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Glacier retreat decreases mutualistic network robustness over spacetime 冰川退缩降低了互惠网络在时空中的稳健性
IF 5.4 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 BIODIVERSITY CONSERVATION Pub Date : 2024-11-05 DOI: 10.1111/ecog.07558
Matteo Conti, Pierfilippo Cerretti, Andrea Ferrari, Paolo Gabrieli, Francesco Paone, Carlo Polidori, Daniele Sommaggio, Gianalberto Losapio

Glaciers are retreating worldwide at an ever-increasing rate, exposing new ice-free areas to ecological succession. This process leads to changes in biodiversity and potentially to novel species interactions. However, we still have a limited understanding of how glacier retreat influences species interaction networks, particularly the structure and robustness of mutualistic networks. After reconstructing plant–pollinator networks along a 140-years chronosequence on a glacier foreland, we address the effects of glacier retreat on network structure and robustness. Our results show that the prevalence of different network motifs changes over spacetime, leading to a decrease of network robustness. With glacier retreat, mutualistic networks shift from highly connected with diverse specialist interactions to loosely connected with few generalist interactions. Furthermore, despite the turnover of plant species, we find that species structural roles remain constant over spacetime while depending on species identity. Our findings suggest that glacier retreat reshuffles mutualistic networks with motifs posing low robustness, leading to increased fragility. Understanding the assembly and breaking down of species interaction networks provides novel insights into the development and stability of novel, post-glacial ecological systems facing glacier extinction.

世界各地的冰川正在以越来越快的速度后退,使新的无冰地区面临生态演替。这一过程会导致生物多样性的变化,并可能产生新的物种相互作用。然而,我们对冰川退缩如何影响物种互动网络,特别是互惠网络的结构和稳健性的了解仍然有限。在对冰川前缘140年时间序列上的植物传粉者网络进行重建后,我们探讨了冰川退缩对网络结构和稳健性的影响。我们的研究结果表明,随着时间的推移,不同网络模式的普遍性会发生变化,从而导致网络稳健性下降。随着冰川退缩,互生网络从具有多种专科相互作用的高度连接转变为具有少数通科相互作用的松散连接。此外,尽管植物物种更替频繁,但我们发现物种结构作用在时空上保持不变,而取决于物种身份。我们的研究结果表明,冰川退缩重新洗牌了具有低稳健性图案的互惠网络,导致脆弱性增加。了解物种相互作用网络的组装和分解,为我们了解面临冰川消亡的新型冰川后生态系统的发展和稳定性提供了新的视角。
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引用次数: 0
To the top or into the dark? Relationships between elevational and canopy cover distribution shifts in mountain forests 登顶还是入暗?山地森林海拔高度与冠层覆盖分布变化之间的关系
IF 5.4 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 BIODIVERSITY CONSERVATION Pub Date : 2024-11-05 DOI: 10.1111/ecog.07449
Lisa Samira Geres, Nico Blüthgen, Jörg Müller, Linda Seifert, Sebastian Seibold, Claus Bässler

Numerous studies have reported that observed species shifts in mountain areas lag behind expectations under current warming trends, however, the mechanisms remain poorly understood. One important mechanism might be microclimatic heterogeneity causing migration of species to cooler conditions under closed forest canopies, but evidence is scarce. We here compared the distributions of 710 species (11 taxonomic groups including fungi, plants, and animals) along an elevation gradient (287–1419 m a.s.l.) in a temperate low mountain range between 2006–2008 and 2016–2017 to address this open question. We characterized each species' distribution (peak and breadth) based on their abundance along two environmental gradients: elevation and canopy cover. We then analysed changes in species' distribution peaks, asking whether shifts in canopy distribution and initial distribution characteristics explain variation in elevational distribution shifts. Across all taxa, the mean shift in elevational distribution peak was + 35.3 m (i.e. upslope). Species' baseline distribution peaks were strong predictors of elevational distribution shifts with stronger upslope shifts in low-elevation and open-forest species. Even though we observed considerable variation in the responses among species, canopy distribution shifts had a significant negative effect on elevational distribution shifts overall and in six taxonomic groups. We suggest that this is related to cooler microclimatic conditions under closed compared to open forest canopies. Shifts to closed-canopy forests may thus partly compensate for elevational distribution shifts, highlighting the conservation value of heterogeneous landscapes featuring microclimatic refugia. Yet, it is likely that other mechanisms, such as habitat limitation, are also at play. Future studies need to quantify the potential of microclimatic refugia under accelerating forest dynamics, considering the interplay of canopy cover and other factors driving microclimate, and to illuminate the complex climate change response mechanisms among species and taxonomic groups.

