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Complete and homogeneous monthly temperature series for construction of the new 1981-2010 climatological normals for Croatia 克罗地亚1981-2010年新气候法线构造的完整和均匀的月温度序列
IF 1 4区 地球科学 Q4 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2017-05-15 DOI: 10.15233/gfz.2017.34.13
Irena Nimac, M. P. Tadić
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引用次数: 3
A Romanian daily high-resolution gridded dataset of snow depth (2005-2015) 罗马尼亚每日高分辨率雪深网格数据集(2005-2015)
IF 1 4区 地球科学 Q4 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2017-01-01 DOI: 10.15233/GFZ.2017.34.14
A. Dumitrescu, M. Birsan, Ion-Andrei Nita
This study presents the spatial interpolation procedure from snow depth measurements at weather stations implying the following stages: (1) Spatial interpolation at 1 km × 1 km resolution of the mean multiannual values (20052015) corresponding to each month, computed from the data extracted from the climatological database; (2) Computation of the daily deviations against the multiannual monthly mean for every day and year over 2005–2015 and their spatial interpolation; (3) Spatio-temporal datasets were obtained through merging the two surfaces obtained in stages 1 and 2. The anomalies were considered to be the ratio between the daily snow depth values and the climatology. The spatial variability of the data used in the first stage was accounted for through the use of a series of predictors derived from the digital elevation model (DEM). To plot the maps with the climatological normals (multiannual means), the Regression-Kriging (RK) spatial interpolation method was used. In order to choose the optimum method applied in spatializing deviations, four interpolation methods were tested using a cross-validation procedure: Multiquadratic, Ordinary Kriging (separated and pooled variograms) and 3d Kriging.
本文提出了气象站雪深测量数据的空间插值过程,包括以下几个阶段:(1)从气候学数据库提取的数据中计算出每个月对应的多年均值(2005 - 2015)的1 km × 1 km分辨率的空间插值;(2) 2005-2015年逐日、逐年相对多年月均值的日偏差计算及其空间插值;(3)将阶段1和阶段2的两个曲面合并得到时空数据集。这些异常被认为是日雪深值与气候的比值。通过使用一系列来自数字高程模型(DEM)的预测因子来解释第一阶段使用的数据的空间变异性。采用回归-克里格(RK)空间插值方法绘制气候正态线(多年平均值)图。为了选择最适合偏差空间化的插值方法,采用交叉验证方法对4种插值方法进行了测试:多重二次插值法、普通克里格插值法(分离变量和混合变量)和三维克里格插值法。
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引用次数: 6
Statistical analysis of data processing in some seismic refraction methods: A synthetic data example 几种地震折射法数据处理的统计分析:一个综合数据实例
IF 1 4区 地球科学 Q4 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2017-01-01 DOI: 10.15233/GFZ.2017.34.2
P. Adetokunbo, O. Sanuade, P. Edigbue, K. Adegbola, Toluwani Daramola
The delay time method has gained attention in shallow seismic refraction survey because it has the capability to map the lateral thickness of overburden and relief of bedrock. This study addresses the comparison between the performances of the plus-minus and conventional reciprocal methods using a synthetic data. The interpretations obtained from both methods are reasonably comparable to the actual geophysical models. This suggests that either of the methods can be used to construct a geologic section. However, the result of randomized complete block design (RCBD) experiment shows a significant difference in the type of method used and this necessitate the need for further test. The pairwise comparison suggests that the plus-minus method produces a model that better mimics the actual data than the conventional reciprocal method.
