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International imports and climatic filtering drive compositional variation in non-native insect establishments 国际进口和气候过滤推动了非本地昆虫种群组成的变化
IF 4.6 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 BIODIVERSITY CONSERVATION Pub Date : 2024-04-22 DOI: 10.1111/ddi.13844
Takehiko Yamanaka, Rebecca M. Turner, Cleo Bertelsmeier, Rachael E. Blake, Eckehard G. Brockerhoff, Helen F. Nahrung, Deepa S. Pureswaran, Alain Roques, Hanno Seebens, Andrew M. Liebhold

Aim

Invasions of non-native insects can have substantial impacts on agriculture, forestry, human health and biodiversity with considerable economic and environmental consequences. To understand the causes of these invasions, it is important to quantify the relative influence of principal drivers such as international imports and climatic effects.

Location

North America, Chile, Europe, Australia, New Zealand and Japan.

Time Period

1881–2020.

Methods

To evaluate the relative contributions of various factors in explaining global variation in numbers of non-native insect establishments in different world regions, we conducted two multivariate regression analyses to quantify temporal changes in family-level composition and native ranges of established non-native species in several world regions.

Results

There were temporal changes in the family-level composition of non-native species assemblages. Prior to 1900, invasions were dominated by scale insects, subsequently shifting to a more diverse set of species, except in North America, which had relatively small compositional change over time compared to other regions. Spatial and temporal variation in the composition of established species was associated with differences in the origin of imports and climatic factors, each explaining 26.3% and 27.4% of the total variation, respectively. The analysis of native ranges of non-native species indicated that there was no consistent temporal variation across all regions. Established species in New Zealand were predominantly native to Australasia and species in North America and Chile were mainly from Europe. Non-native species in Europe mainly originated from the Nearctic region while those in Japan and Australia generally originated from multiple regions. Climatic factors in the destination regions had a primary effect (66.3%) on variation in the native range of established species, although imports also had substantial effects (45.4%).

Main Conclusions

Geographical variation in climate and imports act together as drivers of establishment success for non-native insects in all six regions.

非本地昆虫的入侵会对农业、林业、人类健康和生物多样性产生重大影响,并带来相当严重的经济和环境后果。要了解这些入侵的原因,必须量化主要驱动因素(如国际进口和气候影响)的相对影响。-为了评估各种因素在解释世界不同地区非本地昆虫数量的全球变化中的相对贡献,我们进行了两次多元回归分析,以量化几个世界地区已建立的非本地物种的科级组成和本地范围的时间变化。1900年以前,入侵物种以鳞翅目昆虫为主,随后转向更多样化的物种,但北美除外,与其他地区相比,北美的物种组成随时间的变化相对较小。已确定物种组成的空间和时间变化与进口来源和气候因素的差异有关,这两种因素分别占总变化的 26.3% 和 27.4%。对非本地物种原生地范围的分析表明,所有地区都不存在一致的时间变化。新西兰的既定物种主要原产于大洋洲,北美和智利的物种主要来自欧洲。欧洲的非本地物种主要来自近北极地区,而日本和澳大利亚的非本地物种一般来自多个地区。目的地地区的气候因素对已建立物种的原生地变化有主要影响(66.3%),尽管进口也有很大影响(45.4%)。
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引用次数: 0
Cover page 封面
IF 4.6 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 BIODIVERSITY CONSERVATION Pub Date : 2024-04-20 DOI: 10.1111/ddi.13735

The cover image relates to the Research Article https://doi.org/10.1111/ddi.13810 “Micro- and macroclimate interactively shape diversity, niches and traits of Orthoptera communities along elevational gradients” by König et al. A female Large Marsh Grasshopper (Stethophyma grossum) in front of Mt. Watzmann, Northern Limestone Alps. Image credit: Sebastian König.

封面图片与 König 等人的研究文章 https://doi.org/10.1111/ddi.13810 "Micro- and macroclimate interactively shape diversity, niches and traits of Orthoptera communities along elevational gradients "有关。北石灰岩阿尔卑斯山瓦茨曼山前的一只雌性大沼泽蚱蜢(Stethophyma grossum)。图片来源:Sebastian König.
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引用次数: 0
Expanding from local to continental scale—A genetic assessment of the Eurasian wolverine 从地方范围扩展到大陆范围--对欧亚狼獾的遗传评估
IF 4.6 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 BIODIVERSITY CONSERVATION Pub Date : 2024-04-17 DOI: 10.1111/ddi.13846
Dominika Bujnáková, Gerhardus M. J. Lansink, Alexei V. Abramov, Tatiana Bulyonkova, Nikolai E. Dokuchaev, Trofim Domanov, Mikhail G. Dvornikov, Alexander Graphodatsky, Ekaterina Karabanina, Sergei Kliver, Andrey N. Korolev, Vladimir V. Kozhechkin, Yuri N. Litvinov, Nikolay Mamaev, Vladimir G. Monakhov, Olga Nanova, Innokentiy Okhlopkov, Alexander P. Saveljev, Anton Schinov, Elena Shiriaeva, Mikhail Sidorov, Konstantin F. Tirronen, Evgenii S. Zakharov, Nadezhda N. Zakharova, Jouni Aspi, Laura Kvist

Aim

Our aim was to assess the population structure, genetic diversity and demographic history of the wolverine (Gulo gulo) throughout its entire Eurasian range. Additionally, we aimed to contextualize and put into perspective the state of the endangered Fennoscandian population by emphasizing its connectivity to other populations.

