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Eksploatacja I Niezawodnosc-Maintenance and Reliability最新文献

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Useful Energy Prediction Model of a Lithium-ion Cell Operating on Various Duty Cycles 不同占空比下锂离子电池有用能量预测模型
IF 2.5 3区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2021-10-26 DOI: 10.36227/techrxiv.16799587
D. Burzyński
The paper deals withthe subject of the prediction of useful energy during the cycling of alithium-ion cell (LIC), using machine learning-based techniques. It wasdemonstrated that depending on the combination of cycling parameters, theuseful energy (RUEc) thatcan be transfered during a full cycle is variable, and also three differenttypes of evolution of changes in RUEcwere identified. The paper presents a new non-parametric RUEc prediction model based on Gaussian processregression. It was proven that the proposed methodology enables the RUEc prediction for LICs discharged,above the depth of discharge, at a level of 70% with an acceptable error, whichis confirmed for new load profiles. Furthermore, techniques associated withexplainable artificial intelligence were applied, for the first time, todetermine the significance of model input parameters – the variable importancemethod – and to determine the quantitative effect of individual modelparameters (their reciprocal interaction) on RUEc – the accumulated local effects model of the firstand second order. Not only is the RUEcprediction methodology presented in the paper characterised by high predictionaccuracy when using small learning datasets, but it also shows high applicationpotential in all kinds of battery management systems.
本文利用基于机器学习的技术研究了锂离子电池循环过程中有用能量的预测问题。结果表明,根据循环参数的组合,在整个循环过程中可以转移的有用能(RUEc)是可变的,并且确定了三种不同类型的RUEc变化演变。提出了一种基于高斯过程回归的非参数RUEc预测模型。事实证明,所提出的方法能够在放电深度以上的llic放电的RUEc预测水平为70%,误差可接受,这证实了新的负载剖面。此外,与可解释人工智能相关的技术首次被应用于确定模型输入参数的重要性(变量重要性法),并确定单个模型参数(它们的相互作用)对RUEc(一阶和二阶累积局部效应模型)的定量影响。本文提出的RUEcprediction方法不仅在使用小型学习数据集时具有较高的预测精度,而且在各种电池管理系统中也显示出很高的应用潜力。
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引用次数: 5
A method for evaluating and upgrading systems with parallel structures with forced redundancy 具有强制冗余的并联结构系统的评估与升级方法
IF 2.5 3区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2021-10-17 DOI: 10.17531/ein.2021.4.19
E. Michlowicz, J. Wojciechowski
The objects of the study are parallel-structure machine systems with redundancy associated with safety assurance of continuous material flow. The problem concerns systems in which the supply of materials takes place continuously (24 hours a day), and the system of operated machines must ensure the receipt and movement of the material at a strictly defined time and in the desired quantity. It is a system where the presence of a failure poses a threat to human life and environmental degradation. This paper presents a method for system condition assessment and upgrading for maintaining proper operation under conditions of continuous operation. A database of information about the current parameters of the system components (measurements, monitoring) is necessary for condition assessment. The method also uses lean techniques (including TPM). System evaluation and selection criteria for a suitablestructure in terms of further operation were proposed. Exemplification was performed for an underground mine drainage system. As a part of the identification, selected parameters of the system components were measured, and their characteristics (motors, pumps, pipelines) were developed. The results of the analysis and the values of the adopted criteria were compared to the indicators for new pump sets. A two-option system upgrade was proposed, in addition to machine operating schedules, maintenance periods, and overhaul cycles.
研究的对象是具有冗余的并联结构机械系统,该系统与连续物料流的安全保证有关。这个问题涉及到连续(一天24小时)供应材料的系统,操作机器的系统必须确保在严格规定的时间内以所需的数量接收和移动材料。在这个系统中,一旦出现故障,就会对人类生命和环境造成威胁。本文提出了一种在连续运行条件下保持系统正常运行的状态评估和升级方法。关于系统组件(测量、监测)当前参数的信息数据库对于状态评估是必要的。该方法还使用了精益技术(包括TPM)。提出了适用于后续运行的系统评价和选择标准。以某地下矿井排水系统为例进行了算例分析。作为识别的一部分,测量了系统部件的选定参数,并开发了它们的特性(电机、泵、管道)。分析结果和采用的标准值与新泵机组的指标进行了比较。除了机器运行时间表、维护周期和大修周期外,还提出了两种系统升级方案。
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引用次数: 3
A method for estimating the probability distribution of the lifetime for new technical equipment based on expert judgement 一种基于专家判断的新技术设备寿命概率分布估计方法
IF 2.5 3区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2021-10-11 DOI: 10.17531/ein.2021.4.18
K. Andrzejczak, L. Bukowski
Managing the exploitation of technical equipment under conditions of uncertainty requires the use of probabilistic prediction models in the form of probability distributions of the lifetime of these objects. The parameters of these distributions are estimated with the use of statistical methods based on historical data about actual realizations of the lifetime of examined objects. However, when completely new solutions are introduced into service, such data are not available and the only possible method for the initial assessment of the expected lifetime of technical objects is expert methods. The aim of the study is to present a method for estimating the probability distribution of the lifetime for new technical facilities based on expert assessments of three parameters characterizing the expected lifetime of these objects. The method is based on a subjective Bayesian approach to the problem of randomness and integrated with models of classical probability theory. Due to its wide application in the fieldof maintenance of machinery and technical equipment, a Weibull model is proposed, and its possible practical applications are shown. A new method of expert elicitation of probabilities for any continuous random variable is developed. A general procedure for the application of this method is proposed and the individual steps of its implementation are discussed, as well as the mathematical models necessary for the estimation of the parameters of the probability distribution are presented. A practical example of the application of the developed method on specific numerical values is also presented.
