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An equivalent point-source stochastic model of the NGA-East ground-motion models NGA-East 地动模型的等效点源随机模型
Pub Date : 2024-02-08 DOI: 10.1177/87552930231225983
S. Pezeshk, Christie Assadollahi, A. Zandieh
The main objective of this study is to estimate seismological parameters in Central and Eastern North America (CENA), including the geometrical spreading, anelastic attenuation, stress parameter, and site attenuation parameters. In this study, we use particle swarm optimization (PSO) to invert a weighted average of the median 5%-damped pseudo-spectral acceleration (PSA) predicted from the Next Generation Attenuation-East (NGA-East) ground-motion models (GMMs) to develop a point-source stochastic GMM with a well-constrained set of ground-motion parameters. Magnitude-specific inversions are performed for moment magnitude ranges M = 4.0–8.0, rupture distances Rrup = 1–1000 km, and periods T = 0.01–10 s, and National Earthquake Hazard Reduction Program site class A conditions. The result of this study yields a single stochastic GMM that yields PSA values similar to the median NGA-East GMMs. The parameters derived from this study can be used for the hybrid empirical method (HEM) applications. This study is the first to perform a formal inversion using the GMMs developed for the NGA-East project. The approach has been validated using simulated small-to-moderate magnitude and large-magnitude data derived from the NGA-West2 GMMs.
本研究的主要目的是估算北美中部和东部(CENA)的地震学参数,包括几何展布、非弹性衰减、应力参数和场地衰减参数。在本研究中,我们使用粒子群优化(PSO)反演下一代衰减-东部(NGA-East)地动模型(GMMs)预测的 5%-阻尼伪谱加速度(PSA)中位数的加权平均值,从而开发出具有约束良好的地动参数集的点源随机 GMM。针对震级范围 M = 4.0-8.0、断裂距离 Rrup = 1-1000 km、周期 T = 0.01-10 s 和国家地震灾害减灾计划场地等级 A 条件进行了特定震级反演。该研究结果产生了一个单一的随机 GMM,其 PSA 值与 NGA-East GMM 的中值相似。本研究得出的参数可用于混合经验法(HEM)应用。本研究首次使用为 NGA 东部项目开发的 GMM 进行正式反演。利用 NGA-West2 GMM 得出的模拟中、小震级和大震级数据对该方法进行了验证。
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引用次数: 0
Discussion of “ASCE/SEI 41 assessment of reinforced concrete buildings: Benchmarking nonlinear dynamic procedures with empirical damage observations” 讨论 "ASCE/SEI 41 钢筋混凝土建筑评估:以经验性破坏观测结果为基准的非线性动态程序"
Pub Date : 2024-02-08 DOI: 10.1177/87552930241228554
Bruce Maison, Shih-Ho Chao
This is a Discussion of the following article: Cook D., et al. (2023). ASCE/SEI 41 assessment of reinforced concrete buildings: Benchmarking nonlinear dynamic procedures with empirical damage observations, Earthquake Spectra, August 2023, Vol. 39, No. 3, pp. 1721–1754.
本文是对以下文章的讨论:Cook D., et al. (2023).ASCE/SEI 41 钢筋混凝土建筑评估:Benchmarking nonlinear dynamic procedures with empirical damage observations, Earthquake Spectra, August 2023, Vol. 39, No. 3, pp.
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引用次数: 0
An equivalent point-source stochastic model of the NGA-East ground-motion models NGA-East 地动模型的等效点源随机模型
Pub Date : 2024-02-08 DOI: 10.1177/87552930231225983
S. Pezeshk, Christie Assadollahi, A. Zandieh
The main objective of this study is to estimate seismological parameters in Central and Eastern North America (CENA), including the geometrical spreading, anelastic attenuation, stress parameter, and site attenuation parameters. In this study, we use particle swarm optimization (PSO) to invert a weighted average of the median 5%-damped pseudo-spectral acceleration (PSA) predicted from the Next Generation Attenuation-East (NGA-East) ground-motion models (GMMs) to develop a point-source stochastic GMM with a well-constrained set of ground-motion parameters. Magnitude-specific inversions are performed for moment magnitude ranges M = 4.0–8.0, rupture distances Rrup = 1–1000 km, and periods T = 0.01–10 s, and National Earthquake Hazard Reduction Program site class A conditions. The result of this study yields a single stochastic GMM that yields PSA values similar to the median NGA-East GMMs. The parameters derived from this study can be used for the hybrid empirical method (HEM) applications. This study is the first to perform a formal inversion using the GMMs developed for the NGA-East project. The approach has been validated using simulated small-to-moderate magnitude and large-magnitude data derived from the NGA-West2 GMMs.
