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Beyond Discrete-Time Hazard Regression: Bayesian Regularization for Dynamic Churn Modeling 超越离散时间风险回归:动态客户流失模型的贝叶斯正则化
IF 10.4 2区 管理学 Q1 MANAGEMENT Pub Date : 2025-10-31 DOI: 10.1002/joom.70027
Ping Chou, Yen-Chun Chou, Howard Hao-Chun Chuang

Discrete-time hazard regression is widely applied to firm-level time-to-event analyses and increasingly to individual churn behaviors. While the discrete logit hazard model for panel data remains the workhorse in OM, both fixed-effects and random-effects specifications have key limitations. The Grassia(II)-Geometric (G2G) model—allowing for dynamic churn and asymmetric heterogeneity—offers a compelling alternative for hazard regression and churn prediction. To address high-dimensional data, we propose Bayesian sparsity modeling via spike-and-slab LASSO (SSL) that enables simultaneous regularization and inference—both crucial for explanatory hypothesis testing. Simulation studies show that even when data are generated from logit functions with additive heterogeneity, asymmetric heterogeneity undermines logit regression, whereas G2G-SSL achieves stronger out-of-sample fit with lower false discovery rates. We further validate its predictive power in an empirical study on voluntary employee turnover at a Fortune 500 manufacturer. The proposed approach outperforms a range of advanced methods, improving both churn time prediction and cost efficiency for prescriptive workforce planning. Finally, we outline methodological extensions and provide a modeling procedure for discrete hazard regression analysis. By importing insights from marketing and Bayesian statistics, our work enables OM scholars to move beyond traditional hazard models and better capture real-world heterogeneity across a broad range of contractual churn scenarios.

离散时间风险回归被广泛应用于公司层面的时间到事件分析,并越来越多地应用于个人流失行为。虽然面板数据的离散logit风险模型仍然是OM中的主力,但固定效应和随机效应规范都有关键的局限性。Grassia(II)-Geometric (G2G)模型——允许动态流失率和非对称异质性——为风险回归和流失率预测提供了令人信服的替代方案。为了处理高维数据,我们提出了贝叶斯稀疏性建模,通过刺和板LASSO (SSL)实现同时正则化和推理,这对解释性假设检验都至关重要。仿真研究表明,即使数据是由具有可加性异质性的logit函数生成的,非对称异质性也会破坏logit回归,而G2G-SSL实现了更强的样本外拟合,错误发现率更低。我们通过对一家财富500强制造企业员工自愿离职的实证研究进一步验证了其预测能力。所提出的方法优于一系列先进的方法,提高了流失率预测和成本效率的规范性劳动力计划。最后,我们概述了方法的扩展,并提供了离散风险回归分析的建模过程。通过引入市场营销和贝叶斯统计的见解,我们的工作使OM学者能够超越传统的风险模型,更好地捕获广泛的合同流失场景中的现实世界异质性。
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引用次数: 0
One Step Forward, Two Steps Back: Managing Uncertainties in Outcomes, Deliverables, and Means in Behavioral Intervention Development Projects 前进一步,后退两步:管理行为干预开发项目中结果、可交付成果和手段的不确定性
IF 10.4 2区 管理学 Q1 MANAGEMENT Pub Date : 2025-09-26 DOI: 10.1002/joom.70024
Philip Cash, Melanie E. Kreye, Tyson R. Browning

