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Reforming the Bench: Public Support for Supreme Court Institutional Change 改革法官:公众对最高法院体制改革的支持
IF 0.8 4区 社会学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-03-07 DOI: 10.1093/psquar/qqae009
Anna McCaghren Fleming, Matthew D. Montgomery, Natalie C. Rogol
Approval of the Supreme Court recently hit its lowest point in decades. Calls for reforming the Court have gained traction as a result. In this study, we look at how media framing can influence public support for two specific reforms: Court packing and term limits. In a survey experiment, we provide respondents with either a pro-, anti-, or mixed-valence framed message about one of these two reforms. We find support for the proposition that media messages have the power to decrease support for reform but not to increase support for reform. Additionally, we theorize that highlighting the conflict surrounding the Court activates ideological considerations individuals hold toward the Court. In support of this theory, we find that discussing either Court packing or term limits decreases specific support of the high Court among Democrats and increases specific support among Republicans across all conditions.
最高法院的支持率最近跌至几十年来的最低点。因此,改革最高法院的呼声越来越高。在本研究中,我们将探讨媒体框架如何影响公众对两项具体改革的支持:法院打包和任期限制。在一项调查实验中,我们向受访者提供了关于这两项改革之一的支持、反对或混合价值框架信息。我们发现,媒体信息能够降低改革支持率,但不能提高改革支持率,这一命题得到了支持。此外,我们还提出了一个理论,即突出围绕法院的冲突会激活个人对法院的意识形态考量。为了支持这一理论,我们发现,在所有条件下,讨论法院打包或任期限制会降低民主党人对高等法院的具体支持率,而增加共和党人的具体支持率。
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引用次数: 0
The Rhetorical Post-presidency: Former Presidents as Elite Cue Givers 修辞学上的后总统时代:前总统作为精英线索提供者
IF 0.8 4区 社会学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-03-06 DOI: 10.1093/psquar/qqae013
Gregory H. Winger, Alex Oliver
Former presidents are not resigned to quiet anonymity but instead can remain prominent political actors long after exiting the White House. From Jimmy Carter's personal diplomacy to Donald Trump's caustic social media posts, ex-presidents continue to exercise considerable political power despite lacking any official role or governing authority. We argue that this continued post-presidential influence is an outgrowth of the informal powers of the presidency. A president's rhetorical prowess and ability to command national attention do not dissipate upon exiting office but instead form the basis for post-presidential influence. To test this theory, we conducted two survey experiments of former presidents as elite cue givers. We found that although effects are not uniform, statements attributed to former presidents can substantively alter the policy preferences of recipients. However, these effects appear to be highly individualistic and largely tied to copartisan recipients.
前总统们并不甘心默默无闻,相反,他们在离开白宫后很长时间内仍然是著名的政治人物。从吉米-卡特(Jimmy Carter)的个人外交到唐纳德-特朗普(Donald Trump)在社交媒体上发表的尖酸刻薄的言论,前总统们尽管没有任何官方角色或管理权限,却继续行使着相当大的政治权力。我们认为,总统卸任后的这种持续影响力是总统非正式权力的产物。总统的言辞能力和引起全国关注的能力并不会在卸任后消失,相反,它们构成了总统卸任后影响力的基础。为了验证这一理论,我们对作为精英线索提供者的前总统进行了两次调查实验。我们发现,尽管效果不尽相同,但前任总统的言论会实质性地改变接受者的政策偏好。然而,这些效应似乎是高度个人化的,而且在很大程度上与共党受众相关。
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引用次数: 0
Bureaucratic Autonomy and the Performance of International Institutions 官僚自主与国际机构的绩效
IF 0.8 4区 社会学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-03-06 DOI: 10.1093/psquar/qqae017
Edward D Mansfield
Despite longstanding scholarly interest in international institutions, remarkably little research has been conducted in variation in performance across organizations. In this essay, I review Ranjit Lall's book, which aims to fill that gap. Lall argues that the chief impediment to high-functioning international organizations (IOs) are member-states with particularistic interests that attempt to capture the institutions. The solution, he maintains, is to bolster the de facto autonomy of the bureaucrats who staff these institutions by forging operational alliances with nonstate stakeholders and mandating that they perform functions that are difficult for members to monitor. I evaluate Lall's argument and evidence. I then discuss a set of additional issues that are related to the performance of international institutions. First, why do stakeholders often continue to support those organizations that perform poorly? Second, what mechanisms exist for improving the performance of ailing IOs? Third, how does the widely documented backlash against globalization that has transpired during the past few decades bear on IOs? Fourth, Lall and others tout the benefits of well-performing IOs, but such institutions, nonetheless, can have costly and unanticipated side effects that merit greater scrutiny. Finally, formal international institutions have been key features of world politics. However, additional research is needed on whether and, if so, why they have become less important aspects of global governance.
