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Carbon Stock Assessment in Gypsum-Bearing Soils: The Role of Subsurface Soil Horizons 含石膏土壤碳储量评价:地下土层的作用
IF 2 4区 地球科学 Q3 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2022-07-16 DOI: 10.3390/earth3030048
M. Rodríguez-Rastrero, Almudena Ortega-Martos
With the aim of contributing to the knowledge of soil organic carbon stocks in dry areas, this work is based on a quantification of SOC stocks in gypsum-bearing soils whose vertical and spatial heterogeneity greatly limits inferring the total SOC stocks solely from soil surface information. Public databases of soil profiles were key to this quantification, through which it was estimated which amounts of organic carbon can potentially be excluded from calculations associated with soil C cycle models in the absence of information regarding deep soil horizons. These databases include two key factors in the quantification of SOC stocks, which are often excluded: the volume of coarse fragments and the thickness of all sampled soil horizons where SOC concentration was determined. The observed average value of SOC stocks in the studied subsurface horizons reaches 73% of the whole soil. Climate, relief, and land use influence the quantity and heterogeneity of SOC stocks in these soils. Information based on the mere surface of the soil is not relevant to quantify the total SOC; however, the calculation of stocks through soil pits of medium depth (30 cm) has proven to be potentially useful as a complementary approach to these stocks.
为了对干旱地区的土壤有机碳储量有所贡献,本研究基于含石膏土壤有机碳储量的量化,其垂直和空间异质性极大地限制了仅从土壤表面信息推断总有机碳储量。土壤剖面的公共数据库是这一量化的关键,通过这些数据库,可以估计在缺乏深层土壤层位信息的情况下,哪些有机碳量可能被排除在与土壤C循环模型相关的计算之外。这些数据库包括两个通常被排除在外的量化有机碳储量的关键因素:粗碎片的体积和测定有机碳浓度的所有采样土壤层的厚度。研究区地下层土壤有机碳储量观测平均值达到全土层的73%。气候、地形和土地利用影响这些土壤有机碳储量的数量和异质性。单纯基于土壤表面的信息与土壤有机碳总量的量化不相关;但是,通过中等深度(30厘米)的土坑计算储量已被证明是对这些储量的一种补充方法。
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引用次数: 2
Projections of Hydroclimatic Extremes in Southeast Alaska under the RCP8.5 scenario RCP8.5情景下阿拉斯加东南部极端水文气候预估
IF 2 4区 地球科学 Q3 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2022-07-14 DOI: 10.1175/ei-d-21-0023.1
Rick Lader, U. Bhatt, J. Walsh, P. Bieniek
Parts of southeast Alaska experienced record drought in 2019, followed by record daily precipitation in late 2020 with substantial impacts to human health and safety, energy resources and fisheries. To help ascertain whether or not these types of events can be expected more frequently, this study investigated observed trends and projected changes of hydroclimatic extremes indices across southeast Alaska, including measures of precipitation variability, seasonality, magnitude and type. Observations indicated mixed tendencies of inter-annual precipitation variability, but there were consistent trends toward warmer and wetter conditions. Projected changes were assessed using dynamically downscaled climate model simulations at 4-km spatial resolution from 2031-2060 that were compared to a historical period from 1981-2010 using two models – NCAR CCSM4 and GFDL-CM3. Consistent directional changes were found for five of the analyzed indices. The CCSM indicated increased maximum 1-day precipitation (RX1; 12.6%), increased maximum consecutive 5-day precipitation (RX5; 7.4%), longer periods of consecutive dry days (CDD; 11.9%), fewer snow cover days (SNC; -21.4%) and lower snow fraction (SNF; -24.4%); for GFDL these changes were RX1 (19.8%), RX5 (16.0%), CDD (20.1%), SNC (-21.9%) and SNF (-26.5%). While both models indicated substantial snow losses, they also projected annual snowfall increases at high elevations; for CCSM this occurred above 1500 m and above 2500 m for GFDL. Significance testing was assessed at the 95% confidence level using Theil-Sen’s slope estimates for the observed time series and the Wilcoxon-Mann- Whitney U test for projected changes of the hydroclimatic extremes indices relative to their historical distributions.
