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Predicting Missed Appointments in Primary Care: A Personalized Machine Learning Approach. 预测初级保健错过的预约:个性化的机器学习方法。
IF 5.1 2区 医学 Q1 MEDICINE, GENERAL & INTERNAL Pub Date : 2025-07-28 DOI: 10.1370/afm.240316
Wen-Jan Tuan, Yifang Yan, Bilal Abou Al Ardat, Todd Felix, Qiushi Chen

Purpose: Factors influencing missed appointments are complex and difficult to anticipate and intervene against. To optimize appointment adherence, we aimed to use personalized machine learning and big data analytics to predict the risk of and contributing factors for no-shows and late cancellations in primary care practices.

Methods: We conducted a retrospective longitudinal study leveraging geolinked clinical, care utilization, socioeconomic, and climate data from 15 family medicine clinics at a regional academic health center in Pennsylvania from January 2019 to June 2023. We developed multiclass machine learning models using gradient boost, random forest, neural network, and logistic regression to predict appointment outcomes, followed by feature importance analysis to identify contributing factors for no-shows or late cancellations at the population and patient levels. We performed stratified analysis to evaluate the prediction performance by sex and race/ethnicity to ensure the fairness of the final model among sensitive features.

Results: The analysis consisted of 109,328 patients and 1,118,236 appointments, including 77,322 (6.9%) no-shows and 75,545 (6.8%) late cancellations. The gradient boost model achieved the best performance with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.852 for predicting no-shows and 0.921 for late cancellations. No bias against patient characteristics was detected. Schedule lead time was identified as the most important predictor of missed appointments.

Conclusions: Missed appointments remain a challenge for primary care. This study provided a practical and robust framework to predict missed appointments, laying the foundation for developing personalized strategies to improve patients' adherence to primary care appointments.

目的:影响预约失约的因素复杂,难以预测和干预。为了优化预约依从性,我们的目标是使用个性化机器学习和大数据分析来预测初级保健实践中缺席和延迟取消预约的风险和影响因素。方法:我们进行了一项回顾性纵向研究,利用2019年1月至2023年6月期间宾夕法尼亚州一家区域学术卫生中心15家家庭医学诊所的地理相关临床、护理利用、社会经济和气候数据。我们开发了多类机器学习模型,使用梯度增强、随机森林、神经网络和逻辑回归来预测预约结果,然后进行特征重要性分析,以确定在人群和患者层面上导致未到或延迟取消预约的因素。我们进行了分层分析,以性别和种族/民族来评估预测性能,以确保最终模型在敏感特征中的公平性。结果:该分析包括109,328例患者和1,118,236例预约,其中77,322例(6.9%)缺席,75,545例(6.8%)延迟取消。梯度提升模型在预测未出现和延迟取消时的接收方工作特性曲线下面积分别为0.852和0.921,获得了最佳性能。未发现对患者特征的偏倚。计划提前时间被认为是错过约会最重要的预测因素。结论:错过预约仍然是初级保健面临的挑战。本研究提供了一个实用且稳健的框架来预测错过的预约,为制定个性化策略以提高患者对初级保健预约的依从性奠定了基础。
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引用次数: 0
STFM Presents 2025 Society Awards. STFM颁发2025年社会奖。
IF 5.1 2区 医学 Q1 MEDICINE, GENERAL & INTERNAL Pub Date : 2025-07-28 DOI: 10.1370/afm.250371
April Davies
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引用次数: 0
Hearing Screening in Private Family Practice Medicine Using Tablet Applications. 使用片剂应用于私人家庭医学的听力筛查。
IF 4.4 2区 医学 Q1 MEDICINE, GENERAL & INTERNAL Pub Date : 2025-05-27 DOI: 10.1370/afm.240346
Maria El Mouahidine, Arnaud Génin, Frédéric Venail, Jean-Luc Puel, Jean-Charles Ceccato

Purpose: Hearing loss is a common deficit that remains underdiagnosed. To address this issue, automatic self-hearing tests have been developed. These tools are based on pure-tone detection and speech-in-noise evaluation. The present study evaluated the acceptability and the feasibility of hearing screening for patients consulting in private family practice medicine.

