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Entropic Analysis of Public transport System Strikes 公交系统罢工的熵分析
IF 0.4 4区 数学 Q3 Engineering Pub Date : 2022-03-03 DOI: 10.1142/s0219525922500023
M. Gaudiano, Carlos M. Lucca, J. Revelli
In this work, we study the hierarchical properties observed in temporal patterns of public transport strike records of Córdoba city, Argentina. We show how a previously developed entropy-based methodology can be applied here to unveil different strike regimes, to which particular political uncontrollability degrees can be naturally associated. From data analysis, a successive increment in the uncontrollability of the public transport system can be quantitatively inferred. The proposed analysis turns out to be easily generalizable to other contexts, providing a theoretical framework for contrasting the intensity of the strikes, independently of its nature, city and/or historical time.
在这项工作中,我们研究了在阿根廷Córdoba市公共交通罢工记录的时间模式中观察到的分层属性。我们展示了先前开发的基于熵的方法如何在这里应用于揭示不同的罢工制度,其中特定的政治不可控程度可以自然地联系起来。从数据分析中,可以定量地推断出公共交通系统不可控性的连续增量。所提出的分析结果很容易推广到其他背景,为对比罢工的强度提供了一个理论框架,独立于罢工的性质、城市和/或历史时间。
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引用次数: 0
Use of Gaussian Process to Model, predict and Explain Human Emotional response to Chinese Traditional Music 用高斯过程来模拟、预测和解释人类对中国传统音乐的情感反应
IF 0.4 4区 数学 Q3 Engineering Pub Date : 2022-02-25 DOI: 10.1142/s0219525922500011
Jun Su, Pengcheng Zhou
Music listening is one of the most enigmatic of human mental phenomena; it not only triggers emotions but also changes our behavior. During the music session many people are observed to exhibit varying emotional response, which can be influenced by diverse factors such as music genre and instrument as well as the personal attributes of audiences. In this study, we assume that there is an intrinsic, complex and implicit relationship between the basic sound features of music and human emotional response to the music. The response levels of 12 individuals to a representative repertoire of 36 classical/popular Chinese traditional music (CTM) are systematically analyzed using the chills as a quantitative indicator, totally resulting in 432 ([Formula: see text]) CTM–individual pairs that define a systematic individual-to-music response profile (SPTMRP). Gaussian process (GP) is then employed to model the multivariate correlation of SPTMRP profile with 15 sound features (including 5 Timbres, 4 Rhythms and 6 Pitchs) and 5 individual features in a supervised manner, which is also improved by genetic algorithm (GA) feature selection and compared with other machine learning methods. It is shown that the built GP regression model possesses a strong internal fitting ability ([Formula: see text]) and a good external predictive power ([Formula: see text]), which performed much better than linear PLS and nonlinear SVM and RF, confirming that the human emotional response to music can be quantitatively explained by GP methodology. Statistical examination of the GP model reveals that the sound features contribute more significantly to emotional response than individual features; their importance increases in the order: [Formula: see text], in which the spectral centroid (SC), relative amplitude of salient peaks (RASP), ratio of peak amplitudes (RPA), sum of all rhythm histograms (SARH) and period of unfolded maximum peak (PUMP) as well as gender are primarily responsible for the response.
