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Spatiotemporally weighted regression (STWR) for assessing Lyme disease and landscape fragmentation dynamics in Connecticut towns 用于评估康涅狄格州城镇莱姆病和景观破碎化动态的时空加权回归(STWR)
IF 5.8 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-10-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecoinf.2024.102870
Zhe Wang , Xiang Que , Meifang Li , Zhuoming Liu , Xun Shi , Xiaogang Ma , Chao Fan , Yan Lin
Understanding the landscape determinants that escalate Lyme disease (LD) risk through various times and regions is vital for appraising disease susceptibility and shaping precise intervention and prevention strategies. This research introduces a novel data-driven framework to identify potential indicators from an extensive array of potential variables. We then deployed an advanced spatiotemporal weighted regression (STWR) model to investigate how landscape fragmentation metrics correlate with the spatiotemporal variability of LD incidence rate in Connecticut towns. We proposed a data-driven filtering framework to select five variables from a large data pool. The analysis unveils that LD incidence rates exhibit heightened sensitivity to proportional or exponential shifts in landscape fragmentation; logarithmic and squared transformations of landscape metrics shed light on lesser effects and venue for potential parabolic relationships. Observations also disclose significant spatial trends, showing elevated LD incidence rates in locales with vast, uninterrupted deciduous forests, alongside contributions from wetland ecosystem-related variables to the rise in disease occurrence. Compared with Geographically Weighted Regression (GWR), the STWR model proved more potent and reliable with higher R2 and lower estimated standard errors (SE). The STWR model is highly flexible in terms of spatiotemporal variations in data. The STWR results further reversely indicate the changes made by the Center for Disease and Prevention (CDC) in the case classification of LD in 2008. The integration of data-driven and model-driven approaches in this study delivers a robust framework that combines empirical pattern detection with theoretical insight, enhancing the robustness and predictive power of ecological studies.
了解在不同时期和地区增加莱姆病(LD)风险的景观决定因素,对于评估疾病易感性以及制定精确的干预和预防策略至关重要。这项研究引入了一个新颖的数据驱动框架,从大量潜在变量中识别出潜在指标。然后,我们采用先进的时空加权回归(STWR)模型,研究康涅狄格州城镇的景观破碎度指标与 LD 发病率的时空变化之间的相关性。我们提出了一个数据驱动的过滤框架,从庞大的数据池中挑选出五个变量。分析结果表明,LD发病率对景观破碎度的比例或指数变化表现出更高的敏感性;景观指标的对数和平方变换揭示了较小的影响,并为潜在的抛物线关系提供了场所。观测结果还揭示了重要的空间趋势,显示在拥有广阔、不间断落叶林的地区,LD发病率升高,同时湿地生态系统相关变量也对疾病发生率的上升做出了贡献。与地理加权回归(GWR)相比,STWR 模型证明更有效、更可靠,具有更高的 R2 和更低的估计标准误差(SE)。STWR 模型在数据的时空变化方面具有很高的灵活性。STWR 结果进一步反向显示了疾病预防中心(CDC)在 2008 年对 LD 病例分类所做的改变。本研究将数据驱动和模型驱动方法相结合,提供了一个将经验模式检测与理论洞察相结合的稳健框架,提高了生态学研究的稳健性和预测能力。
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引用次数: 0
Impacts of LULC changes on runoff from rivers through a coupled SWAT and BiLSTM model: A case study in Zhanghe River Basin, China 通过 SWAT 和 BiLSTM 耦合模型分析 LULC 变化对河流径流的影响:中国漳河流域案例研究
IF 5.8 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-10-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecoinf.2024.102866
Jiawen Liu , Xianqi Zhang , Xiaoyan Wu , Yang Yang , Yupeng Zheng
Changes in river runoff have a significant impact on the sustainable use of water resources in a watershed, and these changes are closely linked to variations in land use/land cover (LULC). This research explores an innovative approach in the Zhang River Basin (ZRB), China, by coupling a concept-based hydrological model, the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT), with a deep-learning model, the Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory Network (Bi-LSTM), to improve the accuracy of river runoff simulations. By analyzing LULC changes in 2002, 2012, and 2022, this study developed three SWAT models and three coupled SWAT-BiLSTM models to quantitatively assess the impacts of these changes on river runoff through eight LULC scenarios. The findings revealed significant LULC changes from 2002 to 2022, with cropland and grassland areas decreasing while forest and urban land areas increased. The total area of grassland, forest, and cropland made up over 93 % of the basin, indicating active land type conversions. Calibration and validation results demonstrated that the SWAT-BiLSTM model outperformed the conventional SWAT model, yielding higher accuracy in runoff simulations. Specifically, the SWAT-BiLSTM model achieved R2 values of 0.89 and 0.90 during calibration and validation, compared to the SWAT model's R2 values of 0.76 and 0.79. Scenario analyses indicated that expansions in farmland, grassland, and urban areas were correlated with increased river runoff, while an expansion in forested areas led to reduced runoff. Notably, urban land changes had the most pronounced impact on runoff, emphasizing the need for careful runoff management and flood risk mitigation in urban planning. By combining SWAT and Bi-LSTM models, this study provides an innovative assessment of the impact of LULC changes on water resources in the ZRB. The results offer valuable insights for water resource management, LULC optimization, and flood risk management, highlighting the potential application of deep learning techniques in hydrological simulation. This research serves as a scientific basis for policy-making and sustainable land use planning in the ZRB and similar regions.
