Pub Date : 2026-01-21DOI: 10.1016/j.ecoinf.2026.103620
Badiu Badams , Usman Ullah Sheikh , Norhaliza Abdul Wahab , Syed A.R. Abu Bakar , Muhammad I. Masud , Mohammed Khouj , Urooj Waheed , Zeeshan Ahmad Arfeen , Kam Meng Goh
Floating marine debris such as plastics, cans, and discarded packaging has become one of the most persistent threats to aquatic ecosystems and coastal sustainability. Detecting and tracking this debris in real time is vital for protecting biodiversity and guiding cleanup and policy actions. In this study, we introduce A2ANet, a lightweight deep learning framework that combines multi-scale atrous convolutions and Enhanced Channel Attention (ECA) to detect small, submerged, and visually ambiguous debris under challenging aquatic conditions. These mechanisms-expanding the receptive field and highlighting salient cues-reduce errors from reflections, glare, and clutter in aquatic scenes.
A2ANet was evaluated on two datasets: a newly developed six-class dataset (D_six) representing real-world river conditions, and the publicly available FloW-Img benchmark. The model achieved [email protected] of 0.841 and 0.892 on D_six and FloW-Img datasets, respectively, with inference time as low as 39 ms/image. Beyond detection performance, by enabling automated and frequent monitoring, A2ANet provides actionable insights for mapping pollution, tracking trends, and supporting ecosystem management. The framework offers a practical pathway toward intelligent aquatic observation systems aligned with Sustainable Development Goal 14: Life Below Water.
All code and datasets are openly available (see Data Availability).
{"title":"A2ANet: Real-time detection of floating marine debris using atrous convolution and channel attention","authors":"Badiu Badams , Usman Ullah Sheikh , Norhaliza Abdul Wahab , Syed A.R. Abu Bakar , Muhammad I. Masud , Mohammed Khouj , Urooj Waheed , Zeeshan Ahmad Arfeen , Kam Meng Goh","doi":"10.1016/j.ecoinf.2026.103620","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ecoinf.2026.103620","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Floating marine debris such as plastics, cans, and discarded packaging has become one of the most persistent threats to aquatic ecosystems and coastal sustainability. Detecting and tracking this debris in real time is vital for protecting biodiversity and guiding cleanup and policy actions. In this study, we introduce A2ANet, a lightweight deep learning framework that combines multi-scale atrous convolutions and Enhanced Channel Attention (ECA) to detect small, submerged, and visually ambiguous debris under challenging aquatic conditions. These mechanisms-expanding the receptive field and highlighting salient cues-reduce errors from reflections, glare, and clutter in aquatic scenes.</div><div>A2ANet was evaluated on two datasets: a newly developed six-class dataset (D_six) representing real-world river conditions, and the publicly available FloW-Img benchmark. The model achieved [email protected] of 0.841 and 0.892 on D_six and FloW-Img datasets, respectively, with inference time as low as 39 ms/image. Beyond detection performance, by enabling automated and frequent monitoring, A2ANet provides actionable insights for mapping pollution, tracking trends, and supporting ecosystem management. The framework offers a practical pathway toward intelligent aquatic observation systems aligned with Sustainable Development Goal 14: Life Below Water.</div><div>All code and datasets are openly available (see Data Availability).</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51024,"journal":{"name":"Ecological Informatics","volume":"94 ","pages":"Article 103620"},"PeriodicalIF":7.3,"publicationDate":"2026-01-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146025988","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-01-21DOI: 10.1016/j.ecoinf.2026.103626
R. Bentivogli , L. Pezzolesi , N. Caputo , B. Casarotto , S. Silvestri
Monitoring phytoplankton communities is essential for assessing ecosystem health and detecting harmful algal blooms (HABs). Hyperspectral imaging has emerged as a promising tool to discriminate among microalgal species based on their unique reflectance signatures. This study presents a laboratory spectral analysis of five phytoplankton species, including bloom-forming and toxin-producing taxa common in coastal waters. Reflectance spectra were measured at multiple cell concentrations and analyzed using two normalization approaches, second- and fourth-derivative transformations, and dimensionality reduction techniques including principal component analysis (PCA) and linear discriminant analysis (LDA).
