Pub Date : 2024-08-22DOI: 10.1016/j.ijepes.2024.110188
This paper proposes a new solution for the classification of short-circuits in medium-voltage distribution grids. The solution requires the measurements of the phase voltages at the time of the short-circuit and the voltage amplitudes of the short-circuit wave resulting from the fault. The values of the voltage before the short-circuit are used to calculate the expected values of the short-circuit wave amplitudes for the different types of short circuits. These calculations are based on an analysis of the charge flow between the capacitances of the power line due to the disturbance. The short-time matrix pencil method was used to detect the incoming short-circuit waves. Tests of the algorithm were carried out on the IEEE 34-bus Feeder model, taking into account the influence of voltage sensors on the measured signal values. The classification algorithm uses only non-zero components due to their relatively low attenuation. Despite that, it achieves high performance in the classification of single- and two-phase short-circuits.
{"title":"Prediction of amplitude of fault generated travelling wave in medium-voltage grids for fault type classification","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.ijepes.2024.110188","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ijepes.2024.110188","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This paper proposes a new solution for the classification of short-circuits in medium-voltage distribution grids. The solution requires the measurements of the phase voltages at the time of the short-circuit and the voltage amplitudes of the short-circuit wave resulting from the fault. The values of the voltage before the short-circuit are used to calculate the expected values of the short-circuit wave amplitudes for the different types of short circuits. These calculations are based on an analysis of the charge flow between the capacitances of the power line due to the disturbance. The short-time matrix pencil method was used to detect the incoming short-circuit waves. Tests of the algorithm were carried out on the IEEE 34-bus Feeder model, taking into account the influence of voltage sensors on the measured signal values. The classification algorithm uses only non-zero components due to their relatively low attenuation. Despite that, it achieves high performance in the classification of single- and two-phase short-circuits.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":50326,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Electrical Power & Energy Systems","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":5.0,"publicationDate":"2024-08-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0142061524004095/pdfft?md5=faea8e7cbfe4782925c71c5d41d9f335&pid=1-s2.0-S0142061524004095-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142044676","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-08-20DOI: 10.1016/j.ijepes.2024.110154
In this study, the potential of cascading failure as a result of transmission line outages through large power systems is evaluated. Transmission lines are more dispose of the outage resulting from different fault occurrences and extend the uncontrolled failures compared to other power system devices. In this case, power system dynamic security must evaluate the possibility of cascading failures using a power system control center (PSCC) in order to limit the spread of outages caused by line failures. For this issue, using the PSCC online information consisting of power system operating variables, it is possible to present a variables-based scheme to estimate power system cascading failures concerning fault events. In order to cover the issue, based on developing a set of dominant operating variables (DOVs), this paper presents an online scheme of identifying cascading failures caused by line outages in the presence of line operational diversities and communication restrictions. In this scenario, during each time interval, by evaluating the proposed DOVs, the line information consisting of dynamic securities and sensitivities to cascading failure are investigated which the lines with the potential of cascading failures are identified online. Proper DOVs are determined for this issue by studying a variety of mathematical formulations according to theory of mutual information (MI) and measuring the entropy among the variables. In a real-time environment, by using the proposed DOVs and substituting them through online boundary equations based on the Least Square Error (LSE) method, the potentials of power system cascading failures without acting any line outage are provided. The effectiveness of the suggested technique is evaluated using a typical IEEE-39 bus and IEEE-118 bus, and proper results with high accuracy are achieved by evaluating the system potential concerning large cascading failures.
