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Checks and Balances, Veto Exceptionalism, and Constitutional Folk Wisdom: Class and Race Power in American Politics 制衡、维托例外主义与宪法民间智慧:美国政治中的阶级与种族权力
IF 2.1 2区 社会学 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2023-04-11 DOI: 10.1177/10659129231166040
Conventional accounts of the U.S. constitution laud its checks and balances for diffusing power across many venues, limiting the potential for government oppression, and protecting political minorities. I refer to this as constitutional folk wisdom and contrast it with an American political economy approach of veto exceptionalism to better understand how the U.S. constitution shapes, and is shaped, by power relations. This analysis illustrates the volume and scope of veto exceptionalism and its implication for democratic participation and accountability, contrasts it with the virtues championed by the folk wisdom, and suggests how veto exceptionalism can help explain political outcomes and processes in American politics. I argue that the folk wisdom is not only inaccurate as a description of how power functions in the American “checks and balances” system; it is cultivated and utilized most frequently by powerful economic and racial actors that benefit from the anti-democratic and elitist features of the U.S. constitutional system.
对美国宪法的传统描述称赞其制衡机制在许多场合分散了权力,限制了政府压迫的可能性,并保护了政治少数群体。我称之为宪法民间智慧,并将其与美国否决例外主义的政治经济学方法进行对比,以更好地理解美国宪法是如何形成和由权力关系形成的。这一分析说明了否决例外论的数量和范围及其对民主参与和问责制的影响,将其与民间智慧所倡导的美德进行了对比,并表明否决例外论如何有助于解释美国政治中的政治结果和过程。我认为,民间智慧不仅不准确地描述了权力在美国“制衡”体系中的作用;它最常被强大的经济和种族行为者培养和利用,这些行为者受益于美国宪法体系的反民主和精英主义特征。
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引用次数: 0
Economic Shocks and Fiscal Policy Preferences: Evidence From COVID-19 in Spain 经济冲击与财政政策偏好:来自西班牙新冠肺炎的证据
IF 2.1 2区 社会学 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2023-03-27 DOI: 10.1177/10659129231160148
I. Jurado, Alexander Kuo
Do negative economic shocks change fiscal policy preferences? We examine this question via the large COVID-19 shock, as the virus and ensuing lockdowns caused one of the largest acute economic contractions in recent history. While previous evidence that recessions meaningfully change fiscal preferences is limited, we hypothesize that the health pandemic should have had distinct effects. We argue that this is due to the large breadth, uncertainty, and socio-tropic basis of the economic contraction, and that worse economic evaluations and reduced economic optimism should correspond with greater support for fiscal interventions to address the crisis. To test these hypotheses, we use new panel evidence from Spain, a hard-hit country, surveying individuals prior to the pandemic and the same individuals during the pandemic. We find that individuals became more economically pessimistic across many measures. However, there is little evidence that this translates into support for more expansive fiscal policies. Second, we find through a framing experiment that this could be because individuals believe that the government’s fiscal policies would disproportionately benefit lower-income individuals. The findings indicate the theoretical importance of recessions for changing individual and socio-tropic economic expectations, but do not support the claim that large economic shocks can significantly change fiscal preferences.