延迟时间法由于具有绘制覆盖层横向厚度和基岩起伏的能力,在浅层地震折射测量中受到了广泛的关注。本研究利用合成数据对正负法和传统的互反法的性能进行了比较。用这两种方法得到的解释与实际地球物理模型相当。这表明,这两种方法都可以用来构造地质剖面。然而,随机完全块设计(RCBD)实验结果显示,所使用的方法类型存在显著差异,这需要进一步的试验。两两比较表明,正负法产生的模型比传统的倒数法更能模拟实际数据。
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引用次数: 3
Comparison of expert, deterministic and Machine Learning approach for landslide susceptibility assessment in Ljubovija Municipality, Serbia 专家、确定性和机器学习方法在塞尔维亚Ljubovija市滑坡易感性评估中的比较
IF 1 4区 地球科学 Q4 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2017-01-01 DOI: 10.15233/GFZ.2017.34.15
J. Krušić, M. Marjanović, M. Samardzic-Petrovic, B. Abolmasov, Katarina Andrejev, A. Miladinović
Landslide Susceptibility Assessment is becoming a very productive research area, wherein different modeling approaches are practiced to delineate zones of the high-low likelihood of landslide occurrence. However, there is no strong consensus on which approach is the most adequate. The reason behind the lack of the general view on the performance of different approaches could be partially explained by the particularity of each study. To evaluate the efficiency of different approaches they need to be applied under the same conditions for the same study area. Herein, we examined three different approaches, including expert, deterministic and Machine Learning, on the example of Ljubo-vija Municipality in western Serbia. The study area has been known as susceptible to landslides, and represents good ground for assessing the chosen methods. It is represented by complex geology, prone to landslides that are commonly hosted in thick weathering crust of Paleozoic formations, composed of schists and meta-sediments. Under extreme triggering conditions, such as the one that unfolded in May 2014, these thick weathering crusts saturate, and give way to a variety of landslide and flash-flood processes that we will be focusing on in this study. The application of the expert-approach, through Analytical Hierarchy Process provided a rough assessment map. The deterministic model, which couples simple infinite slope and hydrological model, provided us with lower quality results, when compared to the expert-based one. This could be explained by the assumptions used in the model are too simplistic to generically model a wide range of landslide typology. Finally, Machine Learning approach, using the Random Forest algorithm, provided significantly better results and showed that it can cope with versatile landslide typology over larger scales. Its AUC performance is about 0.75 which is considerably outperforming the AUC values of the other two models, which were up to 0.55, i.e. at the level of random guess.
滑坡易感性评价正在成为一个非常富有成效的研究领域,其中采用不同的建模方法来划定高-低滑坡发生可能性的区域。然而,对于哪种方法是最适当的,并没有强有力的共识。对不同方法的表现缺乏总体看法的原因可以部分地解释为每个研究的特殊性。为了评估不同方法的效率,需要在同一研究区域的相同条件下应用这些方法。本文以塞尔维亚西部Ljubovija市为例,研究了三种不同的方法,包括专家、确定性和机器学习。众所周知,该研究地区易受滑坡影响,为评估所选方法提供了良好的基础。地质条件复杂,山体滑坡易发,一般赋存于由片岩和变质沉积物组成的古生代地层的厚风化壳中。在极端触发条件下,如2014年5月展开的那次,这些厚厚的风化壳饱和,并让位于各种滑坡和山洪暴发过程,我们将在本研究中重点关注这些过程。运用专家法,通过层次分析法提供了粗略的评价图。与基于专家的模型相比,将简单的无限斜率和水文模型耦合在一起的确定性模型提供的结果质量较低。这可以解释为模型中使用的假设过于简单,无法对广泛的滑坡类型进行一般建模。最后,使用随机森林算法的机器学习方法提供了明显更好的结果,并表明它可以在更大的尺度上应对多种滑坡类型。其AUC性能约为0.75,显著优于其他两个模型的AUC值,后者的AUC值高达0.55,即在随机猜测水平。
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引用次数: 11
Temporal variability and spatial distribution of drought events in the lowlands of Slovakia 斯洛伐克低地干旱事件的时间变异和空间分布
IF 1 4区 地球科学 Q4 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2016-12-31 DOI: 10.15233/GFZ.2016.33.10
N. Nikolova, P. Nejedlík, M. Lapin
Atmospheric drought in lowlands in Slovakia is analyzed on the bases of Standardised Precipitation Index (SPI) and Standardised Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI). This paper gives information about the dynamic, intensity, seasonal and territorial differences in occurrence of drought with various intensity: mild (near to normal), moderate, severe and extreme for the period 1961–2011. Future changes in occurrence of drought are determined on the basis of model data (regional circulation models KNMI and MPI) for temperature and precipitation for two periods: 2001–2050 and 2051–2100.
