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Runoff variability in the Truckee-Carson River basin from tree rings and a water balance model 从树木年轮和水平衡模型看特卢基-卡森河流域的径流变异性
IF 2 4区 地球科学 Q2 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2024-05-08 DOI: 10.1175/ei-d-23-0018.1
D. Meko, Franco Biondi, Alan H. Taylor, I. Panyushkina, R. Thaxton, A. Prusevich, A. Shiklomanov, Richard B Lammers, S. Glidden
Regional warming and associated changes in hydrologic systems pose challenges to water supply management in river basins of the western United States, and call for improved understanding of the spatial and temporal variability of runoff. We apply a network of total-width, subannual width and delta blue intensity tree-ring chronologies in combination with a monthly water balance model to identify droughts and their associated precipitation (P) and temperature (T) footprints in the Truckee-Carson River basin (TCRB). Stepwise regression gave reasonably accurate reconstructions, from 1688 to 1999, of seasonal P and T (e.g., R2 = 0.50 for May-Sept T). These were disaggregated to monthly values, which were then routed through a water balance model to generate “indirectly” reconstructed runoff. Reconstructed and observed annual runoff correlate highly (r = 0.80) from 1906 to 1999. The extended runoff record shows that 20th century droughts are unmatched in severity in a 300-year context. Our water balance modeling reconstruction advances the conventional regression-based dendrochronological methods as it allows for multiple hydrologic components (evapotranspiration, snowmelt, etc.) to be evaluated. We found that imposed warming (3 °C and 6 °C) generally exacerbated the runoff deficits in past droughts but that the impact could be lessened and sometimes even reversed in some years by compensating factors, including changes in snow regime. Our results underscore the value of combining multi-proxy tree-ring data with water balance modelling to place past hydrologic droughts in the context of climate change.
区域变暖和水文系统的相关变化给美国西部流域的供水管理带来了挑战,需要更好地了解径流的时空变异性。我们将总宽度、亚年宽度和三角洲蓝色强度树环年表网络与月度水平衡模型相结合,识别了特鲁克基-卡森河流域(TCRB)的干旱及其相关的降水(P)和温度(T)足迹。逐步回归法对 1688 年至 1999 年的季节性降水和温度进行了相当准确的重建(例如,5 月至 9 月的温度 R2 = 0.50)。这些值被分解为月值,然后通过水平衡模型生成 "间接 "重建的径流量。从 1906 年到 1999 年,重建的年径流量与观测到的年径流量高度相关(r = 0.80)。扩展的径流记录显示,20 世纪的干旱在 300 年的范围内是无与伦比的严重程度。我们的水量平衡建模重建方法推进了传统的回归年代学方法,因为它允许对多种水文成分(蒸散、融雪等)进行评估。我们发现,强加的气候变暖(3 ° C 和 6 ° C)通常会加剧过去干旱中的径流赤字,但在某些年份,这种影响可以通过补偿因素(包括积雪机制的变化)得到缓解,有时甚至可以逆转。我们的研究结果强调了将多代理树环数据与水平衡建模相结合,将过去的水文干旱置于气候变化背景下的价值。
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引用次数: 0
Effects of payment for ecosystem services and tourism on conservation and development: Trade-off or synergistic? 生态系统服务付费和旅游业对保护和发展的影响:权衡还是协同?
IF 2 4区 地球科学 Q2 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2024-01-30 DOI: 10.1175/ei-d-23-0014.1
Yujun Wang, Hongbo Yang, Vanessa Hull, Jindong Zhang, Xiaodong Chen, Xiang Li, Zejun Zhang, Cheng Li, Fang Wang, Zhiqiang Zhao, Ying Tang, Jianguo Liu
The effects of various strategies aimed at simultaneously promoting environmental conservation and human development are closely related to the sustainable development regionally and globally. However, despite the effects of many such strategies have been evaluated by ecologists and sociologists separately, their ability to simultaneously meet these two anticipated goals (i.e., environmental conservation and human development) at the fine spatial scale remains vague. To answer this fundamental but crucial question, incorporating household and forest change data, we concurrently estimated the ecological and socioeconomic effects of two world-renowned Payment for Ecosystem Services (PES) programs (i.e., the Nature Forest Conservation Program, the Grain to Green Program) and nature-based tourism in 30 protected areas across 8 provinces in China. Here we showed a trade-off between the ecological and economic effects of two PES programs, while synergistic effects exist in the ecological and economic benefit of tourism. Attributes of household and protected area significantly influenced economic and environmental benefit as well. Our research provided new insights into the complex effects of PES programs and tourism, and crucial information to support their adequate and sustainable implementation in China and the rest of the world.