听音乐是人类最神秘的心理现象之一;它不仅会引发情绪,还会改变我们的行为。在音乐过程中,我们观察到许多人表现出不同的情绪反应,这可能受到音乐类型和乐器以及听众个人属性等多种因素的影响。在本研究中,我们假设音乐的基本声音特征与人类对音乐的情感反应之间存在内在的、复杂的和隐含的关系。本文系统分析了12个个体对36首古典/流行中国传统音乐(CTM)的代表性曲目的反应水平,以寒颤作为定量指标,共得到432对(公式:见文本)CTM -个体对,这些对定义了一个系统的个人对音乐反应谱(SPTMRP)。然后利用高斯过程(GP)对SPTMRP剖面与15个声音特征(包括5个Timbres, 4个rhythths和6个Pitchs)和5个个体特征的多变量相关性进行监督建模,并通过遗传算法(GA)特征选择进行改进,并与其他机器学习方法进行比较。结果表明,所建立的GP回归模型具有较强的内部拟合能力([公式:见文])和良好的外部预测能力([公式:见文]),其表现远远优于线性PLS和非线性SVM和RF,证实了人类对音乐的情绪反应可以用GP方法定量解释。对GP模型的统计检验表明,声音特征比个体特征对情绪反应的贡献更显著;其重要性按以下顺序增加:[公式:见文本],其中谱质心(SC)、显著峰相对幅值(RASP)、峰值幅值比(RPA)、所有节律直方图之和(SARH)和未展开最大峰周期(PUMP)以及性别是反应的主要原因。
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引用次数: 2
Pedestrian dynamics in single-File movement under Background Music with Different Tempos 不同节奏背景音乐下单纵队运动中的行人动力学
IF 0.4 4区 数学 Q3 Engineering Pub Date : 2022-02-24 DOI: 10.1142/s0219525921500119
Guang Zeng, Jun Zhang, Rui Ye, A. Schadschneider, Shuchao Cao, Qiao Wang, Weiguo Song
Large crowds are challenging the comfort and safety level of big cities, while music may be a potential method to improve pedestrian flow. This paper focuses on the influence of different tempos and types of background music on pedestrian dynamics. Three tempos (90[Formula: see text]beats/min (BPM), 120[Formula: see text]BPM and 150[Formula: see text]BPM) and two types (pure music and metronome stimuli) of music are considered. It is found that more frequent stop-and-go behaviors emerge with rhythms. Compared with that under a low tempo (90[Formula: see text]BPM) of rhythm condition, stopping is more frequent with a high tempo one (120[Formula: see text]BPM or 150[Formula: see text]BPM). The number of stopping pedestrians per unit time increases 68.57%, 376.00%, 298.29%, 224.00%, 438.29% and 393.71% with 90 BPM, 120[Formula: see text]BPM and 150[Formula: see text]BPM music, 90[Formula: see text]BPM, 120[Formula: see text]BPM and 150[Formula: see text]BPM metronome, compared with that without any rhythm, respectively. The velocity and flow are lower, and higher local densities appear with background music. The step frequency at high density with rhythms ([Formula: see text], [Formula: see text] and [Formula: see text][Formula: see text]Hz for 90[Formula: see text]BPM, 120[Formula: see text]BPM and 150[Formula: see text]BPM music; [Formula: see text], [Formula: see text] and [Formula: see text][Formula: see text]Hz for 90[Formula: see text]BPM, 120[Formula: see text]BPM and 150[Formula: see text]BPM metronome) is lower than that without any rhythm ([Formula: see text][Formula: see text]Hz). Pedestrians need more time to avoid collisions and to step under background music conditions, because they are influenced by the music and not fully focusing on walking. As a result, step frequency decreases and stopping behavior is more frequent. This in turn leads to the decrease of the velocity and flow and the emergence of higher local densities. Our study will be helpful for understanding the effect of background music on pedestrian dynamics.
