Papers in Regional Science最新文献

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Polycentricity and regional economic resilience: A ridge regression approach 多中心与区域经济弹性：山脊回归方法

IF 2.4 3区经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS

Papers in Regional Science

Pub Date : 2025-03-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.pirs.2025.100089

Burcu Değerli Çifçi, Hasan Engin Duran

“Resilience” and “polycentricity” have surged as popular concepts over the recent decades, although the link between the two has not yet been investigated empirically. Identification of this relationship and its theoretical justification are politically crucial to shed light on prospective policies for urbanization and regionalization. Thus, the aim of this study is to investigate the impact of polycentricity/monocentricity on the regional resilience of Turkish (Nuts-2) regions against the global financial crisis in 2008/09. This paper also identifies the channels through which it can influence resilience. Through the application of a rich set of empirical tools, including computation of monocentricity degree, resistance, recovery, and adaptability indexes based on national and regional business cycle turning points, LOESS, RIDGE regressions, and inferential mediation tests, three main conclusions were obtained. First, polycentric regions were evidently more resistant to the crisis compared to monocentric morphologies; the later were more industrialized and open to trade, which made them more vulnerable to the crisis. Second, polycentric spatial structures were found to recover more quickly compared to monocentric regions. Third, monocentric regions clearly adapt better to long-term trajectories. In sum, the well-known strategy of the European Union rooted in “polycentric development” can still be valid for the purposes such as resisting to and recovering from economic disruptions. However, in the long-run, polycentrilization can hardly be seen as an optimal strategy, particularly in the context of adapting to the future trajectories.

近几十年来，“弹性”和“多中心”已经成为流行的概念，尽管两者之间的联系尚未得到实证研究。确定这种关系及其理论依据在政治上对于阐明城市化和区域化的未来政策至关重要。因此，本研究的目的是调查多中心性/单中心性对土耳其（Nuts-2）地区抵御2008/09年全球金融危机的区域弹性的影响。本文还确定了它可以影响弹性的渠道。通过应用丰富的经验工具，包括基于国家和地区经济周期拐点的单心度、阻力、恢复和适应性指标的计算，黄土、RIDGE回归和推理中介检验，得出了三个主要结论。首先，与单中心形态相比，多中心区域对危机的抵抗力明显更强；后者工业化程度更高，对贸易更开放，这使它们更容易受到危机的影响。其次，与单中心区域相比，多中心空间结构恢复得更快。第三，单中心地区显然更能适应长期发展轨迹。综上所述，欧盟以“多中心发展”为基础的著名战略，在抵御和恢复经济动荡等方面仍然是有效的。然而，从长期来看，多中心化很难被视为一种最佳策略，特别是在适应未来发展轨迹的背景下。

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引用次数: 0

IF 2.4 3区经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS

Papers in Regional Science

Pub Date : 2025-02-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.pirs.2025.100088

Ricardo Carvalho Bruno Ferreira

引用次数: 0

Special economic zones and land misallocation: Evidence from Chinese cities 经济特区与土地错配：来自中国城市的证据

IF 2.4 3区经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS

Papers in Regional Science

Pub Date : 2025-02-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.pirs.2025.100084

Yi Cui

This study examines the impact of China’s special economic zones (SEZs) on land misallocation, primarily using city-level data for China from 2003 to 2018. The findings indicate that establishing SEZs exacerbates land misallocation by over-allocating land to cities, resulting in an average annual loss of 0.22% of real urban GDP. After establishing SEZs, local governments change their land supply strategies by adjusting supply mode, object, and preference, reducing land allocation efficiency. Thus, the bundling of SEZs and government intervention is an essential cause of land misallocation. Furthermore, the geographical location of SEZs affects land allocation efficiency through the spatial form of cities. Its spatial separation from the core urban area is an essential cause of land misallocation. This study has important implications for more effective planning and implementation of SEZs.