We take an extended perspective on project success that includes post-project outcomes as well as at-end and during-project success. To manage projects accordingly, we conceptualize three corresponding orders of uncertainty (outcomes, deliverables, and means uncertainties). We study 11 cases of behavioral intervention development (BID) projects to explore how managers handle each of the three orders of uncertainty to achieve post-project success—fully, partially, or not at all. Our analysis suggests several key insights. The hierarchical nature of multi-order uncertainty management implies that decreasing a higher-order uncertainty (e.g., outcomes) increases the next-lower order (e.g., deliverables). In the studied cases, reducing outcomes uncertainty tended to increase deliverables and means uncertainties—causing one step forward to seem like two steps backward. Thus, the sequence of uncertainty-management activities matters, with post-project success linked to reducing outcomes uncertainty before deliverables and means uncertainties. Violations of this sequencing were associated with uncertainty masking, a failure to acknowledge uncertainty that misdirected uncertainty-management activities. Moreover, the uncertainty-management activities must be timely, lest they become misaligned with other project activities. These findings elaborate the theorized relationships between uncertainty management and project success. We further outline how project managers can manage uncertainty by reframing outcomes, rescoping deliverables, and replanning means.

我们对项目成功采取了扩展的视角,包括项目后成果以及项目结束和项目期间的成功。为了相应地管理项目,我们概念化了三个相应的不确定性顺序(结果、可交付成果和方法不确定性)。我们研究了11个行为干预发展(BID)项目的案例,以探讨管理者如何处理三阶不确定性中的每一阶,以成功地、部分地或根本不实现项目后的目标。我们的分析提出了几个关键的见解。多阶不确定性管理的层次本质意味着减少高阶不确定性(例如,结果)会增加下阶不确定性(例如,可交付成果)。在研究的案例中,减少结果的不确定性往往会增加可交付成果,并意味着不确定性——导致前进一步看起来像后退两步。因此,不确定性管理活动的顺序很重要,项目后的成功与减少可交付成果和手段不确定性之前的结果不确定性有关。这种序列的违反与不确定性掩盖有关,不确定性掩盖是对不确定性的不承认,误导了不确定性管理活动。此外,不确定性管理活动必须是及时的,以免它们与其他项目活动不一致。这些发现阐述了不确定性管理和项目成功之间的理论关系。我们进一步概述了项目经理如何通过重构结果、重新定义可交付成果和重新规划手段来管理不确定性。
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引用次数: 0
A Model of Hospital Patient Engagement for Value Co-Creation: Does It Affect Performance? A U.S. Hospital Industry Study 医院患者参与价值共创模式:是否影响绩效?美国医院行业研究
IF 10.4 2区 管理学 Q1 MANAGEMENT Pub Date : 2025-09-25 DOI: 10.1002/joom.70019
Shawnee K. Vickery, Matthew J. Castel, Sriram Narayanan, Mariana L. Nicolae

A holistic model encompassing a hospital patient engagement system and its relationship to the quality of provider-patient interactions is presented. Based on service-dominant logic, the study examined whether the effects on hospital performance of providers' systemic patient engagement efforts to enable value co-creation are fully mediated by experiential quality (realized patient engagement). The research model was tested via 2SLS regressions using survey data matched with secondary data. Mediation hypotheses were tested using bootstrapping. The results showed that experiential quality fully mediates the beneficial effects of a hospital patient engagement system on patient recommendation, readmission rate, return on assets, and excess margin. Post hoc tests confirmed the broad applicability of a hospital patient engagement system for reputational and financial advantage.

一个整体的模型,包括医院病人参与系统及其关系的质量提供者-病人的互动提出。基于服务主导的逻辑,本研究考察了提供者系统的患者参与努力对医院绩效的影响,以实现价值共同创造,是否完全由体验质量(实现的患者参与)介导。采用调查数据与二次数据相匹配的2SLS回归方法对研究模型进行了检验。采用自举法对中介假设进行检验。结果表明,体验质量完全中介了医院患者参与系统对患者推荐、再入院率、资产回报率和超额利润的有益影响。事后测试证实了医院患者参与系统在声誉和财务优势方面的广泛适用性。
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引用次数: 0
The Dual Brokerage Role of Digital Platforms in the Transition to a Circular Economy 数字平台在向循环经济转型中的双重中介作用
IF 10.4 2区 管理学 Q1 MANAGEMENT Pub Date : 2025-09-25 DOI: 10.1002/joom.70025
Quynh Do, Mark Stevenson