河流径流的变化对流域水资源的可持续利用具有重大影响,而这些变化与土地利用/土地覆被 (LULC) 的变化密切相关。本研究在中国漳河流域(ZRB)探索了一种创新方法,将基于概念的水文模型--水土评估工具(SWAT)与深度学习模型--双向长短期记忆网络(Bi-LSTM)相结合,以提高河流径流模拟的精度。通过分析 2002 年、2012 年和 2022 年 LULC 的变化,本研究开发了三个 SWAT 模型和三个 SWAT-BiLSTM 耦合模型,通过八种 LULC 情景定量评估了这些变化对河流径流的影响。研究结果表明,从 2002 年到 2022 年,LULC 发生了显著变化,耕地和草地面积减少,而森林和城市土地面积增加。草地、森林和耕地的总面积占流域面积的 93% 以上,表明土地类型的转换非常活跃。校准和验证结果表明,SWAT-BiLSTM 模型优于传统的 SWAT 模型,在径流模拟方面具有更高的精度。具体而言,在校准和验证过程中,SWAT-BiLSTM 模型的 R2 值分别为 0.89 和 0.90,而 SWAT 模型的 R2 值分别为 0.76 和 0.79。情景分析表明,农田、草地和城市地区的扩大与河流径流量的增加相关,而森林地区的扩大则导致径流量的减少。值得注意的是,城市土地变化对径流的影响最为明显,这强调了在城市规划中谨慎管理径流和降低洪水风险的必要性。通过结合 SWAT 和 Bi-LSTM 模型,本研究对土地利用、土地利用变化和土地利用变化对 ZRB 水资源的影响进行了创新性评估。研究结果为水资源管理、土地利用、土地利用变化(LULC)优化和洪水风险管理提供了有价值的见解,凸显了深度学习技术在水文模拟中的潜在应用。这项研究为 ZRB 和类似地区的政策制定和可持续土地利用规划提供了科学依据。
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引用次数: 0
Efficient approximate Bayesian inference for quantifying uncertainty in multiscale animal movement models 量化多尺度动物运动模型不确定性的高效近似贝叶斯推理
IF 5.8 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-10-25 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecoinf.2024.102853
Majaliwa M. Masolele , J. Grant C. Hopcraft , Colin J. Torney
It is becoming increasingly important for wildlife managers and conservation ecologists to understand which resources are selected or avoided by an animal and how to best predict future spatial distributions of animal populations in the long term. However, inferring the patterns of space use by animals is a challenging multiscale inference problem, and formal uncertainty quantification of parameter estimates is an essential component of models that provide useful predictions across scales. In this study, we develop an approximate Bayesian inference framework for step selection models of animal movement which quantifies the uncertainty in estimates of resource selection and avoidance parameters within the Bayesian paradigm. The framework allows joint inference of movement and resource selection parameters of animals and is multiscale in that parameters inferred from fine scale movement steps scale to produce predictions of long-term patterns of space use. Our analysis focuses on simulated movement data in which we test the performance of our framework by altering movement parameters in the data-generating process. In our simulations, individuals respond to two environmental covariates and we employ all combinations of positive and negative selection coefficients corresponding to attraction to an environmental feature and avoidance of an environmental feature, respectively. In all scenarios, we recover the movement parameters used for the simulation of synthetic movement data using variational inference, an approximate Bayesian method, allowing us to formally quantify the uncertainty associated with each parameter for varying data set sizes. Our framework successfully recovered all combinations of movement parameters of the simulated data and accurately captured their posterior distributions given the available data suggesting that the framework is reliable and suitable for inferring how animals select resources and move on a landscape.
Notably, our analysis shows that even for reasonably large data sets (circa 10,000 observations) there can still be considerable uncertainty associated with resource selection parameters which can in turn lead to inaccurate predictions of long term space use if not properly incorporated into the modelling approach. To further illustrate the utility of our approach, we also present a case study of its application to an example data set consisting of GPS locations of a fisher (Martes pennanti). Our approach will be of interest to ecologists looking to address conservation questions such as when and where animals are likely to spend most of their time. Furthermore, the approach could be used to predict new suitable areas for conservation based on how GPS collared animals use or avoid resources while including uncertainty around the predictions, thereby helping to make informed management decisions.