Location

The main study area covered most of the Eurasian wolverine range, with samples from Finland, Russia, Kazakhstan and Mongolia.

Methods

Using a 495 bp fragment of the mitochondrial DNA control region and a frequently used set of 14 microsatellite markers on an extensive dataset of samples, we assessed the population structure, genetic diversity, and demographic history of wolverines with a variety of population genetic analyses.

Results

According to both nuclear and mitochondrial genetic markers, Eurasian wolverines exhibit substructure, with the most distinct population located in Fennoscandia. The Fennoscandian population has undergone a genetic bottleneck, likely influencing its genetic diversity, which is notably the lowest in Eurasia. Genetic diversity in the rest of Eurasia gradually rises towards the central part of the range and decreases again in the east, although not as significantly as in the west.

Main Conclusions

This study reveals the population structure of wolverines across Eurasia and provides direction for allocating conservation efforts to sustain a diverse and connected wolverine population. While most of the Eurasian populations seem to be well-connected and genetically diverse, the Fennoscandian wolverines may need better connectivity to the other Eurasian populations to ensure gene flow and long-term persistence. Our study further highlights the importance of considering the population genetic structure and diversity of the entire species range when planning management strategies.

目的我们的目的是评估狼獾(Gulo gulo)在整个欧亚大陆的种群结构、遗传多样性和人口历史。此外,我们还希望通过强调濒危的芬诺斯坎迪亚种群与其他种群之间的联系,了解并正确看待该种群的状况。主要研究区域涵盖欧亚狼獾分布的大部分地区,样本来自芬兰、俄罗斯、哈萨克斯坦和蒙古。方法利用线粒体DNA控制区的495 bp片段和一组常用的14个微卫星标记,对大量样本进行种群遗传分析,评估貂熊的种群结构、遗传多样性和人口历史。芬诺斯坎迪亚狼獾种群经历了遗传瓶颈期,这可能影响了其遗传多样性,使其成为欧亚大陆上遗传多样性最低的狼獾种群。欧亚大陆其他地区的遗传多样性在中部逐渐上升,在东部再次下降,但下降幅度不如西部明显。虽然大多数欧亚种群似乎联系紧密,基因多样,但芬诺斯卡亚貂熊可能需要与其他欧亚种群建立更好的联系,以确保基因流动和长期生存。我们的研究进一步强调了在规划管理策略时考虑整个物种分布区的种群遗传结构和多样性的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
Projected climate-driven shifts in coral distribution indicate tropicalisation of Southwestern Atlantic reefs 预计气候驱动的珊瑚分布变化表明西南大西洋珊瑚礁热带化
IF 4.6 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 BIODIVERSITY CONSERVATION Pub Date : 2024-04-16 DOI: 10.1111/ddi.13851
Melina Ferreira Martello, Jessica Bleuel, Maria Grazia Pennino, Guilherme Ortigara Longo

Aim

Predicting and acting on the future of ecosystems requires understanding species distribution shifts due to climate change. We investigated which corals are more likely to shift their distribution in the Southwestern Atlantic under a warming scenario.

Location

Southwestern Atlantic (SWA; 1° N–28° S).

Methods

We used spatial distribution models with a Bayesian approach to predict the current and future (2050 and 2100) coral occurrence probabilities of 12 zooxanthellate corals and hydrocorals under an intermediate scenario of increasing greenhouse gas emissions (RCP6.0) projected by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC).

Results

We found a decline in the occurrence probabilities of all 12 taxa within the tropics (1° N–20° S) and an increase towards subtropical sites (20–28° S) as early as 2050. The most significant declines are projected to occur between 9° S and 20° S, a region that currently hosts the richest reef complex in the South Atlantic, the Abrolhos bank. The imminent loss of suitable habitat in the tropics mostly threatens the Brazilian endemics and range restricted corals Mussismilia braziliensis and Mussismilia harttii, while more widely distributed taxa such as Siderastrea spp., Millepora spp. and Porites spp. are expected to expand their ranges southwards.

Main Conclusions

The projected declines in the tropical region are likely to reduce structural complexity causing biodiversity loss. The overall increase in occurrence probabilities in subtropical areas indicates tropicalisation of SWA reefs, which may benefit species already established in these areas and potentially enrich coral assemblages through the range expansion of taxa that currently do not occur in the region. These findings emphasise the need to support ecological corridors that could aid coral migration towards more suitable habitats under climate change.

要预测生态系统的未来并采取相应行动,就必须了解气候变化导致的物种分布变化。我们研究了在气候变暖的情况下,哪些珊瑚更有可能改变其在西南大西洋的分布。
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引用次数: 0
Unexpected sources of uncertainty in projecting habitat shifts for Arctic shorebirds under climate change 预测气候变化下北极岸栖鸟类栖息地变化的意外不确定性来源
IF 4.6 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 BIODIVERSITY CONSERVATION Pub Date : 2024-04-15 DOI: 10.1111/ddi.13829
Christine M. Anderson, Lenore Fahrig, Jennie Rausch, Paul A. Smith

Aim

The rapidly changing Arctic is ideal for investigating uncertainties in climate projections. Despite the challenges of collecting data in this region, an unprecedented large-scale survey of shorebirds has been conducted over the last 30 years. Our study aimed to (1) develop probabilistic estimates for the change in suitable habitat for 10 Arctic shorebird species in Canada by 2075 and (2) assess the contribution of modelling decisions to the uncertainty in these estimates.

