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To Fill a Hollow Core: Roles of Firm Knowledge When Outsourcing Core Component During Technological Change 填补核心空洞:技术变革中企业知识外包核心组件的作用
IF 6.5 2区 管理学 Q1 MANAGEMENT Pub Date : 2025-02-17 DOI: 10.1002/joom.1349
Woo-Yong Park, Faisal Khurshid, Chanchai Tangpong

The innovation literature has been marked by contrarian views regarding the roles of firms' knowledge accumulation with regards to outsourced core components. To reconcile these views, we draw on the behavioral theory of the firm and the technological evolution literature in hypothesizing firms' local search as a mechanism by which firms' accumulated knowledge affects their product performance. Firms' in-house knowledge can expose them to an accumulated knowledge trap, as firms' accumulated knowledge tends to escalate their local search for a solution to a new technological challenge, but the impact of the local search on performance is unlikely to be materialized. We maintain that firms' accumulated knowledge can make them more prone to the accumulated knowledge trap before rather than after the dominant technology has emerged. We further hypothesize that prior exploratory experiences and suppliers' outsourced component knowledge can reduce firms' susceptibility to such a knowledge trap before the dominant technology emergence, but their moderating roles fade away after the dominant technology emergence. Data from the U.S. Hybrid Electric Vehicle drivetrain market support our hypotheses. Our findings enrich the current literatures on the behavioral theory of the firm and technological evolution while reconciling the contrarian views in the innovation literature.

创新文献的特点是对外包核心组件方面企业知识积累的作用持相反观点。为了调和这些观点,我们借鉴了企业行为理论和技术进化文献,假设企业的局部搜索是企业积累的知识影响其产品绩效的机制。企业的内部知识可能使其陷入累积的知识陷阱,因为企业积累的知识倾向于升级其对新技术挑战解决方案的局部搜索,但局部搜索对绩效的影响不太可能实现。我们认为,在主导技术出现之前,而不是在主导技术出现之后,企业的知识积累使其更容易陷入知识积累陷阱。我们进一步假设,在主导技术出现之前,先前的探索性经验和供应商的外包组件知识可以降低企业对这种知识陷阱的敏感性,但在主导技术出现之后,它们的调节作用逐渐减弱。来自美国混合动力电动汽车传动系统市场的数据支持我们的假设。本文的研究结果丰富了企业行为理论与技术演进的现有文献,同时也调和了创新文献中的相反观点。
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引用次数: 0
Correction to “An Investigation of Corporate Social Responsibility Conformity: The Roles of Network Prominence and Supply Chain Partners” 对“企业社会责任一致性研究:网络突出与供应链合作伙伴的作用”的修正
IF 6.5 2区 管理学 Q1 MANAGEMENT Pub Date : 2025-01-23 DOI: 10.1002/joom.1350

E. C. Falcone and J. W. Ridge, “An Investigation of Corporate Social Responsibility Conformity: The Roles of Network Prominence and Supply Chain Partners,” Journal of Operations Management 70, no. 4 (2024): 600–629.

In the second paragraph on page 616, the text “The results are consistent with H3 as the coefficient of the interaction term Network prominence 2 * SC industry CSR congruence shows a positive and significant effect (β = 0.313; p < 0.01).” This is incorrect. The β = 0.313 should be β = 0.640.

We apologize for these errors.

李晓明,“企业社会责任整合:网络优势与供应链合作伙伴的关系研究”,《管理研究》第7期。[4](2024): 600-629。在第616页第二段,文本“结果与H3一致,网络突出度2 * SC行业CSR一致性的交互项的系数呈现出正的显著效应(β = 0.313;p < 0.01)。”这是不正确的。β = 0.313应该是β = 0.640。我们为这些错误道歉。
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引用次数: 0
Meaningful Theoretical Pathways for Research Contributions 研究贡献的有意义的理论路径
IF 6.5 2区 管理学 Q1 MANAGEMENT Pub Date : 2025-01-22 DOI: 10.1002/joom.1348
Elliot Bendoly, Rogelio Oliva

Across fields of scholarship, ever since scholarship has existed, there have been numerous discussions opining on what theory is, why it is useful and how best to craft theoretical arguments and frameworks. Every few years, a new discussion particularly relevant to a domain of study emerges. Often the intention of such discussions is to reiterate critical points made in the past as still applicable. In other instances, the discussions attempt to recast and reshape perspectives on theory. Both reiteration and alternate perspectives can prove valuable, as new scholars enter the field and as priorities for journals, editors and review teams evolve.