对于野生动物管理者和保护生态学家来说,了解动物选择或避开哪些资源以及如何最好地预测动物种群未来的长期空间分布变得越来越重要。然而,推断动物的空间利用模式是一个具有挑战性的多尺度推断问题,而参数估计的正式不确定性量化是跨尺度提供有用预测的模型的重要组成部分。在本研究中,我们为动物运动的阶跃选择模型开发了一个近似贝叶斯推断框架,在贝叶斯范式中量化了资源选择和回避参数估计的不确定性。该框架允许对动物的运动和资源选择参数进行联合推断,并且是多尺度的,因为从精细尺度的运动步长中推断出的参数可以对空间利用的长期模式进行预测。我们的分析侧重于模拟运动数据,通过改变数据生成过程中的运动参数来测试框架的性能。在我们的模拟中,个体对两个环境协变量做出反应,我们采用了正选择系数和负选择系数的所有组合,分别对应于吸引环境特征和回避环境特征。在所有情况下,我们都使用变异推理(一种近似贝叶斯方法)来恢复用于模拟合成运动数据的运动参数,这使我们能够正式量化与不同数据集大小的每个参数相关的不确定性。值得注意的是,我们的分析表明,即使对于相当大的数据集(约 10,000 个观测值),资源选择参数仍可能存在相当大的不确定性,如果不适当地将其纳入建模方法,这些不确定性反过来又会导致对长期空间利用的不准确预测。为了进一步说明我们的方法的实用性,我们还介绍了一个案例研究,将其应用于由渔夫(Martes pennanti)的 GPS 位置组成的示例数据集。我们的方法将引起生态学家的兴趣,他们希望解决保护问题,如动物可能在何时何地度过其大部分时间。此外,这种方法还可用于根据 GPS 定位动物如何使用或避开资源来预测新的合适保护区域,同时将预测的不确定性包括在内,从而帮助做出明智的管理决策。
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引用次数: 0
Jump around: Selecting Markov Chain Monte Carlo parameters and diagnostics for improved food web model quality and ecosystem representation 跳来跳去选择马尔可夫链蒙特卡洛参数和诊断方法,提高食物网模型质量和生态系统代表性
IF 5.8 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-10-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecoinf.2024.102865
Gemma Gerber , Ursula M. Scharler
Capturing ecological data variability in food web models is an important step for improving model representation of empirical systems. One approach is to use linear inverse modelling and Markov Chain Monte Carlo (LIM-MCMC) techniques to set up an inverse LIM problem using empirical data constraints, and then sample multiple plausible food webs from the inverse problem using an MCMC algorithm. We describe the set of plausible food webs as an ‘ensemble’ of solutions to the inverse problem sampled with the LIM-MCMC algorithm. The extent of data variability eventually integrated into an ensemble depends on how well the LIM-MCMC algorithm samples the solution space. Algorithm quality can be adjusted via user-defined parameters describing starting points, jump sizes, and number of iterations or food webs produced. However, little information exists on how each LIM-MCMC algorithm parameter affects the degree of empirical data variability introduced into the ensemble. Further, post hoc algorithm quality diagnostics with commonly used trace plots and the coefficient of variation (CoV) rarely address critical aspects of algorithm quality, such as (1) if the returned ensemble successfully targeted the solution space distribution (stationarity), (2) correlation between ensemble solutions (mixing), and (3) if the ensemble contains enough solutions to adequately capture input data variability (sampling efficiency). Therefore, we used several established MCMC convergence diagnostics to (1) quantify how algorithm parameters affect ensemble flow values and if these differences propagate to ecological indicators and (2) evaluate algorithm quality and compare to current evaluation and ecosystem modelling methods. We applied 30 LIM-MCMC algorithm combinations of varying starting points, jump sizes, and number of iterations to solve food web ensembles from a single food web model. We analysed ensembles with Ecological Network Analysis (ENA) to calculate indicators describing system function. Results show that LIM-MCMC algorithm parameters, in particular the jump size, affect ensemble flow values, which propagate to ecological indicators describing different ecosystem function of the same model. Thereafter, comparisons of post hoc diagnostics show that MCMC convergence diagnostics provided more robust estimates of algorithm quality than trace plots and CoV. Together, these findings underpin several novel recommendations to enhance LIM-MCMC algorithm parameter selection and quality assessments applicable to any ecological ensemble network study.
在食物网模型中捕捉生态数据的变异性,是改进模型对经验系统表征的重要一步。一种方法是使用线性反演建模和马尔可夫链蒙特卡罗(LIM-MCMC)技术,利用经验数据约束条件设置反演 LIM 问题,然后使用 MCMC 算法从反演问题中抽取多个可信食物网样本。我们将一组可信的食物网描述为使用 LIM-MCMC 算法对逆问题进行采样的解的 "集合"。最终纳入集合的数据变化程度取决于 LIM-MCMC 算法对解空间的采样效果。算法质量可通过用户定义的参数进行调整,这些参数包括起点、跳跃大小、迭代次数或产生的食物网。然而,关于 LIM-MCMC 算法的每个参数如何影响集合中引入的经验数据变异程度的信息却很少。此外,使用常用的轨迹图和变异系数(CoV)进行事后算法质量诊断,很少能解决算法质量的关键问题,如:(1)返回的集合是否成功地针对解空间分布(静止性);(2)集合解之间的相关性(混合性);(3)集合是否包含足够的解,以充分捕捉输入数据的变异性(采样效率)。因此,我们使用了几种成熟的 MCMC 收敛诊断方法,以 (1) 量化算法参数如何影响集合流量值,以及这些差异是否会传播到生态指标;(2) 评估算法质量,并与当前的评估和生态系统建模方法进行比较。我们应用了 30 种不同起点、跳跃大小和迭代次数的 LIM-MCMC 算法组合,以求解来自单一食物网模型的食物网集合。我们用生态网络分析(ENA)对集合进行了分析,以计算描述系统功能的指标。结果表明,LIM-MCMC 算法参数,尤其是跳跃大小,会影响集合流值,而集合流值又会传播到描述同一模型不同生态系统功能的生态指标。此后,事后诊断比较显示,MCMC 收敛诊断比迹图和 CoV 对算法质量提供了更可靠的估计。总之,这些发现为加强 LIM-MCMC 算法参数选择和适用于任何生态集合网络研究的质量评估提出了多项新建议。