许多研究报告称,在当前气候变暖的趋势下,山区观测到的物种迁移落后于预期,但对其机制仍然知之甚少。其中一个重要机制可能是小气候异质性导致物种迁移到封闭林冠下较凉爽的环境中,但这方面的证据很少。在此,我们比较了 2006-2008 年至 2016-2017 年间温带低山岭海拔梯度(海拔 287-1419 米)上 710 个物种(包括真菌、植物和动物在内的 11 个分类群)的分布情况,以解决这一悬而未决的问题。我们根据每个物种在海拔和树冠覆盖两个环境梯度上的丰度来描述其分布特征(峰值和广度)。然后,我们分析了物种分布峰值的变化,询问冠层分布和初始分布特征的变化是否可以解释海拔分布变化的差异。在所有分类群中,海拔分布峰值的平均移动幅度为+ 35.3米(即上坡)。物种的基线分布峰值是海拔分布移动的有力预测因素,低海拔和疏林物种的海拔分布峰值上移幅度更大。尽管我们观察到物种之间的反应存在很大差异,但树冠分布的变化对总体和六个分类群的海拔分布变化有显著的负面影响。我们认为这与郁闭森林树冠比疏林树冠更凉爽的微气候条件有关。因此,向郁闭林冠森林的迁移可能会部分补偿海拔分布的迁移,从而凸显出具有微气候庇护所特征的异质景观的保护价值。然而,栖息地限制等其他机制也可能在起作用。未来的研究需要量化微气候庇护所在加速森林动态变化下的潜力,考虑树冠覆盖和其他驱动微气候的因素之间的相互作用,并阐明物种和分类群之间复杂的气候变化响应机制。
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引用次数: 0
The swash zone selects functionally specialized assemblages of beach interstitial meiofauna (Platyhelminthes, Proseriata) 沼泽区选择了海滩间隙小型底栖生物(扁形动物、原生动物)的功能特化组合
IF 5.4 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 BIODIVERSITY CONSERVATION Pub Date : 2024-10-30 DOI: 10.1111/ecog.07179
Alejandro Martínez, Diego Fontaneto, Marco Curini-Galletti

Life is not a beach for those animals that survive in the rough ecological conditions found in marine sandy beaches – and yet, microscopic animals thrive on them. We explore the drivers for meiofaunal diversity in beaches by analysing taxonomic and functional patterns of 348 flatworm communities across 116 reflective beaches in the western Mediterranean, totalling 152 species (61.2% new to science). First, we confirm that species richness does not differ between beach hydrodynamic levels (swash, shoaling and surf) but rather depends on the characteristics of each beach. Second, we demonstrate that species composition across those levels depends on the species traits, in addition to geographical and abiotic factors. Third, we highlight that the species functional space has a lower richness than expected and a lower redundancy in the wave-exposed swash level compared to the shoaling and subtidal levels, suggesting a trait-based ecological filtering. Finally, we show that those differences depend on the higher frequency of hydrodynamics-related traits in the species of the swash level. Our results suggest that the rough hydrodynamic conditions in the swash level favour a unique combination of species traits, which might be linked to ecological speciation in flatworms but also in other interstitial animals.