Location

Arctic Canada.

Methods

To evaluate uncertainty, we considered six classes of modelling decisions, yielding 216 unique projections for each species. We tested three decisions that are less commonly explored − the pool of candidate variables, a method for selecting variables, and the maximum distance of tree line dispersal, as well as the modelling algorithm, carbon emissions scenario, and global circulation model. We used a bootstrapping approach, creating a probability distribution for the proportional change in suitable habitat for each species.

Results

Our findings indicated a substantial risk for 8/10 species to lose over half of their suitable breeding habitat, but this projection is much less certain than has been described previously. While much uncertainty is unexplained, we were surprised that the largest source of uncertainty among our modelling decisions was from our choice of methods for variable selection, that the other modelling decisions were relatively small sources of uncertainty, overshadowing other modelling decisions.

Main Conclusions

While most scenarios predict a northward shift and significant habitat loss for Arctic-breeding shorebirds, the Arctic Archipelago of Canada will remain an important refuge because in many other Arctic regions, there is no land farther north for these species to shift into. A comprehensive understanding of uncertainty is important for deciding if future projections can or should be used when planning climate-resilient protected area networks.

目的瞬息万变的北极是研究气候预测不确定性的理想之地。尽管在这一地区收集数据面临挑战,但在过去 30 年中,对海岸鸟类进行了前所未有的大规模调查。我们的研究旨在:(1)对到 2075 年加拿大 10 种北极岸鸟适宜栖息地的变化进行概率估算;(2)评估建模决策对这些估算的不确定性所起的作用。我们测试了较少探讨的三个决策--候选变量库、选择变量的方法和树线扩散的最大距离,以及建模算法、碳排放情景和全球环流模型。结果我们的研究结果表明,8/10 个物种将面临失去一半以上适宜繁殖栖息地的巨大风险,但这一预测的确定性远低于之前的描述。虽然许多不确定性无法解释,但令我们感到惊讶的是,在我们的建模决策中,最大的不确定性来源于我们对变量选择方法的选择,而其他建模决策的不确定性来源相对较小,掩盖了其他建模决策的不确定性。全面了解不确定性对于决定在规划气候适应性保护区网络时是否可以或应该使用未来预测非常重要。
{"title":"Unexpected sources of uncertainty in projecting habitat shifts for Arctic shorebirds under climate change","authors":"Christine M. Anderson,&nbsp;Lenore Fahrig,&nbsp;Jennie Rausch,&nbsp;Paul A. Smith","doi":"10.1111/ddi.13829","DOIUrl":"10.1111/ddi.13829","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 \u0000 <section>\u0000 \u0000 <h3> Aim</h3>\u0000 \u0000 <p>The rapidly changing Arctic is ideal for investigating uncertainties in climate projections. Despite the challenges of collecting data in this region, an unprecedented large-scale survey of shorebirds has been conducted over the last 30 years. Our study aimed to (1) develop probabilistic estimates for the change in suitable habitat for 10 Arctic shorebird species in Canada by 2075 and (2) assess the contribution of modelling decisions to the uncertainty in these estimates.</p>\u0000 </section>\u0000 \u0000 <section>\u0000 \u0000 <h3> Location</h3>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Arctic Canada.</p>\u0000 </section>\u0000 \u0000 <section>\u0000 \u0000 <h3> Methods</h3>\u0000 \u0000 <p>To evaluate uncertainty, we considered six classes of modelling decisions, yielding 216 unique projections for each species. We tested three decisions that are less commonly explored − the pool of candidate variables, a method for selecting variables, and the maximum distance of tree line dispersal, as well as the modelling algorithm, carbon emissions scenario, and global circulation model. We used a bootstrapping approach, creating a probability distribution for the proportional change in suitable habitat for each species.</p>\u0000 </section>\u0000 \u0000 <section>\u0000 \u0000 <h3> Results</h3>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Our findings indicated a substantial risk for 8/10 species to lose over half of their suitable breeding habitat, but this projection is much less certain than has been described previously. While much uncertainty is unexplained, we were surprised that the largest source of uncertainty among our modelling decisions was from our choice of methods for variable selection, that the other modelling decisions were relatively small sources of uncertainty, overshadowing other modelling decisions.</p>\u0000 </section>\u0000 \u0000 <section>\u0000 \u0000 <h3> Main Conclusions</h3>\u0000 \u0000 <p>While most scenarios predict a northward shift and significant habitat loss for Arctic-breeding shorebirds, the Arctic Archipelago of Canada will remain an important refuge because in many other Arctic regions, there is no land farther north for these species to shift into. A comprehensive understanding of uncertainty is important for deciding if future projections can or should be used when planning climate-resilient protected area networks.</p>\u0000 </section>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":51018,"journal":{"name":"Diversity and Distributions","volume":"30 6","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2024-04-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/ddi.13829","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140565741","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Kelp forest diversity under projected end-of-century climate change 预计本世纪末气候变化下的海带森林多样性
IF 4.6 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 BIODIVERSITY CONSERVATION Pub Date : 2024-04-15 DOI: 10.1111/ddi.13837
Jorge Assis, Eliza Fragkopoulou, Lidiane Gouvêa, Miguel B. Araújo, Ester A. Serrão

Aim

Future climate change threatens marine forests across the world, potentially disrupting ecosystem function and services. Nonetheless, the direction and intensity of climate-induced changes in kelp forest biodiversity remain unknown, precluding well-informed conservation and management practices.

