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The Role of Inter-Budgetary Regulation in the Socio-Economic Development of the Regions in Modern Conditions 现代条件下预算间调节在地区社会经济发展中的作用
Pub Date : 2023-12-21 DOI: 10.21686/2073-1051-2023-4-91-109
S. I. Shabel’nikova
The balance of regional budgets is the most important factor in the socio-economic development of the constituent entities of the Russian Federation. Traditional balancing mechanisms, along with interbudgetary transfers, also include loans, reserve funds, and revenue sources established by legislative norms and intended to minimize the budget deficit and intra-system redistribution of budget funds. In 2024–2026, it is planned to implement all necessary measures aimed at maintaining fiscal sustainability and independence of regional budgets, stimulating infrastructure development, and creating a more transparent model of interbudgetary relations at the regional level. Currently, most constituent entities of the Russian Federation largely depend on financial assistance from the federal budget. Its total volume increases annually and is distributed according to approved methods. The article examines the main types and volumes of interbudgetary transfers to the budgets of the constituent entities of the Russian Federation for 2024–2026, features of the upcoming budget cycle, and draws conclusions about the sufficiency of the financial support provided for the sustainability of regional budgets.
地区预算平衡是俄罗斯联邦各主体社会经济发展的最重要因素。传统的平衡机制,除预算间转账外,还包括贷款、储备基金、立法规范规定的收入来源,旨在最大限度地减少预算赤字和预算资金的系统内再分配。2024-2026 年,计划实施所有必要措施,以保持财政的可持续性和地区预算的独立 性,促进基础设施的发展,并在地区一级建立更加透明的预算间关系模式。目前,俄罗斯联邦大多数主体在很大程度上依赖联邦预算的财政援助。其总额每年都在增加,并按照批准的方法进行分配。文章探讨了 2024-2026 年向俄罗斯联邦各主体预算提供的预算外资金的主要类型和数额、即将到来的预算周期的特点,并就为地区预算可持续性提供的财政支持的充足性得出了结论。
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引用次数: 0
Budgetary Policy and Structural Transformation of the Russian Economy 预算政策与俄罗斯经济结构转型
Pub Date : 2023-12-21 DOI: 10.21686/2073-1051-2023-4-5-21
I. S. Bukina
Recently the Russian economy in addition to global trends has been affected by structural shocks. Fiscal instruments make it possible to respond both to temporary fluctuations in business activity and to support economy restructuring. The existing Russian fiscal reserves made it possible to cope with the first consequences of the sanctions. Estimated effectiveness of the budget impulse in 2022 was twice as high as in 2020. However, the risks of fiscal policy are increasing due to an unforeseen increase in spending, the need to increase the tax burden on the economy and the build-up of public debt. The paper proposes measures to redistribute the tax burden between the export-oriented sector and domestic producers, approaches to the use of digital financial assets in taxation, measures to develop the debt market and other areas of supporting the structural transformation of the Russian economy.