{"title":"Identifying the dominant operating variables to evaluate the cascading failure potential in the power system by theory of mutual information","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.ijepes.2024.110154","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ijepes.2024.110154","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>In this study, the potential of cascading failure as a result of transmission line outages through large power systems is evaluated. Transmission lines are more dispose of the outage resulting from different fault occurrences and extend the uncontrolled failures compared to other power system devices. In this case, power system dynamic security must evaluate the possibility of cascading failures using a power system control center (PSCC) in order to limit the spread of outages caused by line failures. For this issue, using the PSCC online information consisting of power system operating variables, it is possible to present a variables-based scheme to estimate power system cascading failures concerning fault events. In order to cover the issue, based on developing a set of dominant operating variables (DOVs), this paper presents an online scheme of identifying cascading failures caused by line outages in the presence of line operational diversities and communication restrictions. In this scenario, during each time interval, by evaluating the proposed DOVs, the line information consisting of dynamic securities and sensitivities to cascading failure are investigated which the lines with the potential of cascading failures are identified online. Proper DOVs are determined for this issue by studying a variety of mathematical formulations according to theory of mutual information (MI) and measuring the entropy among the variables. In a real-time environment, by using the proposed DOVs and substituting them through online boundary equations based on the Least Square Error (LSE) method, the potentials of power system cascading failures without acting any line outage are provided. The effectiveness of the suggested technique is evaluated using a typical IEEE-39 bus and IEEE-118 bus, and proper results with high accuracy are achieved by evaluating the system potential concerning large cascading failures.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":50326,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Electrical Power & Energy Systems","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":5.0,"publicationDate":"2024-08-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0142061524003752/pdfft?md5=56364c9200f479ac55590d22b5ac2d70&pid=1-s2.0-S0142061524003752-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142011744","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-08-20DOI: 10.1016/j.ijepes.2024.110185
This paper presents an analytical study for short-term voltage stability based on a novel indicator. First, it is shown that the reduced Jacobian matrix of network equations can be transformed to obtain an approximately symmetric matrix which is usually positive definite when the system under study is stable. The minimum eigenvalue of the matrix is suggested as a short-term Voltage Solvability Indicator (VSI). Then, properties of the reduced conductive matrix and susceptance matrix which have significant impacts on VSI are examined. The focus of the study is power systems with multiple constant power injections, while VSI can also be applied to analyze the impact of generic power system models. It is shown that as the penetration level of constant power injections increases, VSI decreases and the system becomes more vulnerable to voltage collapse. Finally, the relationship between the eigenvalues of the reduced Jacobian matrix and the structure-preserving Jacobian matrix is established. As a result, the suggested VSI can be efficiently computed by exploring the sparsity of structure-preserving Jacobian matrix of network equations. Case studies of several test systems including a simplified 575-machine 8117-bus East China power system are reported, demonstrating the effectiveness and practicability of the proposed method.
本文基于一种新型指标,对短期电压稳定性进行了分析研究。首先,本文证明了网络方程的雅各布矩阵可以通过变换得到一个近似对称矩阵,当所研究的系统稳定时,该矩阵通常为正定矩阵。建议将矩阵的最小特征值作为短期电压可解性指标(VSI)。然后,研究了对 VSI 有重大影响的减导矩阵和感抗矩阵的特性。研究的重点是具有多个恒定功率注入的电力系统,而 VSI 也可用于分析一般电力系统模型的影响。结果表明,随着恒功率注入的渗透水平增加,VSI 会下降,系统更容易出现电压崩溃。最后,建立了还原雅各布矩阵特征值与结构保持雅各布矩阵特征值之间的关系。因此,通过探索网络方程的结构保留雅各布矩阵的稀疏性,可以有效计算建议的 VSI。报告了几个测试系统的案例研究,包括一个简化的 575 台机器的 8117 总线华东电力系统,证明了所提方法的有效性和实用性。
{"title":"Short-term voltage stability analysis in power systems: A voltage solvability indicator","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.ijepes.2024.110185","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ijepes.2024.110185","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This paper presents an analytical study for short-term voltage stability based on a novel indicator. First, it is shown that the reduced Jacobian matrix of network equations can be transformed to obtain an approximately symmetric matrix which is usually positive definite when the system under study is stable. The minimum eigenvalue of the matrix is suggested as a short-term Voltage Solvability Indicator (<em>VSI</em>). Then, properties of the reduced conductive matrix and susceptance matrix which have significant impacts on <em>VSI</em> are examined. The focus of the study is power systems with multiple constant power injections, while <em>VSI</em> can also be applied to analyze the impact of generic power system models. It is shown that as the penetration level of constant power injections increases, <em>VSI</em> decreases and the system becomes more vulnerable to voltage collapse. Finally, the relationship between the eigenvalues of the reduced Jacobian matrix and the structure-preserving Jacobian matrix is established. As a result, the suggested <em>VSI</em> can be efficiently computed by exploring the sparsity of structure-preserving Jacobian matrix of network equations. Case studies of several test systems including a simplified 575-machine 8117-bus East China power system are reported, demonstrating the effectiveness and practicability of the proposed method.