The transition to a circular economy hinges on effective brokerage—the work of intermediaries in connecting innovative closed-loop recyclers (the niche) with the established waste network (the regime). While brokerage theory and its classical tertius iungens/gaudens typology explain how a broker's strategic intent shapes their behaviors, it offers limited insight into how brokers operate at the niche-regime interface, a context defined by inherent tensions. This inductive study of a digital platform intermediary in the post-industrial textile waste contexts of Bangladesh and India addresses this by theorizing brokerage as a set of tension-derived strategies. Our empirical findings identify three tensions: network structure, operational capability, and socially sustainable capability tensions. We then show how the platform addresses these tensions through a dual role: structural brokerage, via semi-disintermediation, and capability brokerage, via standardization and legitimization. In addition, the platform engages in identity work to overcome its own challenge of being a new network actor. We contribute a novel contingent perspective on brokerage by unpacking a broker's response to inherent tensions in a transition period. The research also shows how technology-based intermediaries can be deployed to manage reverse flows, and it furthers understanding of how informal actors can be integrated into formal supply chains.

向循环经济的过渡取决于有效的中介——中介机构的工作,将创新的闭环回收者(利基)与已建立的废物网络(制度)联系起来。虽然经纪理论及其经典的特蒂乌斯·尤金斯/高登类型解释了经纪人的战略意图如何影响他们的行为,但它对经纪人如何在利基制度界面(由内在紧张关系定义的环境)中运作提供了有限的见解。本文对孟加拉国和印度后工业纺织废料背景下的数字平台中介进行了归纳研究,通过将经纪业务理论化为一套紧张衍生策略,解决了这一问题。我们的实证研究结果确定了三种紧张关系:网络结构、运营能力和社会可持续能力紧张关系。然后,我们展示了该平台如何通过双重角色来解决这些紧张关系:通过半非中介的结构性中介,以及通过标准化和合法化的能力中介。此外,该平台还在进行身份识别工作,以克服自己作为新网络演员的挑战。我们通过解析经纪人对过渡时期内在紧张局势的反应,为经纪业务提供了一种新颖的偶然视角。该研究还显示了如何利用基于技术的中介来管理逆向流动,并进一步了解了如何将非正式行为体整合到正式供应链中。
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引用次数: 0
The Impact of a Buyer's Incentives and Organizational Structure on Suppliers' Quality 买方激励和组织结构对供应商质量的影响
IF 10.4 2区 管理学 Q1 MANAGEMENT Pub Date : 2025-09-24 DOI: 10.1002/joom.70020
Anupam Agrawal, Ujjal Kumar Mukherjee

Changes in a buyer organization's incentives and structure can have a significant impact on supply chain performance, such as the quality of sourced components. We examine this relationship using data from a unique quasi-experiment where one of the two plants of a buyer introduced long-term quality improvement incentives and a more organic structure for supply chain engineers, while the other plant did not. Analyzing longitudinal component quality data from suppliers to both plants using difference-in-differences and triple-differences methods, we find that (i) the changes in incentives and structure led to differential improvements in supplier quality across the two plants, and (ii) suppliers did not easily transfer quality knowledge gained from one buyer relationship to others. Our paper contributes by showing that organizational redesign by a buyer focused on implicit incentives along with a supportive organic organizational structure can create a learning environment at its suppliers that can help improve the quality of sourced components and the learning generated does not necessarily spill over to other buyers.