Methods: Data were collected in 3 French medical care centers from May through November 2022. Fast pure-tone (SoTone) and speech-in-noise (SoNoise) tests were available on the SONUP application. Three parameters were measured: (1) duration of the protocol; (2) pertinence of performing both pure-tone and speech-in-noise tests; and (3) number of hearing-impaired patients detected and their follow-up (ie, consultation with an ear, nose, and throat [ENT] specialist, and hearing aid fitting).

Results: Of the 516 eligible patients, 219 (42%) were able to perform both tests. Among the screened patients, 161 (74%) had negative test results, while 59 (27%) had positive results indicating hearing loss. Although patients were encouraged to consult an ENT specialist, only 14 did so, and 8 agreed to be fitted with hearing aids. The average duration of the tests, including the explanation (1 minute 43 seconds), was 6 minutes 8 seconds. Interestingly, the SoTone (1 minute 10 seconds), appears to be sufficient for detecting hearing loss.

Conclusions: This study supports integration of app-based hearing screenings into family medical care, as it is compatible with routine consultations. The use of tablet-based applications may assist general practitioners by enhancing the diagnosis of hearing disorders.

目的:听力损失是一种常见的缺陷,但仍未得到充分诊断。为了解决这个问题,已经开发了自动自听测试。这些工具基于纯音检测和噪声中语音评估。本研究评估了私人家庭医学咨询患者听力筛查的可接受性和可行性。方法:从2022年5月至11月在法国3个医疗保健中心收集数据。SONUP应用程序提供快速纯音(SoTone)和噪声语音(SoNoise)测试。测量三个参数:(1)协议持续时间;(2)纯音测试和带噪语音测试的针对性;(3)发现的听力受损患者数量及其随访(即与耳鼻喉科专家的咨询和助听器安装)。结果:在516例符合条件的患者中,219例(42%)能够进行两项检查。在筛查的患者中,161例(74%)检测结果为阴性,59例(27%)检测结果为阳性,提示听力损失。尽管鼓励患者咨询耳鼻喉科专家,但只有14人这样做了,8人同意安装助听器。测试的平均持续时间,包括解释(1分43秒),为6分8秒。有趣的是,SoTone(1分10秒)似乎足以检测听力损失。结论:本研究支持将基于app的听力筛查整合到家庭医疗保健中,因为它与常规会诊相兼容。使用基于平板电脑的应用程序可以通过增强听力障碍的诊断来帮助全科医生。
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引用次数: 0
STFM Launches Professionalism in Family Medicine Education Initiative. STFM推出家庭医学专业教育计划。
IF 4.4 2区 医学 Q1 MEDICINE, GENERAL & INTERNAL Pub Date : 2025-05-27 DOI: 10.1370/afm.250235
Mary Theobald
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引用次数: 0
Using a Little Free Library to Improve Access to Mental Health and Wellness Resources at a Primary Care Clinic. 使用一个小型免费图书馆来改善初级保健诊所获得心理健康和健康资源的途径。
IF 4.4 2区 医学 Q1 MEDICINE, GENERAL & INTERNAL Pub Date : 2025-05-27 DOI: 10.1370/afm.250004
Marijo Botten, Erin Westfall
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引用次数: 0
Artificial Intelligence Tools for Preconception Cardiomyopathy Screening Among Women of Reproductive Age. 育龄妇女孕前心肌病筛查的人工智能工具。
IF 4.4 2区 医学 Q1 MEDICINE, GENERAL & INTERNAL Pub Date : 2025-05-27 DOI: 10.1370/afm.230627
Anja Kinaszczuk, Andrea Carolina Morales-Lara, Wendy Tatiana Garzon-Siatoya, Sara El-Attar, Adrianna D Clapp, Ifeloluwa A Olutola, Ryan Moerer, Patrick Johnson, Mikolaj A Wieczorek, Zachi I Attia, Francisco Lopez-Jimenez, Paul A Friedman, Rickey E Carter, Peter A Noseworthy, Demilade Adedinsewo

Purpose: Identifying cardiovascular disease before conception and in early pregnancy can better inform obstetric cardiovascular care. Our main objective was to evaluate the diagnostic performance of artificial intelligence (AI)-enabled digital tools for detecting left ventricular systolic dysfunction (LVSD) among women of reproductive age.

