Accurate short-term photovoltaic (PV) power forecasting is crucial for grid operation and energy dispatch. To further enhance the accuracy of PV power prediction, this paper proposes a short-term prediction method based on secondary decomposition, temporal convolutional networks (TCNs), bidirectional long short-term memory (BiLSTM) and an attention mechanism. Firstly, the Spearman correlation coefficient (SCC) is used to screen key meteorological features and reduce input redundancy. Secondly, the K-means++ algorithm is applied to cluster historical PV power data into three weather types, i.e. sunny, cloudy and rainy days. Subsequently, to reduce the non-stationarity and complexity of PV power series, variational mode decomposition (VMD) is employed to perform primary decomposition. Then, complete ensemble empirical mode decomposition with adaptive noise (CEEMDAN) is applied to the residual components for secondary decomposition, thereby obtaining more stable and informative subsequences. A TCN-BiLSTM-Attention hybrid model is further constructed to capture long-term dependencies, bidirectional temporal dynamics and salient features from the decomposed subsequences for PV power prediction, effectively handling its inherent intermittency and variability. Finally, the predicted values of all subsequences are superimposed to obtain the final prediction result. Simulation experiments with six benchmark models on two different datasets show that the proposed model can effectively improve prediction accuracy.
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