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引用次数: 0
A multi-source approach to mapping habitat diversity: Comparison and combination of single-date hyperspectral and multi-date multispectral satellite imagery in a Mediterranean Natural Reserve 绘制生境多样性地图的多源方法:地中海自然保护区单日期高光谱和多日期多光谱卫星图像的比较与组合
IF 5.8 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-10-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecoinf.2024.102867
Chiara Zabeo , Gaia Vaglio Laurin , Birhane Gebrehiwot Tesfamariam , Diego Giuliarelli , Riccardo Valentini , Anna Barbati
The increasing availability of spaceborne hyperspectral satellite imagery opens new opportunities for forest habitat mapping and monitoring, but the limitation of its generally low temporal resolution must be considered. In this study, we compare the ability of single-date PRISMA (PRecursore IperSpettrale della Missione Applicativa), the hyperspectral satellite from the Italian Space Agency, with that of both single-date and multi-date Sentinel-2 (S2) and PlanetScope (PS) to detect and correctly classify various EUNIS habitat types distributed over a relatively small spatial extent (6000 ha) in a natural reserve in Central Italy. The case study deals with multiple levels of spectral similarity, as the dominant canopy species of the target forest habitat classes belong to the same genus (Quercus spp., both deciduous and evergreen species) as well as of different taxa (Pinus and Fraxinus spp.). We performed a pixel-based classification with the Random Forest algorithm using a set of 28 spectral indices computed on PRISMA bands, 22 on S2, and 12 on PS. A Canopy Height Model (CHM) was also used as an input variable for the classification. Our results showed that PRISMA considerably outperforms the two multispectral satellites in single-date classifications, with an overall accuracy of 84 % compared to PlanetScope's 69 % and Sentinel-2's 72 %. Regarding the comparison between multi-date multispectral and single-date hyperspectral, 10-fold cross-validation results revealed that S2 achieves an out-of-bag error rate of approximately 16 %, while PRISMA achieves 17 % and PS 19 %. This demonstrates that a combination of spectral indices calculated during the growing season can capture phenological or physiological differences among the target species, which consequently results in a significant improvement in the classification accuracy of the multispectral sensors. Ultimately, classification results from all three sensors were combined to create probability maps for each forest class, identifying areas classified with a higher degree of certainty by each satellite tested and potentially contributing to forest management by defining areas with varying conservation levels.
越来越多的空间高光谱卫星图像为森林生境绘图和监测提供了新的机会,但必须考虑到其时间分辨率普遍较低的局限性。在本研究中,我们比较了意大利航天局的单日期高光谱卫星 PRISMA(PRecursore IperSpettrale della Missione Applicativa)与单日期和多日期 Sentinel-2(S2)和 PlanetScope(PS)在意大利中部一个自然保护区相对较小的空间范围(6000 公顷)内探测和正确分类各种 EUNIS 生境类型的能力。本案例研究涉及多层次的光谱相似性,因为目标森林生境类别的主要树冠树种既属于同一属(栎属,包括落叶和常绿树种),也属于不同类群(松属和梣属)。我们使用随机森林算法进行了基于像素的分类,该算法使用了一组在 PRISMA 波段上计算的 28 个光谱指数、在 S2 波段上计算的 22 个光谱指数和在 PS 波段上计算的 12 个光谱指数。树冠高度模型 (CHM) 也被用作分类的输入变量。结果表明,PRISMA 在单日期分类方面大大优于两颗多光谱卫星,总体准确率为 84%,而 PlanetScope 为 69%,哨兵-2 为 72%。关于多日期多光谱与单日期高光谱之间的比较,10 倍交叉验证结果显示,S2 的袋外误差率约为 16%,而 PRISMA 为 17%,PS 为 19%。这表明,在生长季节计算的光谱指数组合可以捕捉目标物种的物候或生理差异,从而显著提高多光谱传感器的分类准确性。最后,综合所有三种传感器的分类结果,绘制出每个森林类别的概率图,从而确定每个卫星测试分类确定度较高的区域,并通过界定不同保护级别的区域,为森林管理做出潜在贡献。
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引用次数: 0
Bayesian feedback in the framework of ecological sciences 生态科学框架下的贝叶斯反馈
IF 5.8 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-10-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecoinf.2024.102858
Mario Figueira , Xavier Barber , David Conesa , Antonio López-Quílez , Joaquín Martínez-Minaya , Iosu Paradinas , Maria Grazia Pennino
In ecological studies, it is not uncommon to encounter scenarios where the same phenomenon (e.g., species occurrence, species abundance) is observed using two different types of samplers. For example, species data can be collected from scientific sampling with a completely random sample pattern, but also from opportunistic sampling (e.g., whale watching from commercial fishing vessels or bird watching from citizen science), where observers tend to look for particular species in areas where they expect to find them.