基于标准化降水指数(SPI)和标准化降水蒸散指数(SPEI)对斯洛伐克低地大气干旱进行了分析。本文给出了1961-2011年中国不同干旱强度(轻度(接近正常)、中度、重度和极端)发生的动态、强度、季节和地域差异。基于2001-2050年和2051-2100年两个时期的温度和降水模式(区域环流模式KNMI和MPI)确定了未来干旱发生的变化。
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引用次数: 3
Analyses of urban and rural particulate matter mass concentrations in Croatia in the period 2006–2014 2006-2014年克罗地亚城市和农村颗粒物质量浓度分析
IF 1 4区 地球科学 Q4 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2016-12-31 DOI: 10.15233/GFZ.2016.33.8
A. Jeričević, V. Grgičin, M. T. Prtenjak, S. Vidič, H. Bloemen
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引用次数: 7
GPR mapping of karst formations under a historic building in Szydłów, Poland 波兰Szydłów一座历史建筑下的喀斯特地层探地雷达测绘
IF 1 4区 地球科学 Q4 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2016-06-30 DOI: 10.15233/GFZ.2016.33.4
A. Zieliński, E. Mazurkiewicz, Mikołaj Łyskowski
The Mid-Poland Uplands Belt is a vast area characterized by the presence of carbonate and sulphate rocks. In some parts of this region karst forming and developing processes are dynamic in character. The studied area is the terrain around a historic church in a small village of Szydlow. The building is situated on a hill which is formed by Sarmatian detrital limestone undergoing karst processes. At the foot of the hill there is a number of small caves. Characteristic geological structure and land transformations that are present due to the karst processes prompted the authors to conduct a GPR survey. The aim of this study was to verify whether there is a continuation of caves in the area around the monument. An analysis was made to estimate the risk of damaging the historic building due to the ongoing karst processes. The authors obtained good quality results from GPR measurements. The results confirmed the existence of unknown voids and loosening in rock structure. On radargrams, the authors recorded stratum mapping which confirms the existence of gravitational loosening of the rock mass near the cave ceilings and walls. The results prove that the GPR is an appropriate instrument for mapping some of the karst structures and evaluation of the orogen stability.
波兰中部高地带是一个以碳酸盐和硫酸盐岩石的存在为特征的广阔地区。在该地区的部分地区,岩溶的形成和发展过程是动态的。研究区域是Szydlow小村庄一座历史悠久的教堂周围的地形。该建筑坐落在一座小山上,这座小山是由经历喀斯特作用的萨尔马提亚碎屑石灰岩形成的。在山脚下有许多小洞穴。由于喀斯特作用所造成的特殊地质构造和土地变化,促使作者进行了探地雷达调查。这项研究的目的是验证在纪念碑周围地区是否有洞穴的延续。分析了由于正在进行的喀斯特作用而对历史建筑造成破坏的风险。作者通过探地雷达测量获得了较好的结果。结果证实了岩石结构中存在未知空洞和松动。在雷达图上,作者记录了地层映射,证实了洞穴顶部和墙壁附近的岩体存在重力松动。结果表明,探地雷达是部分岩溶构造制图和造山带稳定性评价的合适工具。
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引用次数: 3
Modelling origin and transport fate of waste materials on the southeastern Adriatic coast (Croatia) 模拟亚得里亚海东南海岸废物的来源和运输命运(克罗地亚)
IF 1 4区 地球科学 Q4 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2016-06-30 DOI: 10.15233/GFZ.2016.33.3
M. Tudor, I. Janeković
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引用次数: 1
Seiches in the Plitvice Lakes 在普利特维采湖的冰山
IF 1 4区 地球科学 Q4 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2016-06-30 DOI: 10.15233/GFZ.2016.33.6
M. Pasarić, L. Slaviček
A campaign of high-frequency measurements of water level was carried in the two largest of the Plitvice Lakes, Prosce and Kozjak, to study seiches in the lakes. Measurements were performed at 1-min sampling rate during a 46-day interval, at two opposite ends in each lake, which also provided information on the phase relations. Power spectra were calculated to determine the periods of the normal modes. The observed peaks in the spectra were interpreted with the help of theoretical results obtained by the simple numerical method of Defant, where two different historical bathymetries were used. The lake Prosce oscillates at the periods of 8.5 min, 5.0 min, 3.3 min and 2.2 min, the oscillations being related respectively to uni-, bi-, three- and five-nodal seiche modes, whereas the four-nodal mode (2.5-2.7 min) was not significant during the experiment. The lake Kozjak oscillates at 9.0 min, 4.9 min and 2.6 min, which corresponds respectively to the uni-, bi- and four-nodal mode, the five-nodal mode is likely at the period of 1.9 min, while the three-nodal mode (~ 3.4 min) was not generated ; the deeper sub-basin displays its own principal mode at the period of 2.3 min. The discrepancy between the observed and the calculated periods is attributed to poor representation of the basin by the historical bathymetries, especially at Prosce, but also to changes in basin depth, due to continuous process of tufa growth.