对于那些在海洋沙滩恶劣生态条件下生存的动物来说,生活并不是沙滩--然而,微小动物却在沙滩上繁衍生息。我们通过分析地中海西部 116 个反光海滩上 348 个扁形虫群落的分类和功能模式,探讨了海滩上小型底栖生物多样性的驱动因素,这些扁形虫群落共有 152 个物种(61.2% 为新物种)。首先,我们证实不同海滩水动力水平(斜滩、浅滩和冲浪)的物种丰富度并无差异,而是取决于每个海滩的特征。其次,我们证明了这些级别之间的物种组成除了取决于地理和非生物因素外,还取决于物种特征。第三,我们强调,与滩涂和潮下层相比,波浪暴露的斜坡层物种功能空间的丰富度和冗余度低于预期,这表明存在基于性状的生态过滤。最后,我们证明这些差异取决于斜波层物种中与水动力相关的特征频率较高。我们的研究结果表明,沼泽层粗糙的水动力条件有利于物种性状的独特组合,这可能与扁形虫的生态物种分化有关,也可能与其他间隙动物的生态物种分化有关。
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引用次数: 0
‘treesliceR': a package for slicing phylogenies and inferring phylogenetic patterns over evolutionary time treesliceR":用于切分系统进化和推断进化过程中系统进化模式的软件包
IF 5.4 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 BIODIVERSITY CONSERVATION Pub Date : 2024-10-28 DOI: 10.1111/ecog.07364
Matheus L. Araujo, Luiz Gabriel S. S. Ferreira, Gabriel Nakamura, Marco Túlio P. Coelho, Thiago F. Rangel

Phylogenetic indexes summarize the evolutionary information within a given assemblage pool based on the topology and branch lengths of a hypothesized phylogenetic tree. However, different historical contingencies experienced by these assemblages can unevenly distribute evolutionary information through time and over the phylogeny. ‘treesliceR' is an R package containing tools to flexibly cut phylogenies at different depths, and also has built-in functions to assess spatially explicit phylogenetic patterns over time. ‘treesliceR' can slice phylogenies in any temporal orientation (‘rootwardly' or ‘tipwardly'), using different criteria (million years or phylogenetic diversity). Moreover, ‘treesliceR' contains functions to assess the rates of accumulation of any phylogenetic information (e.g. α and β diversities) through time. These functions are unique to the package and provide outputs that are ready-to-use in graphing functions. We demonstrated the main uses of ‘treesliceR' by investigating areas of paleo-endemism and neo-endemism of Passeriformes in Australia. Finally, we mapped rates of accumulation of phylogenetic β-diversity (Cpβrate) across Australia. ‘treesliceR' is an open-source R package under continuous progress, designed to decompose temporally any phylogenetic information.

系统发育指数根据假定的系统发育树的拓扑结构和分支长度来概括特定集合库中的进化信息。然而,这些集合体所经历的不同历史偶然性会使进化信息在时间和系统发育过程中分布不均。treesliceR "是一个 R 软件包,其中包含可在不同深度灵活切割系统发生树的工具,还内置了评估随时间变化的空间显性系统发生模式的功能。treesliceR "可以使用不同的标准(百万年或系统发育多样性),以任何时间方向("根向 "或 "端向")切割系统发育。此外,"treesliceR "还包含评估任何系统发育信息(如 α 和 β 多样性)随时间积累率的功能。这些函数是该软件包的独有功能,可提供可在图形函数中使用的输出结果。我们通过研究澳大利亚雀形目古特有性和新特有性区域,展示了 "treesliceR "的主要用途。最后,我们绘制了澳大利亚系统发育β多样性的累积率(Cpβ率)图。treesliceR "是一个正在持续开发的开源 R 软件包,旨在对任何系统发育信息进行时间分解。
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引用次数: 0
Geographic and ecological effects on species richness of liverworts worldwide 地理和生态对全球肝草物种丰富度的影响
IF 5.4 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 BIODIVERSITY CONSERVATION Pub Date : 2024-10-28 DOI: 10.1111/ecog.07277
Jian Wang, Hong Qian, Zun Dai, Jian Zhang, Michael Kessler