Species Distribution Models (SDMs) are widely used tools for analysing this type of ecological data. In particular, two models are available for the aforementioned data: a geostatistical model (GM) for data collected where the sampling design is not directly related to the observations, and a preferential model (PM) for data obtained from opportunistic sampling.
The integration of information from disparate sources can be addressed through the use of expert elicitation and integrated models. This paper focuses on a sequential Bayesian procedure for linking two models by updating prior distributions. The Bayesian paradigm is implemented together with the integrated nested Laplace approximation (INLA) methodology, which is an effective approach for making inference and predictions in spatial models with high performance and low computational cost. This sequential approach has been evaluated through the simulation of various scenarios and the subsequent comparison of the results from sharing information between models using a variety of criteria. The procedure has also been exemplified on a real dataset.
The primary findings indicate that, in general, it is preferable to transfer information from the independent (with a completely random sampling) model to the preferential model rather than in the alternative direction. However, this depends on several factors, including the spatial range and the spatial arrangement of the sampling locations.
在生态研究中,使用两种不同类型的取样器观测同一现象(如物种发生率、物种丰度)的情况并不少见。例如,物种数据可以通过完全随机抽样模式的科学采样收集,也可以通过机会主义采样(如商业渔船的鲸鱼观察或公民科学的鸟类观察)收集,观察者倾向于在他们期望发现特定物种的区域寻找特定物种。物种分布模型(SDM)是分析这类生态数据的广泛应用工具。特别是,有两种模型可用于上述数据:一种是地理统计模型(GM),用于收集采样设计与观测结果无直接关系的数据;另一种是优选模型(PM),用于从机会性采样中获得的数据。本文的重点是通过更新先验分布来连接两个模型的顺序贝叶斯程序。贝叶斯范式与集成嵌套拉普拉斯近似(INLA)方法一起实施,这是一种在空间模型中进行推理和预测的有效方法,具有性能高、计算成本低的特点。通过模拟各种情况以及随后使用各种标准比较模型之间共享信息的结果,对这种顺序方法进行了评估。主要研究结果表明,一般来说,从独立模型(完全随机抽样)向优先模型传递信息比向其他方向传递信息更可取。不过,这取决于几个因素,包括空间范围和采样地点的空间排列。
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引用次数: 0
Understanding gaps in early detection of and rapid response to invasive species in the United States: A literature review and bibliometric analysis 了解美国在早期发现和快速应对入侵物种方面的差距:文献综述和文献计量分析
IF 5.8 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-10-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecoinf.2024.102855
Amy K. Wray , Aimee C. Agnew , Mary E. Brown , E.M. Dean , Nicole D. Hernandez , Audrey Jordon , Cayla R. Morningstar , Sara E. Piccolomini , Harrison A. Pickett , Wesley M. Daniel , Brian E. Reichert
While concepts regarding invasive species establishment patterns and eradication possibilities have long been a topic of invasion biology, the specific terminology referring to early detection of and rapid response to (EDRR) invasive species emerged in scientific literature during the early 2000s. Since then, the EDRR approach has expanded to include a suite of detection, planning, and management tools. By conducting a systematic literature review, we attempt to characterize the field of EDRR in the United States and its territories as reflected by publication records. Specifically, we assessed publication data such as the number of publications per year, the most common journals where papers were published, and the relationship between author's keywords for studies focusing on aquatic and terrestrial habitats. For publications that used invasive species occurrence or abundance data (whether collected for the purposes of the respective publication or acquired from another data source), we manually vetted additional information such as focal taxa, data collection years and locations, sources of other data used, and whether data or code were deposited in open access formats. We also conducted network analyses for the author institutions that coauthored papers together most frequently and for the references most cited by EDRR publications. Overall, we found that silos existed in terms of which author institutions worked together, which existing literature was cited, and which topics were frequently explored. We also found evidence of substantial gaps in data access and use. For example, although a wide variety of data sources for invasive species occurrences are available, these sources were seldom cited by published literature, and newly collected data were not often deposited into invasive species databases or other open-source data repositories. Considering the continued advocation for a centralized national EDRR information system, our study indicates that facilitating access to data, decision support tools, and other informational resources represents a key opportunity for improving EDRR capabilities.