本研究的主要目的是估算北美中部和东部(CENA)的地震学参数,包括几何展布、非弹性衰减、应力参数和场地衰减参数。在本研究中,我们使用粒子群优化(PSO)反演下一代衰减-东部(NGA-East)地动模型(GMMs)预测的 5%-阻尼伪谱加速度(PSA)中位数的加权平均值,从而开发出具有约束良好的地动参数集的点源随机 GMM。针对震级范围 M = 4.0-8.0、断裂距离 Rrup = 1-1000 km、周期 T = 0.01-10 s 和国家地震灾害减灾计划场地等级 A 条件进行了特定震级反演。该研究结果产生了一个单一的随机 GMM,其 PSA 值与 NGA-East GMM 的中值相似。本研究得出的参数可用于混合经验法(HEM)应用。本研究首次使用为 NGA 东部项目开发的 GMM 进行正式反演。利用 NGA-West2 GMM 得出的模拟中、小震级和大震级数据对该方法进行了验证。
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引用次数: 0
A building imagery database for the calibration of machine learning algorithms 用于校准机器学习算法的建筑图像数据库
Pub Date : 2024-02-08 DOI: 10.1177/87552930241229103
Vitor Silva, Romain Sousa, Feliz Ribeiro Gouveia, Jorge Lopes, Maria Guerreiro
In the last decades, most efforts to catalog and characterize the built environment for multi-hazard risk assessment have focused on the exploration of census data, cadastral data sets, and local surveys. Typically, these sources of information are not updated regularly and lack sufficient information to characterize the seismic vulnerability of the building stock. Some recent efforts have demonstrated how machine learning algorithms can be used to automatically recognize specific architectural and structural features of buildings. However, such methods require large sets of labeled images to train, verify, and test the algorithms. This article presents a database of 5276 building images from a parish in Lisbon (Alvalade), whose buildings have been classified according to a uniform taxonomy. This database can be used for the testing and calibration of machine learning algorithms, as well as for the direct assessment of earthquake risk in Alvalade. The data are accessible through an open Github repository (DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.7625940).
在过去几十年中,为进行多灾害风险评估而对建筑环境进行编目和特征描述的大多数工作都集中在对人口普查数据、地籍数据集和地方调查的探索上。通常情况下,这些信息来源不会定期更新,缺乏足够的信息来描述建筑群的抗震脆弱性。最近的一些研究表明,机器学习算法可用于自动识别建筑物的特定建筑和结构特征。然而,这些方法需要大量的标注图像集来训练、验证和测试算法。本文介绍了一个包含 5276 张建筑图像的数据库,这些图像来自里斯本的一个教区(阿尔瓦拉德),其中的建筑已根据统一的分类标准进行了分类。该数据库可用于测试和校准机器学习算法,以及直接评估阿尔瓦拉德的地震风险。这些数据可通过开放的 Github 存储库访问(DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.7625940)。
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引用次数: 0
A building imagery database for the calibration of machine learning algorithms 用于校准机器学习算法的建筑图像数据库
Pub Date : 2024-02-08 DOI: 10.1177/87552930241229103
Vitor Silva, Romain Sousa, Feliz Ribeiro Gouveia, Jorge Lopes, Maria Guerreiro
In the last decades, most efforts to catalog and characterize the built environment for multi-hazard risk assessment have focused on the exploration of census data, cadastral data sets, and local surveys. Typically, these sources of information are not updated regularly and lack sufficient information to characterize the seismic vulnerability of the building stock. Some recent efforts have demonstrated how machine learning algorithms can be used to automatically recognize specific architectural and structural features of buildings. However, such methods require large sets of labeled images to train, verify, and test the algorithms. This article presents a database of 5276 building images from a parish in Lisbon (Alvalade), whose buildings have been classified according to a uniform taxonomy. This database can be used for the testing and calibration of machine learning algorithms, as well as for the direct assessment of earthquake risk in Alvalade. The data are accessible through an open Github repository (DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.7625940).