Liverworts are one of the oldest lineages of the extant land plants but the geographic patterns and ecological determinants of their species richness have not yet been studied at a global scale until now. Here, using a comprehensive global database, we find that regional species richness of liverworts in general 1) shows a clear latitudinal diversity pattern, 2) is highest in mountains, presumably reflecting the effects of habitat heterogeneity and the occurrence of cloud forest, 3) is more strongly influenced by contemporary climate than by climate change during the Quaternary, 4) is more strongly affected by precipitation-related than by temperature-related variables, reflecting the poikilohydric nature of liverworts and hence their water-dependence, and 5) is more strongly affected by climate extremes than by climate seasonality. However, we find regional deviations from these general patterns, especially in the Southern Hemisphere where the distinct arrangement of land masses leads to different climatic patterns and thus climate–species richness relationships. Compared with other major land plant lineages, liverworts show the same importance of precipitation-related factors as ferns, whereas in angiosperms temperature also plays an important role, reflecting the different physiological adaptations of these groups to drought and cold stress, and providing insights into the different evolutionary pathways taken by these lineages.

肝草属植物是现存陆生植物中最古老的品系之一,但迄今为止,人们尚未在全球范围内研究其物种丰富度的地理模式和生态决定因素。在这里,我们利用一个全面的全球数据库,发现肝草属植物的区域物种丰富度总体上:1)呈现出明显的纬度多样性模式;2)山区物种丰富度最高,这可能反映了栖息地异质性和云雾林的影响;3)受当代气候影响更大、3)受当代气候的影响比受第四纪气候变化的影响更大;4)受降水相关变量的影响比受温度相关变量的影响更大,这反映了肝草属植物的水生特性及其对水的依赖性;5)受极端气候的影响比受季节性气候的影响更大。然而,我们发现这些一般模式存在区域性偏差,尤其是在南半球,那里独特的陆块布局导致了不同的气候模式,从而导致了气候-物种丰富度关系的不同。与其他主要陆生植物类群相比,肝草类表现出与蕨类植物相同的降水相关因素的重要性,而在被子植物中,温度也发挥着重要作用,这反映了这些类群对干旱和寒冷胁迫的不同生理适应性,并为了解这些类群所采取的不同进化途径提供了启示。
{"title":"Geographic and ecological effects on species richness of liverworts worldwide","authors":"Jian Wang,&nbsp;Hong Qian,&nbsp;Zun Dai,&nbsp;Jian Zhang,&nbsp;Michael Kessler","doi":"10.1111/ecog.07277","DOIUrl":"10.1111/ecog.07277","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Liverworts are one of the oldest lineages of the extant land plants but the geographic patterns and ecological determinants of their species richness have not yet been studied at a global scale until now. Here, using a comprehensive global database, we find that regional species richness of liverworts in general 1) shows a clear latitudinal diversity pattern, 2) is highest in mountains, presumably reflecting the effects of habitat heterogeneity and the occurrence of cloud forest, 3) is more strongly influenced by contemporary climate than by climate change during the Quaternary, 4) is more strongly affected by precipitation-related than by temperature-related variables, reflecting the poikilohydric nature of liverworts and hence their water-dependence, and 5) is more strongly affected by climate extremes than by climate seasonality. However, we find regional deviations from these general patterns, especially in the Southern Hemisphere where the distinct arrangement of land masses leads to different climatic patterns and thus climate–species richness relationships. Compared with other major land plant lineages, liverworts show the same importance of precipitation-related factors as ferns, whereas in angiosperms temperature also plays an important role, reflecting the different physiological adaptations of these groups to drought and cold stress, and providing insights into the different evolutionary pathways taken by these lineages.</p>","PeriodicalId":51026,"journal":{"name":"Ecography","volume":"2025 2","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":5.4,"publicationDate":"2024-10-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/ecog.07277","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142536567","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The effects of fragmentation per se on patch occupancy are stronger and more positive in a landscape with a higher quality and more homogeneous matrix 在质量更高、基质更均匀的景观中,破碎化本身对斑块占有率的影响更强、更积极
IF 5.4 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 BIODIVERSITY CONSERVATION Pub Date : 2024-10-18 DOI: 10.1111/ecog.07462
Carmen Galán-Acedo, Lenore Fahrig