旨在同时促进环境保护和人类发展的各种战略的效果与地区和全球的可持续发展密切相关。然而,尽管生态学家和社会学家分别对许多此类战略的效果进行了评估,但它们在精细空间尺度上同时实现这两个预期目标(即环境保护和人类发展)的能力仍然模糊不清。为了回答这个基本而又关键的问题,我们结合家庭和森林变化数据,在中国 8 个省的 30 个保护区内同时估算了两个世界知名的生态系统服务补偿项目(即大自然森林保护项目和退耕还林项目)和以自然为基础的旅游业对生态和社会经济的影响。结果表明,两个生态系统服务补偿项目的生态效应和经济效应之间存在权衡,而旅游业的生态效益和经济效益之间存在协同效应。家庭和保护区的属性对经济和环境效益也有显著影响。我们的研究为生态系统服务补偿项目和旅游业的复杂效应提供了新的视角,并为在中国和世界其他地区充分、可持续地实施生态系统服务补偿项目提供了重要信息。
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引用次数: 0
The Role of Climate Change in the Proliferation of Freshwater Harmful Algal Blooms in Inland Waterbodies of the United States 气候变化在美国内陆水体淡水有害藻类大量繁殖中的作用
IF 2 4区 地球科学 Q2 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2023-11-29 DOI: 10.1175/ei-d-23-0008.1
D. Y. Wiley, Renee A. McPherson
Harmful algae and cyanobacteria blooms are increasing in frequency and intensity in freshwater systems due to anthropogenic impacts such as nutrient loading in watersheds and engineered alterations of natural waterways. There are multiple physical factors that affect the conditions in a freshwater system that contribute to optimal habitats for harmful algae and toxin-producing cyanobacteria. A growing body of research shows that climate change stressors also are impacting waterbody conditions that favor harmful algae and cyanobacteria species over other phytoplankton. The overgrowth of these organisms, or a “bloom,” increases the opportunity for exposure to toxins by humans, companion animals, livestock, and wildlife. As waters warm and precipitation patterns change over time, exposure to these blooms is projected to increase. Hence, it is important that states and tribes develop monitoring and reporting strategies as well as align governmental policies to protect their citizens and ecosystems within their jurisdiction. Currently, the policies and approaches taken to monitor and report on harmful algae and cyanobacteria blooms vary widely among states, and it is undetermined if any tribes have specific policies on harmful algae blooms. This paper synthesizes research on algal blooms in inland freshwater systems of the United States. This review examines how climate change contributes to trends in bloom frequency or severity and outlines approaches that states and tribes may use to monitor, report, and respond to harmful algae and cyanobacteria blooms.