庞大的人群正在挑战大城市的舒适和安全水平,而音乐可能是改善人流量的一种潜在方法。本文主要研究不同节奏和背景音乐类型对行人动态的影响。三种节奏(90[公式:见文]节拍/分(BPM), 120[公式:见文]BPM和150[公式:见文]BPM)和两种类型(纯音乐和节拍器刺激)的音乐。研究发现,更频繁的走走停停行为是有节奏的。与低节奏(90[公式:见文]BPM)的节奏条件相比,高节奏(120[公式:见文]BPM或150[公式:见文]BPM)的节奏条件下,停止频率更高。与无节拍器相比,使用90 BPM、120[公式:见文]BPM和150[公式:见文]BPM音乐、90[公式:见文]BPM、120[公式:见文]BPM和150[公式:见文]BPM节拍器时,单位时间内停车行人数量分别增加68.57%、376.00%、298.29%、224.00%、438.29%和393.71%。在有背景音乐的情况下,流速和流量较低,局部密度较高。具有节奏的高密度步进频率([公式:见文],[公式:见文]和[公式:见文][公式:见文][公式:见文]Hz为90[公式:见文]BPM, 120[公式:见文]BPM和150[公式:见文]BPM音乐;[公式:见文],[公式:见文]和[公式:见文][公式:见文][公式:见文][公式:见文][公式:见文][公式:见文][公式:见文][公式:见文][公式:见文][公式:见文][公式:见文]BPM节拍器的Hz为90[公式:见文]BPM, 120[公式:见文]BPM和150[公式:见文]BPM节拍器)低于没有任何节奏([公式:见文][公式:见文]Hz)。行人在背景音乐条件下需要更多的时间来避免碰撞和迈步,因为他们受到音乐的影响,没有完全集中精力走路。因此,步进频率降低,停止行为更加频繁。这反过来又导致速度和流量的减少和更高的局部密度的出现。本研究将有助于理解背景音乐对行人动态的影响。
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引用次数: 2
The dynamics of Task Automation and Worker Adjustment in Labor Markets: an Agent-based Approach 劳动力市场中任务自动化和工人调整的动态:一个基于主体的方法
IF 0.4 4区 数学 Q3 Engineering Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.1142/S0219525922500059
Arvind Upreti, V. Sridhar
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引用次数: 0
Detecting and Measuring Financial cycles in Heterogeneous Agents Models: an Empirical Analysis 异质性主体模型中金融周期的检测与度量:一个实证分析
IF 0.4 4区 数学 Q3 Engineering Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.1142/S0219525922400021
Filippo Gusella
This paper proposes a macroeconometric analysis to depict and measure possible nancial cycles that emerge due to the dynamic interaction between heterogeneous market participants. We consider 2-type heterogeneous speculative agents: Trend followers tend to follow the price trend while contrarians go against the wind. As agents' beliefs are unobserved variables, we construct a state-space model where heuristics are considered as unobserved state components and from which the conditions for endogenous cycles can be mathematically derived and empirically tested. Further, we speci cally measure the length of endogenous nancial cycles. The model is estimated using the equity price index for the 196
本文提出了一种宏观计量经济学分析来描述和衡量由于异质市场参与者之间的动态相互作用而出现的可能的金融周期。我们考虑两类异质投机主体:趋势跟随者倾向于跟随价格趋势,而逆向投资者则逆风而行。由于代理的信念是不可观察的变量,我们构建了一个状态空间模型,其中启发式被认为是不可观察的状态成分,并且可以从数学上推导出内源性周期的条件并进行经验检验。此外,我们特别测量了内生金融周期的长度。该模型是用1996年的股票价格指数来估计的
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引用次数: 1
The Talent versus luck Model as an Ensemble of One-dimensional Random Walks 作为一维随机漫步集合的天赋与运气模型
IF 0.4 4区 数学 Q3 Engineering Pub Date : 2021-12-29 DOI: 10.1142/s0219525921500107
Ricardo Simão, Francisco Rosendo, L. Wardil
The role of luck on individual success is hard to be investigated empirically. Simplified mathematical models are often used to shed light on the subtle relations between success and luck. Recently, a simple model called “Talent versus Luck” showed that the most successful individual in a population can be just an average talented individual that is subjected to a very fortunate sequence of events. Here, we modify the framework of the TvL model such that in our model the individuals’ success is modelled as an ensemble of one-dimensional random walks. Our model reproduces the original TvL results and, due to the mathematical simplicity, it shows clearly that the original conclusions of the TvL model are the consequence of two factors: first, the normal distribution of talents with low standard deviation, which creates a large number of average talented individuals; second, the low number of steps considered, which allows the observation of large fluctuations. We also show that the results strongly depend on the relative frequency of good and bad luck events, which defines a critical value for the talent: in the long run, the individuals with high talent end up very successful and those with low talent end up ruined. Last, we considered two variations to illustrate applications of the ensemble of random walks model.