阿拉斯加东南部部分地区在2019年经历了创纪录的干旱,随后在2020年底出现了创纪录的日降水,对人类健康和安全、能源资源和渔业产生了重大影响。为了帮助确定这些类型的事件是否可以更频繁地预测,本研究调查了阿拉斯加东南部水文气候极端指数的观测趋势和预测变化,包括降水变动性、季节性、强度和类型的测量。观测显示年际降水变率的混合趋势,但有一致的变暖和变湿趋势。利用NCAR CCSM4和GFDL-CM3两种模式,在4公里空间分辨率下对2031-2060年的动态缩尺气候模式模拟与1981-2010年的历史时期进行了比较,评估了预估变化。在分析的五个指标中发现了一致的方向性变化。CCSM显示最大1天降水量增加(RX1;12.6%),最大连续5天降水量增加(RX5;7.4%),连续干旱天数较长(CDD;11.9%),积雪日数较少(SNC;-21.4%)和较低的雪率(SNF;-24.4%);对于GFDL,这些变化分别是RX1(19.8%)、RX5(16.0%)、CDD(20.1%)、SNC(-21.9%)和SNF(-26.5%)。虽然这两个模型都显示了大量的积雪损失,但它们也预测了高海拔地区的年降雪量增加;CCSM出现在1500米以上,GFDL出现在2500米以上。使用对观测时间序列的Theil-Sen斜率估计和对水文气候极端指数相对于其历史分布的预估变化的Wilcoxon-Mann- Whitney U检验,在95%置信水平上进行显著性检验。
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引用次数: 1
Assessing the Effects of Climate Change on Middle Rio Grande Surface Water Supplies Using a Simple Water Balance Reservoir Model 使用简单的水平衡水库模型评估气候变化对中里奥格兰德州地表水供应的影响
IF 2 4区 地球科学 Q3 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2022-07-14 DOI: 10.1175/ei-d-21-0025.1
Robyn N. Holmes, A. Mayer, D. Gutzler, Luis Garnica Chavira
The Middle Rio Grande is a vital source of water for irrigation in the region. Climate change is impacting regional hydrology and is likely to put additional stress on a water supply that is already stretched thin. To gain insight on the hydrologic effects of climate change on reservoir storage, a simple water balance model was used to simulate the Elephant Butte-Caballo reservoir system (Southern New Mexico, USA). The water balance model was forced by hydrologic inputs generated by 97 climate simulations derived from CMIP5 Global Climate Models, coupled to a surface hydrologic model. Results suggest the percentage of years that reservoir releases satisfy agricultural water rights allocations over the next 50 years (2021-2070) will decrease compared to the past 50 years (1971-2020). The modeling also projects an increase in multi-year drought events that hinder reservoir management strategies to maintain high storage levels. In most cases, changes in reservoir inflows from distant upstream snowmelt is projected to have a greater influence on reservoir storage and water availability downstream of the reservoirs, compared to changes in local evaporation and precipitation from the reservoir surfaces.
中河是该地区重要的灌溉水源。气候变化正在影响区域水文,并可能给本已捉襟襟肘的供水系统带来额外压力。为了深入了解气候变化对水库蓄水的水文影响,采用一个简单的水平衡模型对美国新墨西哥州南部的象丘-卡巴洛水库系统进行了模拟。CMIP5全球气候模式的97个气候模拟所产生的水文输入与一个地表水文模式耦合,对水平衡模式产生了强迫作用。结果表明,与过去50年(1971-2020年)相比,未来50年(2021-2070年)水库释放满足农业水权分配的年数百分比将减少。该模型还预测了多年干旱事件的增加,这将阻碍水库管理策略以保持高储水量。在大多数情况下,与来自水库表面的当地蒸发和降水的变化相比,来自遥远上游融雪的水库流入的变化预估对水库储水量和水库下游的可用水量的影响更大。
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引用次数: 5
Impact of Perceptions of Air Pollution and Noise on Subjective Well-Being and Health 空气污染和噪音对主观幸福感和健康的影响
IF 2 4区 地球科学 Q3 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2022-07-13 DOI: 10.3390/earth3030047
C. Herrera, Pablo Cabrera-Barona
With a growing interest in the study of urban life and health, evidence indicates that the quality of the environment in which we live can have implications for our subjective well-being and health. This study assesses the potential impacts of perceptions of visual air pollution, olfactory air pollution, and noise pollution on self-perceived health, self-perceived happiness, and satisfaction with life, through the calculation of ordinal logistic regressions, using the information of an online survey carried out in Quito, Ecuador. We found that perceptions of unpleasant odors and noise pollution influence self-perceived health, self-perceived happiness, and satisfaction with life. The obtained results may support the incorporation of citizens’ perspectives to better understand environmental pollution and to enrich local planning for urban sustainability.