Habitat fragmentation per se – independent of habitat amount – often increases patch occupancy, possibly because patches are closer together in landscapes with higher fragmentation per se, which should increase dispersal success. Here, we ask whether this effect is influenced by the quality and/or heterogeneity of the landscape matrix, i.e. the non-habitat portion of the landscape. Specifically, we expect the positive effect of fragmentation per seshould be accentuated when matrix quality is high, reducing dispersal mortality. In contrast, when matrix quality is low, high dispersal mortality should lead to fewer colonisations, and accumulation of extinctions across the smaller patches in a more-fragmented landscape could lead to negative effects of fragmentation per se. Additionally, matrix heterogeneity could obscure fragmentation effects, as the link between habitat spatial distribution and between-patch dispersal becomes less predictable. We test these ideas using Glanville fritillary butterfly Melitaea cinxia occupancy data for 4291 habitat patches in the Åland Islands, Finland. Habitat patches for the study species are discrete and well-defined areas where at least one of the two host species occurs. Adult individuals disperse from habitat patches, spending time in the landscape matrix while searching for new habitat patches. Our predictions were mostly supported. Fragmentation effects were more strongly positive when matrix quality was high; however, we did not see the predicted negative effect of fragmentation per se in landscapes with low matrix quality. As predicted, fragmentation effects on patch occupancy were weaker in landscapes with a more heterogeneous matrix. Our findings may explain why fragmentation effects are often weak. They also suggest that the moderating effects of matrix quality and heterogeneity should be explicitly considered when interpreting effects of habitat fragmentation per se on species distributions.

与栖息地数量无关的栖息地破碎化本身往往会提高斑块占有率,这可能是因为在破碎化程度较高的景观中,斑块之间的距离更近,从而提高了扩散成功率。在此,我们想知道这种效应是否会受到景观基质(即景观中的非栖息地部分)的质量和/或异质性的影响。具体来说,我们预计当基质质量较高时,破碎化的积极作用会更加明显,从而降低扩散死亡率。相反,当基质质量较低时,较高的扩散死亡率应导致较少的定殖,而在较破碎的景观中,较小斑块上的灭绝累积可能会导致破碎本身的负面效应。此外,基质异质性可能会掩盖破碎化效应,因为栖息地空间分布与斑块间扩散之间的联系变得不那么可预测。我们使用芬兰奥兰群岛 4291 个栖息地斑块的格兰维尔蝶(Melitaea cinxia)占据数据来验证这些观点。研究物种的栖息地斑块是离散和明确界定的区域,其中至少有一种寄主物种出现。成年个体从栖息地斑块分散开,在寻找新的栖息地斑块的同时在景观基质中度过一段时间。我们的预测大多得到了支持。当基质质量较高时,破碎化效应具有更强的正效应;然而,在基质质量较低的景观中,我们并没有看到所预测的破碎化本身的负效应。正如预测的那样,在基质异质性较高的景观中,破碎化对斑块占有率的影响较弱。我们的发现可以解释为什么破碎化效应通常较弱。这些发现还表明,在解释生境破碎化本身对物种分布的影响时,应明确考虑基质质量和异质性的调节作用。
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引用次数: 0
Improving the estimation of the Boyce index using statistical smoothing methods for evaluating species distribution models with presence-only data 利用统计平滑方法改进博伊斯指数的估算,以评估仅存在数据的物种分布模型
IF 5.4 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 BIODIVERSITY CONSERVATION Pub Date : 2024-10-16 DOI: 10.1111/ecog.07218
Canran Liu, Graeme Newell, Matt White, Josephine Machunter

Species distribution models (SDMs) underpin a wide range of decisions concerning biodiversity. Although SDMs can be built using presence-only data, rigorous evaluation of these models remains challenging. One evaluation method is the Boyce index (BI), which uses the relative frequencies between presence sites and background sites within a series of bins or moving windows spanning the entire range of predicted values from the SDM. Obtaining accurate estimates of the BI using these methods relies upon having a large number of presences, which is often not feasible, particularly for rare or restricted species that are often the focus of modelling. Wider application of the BI requires a method that can accurately and reliably estimate the BI using small numbers of presence records. In this study, we investigated the effectiveness of five statistical smoothing methods (i.e. thin plate regression splines, cubic regression splines, B-splines, P-splines and adaptive smoothers) and the mean of these five methods (denoted as ‘mean') to estimate the BI. We simulated 600 species with varying prevalence and built distribution models using random forest and Maxent methods. For training data, we used two levels for the number of presences (NPtrain: 20 and 500), along with 2 × NPtrain and 10000 random points (i.e. random background sites) for each modelling method. We used the number of presences at four levels (NPbi: 1000, 200, 50 and 10) to investigate its effect, together with 5000 random points to calculate the BI. Our results indicate that the BI estimates from the binning and moving window methods are severely affected by the decrease of NPbi, but all the estimates of the BI from smoothing-based methods were almost always unbiased for realistic situations. Hence, we recommend these methods for estimating the BI for evaluating SDMs when verified absence data are unavailable.