These points are also of interest to contemporary discussions at the Journal of Operations Management (JOM). As an outlet long regarded for impactful empirical work in the field, we have long been interested in the appropriate use of theory and have also had a long history of intervening in our field to re-emphasize the ‘what’, ‘why’ and ‘how’ of meaningful theoretical structures and argumentation. As editors of the journal, we believe it is valuable to reiterate what is well-accepted regarding the role and nature of effective theory in research, whether we are discussing grand theories, theoretical frameworks, mid-range theory or theoretical arguments for specific mechanisms. However, we also strongly believe that it is critically valuable to outline how theoretical contributions may differ, while still offering considerable value to a research effort and the field.

What is core to the substantive nature of theoretical contributions, of course, must be driven by priorities regarding its role; just as the selection of empirical methods must be driven by the claims emerging from theoretical arguments (even nascent ones), and insights for future scholars driven by observation and analysis. By outlining contemporary priorities that define meaningful theory we are in a far better position to simultaneously expand perspectives on how theoretical contributions can be made, as well as challenge or dispel some often difficult-to-justify criticisms that scholars (authors, reviewers and editors) confront regarding what is ‘good’ theory.

According to Fried (2020), this “statistical equivalency” is one of the fundamental reasons that we cannot escape the need for well-reasoned theoretical arguments, designed to help us make sense of highly complex settings, in which a wealth of observed signals is accompanied by a wealth of unobserved signals. It is exactly when phenomena are not straightforward and mechanisms are not obvious, where sensemaking, and associated deliberate research inquiry, is critical.

In the same vein, a ‘complete theory’, akin to a physical law, doesn't present much of a motivator for research—if there is no uncertainty regarding cause and effect, there is little reason to expect that an inquiry into such phenomena would be of interest to