买方组织的激励机制和结构的变化会对供应链绩效产生重大影响,比如采购部件的质量。我们使用来自一个独特的准实验的数据来检验这种关系,在这个实验中,买方的两个工厂中的一个为供应链工程师引入了长期的质量改进激励和更有机的结构,而另一个工厂没有。利用差中差和三差方法分析两家工厂供应商的纵向组件质量数据,我们发现:(i)激励机制和结构的变化导致两家工厂供应商质量的差异改善;(ii)供应商不容易将从一个买方关系中获得的质量知识转移到其他买方关系中。我们的研究表明,买方将组织重新设计的重点放在隐性激励和支持性有机组织结构上,可以在其供应商中创造一个学习环境,这有助于提高采购部件的质量,并且所产生的学习不一定会溢出到其他买家。
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引用次数: 0
Help or Hindrance? The Role of Familiarity in Product Development Teams 帮助还是阻碍?熟悉度在产品开发团队中的作用
IF 10.4 2区 管理学 Q1 MANAGEMENT Pub Date : 2025-09-19 DOI: 10.1002/joom.70022
Karthik Ramachandran, Necati Tereyağoğlu, Murat Unal

For products developed through a collaboration of specialized groups, success requires craft and engineering ingenuity from designers who focus on specific attributes, coupled with synchronized coordination between various design groups. Although shared work experience in the team—or familiarity—can improve coordination, it can deter creativity. We empirically study the impact of team familiarity on market performance of products by focusing on product development in the video game industry by coupling a granular database of development credits with sales data for video games. Although familiarity among coordinators has a positive effect on performance, familiarity among designers has a negative effect. Further, the positive (negative) effect of familiarity among coordinators (designers) is present even if familiarity is built through roles other than coordination (design). Overall, team familiarity is associated with a decrease in the product's market performance. Our results suggest that infusing fluidity in design roles and maintaining stability in coordination roles could improve the performance of new products.

对于通过专业团队合作开发的产品,成功需要专注于特定属性的设计师的工艺和工程智慧,以及不同设计团队之间的同步协调。虽然在团队中分享工作经验或熟悉度可以提高协调能力,但它会阻碍创造力。我们通过将开发信用的细粒度数据库与电子游戏的销售数据相结合,专注于电子游戏行业的产品开发,实证研究了团队熟悉度对产品市场表现的影响。虽然协调人之间的熟悉度对绩效有积极影响,但设计师之间的熟悉度却有消极影响。此外,协调人(设计师)之间熟悉度的积极(消极)影响是存在的,即使熟悉度是通过角色而不是协调(设计)建立起来的。总的来说,团队熟悉度与产品市场表现的下降有关。我们的研究结果表明,在设计角色中注入流动性,在协调角色中保持稳定性可以提高新产品的性能。
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引用次数: 0
How Middle Managers Affect Frontline Idea Generation: Evidence From Healthcare Operations 中层管理人员如何影响一线创意产生:来自医疗运营的证据
IF 10.4 2区 管理学 Q1 MANAGEMENT Pub Date : 2025-09-15 DOI: 10.1002/joom.70018
Felix L. Mosner, Fabian J. Sting, Aravind Chandrasekaran

This multiple case study develops a mid-range theory on how frontline idea generation is affected by the actions of an organization's middle management. The study draws from four acute-care hospitals in Germany and involves 36 semi-structured interviews with representatives from all hierarchy levels. We use mission statements from these hospitals to measure top management's strategic intent regarding frontline idea generation. Then we analyze the idea generation performance of 156 nurses from the hospitals and link it to specific middle management behaviors. The cross-case analyses reveal that middle managers' shaping of nurses' innovation identity improves nurses' idea generation performance. However, this connection also means that middle managers' own forays into innovation can impede frontline idea generation. We find that middle managers' supportive behavior is largely independent of top management intent, a dynamic that offers both advantages and risks. These insights extend our knowledge about the role of middle managers in frontline idea generation.