Location

Global.

Methods

We use machine-learning models to forecast global changes in species richness and community composition of 105 kelp forest species under contrasting Shared Socioeconomic Pathway (SSP) scenarios of climate change (decade 2090–2100): one aligned with the Paris Agreement and another of substantially higher emissions.

Results

A poleward and depth shift in species distributions is forecasted, translating into ~15% less area in the extent of the global biome, coupled with marked regional biodiversity changes. Community composition changes are mostly projected in the Arctic, the Northern Pacific and Atlantic, and Australasia, owing to poleward range expansions and wide low latitude losses.

Main Conclusions

By surpassing the Paris Agreement expectations, species reshuffling may simplify and impair ecosystem services in numerous temperate regions of Australasia, Southern Africa, Southern America and the Northern Atlantic, and in the tropical Pacific, where complete species losses were projected without replacement. These estimates, flagging threatened regions and species, as well as refugial areas of population persistence, can now inform conservation, management and restoration practices considering future climate change.

未来的气候变化威胁着世界各地的海洋森林,有可能破坏生态系统的功能和服务。然而,气候引起的海带森林生物多样性变化的方向和强度仍是未知数,因此无法在充分知情的情况下进行保护和管理。
{"title":"Kelp forest diversity under projected end-of-century climate change","authors":"Jorge Assis,&nbsp;Eliza Fragkopoulou,&nbsp;Lidiane Gouvêa,&nbsp;Miguel B. Araújo,&nbsp;Ester A. Serrão","doi":"10.1111/ddi.13837","DOIUrl":"10.1111/ddi.13837","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 \u0000 <section>\u0000 \u0000 <h3> Aim</h3>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Future climate change threatens marine forests across the world, potentially disrupting ecosystem function and services. Nonetheless, the direction and intensity of climate-induced changes in kelp forest biodiversity remain unknown, precluding well-informed conservation and management practices.</p>\u0000 </section>\u0000 \u0000 <section>\u0000 \u0000 <h3> Location</h3>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Global.</p>\u0000 </section>\u0000 \u0000 <section>\u0000 \u0000 <h3> Methods</h3>\u0000 \u0000 <p>We use machine-learning models to forecast global changes in species richness and community composition of 105 kelp forest species under contrasting Shared Socioeconomic Pathway (SSP) scenarios of climate change (decade 2090–2100): one aligned with the Paris Agreement and another of substantially higher emissions.</p>\u0000 </section>\u0000 \u0000 <section>\u0000 \u0000 <h3> Results</h3>\u0000 \u0000 <p>A poleward and depth shift in species distributions is forecasted, translating into ~15% less area in the extent of the global biome, coupled with marked regional biodiversity changes. Community composition changes are mostly projected in the Arctic, the Northern Pacific and Atlantic, and Australasia, owing to poleward range expansions and wide low latitude losses.</p>\u0000 </section>\u0000 \u0000 <section>\u0000 \u0000 <h3> Main Conclusions</h3>\u0000 \u0000 <p>By surpassing the Paris Agreement expectations, species reshuffling may simplify and impair ecosystem services in numerous temperate regions of Australasia, Southern Africa, Southern America and the Northern Atlantic, and in the tropical Pacific, where complete species losses were projected without replacement. These estimates, flagging threatened regions and species, as well as refugial areas of population persistence, can now inform conservation, management and restoration practices considering future climate change.</p>\u0000 </section>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":51018,"journal":{"name":"Diversity and Distributions","volume":"30 6","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2024-04-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/ddi.13837","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140565972","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Phenotypic and genetic divergence in a cold-adapted grasshopper may lead to lineage-specific responses to rapid climate change 一种适应寒冷的蚱蜢的表型和遗传分化可能会导致对快速气候变化做出特定品系的反应
IF 4.6 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 BIODIVERSITY CONSERVATION Pub Date : 2024-04-12 DOI: 10.1111/ddi.13848
Fabio Leonardo Meza-Joya, Mary Morgan-Richards, Steven A. Trewick

Aim

Species responses to global warming will depend on intraspecific diversity, yet studies of factors governing biogeographic patterns of variability are scarce. Here, we investigate the evolutionary processes underlying genetic and phenotypic diversity in the flightless and cold-adapted grasshopper Sigaus piliferus, and project its suitable space in time.

Location

Te Ika-a-Māui Aotearoa—North Island of New Zealand.

Methods

We used mitochondrial sequences to investigate population connectivity and demographic trends using phylogeographic tools and neutrality statistics. Metric data were used to document phenotypic variation using naïve clustering. We used niche metrics to assess intraspecific niche variation, and niche modelling to investigate suitability under past and future scenarios. Multiple matrix regressions with randomization explored the processes contributing to phenotypic differentiation among grasshopper populations.