有一些潜在的解释显然比其他的更好。我们如何评估一个潜在解释的质量?邦格(1967)阐明了精心制定的科学假设的期望属性:(1)逻辑上合理,(2)基于先前的知识,(3)经验上可测试。我们认为,一个猜想的质量可以通过它满足这些标准的程度来判断。因此,虽然两种不同的解释可能同样能够解释数据,但我们可以根据这些标准很容易地评估哪一种更具有科学可信度,例如,“硬物撞击并打破了玻璃”与“软物撞击并打破了玻璃”。“如果我们接受上述三点作为理论的价值和作用以及主张的可取属性的基础,那么根据我们在编辑过程中的经验,很明显,关于什么是‘好理论’的某些误解仍然存在。”我们在这里概述了其中一些谬论,以及为什么它们必须被认为是有根本缺陷的。认识到什么是真正重要的,当涉及到理论的时候,把那些不是“真正”关注的问题放在一边,我们现在可以把重点放在作者在他们的工作中开始理论考虑时可用的富有成效的途径上,以及当审稿人和编辑努力进一步发展这些工作时。图1展示了作者在利用观察和理论为该领域做出有意义贡献时可用的两条路径的概括。图1中从左向右流动的共同路径(路径A),通常以更受学术文献启发的动机开始,往往具有许多可识别的属性,包括前端主导的理论定位和很大程度上的演绎方法得出结论,尽管至少受益于一些后先验的理论讨论(同时避免了我们将回到的HARK-ing)。这项研究的动机通常是通过对现有知识体系的回顾,识别出明显的研究差距,从而通过有根据的论证进行正式的假设检验。虽然到目前为止,这是向JOM提交的最常见的类型,但这显然不是学者们在开发贡献时可以采取的唯一方法。另一条路径(路径B)主要从经验观察中获得灵感和动机,在图1的顶部从右到左进行。对尚未被现有研究完全合理化的经验规律的观察,或者对与现有理论相矛盾的现象的观察,将学术努力引向“我们如何解释我们所看到的?”,而不是“给出我们的解释,我们期望看到什么?”这一过程的结果不需要是完整的理论陈述。相反,它可以是构造的试探性定义和描述观察到的现象的探索性语言。这种方法,就其本质而言,也为溯因性语义提供了一个有机的引导,在这个过程中,我们正在创建理论论据,以精确地解释观察是如何以以前没有阐明的方式适应更广泛的现象的。在这样做的过程中,我们隐含地预测未来在特定背景下的观察结果,而不是用现有的观察结果来支持理论论点。也就是说,这种意义论证的主张通常采用命题的形式,希望它们最终能被后续的经验努力所跟进,同时利用替代的证据来源来支持演绎探究。这可以以单独的后续研究或精心设计的多方法努力的形式出现。然而,创造结构和叙述来描述现象的过程,以及与第1节中概述的标准相匹配的理论论证的溯因性表达,与后来对这些命题的经验检验一样多。这些路径与我们在JOM的研究语料库中看到的研究方法有什么关系?从验证的大量数据处理到引出现实世界的反应,再到在发展理论时与现实世界接触?其中任何一种都可能涉及到较重的理论后端(后推论),在执行阶段使用理论激励方法,并且在一定程度上在前端也提供动机。图2展示了一些过程,通过这些过程,我们可以看到理论受到了一系列经验策略的启发,这些策略利用了来自现实世界过程(JOM查询领域)的数据,从而开发或改进了关于这些过程以及应该如何管理这些过程的理论。 经验主义的一种方式包括努力观察(获取、记录和评估)现实世界的过程,并反思观察到的规律的潜在原因(图2的顶部弧线)。如果观察到的规律不能被现有理论解释,或者它们构成了与理论预期的异常,我们需要提出潜在的结构、语言和解释;这是图1中的路径B,其特征是上述的外展过程。或者,如果这些观察结果,即使没有受到理论预测的启发,确实与现有的理论和解释相匹配,我们可以从特定实例的概率遭遇中归纳地获得对现有理论的信心。经验主义的第二种方法是检验理论推导的主张。理想情况下,这是通过实验来实现的:实验室实验试图最大限度地控制和测量变量的精度,而现场实验则最大限度地提高了研究结果的现实性和普遍性(McGrarth 1982)。考虑到现场实验的高风险和高成本,早期仔细审查设计的努力显然对各方都有好处;因此,JOM (Abdulla, Escamilla, and Oliva 2024)最近实施了注册报告审查(3R)计划。显然,随机对照试验并不总是可能的,准实验设计(Shadish, Cook, and Campbell 2001)或自然实验(在某些单位“随意”应用治疗,但在其他单位被拒绝)是反驳主张的有效方法,或者,如果不被拒绝,则增加其有效性。检验理论推导结论的另一种方法是依赖非实验数据——要么是为研究明确收集的数据(主要数据),要么是从其他数据收集工作中重新利用的数据(次要数据)——并通过统计估计程序建立因果关系(Cunningham 2021;Pearl and Mackenzie 2018)。这些方法遵循路径a策略,并通过“测试声明”对应图2中的循环;一个通过现实世界的过程,反映了准/实验工作所需的处理,另一个象征着这样一个事实,即所有的观察和数据采集都是由正在测试的理论主张指导的。经验主义的第三种方式是用理论来指导现实世界过程的改进;也就是说,用理论提供解决方案。虽然JOM有明确的编辑政策,不把解决方案作为贡献来关注(JOM 2004) 3,但当试图使用理论来控制或改善问题情况时,有充分的潜力来了解理论的相关性和有用性。最近在JOM建立的基于干预的研究(IBR)部门开辟了一条道路,在研究人员作为问题情况变化的推动者与从业者接触的情况下,使用干预措施来测试和发展理论(Oliva 2019)。事实上,干预可能需要立即改变实施策略,而结果往往与理论所预测的不同,这为记录来自真实世界过程的新数据创造了机会,这些数据可能导致对最初用于指导干预的理论的修改。因此,基于干预的研究使用路径A来设计干预(从现有理论推导),但利用来自干预的数据来溯因性地获得理论见解(路径B);请参见图2中通过“adapt”创建的循环。无论选择何种经验策略(观察、检验和干预),理论论证的作用,无论是先验的还是后验的,根据所选择的路径有不同程度的强调,都是基本的,无论我们做什么。它先于具体的行动,但也明显地从其他行动中产生。它的作用和位置取决于要完成的任务,但没有它,我们无法完成任何事情。在一天结束的时候,在科学的努力中,评估实证研究贡献的标准是它对理论的贡献。如果这个过程是归纳/溯因的,而我们只是在理解无法解释的规律或异常,显然,提出一个可以随后检验的新理论就足够了。然而,如果研究的目的是测试现有的理论(无论是通过二手数据还是通过实验和干预),那么将研究结果置于适当的背景下-例如,理论需要如何更新?这些结果引发了哪些新的研究问题?——是贡献要有意义的必要条件。这一切对审稿人和编辑意味着什么?正如我们在JOM编辑团队指南中所确认的那样,所有审稿人及其相关的审稿都必须是发展性的(参见https://www.jom-hub)。 com/editorial-team)。这不是愿望,这是命令。这也不仅仅是文字游戏。发展性评论具有非常具体的特性。他们会发现论文的弱点,但会刻意帮助作者弥补这些弱点。在JOM,审稿人的角色并不是“看门人”。他们的主要作用不是提供赞成或反对的投票。他们的主要作用是提供实质性的评论和指导。
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引用次数: 0
When Complexity Meets Complexity: COVID-19-Induced Supply Chain Disruptions and Strategy Portfolio Efficiency 当复杂性遇到复杂性:covid -19引起的供应链中断和战略组合效率
IF 6.5 2区 管理学 Q1 MANAGEMENT Pub Date : 2024-12-29 DOI: 10.1002/joom.1347
Hakan Yildiz, Tingting Yan, Marc Hatton, John Fowler, Thomas J. Kull, Lori Sisk