最近,俄罗斯经济除了受到全球趋势的影响外,还受到结构性冲击的影响。财政手段既可以应对商业活动的暂时波动,也可以支持经济结构调整。俄罗斯现有的财政储备可以应对制裁带来的最初后果。据估计,2022 年预算刺激的有效性是 2020 年的两倍。然而,由于支出的意外增加、增加经济税收负担的需要以及公共债务的积累,财政政策的风险正在增加。本文提出了在出口导向型部门和国内生产商之间重新分配税收负担的措施、在税收中使用数字金融资产的方法、发展债务市场的措施以及支持俄罗斯经济结构转型的其他领域。
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引用次数: 0
Forecasting the Costs of Adapting Social Infrastructure to Changing Geocryological Conditions (the Case of Norilsk) 预测使社会基础设施适应不断变化的地质条件的成本(诺里尔斯克案例)
Pub Date : 2023-12-21 DOI: 10.21686/2073-1051-2023-4-140-156
S. V. Badina
Climate change and increased anthropogenic impact lead to the melting of permafrost and, consequently, destruction and deformation of buildings and structures built on it. This causes significant additional financial costs associated with the need to use specific technologies for the construction and operation of buildings in the permafrost zone, as well as direct and indirect damage from the loss of fixed assets. According to forecasts of geocryological changes, in the Russian Arctic these negative trends should intensify in the future. In this study, using the case of the Norilsk city (Krasnoyarsk Krai, Russia), some problems associated with estimating the costs of adapting healthcare and educational facilities built on permafrost to changes in engineering and geocryological conditions until the middle of the 21st century are analyzed. The analysis showed that the amount of probable costs for the group of objects under consideration associated with direct damage from deformation and destruction of buildings, as well as the need for their liquidation and replacement construction, significantly exceeds the financial resources allocated for this in the relevant strategic documents planning of Norilsk. An effective mechanism for redistributing damage over time and reducing it is the installation of the soil thermal stabilization systems. The paper briefly analyzes the geography of production and consumption of this type of product. The results obtained can be used to develop similar assessments and adaptation programs in cities in the permafrost zone of Russia.
气候变化和人为影响的增加导致永久冻土融化,进而导致建在永久冻土上的建筑物和结构的破坏和变形。由于需要使用特殊技术在永久冻土区建造和运行建筑物,这导致了大量额外的财务费用,以及固定资产损失造成的直接和间接损失。根据对地质风化变化的预测,在俄罗斯北极地区,这些负面趋势在未来将会加剧。本研究以诺里尔斯克市(俄罗斯克拉斯诺亚尔斯克边疆区)为例,分析了在 21 世纪中叶之前,根据工程和地质风化条件的变化,对建在永久冻土层上的医疗和教育设施进行改造的成本估算所涉及的一些问题。分析表明,与建筑物变形和毁坏造成的直接损失有关的被考虑对象组的可能成本金额,以及清理和更换建筑的需求,大大超出了诺里尔斯克相关战略文件规划中为此分配的财政资源。安装土壤热稳定系统是随着时间的推移重新分配和减少损害的有效机制。本文简要分析了此类产品的生产和消费地域。所获得的结果可用于在俄罗斯永久冻土区的城市制定类似的评估和适应计划。
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引用次数: 0
Refinement of Drug Regulation and Russian Pharmaceutical Export 完善药品监管和俄罗斯药品出口
Pub Date : 2023-12-21 DOI: 10.21686/2073-1051-2023-4-157-183
Z. A. Aladysheva, V. Beregovykh, A. P. Meshkovskiy, N. Pyatigorskaya
Strategy on development of the pharmaceutical industry for the period up to 2030 (Pharma-2030 Strategy), adopted in the Russian Federation this year, includes tasks to further saturate the national market with domestic medicines and to “realize the export potential of the pharmaceutical industry”. National drug regulation has a significant stimulating effect on the export of medicines. To identify the most important elements of this regulation related to the development and maintenance of sustainable pharmaceutical export, different aspects of national drug regulatory systems were studied. Countries belonging to different segments of the global pharmaceutical export market were included in the research. The results of the analysis of drug regulation in top export countries were published earlier. This article presents the results for pharmerging countries with a fastgrowing pharmaceutical sector and formulated common strategies for these countries that are aimed at achieving leadership positions of the national pharmaceutical industry in both the domestic and foreign markets. Several measures have been proposed for inclusion in the implementation plan for the Pharma-2030 Strategy, which, in our opinion, will contribute to achieving the goals set both to stimulate exports and to saturate the Russian market with domestic medicines.
