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Extended Glivenko–Cantelli theorem and L 1 strong consistency of innovation density estimator for time-varying semiparametric ARCH model 时变半参数ARCH模型创新密度估计的扩展Glivenko-Cantelli定理和L 1强相合性
IF 1.2 4区 数学 Q3 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2022-12-05 DOI: 10.1080/10485252.2022.2152813
Chen Zhong
ABSTRACT This paper extends the classical Glivenko–Cantelli theorem for the empirical cumulative distribution function based on the innovations in the ARCH model with a slowly time-varying trend. In this semiparametric time-varying model, strong consistency for the innovation density estimator via kernel smoothing method is established, given that the trend and ARCH parameter estimators meet some mild conditions. Besides, the strong consistency for the Gaussian quasi maximum likelihood estimator (QMLE) in the time-varying ARCH parameter is established as well. Moreover, in terms of the existence of the trend in the data, two major nonparametric trend estimators, B-spline and kernel estimators, are shown to be appropriate for the strong consistency results.
本文基于具有慢时变趋势的ARCH模型的创新,对经典的经验累积分布函数Glivenko-Cantelli定理进行了推广。在该半参数时变模型中,在趋势估计量和ARCH参数估计量满足一定温和条件的情况下,通过核平滑方法建立了创新密度估计量的强相合性。此外,还建立了时变ARCH参数下高斯拟极大似然估计的强相合性。此外,就数据中趋势的存在性而言,两种主要的非参数趋势估计量,b样条和核估计量,被证明适合于强一致性结果。
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引用次数: 1
A nonparametric discontinuity test of density using a beta kernel 用beta核进行密度的非参数不连续检验
IF 1.2 4区 数学 Q3 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2022-11-29 DOI: 10.1080/10485252.2022.2150766
Gaku Igarashi
In regression discontinuity design (RDD), the continuity of the density of a running variable is required. Hence, a discontinuity test of density is used for RDD. In previous studies, tests using difference estimators between the left- and right-hand limits of a density at a (potential) discontinuity point were suggested. In the present paper, a new discontinuity test based on direct density ratio estimation using a beta kernel is proposed. By using the ratio estimator in the proposed test statistic, rather than a difference estimator, the characteristic form of the asymptotic variance of the test statistic is obtained. Consequently, the power of the proposed test is shown to increase when used as a one-tailed test. Simulation studies illustrate the larger power of the proposed test when used as a one-tailed test.
在回归不连续设计(RDD)中,要求运行变量的密度具有连续性。因此,密度的不连续测试被用于RDD。在以前的研究中,建议使用密度在(潜在)不连续点的左极限和右极限之间的差估计量进行测试。本文提出了一种新的基于直接密度比估计的不连续检验方法。通过在所提出的检验统计量中使用比率估计量,而不是差分估计量,得到了检验统计量渐近方差的特征形式。因此,当作为单尾测试时,所提出的测试的功率会增加。仿真研究表明,当作为单尾检验时,所提出的检验具有更大的功效。
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引用次数: 0
Nonparametric regression with responses missing at random and the scale depending on auxiliary covariates 随机缺失响应的非参数回归和依赖于辅助协变量的尺度
IF 1.2 4区 数学 Q3 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2022-11-25 DOI: 10.1080/10485252.2022.2149749
Tian Jiang
Nonparametric regression with missing at random (MAR) responses, univariate regression component of interest, and the scale function depending on both the predictor and auxiliary covariates, is considered. The asymptotic theory suggests that both heteroscedasticity and MAR mechanism affect the sharp constant of the minimax mean integrated squared error (MISE) convergence. Our sharp minimax procedure is based on the estimation of unknown nuisance scale function, design density and availability likelihood. The estimator is adaptive to the missing mechanism and unknown smoothness of the estimated regression function. Simulation studies and real examples also justify practical feasibility of the proposed method for this complex regression setting.