运气对个人成功的作用很难进行实证研究。简化的数学模型经常被用来揭示成功和运气之间的微妙关系。最近,一个名为“天赋vs运气”的简单模型表明,人口中最成功的个体可能只是一个普通的有天赋的个体,他受到了一系列非常幸运的事件的影响。在这里,我们修改了TvL模型的框架,这样在我们的模型中,个体的成功被建模为一维随机游走的集合。我们的模型再现了原始的TvL结果,由于数学上的简单性,它清楚地表明,TvL模型的原始结论是两个因素的结果:第一,低标准差的人才正态分布,产生了大量的平均人才个体;其次,考虑的步骤数少,这使得可以观察到大的波动。我们还表明,结果在很大程度上取决于好运和坏运气事件的相对频率,这为天赋定义了一个临界值:从长远来看,拥有高天赋的人最终会非常成功,而那些拥有低天赋的人最终会破产。最后,我们考虑了两种变体来说明随机漫步集合模型的应用。
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引用次数: 1
A Self-Modeling Network Model Addressing Controlled Adaptive Mental Models for Analysis and Support Processes 一种自建模网络模型,用于分析和支持过程的受控自适应心理模型
IF 0.4 4区 数学 Q3 Engineering Pub Date : 2021-12-15 DOI: 10.25088/complexsystems.30.4.483
J. Treur
In this paper, a self-modeling mental network model is presented for cognitive analysis and support processes for a human. These cognitive analysis and support processes are modeled by internal mental models. At the base level, the model is able to perform the analysis and support processes based on these internal mental models. To obtain adaptation of these internal mental models, a first-order self-model is included in the network model. In addition, to obtain control of this adaptation, a second-order self-model is included. This makes the network model a second-order self-modeling network model. The adaptive network model is illustrated for a number of realistic scenarios for a supported car driver.
本文提出了一种用于人的认知分析和支持过程的自建模心理网络模型。这些认知分析和支持过程是由内部心理模型建模的。在基础级别,模型能够基于这些内部心智模型执行分析和支持流程。为了获得这些内部心理模型的适应性,在网络模型中加入了一阶自我模型。此外,为了控制这种自适应,还引入了一个二阶自模型。这使得网络模型成为一个二阶自建模网络模型。该自适应网络模型是一个支持汽车驾驶员的一些现实场景。
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引用次数: 1
Comparing Methods for Measuring Walkability 比较测量步行性的方法
IF 0.4 4区 数学 Q3 Engineering Pub Date : 2021-12-15 DOI: 10.25088/complexsystems.30.4.539
A. Bramson, Kazuto Okamoto, Megumi Hori
Walkability analyses have gained increased attention for economic, environmental and health reasons, but the methods for assessing walkability have yet to be broadly evaluated. In this paper, five methods for calculating walkability scores are described: in-radius, circle buffers, road network node buffers, road network edge buffers and a fully integrated network approach. Unweighted and various weighted versions are analyzed to capture levels of preference for walking longer distances. The methods are evaluated via an application to train stations in central Tokyo in terms of accuracy, similarity and algorithm performance. The fully integrated network method produces the most accurate results in the shortest amount of processing time, but requires a large upfront investment of time and resources. The circle buffer method runs a bit slower, but does not require any network information and when properly weighted yields walkability scores very similar to the integrated network approach.