Due to the COVID-19 pandemic, global supply chains have experienced sustained impacts from unprecedented complex disruptions in different combinations and at different times. From an efficiency perspective, do these complex supply chain disruptions call for more complex risk management strategies? To answer this, we built an empirically grounded discrete event simulation model, the results of which were analyzed using data envelopment analysis. Results show that with unprecedented complex disruption patterns, a multi-strategy portfolio approach is usually less efficient than a single-strategy or a do-nothing approach unless the strategy portfolio has certain characteristics. The most efficient strategy portfolios typically consist of a moderate number of diverse strategies. Too many strategies in a portfolio can be problematic, leading to increased costs that outpace improvement in revenue and service level. Results illustrate that even a strategy that generally performs poorly can be part of a very good strategy portfolio and vice versa. This study provides nuanced and novel findings that contribute to the resolution of the literature debate about the value of multi-strategy portfolios in addressing complex disruption patterns. Highlighting the value of a strategy portfolio view, these insights help firms better prepare for the next complex and sustained global supply chain disruptions.

由于2019冠状病毒病大流行,全球供应链在不同时间以不同方式经历了前所未有的复杂中断的持续影响。从效率的角度来看,这些复杂的供应链中断是否需要更复杂的风险管理策略?为了回答这个问题,我们建立了一个基于经验的离散事件模拟模型,并使用数据包络分析对其结果进行了分析。结果表明,在前所未有的复杂破坏模式下,除非策略组合具有某些特征,否则多策略组合方法通常不如单一策略或无所作为的方法有效。最有效的策略组合通常由数量适中的不同策略组成。投资组合中过多的策略可能会产生问题,导致成本的增加超过了收入和服务水平的提高。结果表明,即使通常表现不佳的策略也可能是非常好的策略组合的一部分,反之亦然。本研究提供了细致入微和新颖的发现,有助于解决关于多策略投资组合在解决复杂破坏模式中的价值的文献辩论。这些见解突出了战略投资组合观点的价值,帮助企业更好地为下一次复杂和持续的全球供应链中断做好准备。
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引用次数: 0
What doesn't kill you makes you stronger? Evidence from vampire attacks on decentralized exchange and non-fungible token marketplace 杀不死你的只会让你更强大?吸血鬼攻击去中心化交易所和不可替代代币市场的证据
IF 10.4 2区 管理学 Q1 MANAGEMENT Pub Date : 2024-12-25 DOI: 10.1002/joom.1343
Xi Zhao, Jian Li, Xiang (Shawn) Wan, Xinyu Zang, Hsing Kenneth Cheng

We examine the impact of vampire attack, a unique platform entry strategy in the blockchain ecosystem, on the operational performance of the incumbent platform. During the vampire attack period, the entrant (attacker) clones the incumbent platform and offers tokenized incentives to entice users away from the incumbent. Prior studies offer little insight into the impact of vampire attack strategy because of its uniqueness in platform cloning, tokenized incentives, and targeted attacks. We implement a quasi-experimental design by leveraging the first and most famous vampire attack launched by SushiSwap (the attacker) against Uniswap (the incumbent). We examine both the deposit-side and exchange-side impacts of the vampire attack on the operational performance of the liquidity pools on Uniswap. Surprisingly, we find that the vampire attack has no significant effect on the liquidity provision on the deposit side. Even more surprisingly, the vampire attack significantly increases the incumbent's trading volume on the exchange side. We further uncover the underlying mechanisms contributing to these intriguing results. We also demonstrate the efficacy of the novel tokenized incentives strategy. We show the generalizability of our findings by examining an alternative vampire attack event in the context of non-fungible token marketplaces. Our study offers significant contributions to the literature on the implications of blockchain on platform operations and platform competition in operations management.

我们研究了吸血鬼攻击(区块链生态系统中独特的平台进入策略)对现有平台运营性能的影响。在吸血鬼攻击期间,进入者(攻击者)克隆现有平台,并提供令牌化的激励,以吸引用户离开现有平台。先前的研究对吸血鬼攻击策略的影响知之甚少,因为它在平台克隆、代币化激励和针对性攻击方面具有独特性。我们通过利用SushiSwap(攻击者)发起的第一次也是最著名的吸血鬼攻击来实现准实验设计,以对抗Uniswap(在位者)。我们研究了吸血鬼攻击对Uniswap流动性池运营绩效的存款侧和交换侧影响。令人惊讶的是,我们发现吸血鬼攻击对存款端的流动性供应没有显著影响。更令人惊讶的是,吸血鬼攻击显著增加了交易所方面的交易量。我们进一步揭示了导致这些有趣结果的潜在机制。我们还证明了新型代币化激励策略的有效性。我们通过研究不可替代代币市场背景下的另一种吸血鬼攻击事件来展示我们发现的普遍性。我们的研究为区块链对平台运营和平台竞争在运营管理中的影响的文献提供了重要的贡献。
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引用次数: 0
Innovation intermediation in supply networks: Addressing shortfalls in buyer and supplier capabilities for collaborative innovation 供应网络中的创新中介:解决协同创新中买方和供应商能力的不足
IF 6.5 2区 管理学 Q1 MANAGEMENT Pub Date : 2024-12-19 DOI: 10.1002/joom.1345
Kostas Selviaridis, Martin Spring