本研究主要使用2003年至2018年中国城市层面的数据，考察了中国经济特区（SEZs）对土地错配的影响。研究结果表明，经济特区的建立加剧了土地分配不当，将土地过度分配给城市，导致平均每年损失城市实际GDP的0.22%。经济特区建立后，地方政府通过调整土地供应方式、对象和偏好等方式改变土地供应策略，降低了土地配置效率。因此，经济特区与政府干预的捆绑是土地分配不当的根本原因。经济特区的地理位置通过城市的空间形态影响土地配置效率。其与核心城区的空间分离是土地配置不当的根本原因。本研究对更有效地规划和实施经济特区具有重要意义。

引用次数: 0

Labour demand in the wake of a shock: A dose–response approach 冲击后的劳动力需求：剂量反应方法

IF 2.4 3区经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS

Papers in Regional Science

Pub Date : 2025-02-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.pirs.2025.100083

Fernanda Gutiérrez Amaros , Andrea Ascani , Alessandra Faggian , Wessel N. Vermeulen

This paper examines the impact of varying COVID-19 exposure levels on local labour demand in Italy during the first years of the pandemic. Using a dose–response framework and province-level monthly data on online job postings (NUTS3), we find a predominantly non-linear, negative relationship between COVID-19 exposure — measured by the contagion rate — and labour demand growth. However, at high exposure levels, a positive effect emerges, driven by increased demand for essential roles in Northern Italy. Our findings reveal significant regional disparities. Southern provinces experienced sharper declines in labour demand, despite lower exposure levels, reflecting their weaker economic structures and reliance on non-essential jobs. Conversely, Northern provinces with high exposure levels sustained a higher ratio of essential-to-non-essential vacancies, demonstrating greater economic resilience during the crisis. This study contributes to the literature by examining the underexplored effects of COVID-19 on labour demand in a European context, positioning Italy as a critical case study. It emphasises the pivotal role of essential jobs in mitigating economic disruption and highlights the Italian labour market’s non-linear responses to shocks and regional inequalities, offering insights into how sudden crises shape labour dynamics.

本文研究了在大流行的头几年，不同的COVID-19暴露水平对意大利当地劳动力需求的影响。使用剂量反应框架和省级月度在线招聘数据（NUTS3），我们发现COVID-19暴露（以传染率衡量）与劳动力需求增长之间存在主要非线性的负相关关系。然而，在高暴露水平下，由于意大利北部对关键角色的需求增加，积极影响出现了。我们的研究结果揭示了显著的地区差异。尽管受影响程度较低，但南方省份的劳动力需求降幅更大，这反映出它们的经济结构较弱，对非必要工作的依赖。相反，暴露程度较高的北部省份的基本职位空缺与非基本职位空缺的比例较高，显示出在危机期间更强的经济弹性。本研究通过考察COVID-19在欧洲背景下对劳动力需求的未充分探索的影响，将意大利定位为一个关键案例研究，为文献做出了贡献。它强调了关键工作在缓解经济混乱方面的关键作用，并强调了意大利劳动力市场对冲击和地区不平等的非线性反应，为了解突发危机如何影响劳动力动态提供了见解。

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引用次数: 0

The effectiveness of disaster risk management policies in Brazilian municipalities 巴西城市灾害风险管理政策的有效性

IF 2.4 3区经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS

Papers in Regional Science

Pub Date : 2025-02-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.pirs.2025.100080

Pedro Jorge Alves , Ricardo Carvalho de Andrade Lima , Lucas Emanuel

This paper examines the role of disaster risk management (DRM) policies implemented by Brazilian municipalities in mitigating the social damage caused by flooding. Specifically, we analyze three commonly adopted DRM policies by local governments: flood risk mapping, supervision of flood-prone areas, and implementation of warning systems. Using an instrumental variables approach based on the spatial diffusion of DRM policies among neighbor municipalities, we show that the adoption of DRM policies is not associated with the proportion of flood-displaced individuals. This evidence indicates that these policies are insufficient in mitigating the human damage caused by floods, underscoring a need for complementary strategies or enhanced implementation measures.

本文考察了巴西市政当局实施的灾害风险管理（DRM）政策在减轻洪水造成的社会损害方面的作用。具体来说，我们分析了地方政府通常采用的三种DRM政策：洪水风险测绘、洪水易发地区监管和预警系统的实施。利用基于DRM政策在邻近城市间空间扩散的工具变量方法，我们发现DRM政策的采用与洪水流离失所者的比例无关。这一证据表明，这些政策在减轻洪水造成的人类损失方面是不够的，强调需要制定补充战略或加强执行措施。

引用次数: 0

Understanding the role of government in regional industrial evolution: Evidence from land supply in China 理解政府在区域产业演化中的作用：来自中国土地供应的证据

IF 2.4 3区经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS

Papers in Regional Science

Pub Date : 2025-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.pirs.2024.100070