随着人们对城市生活和健康研究的兴趣日益浓厚,有证据表明,我们生活的环境质量可能对我们的主观幸福感和健康产生影响。本研究利用在厄瓜多尔基多进行的一项在线调查的信息,通过序数logistic回归计算,评估了视觉空气污染、嗅觉空气污染和噪音污染感知对自我感知健康、自我感知幸福和生活满意度的潜在影响。我们发现,对难闻气味和噪音污染的感知会影响自我感知的健康、自我感知的幸福和对生活的满意度。所获得的结果可能支持纳入公民的观点,以更好地了解环境污染,并丰富城市可持续性的地方规划。
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引用次数: 2
Optimization of Pollutant Discharge Permits, Using the Trading Ratio System: A Case Study 基于交易比例制度的排污许可优化:一个案例研究
IF 2 4区 地球科学 Q3 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2022-07-02 DOI: 10.3390/earth3030046
M. Taheriyoun, H. Marzban, M. Geranmehr, Mohammad Nazari-Sharabian
Water quality management of rivers is one of the challenges in the analysis of water resource systems. The optimal operation of the pollutant carrying capacity of these systems provides significant economic value and could reduce treatment costs. In this study, the application of the trading ratio system is investigated to control the cost of pollutants in a river and make a fair deal. In this regard, transfer coefficients between pollution sources, along with the trade coefficients, are determined, considering the system limitations and each pollutant’s contaminant impact. To provide allowable limits of river water quality concentrations, the total cost of all sources and the system is minimized, using the linear programming method. Finally, the new trading discharge permits are calculated for each source. The proposed method is successfully applied to Dez River as a case study. Results show that using a trading ratio system could maintain water quality at a standard level containing economic benefits for the participants of this program.
河流水质管理是水资源系统分析中的难题之一。这些系统的污染物承载能力的优化运行具有显著的经济价值,可以降低处理成本。本研究探讨了交易比率制度在控制河流污染物成本、实现公平交易中的应用。在这方面,考虑到系统限制和每种污染物的污染物影响,确定污染源之间的转移系数以及贸易系数。为了提供河流水质浓度的允许限度,使用线性规划方法最小化所有源和系统的总成本。最后,计算每个源的新交易排放许可。该方法已成功地应用于德兹河的工程实例。结果表明,采用交易比率制度可以使水质保持在一个包含经济效益的标准水平。
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引用次数: 1
The Red Seaweed Giant Gelidium (Gelidium corneum) for New Bio-Based Materials in a Circular Economy Framework 循环经济框架下新型生物基材料的红藻巨型胶状体(胶状体)
IF 2 4区 地球科学 Q3 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2022-06-29 DOI: 10.3390/earth3030045
T. Mouga, Isabel Fernandes
Gelidium corneum (Giant Gelidium or Atlantic agar) is a well-known red seaweed harvested for its high-quality agar content. Agar is a mixture of the polysaccharides used in the food industry as a gelling, thickener, clarifying, and stabilizer agent. The best agar quality is also used in the laboratory as bacteriological agar. Yet, in recent years, the species has been studied for many other applications. Examples of uses are pharmaceuticals, cosmetics, food supplements, bioremediation, biofuels, biofertilizers and biostimulants, biomaterials, and nanocrystals, among others. The use of this biomass, though, raises concerns about the sustainability of the resource, since this is not a cultivated species, being harvested in the wild. Thus, other uses of G. corneum biomass increase pressure on wild stocks already stressed due to climate change. However, in a biorefinery approach, a new trend is emerging, using waste biomass rather than harvested biomass to produce new bio-based materials. These are smart solutions that transform waste into innovative products, useful for various sectors of society while reducing the impact of biomass exploitation. The aim of this review paper, thus, is to address the current state of G. corneum biology, ecology, threats, its current uses and market, and the ongoing research on innovative proposals in a circular economy framework.