We investigate how innovation intermediaries address shortfalls in the capabilities that buyers and suppliers must have to access each other's knowledge for innovation purposes, also referred to as indirect capabilities. Prior research on supplier-enabled innovation has identified various capabilities that buyers need in order to collaborate with innovative suppliers. It recognizes that suppliers also require capabilities to access buyer knowledge. However, we still know little about the role of innovation intermediaries—actors who are neither buyers nor suppliers, but still influence innovation processes and outcomes in supply networks. Our case-based research shows that intermediaries create workspaces for R&D and experimentation, help to refine definitions of requirements and de-risk novel solutions, support contracting, and facilitate solution implementation. We contribute to research on supplier innovation by developing a model of intermediaries' activities and underlying capabilities, and their impact on innovation sourcing outcomes. We elaborate the indirect capabilities theoretical perspective by introducing additional types of indirect capabilities for collaborative innovation in supply chains, and showing how these capabilities interrelate. We furthermore extend the literature on innovation intermediaries by elucidating hitherto unexplored capabilities for intermediation and adding insights regarding the contribution of intermediaries to open innovation processes.

我们研究了创新中介如何解决买方和供应商为创新目的必须具备的获取彼此知识的能力的不足,也被称为间接能力。先前对供应商驱动创新的研究已经确定了买家与创新供应商合作所需的各种能力。它承认供应商也需要有能力获取买方的知识。然而,我们对创新中介的作用仍然知之甚少,这些中介既不是买家也不是供应商,但仍然影响着供应网络中的创新过程和结果。我们基于案例的研究表明,中介体为研发和实验创造了工作空间,帮助改进需求的定义和降低新解决方案的风险,支持合同,并促进解决方案的实现。我们通过开发中间商活动和潜在能力的模型,以及它们对创新采购结果的影响,为供应商创新研究做出贡献。我们通过引入其他类型的间接能力来阐述间接能力的理论视角,并展示这些能力是如何相互关联的。我们进一步扩展了关于创新中介的文献,阐明了迄今为止尚未探索的中介能力,并增加了关于中介对开放式创新过程贡献的见解。
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引用次数: 0
An empirically grounded analytical approach to hog farm finishing stage management: Deep reinforcement learning as decision support and managerial learning tool 猪场育肥阶段管理的实证分析方法:作为决策支持和管理学习工具的深度强化学习
IF 6.5 2区 管理学 Q1 MANAGEMENT Pub Date : 2024-12-18 DOI: 10.1002/joom.1342
Panos Kouvelis, Ye Liu, Danko Turcic

In hog farming, optimizing hog sales is a complex challenge due to uncertain factors, such as hog availability, market prices, and operating costs. This study uses a Markov Decision Process (MDP) to model these decisions, revealing the importance of the final weeks in profit management. The MDP's intractability due to the curse of dimensionality leads us to employ Deep Reinforcement Learning (DRL) for optimization. Using real-world and synthetic data, our DRL model outperforms existing practices. However, it lacks interpretability, hindering trust and legal compliance in the food industry. To address this, we introduce “managerial learning,” extracting actionable insights from DRL outputs using classification trees that would have been difficult to obtain otherwise. We leverage these insights to devise a smart heuristic that significantly beats the heuristic currently used in practice. This study has broader implications for operations management, where DRL can solve complex dynamic optimization problems that are often intractable due to dimensionality. By applying methods, such as classification trees and DRL, one can scrutinize solutions for actionable managerial insights that can enhance existing practices with straightforward planning guidelines.

在生猪养殖中,由于生猪供应量、市场价格和运营成本等不确定因素,优化生猪销售是一项复杂的挑战。本研究使用马尔可夫决策过程(MDP)来模拟这些决策,揭示了最后几周在利润管理中的重要性。由于维度的诅咒,MDP的顽固性导致我们使用深度强化学习(DRL)进行优化。使用真实世界和合成数据,我们的DRL模型优于现有的实践。然而,它缺乏可解释性,阻碍了食品行业的信任和法律合规。为了解决这个问题,我们引入了“管理学习”,使用分类树从DRL输出中提取可操作的见解,否则很难获得这些见解。我们利用这些见解来设计一种智能启发式,它明显优于目前在实践中使用的启发式。该研究对运营管理具有更广泛的意义,在运营管理中,DRL可以解决由于维度而难以解决的复杂动态优化问题。通过应用诸如分类树和DRL之类的方法,人们可以仔细检查可操作的管理见解的解决方案,这些见解可以通过直接的计划指导方针增强现有的实践。
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引用次数: 0
The point of no return? Restrictive changes to lenient return policies and consumer reactions to them 不归路?对宽松退货政策的限制性改变以及消费者对此的反应
IF 6.5 2区 管理学 Q1 MANAGEMENT Pub Date : 2024-12-15 DOI: 10.1002/joom.1346
Huseyn Abdulla, Michael Ketzenberg, James D. Abbey, Gregory R. Heim