有害藻类和蓝藻水华在淡水系统中出现的频率和强度都在增加,这是由于人类活动造成的影响,如流域中的营养物质负荷和对自然水道的工程改造。有多种物理因素会影响淡水系统的条件,从而为有害藻类和产毒蓝藻提供最佳栖息地。越来越多的研究表明,气候变化的压力因素也会影响水体条件,使有害藻类和蓝藻物种优于其他浮游植物。这些生物的过度生长(或称 "藻华")增加了人类、伴侣动物、家畜和野生动物接触毒素的机会。随着时间的推移,水温升高,降水模式也会发生变化,预计人类接触这些藻华的机会也会增加。因此,各州和部落必须制定监测和报告策略,并调整政府政策,以保护其管辖范围内的公民和生态系统。目前,各州在监测和报告有害藻类和蓝藻藻华方面所采取的政策和方法差别很大,而且尚未确定是否有任何部落针对有害藻类藻华制定了具体政策。本文综述了有关美国内陆淡水系统藻华的研究。本综述探讨了气候变化如何导致藻华频率或严重程度的变化趋势,并概述了各州和部落可用于监测、报告和应对有害藻类和蓝藻藻华的方法。
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引用次数: 0
Geographic Analysis of the Vulnerability of U.S. Lakes to Cyanobacterial Blooms under Future Climate 未来气候下美国湖泊对蓝藻华脆弱性的地理分析
4区 地球科学 Q2 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2023-11-10 DOI: 10.1175/ei-d-23-0004.1
Jonathan B. Butcher, Mark Fernandez, Thomas E. Johnson, Afshin Shabani, Sylvia S. Lee
Abstract Cyanobacteria blooms are an increasing concern in U.S. freshwaters. Such blooms can produce nuisance conditions, deplete oxygen, alter the food chain, and in some cases may produce potent toxins, although many factors may modulate the relationships between biomass and toxin production. Cyanobacterial blooms are in turn associated with nutrient enrichment and warm water temperatures. Climate change is expected to increase water temperatures and, in many areas, surface runoff that can transport nutrient loads to lakes. While some progress has been made in short-term prediction of cyanobacterial bloom and toxin risk, the long-term projections of which lakes will become more vulnerable to such events as a result of climate change is less clear due to the complex interaction of multiple factors that affect bloom probability. We address this question by reviewing the literature to identify risk factors that increase lake vulnerability to cyanobacterial blooms and evaluating how climate change may alter these factors across the sample of conterminous U.S. lakes contained in the 2007 National Lakes Assessment. Results provide a national scale assessment of where and in which types of lakes climate change will likely increase the overall risk of cyanobacterial blooms, rather than finer-scale prediction of expected cyanobacterial and toxin levels in individual lakes. This information can be used to guide climate change adaptation planning, including monitoring and management efforts to minimize the effects of increased cyanobacterial prevalence.
蓝藻华是美国淡水日益关注的问题。尽管许多因素可以调节生物量和毒素产生之间的关系,但这种繁殖可以产生有害的条件,耗尽氧气,改变食物链,并在某些情况下可能产生强效毒素。蓝藻繁殖反过来又与营养丰富和温暖的水温有关。气候变化预计会提高水温,在许多地区,地表径流可能会将营养负荷输送到湖泊。虽然在蓝藻水华和毒素风险的短期预测方面取得了一些进展,但由于影响水华概率的多种因素复杂的相互作用,对气候变化导致哪些湖泊更容易受到此类事件影响的长期预测尚不清楚。我们通过回顾文献来解决这个问题,以确定增加湖泊对蓝藻繁殖的脆弱性的风险因素,并评估气候变化如何改变2007年国家湖泊评估中包含的美国相邻湖泊样本中的这些因素。结果提供了一个全国范围内的评估,即气候变化可能会增加蓝藻繁殖的总体风险,而不是对单个湖泊中预期的蓝藻和毒素水平进行更精细的预测。这些信息可用于指导气候变化适应规划,包括监测和管理工作,以尽量减少蓝藻流行率增加的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Decadal variability in spring sea-ice concentration linked to summer temperature and NDVI on the Yukon-Kuskokwim Delta 育空-库斯库温三角洲春季海冰浓度的年代际变化与夏季温度和NDVI有关
4区 地球科学 Q2 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2023-10-19 DOI: 10.1175/ei-d-23-0002.1
Amy S. Hendricks, Uma S. Bhatt, Gerald V. Frost, Donald A. Walker, Peter A. Bieniek, Martha K. Raynolds, Rick T. Lader, Howard E. Epstein, Jorge E. Pinzon, Compton J. Tucker, Josefino C. Comiso
Abstract Rapidly warming temperatures in the Arctic are driving increasing tundra vegetation productivity, evidenced in both the satellite derived Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) imagery and field studies. These trends, however, are not uniformly positive across the circumpolar Arctic. One notable region of negative linear NDVI trends that have persisted over the last 15 years is southwest Alaska’s Yukon-Kuskokwim Delta (YKD). Negative NDVI trends in the YKD region appear inconsistent with our understanding since tundra vegetation is temperature-limited and air temperatures have increased on the YKD. Analysis over a 40-year record from 1982-2021 reveals distinct decadal variability in the NDVI time series, which continues to produce negative linear trends. Similar decadal variability is also evident in summer warmth and 100-km coastal zone spring sea-ice concentrations. This suggests that decadal climate variations can dominate the trends of NDVI through their influence on the drivers of tundra vegetation, namely coastal sea-ice concentrations and summer warmth. The relationships among sea-ice, summer warmth, and NDVI have changed over the 40-year record. Seasonality analysis since 1982 shows declining sea-ice concentration in spring is followed by trends of increasing temperatures, but weakly declining NDVI during the growing season. An additional key finding is that since early 2010s, the relationships between sea-ice concentration and summer warmth, and sea-ice concentration and NDVI have strengthened, while the relationship between NDVI and summer warmth has weakened, indicating that temperature may no longer be the primary limiting factor for Arctic tundra vegetation on the YKD.
