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Rough functional Itô formula 粗略的函数Itô公式
IF 1.2 2区 数学 Q3 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2026-02-01 Epub Date: 2025-11-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.spa.2025.104826
Franziska Bielert
We prove a rough Itô formula for path-dependent functionals of α-Hölder continuous paths for α(0,1). Our approach combines the sewing lemma and a Taylor approximation in terms of path-dependent derivatives.
我们证明了对于α∈(0,1)的α-Hölder连续路径的路径相关泛函的一个粗略Itô公式。我们的方法结合了缝纫引理和基于路径相关导数的泰勒近似。
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引用次数: 0
Limit theorems under heavy-tailed scenario in the age-dependent random connection models 年龄相关随机连接模型重尾情形下的极限定理
IF 1.2 2区 数学 Q3 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2026-02-01 Epub Date: 2025-11-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.spa.2025.104815
Christian Hirsch , Takashi Owada
This paper considers limit theorems associated with subgraph counts in the age-dependent random connection model. First, we identify regimes where the count of sub-trees converges weakly to a stable random variable under suitable assumptions on the shape of trees. The proof relies on an intermediate result on weak convergence of associated point processes towards a Poisson point process. Additionally, we prove the same type of results for the clique counts. Here, a crucial ingredient includes the expectation asymptotics for clique counts, which itself is a result of independent interest.
研究了年龄相关随机连接模型中子图计数的极限定理。首先,在适当的树形假设下,我们确定了子树的数量弱收敛于稳定随机变量的区域。该证明依赖于关联点过程向泊松点过程弱收敛的一个中间结果。此外,我们证明了团计数的相同类型的结果。这里,一个关键因素包括集团计数的期望渐近性,它本身就是独立利益的结果。
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引用次数: 0
Steady state and mixing of two run-and-tumble particles interacting through jamming and attractive forces 通过干扰和吸引力相互作用的两种滚跑粒子的稳定状态和混合
IF 1.2 2区 数学 Q3 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2026-02-01 Epub Date: 2025-10-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.spa.2025.104791
Leo Hahn
We study the long-time behavior of two run-and-tumble particles on the real line subjected to an attractive interaction potential and jamming interactions, which prevent the particles from crossing. We provide the explicit invariant measure, a useful tool for studying clustering phenomena in out-of-equilibrium statistical mechanics, for different tumbling mechanisms and potentials. An important difference with invariant measures of equilibrium systems are Dirac masses on the boundary of the state space, due to the jamming interactions. Qualitative changes in the invariant measure depending on model parameters are also observed, suggesting, like a growing body of evidence, that run-and-tumble particle systems can be classified into close-to-equilibrium and strongly out-of-equilibrium models. We also study the relaxation properties of the system, which are linked to the timescale at which clustering emerges from an arbitrary initial configuration. When the interaction potential is linear, we show that the total variation distance to the invariant measure decays exponentially and provide sharp bounds on the decay rate. When the interaction potential is harmonic, we give quantitative exponential bounds in a Wasserstein-type distance.
研究了两粒子在吸引相互作用势和干扰相互作用下在实线上的长时间运动行为。对于不同的翻滚机制和势能,我们提供了显式不变测度,这是研究非平衡统计力学中聚类现象的一个有用工具。与平衡系统的不变测度的一个重要区别是,由于干扰相互作用,状态空间边界上的狄拉克质量。我们还观察到依赖于模型参数的不变测度的质变,这表明,像越来越多的证据一样,奔跑和翻滚的粒子系统可以分为接近平衡和强烈非平衡模型。我们还研究了系统的松弛特性,这与从任意初始配置出现聚类的时间尺度有关。当相互作用势为线性时,我们证明了到不变测度的总变化距离呈指数衰减,并给出了衰减率的明确界限。当相互作用势为调和时,我们给出了wasserstein型距离的定量指数界。
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引用次数: 0
Clustering functional data sets by law 按规律聚类功能数据集
IF 1.2 2区 数学 Q3 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2026-02-01 Epub Date: 2025-10-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.spa.2025.104796
Antonio Galves , Fernando A. Najman , Marcela Svarc , Claudia D. Vargas
We introduce a new clustering procedure for functional data analysis which can classify independent sets of functional samples by their probabilistic law, i.e. that aims to assign data sets to the same cluster if and only if the data were generated with the same underlying distribution. This method has the virtue of being non-supervised and non-parametric, allowing for exploratory investigation with few assumptions about the data. We also present rigorous finite bounds that give us the effect of the number of samples in each dataset on the classification. We also provide an objective heuristic that consistently selects the best partition in a data-driven manner. We show the performance of the method by clustering simulated datasets generated with different distributions.