俄罗斯联邦今年通过了《2030 年前制药业发展战略》(《制药-2030 战略》),其中包括进一步饱和国内药品市场和 "发挥制药业出口潜力 "的任务。国家药品法规对药品出口具有显著的促进作用。为了确定这一法规中与发展和保持可持续药品出口有关的最重要因素,我们对国家药品监管体系的不同方面进行了研究。属于全球药品出口市场不同部分的国家都被纳入了研究范围。对主要出口国药品监管的分析结果已于早些时候公布。本文介绍了制药业快速增长国家的结果,并为这些国家制定了共同战略,旨在使本国制药业在国内外市场上都处于领先地位。我们认为,这些措施将有助于实现刺激出口和使俄罗斯国内药品市场饱和的目标。
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引用次数: 0
Formation of Federal and Regional Welfare Mechanisms for the Development of Public Trust Relations 建立发展公共信任关系的联邦和地区福利机制
Pub Date : 2023-12-21 DOI: 10.21686/2073-1051-2023-4-35-52
V. D. Krivov, D. G. Vladimirov, A. A. Lisichkina
One of the main goals of Russia’s domestic policy until 2030 is to increase the welfare of the people. However, today there is no single approach to assessing the level of wellbeing. There are also no specific criteria according to which this level can be objectively assessed. This problem requires the creation of such a tool as the standard of well-being. The development, implementation of mechanisms for the implementation and development of the concept of the standard of well-being, its meaning and content is currently an urgent task not only for the scientific community of Russia, but also for representatives of the authorities and the public. The article presents current trends and processes for 2023 related to the elaboration and promotion of the standard of well-being in the Russian Federation. The accumulated experience and initiatives are reviewed, as well as some new ideas and proposals. The purpose of the study is to analyze the current situation and develop recommendations for a further strategy for implementing the well-being standard. The basis of this work is an analysis of the successful experience of both various regions of the Russian Federation and the international community. The study shows that the standard of well-being is an achievable goal and an effective mechanism in the presence of a scientific base and systematic work on the implementation of its constituent elements. The introduction of the well—being standard will contribute to improving the level, quality of life and life satisfaction of Russian citizens, respect for their legitimate rights, and ultimately – the development of the country.
俄罗斯 2030 年前国内政策的主要目标之一是提高人民福利。然而,目前还没有评估福利水平的单一方法。也没有具体的标准来客观评估福利水平。要解决这一问题,就必须制定福祉标准这一工具。目前,不仅俄罗斯科学界,而且政府部门和公众代表都迫切需要制定和实施有关机制,以落实和发展幸福标准的概念、含义和内容。文章介绍了当前的趋势和 2023 年俄罗斯联邦制定和推广幸福标准的进程。文章回顾了积累的经验和倡议,以及一些新的想法和建议。本研究的目的是分析当前形势,并就实施幸福标准的进一步战略提出建议。这项工作的基础是分析俄罗斯联邦各地区和国际社会的成功经验。研究表明,在有科学基础和系统地实施其组成要素的情况下,幸福标准是一个可实现的目标和有效的机制。引入幸福标准将有助于提高俄罗斯公民的生活水平、生活质量和生活满意度,尊重他们的合法权利,并最终促进国家的发展。
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引用次数: 0
Protection of the Rights of Russian Citizens at the Supranational Level: in Search of Alternatives 在超国家层面保护俄罗斯公民权利:寻求替代方案
Pub Date : 2023-12-21 DOI: 10.21686/2073-1051-2023-4-126-139
M. V. Gligich-Zolotareva
Recently, international relations have deteriorated sharply, provoking the erosion of supranational human rights institutions. Against this background, Russia withdrew from the Council of Europe and, accordingly, from the jurisdiction of the European Court of Human Rights. Federal legislation has introduced norms on the protection of Russian citizens from international bodies whose decisions contradict national legislation. However, this does not solve the overall task of protecting the rights and freedoms of Russian citizens at the supranational level. The article concludes that it is necessary to make more active use of the remaining opportunities to protect the rights of Russian citizens at the supranational level, as well as to create new alternative institutions for the protection of human rights within the framework of international associations friendly to Russia, such as the CIS, the SCO and the EAEU.
