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Predictability of water resources with global climate models. Case of Northern Tunisia 全球气候模式对水资源的可预测性。突尼斯北部个案
4区 地球科学 Q3 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2023-06-12 DOI: 10.5802/crgeos.219
Mustapha Besbes, Jamel Chahed
The objective of the research is to explore the predictability of water resources directly with GCMs by analysing long-term effects of climate change on Northern Tunisia’s blue and green water. Hydrologic impacts rely on a rainfall-runoff lumped model using outputs of CMIP6 GCMs within the framework of the ssp2-45 scenario. Among the 30 CMIP6 models, the composite cnrm-esm2-1 and fgoals-g3 best restore observed runoff from 1995 to 2014 and give the best GCM. Hydrologic projections 2015–2100 show significant drops in rainfall (9%), runoff (21%), groundwater recharge (15%), as well as for green water (6%). The results show that the use of raw GCMs predictions on large basins is possible and provides precisions comparable to what is produced when using Regional Climate Models in medium size basins.
这项研究的目的是通过分析气候变化对突尼斯北部蓝水和绿水的长期影响,直接利用gcm探索水资源的可预测性。水文影响依赖于在ssp2-45情景框架内使用CMIP6 GCMs输出的降雨-径流集总模型。在30个CMIP6模型中,复合模型cnrm-esm2-1和fgoals-g3对1995 - 2014年观测径流量的恢复效果最好,GCM值最高。2015-2100年的水文预测显示,降雨量(9%)、径流(21%)、地下水补给(15%)和绿水(6%)显著下降。结果表明,在大流域使用原始GCMs预测是可能的,其精度与在中型流域使用区域气候模式所产生的精度相当。
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引用次数: 0
Alpine, Variscan, eo-Variscan belts: comparison between hot and cold orogens from the examples of French segments 阿尔卑斯山脉、瓦里斯坎山脉、东-瓦里斯坎山脉带:从法国板块的例子比较热造山带和冷造山带
4区 地球科学 Q3 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2023-05-31 DOI: 10.5802/crgeos.215
Michel Faure
The Cenozoic Alpine, and Paleozoic Variscan and eo-Variscan collisional belts are compared in the framework of the Wilson cycle considering differences between cold and hot orogens. The W. Alps result of the opening and closure of the Liguro-Piemonte ocean, whereas the Paleozoic Eo-variscan and Variscan orogenies document multiple ocean openings and collisions in space and a polyorogenic history in time. Jurassic or Early Ordovician break-up of Pangea or Pannotia megacontinents led to the formation of passive continental margins, and the opening of Liguro-Piemonte, or Rheic, Tepla-Le Conquet, and Medio-European oceans, respectively. In Paleozoic or Mesozoic, microcontinents such as Apulia and Sesia or Armorica and Saxo-Thuringia were individualized. The oceanic convergence stage was associated with the development of arcs and back-arc basins in the Variscan belt but magmatic arcs are missing in the W. Alps, and inferred in the Eo-variscan one. Though the nappe stack is mainly developed in the subducted European or Gondwana crust in the western Alps and Eo-variscan cases, the Moldanubian nappes formed in the upper plate in the Variscan case. The Alpine and Variscan metamorphic evolutions occurred under ca. 8 °C/km and 30 °C/km gradients, respectively. During the late- to post-orogenic stages, all belts experienced “unthickening” accommodated by extensional tectonics, metamorphic retrogression, and intramontane basin opening. The importance of crustal melting, represented by migmatites, granites, and hydrothermal circulations in the Variscan and Eo-Variscan belts is the major difference with the W. Alpine one. The presence, or absence, of a previous Variscan or Cadomian continental basement might have also influenced the rheological behavior of the crust.