负面经济冲击会改变财政政策偏好吗?我们通过新冠肺炎的大规模冲击来研究这个问题,因为病毒和随后的封锁导致了近代史上最大的急性经济收缩之一。虽然之前关于经济衰退有意义地改变财政偏好的证据有限,但我们假设,卫生大流行应该产生明显的影响。我们认为,这是由于经济收缩的广度大、不确定性和社会回归基础,更糟糕的经济评估和经济乐观情绪的降低应该与对应对危机的财政干预的更多支持相对应。为了检验这些假设,我们使用了来自受灾严重的西班牙的新的小组证据,调查了疫情前的个人和疫情期间的相同个人。我们发现,在许多衡量标准中,个人在经济上变得更加悲观。然而,几乎没有证据表明这会转化为对更广泛财政政策的支持。其次,我们通过一项框架实验发现,这可能是因为个人认为政府的财政政策会不成比例地惠及低收入个人。研究结果表明,衰退对改变个人和社会经济预期的理论重要性,但不支持大规模经济冲击会显著改变财政偏好的说法。
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引用次数: 0
Asking Versus Telling: The Supreme Court’s Strategic Use of Questions and Statements During Oral Arguments 问与说:最高法院在口头辩论中对问题和陈述的策略性使用
IF 2.1 2区 社会学 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2023-03-17 DOI: 10.1177/10659129231164604
M. W. Sorenson
Supreme Court oral arguments are often characterized as the Court rapidly firing questions at attorneys who struggle to keep up; however, nearly half of the Court’s utterances come not as questions but as statements. I ask whether patterns of questioning and commenting behavior during oral arguments can predict case outcomes and justice votes. To answer this question, I develop a theory of strategic communication that accounts for the differential ways justices—and other strategic actors—use queries and comments during arguments. Using transcripts from 1981 to 2019, I code for use of questions and statements, finding the two theoretically and empirically distinct: where questions increase a party’s chances of winning, statements increase their chance of losing.
最高法院的口头辩论通常被描述为法院迅速向律师抛出问题,而律师们却很难跟上;然而,法院近一半的发言不是作为问题而是作为陈述。我想知道口头辩论中的提问和评论行为模式是否可以预测案件结果和正义投票。为了回答这个问题,我发展了一种战略沟通理论,该理论解释了法官和其他战略行为者在辩论中使用询问和评论的不同方式。使用1981年至2019年的演讲记录,我对提问和陈述的使用进行了编码,发现这两者在理论上和经验上都是不同的:提问增加了一个政党获胜的机会,陈述增加了他们失败的机会。
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引用次数: 0
Protesting With Feeling in Puerto Rico: Twitter and El Verano Del 19 波多黎各的抗议:Twitter和El Verano Del 19
IF 2.1 2区 社会学 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2023-03-06 DOI: 10.1177/10659129231161286
Jason Gainous, Mayra Vélez Serrano, Kevin M. Wagner
Communication research has extensively addressed the influence of social media on protest. We seek to add to this body of research by examining how sentiment contained in Twitter communication about protest can condition the public reach of this communication. Specifically, we are interested in whether Twitter communication couched in negative sentiments like anger, disgust, and fear will drive this reach more than communication couched in positive sentiment such as trust, joy, and surprise. We rely on sentiment analysis to examine roughly 30,000 tweets surrounding the summer of 2019 Protests in Puerto Rico. These protests centered on a scandal involving former Governor Ricardo Rossello that ultimately led to his resignation. The analysis required adapting an English language sentiment dictionary to Spanish. Our results suggest that protesters frequently tweeted with both positive and negative sentiment when calling for the governor’s resignation, but ultimately, those tweets couched in negative sentiment, when compared to those with positive sentiment, had the most reach. That said, those tweets including either positive or negative sentiment had more reach than those absent sentiment.
传播学研究广泛探讨了社交媒体对抗议活动的影响。我们试图通过研究推特上关于抗议的传播中所包含的情绪如何影响这种传播的公众影响力来补充这一研究。具体来说,我们感兴趣的是,用愤怒、厌恶和恐惧等负面情绪表达的推特交流是否会比用信任、喜悦和惊喜等积极情绪表达的交流更能推动这种影响。我们依靠情绪分析来调查围绕2019年夏天波多黎各抗议活动的大约30000条推文。这些抗议活动集中在前州长里卡多·罗塞洛的丑闻上,该丑闻最终导致他辞职。分析需要将英语情感词典改编成西班牙语。我们的研究结果表明,抗议者在呼吁州长辞职时,经常在推特上表达积极和消极的情绪,但最终,与那些表达积极情绪的人相比,那些表达消极情绪的推特的影响力最大。也就是说,那些包括积极或消极情绪的推文比那些没有情绪的推特更有影响力。
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引用次数: 0
An Empirical Evaluation of Explanations for Political System Support 政治制度支持解释的实证评价
IF 2.1 2区 社会学 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2023-02-09 DOI: 10.1177/10659129231156388
Troy Saghaug Broderstad
The literature that examines cross-national satisfaction with democracy seeks to discover a set of predictors that are associated with evaluations of regime performance. The most common way of examining the determinants of satisfaction with democracy is null hypothesis significance testing. While this approach has merit, this paper argues that the literature, as it stands, can be complemented to gain additional insights. To date, little research has focused on what variables best predict satisfaction. This is important because it helps guide researchers when determining which features to give attention to when devising theories about what causes (changes) in satisfaction. In this paper, I use machine learning algorithms to determine and evaluate the predictive power of variables identified as important in literature. Drawing on the sixth round of the European Social Survey, I find satisfaction with the economy, procedural fairness and responsiveness to be the most important predictors of satisfaction with democracy. These findings justify a stronger focus on the latter two topics in future studies of satisfaction with democracy, which has received little attention in the scholarly literature.