考虑了随机缺失(MAR)响应的非参数回归,感兴趣的单变量回归成分以及依赖于预测变量和辅助协变量的尺度函数。渐近理论表明,异方差和MAR机制都影响最小最大平均积分平方误差(MISE)收敛的锐常数。我们的锐极小极大程序是基于对未知妨害尺度函数、设计密度和可用性可能性的估计。该估计器能够适应估计回归函数的缺失机制和未知平滑性。仿真研究和实际算例也证明了该方法对这种复杂回归设置的实际可行性。
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引用次数: 0
Estimation of linear transformation cure models with informatively interval-censored failure time data 具有信息间隔截短失效时间数据的线性变换模型的估计
IF 1.2 4区 数学 Q3 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2022-11-24 DOI: 10.1080/10485252.2022.2148667
Shuying Wang, Da Xu, Chunjie Wang, Jianguo Sun
Linear transformation models have been one type of models commonly used for regression analysis of failure time data partly due to their flexibility. More recently they have been generalised to the case where there may exist a cured subgroup or the censoring may be informative. In this paper, we consider a more complicated and general situation where both a cured subgroup and informative censoring, or more specifically informative interval censoring, exist. As pointed out in the literature, the analysis that fails to take into account either the cured subgroup or the informative censoring can yield biased estimation or misleading conclusions. For the problem, a three-component mixture cure model is presented and we develop a two-step estimation procedure with the use of B-splines to approximate unknown functions. The proposed approach is quite flexible and can be easily implemented. Also the proposed estimators of regression parameters are shown to be consistent and asymptotically normal. An extensive simulation study is conducted and suggests that the method works well for practical situations. Furthermore a real application is provided to illustrate the proposed methodology.
线性变换模型是一种常用的失效时间数据回归分析模型,部分原因是它的灵活性。最近,它们被推广到可能存在治愈的子群体或审查可能具有信息的情况。在本文中,我们考虑了一种更为复杂和一般的情况,即既存在固定子群又存在信息审查,或者更具体地说,存在信息区间审查。正如文献中所指出的那样,没有考虑到治愈亚群或信息审查的分析可能会产生有偏见的估计或误导性的结论。针对这一问题,我们提出了一个三组分混合模型,并利用b样条曲线对未知函数进行了两步估计。所提出的方法非常灵活,易于实现。此外,所提出的回归参数的估计量是一致的和渐近正态的。进行了大量的仿真研究,结果表明该方法在实际情况下效果良好。此外,还提供了一个实际应用来说明所提出的方法。
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引用次数: 1
The generalised MLE with truncated interval-censored data 截断间隔截尾数据的广义MLE
IF 1.2 4区 数学 Q3 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2022-11-22 DOI: 10.1080/10485252.2022.2147173
Qiqing Yu
The generalised maximum likelihood estimator (GMLE) of a survival function based on truncated interval-censored (TIC) data has been studied since 1990s (by Frydman, H. (1994), ‘A note on nonparametric estimation of the distribution function from interval censored and truncated data’, Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series B, 56, 71–74 among others). In the literature related to the GMLE based on TIC data, there are several issues that have not been properly settled in both methodology and theory including: (1) innermost intervals based on the TIC data are not correctly formulated and they lead to inconsistent estimators which are not the GMLE; and (2) the consistency of the GMLE has not been established. We settle these two issues in this paper. In particular, we specify the correct forms of innermost intervals and establish consistency results for the GMLE under a realistic model.