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":50326,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Electrical Power & Energy Systems","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":5.0,"publicationDate":"2024-08-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S014206152400406X/pdfft?md5=d28d1ac58d04719bed070441688be41f&pid=1-s2.0-S014206152400406X-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142011255","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-08-17DOI: 10.1016/j.ijepes.2024.110187
Hybrid HVDC transmission technology advancement has led to significant progress. A reliable and effective DC line protection scheme is crucial for DC transmission systems. The traditional protection schemes suffer from insufficient sensitivity and reliability during high-impedance faults on DC lines. To address the issue, this study introduces a hybrid HVDC line single-ended protection scheme based on the coordination of converter control objectives. In the fault-ride-through(FRT) stage, different control strategies and objectives are applied to the converter based on the fault pole and fault direction identification results. Internal and external faults are discerned by calculating measured voltage with the coordination of the converter control objective. This approach maintains heightened sensitivity to high-impedance DC line faults. Moreover, it operates independently of double-ended communication and demands a low sampling rate. Extensive simulation results robustly substantiate the efficacy of the proposed protection scheme.
{"title":"A single-ended high-impedance fault protection scheme for hybrid HVDC transmission lines based on coordination of control objective","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.ijepes.2024.110187","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ijepes.2024.110187","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Hybrid HVDC transmission technology advancement has led to significant progress. A reliable and effective DC line protection scheme is crucial for DC transmission systems. The traditional protection schemes suffer from insufficient sensitivity and reliability during high-impedance faults on DC lines. To address the issue, this study introduces a hybrid HVDC line single-ended protection scheme based on the coordination of converter control objectives. In the fault-ride-through(FRT) stage, different control strategies and objectives are applied to the converter based on the fault pole and fault direction identification results. Internal and external faults are discerned by calculating measured voltage with the coordination of the converter control objective. This approach maintains heightened sensitivity to high-impedance DC line faults. Moreover, it operates independently of double-ended communication and demands a low sampling rate. Extensive simulation results robustly substantiate the efficacy of the proposed protection scheme.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":50326,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Electrical Power & Energy Systems","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":5.0,"publicationDate":"2024-08-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0142061524004083/pdfft?md5=325aec0698f6a565fea2d2efd6d435ee&pid=1-s2.0-S0142061524004083-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141997637","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-08-17DOI: 10.1016/j.ijepes.2024.110189
For DC grid based on the hybrid modular multilevel converter (MMC), the traditional DC fault current clearance scheme takes a long time and greatly affects the active power transmission. A novel DC fault current clearance coordinated control strategy is proposed, which can quickly interrupt the fault current and reduce the impact of DC fault on the DC grid and AC system. For fault-line connected MMC (FLMMC), a negative DC voltage control is employed, which can improve the current attenuation speed and ensure reliable fault isolation. For non-fault-line connected MMC (NFLMMC), the active current-limiting control (ACLC) based on the virtual reactor is adopted, which can reduce the current flow to the fault location and further shorten fault isolation time. To reduce the impact on the AC system during the DC fault, a short-time active power support control is designed. Finally, a four-terminal DC grid simulation model is built based on the RT-LAB OP5600 real-time digital simulation platform. The simulation results show that the proposed coordinated control strategy for the DC grid can quickly clear DC fault current, shorten DC fault isolation time, and strengthen active power support capability.