研究跨国民主满意度的文献试图发现一组与政权绩效评估相关的预测因子。检验民主满意度决定因素的最常见方法是零假设显著性检验。虽然这种方法有优点,但本文认为,就目前而言,文献可以得到补充,以获得额外的见解。迄今为止,很少有研究关注哪些变量最能预测满意度。这很重要,因为它有助于指导研究人员在设计导致满意度(变化)的理论时,确定应该关注哪些特征。在本文中,我使用机器学习算法来确定和评估在文献中确定为重要变量的预测能力。根据第六轮欧洲社会调查(European Social Survey),我发现对经济、程序公平和回应的满意度是对民主满意度的最重要预测因素。这些发现证明了在未来对民主满意度的研究中更关注后两个主题,这在学术文献中很少受到关注。
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引用次数: 1
Raids at Work: Latinx Immigrant Labor Precarity and the Spectacle of ICE Worksite Enforcement Raids 工作中的突袭:拉丁裔移民劳工的不稳定和ICE工地执法突袭的壮观场面
IF 2.1 2区 社会学 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2023-02-02 DOI: 10.1177/10659129231155136
Á. Corral
Why does Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) conduct worksite raids when employers are rarely ever charged with hiring undocumented immigrant workers? This article shows how exploitative labor conditions and ICE worksite enforcement raids exist in a mutually reinforcing feedback loop that (re)produces precarity for undocumented workers. Analysis of interviews from the Immigrant Workers Project (IWP) Survey of 2018, a community-based participatory action research project in Northeast Ohio, reveals that individuals directly and indirectly impacted by ICE worksite raids understand and experience these operations within the broader context of anti-immigrant labor discrimination and worker exploitation. Although previous scholarship has theorized the role of “spectacle” in various aspects of immigration enforcement a critical analysis of media coverage, public records, and government documents shows how government agencies and the media choreograph worksite raids for maximum public spectacle. The underlying logics of this immigration enforcement tactic highlight how undocumented immigrant workers exist simultaneously as individuals whose labor is deregulated but whose presence is hyper-regulated.
为什么移民和海关执法局(ICE)在雇主很少被指控雇佣无证移民工人的情况下进行工地突击检查?这篇文章展示了剥削性劳动条件和ICE工地执法突袭是如何在一个相辅相成的反馈回路中存在的,这(重新)给无证工人带来了不确定性。2018年移民工人项目(IWP)调查是俄亥俄州东北部一个基于社区的参与性行动研究项目,对该调查的采访分析表明,直接和间接受到ICE工地突袭影响的个人在反移民劳工歧视和工人剥削的更广泛背景下理解和体验这些行动。尽管之前的学者已经将“奇观”在移民执法的各个方面的作用理论化,但对媒体报道、公共记录和政府文件的批判性分析表明,政府机构和媒体是如何精心策划工地突袭,以最大限度地展示公共奇观的。这种移民执法策略的基本逻辑突显了无证移民工人是如何与劳动力被解除管制但存在受到过度管制的个人同时存在的。
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引用次数: 0
Primary Barriers to Working Class Representation 工人阶级代表权的主要障碍
IF 2.1 2区 社会学 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2023-01-31 DOI: 10.1177/10659129231154914
Sarah A. Treul, Eric R. Hansen
How do working class candidates perform in primary elections? Working class candidates rarely emerge, but existing evidence suggests workers perform as well as white-collar candidates once on the ballot. However, this evidence comes from studies of general elections. It is unknown whether these findings extend to other types of elections like primaries, where candidates compete without the political and financial backing of a party. We collect and analyze novel data describing the occupational background of all candidates who competed in U.S. House primaries between 2008 and 2016. The results show that working class candidates received an average vote share 24 percentage points lower than nonworkers and are 31 percentage points less likely to win their primaries. Controlling for other candidate, contest, and district characteristics helps to attenuate the performance gap. We find mixed evidence that fundraising and prior officeholding experience moderates workers' performance, but weak or no evidence that voter bias, party affiliation, or primary type do so. The study suggests that workers struggle to compete in primaries and calls for further research explaining what prevents workers from winning public office.
