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Spatial Effects of Import Competition: Edible Oils in India 进口竞争的空间效应:印度食用油
IF 4 3区 经济学 Q1 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2025-09-23 DOI: 10.1111/agec.70066
Sutirtha Bandyopadhyay, Bharat Ramaswami

This paper examines, within a panel data setting, the spatial impacts on prices and on wages, of India's trade liberalization in edible oils. Starting from near-autarkic policies that prohibited the import of edible oils, imports surged to meet most of the domestic demand following trade liberalization in the 1990s. While the domestic oils sector provides negligible employment, it uses domestically grown nontraded oilseeds, which occupy 14% of cultivated land and are next in importance only to the cereal grains of rice and wheat. These oilseeds are grown in the dryland arid regions where farm incomes are low and precarious. To examine spatial effects, the paper constructs geographically varying exposure to trade shocks that depend on the cultivated area planted with oilseeds. Consistent with a model of spatial price competition, the paper finds greater price impacts in the high oilseed growing regions. On the other hand, spatial impacts on wages are not significant, suggesting labor reallocation. While we do find significantly greater cropping pattern and production responses in the high oilseed growing regions; however, such evidence does not extend to labor reallocation outside agriculture.

本文考察了面板数据设置,对价格和工资的空间影响,在印度的食用油贸易自由化。从禁止进口食用油的近乎自给自足的政策开始,随着20世纪90年代贸易自由化,进口激增,以满足大部分国内需求。虽然国内油料行业提供的就业机会微不足道,但它使用的是国内种植的非贸易油籽,占耕地的14%,其重要性仅次于大米和小麦等谷物。这些油籽种植在农业收入低且不稳定的旱地干旱地区。为了检验空间效应,本文构建了依赖于油籽种植面积的地理变化的贸易冲击暴露。与空间价格竞争模型一致,本文发现油籽高种植区的价格影响更大。另一方面,对工资的空间影响不显著,表明劳动力再分配。虽然我们确实发现油籽高种植区的种植模式和生产响应明显更大;然而,这种证据并不适用于农业以外的劳动力再分配。
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引用次数: 0
Delayed Sowing in Response to Early-Maturing Maize Bundled With Germination Index Insurance 发芽指数保险对早熟玉米捆绑延迟播种的响应
IF 4 3区 经济学 Q1 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2025-09-21 DOI: 10.1111/agec.70067
Francesco Cecchi, Travis J. Lybbert, Samuel Vosper

Using a unique panel of geolocated and time-stamped data, we study how Kenyan farmers adjust sowing timing in response to a novel de-risking bundle of early-maturing drought-tolerant maize seed and germination rainfall insurance. We find that repeat users of this bundle tend to plant later and in a tighter timeframe, a behavioral pattern consistent with learning about and trusting the early maturation trait of the seed. On average, these on-farm adjustments result in more rainfall received during the ensuing maize germination stage and, consequently, decreased total insurance payouts. This behavioral adjustment to new protection against drought risk thus appears to be a “positive moral hazard” response that increases overall welfare.

利用一组独特的地理位置和时间标记数据,我们研究了肯尼亚农民如何调整播种时间,以响应一种新型的降低风险的早熟耐旱玉米种子和发芽降雨保险。我们发现这种捆绑的重复用户倾向于在较晚和较紧的时间框架内种植,这种行为模式与了解和信任种子的早熟特性相一致。平均而言,这些农场调整导致在随后的玉米发芽阶段获得更多的降雨量,因此减少了总保险赔付。因此,这种针对新的干旱风险保护的行为调整似乎是一种“积极的道德风险”反应,可以增加总体福利。
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引用次数: 0
Technology Exposure and Adoption Over Time: Lessons From Bt Eggplant in Bangladesh 随着时间的推移,技术暴露和采用:孟加拉国Bt茄子的经验教训
IF 4 3区 经济学 Q1 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2025-09-21 DOI: 10.1111/agec.70064
M. Occelli, K. Kumar, M. Gomez, J. Hoddinott, H. A. Tufan