考虑冷造山带和热造山带的差异,在威尔逊旋回的框架下对新生代阿尔卑斯、古生代瓦里斯坎和上古瓦里斯坎碰撞带进行了比较。西阿尔卑斯山脉是liguroo - piemonte洋的开合作用的结果,而古生代- Variscan造山运动和Variscan造山运动在空间上记录了多次海洋的开合和碰撞,在时间上记录了一次多造山历史。侏罗纪或早奥陶世泛古大陆或泛诺古大陆的分裂导致被动大陆边缘的形成,并分别形成了ligur - piemonte洋、Rheic洋、Tepla-Le conquest洋和中欧洋。在古生代或中生代,Apulia和Sesia或Armorica和Saxo-Thuringia等微大陆被个体化。洋辐合阶段与瓦里斯坎构造带的弧和弧后盆地发育有关,但西阿尔卑斯山脉缺少岩浆弧,并在古-瓦里斯坎构造带中推断。虽然推覆体主要发育在西阿尔卑斯和古瓦利斯坎构造的俯冲的欧洲或冈瓦纳地壳中,但在瓦利斯坎构造中,Moldanubian推覆体形成于板块上部。阿尔卑斯和瓦里斯坎变质演化分别发生在约8°C/km和30°C/km梯度下。在造山晚期至后造山阶段,所有带都经历了伸展构造、变质退变和山内盆地张开的“非增厚”。与西阿尔卑斯带的主要区别在于,在瓦里斯坎带和上古瓦里斯坎带中,以混染岩、花岗岩和热液环流为代表的地壳熔融作用的重要性。以前的瓦里斯坎或卡多米亚大陆基底的存在或不存在也可能影响地壳的流变行为。
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引用次数: 0
[A rare variant in the TTR gene (p.E112K) is associated with systemic amyloidosis and a new symptom - skin hyperemia in response to ethanol intake: family segregation analysis, literature review, and a clinical case. Case report]. [TTR基因的一个罕见变体(p.E112K)与全身性淀粉样变性病和一种新症状--摄入乙醇后皮肤充血有关:家族分离分析、文献综述和一个临床病例。病例报告]。
IF 0.3 4区 地球科学 Q3 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2023-05-31 DOI: 10.26442/00403660.2023.04.202160
O S Chumakova, S N Nasonova, Y V Frolova, E A Stepanova, E A Mershina, V E Sinitsyn, D A Zateyshchikov, I V Zhirov

Transthyretin amyloidosis (ATTR-amyloidosis) is a systemic disorder associated with extracellular deposition in the tissues and organs of amyloid fibrils, transthyretin-containing insoluble protein-polysaccharide complexes. The change in transthyretin conformation, leading to its destabilization and amyloidogenicity, can be acquired (wild type, ATTRwt) and hereditary due to mutations in the TTR gene (variant, ATTRv) [1, 2]. Hereditary ATTR-amyloidosis has an earlier onset and greater phenotypic diversity. The age of the manifestation, the predominant phenotype, and the prognosis are often determined by the genetic variant. To date, more than 140 variants in the TTR gene have been identified; however, most of them are described in single patients and do not have clear evidence of pathogenicity. The prospects of a new pathogenetic treatment of ATTR-amyloidosis [3], especially effective in the early stages of the disease, increases the relevance of timely diagnosis, which is challenging due to physicians' lack of awareness. This article presents a clinical case of ATTRv-amyloidosis associated with a rare pathogenic variant in the TTR gene and a newly described skin symptom. This article is a literature review.