Our results demonstrate that specific spectral features, particularly in the 470–500 nm and 620–680 nm ranges, enable species-level discrimination. PCA and LDA effectively enhanced separability by reducing spectral redundancy and emphasizing class features. We further applied linear spectral unmixing (LSU) to estimate fractional species abundances in synthetic mixtures. LSU performed well in simple mixtures but revealed limitations in complex communities, where nonlinear effects and spectral similarity reduced accuracy.
Beyond classification, LSU enables quantitative assessment of species contributions, providing a valuable complement to PCA and LDA for ecological interpretation and bloom dynamics investigation. This integrated approach lays the foundation for future development of operational tools that combine spectral unmixing and machine learning for automated HAB detection. The combined use of hyperspectral reflectance data and computational methods supports scalable, real-time monitoring of phytoplankton diversity and abundance, with strong potential for deployment in early-warning systems and coastal observatories.
{"title":"Laboratory-based hyperspectral reflectance analysis for phytoplankton species identification","authors":"R. Bentivogli , L. Pezzolesi , N. Caputo , B. Casarotto , S. Silvestri","doi":"10.1016/j.ecoinf.2026.103626","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ecoinf.2026.103626","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Monitoring phytoplankton communities is essential for assessing ecosystem health and detecting harmful algal blooms (HABs). Hyperspectral imaging has emerged as a promising tool to discriminate among microalgal species based on their unique reflectance signatures. This study presents a laboratory spectral analysis of five phytoplankton species, including bloom-forming and toxin-producing taxa common in coastal waters. Reflectance spectra were measured at multiple cell concentrations and analyzed using two normalization approaches, second- and fourth-derivative transformations, and dimensionality reduction techniques including principal component analysis (PCA) and linear discriminant analysis (LDA).</div><div>Our results demonstrate that specific spectral features, particularly in the 470–500 nm and 620–680 nm ranges, enable species-level discrimination. PCA and LDA effectively enhanced separability by reducing spectral redundancy and emphasizing class features. We further applied linear spectral unmixing (LSU) to estimate fractional species abundances in synthetic mixtures. LSU performed well in simple mixtures but revealed limitations in complex communities, where nonlinear effects and spectral similarity reduced accuracy.</div><div>Beyond classification, LSU enables quantitative assessment of species contributions, providing a valuable complement to PCA and LDA for ecological interpretation and bloom dynamics investigation. This integrated approach lays the foundation for future development of operational tools that combine spectral unmixing and machine learning for automated HAB detection. The combined use of hyperspectral reflectance data and computational methods supports scalable, real-time monitoring of phytoplankton diversity and abundance, with strong potential for deployment in early-warning systems and coastal observatories.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51024,"journal":{"name":"Ecological Informatics","volume":"94 ","pages":"Article 103626"},"PeriodicalIF":7.3,"publicationDate":"2026-01-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146025990","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-01-21DOI: 10.1016/j.ecoinf.2026.103617
Luisa S.R. Nogueira , Mariana A.S. de Carvalho , Berilo de O. Santos , Roland Yonaba , Apoorva Bamal , Md Galal Uddin , Matteo Bodini , Leonardo Goliatt
Accurate prediction of river water quality is fundamental to environmental sustainability and public health, particularly amid increasing freshwater scarcity. This study develops a robust Machine Learning (ML) framework to forecast the River Pollution Index (RPI) using a comprehensive 36-year national dataset from Taiwan’s Environmental Protection Administration, covering over 500 monitoring stations. We conducted a systematic comparison of ensemble methods (CatBoost, XGBoost, NGBoost) and non-ensemble benchmarks (SVM, ElasticNet, and 1D CNN). Hyperparameters were optimized via Bayesian optimization, and statistical significance was ensured by evaluating model stability using a suite of complementary indicators (RMSE, MAE, R, A10 index) across 30 independent experimental runs. The results demonstrated the consistent superiority of ensemble models over non-ensemble counterparts. Among them, CatBoost achieved the highest accuracy and stability (RMSE 0.85, MAE 0.61, R = 0.78), reducing prediction error by approximately 20% relative to SVM and ElasticNet. These findings highlight the capacity of ensemble learning techniques to capture complex, non-linear interactions inherent in water quality data. The study makes two principal contributions: (1) the systematic implementation, optimization, and comparison of ensemble and non-ensemble ML models for river pollution prediction on a long-term national dataset; and (2) the identification of ensemble-based methods, particularly CatBoost, as robust and data-driven tools to enhance RPI forecasting and to support informed decision-making in sustainable water resource management.