角质层胶藻(巨型胶藻或大西洋琼脂)是一种著名的红海藻,因其高质量的琼脂含量而收获。琼脂是多种多糖的混合物,在食品工业中用作胶凝剂、增稠剂、澄清剂和稳定剂。最好的琼脂质量也用于实验室作为细菌琼脂。然而,近年来,该物种已被研究用于许多其他应用。用途包括药品、化妆品、食品补充剂、生物修复、生物燃料、生物肥料和生物刺激剂、生物材料和纳米晶体等。然而,这种生物质的使用引起了人们对资源可持续性的担忧,因为这不是一种栽培物种,而是在野外收获的。因此,角质角生物量的其他用途增加了已经因气候变化而受到压力的野生种群的压力。然而,在生物炼制方法中,一种新的趋势正在出现,即使用废弃的生物质而不是收获的生物质来生产新的生物基材料。这些都是将废物转化为创新产品的智能解决方案,对社会各个部门都有用,同时减少生物质开发的影响。本文就角质菜的生物学、生态学、威胁、利用和市场现状以及在循环经济框架下的创新建议等方面进行了综述。
{"title":"The Red Seaweed Giant Gelidium (Gelidium corneum) for New Bio-Based Materials in a Circular Economy Framework","authors":"T. Mouga, Isabel Fernandes","doi":"10.3390/earth3030045","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3390/earth3030045","url":null,"abstract":"Gelidium corneum (Giant Gelidium or Atlantic agar) is a well-known red seaweed harvested for its high-quality agar content. Agar is a mixture of the polysaccharides used in the food industry as a gelling, thickener, clarifying, and stabilizer agent. The best agar quality is also used in the laboratory as bacteriological agar. Yet, in recent years, the species has been studied for many other applications. Examples of uses are pharmaceuticals, cosmetics, food supplements, bioremediation, biofuels, biofertilizers and biostimulants, biomaterials, and nanocrystals, among others. The use of this biomass, though, raises concerns about the sustainability of the resource, since this is not a cultivated species, being harvested in the wild. Thus, other uses of G. corneum biomass increase pressure on wild stocks already stressed due to climate change. However, in a biorefinery approach, a new trend is emerging, using waste biomass rather than harvested biomass to produce new bio-based materials. These are smart solutions that transform waste into innovative products, useful for various sectors of society while reducing the impact of biomass exploitation. The aim of this review paper, thus, is to address the current state of G. corneum biology, ecology, threats, its current uses and market, and the ongoing research on innovative proposals in a circular economy framework.","PeriodicalId":51020,"journal":{"name":"Earth Interactions","volume":"4 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2022-06-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"87802774","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 5
Comparative Assessment of UAV and Sentinel-2 NDVI and GNDVI for Preliminary Diagnosis of Habitat Conditions in Burunge Wildlife Management Area, Tanzania 无人机与Sentinel-2 NDVI和GNDVI在坦桑尼亚Burunge野生动物管理区生境条件初步诊断中的比较评估
IF 2 4区 地球科学 Q3 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2022-06-28 DOI: 10.3390/earth3030044
Lazaro J. Mangewa, P. Ndakidemi, R. D. Alward, Hamza K. Kija, J. Bukombe, Emmanuel Nasolwa, L. Munishi
Habitat condition is a vital ecological attribute in wildlife conservation and management in protected areas, including the Burunge wildlife management areas in Tanzania. Traditional techniques, including satellite remote sensing and ground-based techniques used to assess habitat condition, have limitations in terms of costs and low resolution of satellite platforms. The Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) and Green NDVI (GNDVI) have potential for assessing habitat condition, e.g., forage quantity and quality, vegetation cover and degradation, soil erosion and salinization, fire, and pollution of vegetation cover. We, therefore, examined how the recently emerged Unmanned Aerial Vehicle (UAV) platform and the traditional Sentinel-2 differs in indications of habitat condition using NDVI and GNDVI. We assigned 13 survey plots to random locations in the major land cover types: three survey plots in grasslands, shrublands, and woodlands, and two in riverine and mosaics cover types. We used a UAV-mounted, multi-spectral sensor and obtained Sentinel-2 imagery between February and March 2020. We categorized NDVI and GNDVI values into habitat condition classes (very good, good, poor, and very poor). We analyzed data using descriptive statistics and linear regression model in R-software. The results revealed higher sensitivity and ability of UAV to provide the necessary preliminary diagnostic indications of habitat condition. The UAV-based NDVI and GNDVI maps showed more details of all classes of habitat conditions than the Sentinel-2 maps. The linear regressions results showed strong positive correlations between the two platforms (p < 0.001). The differences were attributed primarily to spatial resolution and minor atmospheric effects. We recommend further studies to test other vegetation indices.