工人阶级候选人在初选中表现如何?工人阶级候选人很少出现,但现有证据表明,一旦出现在选票上,工人的表现就和白领候选人一样好。然而,这一证据来自对大选的研究。目前尚不清楚这些发现是否适用于初选等其他类型的选举,在初选中,候选人在没有政党政治和财政支持的情况下进行竞争。我们收集并分析了描述2008年至2016年间参加美国众议院初选的所有候选人职业背景的新数据。结果显示,工人阶级候选人的平均得票率比非工人低24个百分点,赢得初选的可能性也低31个百分点。控制其他候选人、竞争和地区特征有助于缩小绩效差距。我们发现,有多种证据表明,筹款和之前的任职经历会影响员工的表现,但没有证据表明选民偏见、党派关系或初选类型会影响员工表现。这项研究表明,员工在初选中难以竞争,并呼吁进一步研究,解释是什么阻碍了员工赢得公职。
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引用次数: 0
Can People Use Party Cues to Assess Policymaker Positions? Ecological Rationality and Political Heuristics 人们能利用党的暗示来评估决策者的立场吗?生态理性与政治启发式
IF 2.1 2区 社会学 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2023-01-25 DOI: 10.1177/10659129231151388
D. Bergan, Caitlin Finerty, Jack B. Harrison, Siyuan Ma, Isabel Virtue
Scholars disagree about the ability of people to use heuristics to make political judgments, with some arguing that heuristics are easy-to-use pieces of information and others arguing that applying heuristics may require some degree of political expertise. We argue that these debates have been somewhat intractable because most prior work has not considered the ecological rationality of political judgments—that is, the potential for cues to yield accurate judgments about a clearly defined reference class. In this paper, we present the results of two studies exploring whether people use party labels to make judgments about a random sample of U.S. Representatives’ voting behaviors. We find that respondents consistently performed worse in guessing U.S. Representatives’ votes than if they had correctly used a simple partisan heuristic. There is also some evidence that people performed worse with the presence of more nonparty cues. Attention to politics had a positive relationship with accuracy in both studies, although the relationship was modest. The results suggest that party cues may be more difficult to apply than some research has suggested.