Retailers face a challenging trade-off in maintaining versus restricting long-established lenient return policies. On the one hand, lenient return policies have become an important part of retailers' value propositions and play a significant role in stimulating consumer purchases. On the other hand, lenient return policies increase the volume of product returns, which hurts profitability. Motivated by observing an increase in restrictive changes to long-established lenient return policies, we investigate consumer reactions to such changes and their managerial implications. Through a series of experiments with diverse consumer samples, we find that restrictive changes, such as shortening return time windows or introducing restocking fees, decrease consumer trust in retailers and lead to lowered purchase, positive word-of-mouth, and loyalty intentions. We also find that providing managerial transparency, in the form of communicating the rationale for restrictive changes, can attenuate the negative consumer reactions to such changes. Moreover, rationales that emphasize the cost of handling returns versus blaming opportunistic and abusive returners are similarly effective. Our findings contribute to the growing academic literature on consumer return policy design and provide actionable insights to retail managers.

零售商面临着一个具有挑战性的权衡,是维持还是限制长期建立的宽松退货政策。一方面,宽松的退货政策已经成为零售商价值主张的重要组成部分,在刺激消费者购买方面发挥了重要作用。另一方面,宽松的退货政策增加了产品退货量,这损害了盈利能力。由于观察到对长期建立的宽松退货政策的限制性变化的增加,我们调查了消费者对此类变化的反应及其管理含义。通过对不同消费者样本的一系列实验,我们发现限制性变化,如缩短退货时间窗口或引入补货费,会降低消费者对零售商的信任,并导致购买量下降、积极的口碑和忠诚意愿。我们还发现,以传达限制性变化的基本原理的形式提供管理透明度,可以减轻消费者对此类变化的负面反应。此外,强调处理退货的成本而不是指责机会主义和滥用退货者的理由同样有效。我们的研究结果为越来越多的关于消费者退货政策设计的学术文献做出了贡献,并为零售经理提供了可操作的见解。
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引用次数: 0
Survive the economic downturn: Operating flexibility, productivity, and stock crash 在经济衰退中生存:经营灵活性,生产力和股票崩溃
IF 6.5 2区 管理学 Q1 MANAGEMENT Pub Date : 2024-12-15 DOI: 10.1002/joom.1344
Yang Li, Xiaojun Wang, Fangming Xu, Tuan Ho

Operating flexibility supports a firm's resilience strategy during challenging times by enabling them to promptly cut down operating costs associated with unproductive resources. We employ a real options model to formalize this insight. Our empirically grounding analytics motivate a firm-level proxy for downscale operating flexibility (FLEX), which effectively captures the adjustment frictions across different contexts of firms' operations. Using U.S. data between 1961 and 2020, we show that operating flexibility mitigates the risk of stock price crashes, especially during periods of economic recession. Consistent with the loss-curtailment mechanism, the operating flexibility effect is more pronounced for firms with lower productivity/profitability or higher operating leverage and is further amplified during longer and more severe recessions. Managers may avail themselves of our well-tested empirical measure of operating flexibility to guide their efforts in building a more resilient operations structure.

运营灵活性通过使公司能够迅速削减与非生产性资源相关的运营成本,在充满挑战的时期支持公司的弹性战略。我们使用实物期权模型来形式化这一见解。我们的实证基础分析激发了公司层面的小规模运营灵活性(FLEX)代理,它有效地捕获了公司运营不同背景下的调整摩擦。利用1961年至2020年的美国数据,我们表明,经营灵活性减轻了股价崩盘的风险,尤其是在经济衰退期间。与亏损削减机制一致,对于生产率/盈利能力较低或经营杠杆较高的企业,经营灵活性效应更为明显,并且在经济衰退时间越长、越严重时,这种效应会进一步放大。管理人员可以利用我们久经考验的运营灵活性实证措施来指导他们建立更具弹性的运营结构。
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引用次数: 0
Possibility theory: A foundation for theoretical and empirical explorations of uncertainty 可能性理论:对不确定性进行理论和实证探索的基础
IF 6.5 2区 管理学 Q1 MANAGEMENT Pub Date : 2024-12-10 DOI: 10.1002/joom.1341
Frits K. Pil, Stephen M. Disney, Jan Holmström, Benn Lawson, Christopher Tang