{"title":"A comparative study of ensemble and non-ensemble machine learning methods for predicting river pollution index","authors":"Luisa S.R. Nogueira , Mariana A.S. de Carvalho , Berilo de O. Santos , Roland Yonaba , Apoorva Bamal , Md Galal Uddin , Matteo Bodini , Leonardo Goliatt","doi":"10.1016/j.ecoinf.2026.103617","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ecoinf.2026.103617","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Accurate prediction of river water quality is fundamental to environmental sustainability and public health, particularly amid increasing freshwater scarcity. This study develops a robust Machine Learning (ML) framework to forecast the River Pollution Index (RPI) using a comprehensive 36-year national dataset from Taiwan’s Environmental Protection Administration, covering over 500 monitoring stations. We conducted a systematic comparison of ensemble methods (CatBoost, XGBoost, NGBoost) and non-ensemble benchmarks (SVM, ElasticNet, and 1D CNN). Hyperparameters were optimized via Bayesian optimization, and statistical significance was ensured by evaluating model stability using a suite of complementary indicators (RMSE, MAE, R<span><math><msup><mrow></mrow><mrow><mn>2</mn></mrow></msup></math></span>, A10 index) across 30 independent experimental runs. The results demonstrated the consistent superiority of ensemble models over non-ensemble counterparts. Among them, CatBoost achieved the highest accuracy and stability (RMSE <span><math><mo>≈</mo></math></span> 0.85, MAE <span><math><mo>≈</mo></math></span> 0.61, R<span><math><msup><mrow></mrow><mrow><mn>2</mn></mrow></msup></math></span> = 0.78), reducing prediction error by approximately 20% relative to SVM and ElasticNet. These findings highlight the capacity of ensemble learning techniques to capture complex, non-linear interactions inherent in water quality data. The study makes two principal contributions: (1) the systematic implementation, optimization, and comparison of ensemble and non-ensemble ML models for river pollution prediction on a long-term national dataset; and (2) the identification of ensemble-based methods, particularly CatBoost, as robust and data-driven tools to enhance RPI forecasting and to support informed decision-making in sustainable water resource management.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51024,"journal":{"name":"Ecological Informatics","volume":"94 ","pages":"Article 103617"},"PeriodicalIF":7.3,"publicationDate":"2026-01-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146025989","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-01-21DOI: 10.1016/j.ecoinf.2026.103606
Sophie A.M. Elliott , Keerthan Boraiah , Chun Kee Tham , William R.C. Beaumont , Paul Elsmere , Luke Scott , Adrian Fewings
Diadromous fish are one of the most threatened groups of fish species, being subject to pressures from freshwater, estuarine and marine environments. Of these fish, Atlantic salmon is the most economically important and increasingly threatened. To assess salmonid (Atlantic salmon and sea trout) stocks, resistivity counters have been widely used. However, verification of data from the counters can be challenging due to miscounts, misidentification and biases in human verification of fish counts.
We applied deep learning models to identify diadromous fish using continuous electrical resistivity data from resistivity fish counters. Our models were tested on three rivers (Frome, Fowey and Test in the South and South-West of England) and compared with a minimum of one year's manually validated data.
We detected fish signals from background noise with an F1-score of 99%, large from small fish (≥30 cm) with a precision of 95%, and an increase of >38% small and large fish waveforms. The F1-score for salmonids was 92%, and a significantly greater proportion (>173%) of upstream-moving large salmonids (≥30 cm) were detected compared to manual methods.
To date, abundance estimates for resistivity counters have only been applied to salmonids because of labour-intensive waveform identification. Using deep learning methods, we quantified salmonids and other diadromous fish with varying accuracies. Our method can be applied to resistivity counters to detect diadromous fish globally, reducing human bias and improving detection accuracy.