学者们对人们使用启发式进行政治判断的能力持不同意见,一些人认为启发式是易于使用的信息,另一些人则认为应用启发式可能需要一定程度的政治专业知识。我们认为,这些争论有些棘手,因为大多数先前的工作都没有考虑到政治判断的生态合理性——也就是说,线索对明确定义的参考阶层产生准确判断的潜力。在本文中,我们提出了两项研究的结果,探讨人们是否使用政党标签来判断美国代表的投票行为的随机样本。我们发现,受访者在猜测美国众议员投票时的表现一直不如正确使用简单的党派启发式。也有一些证据表明,在更多非党派提示的情况下,人们的表现更差。在两项研究中,对政治的关注与准确性呈正相关,尽管这种关系并不明显。结果表明,派对线索可能比一些研究表明的更难应用。
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引用次数: 0
Rooted in Racism? Race, Partisanship, Status Threat, and Public Opinion Toward Statehood for Washington, D.C. 根植于种族主义?华盛顿特区的种族、党派、地位威胁与公众舆论
IF 2.1 2区 社会学 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2023-01-23 DOI: 10.1177/10659129231151413
Tatishe M. Nteta, Jesse H. Rhodes, Gregory Wall, K. Dixon-Gordon, Raymond J. La Raja, Brian Lickel, Andrea Mah, Matthew Macwilliams, E. Markowitz, Allecia E. Reid, Alexander G. Theodoridis
In recent years, a number of prominent elected officials on both sides of the partisan divide have weighed in on the possibility of making Washington, D.C., the nation’s fifty-first state. While Democratic supporters of statehood for D.C. emphasize issues of equal representation, some Republican opponents have stressed the partisan and ideological consequences of D.C. statehood. Other Republican opponents, in justifying their position, have made the claim that Washington, D.C., lacks the necessary and sufficient characteristics associated with statehood, and these claims have been widely interpreted as implicitly racist appeals. In this paper, using three nationally representative surveys, we explore whether mass opinion on this issue is primarily shaped by partisanship, ideology, racial status threat, or racial prejudice. We find clear and consistent evidence that while partisan and ideological attachments, as well as perceptions of racial status threat, influence opinion on statehood for Washington, D.C., the strongest determinant of opposition to statehood are negative racial attitudes. We take these results as further evidence of the debate over D.C. statehood, like debates over public policies that are purported to benefit African Americans, is intimately intertwined with negative racial views expressed by the mass public.
近年来,党派分歧双方的一些杰出民选官员都在权衡使华盛顿特区成为美国第51个州的可能性。支持华盛顿成为州的民主党人强调平等代表权的问题,而一些共和党反对者则强调华盛顿成为州的党派和意识形态后果。其他共和党反对者在为自己的立场辩护时,声称华盛顿特区缺乏与州地位相关的必要和充分的特征,而这些说法被广泛解读为含蓄的种族主义诉求。在本文中,我们使用三个具有全国代表性的调查,探讨大众对这个问题的意见是否主要由党派关系、意识形态、种族地位威胁或种族偏见所塑造。我们发现明确而一致的证据表明,虽然党派和意识形态的依恋,以及对种族地位威胁的看法,影响了华盛顿特区对州地位的看法,但反对州地位的最强烈决定因素是消极的种族态度。我们认为这些结果进一步证明了关于华盛顿州地位的辩论,就像关于公共政策的辩论一样,据称有利于非裔美国人,与公众表达的负面种族观点密切相关。
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引用次数: 1
State Labor Laws and Government Responsiveness to Public Opinion 国家劳动法与政府对公众意见的回应
IF 2.1 2区 社会学 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2023-01-04 DOI: 10.1177/10659129221145938
Daniel DiSalvo, Patrick Flavin, Michael T. Hartney
We investigate the effects of states’ labor laws, which can enhance or diminish the political power of public and private sector labor unions, on government responsiveness to public opinion. Drawing on newly developed measures of public opinion and policy liberalism in the US states over time, we leverage differences in the timing of law enactments across the states and find that labor laws impact government responsiveness in distinct ways. States that adopt right-to-work laws that lessen private sector union influence enact economic policies that are more conservative than public opinion, whereas states that adopt mandatory collective bargaining laws for public sector employees enact economic policies that are more liberal than opinion. These findings are consistent across a variety of different model specifications, timeframes, and measurement techniques and have substantively important implications for understanding the impact of government policies on the power of organized interests and the dynamics of political representation in American democracy.
我们调查了各州劳动法对政府回应公众意见的影响,这些法律可以增强或削弱公共和私营部门工会的政治权力。根据美国各州新制定的民意和政策自由主义指标,我们利用各州法律颁布时间的差异,发现劳动法以不同的方式影响政府的反应。通过减少私营部门工会影响的工作权法的州制定的经济政策比公众舆论更保守,而通过公共部门雇员强制性集体谈判法的州则制定的经济策略比公众舆论更加自由。这些发现在各种不同的模型规范、时间框架和测量技术中是一致的,对于理解政府政策对有组织利益的权力和美国民主政治代表性的动态的影响具有实质性的重要意义。
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引用次数: 0
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Political Research Quarterly
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