Zhiji Huang , Tao Shi , De Tong

In the process of regional industrial evolution, the role of government in fiscal and administrative aspects has gradually gained attention in recent years. However, there is still a lack of discussion on how government land supply shapes industrial evolution. Using land-industry data from 2007 to 2013 in China, we find that the government has been deeply involved in the development of various unrelated industries through land pricing authority, a phenomenon that remains robust after addressing endogeneity concerns. Unlike the literature focusing on China’s early industrial evolution, during the period of large-scale relocations of industries to inland regions, our results reveal that government subsidies have minimal impact, whereas initiatives to establish development zones yield significant returns. Besides, differences in the ability of governments to affect industrial evolution through land use are identified, revealing disparities across industry attributes and geographical features. Further analysis suggests that the rise in firms’ average debt ratio and local governments’ budgetary revenue are potential channels in this process, while the trade-off is an increase in corruption. In sum, we revisit and extend the significant role played by the government in regional industrial evolution. This may offer novel insights into industry policy for countries with public land ownership or less developed industries.

在区域产业演进过程中，政府在财政和行政方面的作用近年来逐渐受到重视。然而，关于政府土地供应如何影响产业演变的讨论仍然缺乏。利用中国2007 - 2013年的土地产业数据，我们发现政府已经通过土地定价权深度参与了各种不相关产业的发展，在解决了内生性问题后，这一现象仍然强劲。与关注中国早期产业演变的文献不同，在产业大规模向内陆地区转移的时期，我们的研究结果表明，政府补贴的影响很小，而建立开发区的举措产生了显著的回报。此外，政府通过土地利用影响产业演变的能力存在差异，揭示了产业属性和地理特征之间的差异。进一步分析表明，企业平均负债率的上升和地方政府预算收入的增加是这一过程中的潜在渠道，而代价是腐败的增加。综上所述，我们重新审视并延伸了政府在区域产业演进中的重要作用。这可能为拥有公共土地所有权或工业欠发达的国家提供新的产业政策见解。

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引用次数: 0

New Challenges Ahead 未来新挑战

IF 2.4 3区经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS

Papers in Regional Science

Pub Date : 2025-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.pirs.2024.100077

Rosella Nicolini

引用次数: 0

Functional upgrading and downgrading in global value chains: Evidence from EU regions using a relatedness/complexity framework 全球价值链中的功能升级与降级：基于相关性/复杂性框架的欧盟地区证据

IF 2.4 3区经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS

Papers in Regional Science

Pub Date : 2025-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.pirs.2024.100072

Eduardo Hernández-Rodríguez , Ron Boschma , Andrea Morrison , Xianjia Ye

This paper adopts a relatedness-complexity framework to assess the likelihood of functional upgrading and downgrading in global value chains in EU regions in the period 2000–2010. We use relatedness and economic complexity measures based on value added content of gross exports and labour structures at the regional level. We show how economic complexity metrics can be used as an alternative for value added data, to measure both functional upgrading and downgrading in global value chains. We find that relatedness between functions (occupation-industry pairs) is a factor impacting both functional upgrading and downgrading. Regions tend to functionally upgrade their global value chains towards more complex functions that are related to functions in which they are specialised. And regions are more likely to functionally exit and downgrade in global value chains when they are not specialised in related functions.

本文采用关联度-复杂性框架对2000-2010年欧盟地区全球价值链中功能升级与降级的可能性进行了评估。我们根据出口总值的增加值和地区层面的劳动力结构，使用相关性和经济复杂性指标。我们展示了如何将经济复杂性指标用作附加值数据的替代方案，以衡量全球价值链中的功能升级和降级。研究发现，职能关联度（职业-产业对）是影响职能升级与降级的重要因素。各地区倾向于对其全球价值链进行功能升级，向更复杂的功能发展，这些功能与它们专门从事的功能相关。如果某个地区没有专门从事相关职能，就更有可能在功能上退出全球价值链，并在全球价值链中降级。

引用次数: 0

Regional technological profiles and collaborations: An empirical analysis of joint patents and EU-funded projects 区域技术概况和合作：联合专利和欧盟资助项目的实证分析

IF 2.4 3区经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS

Papers in Regional Science

Pub Date : 2025-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.pirs.2024.100073