{"title":"Deep learning models used to detect fish movement over resistivity counters","authors":"Sophie A.M. Elliott , Keerthan Boraiah , Chun Kee Tham , William R.C. Beaumont , Paul Elsmere , Luke Scott , Adrian Fewings","doi":"10.1016/j.ecoinf.2026.103606","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ecoinf.2026.103606","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Diadromous fish are one of the most threatened groups of fish species, being subject to pressures from freshwater, estuarine and marine environments. Of these fish, Atlantic salmon is the most economically important and increasingly threatened. To assess salmonid (Atlantic salmon and sea trout) stocks, resistivity counters have been widely used. However, verification of data from the counters can be challenging due to miscounts, misidentification and biases in human verification of fish counts.</div><div>We applied deep learning models to identify diadromous fish using continuous electrical resistivity data from resistivity fish counters. Our models were tested on three rivers (Frome, Fowey and Test in the South and South-West of England) and compared with a minimum of one year's manually validated data.</div><div>We detected fish signals from background noise with an F1-score of 99%, large from small fish (≥30 cm) with a precision of 95%, and an increase of >38% small and large fish waveforms. The F1-score for salmonids was 92%, and a significantly greater proportion (>173%) of upstream-moving large salmonids (≥30 cm) were detected compared to manual methods.</div><div>To date, abundance estimates for resistivity counters have only been applied to salmonids because of labour-intensive waveform identification. Using deep learning methods, we quantified salmonids and other diadromous fish with varying accuracies. Our method can be applied to resistivity counters to detect diadromous fish globally, reducing human bias and improving detection accuracy.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51024,"journal":{"name":"Ecological Informatics","volume":"94 ","pages":"Article 103606"},"PeriodicalIF":7.3,"publicationDate":"2026-01-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146174412","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
In the digital water world, high-frequency water quality monitoring from sensors is crucial for capturing rapid changes, especially during storm events or discharge fluctuations, in which important signals can occur at sub-hourly intervals. These signals are represented in a time series and can sometimes be irregular, noisy, and prone to missing values or errors due to buried conditions, sediment interference, and signal loss. The fine resolution of reporting also increases the risk of sensor errors and data loss, necessitating effective correction methods to ensure the accuracy and usability of the data. This literature review investigates the current state of time series data correction and denoising techniques in water quality monitoring. A systematic review of peer-reviewed studies was conducted to identify commonly applied methods, evaluate their effectiveness, and assess their adaptability to high-frequency, nonlinear, and non-stationary water quality datasets. The study explored techniques, including statistical methods such as moving averages, median filtering, Savitzky-Golay smoothing, wavelet transforms, and Kalman Filter, as well as machine learning models such as random forest, support vector machine and gradient boosting. While many of these methods are well established in other fields, this review collates evidence of their application and adaptation to water resources. This review serves as a comprehensive resource for researchers and water resource practitioners to implement appropriate denoising and correction techniques for continuous and high-frequency monitoring data. It highlights the potential of both statistical, signal processing, and machine learning-based methods to support accurate analysis, decision-making, and long-term water quality monitoring, management, and modeling.
{"title":"A critical review of statistical, signal processing and machine learning methods for continuous and high-frequency water quality data improvement","authors":"A.T. Badrudeen , D. Sahoo , C.B. Sawyer , J.W. Pike , R.D. Harmel","doi":"10.1016/j.ecoinf.2026.103619","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ecoinf.2026.103619","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>In the digital water world, high-frequency water quality monitoring from sensors is crucial for capturing rapid changes, especially during storm events or discharge fluctuations, in which important signals can occur at sub-hourly intervals. These signals are represented in a time series and can sometimes be irregular, noisy, and prone to missing values or errors due to buried conditions, sediment interference, and signal loss. The fine resolution of reporting also increases the risk of sensor errors and data loss, necessitating effective correction methods to ensure the accuracy and usability of the data. This literature review investigates the current state of time series data correction and denoising techniques in water quality monitoring. A systematic review of peer-reviewed studies was conducted to identify commonly applied methods, evaluate their effectiveness, and assess their adaptability to high-frequency, nonlinear, and non-stationary water quality datasets. The study explored techniques, including statistical methods such as moving averages, median filtering, Savitzky-Golay smoothing, wavelet transforms, and Kalman Filter, as well as machine learning models such as random forest, support vector machine and gradient boosting. While many of these methods are well established in other fields, this review collates evidence of their application and adaptation to water resources. This review serves as a comprehensive resource for researchers and water resource practitioners to implement appropriate denoising and correction techniques for continuous and high-frequency monitoring data. It highlights the potential of both statistical, signal processing, and machine learning-based methods to support accurate analysis, decision-making, and long-term water quality monitoring, management, and modeling.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51024,"journal":{"name":"Ecological Informatics","volume":"94 ","pages":"Article 103619"},"PeriodicalIF":7.3,"publicationDate":"2026-01-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146173997","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-01-17DOI: 10.1016/j.ecoinf.2026.103612