The field of operations and supply chain management (OSCM) has a long history of identifying and engaging with risk and uncertainty in operational practices.1 We provide a brief review of uncertainty in the OSCM domain, alongside an overview of our special issue (SI) call and accepted manuscripts. This serves as a starting point for the introduction of a new theoretical framework that reframes uncertainty as unresolved states of possibility. In this framework, the term possibility can refer to a broad array of OSCM actions and solutions including the novel application of existing approaches or technology as well as completely novel practices that enhance organizational outcomes. We illustrate the path-dependent evolution in these possibilities, alongside the limitations and opportunities imposed on the set of available possibilities resulting from concurrent evolution in the broader socio-technical system. We present the benefits of deploying a broader array of methodologies in the empirical study of what is, and is not, possible at discrete points in time, as well as the dual process of constraint and expansion in possibilities over time. The resulting empirical efforts to understand possibilities in turn enable novel theory development, elaboration of existing OSCM theory, and opportunities for bridging to other disciplines.

Much of the OSCM literature views uncertainty through the lens of risk (real and probabilistic, or perceived). Other areas of management examine uncertainty from the perspective of available solutions and possible alternatives, as well as opportunity by design (e.g. in entrepreneurial ventures, strategic decision making, and policy), see Alvarez and Barney (2007), Dimov (2016), and McBride and Wuebker (2022). This latter framing shifts uncertainty away from a troublesome factor to be mitigated and towards a source of potential value creation and progress. We conceptualize economic activity and operations as part of a larger, nearly decomposable, evolving structure (Simon, 1962, 2002). This offers the opportunity to redirect OSCM uncertainty research towards a deeper reflection on what actions and solutions are possible or impossible in an evolving socio-technical system—a system in which OSCM is deeply embedded (Arthur, 2009; Simon, 2002). Artificial systems evolve not just through competition and selection but also through purposeful cultivation and design (Simon, 1996). Thus, with technology in the socio-economic context of a complex system, OSCM is part of this larger autopoietic3 system—continuously regenerating itself, from itself (Holland, 1995). This centres our attention on the temporal aspect of our work. Specifically, it requires a consideration of how the world is, how it can and cannot be in the future, alongside how it could have b