尽管学者们对国际机构的研究兴趣由来已久,但对不同组织间绩效差异的研究却少得可怜。在这篇文章中,我回顾了兰吉特-拉尔(Ranjit Lall)的著作,该书旨在填补这一空白。拉尔认为,阻碍国际组织(IOs)高效运作的主要因素是成员国的特殊利益,它们试图攫取机构的利益。他认为,解决办法是通过与非国家利益相关者结成业务联盟,授权他们履行成员国难以监督的职能,从而加强这些机构的官僚事实上的自主权。我对 Lall 的论点和证据进行了评估。然后,我将讨论一系列与国际机构绩效相关的其他问题。首先,为什么利益相关者经常继续支持那些表现不佳的组织?第二,有哪些机制可以改善表现不佳的国际组织的绩效?第三,在过去几十年中发生的被广泛记录的对全球化的反弹对国际组织有何影响?第四,拉尔等人大肆宣扬表现良好的国际组织的好处,但尽管如此,这些机构也可能产生代价高昂和意想不到的副作用,值得进一步仔细研究。最后,正式的国际机构一直是世界政治的关键特征。然而,还需要进一步研究这些机构是否已不再是全球治理的重要方面,如果是,为什么会这样。
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引用次数: 0
Rethinking the Basic Models of Presidential Leadership: Eisenhower, Greenstein, and Federal Highway Expansion 反思总统领导的基本模式:艾森豪威尔、格林斯坦和联邦公路扩张
IF 0.8 4区 社会学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-03-06 DOI: 10.1093/psquar/qqae004
Charles U. Zug
Fred Greenstein famously presented Eisenhower's secretive “hidden hand” style as an alternative to Richard Neustadt's model of presidential leadership, which had emphasized the need for overt control over the legislative process. Yet both models assume that the most important component of presidential leadership is the ability to manipulate governing elites. This article shows that the 1956 Highway Act contradicts Greenstein's characterization of Eisenhower as a successful hidden-hand leader. Through archival research, I show that Eisenhower's role in the Highway Act—by far the most ambitious legislative program attempted during his administration—was a decisive leadership failure. This finding does not merely undercut Greenstein's assessment of Eisenhower's distinctive leadership style, however. It exposes problems that result from assuming that presidential success should be defined as the ability to control the political process by denying other political actors substantive input in decision-making and the ability to reach some decisions on their own. Greenstein and Neustadt—the originators of widely shared contemporary assumptions about the presidency—thus incorrectly theorized the presidency's place in the American constitutional system. By empowering independently elected legislators, the separation of powers incentivizes presidents with ambitious legislative agendas to accommodate the agency of other constitutional actors through a degree of transparency and deliberativeness. I conclude by sketching an alternative presidential leadership model to the one offered by Greenstein and Neustadt, one that accommodates rather than resists the Constitution's constraints.