Adrian Pascual , Juan Guerra-Hernández , Brigite Botequim , Eduardo González-Ferreiro
The next-generation of fire behavior models must integrate 3D forest structural metrics to better explain fire spread, risk and severity. Canopy base height (CBH) and canopy bulk density (CBD) can be calibrated using lidar data collocated over field plots. Where no airborne lidar scanning data (ALS) exist, GEDI spaceborne lidar can provide 25-m predictions of CBH and CBD contingent to ALS-calibrated workflows. Our research presents GEDI footprint-level estimates of CBH and CBD for Mediterranean forests and builds upon collocated ALS-GEDI crossovers. Our accuracies are based on Random Forests classification: the R2 values for CBH and CBD were < 0.4 for all plant functional types evaluated. The classification of vertical continuity was satisfactory to inform on fire-prone conditions at the GEDI footprint level. Predictions for CBD were aggregated to produce a regional baseline maps, one at 1-km resolution. The usability of these coarse-scale aggregations of fuel estimates is limited because of resolution, presence of gaps and high heterogeneity of forest fuels within small steps. To inform about this heterogeneity and change estimates over time, we predict CBH and CBD over adjacent GEDI tracks collected 5-years apart (2019/24). These change estimates are relevant to show the high variability of the forest fuels that compromises the ability to depict change adding the issue of exact collocation between GEDI measurements that are adjacent, not collocated and therefore not repeated. We discuss methodological differences between our approach and recent studies on mapping fuel baselines and their approach to inform on dynamics.
{"title":"Supporting fire behavior modelling with canopy base height and canopy bulk density estimates using airborne and spaceborne lidar","authors":"Adrian Pascual , Juan Guerra-Hernández , Brigite Botequim , Eduardo González-Ferreiro","doi":"10.1016/j.ecoinf.2026.103612","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ecoinf.2026.103612","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The next-generation of fire behavior models must integrate 3D forest structural metrics to better explain fire spread, risk and severity. Canopy base height (CBH) and canopy bulk density (CBD) can be calibrated using lidar data collocated over field plots. Where no airborne lidar scanning data (ALS) exist, GEDI spaceborne lidar can provide 25-m predictions of CBH and CBD contingent to ALS-calibrated workflows. Our research presents GEDI footprint-level estimates of CBH and CBD for Mediterranean forests and builds upon collocated ALS-GEDI crossovers. Our accuracies are based on Random Forests classification: the R2 values for CBH and CBD were < 0.4 for all plant functional types evaluated. The classification of vertical continuity was satisfactory to inform on fire-prone conditions at the GEDI footprint level. Predictions for CBD were aggregated to produce a regional baseline maps, one at 1-km resolution. The usability of these coarse-scale aggregations of fuel estimates is limited because of resolution, presence of gaps and high heterogeneity of forest fuels within small steps. To inform about this heterogeneity and change estimates over time, we predict CBH and CBD over adjacent GEDI tracks collected 5-years apart (2019/24). These change estimates are relevant to show the high variability of the forest fuels that compromises the ability to depict change adding the issue of exact collocation between GEDI measurements that are adjacent, not collocated and therefore not repeated. We discuss methodological differences between our approach and recent studies on mapping fuel baselines and their approach to inform on dynamics.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51024,"journal":{"name":"Ecological Informatics","volume":"94 ","pages":"Article 103612"},"PeriodicalIF":7.3,"publicationDate":"2026-01-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146025991","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-01-17DOI: 10.1016/j.ecoinf.2026.103613
Georgia K. Dwyer, Galen Holt, Rebecca E. Lester
Decision making in natural resource management is increasingly challenged by the complexity, uncertainty and volume of information available. This leads to information overload and reduces decision quality. Here, we aim to reduce the degree of redundant information in a highly complex model used to manage environmental outcomes in the Murray-Darling Basin, Australia's largest river system. We identified extremely high levels of redundancy with 6–8 hydrological indicators able to explain 98–100% of the variation in the full suite of >2500. Many sets of 6–8 had similar explanatory power, providing flexibility for managers to tailor the subset used, and sets were produced for individual management targets (e.g. native fish, waterbirds) and for individual catchments. These subsets maintained the ability to distinguish between scenarios of plausible future climates and different policy settings, while traditional aggregation techniques did not (particularly for policy settings). Aggregations using key flow categories (e.g. overbank, low flows) were also largely able to distinguish among scenarios. This study is novel in its use of decision science to reduce information overload associated with a commonly used ecological model, illustrating the value of explicitly considering whether complexity in such a model is necessary. Such assessments are rarely undertaken. We illustrated how subsets of complex models provide simple, parsimonious approaches for credible, salient and legitimate decision making under uncertainty, and increase the likelihood of good evidence-based decision making in water management.