这个多案例研究发展了一个关于一线创意产生如何受到组织中层管理人员行为影响的中间理论。这项研究从德国的四家急症护理医院进行,涉及36个半结构化访谈,采访了来自各个层次的代表。我们使用这些医院的使命陈述来衡量高层管理人员对一线创意产生的战略意图。然后,我们分析了156名医院护士的创意生成绩效,并将其与具体的中层管理行为联系起来。跨案例分析表明,中层管理者对护士创新认同的塑造对护士创意产生绩效有促进作用。然而,这种联系也意味着中层管理人员自己的创新尝试可能会阻碍一线创意的产生。我们发现,中层管理者的支持行为在很大程度上独立于高层管理者的意图,这种动态既提供了优势,也提供了风险。这些见解扩展了我们对中层管理人员在一线创意产生中的作用的认识。
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引用次数: 0
The Role of Public and Buyer-Driven Governance for Supplier Sustainability Development in China 公共和买方驱动型治理在中国供应商可持续发展中的作用
IF 10.4 2区 管理学 Q1 MANAGEMENT Pub Date : 2025-09-12 DOI: 10.1002/joom.70017
Cheng-Yong Xiao, Miriam Wilhelm, Mark Pagell, Taco van der Vaart

Governments and regulatory agencies in emerging countries are increasingly enforcing labor and environmental protection laws. However, how this growing public governance interrelates with existing buyer-driven governance to influence supplier sustainability development remains unclear. To address this gap, we conducted a longitudinal case study involving two rounds of extensive data collection at nine Chinese suppliers of COSMOS, a European multinational company in the consumer electronics industry. We identify three distinctive configurations of how public governance and buyer-driven governance jointly influence supplier sustainability development. Identifying these configurations builds on prior research that distinguishes between competitive, complementary, and coexistent interactions between public and private governance. We extend this literature by uncovering the causal mechanisms through which each configuration gives rise to a unique sustainability development trajectory. Specifically, we unpack the different elements of each configuration and analyze their influence on suppliers' willingness and ability to pursue sustainability improvement. We conclude by delineating the boundary conditions that define the generalizability of our findings across contexts.

新兴国家的政府和监管机构越来越多地执行劳工和环境保护法律。然而,这种日益增长的公共治理如何与现有的买方驱动的治理相互关联以影响供应商的可持续性发展仍不清楚。为了解决这一差距,我们对欧洲消费电子行业跨国公司COSMOS的九家中国供应商进行了纵向案例研究,涉及两轮广泛的数据收集。我们确定了公共治理和买方驱动治理如何共同影响供应商可持续发展的三种不同配置。识别这些配置建立在先前的研究基础上,这些研究区分了公共和私人治理之间的竞争、互补和共存的相互作用。我们通过揭示每种配置产生独特可持续性发展轨迹的因果机制来扩展这一文献。具体来说,我们分析了每种配置的不同要素,并分析了它们对供应商追求可持续性改进的意愿和能力的影响。最后,我们通过描绘边界条件来定义我们的研究结果在不同背景下的普遍性。
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引用次数: 0
On-Demand Schedules, Worker Absenteeism and Patient Dissatisfaction in Home Care Services 按需时间表,工人缺勤和家庭护理服务的病人不满
IF 10.4 2区 管理学 Q1 MANAGEMENT Pub Date : 2025-08-21 DOI: 10.1002/joom.70015
Antoaneta Momcheva, Fabrizio Salvador, Rocio Bonet, Marco Caserta

Service companies often adopt on-demand scheduling to balance labor costs and fluctuating market demand. However, research shows that such practices can reduce worker productivity and retention. In this study, we examine how on-demand scheduling affects two critical outcomes: worker absenteeism and patient dissatisfaction. We extend the conceptualization of undesirable scheduling by introducing schedule discontinuity—the presence of unpaid interruptions within a worker's daily schedule—alongside the more commonly studied schedule inconsistency, or variability in work hours across weeks. Using data on 1.2 million home care visits in a Canadian healthcare provider, we find that both schedule inconsistency and discontinuity significantly increase absenteeism and patient dissatisfaction. Specifically, moving from the 25th to 75th percentile in discontinuity (inconsistency) raises absenteeism by 20.00% (19.29%), and customer complaints by 27.33% (40.27%). To assess the practical implications for employers, we formulate and solve a schedule optimization problem that minimizes schedule discontinuity (or inconsistency), while satisfying demand and supply constraints. Applying a machine learning predictive model to these optimized schedules, we estimate reductions in the probability of absenteeism by 9.5% (8.2%) and in the probability of patient complaints by 7.7% (2.3%), demonstrating that modest scheduling adjustments can substantially improve worker and service outcomes.