转甲状腺素淀粉样变性(ATTR-淀粉样变性)是一种全身性疾病,与细胞外沉积在组织和器官中的淀粉样纤维、含有转甲状腺素的不溶性蛋白质多糖复合物有关。转甲状腺素构象的改变会导致其不稳定和淀粉样蛋白生成,这种改变可能是获得性的(野生型,ATTRwt),也可能是由于 TTR 基因突变而遗传的(变异型,ATTRv)[1, 2]。遗传性 ATTR 淀粉样变性起病较早,表型多样化。发病年龄、主要表型和预后往往由基因变异决定。迄今为止,已发现 140 多种 TTR 基因变异,但大多数变异都是在单个患者身上发现的,并没有明确的致病证据。ATTR-淀粉样变性的新病理治疗方法[3]有望在疾病的早期阶段特别有效,这增加了及时诊断的相关性,但由于医生缺乏这方面的认识,及时诊断具有挑战性。本文介绍了一例ATTRv-淀粉样变性的临床病例,该病例与TTR基因中的一种罕见致病变异和一种新描述的皮肤症状有关。本文为文献综述。
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引用次数: 0
Heat flow, thermal anomalies, tectonic regimes and high-temperature geothermal systems in fault zones 断裂带的热流、热异常、构造制度和高温地热系统
4区 地球科学 Q3 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2023-05-15 DOI: 10.5802/crgeos.213
Laurent Guillou-Frottier, Gaétan Milesi, Vincent Roche, Hugo Duwiquet, Audrey Taillefer
The potential of high-temperature (>150°C) geothermal systems in crustal fault zones (fault cores and hundreds of meters wide networks of interconnected fractures in the damage zone) is underestimated. Based on numerical models, we show that topography-driven, poroelasticity-driven as well as buoyancy-driven forces play a significant role in the establishment of shallow (1–4 km) thermal anomalies in fault zones. We investigate the role of permeability, topography, fault dip, tectonic regime and fault geometry on the amplitude of thermal anomalies. Favorable conditions include: (i) a damage zone thickness > 100 m, (ii) a minimum cumulative displacement of 100–150 m and (iii) fault zone lengths of at least one kilometer. Based on these parameters, we propose new potential targets for the geothermal exploration of fault zones in Western Europe.
地壳断裂带(断层核和破坏区内数百米宽的相互连接的裂缝网络)中高温(bb0 - 150℃)地热系统的潜力被低估了。基于数值模型,我们发现地形驱动、孔隙弹性驱动和浮力驱动在断裂带浅层(1 ~ 4 km)热异常的形成中起着重要作用。我们研究了渗透率、地形、断层倾角、构造制度和断层几何形状对热异常振幅的作用。有利条件包括:(i)破坏带厚度为100 - 100米,(ii)最小累积位移为100 - 150米,(iii)断裂带长度至少为1公里。在此基础上,提出了西欧断裂带地热勘探新的潜在目标。
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引用次数: 0
Plastics on the rocks: the invisible but harmful footprint of shoe soles 岩石上的塑料:看不见但有害的鞋底足迹
4区 地球科学 Q3 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2023-02-07 DOI: 10.5802/crgeos.199
Philippe Cecchi
Outdoor recreational activities for leisure and for sport training have grown in popularity. Their environmental impacts remain little studied, especially the waste generated by over-frequentation. Our objective was to document how frequentation of a short mountain hiking trail can lead to significant quantities of waste. To this aim, all small objects found along a three-kilometer trail were collected and their origin determined. Polymers were predominant, and were mostly shoe sole fragments. This has never been documented and must be publicized due to the potential harmfulness to terrestrial and riparian ecosystems, and to increase the walkers’ awareness.
以休闲和运动训练为目的的户外娱乐活动越来越受欢迎。对其环境影响的研究仍然很少,特别是过度频繁产生的废物。我们的目标是记录一条短的山地徒步路线是如何导致大量的浪费的。为此,在一条3公里长的小路上发现的所有小物体都被收集起来,并确定了它们的来源。聚合物是主要的,并且大多数是鞋底碎片。这从未被记录在案,由于对陆地和河岸生态系统的潜在危害,必须公开,并提高步行者的意识。
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引用次数: 0
Estimating theoretical stress regime for engineered geothermal energy systems in an arctic community (Kuujjuaq, Canada) 北极社区工程地热能系统的理论应力状态估算(Kuujjuaq, Canada)
4区 地球科学 Q3 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2023-02-01 DOI: 10.5802/crgeos.193
Mafalda M. Miranda, Jasmin Raymond, Chrystel Dezayes
In remote northern regions, lacking deep geothermal exploratory boreholes, a theoretical approach to provide a first-order estimate of the stress regime seems a useful tool. Literature data was used in this context to evaluate the orientation of the stress components and empirical relationships were applied to calculate their magnitude in a community of Nunavik, northern Quebec. A Monte Carlo-based sensitivity analysis was carried out due to the uncertainty of the input parameters. Mohr–Coulomb friction and slip tendency analyses were additionally undertaken to assess the stress state and potential reactivation of existing fractures. The results highlight how the poor knowledge of the stress field has an important impact on the design and development of engineered geothermal energy systems in the Canadian off-grid community of Kuujjuaq.