{"title":"DC fault current clearance coordinated control strategy for DC grid with hybrid MMC","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.ijepes.2024.110189","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ijepes.2024.110189","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>For DC grid based on the hybrid modular multilevel converter (MMC), the traditional DC fault current clearance scheme takes a long time and greatly affects the active power transmission. A novel DC fault current clearance coordinated control strategy is proposed, which can quickly interrupt the fault current and reduce the impact of DC fault on the DC grid and AC system. For fault-line connected MMC (FLMMC), a negative DC voltage control is employed, which can improve the current attenuation speed and ensure reliable fault isolation. For non-fault-line connected MMC (NFLMMC), the active current-limiting control (ACLC) based on the virtual reactor is adopted, which can reduce the current flow to the fault location and further shorten fault isolation time. To reduce the impact on the AC system during the DC fault, a short-time active power support control is designed. Finally, a four-terminal DC grid simulation model is built based on the RT-LAB OP5600 real-time digital simulation platform. The simulation results show that the proposed coordinated control strategy for the DC grid can quickly clear DC fault current, shorten DC fault isolation time, and strengthen active power support capability.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":50326,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Electrical Power & Energy Systems","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":5.0,"publicationDate":"2024-08-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0142061524004101/pdfft?md5=82d708e3cf033d1b4e4858024ac5b97f&pid=1-s2.0-S0142061524004101-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141997639","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-08-17DOI: 10.1016/j.ijepes.2024.110167
The non-convexity of the Optimal Power Flow (OPF) feasible region complicates the solution process and affects the applicability of various optimization techniques, which is crucial for understanding the OPF problem. This paper systematically investigates the non-convexity properties of the AC OPF feasible (power) injection region (FIR) and identifies key factors influencing its non-convexity from both analytical and numerical perspectives. Specifically, a necessary condition for FIR convexity and a sufficient condition for FIR non-convexity are derived. Based on these findings, it is concluded that the feasible region of ACOPF is inherently non-convex, with network losses playing a significant role. To avoid misjudgment of non-convexity, a non-convexity degree index for the FIR is introduced, and a numerical method to compute it is proposed. Numerical results on 9-bus and 57-bus systems indicate that the non-convexity degree of a lossless FIR is 0, whereas for a lossy FIR, it ranges from 70% to 100%. Furthermore, factors contributing to non-convexity and their impact on the location of the optimal solution and the effectiveness of convex relaxation methods (CRMs) are discussed. The numerical results demonstrate that for the same system, the optimality gap of CRMs can be as low as 0.02% in lossless networks but increases to 0.28% or more in lossy networks. These findings elucidate the relationship between network losses and the optimality gap of CRMs, providing deeper insights into the characteristics of the ACOPF problem.
最佳功率流(OPF)可行区域的非凸性使求解过程变得复杂,并影响各种优化技术的适用性,这对理解 OPF 问题至关重要。本文系统地研究了交流 OPF 可行(功率)注入区域(FIR)的非凸特性,并从分析和数值角度找出了影响其非凸性的关键因素。具体而言,本文得出了 FIR 凸性的必要条件和 FIR 非凸性的充分条件。基于这些发现,我们得出结论,ACOPF 的可行区域本质上是非凸的,其中网络损耗起着重要作用。为避免对非凸度的误判,引入了 FIR 的非凸度指数,并提出了计算该指数的数值方法。9 总线和 57 总线系统的数值结果表明,无损 FIR 的非凸度为 0,而有损 FIR 的非凸度在 70% 到 100% 之间。此外,还讨论了导致非凸的因素及其对最优解位置和凸松弛方法(CRM)有效性的影响。数值结果表明,对于同一系统,在无损网络中,CRM 的最优性差距可低至 0.02%,但在有损网络中,这一差距可增至 0.28% 或更高。这些发现阐明了网络损耗与 CRM 最佳间隙之间的关系,为深入了解 ACOPF 问题的特征提供了依据。
{"title":"On the nonconvex feasible region of optimal power flow: Theory, degree, and impacts","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.ijepes.2024.110167","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ijepes.2024.110167","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The non-convexity of the Optimal Power Flow (OPF) feasible region complicates the solution process and affects the applicability of various optimization techniques, which is crucial for understanding the OPF problem. This paper systematically investigates the non-convexity properties of the AC OPF feasible (power) injection region (FIR) and identifies key factors influencing its non-convexity from both analytical and numerical perspectives. Specifically, a necessary condition for FIR convexity and a sufficient condition for FIR non-convexity are derived. Based on these findings, it is concluded that the feasible region of ACOPF is inherently non-convex, with network losses playing a significant role. To avoid misjudgment of non-convexity, a non-convexity degree index for the FIR is introduced, and a numerical method to compute it is proposed. Numerical results on 9-bus and 57-bus systems indicate that the non-convexity degree of a lossless FIR is 0, whereas for a lossy FIR, it ranges from 70% to 100%. Furthermore, factors contributing to non-convexity and their impact on the location of the optimal solution and the effectiveness of convex relaxation methods (CRMs) are discussed. The numerical results demonstrate that for the same system, the optimality gap of CRMs can be as low as 0.02% in lossless networks but increases to 0.28% or more in lossy networks. These findings elucidate the relationship between network losses and the optimality gap of CRMs, providing deeper insights into the characteristics of the ACOPF problem.