虽然有关入侵物种的建立模式和根除可能性的概念早已成为入侵生物学的一个主题,但有关入侵物种的早期检测和快速反应(EDRR)的具体术语却出现在本世纪初的科学文献中。从那时起,EDRR 方法已经扩展到一整套检测、规划和管理工具。通过进行系统的文献综述,我们试图从出版记录中了解美国及其属地的 EDRR 领域的特点。具体来说,我们评估了出版物数据,如每年的出版物数量、最常见的论文发表期刊,以及针对水生和陆生栖息地研究的作者关键词之间的关系。对于使用了入侵物种发生率或丰度数据(无论是为发表论文而收集的数据,还是从其他数据源获取的数据)的论文,我们通过人工方式审核了其他信息,如重点分类群、数据收集年份和地点、所使用的其他数据来源,以及数据或代码是否以开放存取格式存放。我们还对最常合作发表论文的作者机构以及 EDRR 出版物引用最多的参考文献进行了网络分析。总体而言,我们发现在哪些作者机构合作、哪些现有文献被引用以及哪些主题经常被探讨等方面存在孤岛现象。我们还发现在数据获取和使用方面存在巨大差距。例如,虽然入侵物种出现的数据来源多种多样,但这些来源很少被发表的文献引用,新收集的数据也不经常存入入侵物种数据库或其他开放源数据存储库。考虑到建立一个集中的国家环境、经济和社会风险评估与报告信息系统的呼声不绝于耳,我们的研究表明,促进数据、决策支持工具和其他信息资源的获取是提高环境、经济和社会风险评估与报告能力的关键机会。
{"title":"Understanding gaps in early detection of and rapid response to invasive species in the United States: A literature review and bibliometric analysis","authors":"Amy K. Wray ,&nbsp;Aimee C. Agnew ,&nbsp;Mary E. Brown ,&nbsp;E.M. Dean ,&nbsp;Nicole D. Hernandez ,&nbsp;Audrey Jordon ,&nbsp;Cayla R. Morningstar ,&nbsp;Sara E. Piccolomini ,&nbsp;Harrison A. Pickett ,&nbsp;Wesley M. Daniel ,&nbsp;Brian E. Reichert","doi":"10.1016/j.ecoinf.2024.102855","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ecoinf.2024.102855","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>While concepts regarding invasive species establishment patterns and eradication possibilities have long been a topic of invasion biology, the specific terminology referring to early detection of and rapid response to (EDRR) invasive species emerged in scientific literature during the early 2000s. Since then, the EDRR approach has expanded to include a suite of detection, planning, and management tools. By conducting a systematic literature review, we attempt to characterize the field of EDRR in the United States and its territories as reflected by publication records. Specifically, we assessed publication data such as the number of publications per year, the most common journals where papers were published, and the relationship between author's keywords for studies focusing on aquatic and terrestrial habitats. For publications that used invasive species occurrence or abundance data (whether collected for the purposes of the respective publication or acquired from another data source), we manually vetted additional information such as focal taxa, data collection years and locations, sources of other data used, and whether data or code were deposited in open access formats. We also conducted network analyses for the author institutions that coauthored papers together most frequently and for the references most cited by EDRR publications. Overall, we found that silos existed in terms of which author institutions worked together, which existing literature was cited, and which topics were frequently explored. We also found evidence of substantial gaps in data access and use. For example, although a wide variety of data sources for invasive species occurrences are available, these sources were seldom cited by published literature, and newly collected data were not often deposited into invasive species databases or other open-source data repositories. Considering the continued advocation for a centralized national EDRR information system, our study indicates that facilitating access to data, decision support tools, and other informational resources represents a key opportunity for improving EDRR capabilities.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51024,"journal":{"name":"Ecological Informatics","volume":"84 ","pages":"Article 102855"},"PeriodicalIF":5.8,"publicationDate":"2024-10-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142700604","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Unveiling the dynamic flows and spatial inequalities arising from agricultural methane and nitrous oxide emissions 揭示农业甲烷和氧化亚氮排放的动态流动和空间不平等现象
IF 5.8 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-10-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecoinf.2024.102863
Fan Zhang , Yuping Bai , Xin Xuan , Ying Cai
Tracing the spatial transfer and heterogeneity of agricultural methane (CH4) and nitrous oxide (N2O) emissions in China is a prerequisite for the sustainable transformation of agricultural systems. In this study, we established a research framework for evaluating agricultural CH4 and N2O flows and convergence. Using this framework, we established an inventory of China's agricultural CH4 and N2O emissions calculated according to the IPCC inventory guidelines, built a food trade model to simulate the spatial transfer, and revealed the regional differences. Finally, we analyzed the influence mechanism by combining extended Kaya identity and the logarithmic mean divisia index (LMDI) model. We found that inter-regional transfer of agricultural CH4 and N2O emissions in China have intensified, increasing from 56.14 % of total transfers in 2000 to 67.28 % in 2019. The spatial inequalities of agricultural CH4 and N2O increased, and emission intensity varied more within regions than between regions, with per capita emissions showing a club convergence with “intragroup convergence and intergroup divergence”. Although the contribution of agricultural CH4 and N2O emissions varies across provinces, controlling emissions intensity and land use intensity while maintaining GDP per capita is the key to emission mitigation. Our study provides theoretical support for prioritizing policies to mitigate agricultural CH4 and N2O emissions.