{"title":"Effective indicators to enable robust decision making in the Murray-Darling Basin","authors":"Georgia K. Dwyer, Galen Holt, Rebecca E. Lester","doi":"10.1016/j.ecoinf.2026.103613","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ecoinf.2026.103613","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Decision making in natural resource management is increasingly challenged by the complexity, uncertainty and volume of information available. This leads to information overload and reduces decision quality. Here, we aim to reduce the degree of redundant information in a highly complex model used to manage environmental outcomes in the Murray-Darling Basin, Australia's largest river system. We identified extremely high levels of redundancy with 6–8 hydrological indicators able to explain 98–100% of the variation in the full suite of >2500. Many sets of 6–8 had similar explanatory power, providing flexibility for managers to tailor the subset used, and sets were produced for individual management targets (e.g. native fish, waterbirds) and for individual catchments. These subsets maintained the ability to distinguish between scenarios of plausible future climates and different policy settings, while traditional aggregation techniques did not (particularly for policy settings). Aggregations using key flow categories (e.g. overbank, low flows) were also largely able to distinguish among scenarios. This study is novel in its use of decision science to reduce information overload associated with a commonly used ecological model, illustrating the value of explicitly considering whether complexity in such a model is necessary. Such assessments are rarely undertaken. We illustrated how subsets of complex models provide simple, parsimonious approaches for credible, salient and legitimate decision making under uncertainty, and increase the likelihood of good evidence-based decision making in water management.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51024,"journal":{"name":"Ecological Informatics","volume":"94 ","pages":"Article 103613"},"PeriodicalIF":7.3,"publicationDate":"2026-01-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146080650","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-01-16DOI: 10.1016/j.ecoinf.2026.103615
Ishara Uhanie Perera , So Fujiyoshi , Daiki Kumakura , Carolina Medel , Kyoko Yarimizu , Osvaldo Artal , Pablo Reche , Oscar Espinoza-González , Leonardo Guzman , Felipe Tucca , Alexander Jaramillo-Torres , Jacquelinne J. Acuña , Milko A. Jorquera , Shinji Nakaoka , Satoshi Nagai , Fumito Maruyama
Predicting harmful algal blooms (HABs) remains a major challenge for coastal management and aquaculture. This study compares three forecasting approaches developed under the Monitoring of Algae in Chile (MACH) project: a particle dispersion model, an LSTM neural network, and an empirical dynamic model (EDM) to evaluate their ability to forecast bloom events. Consequently, we applied the EDM to forecast two Pseudo-nitzschia species groups using data collected from Metri, Quellón, and Melinka in southern Chile. The results showed that the genus Ceratium and Leptocylindrus were commonly associated with both Pseudo-nitzschia species groups, and the best prediction by causal species was obtained for the P. seriata group, with a correlation coefficient of 0.733 (P < 0.0001) between observed and predicted values. This case study demonstrated that species interactions can be used to predict specific HAB species; however, the prediction performance may vary depending on location and species. This study provides one of the first applications of EDM for HAB forecasting using causal species in a real-world monitoring context, demonstrating the potential of hybrid modeling frameworks to improve early warning systems and mitigate aquaculture losses.