Adoption of improved crop varieties fuels agricultural productivity, but the impact of their adoption over time remains unexplored. Building on a randomized experiment fielded in 2017, we explore the long-term adoption and impacts of a successful intervention with a genetically modified eggplant variety (Bt eggplant) in Bangladesh. We study the extent to which households exposed through this intervention to Bt eggplant continued to grow it after 5 years, and whether exposure to the improved variety had post-intervention impacts on a battery of eggplant-, agricultural-, economic-, and women's empowerment-specific outcomes. We find wide-scale dis-adoption of the Bt eggplant technology, driven primarily by difficulties in accessing seed as well as the absence of post-intervention support by extension specialists and implementors. Notably, we observe a change in seed-sourcing behavior in households exposed to Bt eggplant, with a shift towards the formal seed sector. We see no other effects on a variety of eggplant- and agriculture-related outcomes. We find no evidence that exposure to Bt eggplant at the household level had any positive or negative impact on dimensions of women's empowerment. This study is the first to demonstrate empirically that if delivery strategies and support structures are not sustained, short-term benefits alone are not sufficient to guarantee long-term adoption of improved varieties.

改良作物品种的采用提高了农业生产力,但随着时间的推移,它们的采用所产生的影响仍未得到探索。在2017年的随机试验基础上,我们探讨了孟加拉国转基因茄子品种(Bt茄子)的长期采用和成功干预的影响。我们研究了通过这种干预措施接触Bt茄子的家庭在5年后继续种植茄子的程度,以及接触改良品种是否对干预后的一系列茄子、农业、经济和妇女赋权具体结果产生影响。我们发现,Bt茄子技术被大规模弃用,主要原因是难以获得种子,以及推广专家和实施者缺乏干预后的支持。值得注意的是,我们观察到,在接触Bt茄子的家庭中,种子采购行为发生了变化,转向了正规的种子部门。我们没有看到对茄子和农业相关的各种结果的其他影响。我们没有发现证据表明在家庭层面上接触Bt茄子对妇女赋权的维度有任何积极或消极的影响。这项研究首次从经验上证明,如果交付战略和支持结构不能持续,仅靠短期效益不足以保证长期采用改良品种。
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引用次数: 0
Modeling Crop-Livestock Interactions in Semi-Subsistence Economies 半自给经济中作物-牲畜相互作用的建模
IF 4 3区 经济学 Q1 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2025-09-16 DOI: 10.1111/agec.70065
Emerta Aragie, James Thurlow

Climate and weather shocks pose significant threats to crop and livestock systems, leading to economic losses and humanitarian crises. Utilizing a modeling framework that innovatively integrates the crop and livestock production systems in semi-subsistence economies, this study examines the interactions and dynamic adjustments within these systems following weather shocks, using Ethiopia as a case study. We also evaluate the effectiveness of various adaptation strategies in sustaining farm incomes, food security, and welfare. Results show unique effects on the crop and livestock sectors resulting from a joint shock on the two systems. While food crops experience a strong and immediate growth effect (12.4%) that fades quickly, the livestock sector faces the full impact of the shock a year later (13.7%), with the effect persisting to some degree. We also find diverging economic and livestock system adjustment trajectories from separate shocks to the crop and livestock systems. Further, the intervention options analyzed show contrasting impacts on various outcome indicators, with only the resilient crop intervention causing sector-indifferent impacts. Our findings emphasize the importance of proactive measures to enhance the resilience of crop-livestock systems, with implications for policy and practice aimed at safeguarding food security and livelihoods in semi-subsistence economies.