由于经济、环境和健康的原因,可步行性分析越来越受到关注,但评估可步行性的方法尚未得到广泛的评价。本文描述了五种计算步行性评分的方法:半径内缓冲区、圆形缓冲区、路网节点缓冲区、路网边缘缓冲区和完全集成的网络方法。对未加权和各种加权版本进行分析,以捕捉对长距离步行的偏好程度。通过在东京市中心火车站的应用,对这些方法的准确性、相似性和算法性能进行了评估。完全集成的网络方法在最短的处理时间内产生最准确的结果,但需要大量的前期时间和资源投入。循环缓冲方法运行速度稍慢,但不需要任何网络信息,并且当适当加权时产生的步行性得分与集成网络方法非常相似。
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引用次数: 3
Transfer Learning for Node Regression Applied to Spreading Prediction 节点回归迁移学习在扩展预测中的应用
IF 0.4 4区 数学 Q3 Engineering Pub Date : 2021-12-15 DOI: 10.25088/complexsystems.30.4.457
Sebastian Mežnar, N. Lavrač, Blaž Škrlj
Understanding how information propagates in real-life complex networks yields a better understanding of dynamic processes such as misinformation or epidemic spreading. The recently introduced branch of machine learning methods for learning node representations offers many novel applications, one of them being the task of spreading prediction addressed in this paper. We explore the utility of the state-of-the-art node representation learners when used to assess the effects of spreading from a given node, estimated via extensive simulations. Further, as many real-life networks are topologically similar, we systematically investigate whether the learned models generalize to previously unseen networks, showing that in some cases very good model transfer can be obtained. This paper is one of the first to explore transferability of the learned representations for the task of node regression; we show there exist pairs of networks with similar structure between which the trained models can be transferred (zero-shot) and demonstrate their competitive performance. To our knowledge, this is one of the first attempts to evaluate the utility of zero-shot transfer for the task of node regression.
了解信息如何在现实生活中的复杂网络中传播,可以更好地理解诸如错误信息或流行病传播等动态过程。最近引入的用于学习节点表示的机器学习方法分支提供了许多新的应用,其中之一就是本文所讨论的扩展预测任务。我们探索了最先进的节点表示学习器在用于评估从给定节点传播的影响时的效用,通过广泛的模拟估计。此外,由于许多现实生活中的网络拓扑相似,我们系统地研究了学习到的模型是否可以推广到以前未见过的网络,结果表明在某些情况下可以获得非常好的模型迁移。本文是第一个探索节点回归任务中学习表征的可转移性的论文之一;我们证明存在具有相似结构的网络对,训练模型可以在它们之间转移(零射击),并展示它们的竞争性能。据我们所知,这是第一次尝试评估零点转移对节点回归任务的效用。
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引用次数: 1
The Impact of Edge Correlations in Random Networks 随机网络中边缘相关性的影响
IF 0.4 4区 数学 Q3 Engineering Pub Date : 2021-12-15 DOI: 10.25088/complexsystems.30.4.525
A. Faragó
Random graphs are frequently used models of real-life random networks. The classical Erdös–Rényi random graph model is very well explored and has numerous nontrivial properties. In particular, a good number of important graph parameters that are hard to compute in the deterministic case often become much easier in random graphs. However, a fundamental restriction in the Erdös–Rényi random graph is that the edges are required to be probabilistically independent. This is a severe restriction, which does not hold in most real-life networks. We consider more general random graphs in which the edges may be dependent. Specifically, two models are analyzed. The first one is called a p-robust random graph. It is defined by the requirement that each edge exist with probability at least p, no matter how we condition on the presence/absence of other edges. It is significantly more general than assuming independent edges existing with probability p, as exemplified via several special cases. The second model considers the case when the edges are positively correlated, which means that the edge probability is at least p for each edge, no matter how we condition on the presence of other edges (but absence is not considered). We prove some interesting, nontrivial properties about both models.
随机图是现实生活中常用的随机网络模型。经典的Erdös-Rényi随机图模型得到了很好的研究,并具有许多非平凡性质。特别是,在确定性情况下难以计算的大量重要图参数在随机图中往往变得容易得多。然而,Erdös-Rényi随机图的一个基本限制是要求边是概率独立的。这是一个严重的限制,在大多数现实生活中的网络中并不成立。我们考虑更一般的随机图,其中的边可能是相关的。具体分析了两种模型。第一个被称为p鲁棒随机图。它的定义是要求每条边的存在概率至少为p,无论我们如何确定其他边的存在与否。它比假设独立边以p的概率存在要普遍得多,通过几个特殊的例子来证明。第二个模型考虑的是边是正相关的情况,这意味着每条边的边概率至少为p,无论我们如何确定其他边的存在(但不考虑缺席)。我们证明了关于这两个模型的一些有趣的,非平凡的性质。
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引用次数: 0
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Advances in Complex Systems
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