服务公司通常采用按需调度来平衡劳动力成本和波动的市场需求。然而,研究表明,这样的做法会降低员工的生产力和留任率。在本研究中,我们研究了按需调度如何影响两个关键结果:工人缺勤和患者不满。我们扩展了不受欢迎的日程安排的概念,引入了日程不连续性——在一个工人的日常日程中存在无偿的中断——以及更常见的研究日程不一致,或跨周工作时间的变化。使用数据120万家庭护理访问在加拿大的医疗服务提供者,我们发现时间表不一致和不连续性显著增加缺勤和病人的不满。具体来说,从第25个百分点到第75个百分点的不连续性(不一致)会使缺勤率增加20.00%(19.29%),客户投诉增加27.33%(40.27%)。为了评估对雇主的实际影响,我们制定并解决了一个时间表优化问题,该问题在满足需求和供应约束的同时,最大限度地减少了时间表的不连续性(或不一致性)。将机器学习预测模型应用于这些优化的时间表,我们估计缺勤概率降低9.5%(8.2%),患者投诉概率降低7.7%(2.3%),这表明适度的时间表调整可以大大改善工人和服务结果。
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引用次数: 0
Charting the Future of Blockchain in Operations and Supply Chain Management: Opportunities and Challenges 展望b区块链在运营和供应链管理中的未来:机遇与挑战
IF 10.4 2区 管理学 Q1 MANAGEMENT Pub Date : 2025-08-06 DOI: 10.1002/joom.70014
Fabrice Lumineau, Guangzhi Shang, Jayashankar M. Swaminathan, Gerry Tsoukalas, Stephan M. Wagner, J. Leon Zhao
<p>Blockchain technology, underpinned by distributed ledger systems, has evolved from a novel innovation into a transformative and integral component of enterprise digitization across industries. Since its inception with Bitcoin in 2008, blockchain has expanded beyond cryptocurrencies, with applications in operations management (OM) growing rapidly across industries. Despite its promise, however, the integration of blockchain into OM is not without challenges. Scholars have identified significant barriers to successful implementation, ranging from technological and organizational hurdles to regulatory complexities (Chod et al. <span>2020</span>; Hanisch et al. <span>2025</span>; Lin et al. <span>2022</span>; Lumineau et al. <span>2021</span>; Sodhi et al. <span>2022</span>; Zhan et al. <span>2025</span>).</p><p>This Special Issue on <i>Operational Perspectives on Blockchain Applications</i> presents cutting-edge research that explores blockchain's opportunities, challenges, and implications for OM. The articles in this issue provide a diverse and empirically grounded examination of blockchain applications across industries and operational contexts. We will discuss each contribution in turn. However, prior to that, it is useful to dig into the operational nuances, opportunities, and challenges presented by the focal context. Our editorial discussion opens accordingly, outlining the technological, organizational, and regulatory