气候和天气冲击对作物和牲畜系统构成重大威胁,导致经济损失和人道主义危机。本研究以埃塞俄比亚为例,利用创新地整合了半自给经济中作物和牲畜生产系统的建模框架,研究了天气冲击后这些系统内的相互作用和动态调整。我们还评估了各种适应战略在维持农业收入、粮食安全和福利方面的有效性。结果表明,对这两个系统的联合冲击对作物和畜牧业产生了独特的影响。虽然粮食作物的生长受到强烈而直接的影响(12.4%),但很快就会消退,但畜牧部门在一年后面临冲击的全面影响(13.7%),其影响在一定程度上持续存在。我们还发现,经济和畜牧业系统的调整轨迹在不同的作物和畜牧业系统的冲击中存在差异。此外,所分析的干预方案显示出对各种结果指标的不同影响,只有抗灾作物干预造成的影响与部门无关。我们的研究结果强调了采取积极措施增强作物-牲畜系统抵御力的重要性,这对旨在保障半自给经济体粮食安全和生计的政策和实践具有启示意义。
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引用次数: 0
Correction to “Implications of Climate-Smart Agriculture Technology Adoption on Women's Productivity and Food Security in Tanzania” 对“采用气候智能型农业技术对坦桑尼亚妇女生产力和粮食安全的影响”的更正
IF 4 3区 经济学 Q1 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2025-09-03 DOI: 10.1111/agec.70061

Mkupete, M. J., and Davalos, J. 2025. “Implications of Climate-Smart Agriculture Technology Adoption on Women's Productivity and Food Security in Tanzania.” Agricultural Economics 56: 247–267. https://doi.org/10.1111/agec.12874.

We inadvertently omitted an important acknowledgement of the financial support that made this research possible. The article should include the following acknowledgement:

This work was carried out with financial and scientific support from the Partnership for Economic Policy (PEP) through funding provided by Global Affairs Canada (GAC).

We sincerely apologize for this oversight.

Mkupete, m.j.和Davalos, J. 2025。“采用气候智能型农业技术对坦桑尼亚妇女生产力和粮食安全的影响”。农业经济56:247-267。https://doi.org/10.1111/agec.12874.We无意中忽略了对使这项研究成为可能的财政支持的重要承认。文章应包括以下致谢:这项工作是在经济政策伙伴关系(PEP)的财政和科学支持下进行的,由加拿大全球事务部(GAC)提供资金。我们真诚地为这个疏忽道歉。
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引用次数: 0
Economic Burden of Livestock Diseases: A Vertically Integrated Partial Equilibrium Livestock Model 家畜疾病的经济负担:一个垂直整合的部分平衡家畜模型
IF 4 3区 经济学 Q1 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2025-09-01 DOI: 10.1111/agec.70062
Golam Saroare Shakil, Dustin L. Pendell, Jonathan Rushton, Thomas L. Marsh

Animal health and livestock disease constrain food security, education, and the wealth of households. Assessment of the impacts of animal health and livestock diseases on the well-being of the live animal and value chain actors, as well as consumers, helps to quantify the efficiency of resource allocations in the livestock sector and to improve stakeholder decision-making. In this paper, we aim to illustrate how the impact of improved animal health affects the well-being of economic agents of the livestock sector of an economy. We specify a vertically integrated partial equilibrium livestock model to identify disease free equilibria as a special case of the Kuhn–Tucker conditions. We provide empirical evidence from a case study on the small ruminant meat value chain of Ethiopia. We find that the total surplus increase for a disease free small ruminant sector is USD 780 million under constant consumer demand. If meat demand increases according to the FAO projection, the surplus gain increases to USD 1.2 billion. Overall, our results support that economic agents across the value chain benefit from improved livestock health.

动物卫生和牲畜疾病制约着粮食安全、教育和家庭财富。评估动物健康和牲畜疾病对活畜和价值链行为者以及消费者福祉的影响,有助于量化畜牧业资源分配的效率,并改善利益攸关方的决策。在本文中,我们旨在说明改善动物健康的影响如何影响经济中畜牧业经济主体的福祉。我们指定一个垂直整合的部分平衡家畜模型,以确定无病平衡作为库恩-塔克条件的特殊情况。我们从埃塞俄比亚小反刍动物肉类价值链的案例研究中提供经验证据。我们发现,在消费者需求不变的情况下,无病小反刍动物部门的总盈余增加为7.8亿美元。根据粮农组织的预测,如果肉类需求增加,盈余收益将增加到12亿美元。总体而言,我们的研究结果支持价值链上的经济主体受益于牲畜健康状况的改善。
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引用次数: 0
Impact of Introduced Pastures in Colombian Lowland Ranching 引进牧草对哥伦比亚低地牧场的影响
IF 4 3区 经济学 Q1 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2025-08-21 DOI: 10.1111/agec.70059
Jose María Martínez, Ricardo Labarta, Mywish K. Maredia