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":50326,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Electrical Power & Energy Systems","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":5.0,"publicationDate":"2024-08-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0142061524003880/pdfft?md5=96d1a5ad0b123e2939fa2731e0e7d2cc&pid=1-s2.0-S0142061524003880-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141997638","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-08-16DOI: 10.1016/j.ijepes.2024.110177
Electricity price forecasting (EPF) is a complex task due to market volatility and nonlinearity, which cause rapid and unpredictable fluctuations and introduce heteroscedasticity in forecasting. These factors result in varying prediction errors over time, making it difficult for models to capture stable patterns and leading to poor performance. This study introduces the Heteroscedastic Temporal Convolutional Network (HeTCN), a novel Encoder-Decoder framework designed for day-ahead EPF. HeTCN utilizes a Temporal Convolutional Network (TCN) to capture long-term dependencies and cyclical patterns in electricity prices. A key innovation is the heteroscedastic output layer, which directly represents variable uncertainty, enhancing performance under fluctuating market conditions. Additionally, a multi-view feature selection algorithm identifies crucial factors for specific periods, improving forecast precision. The framework employs an improved loss function based on maximum likelihood estimation (MLE), which adjusts for the heteroscedastic nature of electricity prices by predicting both the mean and variance of the price distribution. This approach mitigates the impact of extreme price spikes and reduces overfitting, resulting in robust and reliable predictions. Comprehensive evaluations demonstrate HeTCN’s superiority over existing solutions such as DeepAR and the Temporal Fusion Transformer (TFT), with average improvements of 25.3%, 24.9%, and 17.4% in the mean absolute error (MAE), symmetric mean absolute percentage error (sMAPE), and the root of mean squared error (RMSE) compared to DeepAR, and 17.6%, 14.4%, and 13.6% relative to TFT across five distinct electricity markets. These results underscore HeTCN’s effectiveness in managing volatility and heteroscedasticity, marking a significant advancement in electricity price forecasting.
{"title":"A robust electricity price forecasting framework based on heteroscedastic temporal Convolutional Network","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.ijepes.2024.110177","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ijepes.2024.110177","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Electricity price forecasting (EPF) is a complex task due to market volatility and nonlinearity, which cause rapid and unpredictable fluctuations and introduce heteroscedasticity in forecasting. These factors result in varying prediction errors over time, making it difficult for models to capture stable patterns and leading to poor performance. This study introduces the Heteroscedastic Temporal Convolutional Network (HeTCN), a novel Encoder-Decoder framework designed for day-ahead EPF. HeTCN utilizes a Temporal Convolutional Network (TCN) to capture long-term dependencies and cyclical patterns in electricity prices. A key innovation is the heteroscedastic output layer, which directly represents variable uncertainty, enhancing performance under fluctuating market conditions. Additionally, a multi-view feature selection algorithm identifies crucial factors for specific periods, improving forecast precision. The framework employs an improved loss function based on maximum likelihood estimation (MLE), which adjusts for the heteroscedastic nature of electricity prices by predicting both the mean and variance of the price distribution. This approach mitigates the impact of extreme price spikes and reduces overfitting, resulting in robust and reliable predictions. Comprehensive evaluations demonstrate HeTCN’s superiority over existing solutions such as DeepAR and the Temporal Fusion Transformer (TFT), with average improvements of 25.3%, 24.9%, and 17.4% in the mean absolute error (MAE), symmetric mean absolute percentage error (sMAPE), and the root of mean squared error (RMSE) compared to DeepAR, and 17.6%, 14.4%, and 13.6% relative to TFT across five distinct electricity markets. These results underscore HeTCN’s effectiveness in managing volatility and heteroscedasticity, marking a significant advancement in electricity price forecasting.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":50326,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Electrical Power & Energy Systems","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":5.0,"publicationDate":"2024-08-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0142061524003983/pdfft?md5=08810358ed41fd50454ad61f3855eac3&pid=1-s2.0-S0142061524003983-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141993810","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-08-16DOI: 10.1016/j.ijepes.2024.110174