Methods: In a pilot cross-sectional study, we enrolled an initial cohort of 100 consecutive women aged 18-49 years who had a primary care physician and a scheduled echocardiography at Mayo Clinic Florida (Jacksonville) (cohort 1). Twelve-lead electrocardiography (ECG) and digital stethoscope recordings (single-lead ECG + phonocardiography) were performed on the date of echocardiography. We used deep learning to generate prediction probabilities for LVSD (defined as left ventricular ejection fraction <50%) for the 12-lead ECG (AI-ECG) and stethoscope (AI-stethoscope) recordings. In a second cohort of 100 participants, we enrolled consecutive women seen in primary care to estimate the prevalence of positive AI screening results when deployed for routine use (cohort 2).

Results: The median age of participants was 38.6 years (quartile 1: 30.3 years, quartile 3: 45.5 years), and 71.9% identified as part of the non-Hispanic White population. Among cohort 1, 5% had LVSD. The AI-ECG had an area under the curve of 0.94, and the AI-stethoscope (maximum prediction across all chest locations) had an area under the curve of 0.98. Among cohort 2, the prevalence of a positive AI screen was 1% and 3.2% for AI-ECG and the AI-stethoscope, respectively.

Conclusion: We found these AI tools to be effective for the detection of cardiomyopathy associated with LVSD among women of reproductive age. These tools could potentially be useful for preconception cardiovascular evaluations.

目的:在孕前和妊娠早期识别心血管疾病可以更好地为产科心血管护理提供信息。我们的主要目的是评估人工智能(AI)支持的数字工具在检测育龄妇女左心室收缩功能障碍(LVSD)方面的诊断性能。方法:在一项试验性横断面研究中,我们招募了100名年龄在18-49岁的连续女性(队列1),这些女性在佛罗里达州(杰克逊维尔)梅奥诊所接受了初级保健医生和预定的超声心动图检查。超声心动图当日进行十二导联心电图(ECG)和数字听诊器记录(单导联心电图+心音图)。结果:参与者的中位年龄为38.6岁(四分位数1:30 .3岁,四分位数3:45 .5岁),其中71.9%为非西班牙裔白人。在队列中,1.5%的患者有左室不稳。AI-ECG的曲线下面积为0.94,ai听诊器(所有胸部位置的最大预测值)的曲线下面积为0.98。在队列2中,AI- ecg和AI-听诊器的AI筛查阳性率分别为1%和3.2%。结论:我们发现这些人工智能工具对育龄妇女LVSD相关心肌病的检测是有效的。这些工具可能对孕前心血管评估有用。
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引用次数: 0
Broadening Inclusion of Primary Care: Trainee Insights and Commentary on Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion. 扩大初级保健的包容性:实习生对多样性、公平性和包容性的见解和评论。
IF 4.4 2区 医学 Q1 MEDICINE, GENERAL & INTERNAL Pub Date : 2025-05-27 DOI: 10.1370/afm.250234
K Taylor Bosworth, Meghan Gilfoyle, Kimberley Norman, Kimberley Norman, Ashley Chisholm, Ione Locher, Naod F Belay, Bryce Ringwald, Chloe Warpinski, Geetika Gupta, Minika Ohioma, MaCee Boyle

We, as the current and immediate-past NAPCRG Trainee Committee, share our perspectives as an international and diverse group of primary care research trainees. In this essay, we discuss the challenges and opportunities for achieving a more diverse, equitable, and inclusive primary care workforce by reflecting on 2 main challenges: (1) insufficient support for underrepresented identities in medicine, and (2) inadequate integration within existing primary care teams. Within each of these challenges, we pose potential opportunities for improvement using a trainee lens.

作为NAPCRG培训生委员会的现任和前任成员,我们作为一个国际性的、多元化的初级保健研究培训生团体,分享我们的观点。在本文中,我们通过反思两个主要挑战来讨论实现更多样化、公平和包容的初级保健劳动力的挑战和机遇:(1)对医学中代表性不足的身份的支持不足;(2)现有初级保健团队的整合不足。在这些挑战中,我们提出了潜在的机会,以学员的视角进行改进。
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引用次数: 0
AHRQ's National Center for Excellence in Primary Care Research (NCEPCR): A New Home for Primary Care Research. AHRQ的国家卓越初级保健研究中心(NCEPCR):初级保健研究的新家园。
IF 4.4 2区 医学 Q1 MEDICINE, GENERAL & INTERNAL Pub Date : 2025-05-27 DOI: 10.1370/afm.240501
Aimee R Eden, Matthew J Simpson, Jan De La Mare, Yalda Jabbarpour, Jessie S Gerteis, Sarah Shoemaker-Hunt