在不确定条件下管理技术设备的开发需要使用概率预测模型,以这些物体寿命的概率分布的形式。这些分布的参数是使用基于历史数据的统计方法来估计的,这些数据是关于被检查对象的实际实现寿命的。然而,当全新的解决方案投入使用时,这些数据是不可用的,对技术对象的预期寿命进行初步评估的唯一可能方法是专家方法。本研究的目的是提出一种基于专家评估表征这些对象预期寿命的三个参数的新技术设施寿命概率分布的方法。该方法基于随机问题的主观贝叶斯方法,并与经典概率论模型相结合。鉴于威布尔模型在机械技术设备维修领域的广泛应用,提出了一种威布尔模型,并对其可能的实际应用进行了说明。提出了一种新的连续随机变量概率专家推导方法。提出了应用该方法的一般步骤,讨论了实现该方法的各个步骤,并给出了估计概率分布参数所需的数学模型。最后给出了该方法在特定数值上的应用实例。
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引用次数: 8
Influence of the movement of involute profile gears along the off-line of action on the gear tooth position along the line of action direction 渐开线齿廓沿作用线运动对齿轮沿作用线方向齿位的影响
IF 2.5 3区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2021-09-29 DOI: 10.17531/ein.2021.4.16
Ł. Jedliński
When gears change their distance along the off-line of action (OLOA) direction, this affects the distance between the working surfaces of the meshing teeth along the line of action (LOA). This effect is usually neglected in studies. To include this effect precise equations are derived for spur gears. The analysis is carried out for the general case of spur gears with shifted profiles frequently used in the industry. The influence of OLOA gear displacement on LOA direction is also a function of gears parameters. An analysis is conducted, and the impact of parameters such as module, pressure angle, gear ratio, and the number of teeth is determined. As an example, a simulation of a 12 DOF analytical model is presented. The movement of gears along OLOA is caused by a frictional force that can be high during tooth degradation e.g. scuffing. Results show that when the movement of gears along the OLOA direction is significant, its influence on the distance between the mating teeth should not be neglected.
当齿轮沿动作线(LOA)方向改变其距离时,这会影响啮合齿沿动作线(LOA)工作表面之间的距离。这种影响在研究中通常被忽略。为了包括这种影响,推导了正齿轮的精确方程。对工业上常用的变速齿正齿轮的一般情况进行了分析。齿轮位移对LOA方向的影响也是齿轮参数的函数。通过分析,确定了模数、压力角、传动比、齿数等参数的影响。作为实例,给出了一个12自由度解析模型的仿真。齿轮沿OLOA的运动是由摩擦力引起的,摩擦力在牙齿退化期间可能很高,例如磨损。结果表明,当齿轮沿OLOA方向运动较大时,其对配合齿间距的影响不容忽视。
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引用次数: 1
The post-warranty random maintenance policies for the product with random working cycles 随机工作周期产品的保修期后随机维修政策
IF 2.5 3区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2021-09-29 DOI: 10.17531/ein.2021.4.15
Lijun Shang, Haibin Wang, Cang Wu, Zhiqiang Cai
Advanced sensors and measuring technologies make it possible to monitor the productworking cycle. This means the manufacturer’s warranty to ensure reliability performancecan be designed by monitoring the product working cycle and the consumer’s post-warranty maintenance to sustain the post-warranty reliability can be modeled by tracking the product working cycle. However, the related works appear seldom in existing literature. In this article, we incorporate random working cycle into warranty and propose a novel warranty ensuring reliability performance of the product with random working cycles. By extending the proposed warranty to the post-warranty maintenance, besides we investigate the postwarranty random maintenance policies sustaining the post-warranty reliability, i.e., replacement last (first) with preventive maintenance (PM). The cost rate is constructed for each post-warranty random maintenance policy. Finally, sensitivity of proposed warranty and investigated polices is analyzed. We discover that replacement last (first) with PM is superior to replacement last (first).