在过去几十年中,为进行多灾害风险评估而对建筑环境进行编目和特征描述的大多数工作都集中在对人口普查数据、地籍数据集和地方调查的探索上。通常情况下,这些信息来源不会定期更新,缺乏足够的信息来描述建筑群的抗震脆弱性。最近的一些研究表明,机器学习算法可用于自动识别建筑物的特定建筑和结构特征。然而,这些方法需要大量的标注图像集来训练、验证和测试算法。本文介绍了一个包含 5276 张建筑图像的数据库,这些图像来自里斯本的一个教区(阿尔瓦拉德),其中的建筑已根据统一的分类标准进行了分类。该数据库可用于测试和校准机器学习算法,以及直接评估阿尔瓦拉德的地震风险。这些数据可通过开放的 Github 存储库访问(DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.7625940)。
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引用次数: 0
Displacement and damage analysis of earth dams during the 2023 Turkiye earthquake sequence 2023 年土尔其地震序列中土坝的位移和破坏分析
Pub Date : 2024-02-01 DOI: 10.1177/87552930231223749
Ali Lashgari, R. Moss
The earthquake sequence that occurred on 6 February 2023 in Turkiye caused significant damage to various infrastructures including geostructures such as dams. A total of 17 earth dams within a 200-km radius of the earthquake epicenter experienced varying degrees of damage, ranging from minor (∼2 cm) to major (up to ∼150 cm) deformations. As study of these reveals that the damaged dams are located within the closest distance to the fault of less than 30 km, with an average value of ∼12 km. This study specifically focuses on the seismic displacement analysis of the 17 damaged dams, utilizing the sliding block methods. The recorded motion data was analyzed using the kriging technique to estimate the spectral response at the dam sites. Moreover, the recorded ground motions were scaled to the resonant period of the dam site to estimate acceleration time history. The findings reveal that the rigid block analysis can provide an average estimation of seismic displacement with a relative error of less than 44%. The results of the damage analysis indicate that seven dams reached the ultimate limit state and two dams experienced the serviceability limit state. Moreover, the univariate and multivariate fragility functions are developed to estimate seismic probabilistic analysis of earth dams based on the observed data and the limit states. The results show that the selection of a single intensity measure (IM) and a combination of IMs can affect the predicted probability of failure. The findings provide an insight into the resilience assessment of dams and other geosystems during this strong earthquake.
2023 年 2 月 6 日发生在土耳其的地震对各种基础设施造成了严重破坏,其中包括大坝等地质结构。在震中 200 公里半径范围内,共有 17 座土坝受到不同程度的破坏,从轻微变形(2 厘米)到严重变形(150 厘米)不等。研究表明,受损水坝与断层的最近距离小于 30 千米,平均值为 12 千米。本研究采用滑动块法对 17 座受损水坝进行地震位移分析。利用克里格法对记录的地震运动数据进行分析,以估算坝址的频谱响应。此外,还将记录的地面运动按坝址的共振周期进行缩放,以估算加速度时间历程。研究结果表明,刚性块体分析可提供地震位移的平均估算值,相对误差小于 44%。破坏分析结果表明,7 座大坝达到了极限状态,2 座大坝达到了适用性极限状态。此外,根据观测数据和极限状态,开发了单变量和多变量脆性函数来估计土坝的地震概率分析。结果表明,选择单一烈度测量(IM)和组合 IM 会影响预测的溃坝概率。这些研究结果为大坝和其他地质系统在此次强震中的抗震性评估提供了启示。
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引用次数: 0
Displacement and damage analysis of earth dams during the 2023 Turkiye earthquake sequence 2023 年土尔其地震序列中土坝的位移和破坏分析
Pub Date : 2024-02-01 DOI: 10.1177/87552930231223749
Ali Lashgari, R. Moss
The earthquake sequence that occurred on 6 February 2023 in Turkiye caused significant damage to various infrastructures including geostructures such as dams. A total of 17 earth dams within a 200-km radius of the earthquake epicenter experienced varying degrees of damage, ranging from minor (∼2 cm) to major (up to ∼150 cm) deformations. As study of these reveals that the damaged dams are located within the closest distance to the fault of less than 30 km, with an average value of ∼12 km. This study specifically focuses on the seismic displacement analysis of the 17 damaged dams, utilizing the sliding block methods. The recorded motion data was analyzed using the kriging technique to estimate the spectral response at the dam sites. Moreover, the recorded ground motions were scaled to the resonant period of the dam site to estimate acceleration time history. The findings reveal that the rigid block analysis can provide an average estimation of seismic displacement with a relative error of less than 44%. The results of the damage analysis indicate that seven dams reached the ultimate limit state and two dams experienced the serviceability limit state. Moreover, the univariate and multivariate fragility functions are developed to estimate seismic probabilistic analysis of earth dams based on the observed data and the limit states. The results show that the selection of a single intensity measure (IM) and a combination of IMs can affect the predicted probability of failure. The findings provide an insight into the resilience assessment of dams and other geosystems during this strong earthquake.