The adoption of higher-nutrient grass varieties, such as Brachiaria, offers long-term economic benefits for ranchers while enhancing soil health and pasture productivity in Latin America's lowland climates. Despite widespread adoption, the field-level impacts remain largely unexplored. This study, focusing on Colombia's largest beef-producing regions, analyzes how the transition to introduced pastures affects productivity, revenue, and land requirements for ranching. Our findings reveal that 66% of pasture acreage among sampled ranchers is now comprised of these introduced varieties. Factors like distance to technology centers, historical violence, and shocks to transportation and trade, hinder adoption. Transitioning from native savannas to introduced pastures significantly boosts productivity, particularly when paired with practices such as weed control and fertilization; however, yield gains fall short of the expectations set by agronomic trials. Overall, the increased revenue per hectare underscores the need to promote introduced-pasture-based systems, especially given the limitations of intensive silvopastoral methods.

在拉丁美洲的低地气候条件下,采用Brachiaria等营养含量更高的牧草品种为牧场主提供了长期的经济效益,同时提高了土壤健康和牧场生产力。尽管已被广泛采用,但油田层面的影响在很大程度上仍未被探索。本研究以哥伦比亚最大的牛肉产区为重点,分析了向引进牧场的过渡对牧场生产力、收入和土地需求的影响。我们的研究结果显示,在抽样的牧场主中,66%的牧场面积现在由这些引进的品种组成。与技术中心的距离、历史上的暴力、对交通和贸易的冲击等因素阻碍了采用。从原生稀树草原向引进牧场的过渡显著提高了生产力,特别是在辅以杂草控制和施肥等措施的情况下;然而,产量增长低于农艺试验设定的预期。总的来说,每公顷收入的增加突出表明有必要促进以引进牧场为基础的系统,特别是考虑到集约化森林放牧方法的局限性。
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引用次数: 0
Do Community-Oriented Farmers Present a Greater Willingness for Organic Transition: Evidence From Vietnam 以社区为导向的农民是否更愿意向有机转型:来自越南的证据
IF 4 3区 经济学 Q1 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2025-08-21 DOI: 10.1111/agec.70055
Tuan Nguyen-Anh, Do Pham-Thanh, Anh Dao-Viet, Nguyen To-The

Despite its benefits, organic farming remains uncommon in developing countries; thus, understanding what motivates farmers is inevitably important for effective policy intervention. This study finds that social preferences and social capital play complex roles. Prosocial preferences, social learning, and social trust exert a positive influence, which is stronger at lower levels of land conversion, while cooperativeness has a more pronounced positive impact among farmers willing to convert larger areas; conversely, social networks hinder adoption, particularly among those with smaller plots. These findings are grounded in social preference theory, and building upon it, we develop a social utility function that incorporates SVO and cooperative tendencies in the pursuit of modeling the trade-offs between self-consumption and contributions to public goods, linking social factors to farmers' decisions. Empirically, we use primary data collected through structured surveys and game-based experiments in northern Vietnam, then employ fractional and quantile regression (QR) models to explore the influences at different levels of adoption. Our results suggest that policymakers may implement multiple strategies to target different farmers in order to leverage the adoption of organic farming.