弗雷德-格林斯坦(Fred Greenstein)提出了艾森豪威尔隐秘的 "暗手 "风格,作为理查德-诺伊施塔特(Richard Neustadt)总统领导模式的替代方案。然而,这两种模式都认为总统领导力最重要的组成部分是操纵执政精英的能力。本文表明,1956 年的《公路法案》与格林斯坦关于艾森豪威尔是一位成功的暗手领袖的描述相矛盾。通过档案研究,我表明艾森豪威尔在《公路法案》--迄今为止他执政期间尝试的最雄心勃勃的立法计划--中所扮演的角色是一次决定性的领导失败。然而,这一发现并不仅仅削弱了格林斯坦对艾森豪威尔独特领导风格的评价。它揭示了以下假设所导致的问题:总统的成功应被定义为通过剥夺其他政治行为者在决策中的实质性投入和独立做出某些决定的能力来控制政治进程。格林斯坦和诺伊斯塔特是当代关于总统职位的广泛共识的提出者,他们对总统职位在美国宪法体系中的地位的理论化是错误的。通过赋予独立选举产生的立法者权力,三权分立激励总统在制定雄心勃勃的立法议程时,通过一定程度的透明度和深思熟虑,兼顾其他宪法参与者的代理权。最后,我将勾勒出格林斯坦和诺伊施塔特提出的另一种总统领导模式,一种适应而非抵制宪法约束的模式。
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引用次数: 0
Anti-Asian Racism and the Rise of Hawkish Mass Opinion in China 反亚洲种族主义与中国鹰派大众舆论的兴起
IF 0.8 4区 社会学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-03-06 DOI: 10.1093/psquar/qqae001
D. G. Kim
The dramatic increase in anti-Asian racial violence in the United States during the pandemic has sparked debates on issues of domestic racial justice and deep-seated racism against Asian Americans. Political scientists, however, have paid relatively little attention to how growing anti-Asian racism might affect contemporary U.S.-China relations, especially by shaping foreign policy discourses and public opinion in China. In this article, I investigate the way the Chinese state media discuss the issue and how such top-down discourses shape mass political attitudes and foreign policy preferences in China. Analyzing the Chinese state media coverage of anti-Asian racial violence, I first find that Chinese official narratives frame the issue as a manifestation of both racially motivated American foreign policy and problems with American democracy. By conducting a nationwide survey experiment in China, I then examine the impact of such top-down political rhetoric on public support for hawkish foreign policies. I find that these political narratives significantly boost racialized and nationalist sentiments among the Chinese masses, which, in turn, garner greater public support for hawkish foreign policy. This article contributes to understanding the foreign policy implications of anti-Asian racism after the global pandemic and the potential racialization of Sino-American great-power competition.
大流行病期间,美国反亚裔种族暴力事件急剧增加,引发了有关国内种族正义和针对亚裔美国人的根深蒂固的种族主义问题的辩论。然而,政治学家对日益严重的反亚裔种族主义如何影响当代中美关系,尤其是如何影响中国的外交政策论述和公众舆论的关注相对较少。在本文中,我研究了中国国家媒体讨论这一问题的方式,以及这种自上而下的话语如何影响中国大众的政治态度和外交政策偏好。通过分析中国国家媒体对反亚裔种族暴力的报道,我首先发现中国官方的叙述将这一问题归结为美国出于种族动机的外交政策和美国民主问题的表现。通过在中国进行全国范围的调查实验,我研究了这种自上而下的政治言论对公众支持鹰派外交政策的影响。我发现,这些政治叙事极大地促进了中国民众的种族和民族主义情绪,进而为鹰派外交政策赢得了更多的公众支持。本文有助于理解全球大流行后反亚洲种族主义对外交政策的影响,以及中美大国竞争的潜在种族化。
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引用次数: 0
Winners, Losers, and Voter Confidence in Response to Partisan Electoral Reform 应对党派选举改革的赢家、输家和选民信心
IF 0.8 4区 社会学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-03-05 DOI: 10.1093/psquar/qqae012
M. Hood, Seth C. McKee
In this article, we examine individual- and state-level voter confidence in Georgia from 2020 to 2022—an extremely contentious moment in Georgia politics. For the first time in 28 years, Georgia's electoral votes went to a Democrat, Joe Biden, in 2020. Then, in early January 2021, Democrats won both of Georgia's two U.S. Senate runoffs, giving their party majority control. In the wake of these surprising, historic, and consequential losses, Georgia Republicans’ voter confidence plummeted, and their party responded by passing comprehensive electoral reform in Senate Bill (SB) 202. Using survey data, we tracked voter confidence in Georgia before and after 2020, after passage of SB 202 in 2021, and after the 2022 midterm. Partisans’ voter confidence is greatly affected by the winner/loser effect in election outcomes. Also, SB 202 did boost Republicans’ confidence in Georgia's election system, which, in turn, increased their individual- and state-level voter confidence in the 2022 midterm. In contrast, Georgia Democrats overwhelmingly opposed SB 202; therefore, the bill did not have the same salutary effect on their voter confidence in the 2022 elections.