生境条件是保护区野生动物保护与管理的重要生态属性,包括坦桑尼亚布伦格野生动物管理区。传统技术,包括用于评估生境条件的卫星遥感和地基技术,在成本和卫星平台的低分辨率方面存在局限性。归一化植被指数(NDVI)和绿色植被指数(GNDVI)具有评估生境条件的潜力,如饲料数量和质量、植被覆盖和退化、土壤侵蚀和盐渍化、火灾和植被覆盖污染。因此,我们研究了最近出现的无人机(UAV)平台与传统的Sentinel-2在使用NDVI和GNDVI指示栖息地条件方面的差异。我们在主要土地覆盖类型中随机设置了13个调查样地:草地、灌丛和林地3个调查样地,河流和马赛克覆盖2个调查样地。我们使用了安装在无人机上的多光谱传感器,并在2020年2月至3月期间获得了哨兵2号的图像。我们将NDVI和GNDVI值分为栖息地状况等级(非常好、良好、差和非常差)。我们使用R-software中的描述性统计和线性回归模型对数据进行分析。结果表明,无人机具有较高的灵敏度和提供必要的生境条件初步诊断指示的能力。基于无人机的NDVI和GNDVI地图比Sentinel-2地图显示了所有类型栖息地条件的更多细节。线性回归结果显示两个平台之间呈正相关(p < 0.001)。差异主要归因于空间分辨率和轻微的大气影响。我们建议进一步研究其他植被指数。
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引用次数: 13
Correction: Zheng et al. Upper-Ocean Processes Controlling the Near-Surface Temperature in the Western Gulf of Mexico from a Multidecadal Numerical Simulation. Earth 2022, 3, 493–521 更正:郑等人。基于多年代际数值模拟的上层海洋过程控制墨西哥湾西部近地表温度。地球2022,3,493 - 521
IF 2 4区 地球科学 Q3 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2022-06-28 DOI: 10.3390/earth3030043
Yangxing Zheng, M. Bourassa, D. Dukhovskoy, M. M. Ali
Dmitry Dukhovskoy was not included as an author in the original publication [...]
Dmitry Dukhovskoy并未作为作者出现在原始出版物中[…]
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引用次数: 0
Near-surface atmospheric behavior over complex tropical topography in Puerto Rico dominated by seasonal patterns despite frequent environmental changes 尽管环境变化频繁,波多黎各复杂热带地形上的近地表大气行为以季节模式为主
IF 2 4区 地球科学 Q3 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2022-06-24 DOI: 10.1175/ei-d-21-0020.1
A. V. Van Beusekom, G. González
Understanding near-surface atmosphere behavior in the tropics is imperative given the role of tropical energy fluxes in Earth’s climate cycles, but this area is complicated by a land-atmosphere interaction that includes rugged topography, seasonal weather drivers, and frequent environmental disturbances. This study examines variation in near-surface atmosphere behaviors in northeastern Puerto Rico using a synthesis of data from lowland and montane locations under different land covers (forest, urban, and rural) during 2008 to 2021, when a severe drought, large hurricanes (Irma and Maria), and the COVID-19 mobility-reducing lockdown occurred. Ceilometer, weather, air quality, radiosonde, and satellite data were analyzed for annual patterns and monthly time series of data and data correlations. The results showed a system strongly dominated by easterly trade-winds transmitting regional oceanic patterns over terrain. Environmental disturbances affected land-atmosphere interaction for short time periods after events. Events that reduce the land signature, (reducing greenness: e.g., drought and hurricanes, or reducing land pollution: e.g., COVID-19 lockdown) were evidenced to strengthen the transmission of the oceanic pattern. The most variation in near-surface atmosphere behavior was seen in the mountainous areas that were influenced by both factors, trade-winds and terrain-induced orographic lifting. As an exception to the rest of the near-surface atmosphere behavior, pollutants other than ozone did not correlate positively or negatively with stronger trade-winds at all sites across the region. Instead, these pollutants were hypothesized to be more anthropogenically influenced. Once Covid-19 lockdown persisted for three months, urban pollution decreased, and cloud base may have increased.