在普利特维采两个最大的湖——普罗斯湖和科扎克湖——开展了一项高频水位测量活动,以研究湖泊中的积水。在46天的间隔时间内,在每个湖泊的两端以1分钟的采样率进行测量,这也提供了相位关系的信息。计算功率谱以确定正常模式的周期。光谱中观测到的峰是用Defant的简单数值方法得到的理论结果来解释的,其中使用了两种不同的历史测深法。湖过程振荡周期为8.5 min、5.0 min、3.3 min和2.2 min,振荡周期分别与单节点、双节点、三节点和五节点相关,而四节点(2.5 ~ 2.7 min)振荡周期不显著。Kozjak湖振荡周期为9.0 min、4.9 min和2.6 min,分别对应单节、双节和四节模态,1.9 min可能出现五节模态,未出现三节模态(~ 3.4 min);深层子盆地在2.3 min时表现出自己的主要模式。观测周期与计算周期之间的差异主要是由于历史水深测量对盆地的反映较差,特别是在过程中,但也与持续的凝灰岩生长过程引起的盆地深度变化有关。
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引用次数: 2
Generation of 2D flood inundation maps of Meriç and Tunca Rivers passing through Edirne city center 生成通过Edirne市中心的Meriç和Tunca河的二维洪水淹没图
IF 1 4区 地球科学 Q4 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2016-06-30 DOI: 10.15233/GFZ.2016.33.7
U. Akkaya, E. Doğan
Natural disasters can be defined as hazardous and usually large scale natural incidents that may cause loss of lifes and property and that occur mainly or completely out of human control. Due to climatic changes draughts are being experienced in various parts of the world in the recent years. Floods are also observed to take place more frequently and severely in some regions. As it is reported by many scientific studies, flood modeling can only be possible through the designation of flood risk management strategies and the determination of the dynamic behaviors of rivers. In this context, the city of Edirne located downstream of Meriç River Basin, which runs through Turkish, Bulgarian and Greek soils, is frequently exposed to flooding. The majority of the currents that cause this take place within the Bulgarian borders, which covers 66% of the basin. This part of Meriç River Basin has a mountainous geography, it has a rather high average slope of 12.5% within Bulgarian lands, while in Edirne it is quite low with a bottom slope of 0,00036. In the present study, 2D flood modeling of the Meriç and Tunca Rivers that passes through Edirne city center were made and flood inundation maps were generated. With the analysis of the results obtained from flood inundation maps, a drainage channel capable of discharging flood rates that exceed the maximum rate Meriç River main bed can accommodate was designed, and the downstream conditions of the channel were evaluated.
自然灾害可以定义为可能造成生命和财产损失,并且主要或完全不受人类控制的危险的、通常是大规模的自然事件。近年来,由于气候变化,世界各地正在经历干旱。在一些地区,洪水发生的频率和严重程度也有所增加。正如许多科学研究所报道的那样,洪水建模只能通过指定洪水风险管理策略和确定河流的动态行为来实现。在这种情况下,Edirne市位于Meriç河流域下游,流经土耳其、保加利亚和希腊的土壤,经常遭受洪水侵袭。造成这种情况的大部分洋流发生在保加利亚境内,覆盖了该盆地66%的面积。Meriç河流域的这一部分有一个多山的地理,它有一个相当高的平均坡度为12.5%在保加利亚境内,而在Edirne它是相当低的底部坡度为0,00036。本研究对流经Edirne市中心的Meriç河和Tunca河进行了二维洪水建模,并绘制了洪水淹没图。通过对洪水淹没图结果的分析,设计了一条泄洪速率超过最大泄洪速率Meriç的河道,并对河道下游条件进行了评价。
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引用次数: 9
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Geofizika
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