challenges while identifying the conditions under which blockchain can deliver value. We also touch on the broader societal implications of blockchain, addressing its political, economic, social, environmental, and legal dimensions before describing how each of the papers in the special issue contributes to understanding, critical to operations management. Finally, our editorial discussion concludes by charting a research agenda, highlighting key questions and interdisciplinary approaches needed to advance both theoretical and practical understanding of blockchain in OM.</p><p>For this purpose, Ilk et al. (<span>2021</span>) conceptualize the Bitcoin blockchain (and other mainstream permissionless blockchains) as a two-side dataspace market, where users demand a certain amount of dataspace in a future block to store their transactions, and miners compete to produce such dataspace by creating new blocks. To facilitate this market in a decentralized manner—that is, with no centralized party absorbing demand and controlling supply—users attach a transaction fee (which is higher for users with a higher waiting cost) that becomes one of the miners' sources of revenue. With the increasing popularity <sup>1</sup> of Bitcoin and Ethereum, demand frequently exceeds supply, creating contemporaneous system congestions. The congested service pricing literature, which dates back to the management of highway tolls (Naor <span>1969</span>) and electric power supply (Viswanathan and Edison <span>1989</span>) a
区块链技术以分布式账本系统为基础,已经从一项新颖的创新发展成为跨行业企业数字化的变革和不可或缺的组成部分。自2008年推出比特币以来,区块链已经扩展到加密货币之外,在各个行业的运营管理(OM)应用迅速增长。然而,尽管前景光明,区块链与OM的整合并非没有挑战。学者们已经确定了成功实施的重大障碍,从技术和组织障碍到监管复杂性(Chod等人,2020;Hanisch等人,2025;Lin等人,2022;Lumineau等人,2021;Sodhi等人,2022;Zhan等人,2025)。本期《区块链应用的运营视角》特刊介绍了区块链对OM的机遇、挑战和影响的前沿研究。本期的文章对跨行业和操作环境的区块链应用程序进行了多样化的、基于经验的研究。我们将依次讨论每个贡献。然而,在此之前,深入研究焦点上下文所呈现的操作细微差别、机会和挑战是有用的。我们的编辑讨论就此展开,概述了技术、组织和监管方面的挑战,同时确定了区块链能够实现价值的条件。我们还触及b区块链更广泛的社会影响,在描述特刊中的每篇论文如何有助于理解对运营管理至关重要的理解之前,解决其政治,经济,社会,环境和法律方面的问题。最后,我们的编辑讨论通过绘制研究议程来结束,突出了推进OM中b区块链理论和实践理解所需的关键问题和跨学科方法。为此,Ilk等人(2021)将比特币区块链(以及其他主流的无权限区块链)概念化为一个双边数据空间市场,用户在未来的区块中需要一定数量的数据空间来存储他们的交易,而矿工则通过创建新的区块来竞争产生这样的数据空间。为了以去中心化的方式促进这个市场——也就是说,没有中心化的一方吸收需求和控制供应——用户附加交易费(对于等待成本较高的用户来说,交易费更高),这成为矿工的收入来源之一。随着比特币和以太坊的日益普及,需求经常超过供应,造成同步的系统拥堵。