In future integrated electricity-natural gas distribution systems (IEGDS), hydrogen and methane converted from excessive renewable generation will be mixed with natural gas to form hydrogen enriched compressed natural gas (HCNG) for fewer carbon emissions. Consequently, optimal planning of the HCNG-integrated IEGDS plays an essential role in increasing the economy and technical benefits. However, integrating HCNG operation into the planning of IEGDS still has many challenges, such as unrealistic modeling, nonlinear constraints, and the potential risk of voltage violations. The purpose of this paper is to develop a tractable optimization model for planning and operation of the HCNG-integrated IEGDS, aiming to minimize the investment and operating cost, reduce the voltage violation, and improve the renewable power penetration rate. To achieve this, a bilevel optimization model is developed for optimal planning of wind turbines and soft open points (SOPs) in the IEGDS considering comprehensive HCNG operation, in which both hydrogen and methane injection are considered and optimized for different system operation scenarios. Furthermore, the proposed nonlinear model is reformulated to a tractable bilevel mixed-integer second-order cone model using several reformulation techniques and solved by the reformulation and decomposition algorithm. Case studies, performed using the publicly available datasets, are conducted to demonstrate the economic and technical improvement by implementing the proposed planning model. The annual planning results show that incorporating the coordination between SOPs and methane injection results in a 6.77% reduction in investment cost, a 22.64% reduction in operating cost, a 62.69% decrease in voltage violation, and a 23.58% increase in the wind power penetration rate. Moreover, SOPs are more applicable to the safe operation of the IEGDS under high energy load conditions.
{"title":"Optimal planning of integrated electricity-natural gas distribution systems with hydrogen enriched compressed natural gas operation","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.ijepes.2024.110174","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ijepes.2024.110174","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>In future integrated electricity-natural gas distribution systems (IEGDS), hydrogen and methane converted from excessive renewable generation will be mixed with natural gas to form hydrogen enriched compressed natural gas (HCNG) for fewer carbon emissions. Consequently, optimal planning of the HCNG-integrated IEGDS plays an essential role in increasing the economy and technical benefits. However, integrating HCNG operation into the planning of IEGDS still has many challenges, such as unrealistic modeling, nonlinear constraints, and the potential risk of voltage violations. The purpose of this paper is to develop a tractable optimization model for planning and operation of the HCNG-integrated IEGDS, aiming to minimize the investment and operating cost, reduce the voltage violation, and improve the renewable power penetration rate. To achieve this, a bilevel optimization model is developed for optimal planning of wind turbines and soft open points (SOPs) in the IEGDS considering comprehensive HCNG operation, in which both hydrogen and methane injection are considered and optimized for different system operation scenarios. Furthermore, the proposed nonlinear model is reformulated to a tractable bilevel mixed-integer second-order cone model using several reformulation techniques and solved by the reformulation and decomposition algorithm. Case studies, performed using the publicly available datasets, are conducted to demonstrate the economic and technical improvement by implementing the proposed planning model. The annual planning results show that incorporating the coordination between SOPs and methane injection results in a 6.77% reduction in investment cost, a 22.64% reduction in operating cost, a 62.69% decrease in voltage violation, and a 23.58% increase in the wind power penetration rate. Moreover, SOPs are more applicable to the safe operation of the IEGDS under high energy load conditions.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":50326,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Electrical Power & Energy Systems","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":5.0,"publicationDate":"2024-08-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0142061524003958/pdfft?md5=760f131893bb2f9c9c80736c01a5b31a&pid=1-s2.0-S0142061524003958-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141993812","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-08-16DOI: 10.1016/j.ijepes.2024.110181
As the frequency of extreme weather events continues to rise, there is an urgent need to strengthen the safe and stable operation of active distribution networks (ADNs), and it is of great value to establish highly resilient ADNs to withstand multi-faults caused by extreme weather events. This paper proposes a multi-period restoration approach for the resilience increase of ADNs by considering fault rapid recovery and component repair under typhoon disasters. Firstly, based on the structural reliability theory, the failure rate model of the main components is established, and in light of the system information entropy, the typical fault scenario selection strategy is designed to determine the branches with high fault probability. Then, according to the fault islanding division and network reconfiguration, a fault rapid recovery method is suggested for the ADNs, where the impact of typhoon disasters on the output