阶互动被视为一组配对互动,而高阶互动的预测通常被忽视。预测未来的高阶交互对于预测和缓解高阶社会接触网络中的信息传播、流行病和舆论至关重要。在本文中,我们提出了基于记忆的新型高阶时态网络预测模型。通过使用这些模型,我们旨在根据过去观察到的网络,提前一个时间步预测高阶时态网络。重要的是,我们还希望了解是哪些网络属性和哪些类型的先前交互促成了预测。这些模型的设计和性能分析得益于我们对网络记忆特性的分析,例如网络的相似性和超链接随时间变化的活动性。我们的模型假设目标超链接的未来活动(活跃与否)取决于目标链接以及与目标链接重叠的所有或选定类型超链接的过去活动性。然后,我们利用成对时态网络预测方法将这两种模型的性能与基准线进行了比较。在八个真实世界的网络中,我们发现这两个模型的性能始终优于基准线,而改进后的模型往往表现最佳。我们的模型还揭示了目标超链接和与目标重叠的不同类型超链接过去的交互如何有助于预测目标的未来活动。
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引用次数: 0
Eigenvector Localization and Universal Regime Transitions in Multiplex Networks: A Perturbative Approach 多路复用网络中的特征向量定位和普遍时态转换:惯性方法
Pub Date : 2024-08-08 DOI: arxiv-2408.04784
Joan Hernàndez Tey, Emanuele Cozzo
In this work, we investigate the transition between layer-localized anddelocalized regimes in a general contact-based social contagion model onmultiplex networks. We begin by analyzing the layer-localization todelocalization transition through the inverse participation ratio (IPR).Utilizing perturbation analysis, we derive a new analytical approximation forthe transition point and an expression for the IPR in the non-dominant layerwithin the localized regime. Additionally, we examine the transition from anon-dominant to a dominant regime, providing an analytical expression for thetransition point. These transitions are further explored and validated throughdynamical simulations.
在这项工作中,我们研究了多层网络上基于接触的一般社会传染模型中层定位和非定位状态之间的过渡。我们首先通过反参与比(IPR)分析了层局部化向局部化的过渡。利用扰动分析,我们推导出了过渡点的新分析近似值,以及局部化体系中非主导层 IPR 的表达式。此外,我们还研究了从非优势体系向优势体系的过渡,并给出了过渡点的分析表达式。我们还通过动力学模拟进一步探讨和验证了这些过渡。
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引用次数: 0
The role of central places in exposure segregation 中心场所在暴露隔离中的作用
Pub Date : 2024-08-08 DOI: arxiv-2408.04373
Andrew Renninger, Mateo Neira, Elsa Arcaute
Here we show that "exposure segregation" - the degree to which individuals ofone group are exposed to individuals of another in day-to-day mobility - isdependent on the structure of cities, and the importance of downtowns inparticular. Recent work uses aggregated data to claim that the location ofamenities can inhibit or facilitate interactions between groups: if a city isresidentially segregated, as many American cities are, then amenities betweensegregated communities should encourage them to mix. We show that therelationship between "bridging" amenities and socio-economic mixing breaks downwhen we examine the amenities themselves, rather than the urban aggregates. Forexample, restaurants with locations that suggest low expected mixing do not,much of the time, have low mixing: there is only a weak correlation betweenbridging and mixing at the level of the restaurant, despite a strongcorrelation at the level of the supermarket. This is because downtowns - andthe bundle of amenities that define them - tend not to be situated in bridgeareas but play an important role in drawing diverse groups together.
在这里,我们展示了 "暴露隔离"--一个群体的个体在日常流动中与另一个群体的个体接触的程度--取决于城市结构,尤其是市中心的重要性。最近的研究利用综合数据声称,便利设施的位置可以抑制或促进群体间的互动:如果一个城市像许多美国城市那样存在居住隔离,那么隔离社区之间的便利设施应该鼓励他们混合。我们的研究表明,当我们研究便利设施本身而不是城市总量时,"桥梁 "便利设施与社会经济混合之间的关系就会被打破。例如,餐馆的位置表明预期混合程度较低,但在很多情况下,混合程度并不低:尽管在超市层面上存在很强的相关性,但在餐馆层面上,"桥梁 "设施与混合程度之间只有很弱的相关性。这是因为市中心--以及决定市中心的一系列便利设施--往往并不位于桥区,而是在吸引不同群体聚集方面发挥着重要作用。
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引用次数: 0
Multi-scale structural complexity as a quantitative measure of visual complexity 将多尺度结构复杂性作为视觉复杂性的定量衡量标准
Pub Date : 2024-08-07 DOI: arxiv-2408.04076
Anna Kravchenko, Andrey A. Bagrov, Mikhail I. Katsnelson, Veronica Dudarev
While intuitive for humans, the concept of visual complexity is hard todefine and quantify formally. We suggest adopting the multi-scale structuralcomplexity (MSSC) measure, an approach that defines structural complexity of anobject as the amount of dissimilarities between distinct scales in itshierarchical organization. In this work, we apply MSSC to the case of visualstimuli, using an open dataset of images with subjective complexity scoresobtained from human participants (SAVOIAS). We demonstrate that MSSC correlateswith subjective complexity on par with other computational complexity measures,while being more intuitive by definition, consistent across categories ofimages, and easier to compute. We discuss objective and subjective elementsinherently present in human perception of complexity and the domains where thetwo are more likely to diverge. We show how the multi-scale nature of MSSCallows further investigation of complexity as it is perceived by humans.
虽然视觉复杂性的概念对人类来说很直观,但却很难正式定义和量化。我们建议采用多尺度结构复杂性(MSSC)测量方法,这种方法将物体的结构复杂性定义为其等级组织中不同尺度之间的差异量。在这项工作中,我们将 MSSC 应用于视觉刺激的情况,使用的是一个开放的图像数据集,该数据集带有从人类参与者那里获得的主观复杂性评分(SAVOIAS)。我们证明,MSSC 与主观复杂度的相关性与其他计算复杂度测量方法相当,同时其定义更加直观,在不同类别的图像中具有一致性,而且更易于计算。我们讨论了人类对复杂性感知中固有的客观和主观因素,以及两者更容易产生分歧的领域。我们展示了 MSS 的多尺度性质如何允许进一步研究人类感知的复杂性。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
arXiv - PHYS - Physics and Society
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