在本文中,我们研究了 2020 年至 2022 年佐治亚州个人和州一级的选民信心--这是佐治亚州政治中极具争议的时刻。2020 年,佐治亚州的选举人票投给了民主党人乔-拜登(Joe Biden),这是 28 年来第一次。随后,在 2021 年 1 月初,民主党在佐治亚州的两场美国参议院决选中均获胜,从而获得了多数党控制权。在这些出人意料、具有历史意义和重大影响的失利之后,佐治亚州共和党的选民信心急剧下降,该党的回应是通过了参议院法案(SB)202 中的全面选举改革。利用调查数据,我们追踪了 2020 年前后、2021 年 SB 202 法案通过后以及 2022 年中期选举后佐治亚州的选民信心。党派选民的信心在很大程度上受到选举结果中赢家/输家效应的影响。另外,SB 202 确实增强了共和党人对佐治亚州选举制度的信心,这反过来又增强了他们在 2022 年中期选举中对个人和州一级选民的信心。相比之下,佐治亚州民主党人绝大多数反对 SB 202 法案;因此,该法案并没有对他们在 2022 年选举中的选民信心产生同样有益的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Nationalism and Conflict: How Do Variations of Nationalism Affect Variations in Domestic and International Conflict? 民族主义与冲突:民族主义的变化如何影响国内和国际冲突的变化?
IF 0.8 4区 社会学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-03-05 DOI: 10.1093/psquar/qqae014
Benjamin Miller
This article advances a novel theoretical framework for explaining the emergence of international and domestic conflicts, especially in the twenty-first century. I argue that nationalism plays a major role in the rise of these conflicts. Yet, nationalism is not monolithic. I distinguish among five types of nationalism (satisfied; stateless; consolidating; irredentist; populist). The variations in the type of nationalism explain variations in peace and conflict in different parts of the world. The explanation of the variations of types of nationalism, in turn, is based on the combined effect of variations in state capacity (i.e., the functioning of state institutions) and national congruence (i.e., the congruence between national identities and state borders). Variations in these two independent variables account for both civil and international wars as well as for peaceful states and for domestic polarization. Thus, national congruence and high capacity produce satisfied nationalism and a peaceful state. In contrast, national incongruence and low capacity lead to stateless nationalism and, thus, to civil wars in failed states. High capacity and national incongruence, especially external incongruence, produce irredentist nationalism of revisionist states, leading to war-prone interstate conflicts. High capacity and declining congruence generate nationalist populism and societal polarization. Thus, the theory developed here explains the recent rise of nationalist populism (and the related domestic polarization) in quite a few democracies in comparison with other types of nationalism and the conflicts they generate.