最近,国际关系急剧恶化,导致超国家人权机构受到侵蚀。在此背景下,俄罗斯退出了欧洲委员会,因此也退出了欧洲人权法院的管辖范围。联邦立法引入了保护俄罗斯公民不受国际机构影响的准则,这些机构的决定与国家立法相抵触。然而,这并不能解决在超国家层面保护俄罗斯公民权利和自由的总体任务。文章最后指出,有必要更积极地利用剩余的机会在超国家层面保护俄罗斯公民的权利,并在独联体、上合组织和欧亚经济联盟等对俄罗斯友好的国际组织框架内建立新的人权保护替代机构。
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引用次数: 0
Consolidated Budgets of the Subjects of the Russian Federation in the First Half of 2023. Budget Risks are Increasing 2023 年上半年俄罗斯联邦主体的综合预算。预算风险与日俱增
Pub Date : 2023-12-21 DOI: 10.21686/2073-1051-2023-4-76-90
L. Lykova
The performance of the consolidated budgets of the subjects of the Russian Federation in the first half of this year was characterized by real growth rates of income taxreceipts and only nominal growth personal income tax receipts.The increase in federal transfer receipts was partly determined by the financing of the budgets of the new regions of the Russian Federation. In addition to the growth of economic activity, the dynamics of own revenues of regional budgets in the first half of the year was influenced by factors such as the cancellation of income tax payments within consolidated groups of taxpayers and the accelerated procedure for personal income tax reimbursement.The growth of expenditures of regional budgets lagged behind the growth of revenues, but significantly outpaced last year’s figures, which resulted in a reduction in the surplus of subfederal budgets compared to the previous year. The trend towards an increase in the volume of state and municipal debt has continued against the background of an increase in debt to the Ministry of Finance of the Russian Federation. The growth of public debt is taking place both in relatively prosperous regions and in problematic ones. The reduction in the volume of debt obligations by individual subjects of the Russian Federation cannot yet change the overall picture. The approved law on the federal budget for 2024 and subsequent years assumes a reduction in federal support for regional budgets against the background of an increase in spending needs and contains significant risks for the execution of sub-federal budgets.
今年上半年俄罗斯联邦主体综合预算的执行情况以所得税收入的实际增长率和个人所得税收入的名义增长率为特点。除了经济活动的增长外,上半年地区预算自有收入的动态也受到了一些因素的影响,如取消纳税人合并群体内的所得税支付和加快个人所得税偿还程序。地区预算支出的增长落后于收入的增长,但大大超过了去年的数字,这导致联邦以下各级预算的盈余与前一年相比有所减少。在俄罗斯联邦财政部债务增加的背景下,国家和市政债务额继续呈上升趋势。无论是在相对繁荣的地区,还是在有问题的地区,公共债务都在增长。俄罗斯联邦各主体债务额的减少还不能改变整体状况。已批准的 2024 年及其后年份联邦预算法假定,在支出需求增加的背景下,联邦对地区预算 的支持将减少,这对联邦以下各级预算的执行构成重大风险。
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引用次数: 0
Prerequisites and Prospects for the Reform of Local Self-Government in Russia 俄罗斯地方自治改革的前提和前景
Pub Date : 2023-12-21 DOI: 10.21686/2073-1051-2023-4-53-75
N. V. Voroshilov
In October 2023, 20 years were celebrated since the adoption of Federal Law No. 131-FZ dated 06.10.2003 “On the General principles of the Organization of local Self-Government in the Russian Federation”; in January 2022, the State Duma of the Russian Federation adopted a new draft law on local self-government in the first reading, but for now its further consideration has been postponed. The purpose of this article is to identify the prerequisites and directions for further reform of local self-government. The article identifies trends and problems in the development of local self-government and municipalities in the 2000s and 2020s, including: reduction and liquidation of urban and rural settlements as a result of their unification and transformation of municipal districts into urban and municipal districts; preservation of low financial and economic independence of municipalities, as well as a high level of intraregional socio-economic differentiation on the against the background of the concentration of population and production in urban agglomerations and the persistence of systemic problems in the development of rural areas. Based on questionnaire surveys of heads of municipalities and residents of the Vologda Oblast, their attitude to the new reform of local self-government was revealed. In the final part of the article, a conceptual vision of the prospects for the development of local self-government in Russia is outlined.