Results

Niche models and demographic analyses suggest suitable space for this grasshopper was more restricted during glacial than interglacial stages. Genealogical relationships among ND2 haplotypes revealed a deep north–south split partly concordant with phenotypic and niche variation, suggesting two ecotypes that have mixed during recolonisation of the central volcanic region. Multiple matrix regressions with randomization indicate a link between climate and phenotypic differentiation inferred from leg and pronotum dimensions but not pronotum shape. Niche projections predict severe habitat reduction due to climate warming.

Main conclusions

The current distribution and intraspecific diversity of S. piliferus reflect complex biogeographical scenarios consistent with Quaternary climates and volcanism. Phenotypic divergence appears adaptive. Current levels of genetic and phenotypic variation suggest adaptive potential, yet the pace of anthropogenic warming over the next 50 years could result in small populations that may collapse before adapting. Differences in niche features between diverging intraspecific lineages suggest distinct responses to climate change, and this has implications for prioritising conservation actions and management strategies.

目的物种对全球变暖的反应将取决于种内多样性,但有关生物地理变异模式的研究却很少。方法我们利用线粒体序列,使用系统地理学工具和中性统计来研究种群的连通性和人口趋势。度量数据被用来记录表型变异。我们利用生态位指标评估种内生态位变异,并利用生态位建模研究过去和未来情景下的适宜性。结果生态位模型和人口学分析表明,冰川期比间冰期蚱蜢的适宜空间更加有限。ND2 单倍型之间的谱系关系显示,蚱蜢种群存在严重的南北分化,部分与表型和生态位变异一致,这表明在中部火山地区的重新定居过程中,两种生态型发生了混合。随机化的多重矩阵回归表明,气候与表型分化之间存在联系,表型分化是通过腿部和前胸的尺寸推断的,而不是前胸的形状。主要结论S. piliferus目前的分布和种内多样性反映了与第四纪气候和火山活动相一致的复杂生物地理情景。表型分化似乎是适应性的。目前的遗传和表型变异水平表明其具有适应潜力,但未来 50 年人为变暖的速度可能会导致小种群在适应之前就崩溃。种内分化品系之间的生态位特征差异表明,它们对气候变化的反应各不相同,这对确定保护行动和管理策略的优先次序具有影响。
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引用次数: 0
Estimating species distribution from camera trap by-catch data, using jaguarundi (Herpailurus yagouaroundi) as an example 以美洲豹肺鱼(Herpailurus yagouaroundi)为例,从相机陷阱副渔获物数据中估计物种分布情况
IF 4.6 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 BIODIVERSITY CONSERVATION Pub Date : 2024-04-12 DOI: 10.1111/ddi.13831
Bart J. Harmsen, Sara Williams, Maria Abarca, Francisco Samuel Álvarez Calderón, Daniela Araya-Gamboa, Hefer Daniel Avila, Mariano Barrantes-Núñez, Yaribeth Bravata-de la Cruz, Joleen Broadfield, Valquíria Cabral-Araújo, Ana Patricia Calderón, Franklin Castañeda, Daniel Corrales-Gutiérrez, Bárbara do Couto-Peret Dias, Paulo Henrique Dantas Marinho, Allison L. Devlin, Barbara I. Escobar-Anleu, Deiver Espinoza-Muñoz, Helen J. Esser, Rebecca J. Foster, Carlos Eduardo Fragoso, Diana Friedeberg, Luis Alberto Herrera, Mircea G. Hidalgo-Mihart, Rafael Hoogesteijn, Patrick A. Jansen, Włodzimierz Jędrzejewski, Alejandro Jesus-de la Cruz, Domingos de Jesus Rodrigues, Chris A. Jordan, Rugieri Juárez-Lopez, Vanessa Kadosoe, Marcella J. Kelly, Travis W. King, Camile Lugarini, Eduardo Martins Venticinque, Giulia da Matta Nigro, Darby K. T. McPhail, Ninon Meyer, Andrea Morales-Rivas, Vance Nepomuceno, Rob B. Nipko, Janaina Noronha, Mariana de Oliveira-Vasquez, Paul Ouboter, Evi A. D. Paemelaere, Esteban Payán, Thais Pereira dos Santos, Roberto Salom-Pérez, Emma E. Sanchez, Stephanie Santos-Simioni, Krzysztof Schmidt, Diana Stasiukyans, Fernando R. Tortato, Ever Urbina-Ruiz, Gerald R. Urquhart, Wai-Ming Wong, Hugh Robinson