{"title":"A prototype coupled modeling approach for predicting harmful algal blooms: A case study in Chile","authors":"Ishara Uhanie Perera , So Fujiyoshi , Daiki Kumakura , Carolina Medel , Kyoko Yarimizu , Osvaldo Artal , Pablo Reche , Oscar Espinoza-González , Leonardo Guzman , Felipe Tucca , Alexander Jaramillo-Torres , Jacquelinne J. Acuña , Milko A. Jorquera , Shinji Nakaoka , Satoshi Nagai , Fumito Maruyama","doi":"10.1016/j.ecoinf.2026.103615","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ecoinf.2026.103615","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Predicting harmful algal blooms (HABs) remains a major challenge for coastal management and aquaculture. This study compares three forecasting approaches developed under the Monitoring of Algae in Chile (MACH) project: a particle dispersion model, an LSTM neural network, and an empirical dynamic model (EDM) to evaluate their ability to forecast bloom events. Consequently, we applied the EDM to forecast two <em>Pseudo-nitzschia</em> species groups using data collected from Metri, Quellón, and Melinka in southern Chile. The results showed that the genus <em>Ceratium</em> and <em>Leptocylindrus</em> were commonly associated with both <em>Pseudo-nitzschia</em> species groups, and the best prediction by causal species was obtained for the <em>P. seriata</em> group, with a correlation coefficient of 0.733 (<em>P</em> < 0.0001) between observed and predicted values. This case study demonstrated that species interactions can be used to predict specific HAB species; however, the prediction performance may vary depending on location and species. This study provides one of the first applications of EDM for HAB forecasting using causal species in a real-world monitoring context, demonstrating the potential of hybrid modeling frameworks to improve early warning systems and mitigate aquaculture losses.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51024,"journal":{"name":"Ecological Informatics","volume":"94 ","pages":"Article 103615"},"PeriodicalIF":7.3,"publicationDate":"2026-01-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146174091","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-01-16DOI: 10.1016/j.ecoinf.2025.103593
Nevena Ranković , Dragica Ranković
Accurate forecasting of water demand is essential for reliable and efficient operation of distribution networks. However, existing forecasting approaches are usually restricted to single-site closed settings and fail under distributional shifts across pumping stations, leaving the gap of cross-site generalization unresolved. This study addresses the problem using operational data collected from Supervisory Control and Data Acquisition (SCADA) systems provided by the Public Utility Company for Water Treatment Valjevo, which operates the Kolubara water supply region in Serbia. We extend the Informer architecture with statistical alignment (CORAL, MMD), adversarial adaptation (DANN), and meta-learning (MAML, Reptile) to explicitly handle zero, few, and full shot transfer scenarios under covariate shift. The proposed framework reduces mean and peak errors across forecasting horizons, improving resilience where operations are most vulnerable to demand surges, and thus carries direct social relevance for water security. Results show that statistical/adversarial alignment enables effective zero-shot transfer, while meta-learning supports rapid adaptation with only 24–72 h of labeled data, consistently outperforming classical and deep-learning baselines. The evaluation, conducted on multivariate SCADA data, was checked using standard accuracy and peak-sensitive metrics. Generally, the study establishes cross-site transfer learning as an engineering solution for water utilities, offering a deployable pipeline that adapts to new pumping stations with minimal calibration while reducing operational risks and costs and grounding its value in both methodological innovation and empirical validation.
