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Making each other smarter: assessing peer mentoring groups as a way to support learning system dynamics 使彼此更聪明:评估同伴指导小组作为支持学习系统动态的一种方式
IF 4.8 3区 管理学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-05-27 DOI: 10.1002/SDR.1683
E. Suprun, Andrijana Horvat, D. Andersen
Between 2015 and 2018, the Student Chapter of the System Dynamics (SD) Society sponsored the creation of nine peer mentoring groups (PMGs). PMGs are widely recognized as an important way to support learning and professional development, especially by novices (Ashwin, 2003; Terrion and Leonard, 2007; Huizing, 2012; Dhirasasna et al., 2021). This note reports on the experiences of members of these groups, leaders of the nine groups, and senior faculty membersi who volunteered to work with some of the groups. Many PMG members were PhD students, while others worked in academia but not as PhD students or in industry and consultancy.
2015年至2018年间,系统动力学学会学生分会赞助成立了九个同伴辅导小组。PMG被广泛认为是支持学习和专业发展的重要方式,尤其是新手(Ashwin,2003;Terrion和Leonard,2007;Huizing,2012;Dhirasasna等人,2021)。本说明报告了这些小组的成员、九个小组的领导人以及自愿与其中一些小组合作的高级教员的经历。许多PMG成员是博士生,而其他人在学术界工作,但不是博士生或行业和咨询公司。
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引用次数: 0
Managing the trade‐off between groundwater resources and large‐scale agriculture: the case of pistachio production in Iran 管理地下水资源和大规模农业之间的权衡:以伊朗开心果生产为例
IF 4.8 3区 管理学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-04-01 DOI: 10.1002/sdr.1689
A. Akhavan, Paulo Gonçalves
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引用次数: 12
Special issue of System Dynamics Review . “Qualitative Aspects of System Dynamics Modeling” 《系统动力学评论》特刊。系统动力学建模的定性方面
IF 4.8 3区 管理学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-04-01 DOI: 10.1002/sdr.1690
K. Stave, N. Zimmermann, Hyunjung Kim
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引用次数: 1
“System Dynamics. Theory and Applications” ‐ Edited by Brian Dangerfield “系统动力学。理论与应用”‐由Brian Dangerfield编辑
IF 4.8 3区 管理学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-04-01 DOI: 10.1002/sdr.1691
C. Bianchi
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引用次数: 1
Issue Information 问题信息
IF 4.8 3区 管理学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.1002/sdr.1651
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引用次数: 0
Evaluating the impact of upstream and downstream interventions on chronic kidney disease and dialysis care: a simulation analysis 评估上游和下游干预措施对慢性肾脏疾病和透析护理的影响:模拟分析
IF 4.8 3区 管理学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.1002/SDR.1676
J. Ansah, Keith Low Sheng Hng, Salman Ahmad, Cheryl Goh
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引用次数: 4
Behavioral dynamics of COVID-19: estimating underreporting, multiple waves, and adherence fatigue across 92 nations. COVID-19的行为动力学:估计92个国家的漏报、多波和坚持疲劳
IF 4.8 3区 管理学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-01-01 Epub Date: 2021-03-16 DOI: 10.1002/sdr.1673
Hazhir Rahmandad, Tse Yang Lim, John Sterman

Effective responses to the COVID-19 pandemic require integrating behavioral factors such as risk-driven contact reduction, improved treatment, and adherence fatigue with asymptomatic transmission, disease acuity, and hospital capacity. We build one such model and estimate it for all 92 nations with reliable testing data. Cumulative cases and deaths through 22 December 2020 are estimated to be 7.03 and 1.44 times official reports, yielding an infection fatality rate (IFR) of 0.51 percent, which has been declining over time. Absent adherence fatigue, cumulative cases would have been 47 percent lower. Scenarios through June 2021 show that modest improvement in responsiveness could reduce cases and deaths by about 14 percent, more than the impact of vaccinating half of the population by that date. Variations in responsiveness to risk explain two orders of magnitude difference in per-capita deaths despite reproduction numbers fluctuating around one across nations. A public online simulator facilitates scenario analysis over the coming months. © 2021 System Dynamics Society.

有效应对COVID-19大流行需要综合行为因素,如风险驱动的减少接触、改善治疗、无症状传播的依从性疲劳、疾病敏锐度和医院能力。我们建立了一个这样的模型,并对所有92个国家的可靠测试数据进行了估计。截至2020年12月22日,累计病例数和死亡人数估计分别是官方报告的7.03倍和1.44倍,感染致死率(IFR)为0.51%,随着时间的推移一直在下降。如果没有依从性疲劳,累积病例将降低47%。到2021年6月的情景表明,反应能力的适度改善可以减少约14%的病例和死亡,超过到那时为一半人口接种疫苗的影响。尽管各国的繁殖数量在1左右波动,但对风险的反应能力的差异解释了人均死亡率的两个数量级差异。一个公共的在线模拟器有助于未来几个月的情景分析。©2021系统动力学学会。
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引用次数: 85
Measure more or report faster? Effect of information perception on management of commons 测量更多还是报告更快?信息感知对公地管理的影响
IF 4.8 3区 管理学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.1002/SDR.1677
Saeed P. Langarudi, Carlos G. Silva, A. Fernald
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引用次数: 5
Moving online: reflections from conducting system dynamics workshops in virtual settings. 在线移动:在虚拟环境中进行系统动力学研讨会的思考。
IF 4.8 3区 管理学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-01-01 Epub Date: 2020-12-01 DOI: 10.1002/sdr.1667
Nici Zimmermann, Irene Pluchinotta, Giuseppe Salvia, Marianne Touchie, Helen Stopps, Ian Hamilton, Ted Kesik, Kaveh Dianati, Ting Chen
Due to the COVID-19 pandemic, it has become increasingly important and necessary to conduct research and teaching activities online. While many universities quickly started the transition to online teaching, most in-person research activities were typically postponed. However, in order to not significantly delay research, researchers are increasingly seeking to conduct activities, such as workshops, in a virtual setting. Following this initial period of disruption, it is expected that many online or hybrid activities will continue to be used and, in some cases, may replace in-person interactions due to cost, time, convenience, and environmental concerns after the COVID-19 crisis has passed. Researchers and/or stakeholders are often geographically dispersed, which independently motivates the use of online or hybrid workshop activities. Different types of online activities and tools related to system dynamics have existed for some time. They include interactive simulation environments such as Climate Interactive’s widely used C-ROADS and En-ROADS models (e.g. Rooney-Varga et al., 2020) as well as purpose-built solutions for single workshops (e.g. Eker et al., 2018). There is online system dynamics training (https://www.systemdynamics.org/online-course-catalog) and programmes (Pavlov et al., 2014), and researchers have reported about online peer mentoring groups (Richardson et al., 2015; Suprun et al., 2020). The 2020 International Conference of the System Dynamics Society ran online and included a workshop by Michael Bean on delivering online simulations, particularly in teaching contexts. In addition, fuelled by the effects
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引用次数: 23
A technique for generating supply and demand curves from system dynamics models 从系统动力学模型生成供给和需求曲线的一种技术
IF 4.8 3区 管理学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2020-10-19 DOI: 10.1002/sdr.1663
D. Inman, B. Bush, Emily K. Newes, C. Peck, S. Peterson
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引用次数: 4
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System Dynamics Review
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