<div> <section> <h3> Aim</h3> <p>Planning conservation action requires accurate estimates of abundance and distribution of the target species. For many mammals, particularly those inhabiting tropical forests, there are insufficient data to assess their conservation status. We present a framework for predicting species distribution using jaguarundi (<i>Herpailurus yagouaroundi</i>), a poorly known felid for which basic information on abundance and distribution is lacking.</p> </section> <section> <h3> Location</h3> <p>Mesoamerica and South America.</p> </section> <section> <h3> Time Period</h3> <p>From 2003 to 2021.</p> </section> <section> <h3> Taxa</h3> <p> <i>Herpailurus yagouaroundi.</i> </p> </section> <section> <h3> Methods</h3> <p>We combined camera-trap data from multiple sites and used an occupancy modelling framework accounting for imperfect detection to identify habitat associations and predict the range-wide distribution of jaguarundis.</p> </section> <section> <h3> Results</h3> <p>Our model predicted that the probability of jaguarundi occupancy is positively associated with rugged terrain, herbaceous cover, and human night-time light intensity. Jaguarundi occupancy was predicted to be higher where precipitation was less seasonal, and at intermediate levels of diurnal temperature range. Our camera data also revealed additional detections of jaguarundis beyond the current International Union for Conservation of Nature (IUCN) range distribution, including the Andean foothills of Colombia and Bolivia.</p> </section> <section> <h3> Main Conclusion</h3> <p>Occupancy was predicted to be low throughout much of Amazonian lowlands, a vast area at the centre of jaguarundi known range. Further work is required to investigate whether this area represents sub-optimal conditions for the species. Overall, we estimate a crude global jaguarundi population of 35,000 to 230,000 individuals, covering 4,453,406 km<sup>2</sup> of Meso- and South America at the 0.5 probability level of occupancy. Our current framework allows for an initially detailed, well-informed species distribution that should be challenged and refined with improved habitat layers and additional records of jaguarundi detection. We encourage similar studi
目的规划保护行动需要对目标物种的数量和分布进行准确估计。对于许多哺乳动物,尤其是栖息在热带森林中的哺乳动物,没有足够的数据来评估它们的保护状况。我们以美洲豹(Herpailurus yagouaroundi)为例,提出了一个预测物种分布的框架,美洲豹是一种鲜为人知的猫科动物,缺乏有关其数量和分布的基本信息。方法我们综合了多个地点的相机诱捕数据,并使用占用建模框架(考虑到不完全检测)来确定栖息地关联,并预测美洲豹在整个分布区的分布情况。结果我们的模型预测,美洲豹的占用概率与崎岖地形、草本植物覆盖和人类夜间光照强度呈正相关。据预测,在降水季节性较弱以及昼夜温差处于中等水平的地区,美洲虎的栖息率较高。我们的照相机数据还显示,在世界自然保护联盟(IUCN)目前的美洲豹分布范围之外,包括哥伦比亚和玻利维亚的安第斯山麓,也发现了更多的美洲豹。需要进一步研究这一地区是否是该物种的次优生存条件。总之,我们估计全球美洲豹的粗略种群数量为 35,000 到 230,000 只,覆盖中美洲和南美洲 4,453,406 平方公里的土地,占有率为 0.5。我们目前的框架可以初步提供详尽的物种分布信息,但随着栖息地图层的改进和更多美洲豹的探测记录的增加,这一信息将不断受到挑战和完善。我们鼓励对不太为人所知的哺乳动物进行类似的研究,汇集世界各地不断增加的相机捕捉调查库中现有的副渔获物数据。
{"title":"Estimating species distribution from camera trap by-catch data, using jaguarundi (Herpailurus yagouaroundi) as an example","authors":"Bart J. Harmsen,&nbsp;Sara Williams,&nbsp;Maria Abarca,&nbsp;Francisco Samuel Álvarez Calderón,&nbsp;Daniela Araya-Gamboa,&nbsp;Hefer Daniel Avila,&nbsp;Mariano Barrantes-Núñez,&nbsp;Yaribeth Bravata-de la Cruz,&nbsp;Joleen Broadfield,&nbsp;Valquíria Cabral-Araújo,&nbsp;Ana Patricia Calderón,&nbsp;Franklin Castañeda,&nbsp;Daniel Corrales-Gutiérrez,&nbsp;Bárbara do Couto-Peret Dias,&nbsp;Paulo Henrique Dantas Marinho,&nbsp;Allison L. Devlin,&nbsp;Barbara I. Escobar-Anleu,&nbsp;Deiver Espinoza-Muñoz,&nbsp;Helen J. Esser,&nbsp;Rebecca J. Foster,&nbsp;Carlos Eduardo Fragoso,&nbsp;Diana Friedeberg,&nbsp;Luis Alberto Herrera,&nbsp;Mircea G. Hidalgo-Mihart,&nbsp;Rafael Hoogesteijn,&nbsp;Patrick A. Jansen,&nbsp;Włodzimierz Jędrzejewski,&nbsp;Alejandro Jesus-de la Cruz,&nbsp;Domingos de Jesus Rodrigues,&nbsp;Chris A. Jordan,&nbsp;Rugieri Juárez-Lopez,&nbsp;Vanessa Kadosoe,&nbsp;Marcella J. Kelly,&nbsp;Travis W. King,&nbsp;Camile Lugarini,&nbsp;Eduardo Martins Venticinque,&nbsp;Giulia da Matta Nigro,&nbsp;Darby K. T. McPhail,&nbsp;Ninon Meyer,&nbsp;Andrea Morales-Rivas,&nbsp;Vance Nepomuceno,&nbsp;Rob B. Nipko,&nbsp;Janaina Noronha,&nbsp;Mariana de Oliveira-Vasquez,&nbsp;Paul Ouboter,&nbsp;Evi A. D. Paemelaere,&nbsp;Esteban Payán,&nbsp;Thais Pereira dos Santos,&nbsp;Roberto Salom-Pérez,&nbsp;Emma