物种分布模型(SDM)是有关生物多样性的各种决策的基础。尽管可以使用纯存在数据建立 SDM,但对这些模型进行严格评估仍具有挑战性。其中一种评估方法是博伊斯指数(BI),它使用的是存在地点与背景地点之间在一系列横跨 SDM 预测值整个范围的箱或移动窗口中的相对频率。使用这些方法获得 BI 的准确估计值依赖于大量的存在点,而这往往是不可行的,特别是对于通常是建模重点的稀有或限制性物种。要想更广泛地应用生物多样性指数,就需要一种能利用少量存在记录准确可靠地估算生物多样性指数的方法。在本研究中,我们调查了五种统计平滑方法(即薄板回归样条、立方回归样条、B 样条、P 样条和自适应平滑器)以及这五种方法的平均值(称为 "平均值")在估算生物分布指数方面的有效性。我们模拟了 600 种不同流行率的物种,并使用随机森林和 Maxent 方法建立了分布模型。在训练数据方面,我们使用了两个级别的存在数量(NPtrain:20 和 500),同时每种建模方法还使用了 2 × NPtrain 和 10000 个随机点(即随机背景点)。我们使用了四种水平的存在数量(NPbi:1000、200、50 和 10)来研究其影响,同时使用 5000 个随机点来计算 BI。我们的结果表明,分选法和移动窗口法的 BI 估计值会受到 NPbi 下降的严重影响,但基于平滑法的所有 BI 估计值在现实情况下几乎总是无偏的。因此,我们推荐使用这些方法估算 BI,以便在无法获得经核实的缺席数据时评估 SDM。
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引用次数: 0
Should we exploit opportunistic databases with joint species distribution models? Artificial and real data suggest it depends on the sampling completeness 我们是否应该利用具有物种联合分布模型的机会主义数据库?人工和真实数据表明,这取决于采样的完整性
IF 5.4 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 BIODIVERSITY CONSERVATION Pub Date : 2024-10-16 DOI: 10.1111/ecog.07340
Daniel Romera-Romera, Diego Nieto-Lugilde

Anticipating the effects of global change on biodiversity has become a global challenge requiring new methods. Approaches like species distribution models have limitations which have fueled the development of joint species distribution models (JSDMs). However, JSDMs rely on systematic surveys community data, and no assessment has been made of their suitability with unstructured opportunistic databases data. We used hierarchical modeling of species communities (HMSC) to test JSDMs performance when using opportunistic databases. Using artificial data that mimic the limitations of such databases by subsampling complete co-occurrence matrices (i.e. original data), we analysed how the completeness of opportunistic databases affects JSDMs regarding 1) the role of independent variables on species occurrence, 2) residual species co-occurrence (as a proxy of biotic interactions) and 3) species distributions. Moreover, we illustrate how to evaluate completeness at the pixel level of real data with a study case of forest tree species in Europe, and evaluate the role of data completeness in model estimation. Our results with artificial data demonstrate that decreasing the completion percentage (the rate of original data presences represented in the subsampled matrices) increases false negatives and negative co-occurrence probabilities, resulting in a loss of ecological information. However, HMSC tolerates different levels of degradation depending on the model aspect being considered. Models with 50% of missing data are valid for estimating species niches and distribution, but interaction matrices require databases with at least 75% of completion data. Furthermore, HMSC's predictions often resemble the original community data (without false negatives) even more than the subsampled data (with false negatives) in the training dataset. These findings were confirmed with the real study case. We conclude that opportunistic databases are a valuable resource for JSDMs, but require an analysis of data completeness for the target taxa in the study area at the spatial resolution of interest.