features of distributed generators (DGs) are taken into account, and meanwhile, the network structure and the output power of the DGs are jointly optimized to minimize the operating cost of the ADNs. Further, a fault component repair model is formulated by adopting the adaptive ant colony algorithm, and a multi-period restoration approach is proposed for the ADNs to fulfill a rolling optimization of the network reconfiguration and fault component repair. The improved IEEE 33-node and IEEE 118-node systems are used for the approach verification, and the results show that the proposed approach can effectively improve the overall load restoration level and increase the component repair efficiency. Following a multi-criteria resilience evaluation system, the proposed approach enables the ADNs to more effectively withstand typhoon disasters, offering a resilience increase of 6.93 % and 32.24 % regarding the 33-node and 118-node systems.
{"title":"A multi-period restoration approach for resilience increase of active distribution networks by considering fault rapid recovery and component repair","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.ijepes.2024.110181","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ijepes.2024.110181","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>As the frequency of extreme weather events continues to rise, there is an urgent need to strengthen the safe and stable operation of active distribution networks (ADNs), and it is of great value to establish highly resilient ADNs to withstand multi-faults caused by extreme weather events. This paper proposes a multi-period restoration approach for the resilience increase of ADNs by considering fault rapid recovery and component repair under typhoon disasters. Firstly, based on the structural reliability theory, the failure rate model of the main components is established, and in light of the system information entropy, the typical fault scenario selection strategy is designed to determine the branches with high fault probability. Then, according to the fault islanding division and network reconfiguration, a fault rapid recovery method is suggested for the ADNs, where the impact of typhoon disasters on the output features of distributed generators (DGs) are taken into account, and meanwhile, the network structure and the output power of the DGs are jointly optimized to minimize the operating cost of the ADNs. Further, a fault component repair model is formulated by adopting the adaptive ant colony algorithm, and a multi-period restoration approach is proposed for the ADNs to fulfill a rolling optimization of the network reconfiguration and fault component repair. The improved IEEE 33-node and IEEE 118-node systems are used for the approach verification, and the results show that the proposed approach can effectively improve the overall load restoration level and increase the component repair efficiency. Following a multi-criteria resilience evaluation system, the proposed approach enables the ADNs to more effectively withstand typhoon disasters, offering a resilience increase of 6.93 % and 32.24 % regarding the 33-node and 118-node systems.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":50326,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Electrical Power & Energy Systems","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":5.0,"publicationDate":"2024-08-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0142061524004022/pdfft?md5=032b6529549f11421c80f70e43395985&pid=1-s2.0-S0142061524004022-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141993811","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-08-15DOI: 10.1016/j.ijepes.2024.110178
This paper introduces a comprehensive and resilient multi-energy system (MES) designed for independent planning and real-time implementation. A robust daily coordinated planning model is proposed, incorporating adjustable optimization with fundamental operational and uncertainty constraints. The model integrates various energy sources and systems, including photovoltaics, wind turbines, combined heat and power (CHP) units, energy storage system (ESS), electric vehicle (EV), electric boilers, and power-to-gas (P2G) facilities, to manage electricity, natural gas, and heat demands. The objective is to minimize MES operational costs while meeting electricity and heat requirements, considering renewable energy uncertainties. It includes the development of a two-stage flexible robust optimization model that accounts for energy equilibrium, capacity constraints, and demand response mechanisms. The model incorporates price-based demand response with both switchable and interruptible loads, enhancing system controllability and flexibility. Additionally, a scenario generation and reduction technique based on the Kantorovich distance is employed to effectively manage forecast errors and uncertainties. A novel modified Slime Mold Algorithm (SMA) is utilized to solve the optimization problem, demonstrating superior convergence and computational efficiency compared to traditional meta-heuristics. The slime mold algorithm is further enhanced with chaos theory, using a sine map to introduce dynamic exploration capabilities. The findings indicate that the proposed multi-energy system model effectively balances electricity, natural gas, and heat loads while accommodating renewable energy fluctuations. The enhanced slime mold algorithm provides optimal solutions swiftly, ensuring reliable and cost-effective multi-energy system operation.