2023 年 10 月,《关于俄罗斯联邦地方自治组织一般原则》的第 131-FZ 号联邦法通过 20 周年;2022 年 1 月,俄罗斯联邦国家杜马一读通过了新的地方自治法草案,但该草案的进一步审议被推迟。本文旨在明确地方自治进一步改革的前提条件和方向。文章指出了 2000 年代和 2020 年代地方自治政府和市政当局发展的趋势和问题,其中包括:由于城市和农村居住区的统一和市辖区向城市和市辖区的转变,城市和农村居住区的减少和清理;在人口和生产集中于城市群和农村地区发展的系统性问题持续存在的背景下,市政当局的财政和经济独立性较低,区域内社会经济分化程度较高。在对沃洛格达州的市镇领导和居民进行问卷调查的基础上,揭示了他们对新的地方自治改革的态度。文章最后部分对俄罗斯地方自治发展前景进行了概念性展望。
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引用次数: 0
Global Analysis of Modern Economic Sanctions 现代经济制裁的全球分析
Pub Date : 2023-12-21 DOI: 10.21686/2073-1051-2023-4-110-125
E. N. Sokolova, I. Yakushev
Economic sanctions are an integral part of the foreign policy repertoire of States. Increasingly, States and international organizations are resorting to sanctions to address a variety of issues - from fighting corruption to preventing the use of nuclear weapons. Over time, the ways in which economic sanctions have been used have changed, especially over the past two decades. In the late 1990s, the recognition of the humanitarian harm of economic sanctions and the “War on Terrorism” after the events of September 11, 2001 led to serious changes in the structure and mechanisms of their application. Questions about how these coercive tools work, when they are applied, what consequences they have and when they are successful are still being determined by research conducted in the second half of the 20th century. The conclusions drawn from past cases of sanctions may not be fully applicable to the current sanctions policy. In the second half of the 20th century, most cases of sanctions were related to the United States, and it covered restrictions on international trade. However, over the past two decades, the European Union, the United Nations and China have also been the main initiators of sanctions. Modern sanctions include targeted and financial restrictions and are applied against individuals, organizations and companies. Changing the senders, targets, stakeholders and economic instruments used in the sanctions policy has serious implications for effectiveness and results. The regulatory and bureaucratic infrastructure necessary to implement and comply with modern economic sanctions has become more reliable. This evolution of sanctions has provided the scientific community with an opportunity to study new issues of coercion and return to the old ones. The economic sanctions research program should be developed to be relevant for understanding the application of modern sanctions and their consequences.
经济制裁是各国外交政策的组成部分。从打击腐败到防止使用核武器,各国和国际组织越来越多地借助制裁来解决各种问题。随着时间的推移,使用经济制裁的方式也发生了变化,尤其是在过去的二十年里。20 世纪 90 年代末,人们认识到经济制裁的人道主义危害,2001 年 9 月 11 日事件后的 "反恐战争 "导致制裁的应用结构和机制发生了严重变化。关于这些胁迫手段如何发挥作用、何时使用、产生什么后果以及何时成功等问题,20 世纪下半叶进行的研究仍在确定。从过去的制裁案例中得出的结论可能并不完全适用于当前的制裁政策。20 世纪下半叶,大多数制裁案例都与美国有关,涉及对国际贸易的限制。然而,在过去二十年中,欧盟、联合国和中国也是制裁的主要发起国。现代制裁包括定向和金融限制,针对个人、组织和公司。改变制裁政策中使用的发送方、目标、利益相关方和经济手段会对制裁的有效性和结果产生严重影响。实施和遵守现代经济制裁所需的监管和官僚基础设施已变得更加可靠。制裁的这种演变为科学界提供了研究新的胁迫问题和回到旧问题的机会。应制定经济制裁研究计划,以便了解现代制裁的应用及其后果。
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引用次数: 0
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Federalism
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