Diego D’Adda , Donato Iacobucci , Francesco Perugini

The aim of this paper is to determine the factors affecting technological collaborations among EU regions, focusing on the role of their technological profiles. We consider the population of EU NUTS2 regions and analyse the inter-regional collaborations in EPO patent applications and in EU projects in the Seventh Framework Programme in the period 2007–2013. We overcome the limitations related to the mono-dimensionality of technological proximity by explicitly considering the distinction between technological similarity and technological complementarity. We further distinguish between horizontal complementarity, related to the degree to which technologies are fruitfully combined in R&D, and vertical complementarity, the degree to which technology developers (leaders) are related to technology adopters (followers). To measure ‘horizontal’ technology complementarity, we develop an original dyad-level indicator based on the concept of technological relatedness. The empirical analysis shows that technological complementarity has a statistically significant effect on the number of collaborations between regions, even when controlling for the degree of similarity. While horizontal complementarity positively affects only collaborations in EU projects, vertical complementarity negatively affects both joint patents and EU projects. Notwithstanding the relevance of complementarity, technological similarity seems to have a larger impact on the intensity of inter-regional collaboration. We also find dissimilarities in the factors affecting joint patents and EU projects due to the inner differences in the nature of these two types of innovative collaborations. The results are robust to different specifications and to the use of different methodologies for measuring similarity and complementarity. Given the rising interest in promoting technological inter-regional collaborations in the EU (e.g. in the Smart Specialisation Strategy), this paper provides novel insights about the determinants of two very different forms of inter-regional collaborations in innovation: joint patents and EU projects.

本文的目的是确定影响欧盟地区之间技术合作的因素，重点是他们的技术概况的作用。我们考虑了欧盟NUTS2地区的人口，并分析了2007-2013年期间EPO专利申请和欧盟第七框架计划项目的区域间合作。我们通过明确考虑技术相似性和技术互补性之间的区别，克服了与技术接近性单维性相关的局限性。我们进一步区分了水平互补性和垂直互补性，水平互补性与技术在研发中有效结合的程度有关，垂直互补性与技术开发人员（领导者）与技术采用者（追随者）的关系程度有关。为了衡量“水平”技术互补性，我们基于技术相关性的概念开发了一个原始的二元水平指标。实证分析表明，即使在控制相似程度的情况下，技术互补性对区域间合作的数量也有统计学上显著的影响。横向互补性只对欧盟项目的合作产生积极影响，而纵向互补性对联合专利和欧盟项目都产生消极影响。尽管互补性具有相关性，但技术相似性似乎对区域间合作的强度有更大的影响。我们还发现，由于两种类型的创新合作性质的内在差异，影响联合专利和欧盟项目的因素也存在差异。结果对于不同的规范和使用不同的方法来测量相似性和互补性是稳健的。鉴于对促进欧盟区域间技术合作的兴趣日益浓厚（例如在智能专业化战略中），本文提供了关于两种截然不同形式的区域间创新合作的决定因素的新颖见解：联合专利和欧盟项目。

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引用次数: 0

Corporate ownership transfer and urban economic growth: A study of manufacturing M&As in China 企业所有权转移与城市经济增长：中国制造业并购的实证研究

IF 2.4 3区经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS

Papers in Regional Science

Pub Date : 2025-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.pirs.2024.100071

Shuai Shi , Siu Kei Wong , Will W. Qiang , Chen Zheng

Mergers & Acquisitions (M&As) are strategic business transactions that combine the ownership of one firm with another, typically to achieve synergies, growth, and diversification. However, the spatial implications of transferring corporate control between cities have been largely overlooked. This article examines the impact of such spatial transfer on urban economic growth, focusing on the restructuring of the manufacturing industry in China. Three types of M&As are distinguished: horizontal, vertical, and conglomerate. Drawing on an instrumental variable analysis of 10,316 M&A transactions from 2004 to 2018, we find that vertical M&As that integrate the supply chain foster urban economic growth, while conglomerate M&As that diversify into unrelated businesses have a negative impact. Furthermore, based on the network properties of M&A flows, the positive effects of vertical M&As is stronger for acquirer cities compared to receiver cities, highlighting the need for place-based financial regulations to address regional disparities in China.

合并,并购（M&As）是一种战略性的商业交易，它将一家公司的所有权与另一家公司的所有权结合起来，通常是为了实现协同效应、增长和多样化。然而，企业控制权在城市之间转移的空间影响在很大程度上被忽视了。本文考察了这种空间转移对城市经济增长的影响，并以中国制造业结构调整为研究对象。有三种类型的并购：水平型、垂直型和综合型。通过对2004年至2018年10316笔 并购交易的工具变量分析，我们发现整合供应链的垂直并购促进了城市经济增长，而多元化到不相关业务的综合并购则产生了负面影响。此外，基于并购资本流动的网络特性，纵向并购资本流动对收购城市的积极影响强于接收城市，这凸显出中国需要基于地方的金融监管来解决地区差异问题。

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