E. Sanchez,&nbsp;Stephanie Santos-Simioni,&nbsp;Krzysztof Schmidt,&nbsp;Diana Stasiukyans,&nbsp;Fernando R. Tortato,&nbsp;Ever Urbina-Ruiz,&nbsp;Gerald R. Urquhart,&nbsp;Wai-Ming Wong,&nbsp;Hugh Robinson","doi":"10.1111/ddi.13831","DOIUrl":"10.1111/ddi.13831","url":null,"abstract":"&lt;div&gt;\u0000 \u0000 \u0000 &lt;section&gt;\u0000 \u0000 &lt;h3&gt; Aim&lt;/h3&gt;\u0000 \u0000 &lt;p&gt;Planning conservation action requires accurate estimates of abundance and distribution of the target species. For many mammals, particularly those inhabiting tropical forests, there are insufficient data to assess their conservation status. We present a framework for predicting species distribution using jaguarundi (&lt;i&gt;Herpailurus yagouaroundi&lt;/i&gt;), a poorly known felid for which basic information on abundance and distribution is lacking.&lt;/p&gt;\u0000 &lt;/section&gt;\u0000 \u0000 &lt;section&gt;\u0000 \u0000 &lt;h3&gt; Location&lt;/h3&gt;\u0000 \u0000 &lt;p&gt;Mesoamerica and South America.&lt;/p&gt;\u0000 &lt;/section&gt;\u0000 \u0000 &lt;section&gt;\u0000 \u0000 &lt;h3&gt; Time Period&lt;/h3&gt;\u0000 \u0000 &lt;p&gt;From 2003 to 2021.&lt;/p&gt;\u0000 &lt;/section&gt;\u0000 \u0000 &lt;section&gt;\u0000 \u0000 &lt;h3&gt; Taxa&lt;/h3&gt;\u0000 \u0000 &lt;p&gt;\u0000 &lt;i&gt;Herpailurus yagouaroundi.&lt;/i&gt;\u0000 &lt;/p&gt;\u0000 &lt;/section&gt;\u0000 \u0000 &lt;section&gt;\u0000 \u0000 &lt;h3&gt; Methods&lt;/h3&gt;\u0000 \u0000 &lt;p&gt;We combined camera-trap data from multiple sites and used an occupancy modelling framework accounting for imperfect detection to identify habitat associations and predict the range-wide distribution of jaguarundis.&lt;/p&gt;\u0000 &lt;/section&gt;\u0000 \u0000 &lt;section&gt;\u0000 \u0000 &lt;h3&gt; Results&lt;/h3&gt;\u0000 \u0000 &lt;p&gt;Our model predicted that the probability of jaguarundi occupancy is positively associated with rugged terrain, herbaceous cover, and human night-time light intensity. Jaguarundi occupancy was predicted to be higher where precipitation was less seasonal, and at intermediate levels of diurnal temperature range. Our camera data also revealed additional detections of jaguarundis beyond the current International Union for Conservation of Nature (IUCN) range distribution, including the Andean foothills of Colombia and Bolivia.&lt;/p&gt;\u0000 &lt;/section&gt;\u0000 \u0000 &lt;section&gt;\u0000 \u0000 &lt;h3&gt; Main Conclusion&lt;/h3&gt;\u0000 \u0000 &lt;p&gt;Occupancy was predicted to be low throughout much of Amazonian lowlands, a vast area at the centre of jaguarundi known range. Further work is required to investigate whether this area represents sub-optimal conditions for the species. Overall, we estimate a crude global jaguarundi population of 35,000 to 230,000 individuals, covering 4,453,406 km&lt;sup&gt;2&lt;/sup&gt; of Meso- and South America at the 0.5 probability level of occupancy. Our current framework allows for an initially detailed, well-informed species distribution that should be challenged and refined with improved habitat layers and additional records of jaguarundi detection. We encourage similar studi","PeriodicalId":51018,"journal":{"name":"Diversity and Distributions","volume":"30 10","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2024-04-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/ddi.13831","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140565973","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Native fish assemblages in natural lakes across Japan: Endemism deterioration lasting centuries 日本各地天然湖泊中的本地鱼群:持续数百年的特有性退化
IF 4.6 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 BIODIVERSITY CONSERVATION Pub Date : 2024-04-11 DOI: 10.1111/ddi.13850
Bingguo Dai, Shin-ichiro S. Matsuzaki, Junjiro N. Negishi, Zhijun Xia, Md. Khorshed Alam, Zhongguan Jiang