我们引入了一种新的聚类过程用于功能数据分析,它可以根据它们的概率规律对独立的功能样本集进行分类,即旨在将数据集分配给相同的聚类当且仅当数据生成具有相同的底层分布。该方法具有无监督和非参数的优点,允许对数据进行少量假设的探索性调查。我们还提出了严格的有限界限,这给了我们每个数据集中样本数量对分类的影响。我们还提供了一个客观的启发式方法,以数据驱动的方式始终如一地选择最佳分区。我们通过对不同分布的模拟数据集进行聚类来展示该方法的性能。
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引用次数: 0
A Durrett–Remenik particle system in Rd 一种Durrett-Remenik粒子系统
IF 1.2 2区 数学 Q3 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2026-02-01 Epub Date: 2025-10-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.spa.2025.104789
Rami Atar
This paper studies a branching-selection model of motionless particles in Rd, with nonlocal branching, introduced by Durrett and Remenik in dimension 1. The assumptions on the fitness function, F, and on the inhomogeneous branching distribution, are mild. The evolution equation for the macroscopic density is given by an integro-differential free boundary problem in Rd, in which the free boundary represents the least F-value in the population. The main result is the characterization of the limit in probability of the empirical measure process in terms of the unique solution to this free boundary problem.
本文研究了Durrett和Remenik在一维空间中引入的具有非局部分支的Rd中不动粒子的分支选择模型。关于适应度函数F和非齐次分支分布的假设是温和的。用积分微分自由边界问题给出了宏观密度的演化方程,其中自由边界表示种群中最小的f值。主要的结果是用这个自由边界问题的唯一解来描述经验测量过程的概率极限。
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引用次数: 0
The multivariate fractional Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process 多元分数型Ornstein-Uhlenbeck过程
IF 1.2 2区 数学 Q3 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2026-02-01 Epub Date: 2025-10-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.spa.2025.104814
Ranieri Dugo , Giacomo Giorgio , Paolo Pigato
Starting from the notion of multivariate fractional Brownian Motion introduced in [F. Lavancier, A. Philippe, and D. Surgailis. Covariance function of vector self-similar processes. Statistics & Probability Letters, 2009] we define a multivariate version of the fractional Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process. This multivariate Gaussian process is stationary, ergodic and allows for different Hurst exponents on each component. We characterize its correlation matrix and its short and long time asymptotics. Besides the marginal parameters, the cross correlation between one-dimensional marginal components is ruled by two parameters. We consider the problem of their inference, proposing two types of estimator, constructed from discrete observations of the process. We establish their asymptotic theory, in one case in the long time asymptotic setting, in the other case in the infill and long time asymptotic setting. The limit behavior can be asymptotically Gaussian or non-Gaussian, depending on the values of the Hurst exponents of the marginal components. The technical core of the paper relies on the analysis of asymptotic properties of functionals of Gaussian processes, that we establish using Malliavin calculus and Stein’s method. We provide numerical experiments that support our theoretical analysis and also suggest a conjecture on the application of one of these estimators to the multivariate fractional Brownian Motion.
从[F]中引入的多元分数布朗运动的概念出发。Lavancier, A. Philippe和D. Surgailis。向量自相似过程的协方差函数。统计&概率信件,2009]我们定义了分数Ornstein-Uhlenbeck过程的多元版本。这个多元高斯过程是平稳的,遍历的,并且允许在每个分量上有不同的Hurst指数。我们刻画了它的相关矩阵及其短、长时间渐近性。除了边缘参数外,一维边缘分量之间的相互关系还由两个参数决定。我们考虑了他们的推理问题,提出了两种类型的估计量,由过程的离散观测构造。我们建立了它们的渐近理论,一种是在长时间渐近设置下,另一种是在填充和长时间渐近设置下。极限行为可以是渐近高斯或非高斯的,这取决于边缘分量的Hurst指数的值。本文的技术核心是利用Malliavin演算和Stein方法建立高斯过程泛函的渐近性质分析。我们提供了数值实验来支持我们的理论分析,并提出了一个关于这些估计器在多元分数布朗运动中的应用的猜想。
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引用次数: 0
Reflected BSDE driven by a marked point process with a convex/concave generator 反射BSDE驱动的标记点过程与凸/凹生成器
IF 1.2 2区 数学 Q3 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2026-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-09-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.spa.2025.104777
Zihao Gu , Yiqing Lin , Kun Xu
In this paper, we study a class of reflected backward stochastic differential equations (RBSDE) driven by a marked point process (MPP) with a convex/concave generator. Based on fixed point argument, θ-method and truncation technique, the well-posedness of this kind of RBSDE with unbounded terminal condition and obstacle is investigated. Besides, we present an application on the pricing of American options via utility maximization, which is solved by constructing an RBSDE with a convex generator.