在缺乏深地热勘探钻孔的偏远北部地区,提供应力状态一阶估计的理论方法似乎是一个有用的工具。在此背景下使用文献数据来评估应力分量的方向,并应用经验关系来计算魁北克省北部努纳维克社区的应力分量大小。由于输入参数的不确定性,进行了基于蒙特卡罗的灵敏度分析。此外,还进行了Mohr-Coulomb摩擦和滑移趋势分析,以评估应力状态和现有裂缝的潜在重新激活。这些结果突出了应力场知识的贫乏如何对加拿大Kuujjuaq离网社区工程地热能系统的设计和开发产生重要影响。
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引用次数: 3
Impact of integration time steps of rain drop size distribution on their double-moment normalization: a case study in northern Benin 雨滴大小分布积分时间步长对其双矩归一化的影响——以贝宁北部为例
4区 地球科学 Q3 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2023-02-01 DOI: 10.5802/crgeos.200
Sounmaïla Moumouni, Fulgence Payot Akponi, Eric-Pascal Zahiri, Agnidé Emmanuel Lawin, Marielle Gosset
This study analyzed the sensitivity of the double-moment normalization of rain drop size distributions (DSDs) to their integration time steps. Six DSD datasets measured at different integration time steps were modeled by the double-moment normalization method. Six couples of reference moments are used for the normalization. Three DSD models (gamma, generalized gamma and lognormal) are used for modeling. Statistical criteria are used to assess the estimation of the moments of the DSDs made by the models. As results, the analysis highlighted the dependence of the shape function parameters on the DSD integration time step. It is also noted that the three DSD models are well adapted to the data used. Nevertheless, the generalized gamma model is recommended because of the independence of the moment estimation errors with respect to the integration time step, which is not the case for the other models.
本文分析了雨滴大小分布的双矩归一化对其积分时间步长的敏感性。采用双矩归一化方法对不同积分时间步长的6个DSD数据集进行建模。采用六对参考矩进行归一化。三种DSD模型(伽玛,广义伽玛和对数正态)用于建模。统计准则用于评估模型对dsd矩的估计。结果表明,形状函数参数对DSD积分时间步长的依赖性较强。还应指出,三个DSD模型很好地适应了所使用的数据。然而,由于矩估计误差相对于积分时间步长是独立的,所以推荐使用广义伽玛模型,而其他模型并非如此。
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引用次数: 0
Hydrodynamic relationships between gravel pit lakes and aquifers: brief review and insights from numerical investigations 砾石坑湖和含水层之间的水动力关系:简要回顾和数值研究的见解
4区 地球科学 Q3 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2023-01-24 DOI: 10.5802/crgeos.181
Anne Jost, Shuaitao Wang, Thomas Verbeke, François Colleoni, Nicolas Flipo
Supply of aggregate materials for every construction requires mining of sand and gravel, which leads to the formation of a myriad of freshwater lakes, a now common feature of the landscape in the valleys of large rivers. Typically small in size and shallow, they are filled with waters from the adjacent aquifers and directly exposed to the atmosphere. The creation of gravel pit lakes has various and contrasting effects on their immediate environment. This article first provides a review of these impacts from the hydrodynamic point of view, and illustrates them on simple numerical test cases. It also introduces the gravel pit lake module developed for the occasion within the integrated modelling platform CaWaQS, which formulation was tested on the same test cases against the Lak package, its Modflow counterpart. By accurately simulating gravel pit lake interactions with groundwater in different configurations, this modelling exercise also aims to identify the preponderant factors leading water level fluctuations of those artificial lakes, whose temporal monitoring will soon be accessible to satellite observation.