预测全球变化对生物多样性的影响已成为一项全球性挑战,需要采用新的方法。物种分布模型等方法有其局限性,这推动了物种联合分布模型(JSDMs)的发展。然而,联合物种分布模型依赖于系统性的调查群落数据,对于其是否适用于非结构化的机会性数据库数据尚未进行评估。我们使用物种群落分层建模(HMSC)来测试 JSDM 在使用机会数据库时的性能。我们使用人工数据,通过对完整的共生矩阵(即原始数据)进行子采样来模拟此类数据库的局限性,分析了机会主义数据库的完整性如何在以下方面影响 JSDM:1)自变量对物种出现的作用;2)残余物种共生(作为生物相互作用的代表);3)物种分布。此外,我们还以欧洲林木物种为研究案例,说明了如何评估真实数据像素级的完整性,并评估了数据完整性在模型估计中的作用。我们使用人工数据得出的结果表明,降低完整率(原始数据在子采样矩阵中的存在率)会增加假阴性和阴性共现概率,从而导致生态信息的损失。不过,根据所考虑的模型方面,HMSC 可容忍不同程度的退化。数据缺失率为 50%的模型可用于估算物种的生态位和分布,但交互作用矩阵要求数据库至少有 75% 的完整数据。此外,HMSC 的预测结果往往比训练数据集中的子样本数据(有假阴性)更接近原始群落数据(无假阴性)。这些发现在实际研究案例中得到了证实。我们的结论是,机会数据库是 JSDM 的宝贵资源,但需要分析研究区域内目标分类群在相关空间分辨率下的数据完整性。
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引用次数: 0
Environmental suitability throughout the late quaternary explains population genetic diversity 整个第四纪晚期的环境适宜性解释了种群遗传多样性
IF 5.9 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 BIODIVERSITY CONSERVATION Pub Date : 2024-10-10 DOI: 10.1111/ecog.07202
Norma Alicia Hernández Hernández, Ángel Luis Robles Fernández, Nathan Upham
Genetic variation among populations is reflected in biogeographic patterns for many species, but general rules of spatial genetic variation have not been established. In this paper, we establish a theoretical framework based on projecting environmental Grinellian niches back through time to relate the present geographic distribution of population genetic structure to a given species' historical evolutionary context. Thanks to advances in next-generation sequencing technologies, as well as more accurate climate models and the amassing of information stored in biological collections, it is possible to implement this theoretical framework directly. We develop a case study of the tassel-eared squirrel Sciurus aberti to jointly analyze spatial, environmental, and genetic data to predict the historical endemic area of this species. Our results reveal that in cases of genetic isolation by geographic distance, the prevalence of environmental suitability over time corresponds to the genetic fixation index (Fst) of populations with respect to a source population. Populations closer to the historical endemic area show higher genetic diversity and a lower Fst value. This empirical example relates back to the theoretical framework, allowing two further advances: 1) a layer of biogeographic explanation for the results obtained from population genomic methods; and 2) predictive maps of this genetic structure to support biodiversity conservation efforts. Overall, this work advances a perspective that integrates population genetics with historical patterns of species distribution. The limitations posed in the theoretical framework should be considered before implementing the suitability prevalence area (SPA) in a general way over different taxa. Otherwise, the predictability of the genetic diversity of populations as a product of environmental stability over time may not be adequate.
种群间的遗传变异反映在许多物种的生物地理格局中,但空间遗传变异的一般规则尚未确立。在本文中,我们建立了一个理论框架,该框架基于对环境格里内利壁龛的时间推移,将目前种群遗传结构的地理分布与特定物种的历史进化背景联系起来。得益于新一代测序技术的进步,以及更精确的气候模型和生物藏品信息的积累,我们有可能直接实现这一理论框架。我们以穗耳松鼠 Sciurus aberti 为案例,联合分析空间、环境和遗传数据,预测该物种的历史流行区。我们的研究结果表明,在地理距离造成遗传隔离的情况下,随着时间推移环境适宜性的普遍性与种群相对于源种群的遗传固定指数(Fst)相对应。离历史流行区较近的种群显示出较高的遗传多样性和较低的 Fst 值。这个实证例子与理论框架相关联,从而取得了两个进一步的进展:1) 对种群基因组学方法得出的结果进行一层生物地理学解释;以及 2) 绘制这种遗传结构的预测图,以支持生物多样性保护工作。总之,这项工作提出了一种将种群遗传学与物种分布历史模式相结合的观点。在对不同类群普遍实施适宜性流行区(SPA)之前,应考虑理论框架所带来的局限性。否则,作为长期环境稳定性产物的种群遗传多样性的可预测性可能并不充分。
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引用次数: 0
Resistance of Australian fish communities to drought and flood: implications for climate change and adaptations 澳大利亚鱼类群落对干旱和洪水的抵抗力:对气候变化和适应的影响
IF 5.4 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 BIODIVERSITY CONSERVATION Pub Date : 2024-10-10 DOI: 10.1111/ecog.07442
Henry H. Hansen, Eva Bergman, Keller Kopf, Max Lindmark