先进的传感器和测量技术使监控产品的工作周期成为可能。这意味着制造商可以通过监测产品的工作周期来设计保证可靠性性能的保修,而消费者可以通过跟踪产品的工作周期来模拟维持保修后可靠性的保修后维护。然而,在现有文献中,相关作品很少出现。本文将随机工作周期纳入保修,提出了一种保证随机工作周期产品可靠性性能的新型保修方法。通过将建议保修扩展到保修期后的维修,我们还研究了保修期后的随机维修政策,以维持保修期后的可靠性,即最后(首先)更换预防性维修(PM)。为每个保修期后随机维护策略构建成本率。最后,对提出的保修政策和已调查的保修政策的敏感性进行了分析。我们发现用PM替换最后(第一个)要优于最后(第一个)。
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引用次数: 3
Specification of estimation of a passenger car ride smoothness under various exploitation conditions 乘用车在各种开发条件下的平顺性评价规范
IF 2.5 3区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2021-09-20 DOI: 10.17531/ein.2021.4.14
G. Vaičiūnas, S. Steišūnas, G. Bureika
The stability and smoothness of rolling stock running could be defined accurately by universal Sperling's comfort index. The divergences of variation of Sperling's comfort indexof a passenger car under specific operating conditions of running gear are examining inthis paper. Numerical simulations of a passenger car running with independently rotatingwheels under various conditions have been performing. Gained results showed that divergences of the Sperling's comfort index variation are particularly significant due to running gear component oscillations in the horizontal plane (lateral direction). A field experiment of a passenger car with a solid (traditional) wheelset with a flat running surface proved this hypothesis. The obtained results of this experiment confirmed this assumption. Therefore, the study of the regularities of lateral oscillations of a passenger car is the logical direction of further research.
通用的斯珀林舒适性指数可以准确地定义车辆运行的稳定性和平稳性。本文研究了某乘用车在特定运行工况下斯珀林舒适性指标变化的发散性。对独立转轮客车在不同工况下的运行进行了数值模拟。得到的结果表明,由于走行齿轮组件在水平面(横向)上的振荡,斯珀林舒适度变化的发散尤为显著。一辆带有平面实轮对(传统轮对)乘用车的现场试验证明了这一假设。实验结果证实了这一假设。因此,研究客车横向振动的规律是今后研究的必然方向。
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引用次数: 7
The study on the automated storage and retrieval system dependability 自动存取系统可靠性的研究
IF 2.5 3区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2021-09-17 DOI: 10.17531/ein.2021.4.13
Konrad Lewczuk
Automated storage systems have become the basis of warehouse logistics. The articlepresents a discussion on the reliability and dependability of Automated Storage and Retrieval Systems (ASRS), which are perceived as solutions with high technical reliability.Still, their role in the dependability of the entire warehouse system is to be discussed. Theconcepts of reliability and dependability in logistics systems like ASRS are defined, and aliterature review in this area is presented. On this basis, the factors influencing the dependability of ASRS are discussed in a way not present in the discussion on this topic so far. Then, the ASRS simulation model (based on FlexSim simulation software) is presented. The model tests the influence of ASRS configuration and assigned resources on the dependability of the warehouse as a master system. The summary includes observations on defining the reliability and dependability of ASRS.
自动化仓储系统已成为仓储物流的基础。本文讨论了自动存储和检索系统(ASRS)的可靠性和可靠性,它被认为是高技术可靠性的解决方案。尽管如此,它们在整个仓库系统可靠性中的作用仍有待讨论。定义了物流系统(如ASRS)中可靠性和可靠性的概念,并对这一领域的文献进行了综述。在此基础上,对影响ASRS可靠性的因素进行了讨论,讨论的方式目前还没有出现在本主题的讨论中。然后,建立了基于FlexSim仿真软件的ASRS仿真模型。该模型测试了ASRS配置和分配的资源对仓库作为主系统可靠性的影响。摘要包括对定义ASRS的可靠性和可靠性的观察。
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引用次数: 2
Application of machine learning and rough set theory in lean maintenance decision support system development 机器学习和粗糙集理论在精益维修决策支持系统开发中的应用
IF 2.5 3区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2021-09-14 DOI: 10.17531/ein.2021.4.12
K. Antosz, M. Jasiulewicz-Kaczmarek, Łukasz Paśko, Chao Zhang, Shaoping Wang
Lean maintenance concept is crucial to increase the reliability and availability of maintenance equipment in the manufacturing companies. Due the elimination of losses in maintenance processes this concept reduce the number of unplanned downtime and unexpected failures, simultaneously influence a company’s operational and economic performance. Despite the widespread use of lean maintenance, there is no structured approach to support the choice of methods and tools used for the maintenance function improvement. Therefore, in this paper by using machine learning methods and rough set theory a new approach was proposed. This approach supports the decision makers in the selection of methods and tools for the effective implementation of Lean Maintenance.