自20世纪90年代以来,基于截断区间截短(TIC)数据的生存函数的广义最大似然估计量(GMLE)已经被研究过(由Frydman, H.(1994),“关于区间截短和截断数据的分布函数的非参数估计的注释”,《皇家统计学会杂志》,B辑,56,71 - 74等)。在基于TIC数据的GMLE相关文献中,有几个问题在方法和理论上都没有得到很好的解决,包括:(1)基于TIC数据的最内层区间没有正确地表述,导致估计量不一致,这不是GMLE;(2) GMLE的一致性尚未建立。本文解决了这两个问题。特别地,我们指定了最内层区间的正确形式,并建立了实际模型下GMLE的一致性结果。
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引用次数: 0
Nonparametric estimation of isotropic covariance function 各向同性协方差函数的非参数估计
IF 1.2 4区 数学 Q3 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2022-11-22 DOI: 10.1080/10485252.2022.2146111
Yiming Wang, Sujit K. Ghosh
A nonparametric model using a sequence of Bernstein polynomials is constructed to approximate arbitrary isotropic covariance functions valid in and related approximation properties are investigated using the popular norm and norms. A computationally efficient sieve maximum likelihood (sML) estimation is then developed to nonparametrically estimate the unknown isotropic covariance function valid in . Consistency of the proposed sieve ML estimator is established under increasing domain regime. The proposed methodology is compared numerically with couple of existing nonparametric as well as with commonly used parametric methods. Numerical results based on simulated data show that our approach outperforms the parametric methods in reducing bias due to model misspecification and also the nonparametric methods in terms of having significantly lower values of expected and norms. Application to precipitation data is illustrated to showcase a real case study. Additional technical details and numerical illustrations are also made available.
利用Bernstein多项式序列构造了一个非参数模型来逼近任意有效的各向同性协方差函数,并利用常用范数和范数研究了相关的逼近性质。然后,提出了一种计算效率高的筛极大似然(sML)估计方法,用于非参数估计中有效的未知各向同性协方差函数。在递增域下,证明了所提筛ML估计的一致性。将该方法与现有的几种非参数方法以及常用的参数方法进行了数值比较。基于模拟数据的数值结果表明,我们的方法在减少由于模型错误规范引起的偏差方面优于参数方法,并且在期望值和规范值显着降低方面优于非参数方法。并举例说明了在降水数据中的应用,以展示一个实际案例研究。还提供了额外的技术细节和数字插图。
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引用次数: 0
A high-dimensional test for the k-sample Behrens–Fisher problem k-样本Behrens-Fisher问题的高维检验
IF 1.2 4区 数学 Q3 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2022-11-21 DOI: 10.1080/10485252.2022.2147172
Daojiang He, Huijun Shi, Kai Xu, M. Cao
In this paper, the problem of testing the equality of the mean vectors of k populations with possibly unknown and unequal covariance matrices is investigated in high-dimensional settings. The null distributions of most existing tests are asymptotically normal which inevitably imposes strong conditions on covariance matrices. However, we assume here only mild additional conditions on the proposed test, which offers much flexibility in practical applications. Additionally, the Welch–Satterthwaite -approximation we adopted can automatically mimic the shape of the null distribution of the proposed test statistic, while the normal approximation cannot achieve the adaptivity. Finally, an extensive simulation study shows that the proposed test has better performance on both size and power compared with existing methods.
本文研究了在高维环境下,k个具有可能未知的不相等协方差矩阵的总体的均值向量是否相等的检验问题。大多数现有检验的零分布是渐近正态的,这不可避免地对协方差矩阵施加了很强的条件。然而,我们在这里假设只有轻微的附加条件,建议的测试,这在实际应用中提供了很大的灵活性。此外,我们采用的Welch-Satterthwaite近似可以自动模拟所提出的检验统计量的零分布形状,而正态近似不能实现自适应。最后,大量的仿真研究表明,与现有的测试方法相比,所提出的测试方法在尺寸和功耗方面都具有更好的性能。
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引用次数: 0
Robust oracle estimation and uncertainty quantification for possibly sparse quantiles 可能稀疏分位数的稳健oracle估计和不确定性量化
IF 1.2 4区 数学 Q3 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2022-11-18 DOI: 10.1080/10485252.2023.2226779
E. Belitser, P. Serra, Alexandra G. J. Vegelien
A general many quantiles + noise model is studied in the robust formulation (allowing non-normal, non-independent observations), where the identifiability requirement for the noise is formulated in terms of quantiles rather than the traditional zero expectation assumption. We propose a penalization method based on the quantile loss function with appropriately chosen penalty function making inference on possibly sparse high-dimensional quantile vector. We apply a local approach to address the optimality by comparing procedures to the oracle sparsity structure. We establish that the proposed procedure mimics the oracle in the problems of estimation and uncertainty quantification (under the so called EBR condition). Adaptive minimax results over sparsity scale follow from our local results.