每一个建筑的骨料供应都需要开采沙子和砾石,这导致了无数淡水湖泊的形成,这是现在大河山谷景观的共同特征。它们通常体积小且浅,充满了邻近含水层的水,并直接暴露在大气中。砾石坑湖泊的形成对其周围环境产生了各种不同的影响。本文首先从水力学的角度对这些影响进行了回顾,并在简单的数值试验案例上进行了说明。它还介绍了在集成建模平台CaWaQS中为这种场合开发的砾石坑湖泊模块,该模块的配方在相同的测试用例中与Lak软件包(Modflow的对应物)进行了测试。通过精确模拟不同配置的砾石坑湖与地下水的相互作用,本建模工作还旨在确定导致这些人工湖水位波动的优势因素,这些人工湖的时间监测将很快实现卫星观测。
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引用次数: 3
Site effects observations and mapping on the weathered volcanic formations of Mayotte Island 马约特岛风化火山构造的现场效应观测和制图
4区 地球科学 Q3 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2023-01-17 DOI: 10.5802/crgeos.151
Agathe Roullé, Marie Baillet, Didier Bertil, Cécile Cornou
Since the 2000s, local seismic hazard studies have shown that Mayotte Island presented superficial geological formations prone to lithological site effects. The seismic sequence initiated in May 2018 confirmed the importance of such effects, both in terms of intensity and spatial extension. The analysis of the recorded strong motions showed that weathered volcanic formations are prone to significant site effects with mean amplification factors for peak ground acceleration (PGA) between 1.4 and 4.9 and that a complex combination of lithological and topographic site effects is in action. We thus implement a regional scale map of site effects for the fast calculation of strong motion and damage maps for crisis management purposes. We also provide a first estimate of key site parameters for eight stations: surface geology, resonance frequency, an amplification factor proxy for PGA, a V S,30 value, if available, and an estimated EC8 soil class. Supplementary Materials: Supplementary material for this article is supplied as a separate file: crgeos-151-suppl.pdf Depuis les années 2000, les études d’aléa sismique local réalisées à Mayotte ont montré que les formations géologiques superficielles présentes sur l’île étaient susceptibles de présenter des effets de site lithologiques. La séquence sismique initiée en mai 2018 a confirmé l’importance de ces effets, aussi bien en termes d’intensité que d’étendue spatiale. L’analyse des enregistrements des mouvements forts a montré notamment que les formations volcaniques altérées pouvaient être soumises à des effets de site significatifs avec des facteurs d’amplification moyens du PGA compris entre 1,4 et 4,9, et que ces effets résultaient probablement d’une combinaison complexe d’effets lithologiques et topographiques. Nous avons ensuite produit une carte d’effets de site à l’échelle régionale pour permettre le calcul en temps réel de cartes de mouvements forts et de dommages à des fins de gestion de crise. Enfin, pour les 8 sites de stations sismologiques étudiés dans cet article, nous proposons une première estimation des paramètres de sites clefs, à savoir : la géologie superficielle, la fréquence de résonance, un facteur d’amplification du PGA, une valeur du paramètre V S,30 , si disponible, et une estimation de la classe de sol EC8 au site. Compléments : Des compléments sont fournis pour cet article dans le fichier séparé : crgeos-151-suppl.pdf