2023 年 2 月 6 日发生在土耳其的地震对各种基础设施造成了严重破坏,其中包括大坝等地质结构。在震中 200 公里半径范围内,共有 17 座土坝受到不同程度的破坏,从轻微变形(2 厘米)到严重变形(150 厘米)不等。研究表明,受损水坝与断层的最近距离小于 30 千米,平均值为 12 千米。本研究采用滑动块法对 17 座受损水坝进行地震位移分析。利用克里格法对记录的地震运动数据进行分析,以估算坝址的频谱响应。此外,还将记录的地面运动按坝址的共振周期进行缩放,以估算加速度时间历程。研究结果表明,刚性块体分析可提供地震位移的平均估算值,相对误差小于 44%。破坏分析结果表明,7 座大坝达到了极限状态,2 座大坝达到了适用性极限状态。此外,根据观测数据和极限状态,开发了单变量和多变量脆性函数来估计土坝的地震概率分析。结果表明,选择单一烈度测量(IM)和组合 IM 会影响预测的溃坝概率。这些研究结果为大坝和其他地质系统在此次强震中的抗震性评估提供了启示。
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引用次数: 0
Modeling post-disaster recovery: Accounting for rental and multi-family housing 灾后恢复建模:出租房和多户住宅的核算
Pub Date : 2024-01-08 DOI: 10.1177/87552930231222769
Emily Mongold, R. Costa, Ádám Zsarnóczay, J. Baker
Post-disaster housing recovery models increase our understanding of recovery dynamics, vulnerable populations, and how people are affected by the direct losses that disasters create. Past recovery models have focused on single-family owner-occupied housing, while empirical evidence shows that rental units and multi-family housing are disadvantaged in post-disaster recovery. To fill this gap, this article presents an agent-based housing recovery model that includes the four common type–tenure combinations of single- and multi-family owner- and renter-occupied housing. The proposed model accounts for the different recovery processes, emphasizing funding sources available to each type–tenure. The outputs of our model include the timing of financing and recovery at building resolution across a community. We demonstrate the model with a case study of Alameda, California, recovering from a simulated M7.0 earthquake on the Hayward fault. The processes in the model replicate higher non-recovery of multi-family housing than single-family housing, as observed in past disasters, and a heavy reliance of single-family renter-occupied units on Small Business Administration funding, which is expected due to low earthquake insurance penetration. The simulation results indicate that multi-family housing would have the highest portion of unmet need remaining; however, some buildings with unmet needs are anticipated to be able to obtain a large portion of their funding. The remaining portion may be filled using personal financing or may be overcome with downsizing or downgrades. Multi-family housing would also benefit the most from Community Development Block Grants for Disaster Recovery (CDBG-DR). This benefit is a result of modeling the financing sources, that CDBG-DR is available, and that many multi-family buildings do not qualify for other sources. Communities’ allocation of public funding is important for housing recovery. Our model can help inform and compare potential financing policies to allocate public funds.
灾后住房恢复模型增加了我们对恢复动态、弱势群体以及人们如何受到灾害造成的直接损失影响的了解。过去的恢复模型主要关注单户业主自住住房,而经验证据表明,出租房和多户住房在灾后恢复中处于不利地位。为了填补这一空白,本文提出了一个基于代理的住房恢复模型,其中包括单户和多户业主及租户自住住房的四种常见户型组合。所提议的模型考虑了不同的恢复过程,强调了每种户型可利用的资金来源。我们模型的输出结果包括整个社区的融资时间和建筑修复时间。我们以加利福尼亚州阿拉米达市从模拟的海沃德断层 M7.0 级地震中恢复的案例研究来演示该模型。模型中的过程复制了在过去的灾难中观察到的情况,即多户住宅的未恢复率高于单户住宅,以及单户住宅中的出租人居住单元对小企业管理局资金的严重依赖,这是由于地震保险渗透率低所造成的。模拟结果表明,多户家庭住房未满足需求的剩余部分最高;不过,一些需求未得到满足的建筑预计可以获得大部分资金。剩余部分可以通过个人融资来填补,也可以通过缩小规模或降低档次来解决。多户住宅也将从灾后恢复社区发展整笔拨款(CDBG-DR)中获益最多。这种益处源于对资金来源的建模,即 CDBG-DR 的可用性,以及许多多户住宅建筑不符合其他资金来源的条件。社区对公共资金的分配对住房重建非常重要。我们的模型有助于为分配公共资金的潜在融资政策提供信息并进行比较。
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引用次数: 0
A cone penetration test database for multiple thin-layer correction procedure development 用于开发多薄层校正程序的锥入试验数据库
Pub Date : 2024-01-04 DOI: 10.1177/87552930231217002
Kaleigh M. Yost, A. Yerro, Eileen R Martin, Russell A Green