尽管有机农业有诸多好处,但在发展中国家仍不常见;因此,了解农民的动机对于有效的政策干预不可避免地很重要。本研究发现,社会偏好与社会资本的关系是复杂的。亲社会偏好、社会学习和社会信任对农地转制行为有正向影响,且在农地转制程度较低的农户中影响较强,而合作性对农地转制面积较大农户的正向影响更为显著;相反,社交网络阻碍了人们的采用,尤其是在那些地块较小的地区。这些发现以社会偏好理论为基础,在此基础上,我们开发了一个社会效用函数,该函数将SVO和合作倾向结合起来,追求对自我消费和对公共产品的贡献之间的权衡进行建模,将社会因素与农民的决策联系起来。在经验方面,我们使用通过结构化调查和基于游戏的实验在越南北部收集的原始数据,然后使用分数和分位数回归(QR)模型来探索不同采用水平的影响。我们的研究结果表明,决策者可以针对不同的农民实施多种策略,以促进有机农业的采用。
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引用次数: 0
Effects of Aerobic and Strength-Based Exercise on Consumer Preference for Protein 有氧运动和力量运动对消费者蛋白质偏好的影响
IF 4 3区 经济学 Q1 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2025-08-13 DOI: 10.1111/agec.70060
Justin D. Bina

The role of protein consumption in adaptations to physical exercise is well documented in prior research. However, little is known about how physical exercise and associated protein needs impact consumers’ protein demand. This study pairs matching methods with discrete choice experiments to estimate the impacts of physical exercise on willingness-to-pay for protein while reducing the confounding influences of other consumer characteristics. Aerobic and strength-based exercise, and fitness-driven protein consumption, increase willingness-to-pay for retail protein by up to $1.91 per pound for ribeye steak and foodservice protein by up to $2.47 for a ribeye steak meal. These results indicate that the physically active population is a reliable consumer base that bolsters US domestic protein purchases during periods of price increases.

蛋白质消耗在适应体育锻炼中的作用在先前的研究中得到了充分的证明。然而,人们对体育锻炼和相关蛋白质需求如何影响消费者的蛋白质需求知之甚少。本研究将配对方法与离散选择实验相结合,以估计体育锻炼对蛋白质支付意愿的影响,同时减少其他消费者特征的混杂影响。有氧运动和以力量为基础的运动,以及健康驱动的蛋白质消费,使人们愿意为每磅肋眼牛排支付高达1.91美元的零售蛋白质,为一顿肋眼牛排支付高达2.47美元的餐饮服务蛋白质。这些结果表明,运动人群是一个可靠的消费者基础,在价格上涨期间支持美国国内蛋白质的购买。
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引用次数: 0
Will the “True” Productivity Series Please Stand Up? Identifying Inconsistencies Across Productivity Series “真正的”生产力系列会站起来吗?识别跨生产力系列的不一致性
IF 4 3区 经济学 Q1 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2025-08-03 DOI: 10.1111/agec.70056
Sergio H. Lence, Alejandro Plastina

We conduct a systematic empirical investigation into the consistency of competing industry-level total factor productivity (TFP) series in the United States, including the crop and animal production or farm sector. We apply an algorithm based on time-series methods to three widely-used databases frequently utilized by researchers to study productivity. Our analysis reveals a substantial proportion of inconsistent industry-level TFP series across these databases, including those for the farm sector. We further investigate the potential causes of such discrepancies by examining the consistency of the individual output and input variables used in the calculation of the TFP series. Individual input and output series pairs show different patterns of inconsistency across databases. Our findings highlight the need for publishing agencies and researchers to explore opportunities for methodological standardization.

我们对美国包括作物和动物生产或农业部门在内的竞争行业级全要素生产率(TFP)系列的一致性进行了系统的实证调查。我们将一种基于时间序列方法的算法应用于研究人员经常使用的生产率的三个广泛使用的数据库。我们的分析显示,在这些数据库中,包括农业部门的数据库中,存在相当大比例的行业层面的全要素生产率序列不一致。我们进一步研究这种差异的潜在原因,通过检查在TFP系列计算中使用的个人输出和输入变量的一致性。单独的输入和输出序列对显示了跨数据库的不同的不一致模式。我们的研究结果强调出版机构和研究人员需要探索方法标准化的机会。
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引用次数: 0
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Agricultural Economics
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