本文提出了一个新颖的理论框架来解释国际和国内冲突的出现,尤其是在二十一世纪。我认为,民族主义在这些冲突的兴起中扮演了重要角色。然而,民族主义并非铁板一块。我将民族主义分为五种类型(满足型、无国籍型、巩固型、不可分割型、民粹型)。民族主义类型的差异解释了世界不同地区和平与冲突的差异。对民族主义类型差异的解释则基于国家能力(即国家机构的运作)和民族一致性(即民族特性与国家边界之间的一致性)差异的综合影响。这两个独立变量的变化既能解释内战和国际战争,也能解释和平国家和国内两极分化。因此,民族一致性和高能力会产生满意的民族主义与和平的国家。与此相反,民族不一致和能力低会导致无国家的民族主义,从而导致失败国家的内战。高能力和国家不协调,尤其是外部不协调,会产生修正主义国家的民族主义,导致易发战争的国家间冲突。高能力和一致性下降会产生民族主义民粹主义和社会两极分化。因此,与其他类型的民族主义及其引发的冲突相比,本文提出的理论可以解释近来在许多民主国家兴起的民族主义民粹主义(以及与之相关的国内两极分化)。
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引用次数: 0
Violence and Democracy 暴力与民主
IF 0.8 4区 社会学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-03-05 DOI: 10.1093/psquar/qqae015
Yeilim Cheong, Stephan Haggard
The relationship between violence and democracy is an enduring theme in political science. We know that civil war, revolution, and state repression are much less likely under democratic rule, but how do we get from such violence to democracy? We draw upon Sarah Zukerman Daly's book, Violent Victors: Why Bloodstained Parties Win Postwar Elections, to explore these questions. Daly addresses the enigma of belligerent parties, often marred by heinous atrocities, emerging victorious in postwar elections. She shows how such violent victors triumph by playing on their capacity to provide security. We broaden out from Daly's focus on postwar democratization to consider the prospects for democracy in the wake of state repression and revolution. Our review finds that voters may be less forgiving of violent state repression compared with civil war violence; political parties emerging from civil wars and state repression face cognate yet distinct challenges; and social revolutionary violence poses more serious and durable threats to democratization than violence from civil wars and state repression. These findings underscore the need for a wider research agenda that investigates the diverse forms of social and political violence and their implications for democracy.
暴力与民主之间的关系是政治学的一个永恒主题。我们知道,在民主统治下,内战、革命和国家镇压的可能性要小得多,但我们如何从这种暴力走向民主呢?我们借鉴了萨拉-祖克曼-戴利(Sarah Zukerman Daly)的著作《暴力胜利者》(Violent Victors:为什么血染的政党在战后选举中获胜》一书来探讨这些问题。戴利探讨了交战方往往因令人发指的暴行而在战后选举中获胜的谜团。她展示了这些暴力胜利者是如何利用其提供安全保障的能力取得胜利的。我们从戴利对战后民主化的关注出发,考虑国家镇压和革命后的民主前景。我们的研究发现,与内战暴力相比,选民对国家暴力镇压的宽容度可能较低;内战和国家镇压后出现的政党面临着相同但又截然不同的挑战;与内战和国家镇压暴力相比,社会革命暴力对民主化构成了更严重、更持久的威胁。这些研究结果突出表明,有必要制定更广泛的研究议程,调查各种形式的社会和政治暴力及其对民主的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Prison Abolitionism and the Liberal Imagination 监狱废奴主义与自由想象力
IF 0.8 4区 社会学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-03-05 DOI: 10.1093/psquar/qqae020
Jacob Abolafia
One of the most controversial political demands to emerge from the mass protests of the summer of 2020 was the abolition of police departments and prisons. This review article takes stock of the rationale behind prison abolitionism and of the philosopher Tommie Shelby's The Idea of Prison Abolition, a recent effort to initiate a dialogue between Angela Davis, the intellectual vanguard of contemporary abolitionists, and Shelby's own style of liberal political philosophy in the tradition of John Rawls. Although it shares a name with the successful nineteenth century movement to end slavery, today's abolitionists have much broader and far-reaching aims. The antislavery movement claimed to be bringing liberal society in line with liberalism's own values by abolishing chattel slavery, but Shelby's argument reaffirms that the prison, for its part, actually has a deep conceptual and historical compatibility with liberalism. Prison abolitionists, conscious of the connections between liberalism and incarceration, therefore, level their attacks not only at imprisonment but against liberal society as a whole. The close entwinement of liberalism and incarceration and deep disagreements about the meaning of basic terms like reform and criminality mean that long-term collaboration between liberals and abolitionists is probably unrealistic, both theoretically and politically.