Cone penetration tests (CPTs) are a commonly used in situ method to characterize soil. The recorded data are used for various applications, including earthquake-induced liquefaction evaluation. However, data recorded at a given depth in a CPT sounding are influenced by the properties of all the soil that falls within the zone of influence around the cone tip rather than only the soil at that particular depth. This causes data to be blurred or averaged in layered zones, a phenomenon referred to as multiple thin-layer effects. Multiple thin-layer effects can result in the inaccurate characterization of the thickness and stiffness of thin, interbedded layers. Correction procedures have been proposed to adjust CPT tip resistance for multiple thin-layer effects, but many procedures become less effective as layer thickness decreases. To compare or improve these procedures and to develop new ones, it is critical to have pairs of measured tip resistance ( q m) and true tip resistance ( q t) data, where q m is the tip resistance recorded by the CPT in a layered profile, and q t represents the tip resistance that would be measured in the profile absent of multiple thin-layer effects. Unfortunately, data sets containing q m and q t pairs are extremely rare. Accordingly, this article presents a unique database containing laboratory and numerically generated CPT data from 49 highly interlayered soil profiles. Both q m and q t are provided for each profile. An accompanying Jupyter notebook is provided to facilitate the use of the data and prepare them for future statistical learning (or other) applications to support multiple thin-layer correction procedure development.
锥入度试验(CPT)是一种常用的现场土壤表征方法。记录的数据可用于各种用途,包括地震诱发的液化评估。然而,CPT 在特定深度记录的数据会受到锥尖周围影响区内所有土壤特性的影响,而非仅受该特定深度土壤特性的影响。这会导致分层区域的数据模糊或平均化,这种现象被称为多重薄层效应。多重薄层效应会导致对薄层、夹层的厚度和刚度表征不准确。已经提出了一些修正程序来调整 CPT 顶端阻力,以适应多重薄层效应,但许多程序随着层厚度的减小而变得不那么有效。要比较或改进这些程序并开发新的程序,关键是要有成对的测量顶端阻力(q m)和真实顶端阻力(q t)数据,其中 q m 是 CPT 在分层剖面中记录的顶端阻力,q t 代表在没有多薄层效应的剖面中测量的顶端阻力。遗憾的是,包含 q m 和 q t 对的数据集极为罕见。因此,本文提供了一个独特的数据库,其中包含 49 个高度互层土壤剖面的实验室和数值生成的 CPT 数据。每个剖面都提供了 q m 和 q t。随附的 Jupyter 笔记本可方便使用这些数据,并为未来的统计学习(或其他)应用做好准备,以支持多薄层校正程序的开发。
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引用次数: 0
Simulated site amplification for Central and Eastern North America: Data set development and amplification models 北美洲中部和东部的模拟站点放大:数据集开发和放大模型
Pub Date : 2024-01-04 DOI: 10.1177/87552930231215723
Okan Ilhan, Youssef M. Hashash, J. Stewart, E. Rathje, Sissy Nikolaou, Ken Campbell
This article presents a suite of response spectrum (RS) and Fourier amplitude spectrum (FAS) site amplification models for Central and Eastern North America (CENA). The amplification database used in model development was produced through large-scale one-dimensional site response analyses and overcomes limitations of prior databases by providing broader coverage of anticipated site conditions. New amplification functions conditioned on either VS30 or site natural period ( Tnat) as the primary independent variable are provided, the latter of which better captures features of the computed site amplification from the simulated database (i.e. model dispersion is reduced). Models for standard deviation also are developed. RS and FAS linear amplification functions that adjust the reference condition of VS = 3000 m/s to VS30 = 760 m/s, and account for amplification for profiles either with a sharp VS impedance or a more gradual increase in VS are also developed.
本文介绍了一套北美中部和东部(CENA)的响应谱(RS)和傅立叶振幅谱(FAS)场地放大模型。模型开发中使用的放大数据库是通过大规模一维场地响应分析生成的,通过提供更广泛的预期场地条件覆盖范围,克服了以前数据库的局限性。提供了以 VS30 或场地自然周期(Tnat)为主要自变量的新放大函数,后者能更好地捕捉模拟数据库中计算出的场地放大特征(即模型离散性减小)。此外,还建立了标准偏差模型。此外,还开发了 RS 和 FAS 线性放大函数,将 VS = 3000 m/s 的参考条件调整为 VS30 = 760 m/s,并考虑了 VS 阻抗急剧增加或 VS 逐渐增加的剖面放大。
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引用次数: 0
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Earthquake Spectra
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