追踪中国农业甲烷(CH4)和氧化亚氮(N2O)排放的空间转移和异质性是农业系统可持续转型的前提。在本研究中,我们建立了一个评估农业甲烷(CH4)和氧化亚氮(N2O)流动和汇聚的研究框架。利用这一框架,我们建立了根据 IPCC 清单指南计算的中国农业 CH4 和 N2O 排放清单,建立了粮食贸易模型来模拟空间转移,并揭示了区域差异。最后,我们结合扩展的 Kaya 特性和对数平均除法指数(LMDI)模型分析了影响机制。我们发现,中国农业 CH4 和 N2O 排放的区域间转移加剧,占总转移量的比例从 2000 年的 56.14% 增加到 2019 年的 67.28%。农业 CH4 和 N2O 的空间不平等加剧,区域内排放强度差异大于区域间,人均排放量呈现 "组内趋同、组间分化 "的俱乐部趋同。虽然农业 CH4 和 N2O 排放在各省的贡献率不同,但在保持人均 GDP 的前提下控制排放强度和土地利用强度是减排的关键。我们的研究为确定减缓农业甲烷和一氧化二氮排放政策的优先次序提供了理论支持。
{"title":"Unveiling the dynamic flows and spatial inequalities arising from agricultural methane and nitrous oxide emissions","authors":"Fan Zhang ,&nbsp;Yuping Bai ,&nbsp;Xin Xuan ,&nbsp;Ying Cai","doi":"10.1016/j.ecoinf.2024.102863","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ecoinf.2024.102863","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Tracing the spatial transfer and heterogeneity of agricultural methane (CH<sub>4</sub>) and nitrous oxide (N<sub>2</sub>O) emissions in China is a prerequisite for the sustainable transformation of agricultural systems. In this study, we established a research framework for evaluating agricultural CH<sub>4</sub> and N<sub>2</sub>O flows and convergence. Using this framework, we established an inventory of China's agricultural CH<sub>4</sub> and N<sub>2</sub>O emissions calculated according to the IPCC inventory guidelines, built a food trade model to simulate the spatial transfer, and revealed the regional differences. Finally, we analyzed the influence mechanism by combining extended Kaya identity and the logarithmic mean divisia index (LMDI) model. We found that inter-regional transfer of agricultural CH<sub>4</sub> and N<sub>2</sub>O emissions in China have intensified, increasing from 56.14 % of total transfers in 2000 to 67.28 % in 2019. The spatial inequalities of agricultural CH<sub>4</sub> and N<sub>2</sub>O increased, and emission intensity varied more within regions than between regions, with per capita emissions showing a club convergence with “intragroup convergence and intergroup divergence”. Although the contribution of agricultural CH<sub>4</sub> and N<sub>2</sub>O emissions varies across provinces, controlling emissions intensity and land use intensity while maintaining GDP per capita is the key to emission mitigation. Our study provides theoretical support for prioritizing policies to mitigate agricultural CH<sub>4</sub> and N<sub>2</sub>O emissions.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51024,"journal":{"name":"Ecological Informatics","volume":"84 ","pages":"Article 102863"},"PeriodicalIF":5.8,"publicationDate":"2024-10-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142571645","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Automatic pine wilt disease detection based on improved YOLOv8 UAV multispectral imagery 基于改进型 YOLOv8 无人机多光谱图像的松树枯萎病自动检测
IF 5.8 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-10-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecoinf.2024.102846
Shaoxiong Xu , Wenjiang Huang , Dacheng Wang , Biyao Zhang , Hong Sun , Jiayu Yan , Jianli Ding , Jinjie Wang , Qiuli Yang , Tiecheng Huang , Xu Ma , Longlong Zhao , Zhuoqun Du
The pine wilt disease (PWD) can cause destructive death to pine trees in a short period. Utilizing unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) remote sensing technology to promptly identify PWD-infected trees has become an effective and feasible method for precise PWD monitoring. In this study, UAV multispectral imagery was used to analyze the sensitive spectral bands and different vegetation indices for PWD discriminability. A dataset of optimal spectral combinations from visible light and multispectral images was constructed, along with an improved YOLOv8 deep learning model for rapid and accurate identification of PWD-infected trees. The improved YOLOv8 model used omni-dimensional dynamic convolution (ODConv) to enhance the performance of convolutional networks, designed a dynamic head (DyHead) module to capture PWD features more accurately, and applied MPDioU to improve the regression accuracy and model runtime efficiency. Experimental results showed that the [email protected] of the improved YOLOv8 model increased to 89.1 %, with a user accuracy of 90 % and a recall rate of 93.1 %. This achieved rapid and accurate detection of PWD-infected trees, providing effective technical support for automatic identification of PWD epidemic areas and control of PWD outbreaks based on UAV multispectral imagery.