自2000年代以来,当地的地震灾害研究表明,马约特岛的浅层地质构造容易受到岩性场地效应的影响。2018年5月开始的地震序列证实了这种影响在强度和空间扩展方面的重要性。对强运动记录的分析表明,风化火山岩地层容易产生显著的场地效应,其峰值地面加速度(PGA)的平均放大因子在1.4 ~ 4.9之间,是岩性和地形场地效应的复杂组合。因此,我们实现了一个区域比例尺地图的现场效果,以快速计算强运动和破坏地图的危机管理目的。我们还提供了8个站点的关键站点参数的初步估计:地表地质,共振频率,PGA的放大因子代理,V S,30值(如果可用),以及估计的EC8土壤等级。补充材料:辅料为本文提供作为一个单独的文件:crgeos - 151 suppl.pdf从莱斯2000年排,les练习曲d 'alea sismique当地意识到马约特岛位于安大略省的东西,les形成geologiques superficielles现在苏尔凭易感人群de主持人des是运用lithologiques德网站。La ssamquence sismique initisame en mai 2018证实了mise ' importance de ces effects, aussi bien en termes d ' intensitesque d ' spatiale。分析des enregistrements des所属的堡垒一个装饰音管尤其是变量形成volcaniques alterees pouvaient可能soumises des运用de站点没有意义用影响d 'amplification办法du PGA之间的1、4和4,9日,et, ces运用resultaient probablement一combinaison complexe d 'effets lithologiques topographiques。现在,我们的产品已经被定义为“影响”,例如,我们的网站,我们的网站,我们的网站,我们的网站,我们的网站,我们的网站,我们的网站,我们的网站,我们的网站,我们的网站,我们的网站。最后,对8个站点的数据进行了采样,提出了1个参数的先验估计,1个站点的数据进行了采样,1个站点的数据进行了采样,1个站点的数据进行了采样,1个站点的数据进行了采样,1个站点的数据进行了采样,1个站点的数据进行了采样,1个站点的数据进行了采样。恭维:恭维者的恭维者的恭维者的恭维者的恭维者的恭维者的恭维者的恭维者的恭维者的恭维者的恭维者
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引用次数: 2
Seismic interpretation of the Cretaceous unconformities and sequences in the Middle Magdalena Valley and the western margin of the Eastern Cordillera, Colombia 哥伦比亚马格达莱纳河谷中部和科迪勒拉东部西部边缘白垩纪不整合面和层序的地震解释
IF 1.4 4区 地球科学 Q3 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2021-05-27 DOI: 10.5802/CRGEOS.47
Jairo Guerrero, Luis Montes, E. Jaillard, A. Kammer
Geoscientists commonly focus on Tertiary units to understand the Andean uplift and deformation of the eastern Cordillera of Colombia, whereas the Cretaceous evolution remains poorly known. Cretaceous units are exposed in western Eastern Cordillera, but outcrops are scarce in the Middle Magdalena Valley. Recent seismic acquisition programs and new wells drilled through the Cretaceous succession led to a better understanding of unconformities and sequences in both the Middle Magdalena Valley and the western flank of the Eastern Cordillera. This paper identifies unconformities bounding seismic sequences and deciphers Cretaceous structural deformation in the Middle Magdalena Valley and western Eastern Cordillera based on the interpretation of sizable seismic reflection sections and well information. The analysis of sedimentary sequences and unconformity surfaces allowed identification of stages of pre-Eocene deformation. Regional correlations of sequences and unconformities recognized here with those identified by other authors support the occurrence of Cretaceous regional tectonic events.
地球科学家通常关注第三纪单元,以了解哥伦比亚科迪勒拉东部的安第斯隆起和变形,而白垩纪的演化仍然鲜为人知。白垩纪单元暴露在科迪勒拉东部西部,但马格达莱纳河谷中部的露出地表很少。最近的地震采集计划和在白垩纪序列中钻探的新井使人们更好地了解了马格达莱纳河谷中部和科迪勒拉东部西侧的不整合面和层序。本文通过对大面积地震反射剖面和井资料的解释,识别了地震序列边界的不整合面,并破译了马格达莱纳河谷中部和科迪勒拉东部西部白垩纪构造变形。通过对沉积序列和不整合面的分析,可以确定始新世前的变形阶段。本文所识别的层序和不整合面与其他作者所识别的区域相关性支持白垩纪区域构造事件的发生。
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引用次数: 2
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Comptes Rendus Geoscience
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