北极地区快速变暖的气温正在推动苔原植被生产力的提高,这在卫星导出的归一化植被指数(NDVI)图像和野外研究中都得到了证明。然而,这些趋势在北极圈内并不都是积极的。在过去的15年里,阿拉斯加西南部的育空-库斯库维姆三角洲(YKD)是NDVI呈负线性趋势的一个值得注意的地区。YKD地区NDVI的负趋势似乎与我们的理解不一致,因为冻土带植被受温度限制,而气温在YKD上升高。对1982-2021年40年记录的分析显示,NDVI时间序列的年代际变化明显,并继续产生负线性趋势。类似的年代际变化在夏季温暖和100公里海岸带春季海冰浓度方面也很明显。这表明,年代际气候变化可以通过其对苔原植被驱动因素(即沿海海冰浓度和夏季温暖)的影响来主导NDVI的趋势。海冰、夏季温暖和NDVI之间的关系在40年的记录中发生了变化。1982年以来的季节性分析表明,春季海冰浓度下降后,温度呈上升趋势,而生长季NDVI下降较弱。另一个重要发现是,自2010年代初以来,海冰浓度与夏季温暖、海冰浓度与NDVI之间的关系增强,而NDVI与夏季温暖之间的关系减弱,表明温度可能不再是北极苔原植被对YKD的主要限制因素。
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引用次数: 1
Edaphosphere: A Perspective of Soil Inside the Biosphere 土壤圈:生物圈内土壤的视角
IF 2 4区 地球科学 Q2 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2023-09-08 DOI: 10.3390/earth4030036
Brian Herreño, Federico De la Colina, M. J. Delgado-Iniesta
The integration of soil into ecology in the current climate crisis is essential for correct environmental management. Soil is a part of ecosystems; above all, it is a component of the biosphere. It is necessary to establish a definition of soil that integrates biota and biodiversity without losing sight of the historical development of edaphology, the science that studies soil. In this opinion article, we proposes a definition for all soils grouped together in the edaphosphere, which is, in fact, a subsystem of the biosphere. In addition, we highlight the importance of the definition of soil provided by Vasily Dokuchaev, the founder of edaphology, with respect to the integration of soil into the biosphere and the differences between the concepts of pedosphere and edaphosphere.