精益维修理念对于提高制造企业维修设备的可靠性和可用性至关重要。由于消除了维护过程中的损失,这一概念减少了计划外停机时间和意外故障的数量,同时影响了公司的运营和经济绩效。尽管精益维修被广泛使用,但没有结构化的方法来支持选择用于维护功能改进的方法和工具。因此,本文利用机器学习方法和粗糙集理论提出了一种新的方法。这种方法支持决策者选择有效实施精益维护的方法和工具。
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引用次数: 5
Remaining useful life prediction of bearings with different failure types based on multi-feature and deep convolution transfer learning 基于多特征和深度卷积迁移学习的不同失效类型轴承剩余使用寿命预测
IF 2.5 3区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2021-09-12 DOI: 10.17531/ein.2021.4.11
Chenchen Wu, H. Sun, Senmiao Lin, Sheng Gao
The accurate prediction of the remaining useful life (RUL) of rolling bearings is of immense importance in ensuring the safe and smooth operation of machinery and equipment.Although the prediction accuracy has been improved by a predictive model based on deeplearning, it is still limited in engineering because lots of models use single-scale featuresto predict and assume that the degradation data of each bearing has a consistent distribution. In this paper, A deep convolutional migration network based on spatial pyramid pooling (SPP-CNNTL) is proposed to obtain higher prediction accuracy with self-extraction of multi-feature from the original vibrating signal. And to consider the differences of the data distribution in different failure types, transfer learning (TL) added with maximum mean difference (MMD) measurement function is used in the RUL prediction part. Finally, the data of IEEE PHM 2012 Challenge is used for verification, and the results show that the method in this paper has high prediction accuracy.
滚动轴承剩余使用寿命(RUL)的准确预测对于保证机械设备的安全、平稳运行具有极其重要的意义。尽管基于深度学习的预测模型提高了预测精度,但由于许多模型使用单尺度特征来预测并假设每个轴承的退化数据具有一致的分布,因此在工程上仍然受到限制。本文提出了一种基于空间金字塔池的深度卷积迁移网络(SPP-CNNTL),通过自提取原始振动信号的多特征来获得更高的预测精度。考虑到不同失效类型下数据分布的差异,在RUL预测部分采用迁移学习(TL)加最大平均差(MMD)测量函数。最后,利用IEEE PHM 2012挑战赛的数据进行验证,结果表明本文方法具有较高的预测精度。
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引用次数: 1
An evaluation method of preventive renewal strategies of railway vehicles selected parts 铁路车辆选定部件预防性更新策略的评价方法
IF 2.5 3区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2021-09-12 DOI: 10.17531/ein.2021.4.10
J. Lewandowski, Stanisław Młynarski, R. Pilch, Maksymilian Smolnik, J. Szybka, G. Wiązania
The aim of the work was to develop a method of verification of the preventive renewal strategies, which enables a simulation evaluation of the effects of the application of a specific schedule of inspections of parts that are important in the operation of complex renewable technical objects. Using it requires having an already established schedule of inspections, and the result of applying the method is determined by indicators that assess the usefulness of the strategy, even before implementation. The developed computational tool was used to evaluate the renewal strategy of the current collector contact plates. Based on the real operational data, several renewal intervals were considered, determining the frequency of events involving the plate covering a specific mileage, from exceeding the wear control limit value to the next inspection (replacement). The proposed verification method is an important tool for testing and planning technical inspections for systems and elements with planned wear, and parts are periodically replaced.
这项工作的目的是制订一种核查预防性更新战略的方法,从而能够模拟评价对复杂的可再生技术对象的操作中重要的部件实施具体检查时间表的效果。使用该方法需要有一个已经确定的检查时间表,而应用该方法的结果是由评估战略有用性的指标决定的,甚至在执行之前。利用开发的计算工具对集流器接触板的更新策略进行了评估。根据实际运行数据,考虑了几个更新间隔,确定了涉及特定里程的钢板的事件频率,从超过磨损控制限值到下一次检查(更换)。所提出的验证方法是对有计划磨损的系统和元件进行测试和计划技术检查的重要工具,零件定期更换。
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引用次数: 3
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Eksploatacja I Niezawodnosc-Maintenance and Reliability
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