{"title":"Informer-based cross-site transfer learning for water demand forecasting via domain adaptation and meta-learning","authors":"Nevena Ranković , Dragica Ranković","doi":"10.1016/j.ecoinf.2025.103593","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ecoinf.2025.103593","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Accurate forecasting of water demand is essential for reliable and efficient operation of distribution networks. However, existing forecasting approaches are usually restricted to single-site closed settings and fail under distributional shifts across pumping stations, leaving the gap of cross-site generalization unresolved. This study addresses the problem using operational data collected from Supervisory Control and Data Acquisition (SCADA) systems provided by the Public Utility Company for Water Treatment Valjevo, which operates the Kolubara water supply region in Serbia. We extend the Informer architecture with statistical alignment (CORAL, MMD), adversarial adaptation (DANN), and meta-learning (MAML, Reptile) to explicitly handle <em>zero</em>, <em>few</em>, and <em>full</em> shot transfer scenarios under covariate shift. The proposed framework reduces mean and peak errors across forecasting horizons, improving resilience where operations are most vulnerable to demand surges, and thus carries direct social relevance for water security. Results show that statistical/adversarial alignment enables effective <em>zero</em>-shot transfer, while meta-learning supports rapid adaptation with only 24–72 h of labeled data, consistently outperforming classical and deep-learning baselines. The evaluation, conducted on multivariate SCADA data, was checked using standard accuracy and peak-sensitive metrics. Generally, the study establishes cross-site transfer learning as an engineering solution for water utilities, offering a deployable pipeline that adapts to new pumping stations with minimal calibration while reducing operational risks and costs and grounding its value in both methodological innovation and empirical validation.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51024,"journal":{"name":"Ecological Informatics","volume":"93 ","pages":"Article 103593"},"PeriodicalIF":7.3,"publicationDate":"2026-01-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146022404","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-01-14DOI: 10.1016/j.ecoinf.2026.103614
Aurora González-Vidal , Simona Caruso , Fabio Badalamenti , Jesús E. Argente-Garcia , Trevor J. Willis , Antonio F. Skarmeta
Understanding animal behaviour is essential for wildlife management and conservation. However, studying the intricate behaviours of marine fish presents unique challenges, including their mobility, size, and the difficulty of maintaining continuous visibility in dynamic underwater environments. Traditional methods, such as manual video analysis and direct observation, are time-consuming, labour-intensive, and often limited in scope. While AI has been applied to aquaculture and species identification, its use in decoding complex mating behaviours of wild fish – particularly nest-building species like the grey wrasse (Symphodus cinereus) – remains underexplored. This study bridges this gap by leveraging advancements in Artificial Intelligence (AI) and computer vision to automate the analysis of S. cinereus reproductive behaviours. By labelling image datasets and using the YOLOv9 algorithm, we developed a robust system to detect nest maintenance, courtship, egg care, and territorial defence behaviours during mating seasons. Observations revealed intricate male behavioural patterns, including nest building, courtship displays, and parental care, with high detection accuracy for key objects (e.g., nests, females) and varied performance across behaviour categories. Our work highlights the potential of AI-driven tools to overcome the constraints of manual methods, providing scalable, precise methodologies for ethological research. Beyond S. cinereus, this framework can be adapted to study other nest-building fish (e.g., damselfish, cichlids), supporting conservation efforts through large-scale behavioural monitoring and guiding sustainable ecotourism practices. By integrating AI and behavioural ecology, this study advances both scientific understanding and practical applications for marine ecosystem management.
{"title":"AI-driven analysis of fish reproductive behaviour","authors":"Aurora González-Vidal , Simona Caruso , Fabio Badalamenti , Jesús E. Argente-Garcia , Trevor J. Willis , Antonio F. Skarmeta","doi":"10.1016/j.ecoinf.2026.103614","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ecoinf.2026.103614","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Understanding animal behaviour is essential for wildlife management and conservation. However, studying the intricate behaviours of marine fish presents unique challenges, including their mobility, size, and the difficulty of maintaining continuous visibility in dynamic underwater environments. Traditional methods, such as manual video analysis and direct observation, are time-consuming, labour-intensive, and often limited in scope. While AI has been applied to aquaculture and species identification, its use in decoding complex mating behaviours of wild fish – particularly nest-building species like the grey wrasse (<em>Symphodus cinereus</em>) – remains underexplored. This study bridges this gap by leveraging advancements in Artificial Intelligence (AI) and computer vision to automate the analysis of <em>S. cinereus</em> reproductive behaviours. By labelling image datasets and using the YOLOv9 algorithm, we developed a robust system to detect nest maintenance, courtship, egg care, and territorial defence behaviours during mating seasons. Observations revealed intricate male behavioural patterns, including nest building, courtship displays, and parental care, with high detection accuracy for key objects (e.g., nests, females) and varied performance across behaviour categories. Our work highlights the potential of AI-driven tools to overcome the constraints of manual methods, providing scalable, precise methodologies for ethological research. Beyond <em>S. cinereus</em>, this framework can be adapted to study other nest-building fish (e.g., damselfish, cichlids), supporting conservation efforts through large-scale behavioural monitoring and guiding sustainable ecotourism practices. By integrating AI and behavioural ecology, this study advances both scientific understanding and practical applications for marine ecosystem management.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51024,"journal":{"name":"Ecological Informatics","volume":"94 ","pages":"Article 103614"},"PeriodicalIF":7.3,"publicationDate":"2026-01-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146001725","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}