For the past 30 years, the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality (AHRQ) has continuously supported primary care research, funding the first ECHO grant, pioneering patient-centered medical home models, and supporting primary care practice-based research networks. Until recently, these efforts were dispersed across AHRQ's centers and difficult to recognize as a unified portfolio of work. In 2022, the National Center for Excellence in Primary Care Research (NCEPCR) was funded to act as the home for primary care research at AHRQ. NCEPCR has recently developed a mission and vision and begun to coordinate primary care research efforts across AHRQ, curate and disseminate information and materials about primary care research, build a robust primary care research workforce, and convene key primary care partners. In the future, NCEPCR plans to continue to grow its work in each of these areas and expand its role as a national hub for primary care research.

在过去的30年里,医疗保健研究和质量局(AHRQ)一直支持初级保健研究,资助了第一笔ECHO拨款,开创了以患者为中心的医疗家庭模式,并支持基于初级保健实践的研究网络。直到最近,这些工作还分散在AHRQ的各个中心,很难将其视为一个统一的工作组合。2022年,国家初级保健研究卓越中心(NCEPCR)获得资助,作为AHRQ初级保健研究的家。NCEPCR最近制定了一项使命和愿景,并开始协调整个AHRQ的初级保健研究工作,整理和传播有关初级保健研究的信息和材料,建立一支强大的初级保健研究队伍,并召集关键的初级保健合作伙伴。未来,NCEPCR计划继续扩大其在这些领域的工作,并扩大其作为国家初级保健研究中心的作用。
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引用次数: 0
Proactive Deprescribing Among Older Adults With Polypharmacy: Barriers and Enablers. 老年人多重用药的积极减处方:障碍和促进因素。
IF 4.4 2区 医学 Q1 MEDICINE, GENERAL & INTERNAL Pub Date : 2025-05-27 DOI: 10.1370/afm.240363
Kenya Ie, Reiko Machino, Steven M Albert, Shiori Tomita, Hiroki Ohashi, Iori Motohashi, Takuya Otsuki, Yoshiyuki Ohira, Chiaki Okuse

Purpose: Understanding patients' perspectives and readiness regarding deprescribing-a concept broader than mere drug cessation, encompassing dynamic interaction between patients and health care professionals-is essential for developing feasible and effective deprescribing interventions. The goal of our study was to qualitatively explore the perspectives of older adults regarding proactive deprescribing, as well as its barriers and enablers.

Methods: We conducted semistructured interviews with 20 patients in Japan aged 65 years or older who were receiving 5 or more regular medications to explore their perceptions and experiences related to deprescribing. The interviews were transcribed and the data were thematically analyzed to identify major concepts.

Results: Placing a low value on medication was an important trigger of patients' proactive attitudes toward deprescribing. Patients were open to deprescribing conversations if they trusted the prescriber. Conversely, patients who had a positive perspective on medication or considered themselves incapable of participating in decision making preferred to defer to a physician. On the basis of medication valuation, decision-making preferences, and openness to deprescribing, we developed a new typology with 5 types of patients: indifferent (15% of study patients), satisfied and risk-averse (10%), compliant (30%), fearful but passive (20%), and proactive (25%).

Conclusions: Patients' attitudes toward deprescribing varied considerably according to their medication valuation, preference for involvement in decision making, and openness to deprescribing. Focusing on patients' proactiveness and understanding these barriers and enablers is essential for patient-centered decision making and for developing strategies to optimize the appropriateness of medication.