本文介绍了一种为独立规划和实时实施而设计的综合性弹性多能源系统(MES)。本文提出了一种稳健的日常协调规划模型,将可调优化与基本运行和不确定性约束结合在一起。该模型集成了各种能源和系统,包括光伏、风力涡轮机、热电联产(CHP)机组、储能系统(ESS)、电动汽车(EV)、电锅炉和电转燃气(P2G)设施,以管理电力、天然气和热能需求。目标是在满足电力和热能需求的同时,考虑到可再生能源的不确定性,最大限度地降低 MES 的运营成本。它包括开发一个两阶段灵活稳健优化模型,该模型考虑了能源平衡、容量限制和需求响应机制。该模型将基于价格的需求响应与可切换和可中断负荷相结合,增强了系统的可控性和灵活性。此外,还采用了基于 Kantorovich 距离的情景生成和缩减技术,以有效管理预测误差和不确定性。与传统的元启发式算法相比,该算法具有更高的收敛性和计算效率。利用正弦图引入动态探索功能,混沌理论进一步增强了粘菌算法。研究结果表明,所提出的多能源系统模型能有效平衡电力、天然气和热负荷,同时兼顾可再生能源波动。增强型粘模算法能迅速提供最佳解决方案,确保多能源系统可靠、经济地运行。
{"title":"Optimizing multi-energy systems with enhanced robust planning for cost-effective and reliable operation","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.ijepes.2024.110178","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ijepes.2024.110178","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This paper introduces a comprehensive and resilient multi-energy system (MES) designed for independent planning and real-time implementation. A robust daily coordinated planning model is proposed, incorporating adjustable optimization with fundamental operational and uncertainty constraints. The model integrates various energy sources and systems, including photovoltaics, wind turbines, combined heat and power (CHP) units, energy storage system (ESS), electric vehicle (EV), electric boilers, and power-to-gas (P2G) facilities, to manage electricity, natural gas, and heat demands. The objective is to minimize MES operational costs while meeting electricity and heat requirements, considering renewable energy uncertainties. It includes the development of a two-stage flexible robust optimization model that accounts for energy equilibrium, capacity constraints, and demand response mechanisms. The model incorporates price-based demand response with both switchable and interruptible loads, enhancing system controllability and flexibility. Additionally, a scenario generation and reduction technique based on the Kantorovich distance is employed to effectively manage forecast errors and uncertainties. A novel modified Slime Mold Algorithm (SMA) is utilized to solve the optimization problem, demonstrating superior convergence and computational efficiency compared to traditional <em>meta</em>-heuristics. The slime mold algorithm is further enhanced with chaos theory, using a sine map to introduce dynamic exploration capabilities. The findings indicate that the proposed multi-energy system model effectively balances electricity, natural gas, and heat loads while accommodating renewable energy fluctuations. The enhanced slime mold algorithm provides optimal solutions swiftly, ensuring reliable and cost-effective multi-energy system operation.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":50326,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Electrical Power & Energy Systems","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":5.0,"publicationDate":"2024-08-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0142061524003995/pdfft?md5=35021a106247c5ef29daaf1e42a83290&pid=1-s2.0-S0142061524003995-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141990452","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}