在当前的气候危机中,将土壤与生态相结合对于正确的环境管理至关重要。土壤是生态系统的一部分;首先,它是生物圈的一个组成部分。有必要在不忽视研究土壤的科学——土壤学的历史发展的情况下,建立一个综合生物群和生物多样性的土壤定义。在这篇观点文章中,我们提出了一个定义,所有土壤组合在一起,在大气层,它实际上是生物圈的一个子系统。此外,我们还强调了土壤学创始人Vasily Dokuchaev在土壤与生物圈的整合以及土壤圈和土壤圈概念之间的差异方面所提供的土壤定义的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
Mapping Is Caring: Fostering Forest Preservation through Young Orang Rimba Initiatives 测绘就是关怀:通过幼猩猩林巴倡议促进森林保护
IF 2 4区 地球科学 Q2 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2023-09-07 DOI: 10.3390/earth4030035
A. W. Nirwansyah, Bianca Inez-Pedro, Abdel Mandili, Suwarno, Elly Hasan Sadeli
The UN Convention on the Rights of the Child, Article 12, states that young people should be able to participate in issues that affect them. In this study, the indigenous Orang Rimba community examines the natural resources of their area through mapping so that the community can be more aware of environmental changes and at the same time their culture can be preserved. This research employs participatory resource mapping (PRM) to gather information about how young Orang Rimba view the forest in relation to customs. The study includes workshops on using GPS and GIS as well as resource mapping activities in the forest ecosystem. Through the participatory resource mapping, the study successfully maps 12 sacred places, 6 animal sites, and 14 medicinal plants in a short survey. The young Orang Rimba were also capable of addressing current environmental issues, including deforestation events, and simultaneously protecting the forest through local cultural practices. The study recommends involving indigenous communities in natural resource protection and awareness through mapping activities from a young age.
《联合国儿童权利公约》第12条规定,年轻人应该能够参与影响他们的问题。在这项研究中,土著Orang Rimba社区通过绘制地图来检查他们所在地区的自然资源,以便社区能够更加了解环境变化,同时保护他们的文化。本研究采用参与式资源测绘(PRM)来收集有关年轻的林巴猩猩如何看待与习俗有关的森林的信息。这项研究包括关于使用全球定位系统和地理信息系统以及森林生态系统资源测绘活动的讲习班。通过参与式资源测绘,该研究在短时间内成功测绘了12个圣地、6个动物遗址和14种药用植物。年轻的Orang Rimba也有能力解决当前的环境问题,包括森林砍伐事件,同时通过当地的文化习俗保护森林。该研究建议让土著社区从小就参与自然资源保护和意识的测绘活动。
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引用次数: 0
Geospatial Multi-Criteria Evaluation Using AHP–GIS to Delineate Groundwater Potential Zones in Zakho Basin, Kurdistan Region, Iraq 基于AHP-GIS的地理空间多准则评价在伊拉克库尔德斯坦地区Zakho盆地圈定地下水潜力带
IF 2 4区 地球科学 Q2 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2023-09-01 DOI: 10.3390/earth4030034
Wassfi H. Sulaiman, Yaseen T. Mustafa
Groundwater availability in the Zakho Basin faces significant challenges due to political issues, border stream control, climate change, urbanization, land use changes, and poor administration, leading to declining groundwater quantity and quality. To address these issues, this study utilized the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) and geospatial techniques to identify potential groundwater sites in Zakho. The study assigned weights normalized through the AHP eigenvector and created a final index using the weighted overlay method and specific criteria such as slope, flow accumulation, drainage density, lineament density, geology, well data, rainfall, and soil type. Validation through the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC = 0.849) and coefficient of determination (R2 = 0.81) demonstrated the model’s accuracy. The results showed that 17% of the area had the highest potential as a reliable groundwater source, 46% represented high-to-moderate potential zones, and 37% had low potential. Flat areas between rivers and high mountains displayed the greatest potential for groundwater development. Identifying these potential sites can aid farmers, regional planners, and local governments in making precise decisions about installing hand pumps and tube wells for a regular water supply. Additionally, the findings contribute to the development of a sustainable groundwater management plan, focusing on improving water usage and protecting water-related ecosystems in the region. Identification of the optimum influencing factors, arrangement of the factors in a hierarchy, and creation of a GWPI map will allow further planning for groundwater preservation and sustainability. This project can be conducted in other areas facing droughts.