研究了一类由凸/凹发生器标记点过程驱动的反射后向随机微分方程(RBSDE)。利用不动点论证、θ-法和截断技术,研究了这类具有无界终端条件和障碍的RBSDE的适定性。此外,我们还构造了一个带凸生成器的RBSDE来求解效用最大化的美式期权定价问题。
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引用次数: 0
Optimal control of the nonlinear stochastic Fokker–Planck equation 非线性随机Fokker-Planck方程的最优控制
IF 1.2 2区 数学 Q3 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2026-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-09-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.spa.2025.104774
Ben Hambly , Philipp Jettkant
We consider a control problem for the nonlinear stochastic Fokker–Planck equation. This equation describes the evolution of the distribution of nonlocally interacting particles affected by a common source of noise. The system is directed by a controller that acts on the drift term with the goal of minimising a cost functional. We establish the well-posedness of the state equation, prove the existence of optimal controls, and formulate a stochastic maximum principle (SMP) that provides necessary and sufficient optimality conditions for the control problem. The adjoint process arising in the SMP is characterised by a nonlocal (semi)linear backward SPDE for which we study existence and uniqueness. We also rigorously connect the control problem for the nonlinear stochastic Fokker–Planck equation to the control of the corresponding McKean–Vlasov SDE that describes the motion of a representative particle. Our work extends existing results for the control of the Fokker–Planck equation to nonlinear and stochastic dynamics. In particular, the sufficient SMP, which we obtain by exploiting the special structure of the Fokker–Planck equation, seems to be novel even in the linear deterministic setting. We illustrate our results with an application to a model of government interventions in financial systems, supplemented by numerical illustrations.
考虑非线性随机Fokker-Planck方程的控制问题。这个方程描述了受共同噪声源影响的非局部相互作用粒子的分布演化。系统由控制器控制,控制器作用于漂移项,目标是最小化成本函数。我们建立了状态方程的适定性,证明了最优控制的存在性,并构造了一个随机极大值原理(SMP),为控制问题的最优性提供了充分必要条件。SMP中出现的伴随过程具有非局部(半)线性后向SPDE的特征,我们研究了其存在唯一性。我们还将非线性随机Fokker-Planck方程的控制问题严格地与描述代表性粒子运动的相应McKean-Vlasov SDE的控制联系起来。我们的工作将现有的控制福克-普朗克方程的结果扩展到非线性和随机动力学。特别是,我们利用Fokker-Planck方程的特殊结构得到的充分SMP,即使在线性确定性设置下也显得新颖。我们通过应用政府干预金融系统的模型来说明我们的结果,并辅以数字插图。
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引用次数: 0
Asymptotic expansions for blocks estimators: PoT framework 块估计量的渐近展开:PoT框架
IF 1.2 2区 数学 Q3 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2026-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-07-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.spa.2025.104744
Zaoli Chen, Rafał Kulik
We consider disjoint and sliding blocks estimators of cluster indices for multivariate, regularly varying time series in the Peak-over-Threshold framework. We aim to provide a complete description of the limiting behaviour of these estimators. This is achieved by a precise expansion for the difference between the sliding and the disjoint blocks statistics. The rates in the expansion stem from internal clusters and boundary clusters. To obtain these rates we need to extend the existing results on vague convergence of cluster measures. We reveal dichotomous behaviour between small blocks and large blocks scenario.
在峰值超过阈值框架中,我们考虑了多变量、规则变化时间序列的聚类指数的不相交和滑动块估计。我们的目标是提供这些估计量的极限行为的完整描述。这是通过对滑动和不相交块统计之间的差异进行精确的扩展来实现的。膨胀速率来源于内部星团和边界星团。为了得到这些速率,我们需要扩展现有的关于聚类测度模糊收敛的结果。我们揭示了小块和大块场景之间的二分类行为。
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引用次数: 0
Mixing time and cutoff for the k-SPEP k-SPEP的混合时间和截止时间
IF 1.2 2区 数学 Q3 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2026-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-09-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.spa.2025.104776
Eyob Tsegaye
We investigate the mixing time of the capacity k symmetric partial exclusion process of Schütz and Sandow with m particles on a segment of length N, and we show that this process exhibits cutoff at time 12kπ2N2logm. We also introduce a related complete multi-species process that we call the Sk,N shuffle and show that this process exhibits cutoff at time 12kπ2N2log(N). This extends the celebrated result of Lacoin, which proved cutoff for the symmetric simple exclusion process on a segment of length N and the adjacent transposition shuffle.
研究了sch tz和Sandow在长度为N的段上与m粒子的容量k对称部分不相容过程的混合时间,结果表明该过程在12kπ2N2logm时出现截断。我们还介绍了一个相关的完整的多物种过程,我们称之为Sk,N洗牌,并表明该过程在时间12kπ2N2log(N)时呈现截止。这扩展了Lacoin的著名结果,该结果证明了对称简单不相容过程在长度为N的段和相邻的转置洗牌上的截止性。
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引用次数: 0
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Stochastic Processes and their Applications
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