Climate change-induced extreme weather and related drought and flood conditions are heterogeneous across space and time. The variability in location, timing, and magnitude of rainfall can alter how species respond to the drought and flood disturbances. To further complicate this matter, when droughts end they are often followed by extreme flooding, which are rarely considered as a disturbance (Humphries et al. 2024), let alone assessed with its own heterogeneity. Consequently, it is difficult to quantify impacts on ecological communities across large spatiotemporal scales without considering flood-drought disturbance characteristics in sequence (Burton et al. 2020). We hypothesized that native organisms have evolved resistance to withstand repeated cycles of drought-flood disturbances, and that established non-native species have adapted to persist in novel conditions. To test this, we fit spatiotemporal models of species occurrence with local rainfall patterns as covariates in the drought and flood impacted Murray-Darling basin in Australia during the decade long Millenium Drought, and its recovery period. During these drought conditions, river-floodplain organisms in the Murray-Darling became localized in refugia that limited longitudinal and lateral connectivity (Bond et al. 2008), and following flooding the same organisms were exposed to dispersal and recruitment opportunities (Humphries et al. 2020), as well as to hypoxic blackwater events that lead to the mortality of aquatic organisms (Small et al. 2014). At the basin-scale we found that the range size of most native and non-native fishes were highly resistant to the extreme drought and post-flood conditions. At local scales, species richness, or detection, actually increased under drought conditions. Both findings highlight the resistance of species to climate change driven extreme weather, which opens new questions on community adaptations.

气候变化引发的极端天气以及相关的干旱和洪涝条件在空间和时间上存在差异。降雨地点、时间和降雨量的变化会改变物种对旱涝干扰的反应。使问题更加复杂的是,当干旱结束时,随之而来的往往是极端洪水,而洪水很少被视为一种干扰(Humphries 等,2024 年),更不用说对其自身的异质性进行评估了。因此,如果不依次考虑洪水-干旱干扰特征,就很难量化对大时空尺度生态群落的影响(Burton 等,2020 年)。我们假设,本地生物已进化出抵抗力以抵御反复循环的干旱-洪水干扰,而已建立的非本地物种已适应在新条件下生存。为了验证这一假设,我们在澳大利亚墨累-达令流域长达十年的千年干旱及其恢复期间,以当地降雨模式作为协变量,拟合了物种出现的时空模型。在这些干旱条件下,墨累-达令流域的河流-洪泛平原生物被限制在纵向和横向联系的避难所中(Bond 等人,2008 年),而在洪水过后,同样的生物面临着扩散和招募的机会(Humphries 等人,2020 年),以及导致水生生物死亡的缺氧黑水事件(Small 等人,2014 年)。在流域尺度上,我们发现大多数本地和非本地鱼类的活动范围对极端干旱和洪水后的条件具有很强的抵抗力。在地方尺度上,物种丰富度或探测度在干旱条件下实际上有所增加。这两项发现都突显了物种对气候变化驱动的极端天气的抵抗力,从而提出了关于群落适应性的新问题。
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Ecography
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