运营和供应链管理(OSCM)领域在识别和处理运营实践中的风险和不确定性方面有着悠久的历史我们简要回顾了OSCM领域的不确定性,同时概述了我们的特刊(SI)呼吁和接受的手稿。这是引入一个新的理论框架的起点,该框架将不确定性重新定义为未解决的可能性状态。在这个框架中,“可能性”一词可以指一系列广泛的OSCM行动和解决方案,包括对现有方法或技术的新颖应用,以及增强组织成果的全新实践。我们在这些可能性中说明了路径依赖的进化,以及在更广泛的社会技术系统中并发进化对可用可能性集施加的限制和机会。我们展示了在离散时间点上可能和不可能的实证研究中部署更广泛的方法的好处,以及随时间推移可能性的约束和扩展的双重过程。由此产生的理解可能性的经验努力反过来使新的理论发展,现有的OSCM理论的细化,以及与其他学科的桥梁的机会。许多OSCM文献通过风险(真实的和概率的,或感知的)的视角来看待不确定性。其他管理领域从可用的解决方案和可能的替代方案以及设计的机会(例如在创业企业,战略决策和政策中)的角度审视不确定性,参见Alvarez和Barney (2007), Dimov(2016)和McBride和Wuebker(2022)。后一种框架将不确定性从需要减轻的麻烦因素转移到潜在价值创造和进步的来源。我们将经济活动和运营概念化为一个更大的、几乎可分解的、不断发展的结构的一部分(Simon, 1962, 2002)。这提供了一个机会,将OSCM不确定性研究转向更深层次的反思,即在一个不断发展的社会技术系统中,哪些行动和解决方案是可能的,哪些是不可能的——在这个系统中,OSCM被深深嵌入(Arthur, 2009;西蒙,2002)。人工系统的进化不仅通过竞争和选择,而且通过有目的的培育和设计(Simon, 1996)。因此,在复杂系统的社会经济背景下的技术,OSCM是这个更大的自创生系统的一部分——不断地自我再生(Holland, 1995)。这使我们的注意力集中在我们工作的时间方面。具体来说,它需要考虑世界是怎样的,未来会怎样,不可能怎样,以及过去会怎样(欣蒂卡&amp;Hintikka, 1989;冯·赖特,1951)。如前所述,可能性可能涉及广泛的OSCM行动和解决方案。它们包括新的技术、实践和程序,以及对现有做事方式的重新设想的应用。可能性包括技术的部署(例如人工智能、无人机、虚拟现实)、管理政策和实践的变化(例如TQM)、运营流程基础设施(例如数字供应链)、呈现新工作方式的战略(平台、共享经济)以及算法的应用(预测机制、补货政策、供应商管理库存- vmi)。如果这个概念看起来很宽泛,那是因为它确实是。机会不仅在于确定解决方案,还在于随着时间的推移,可能性集如何扩大或受到限制。视角,如约束理论(Goldratt &amp;Cox, 1984)提供逻辑驱动的思维过程和解决问题的工具,也可以支持发现和绘制更广泛的可能的操作场景(例如Groop等人,2017;Öhman et al., 2021)。然而,为一个动态发展的社会技术系统制定方案是具有挑战性的。尽管我们对技术进化的本质有一个大致的了解(Arthur, 2009),但我们缺乏描述和调查它的方法。工业4.0说明了在OSCM环境下方法论上的挑战。尽管有大量的研究努力来理解技术在制造业中展开的机会,但文献缺乏对可能的操作和机会如何随时间变化的详细研究。虽然研究人员没有完全了解该领域,但我们认为其中一个挑战是我们对推论统计和理论检验的偏好。这些工具的回顾焦点意味着它们对于发展我们对新兴实践领域的经验和理论理解并不理想。 表1简要概述了随着研究重点从(a)对开放系统中可知和不可知事件的缓解和响应转向(b)对限制和扩大我们操作实践可能性集的因素的理解,研究前景如何发生变化。这种新视角包括开发框架,以理解企业可以选择的可能性集如何产生(演变),并可能在更有限(和可知)的社会技术系统中积极丰富或增强。将可能和不可行的可能性纳入我们的研究工作,以及社会技术系统施加的进化限制和机会,为开发理解不确定性的新理论镜头提供了重要机会。它也为丰富我们所借鉴的方法论提供了一条宝贵的途径。我们关于如何从可能性的有利位置处理不确定性的建议如图1所示。在可能性和未实现可能性的框架内,不确定性表现为在已实现/未实现可能性和可用/受限可能性之间的未解决状态。从左到右看,该框架类似于技术漏斗,具有比实际实现的可能性更多的可行可能性。不确定性涉及什么是可行的新组合,以及可能性的出现或消除。这是一种具有实践和理论意义的不确定性:企业如何识别和制定理想的可能性,并避免不理想的可能性?从右到左,新技术和实践的出现扩大了可能性。此外,时间本身扩大了组织可用的可能性集。例如,随着一个人的时间范围延伸到未来,管理意外需求的可能性就会增加(例如,通过需要一些时间来建立的库存缓冲或库存)。同样,时间可能导致出现新的和不可预见的可能性,它可能导致出现使可能性得以实现的有利因素。例如,VMI被概念化为一种通过赋予供应商补货责任来为其提供生产和交付灵活性的手段,这种做法在20世纪80年代被公司采用几十年前(迪士尼&amp;Towill, 2003;麦基,1958)。使它真正可行的技术变革需要时间来实现。由于路径依赖,从右到左也会出现限制。例如,VMI被基于预测的补充解决方案所取代。然而,退出VMI意味着供应商失去了供应交付的灵活性和对客户需求的实时可视性,从而限制了他们可用的可能性。实现的可能性和未实现的可能性都可以通过增加和减少可用的可能性和可行的可能性来驱动进化变化。因此,我们的框架将可能性描述为一种进化过程,将不确定性描述为一种未解决的可能性。在任何时间点,总是有比实际实现更多的可行和可用的可能性。不确定性体现在可能性的本质上(例如,未来可行/不可行,当前可用/受限,以及先前实现/未实现)。当我们无法从先验知识中确定可能性序列的下一个状态时,就会出现不确定性。不确定性的原因因可能性的类型而异。例如,它可能是未实现的先前可能性的延迟影响,或者是对可能使未来可能性不可行的广泛因素的不完全了解。调查和解决这些差异需要部署适当的方法和研究设计。我们的理论框架也可以区分可能与不可能。注意,这个数字不包括确定的东西。例如,物理定律肯定地规定过去不能改变,许多可以说的事情是不可能的当然,由于自然的认知限制,管理人员和工人可能会对什么是可能的,什么是不可能的持相反的看法,但这是OSCM研究人员和实践者的一个单独的(尽管是关键的)讨论。进一步考虑我们前面管理意外需求和库存缓冲的可能解决方案的示例。如果上游供应商没有在较早的时间点为制造提供资源,就没有缓冲库存可以在紧急情况下减少,因此将库存作为一种可能的解决方案(Durach et al., 2024)。实现的可能性同样会产生新的可能性。例如,Dube等人。 (2024)展示了为一种环境开发的操作实践和系统如何使组织有可能重新利用这些系统来响应意想不到的环境背景。同样,随着外部技术转变的发生,以前不可行的可能性可能在以后变得可行,从而扩大了可能解决方案的范围。例如,尽管对VMI的兴趣已经减弱,但监测和诊断方面的改进使得供应商管理的基于状态的备件更换解决方案成为可能
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