Aim

This study aimed to illustrate the changing diversity patterns of native freshwater fish in the past two centuries and to identify priority locations for native fish conservation to counter future degradation.

Location

Japanese archipelago.

Methods

We used the published native fish fauna data in 39 lakes across Japan, analysing historical and current diversity and projecting future distribution patterns based on the Japanese Red List. We assessed fish assemblages' taxonomic, phylogenetic, and functional alpha and beta diversity across different periods. Additionally, we proposed a cumulative diversity index that incorporated taxonomic, phylogenetic and functional facets, and then examined its relationship with the latitudinal positioning of the lakes across periods.

Results

We observed a significant decrease in the richness of native freshwater fish since historical periods. Accompanying this decline were significant reductions in both phylogenetic relatedness and functional redundancy. Fish beta diversity increased from the past to the present and is predicted to decline drastically, indicating an ongoing homogenization process. Using the cumulative diversity index, we identified Hokkaido and Kyushu as crucial habitats for endemic fishes. These islands, with unique biogeographical backgrounds, contributed substantially to the national dissimilarity patterns of native fish assemblages in the historical period. However, the contribution is diminishing due to the ongoing decline in fish endemism.

Main Conclusions

The conservation priority of native freshwater fish in Japan should be assigned to Hokkaido and Kyushu due to the inhabited endemic species. The proposed framework for assessing the cumulative diversity of biotic communities presented the potential to aid macroecological explorations that underpin biodiversity conservation.

研究目的:本研究旨在说明过去两个世纪中本土淡水鱼类多样性模式的变化,并确定本土鱼类保护的优先地点,以应对未来的退化。方法:我们使用了日本全国 39 个湖泊中已公布的本土鱼类动物群数据,分析了历史和当前的多样性,并根据日本红色名录预测了未来的分布模式。我们评估了不同时期鱼类组合的分类、系统发育和功能α及β多样性。此外,我们还提出了一个包含分类学、系统发育和功能方面的累积多样性指数,并研究了该指数与不同时期湖泊纬度定位的关系。伴随这一下降的是系统发生相关性和功能冗余性的显著降低。鱼类的贝塔多样性从过去到现在一直在增加,而且预计会急剧下降,这表明同质化进程仍在继续。利用累积多样性指数,我们发现北海道和九州是特有鱼类的重要栖息地。这些岛屿具有独特的生物地理背景,在历史时期对本地鱼类群落的全国差异模式做出了重大贡献。主要结论由于北海道和九州岛上栖息着当地特有的鱼类,因此日本本土淡水鱼类的保护重点应放在这两个岛屿上。所提出的生物群落累积多样性评估框架具有帮助宏观生态学探索的潜力,而宏观生态学探索是生物多样性保护的基础。
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引用次数: 0
The integration of whole-genome resequencing and ecological niche modelling to conserve profiles of local adaptation 整合全基因组重测序和生态位建模以保护当地适应性特征
IF 4.6 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 BIODIVERSITY CONSERVATION Pub Date : 2024-04-11 DOI: 10.1111/ddi.13847
Jong Yoon Jeon, Yucheol Shin, Andrew J. Mularo, Xiao Feng, J. Andrew DeWoody

Background

Ecological and genomic attributes of populations can provide two orthologous perspectives on the biological profiles associated with local adaptation. The ability of organisms to track suitable habitats (ecological adaptability) and of populations to shift allele frequencies (adaptive potential) are prerequisite for population sustainability.

Aims

Many contemporary populations are threatened by habitat loss (ecological vulnerability) and a lack of adaptive potential (evolutionary vulnerability). Technical advances provide new opportunities to address these challenges in biological conservation: Future habitat shifts can be predicted by ecological niche modelling and adaptive genetic diversity can be discerned using genome sequence data. Together, these two approaches illuminate the local adaptation profile and help identify the environmental and genomic conditions that should maximize evolutionary fitness.

Materials and Methods

Here, we reviewed the primary literature to identify key studies that utilize both whole-genome resequencing (WGR) and ecological niche modelling (ENM) in an effort to envisage future research directions that may benefit conservation efforts.

Results

We identified ways to integrate different approaches, such as ENM-informed adaptive genomics and adaptive genomics-informed ENMs, that can be used to delineate and conserve local adaptation profiles.

Discussion

Integrative approaches can identify adaptive characteristics, vulnerable populations subject to environmental changes, and the patterns of local adaptation from geographic and genomic analyses. We discuss future research directions, limitations and their potential solutions with suggestions for collaborative workflows.

Conclusion

The integration of WGR and ENM is promising with their continuous advancement. An integrative approach can be used to evaluate eco-evolutionary attributes, at both organismal and molecular levels, that can be used to help conserve local adaptation profiles.

背景种群的生态属性和基因组属性可为与局部适应相关的生物特征提供两个正交的视角。生物追踪合适栖息地的能力(生态适应性)和种群改变等位基因频率的能力(适应潜力)是种群可持续发展的先决条件。目的当代许多种群受到栖息地丧失(生态脆弱性)和适应潜力缺乏(进化脆弱性)的威胁。技术进步为应对生物保护方面的这些挑战提供了新的机遇:通过生态位建模可以预测未来栖息地的变化,而利用基因组序列数据则可以发现适应性遗传多样性。材料与方法在此,我们回顾了主要文献,以确定同时利用全基因组重测序(WGR)和生态位建模(ENM)的关键研究,从而展望未来可能有利于保护工作的研究方向。讨论综合方法可以从地理和基因组分析中确定适应特征、受环境变化影响的脆弱种群以及当地适应模式。我们讨论了未来的研究方向、局限性及其潜在的解决方案,并对协作工作流程提出了建议。综合方法可用于评估生物体和分子水平的生态进化属性,从而帮助保护当地的适应特征。
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引用次数: 0
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