拥挤的服务定价文献可以追溯到高速公路收费管理(Naor 1969)和电力供应管理(Viswanathan and Edison 1989),并在现代延伸到云服务的订阅定价(Cachon and Feldman 2011)和零工经济平台的激增定价(Cachon et al. 2017),得出了一个概括的结论。具体来说,“提供多个服务等级,每个等级以不同的价格呈现不同的延迟分布”可以提高感知客户满意度和服务提供商的利润(Van Mieghem 2000, 1249)。作为拥挤的服务系统,无需许可的区块链也不例外。虽然没有中心化的一方(即公司或平台)设置优先价格菜单,但用户通过支付交易费用来区分他们想要的服务等级(即交易确认速度)。关于无权限区块链事务的流程视图的更多细节可以在Shang等人(2023,106 - 108)中找到。尽管早期基于以太坊的智能合约应用很少与OM或任何其他现实世界的资产相关联,但它们的独创性激发了一整类许可区块链(也称为私有或财团链),其中只有授权用户组可以参与,为企业应用程序奠定了基础(Fan et al. 2024; Pun et al. 2021)。虽然区块链具有相当大的潜力,但其成功实施受到技术、组织和监管障碍的阻碍。下面,我们将重点介绍媒体和文献中讨论的区块链实施的七个最关键的挑战。低吞吐量和高交易费用。主流加密货币系统不能用于日常支付的主要原因是它们的吞吐量限制:比特币每秒3次,以太坊每秒13次。2这种限制与Visa等成熟金融系统的处理能力形成鲜明对比,Visa每秒能够处理大约5000笔交易(Malik et al. 2022)。对于旨在确保去中心化和安全性的无许可区块链来说,这种可扩展性限制在很大程度上是不可避免的,这在业内被广泛称为“区块链三难困境”。 3吞吐量限制导致服务系统频繁拥挤,交易费用飙升(Ilk et al. 2021; Shang et al. 2023), 2020年比特币每笔交易2.87美元。这阻碍了小额交易的经济可行性,即使在网络延迟不那么重要的情况下(例如,具有高等待容忍度的用户)。与此同时,被许可的区块链通常不会面临吞吐量限制,因为数据空间供应商通常是区块链的所有者,因此不需要通过交易费等工具来激励。然而,由于这些区块链缺乏公众可见性和企业所有权,这种解决方案不太可能适用于所有应用。算法的公平性。无许可区块链的倡导者经常强调其道德意义重大的目标,即改善无银行账户和银行服务不足的人群获得汇款服务的机会(Andreasson 2022)。重要的是,无许可区块链上的大部分财富是通过挖矿/押注收入创造的——也就是说,通过参与供应方——小用户通常无法达到这种收入流的门槛。此外,虽然大型发送方可以开发复杂的算法来更准确地估计所需的交易费用,但小型发送方通常依赖于加密钱包提供的免费使用费用推荐工具。令人鼓舞的是,新的交易费机制设计在一定程度上缓解了这种差异(Zhao, Wu, et al. 2025)。Decentralization-efficiency权衡。加密货币系统的管理通常由分散的自治组织(DAO)维护。DAO的日常运营任务包括众包提案的开发、投票和执行(Zhao et al. 2022)。然而,并不是所有的项目决策都具有足够的战略性,可以保证利益相关者的想法是众包的,而且这样做的效率低下会影响DAO提供的操作敏捷性和服务质量。此外,虽然去中心化可以提高用户和提供商的服务水平,但它降低了创始人的利润,反映了去中心化与效率之间更广泛的紧张关系(Gan et al. 2023)。代币加权投票加剧了治理摩擦,其中持有更多代币的人具有更大的影响力,从而造成代币所有权和主体专业知识之间的不匹配(Benhaim等人,2023,2025;Tsoukalas和Falk 2020)。过渡链互操作性。一个成功的区块链应用程序通常需要跨多个链协调活动。对于企业应用程序尤其如此,其中需要在允许的bb0上跟踪物料流(出于明显的业务机密原因),并且最好在无许可的bb1上进行货物支付。一般来说,缺乏通用标准造成了分散的局面,在这种情况下,不同的区块链平台是孤立开发的。由于需要将区块链与传统系统集成,这种互操作性的技术挑战变得更加复杂,传统系统通常缺乏适应加密协议和分布式数据同步的灵活性(Babich和Hilary 2019)。输入数据的标准化。许多货物跟踪和供应链可追溯性区块链应用程序假设存在一个数据入站,该数据入站可以被参与者访问并进行标准化。这与现实相去甚远。正如Fan等人(2024,3)所说,“一个小供应商,比如在印度或中国,不太可能有资源或专业知识来安排访问区块链。”即使这种访问是由被许可的区块链的大型参与者(如超级商店零售商)建立的,来自世界各地数千个小型供应商的输入数据也可能没有被适当地数字化和标准化。在区块链应用中桥接物理数字接口的侵入性和非侵入性方法都有优点和缺点(Klöckner等人,2023)。从合作伙伴组织购买。Lin等人(2022)强调合作伙伴的支持和信息复杂性是决定b区块链试点在现实生活中成功的两个重要驱动因素。他们强调降低信息复杂性以及增加供应链合作伙伴的支持的重要性。关键的是,实施的成本和麻烦由货物经过的所有组织承担,包括港口当局、海关机构、货运代理、卡车运输公司等。其中一些组织甚至缺乏将其文书工作数字化的基本动力,更不用说
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