由于政治问题、边境河流控制、气候变化、城市化、土地利用变化和管理不善,导致地下水数量和质量下降,Zakho盆地的地下水供应面临重大挑战。为了解决这些问题,本研究利用层次分析法(AHP)和地理空间技术来确定Zakho潜在的地下水点。该研究通过AHP特征向量归一化分配权重,并使用加权叠加法和特定标准(如坡度、流量积累、排水密度、线状密度、地质、井数据、降雨量和土壤类型)创建最终指数。通过受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线(AUC = 0.849)和决定系数(R2 = 0.81)验证了模型的准确性。结果表明,该地区17%的地区具有最高潜力,46%的地区具有中高潜力,37%的地区具有低潜力。河流和高山之间的平坦地区显示出地下水开发的最大潜力。确定这些潜在的地点可以帮助农民、地区规划者和地方政府做出精确的决定,安装手动泵和管井,以实现常规供水。此外,研究结果有助于制定可持续地下水管理计划,重点是改善该地区的水资源利用和保护与水有关的生态系统。确定最佳影响因素,按层次排列因素,并创建GWPI地图,将有助于进一步规划地下水保护和可持续性。这个项目可以在其他面临干旱的地区进行。
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引用次数: 1
Interpretation of Fluoride Groundwater Contamination in Tamnar Area, Raigarh, Chhattisgarh, India 印度恰蒂斯加尔邦莱格尔Tamnar地区地下水氟化物污染的解释
IF 2 4区 地球科学 Q2 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2023-08-22 DOI: 10.3390/earth4030033
M. K. Beg, Navneet Kumar, S. Srivastava, E. Carranza
A high concentration of fluoride (F−) in drinking water is harmful and is a serious concern worldwide due to its toxicity and accumulation in the human body. There are various sources of fluoride (F−) and divergent pathways to enter into groundwater sources. High F− incidence in groundwater was reported in Raigarh district of Central India in a sedimentary (Gondwana) aquifer system. The present study investigates the hydrogeochemistry of groundwater in the Tamnar area of Raigarh district to understand the plausible cause(s) of high F− concentration, especially the source(s) and underlying geochemical processes. Groundwater samples, representing pre-monsoon (N = 83), monsoon (N = 20), and post-monsoon (N = 81) seasons, and rock samples (N = 4) were collected and analyzed. The study revealed that (i) groundwater with high F− concentration occurs in the Barakar Formation, which has a litho-assemblage of feldspathic sandstones, shales, and coal, (ii) high F− concentration is mainly associated with Na-Ca-HCO3, Na-Ca-Mg-HCO3, and Na-Mg-Ca-HCO3 types of groundwater, (iii) the F− concentration increases as the ratio of Na+ and Ca2+ increases (Na+: Ca2+, concentration in meq/l), (iv) F− has significant positive correlation with Na+ and SiO2, and significant negative correlation with Ca2+, Mg2+, HCO3−, and TH, and (v) high F− concentration in groundwater is found in deeper wells. Micas and clay minerals, occurring in the feldspathic sandstones and intercalated shale/clay/coal beds, possibly form an additional source for releasing F− in groundwater. Feldspar dissolution coupled with anion (OH− or F−) and cation (Ca2+ for Na+) exchange are probably the dominant geochemical processes taking place in the study area. The higher residence time and temperature of groundwater in deeper aquifers also play a role in enhancing the dissolution of fluorine-bearing minerals. Systematic hydrogeochemical investigations are recommended in the surrounding area having a similar geologic setting in view of the potential health risk to a large population.