鉴于热带能量通量在地球气候周期中的作用,了解热带近地表大气的行为至关重要,但该地区由于地形崎岖、季节性天气驱动因素和频繁的环境干扰等陆气相互作用而变得复杂。这项研究通过综合2008年至2021年期间不同土地覆盖(森林、城市和农村)下低地和山地的数据,研究了波多黎各东北部近地表大气行为的变化,当时发生了严重干旱、大型飓风(伊尔玛和玛丽亚)和新冠肺炎导致流动性的封锁。分析了Ceilometer、天气、空气质量、无线电探空仪和卫星数据的年度模式和月度时间序列数据以及数据相关性。结果表明,该系统主要由东风信风主导,在地形上传播区域海洋模式。环境扰动在事件发生后短时间内影响了陆地与大气的相互作用。减少陆地特征的事件(减少绿色:例如干旱和飓风,或减少陆地污染:例如新冠肺炎封锁)被证明加强了海洋模式的传播。近地表大气行为变化最大的是受信风和地形引起的地形抬升这两个因素影响的山区。作为其他近地表大气行为的例外,臭氧以外的污染物与该地区所有地点更强的信风没有正相关或负相关。相反,这些污染物被认为受到了更为人类成因的影响。一旦新冠肺炎封锁持续三个月,城市污染减少,云量可能增加。
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引用次数: 0
How Far Can Nature-Based Solutions Increase Water Supply Resilience to Climate Change in One of the Most Important Brazilian Watersheds? 在巴西最重要的流域之一,基于自然的解决方案能在多大程度上提高供水对气候变化的适应能力?
IF 2 4区 地球科学 Q3 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2022-06-22 DOI: 10.3390/earth3030042
L. D. de Freitas, Jener Fernando Leite de Moraes, Adriana Monteiro da Costa, Letícia Lopes Martins, B. M. Silva, J. C. Avanzi, Alexandre Uezu
Water resources are paramount for the maintenance of the Earth’s system equilibrium; however, they face various threats and need increased conservation and better management. To restore water resources, nature-based solutions can be applied. Nevertheless, it is unclear which solution promotes greater water supply resilience: restoring riparian vegetation, improving management practices in key areas for water recharge, or both? In addition, how significant are these results in the face of climate change effects? To answer this, we used the SWAT (Soil and Water Assessment Tool) model to simulate and compare four different land use scenarios under three climate conditions (i.e., observed climate and two of the IPCC’s future climate projections). Focusing on key areas contributed more to increasing water supply resilience than forest restoration. Applying both solutions, however, yielded the greatest increases in resilience and groundwater recharge and the greatest decreases in surface runoff and sediment loads. None of the solutions caused a significant difference in streamflow and water yield. Furthermore, according to both of the IPCC climate projections evaluated, by the end of this century, the average annual streamflow will be lower than the historical mean for the region. Climate adaptation strategies alone will be insufficient to ensure future water access, highlighting the need for implementing drastic mitigation actions.
水资源对维持地球系统平衡至关重要;然而,它们面临着各种威胁,需要加强保护和更好的管理。为了恢复水资源,可以采用基于自然的解决方案。然而,尚不清楚哪一种解决方案能提高供水弹性:恢复河岸植被,改善关键地区的水补给管理措施,还是两者兼而有之?此外,面对气候变化的影响,这些结果有多重要?为了回答这个问题,我们使用SWAT(水土评估工具)模型来模拟和比较三种气候条件下(即观测到的气候和IPCC对未来气候的两种预测)的四种不同的土地利用情景。与森林恢复相比,重点地区对提高供水弹性的贡献更大。然而,采用这两种解决方案,恢复力和地下水补给的增加最大,地表径流和泥沙负荷的减少最大。没有任何一种解决方案对流量和水量造成显著差异。此外,根据IPCC的两次气候预估,到本世纪末,该地区的年平均流量将低于历史平均水平。仅靠气候适应战略不足以确保未来的水资源获取,这突出表明需要实施大规模的缓解行动。
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引用次数: 1
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