目的:了解患者对解除处方的看法和准备程度——这是一个比单纯的药物停止更广泛的概念,包括患者和卫生保健专业人员之间的动态互动——对于制定可行和有效的解除处方干预措施至关重要。我们研究的目的是定性地探讨老年人关于主动处方的观点,以及它的障碍和推动因素。方法:我们对20名年龄在65岁及以上且正在接受5种及以上常规药物治疗的日本患者进行了半结构化访谈,以探讨他们对处方解除的看法和经历。访谈记录和数据进行主题分析,以确定主要概念。结果:对药物的低评价是患者积极态度的重要触发因素。如果病人信任开处方的医生,他们愿意进行处方对话。相反,对药物有积极看法或认为自己没有能力参与决策的患者更愿意听从医生的意见。基于药物评估、决策偏好和对处方的开放程度,我们开发了一种新的类型,包括5种类型的患者:漠不关心(占研究患者的15%)、满意且规避风险(10%)、依从性(30%)、害怕但被动(20%)和主动(25%)。结论:患者对处方的态度因其对药物的评价、参与决策的偏好和对处方的开放程度而有很大差异。关注患者的主动性,了解这些障碍和促进因素对于以患者为中心的决策和制定优化药物适宜性的策略至关重要。
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引用次数: 0
Agile Implementation of a Digital Cognitive Assessment for Dementia in Primary Care. 初级保健中痴呆症数字认知评估的敏捷实施。
IF 4.4 2区 医学 Q1 MEDICINE, GENERAL & INTERNAL Pub Date : 2025-05-27 DOI: 10.1370/afm.240294
Diana Summanwar, Nicole R Fowler, Dustin B Hammers, Anthony J Perkins, Jared R Brosch, Deanna R Willis

Purpose: This study aimed to assess how agile implementation-driven iterative processes and tailored workflows can facilitate the implementation of a digital cognitive assessment (DCA) tool for patients aged 65 years or older into primary care practices.

Methods: We used agile implementation principles to integrate a DCA tool into routine workflows across 7 primary care clinics. The intervention involved a structured selection process for identifying an appropriate DCA tool, stakeholder engagement through iterative sprints (structured, time-bound cycles), and development of tailored workflows to meet clinic-specific needs. A brain health navigator role was established to support patients with positive or borderline screenings, and assist primary care clinicians with follow-up assessment. We used the reach, effectiveness, adoption, implementation, and maintenance (RE-AIM) framework to evaluate the intervention's performance over a 12-month period.

Results: The intervention engaged 69 (63.8%) of 108 clinicians across the 7 clinics. DCA screening was completed in 1,808 (10.8%) of 16,708 eligible visits. We selected the Linus Health Core Cognitive Evaluation tool as our DCA tool based on stakeholder evaluations. Screening workflows were tailored to each clinic. The brain health navigator received 447 referrals for further assessment of a positive or borderline screening result. Four clinics fully adopted the intervention, achieving a DCA completion rate of at least 20%, and 5 clinics were still routinely using the DCA tool at 12 months.

Conclusions: Agile implementation effectively helped integrate the DCA tool into primary care workflows. Customized workflows, stakeholder engagement, and iterative improvements were crucial for adoption and sustainability. These insights can guide future efforts for early detection and management of cognitive impairment in primary care, ultimately improving patient outcomes and easing the burden on health care professionals.

目的:本研究旨在评估敏捷实施驱动的迭代过程和量身定制的工作流程如何促进65岁或以上患者在初级保健实践中实施数字认知评估(DCA)工具。方法:我们使用敏捷实施原则将DCA工具集成到7个初级保健诊所的日常工作流程中。干预包括一个结构化的选择过程,以确定适当的DCA工具,利益相关者通过迭代冲刺(结构化的、有时间限制的周期)参与,以及开发定制的工作流程以满足临床特定需求。建立脑健康导航员角色,以支持阳性或边缘性筛查的患者,并协助初级保健临床医生进行随访评估。我们使用覆盖范围、有效性、采用、实施和维护(RE-AIM)框架来评估干预措施在12个月期间的表现。结果:7家诊所108名临床医生中有69名参与了干预,占63.8%。在16,708例符合条件的就诊中,有1,808例(10.8%)完成了DCA筛查。我们选择了Linus Health Core认知评估工具作为基于利益相关者评估的DCA工具。筛查工作流程针对每个诊所量身定制。脑健康导航员收到了447个转诊,以进一步评估阳性或边缘筛查结果。4家诊所完全采用了该干预措施,DCA完成率至少达到20%,5家诊所在12个月时仍常规使用DCA工具。结论:敏捷实施有效地帮助将DCA工具集成到初级保健工作流程中。定制工作流、涉众参与和迭代改进对于采用和可持续性至关重要。这些见解可以指导未来在初级保健中早期发现和管理认知障碍的工作,最终改善患者的治疗效果,减轻卫生保健专业人员的负担。
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引用次数: 0
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Annals of Family Medicine
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