饮用水中高浓度的氟化物(F−)是有害的,由于其毒性和在人体内的蓄积,是全世界关注的一个严重问题。氟化物(F−)的来源多种多样,进入地下水水源的途径也不同。据报道,在印度中部的Raigarh地区的沉积(Gondwana)含水层系统中,地下水中F -的发生率很高。本文通过对莱格尔地区塔纳尔地区地下水水文地球化学的研究,探讨了该地区地下水高氟的可能原因,特别是其来源和潜在的地球化学过程。收集和分析了季风前(N = 83)、季风期(N = 20)和季风后(N = 81) 3个季节的地下水样品和4个季节的岩石样品。研究表明:(1)高F−浓度地下水赋存于Barakar组,具有长石砂岩、页岩和煤的岩石组合;(2)高F−浓度主要与Na- ca - hco3、Na- ca - mg - hco3和Na- mg - ca - hco3类型的地下水有关;(3)F−浓度随Na+和Ca2+比值的增加而增加(Na+:Ca2+(单位:meq/l)、(iv) F−与Na+、SiO2呈显著正相关,与Ca2+、Mg2+、HCO3−、TH呈显著负相关;(v)地下水中F−浓度越深越高。云母和粘土矿物存在于长石砂岩和夹层页岩/粘土/煤层中,可能是地下水中F−释放的另一个来源。长石溶解与阴离子(OH−或F−)和阳离子(Ca2+代替Na+)交换可能是研究区主要的地球化学过程。地下水在较深含水层中停留的时间和温度较高,对含氟矿物的溶解也有促进作用。鉴于对大量人口的潜在健康风险,建议在具有类似地质环境的周边地区进行系统的水文地球化学调查。
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引用次数: 0
Spatio-Temporal Evolution of Rainfall over the Period 1981–2020 and Management of Surface Water Resources in the Nakanbe–Wayen Watershed in Burkina Faso 布基纳法索Nakanbe-Wayen流域1981-2020年降水时空演变及地表水资源管理
IF 2 4区 地球科学 Q2 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2023-08-18 DOI: 10.3390/earth4030032
Wennepinguere Virginie Marie Yameogo, Y. L. Akpa, J. Danumah, F. Traoré, Boalidioa Tankoano, Z. Sanon, Oumar Kaboré, M. Hien
Spatio-temporal analysis of rainfall trends in a watershed is an effective tool for sustainable water resources management, as it allows for an understanding of the impacts of these changes at the watershed scale. The objective of the present study is to analyze the impacts of climate change on the availability of surface water resources in the Nakanbe–Wayen watershed over the period from 1981 to 2020. The analysis was conducted on in situ rainfall data collected from 14 meteorological stations distributed throughout the watershed and completed with CHIRPS data. Ten precipitation indices, recommended by the ETCCDI (Expert Team on Climate Change Detection and Indices), were calculated using the RClimDex package. The results show changes in the distribution of annual precipitation and an increasing trend in annual precipitation. At the same time, a trend towards an increase in the occurrence and intensity of extreme events was also observed over the last 4 decades. In light of these analyses, it should be emphasized that the increase in precipitation observed in the Nakanbe–Wayen watershed is induced by the increase in the occurrence and intensity of events, as a trend towards an increase in persistent drought periods (CDD) is observed. This indicates that the watershed is suffering from water scarcity. Water stress and water-related hazards have a major impact on communities and ecosystems. In these conditions of vulnerability, the development of risk-management strategies related to water resources is necessary, especially at the local scale. This should be formulated in light of observed and projected climate extremes in order to propose an appropriate and anticipated management strategy for climate risks related to water resources at the watershed scale.
流域降雨趋势的时空分析是可持续水资源管理的有效工具,因为它允许在流域尺度上了解这些变化的影响。本文旨在分析1981 - 2020年气候变化对Nakanbe-Wayen流域地表水资源可得性的影响。对分布在流域内的14个气象站的现场降雨数据进行分析,并利用CHIRPS数据完成。利用RClimDex软件包计算了ETCCDI(气候变化探测和指数专家组)推荐的10个降水指数。结果表明,年降水量分布发生了变化,年降水量呈增加趋势。与此同时,在过去40年里,还观察到极端事件的发生和强度有增加的趋势。根据这些分析,应该强调的是,在Nakanbe-Wayen流域观测到的降水增加是由事件发生和强度增加引起的,因为观察到持续干旱期(CDD)增加的趋势。这表明该流域正遭受缺水之苦。水资源压力和与水有关的灾害对社区和生态系统产生重大影响。在这些易受伤害的情况下,必须制订与水资源有关的风险管理战略,特别是在地方一级。应根据观测到的和预测到的极端气候来制定这一战略,以便就流域尺度上与水资源有关的气候风险提出适当和预期的管理战略。
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Earth Interactions
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