2020 年夏天的大规模抗议活动中出现的最具争议性的政治诉求之一是废除警察部门和监狱。这篇评论文章盘点了监狱废奴主义背后的理论依据,以及哲学家托米-谢尔比(Tommie Shelby)的《监狱废奴的理念》(The Idea of Prison Abolition)一书,该书是当代废奴主义者的思想先锋安吉拉-戴维斯(Angela Davis)与谢尔比本人秉承约翰-罗尔斯(John Rawls)传统的自由主义政治哲学风格之间展开对话的最新力作。虽然与十九世纪成功结束奴隶制的运动同名,但今天的废奴主义者有着更为广泛和深远的目标。反奴隶制运动声称要通过废除动产奴隶制,使自由主义社会与自由主义自身的价值观保持一致,但谢尔比的论点再次证实,监狱就其自身而言,实际上与自由主义在理念和历史上有着深刻的契合点。因此,意识到自由主义与监禁之间联系的监狱废奴主义者,他们的攻击不仅针对监禁,而且针对整个自由主义社会。自由主义与监禁的紧密联系,以及对改革和犯罪等基本术语含义的深刻分歧,意味着自由主义者与废狱主义者之间的长期合作在理论上和政治上可能都是不现实的。
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引用次数: 0
The New Racial Spillover: Donald Trump, Racial Attitudes, and Public Opinion Toward Accountability for Perpetrators and Planners of the January 6 Capitol Attack 新的种族蔓延:唐纳德-特朗普、种族态度以及公众舆论对 1 月 6 日国会大厦袭击事件肇事者和策划者问责的态度
IF 0.8 4区 社会学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-03-02 DOI: 10.1093/psquar/qqae010
Jesse H Rhodes, Tatishe M. Nteta
Since the violent January 6 attack on the U.S. Capitol, federal authorities have sought to hold participants and organizers accountable for their assault on American democracy. Troublingly, however, a substantial fraction of the public opposes the prosecution of participants in the assault on the Capitol and rejects charging former president Trump with crimes relating to the planning and execution of the attack. Why does a substantial fraction of the American public oppose accountability for perpetrators of the January 6 attack? In this article, we argue that racial attitudes play a central role in determining individuals' attitudes toward accountability for the Capitol attack. Elaborating on the theory of “racial spillover,” we argue that former president Trump's frequent use of racial rhetoric—which established a racialized identity and cemented a close relationship between negative racial attitudes and support for his presidency among members of the mass public—created conditions in which these attitudes were likely to “spill over” into the ostensibly non-racialized domain of attitudes toward holding perpetrators, planners, and inciters accountable for the attack. Because attitudes toward accountability for the Capitol attack are inextricable from Trump's racialized persona, we hypothesize that negative racial attitudes should be associated with increased opposition to accountability for those responsible for the attack. Using data from four original, nationally representative surveys fielded between 2021 and 2023, we find strong evidence for our racial spillover hypothesis and show that individuals with more negative racial attitudes are more opposed to accountability for those responsible for the Capitol attack.
自 1 月 6 日对美国国会大厦的暴力袭击发生以来,联邦当局一直在寻求追究参与者和组织者对其攻击美国民主的责任。然而,令人不安的是,相当一部分公众反对起诉袭击国会大厦事件的参与者,反对指控前总统特朗普犯有与策划和实施袭击有关的罪行。为什么相当一部分美国公众反对追究 1 月 6 日袭击事件肇事者的责任?在本文中,我们认为种族态度在决定个人对国会大厦袭击事件的问责态度方面发挥了核心作用。在阐述 "种族溢出 "理论时,我们认为,前总统特朗普频繁使用种族言论--这确立了种族化身份,并巩固了负面种族态度与大众对其总统职位支持之间的密切关系--创造了条件,使这些态度有可能 "溢出 "到表面上非种族化的领域,即对追究袭击事件实施者、策划者和煽动者责任的态度。由于对国会大厦袭击事件问责的态度与特朗普的种族化形象密不可分,我们假设,负面的种族态度应与反对追究袭击事件责任人的责任相关联。利用 2021 年至 2023 年期间进行的四次具有全国代表性的原创调查数据,我们发现了种族溢出假设的有力证据,并表明具有更多负面种族态度的个人更反对追究国会大厦袭击事件责任人的责任。
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引用次数: 0
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