在鲁棒公式中研究了一般的多分位数+噪声模型(允许非正态、非独立的观测),其中噪声的可识别性要求是根据分位数而不是传统的零期望假设来制定的。提出了一种基于分位数损失函数的惩罚方法,选择适当的惩罚函数对可能稀疏的高维分位数向量进行推理。我们通过将过程与oracle稀疏性结构进行比较,采用局部方法来解决最优性问题。我们证明了所提出的方法在估计和不确定性量化问题中(在所谓的EBR条件下)是模拟oracle的。在稀疏度尺度上的自适应极大极小结果遵循我们的局部结果。
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引用次数: 0
Minimax estimation in multi-task regression under low-rank structures 低秩结构下多任务回归的极大极小估计
IF 1.2 4区 数学 Q3 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2022-11-17 DOI: 10.1080/10485252.2022.2146110
Kwan-Young Bak, J. Koo
This study investigates the minimaxity of a multi-task nonparametric regression problem. We formulate a simultaneous function estimation problem based on information pooling across multiple experiments under a low-dimensional structure. A nonparametric reduced rank regression estimator based on the nuclear norm penalisation scheme is proposed to incorporate the low-dimensional structure in the estimation process. A rank of a set of functions is defined in terms of their Fourier coefficients to formally characterise the dependence structure among functions. Minimax upper and lower bounds are established under various asymptotic scenarios to examine the role of the low-rank structure in determining optimal rates of convergence. The results confirm that exploiting the low-rank structure can significantly improve the convergence rate for the simultaneous estimation of multiple functions. The results also imply that the proposed estimator is rate optimal in the minimax sense for the rank-constraint Sobolev class of vector-valued functions.
本文研究了多任务非参数回归问题的极小性问题。在低维结构下,提出了一个基于多实验信息池的同时函数估计问题。提出了一种基于核范数惩罚方案的非参数降阶回归估计器,将低维结构纳入估计过程。一组函数的秩是用它们的傅里叶系数来定义的,以形式化地表征函数之间的依赖结构。在各种渐近情形下建立了极大极小上界和下界,以检验低秩结构在确定最优收敛速率中的作用。结果表明,利用低秩结构可以显著提高多函数同时估计的收敛速度。结果还表明,对于秩约束Sobolev类向量值函数,所提估计量在极小极大意义上是速率最优的。
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引用次数: 1
Functional linear model with partially observed covariate and missing values in the response 具有部分观测到的协变量和响应中缺失值的泛函线性模型
IF 1.2 4区 数学 Q3 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2022-11-11 DOI: 10.1080/10485252.2022.2142222
Christophe Crambes, Chayma Daayeb, A. Gannoun, Yousri Henchiri
Dealing with missing values is an important issue in data observation or data recording process. In this paper, we consider a functional linear regression model with partially observed covariate and missing values in the response. We use a reconstruction operator that aims at recovering the missing parts of the explanatory curves, then we are interested in regression imputation method of missing data on the response variable, using functional principal component regression to estimate the functional coefficient of the model. We study the asymptotic behaviour of the prediction error when missing data are replaced by the imputed values in the original dataset. The practical behaviour of the method is also studied on simulated data and a real dataset.
缺失值的处理是数据观测或记录过程中的一个重要问题。在本文中,我们考虑了一个响应中有部分观测协变量和缺失值的函数线性回归模型。我们使用了一个旨在恢复解释曲线缺失部分的重构算子,然后我们感兴趣的是缺失数据在响应变量上的回归imputation方法,使用函数主成分回归来估计模型的功能系数。我们研究了当缺失数据被原始数据集中的输入值所取代时预测误差的渐近行为。在模拟数据和实际数据集上研究了该方法的实际性能。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Journal of Nonparametric Statistics
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