松树枯萎病(PWD)可在短时间内造成松树毁灭性死亡。利用无人机(UAV)遥感技术来及时识别受松树枯萎病感染的树木,已成为精确监测松树枯萎病的一种有效可行的方法。本研究利用无人机多光谱图像分析了敏感光谱波段和不同的植被指数,以鉴别树木是否感染病虫害。研究人员从可见光和多光谱图像中构建了一个最佳光谱组合数据集,并建立了一个改进的 YOLOv8 深度学习模型,用于快速、准确地识别受 PWD 感染的树木。改进后的YOLOv8模型使用了全维动态卷积(ODConv)来提高卷积网络的性能,设计了动态头(DyHead)模块来更准确地捕捉PWD特征,并应用MPDioU来提高回归精度和模型运行效率。实验结果表明,改进后的YOLOv8模型的[email protected]提高到了89.1%,用户准确率为90%,召回率为93.1%。这就实现了对感染了PWD的树木的快速准确检测,为基于无人机多光谱影像自动识别PWD疫区和控制PWD疫情提供了有效的技术支持。
{"title":"Automatic pine wilt disease detection based on improved YOLOv8 UAV multispectral imagery","authors":"Shaoxiong Xu ,&nbsp;Wenjiang Huang ,&nbsp;Dacheng Wang ,&nbsp;Biyao Zhang ,&nbsp;Hong Sun ,&nbsp;Jiayu Yan ,&nbsp;Jianli Ding ,&nbsp;Jinjie Wang ,&nbsp;Qiuli Yang ,&nbsp;Tiecheng Huang ,&nbsp;Xu Ma ,&nbsp;Longlong Zhao ,&nbsp;Zhuoqun Du","doi":"10.1016/j.ecoinf.2024.102846","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ecoinf.2024.102846","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The pine wilt disease (PWD) can cause destructive death to pine trees in a short period. Utilizing unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) remote sensing technology to promptly identify PWD-infected trees has become an effective and feasible method for precise PWD monitoring. In this study, UAV multispectral imagery was used to analyze the sensitive spectral bands and different vegetation indices for PWD discriminability. A dataset of optimal spectral combinations from visible light and multispectral images was constructed, along with an improved YOLOv8 deep learning model for rapid and accurate identification of PWD-infected trees. The improved YOLOv8 model used omni-dimensional dynamic convolution (ODConv) to enhance the performance of convolutional networks, designed a dynamic head (DyHead) module to capture PWD features more accurately, and applied MPDioU to improve the regression accuracy and model runtime efficiency. Experimental results showed that the [email protected] of the improved YOLOv8 model increased to 89.1 %, with a user accuracy of 90 % and a recall rate of 93.1 %. This achieved rapid and accurate detection of PWD-infected trees, providing effective technical support for automatic identification of PWD epidemic areas and control of PWD outbreaks based on UAV multispectral imagery.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51024,"journal":{"name":"Ecological Informatics","volume":"84 ","pages":"Article 102846"},"PeriodicalIF":5.8,"publicationDate":"2024-10-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142700688","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Modeling forest canopy structure and developing a stand health index using satellite remote sensing 利用卫星遥感建立林冠结构模型并开发林分健康指数
IF 5.8 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-10-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecoinf.2024.102864
Pulakesh Das , Parinaz Rahimzadeh-Bajgiran , William Livingston , Cameron D. McIntire , Aaron Bergdahl
Biotic and abiotic disturbances modify tree structure and degrade stand health. Accurate geospatial data on stand structure is important for monitoring tree growth, forest health, progression and severity of diseases and pests, and estimating resilience to climate stress. The live crown ratio (LCR) of trees serves as a key health indicator but has been understudied at the landscape level using remote sensing data. This study generated the leaf area index (LAI) and a novel spatial layer of LCR at site and landscape scales using a combination of satellite data and ground observations. We conducted field surveys to collect plot-level (10 m × 10 m) data in four eastern white pine (EWP; Pinus strobus L.)-dominated sites in the state of Maine, USA. The plot-level data were used to develop regression models for LAI and LCR estimation using microwave (Sentinel-1) and optical (Sentinel-2) remote sensing data and applying the Random Forest (RF) and Support Vector Machine (SVM) machine learning algorithms. The RF model showed higher prediction accuracy than the SVM model at the site level. Moreover, the prediction accuracy at the site and landscape levels were comparable for LAI (R2 > 0.76) and LCR (R2 > 0.71) using the RF model. Furthermore, the predicted LAI and LCR were integrated with canopy height and stand density to develop a novel health index map for EWP. The resulting health index map successfully delineated patches representing various health categories. Forestry practitioners and decision-makers can use the derived health index map and intermediate spatial data layers (LAI and LCR) to guide stand management. The developed framework can potentially be applied to other coniferous and broadleaved species for remote sensing-based LCR estimation and forest health assessment upon further studies and verification.
生物和非生物干扰会改变树木结构,降低林分健康水平。准确的林分结构地理空间数据对于监测树木生长、森林健康、病虫害的发展和严重程度以及估计对气候压力的适应能力非常重要。树木的活冠率(LCR)是一项重要的健康指标,但利用遥感数据对景观层面的研究还不够。本研究利用卫星数据和地面观测相结合的方法,生成了叶面积指数(LAI)以及站点和景观尺度上活冠率的新型空间层。我们在美国缅因州四个以东部白松(EWP;Pinus strobus L.)为主的地点进行了实地调查,收集了地块级(10 m × 10 m)数据。利用微波(哨兵-1)和光学(哨兵-2)遥感数据,并应用随机森林(RF)和支持向量机(SVM)机器学习算法,利用地块级数据建立了估计 LAI 和 LCR 的回归模型。在站点层面,RF 模型的预测精度高于 SVM 模型。此外,使用 RF 模型对 LAI(R2 >0.76)和 LCR(R2 >0.71)的预测精度在地点和景观水平上相当。此外,预测的 LAI 和 LCR 与冠层高度和林分密度相结合,绘制了新的 EWP 健康指数图。所绘制的健康指数图成功地划分出了代表不同健康类别的斑块。林业从业人员和决策者可以利用得出的健康指数图和中间空间数据层(LAI 和 LCR)来指导林分管理。经进一步研究和验证,所开发的框架有可能应用于其他针叶树和阔叶树种,以进行基于遥感的LCR估算和森林健康评估。
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引用次数: 0
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Ecological Informatics
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