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Modeling distribution parameters in system dynamics: an application in childhood obesity 系统动力学中的分布参数建模:在儿童肥胖中的应用
IF 4.8 3区 管理学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-03-11 DOI: 10.1002/sdr.1730
S. K. Chiu, L. Freebairn, L. Baur, L. Kreuger, A. Skinner, J. Occhipinti
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引用次数: 0
Mental models, cognitive maps, and the challenge of quantitative analysis of their network representations 心理模型、认知地图及其网络表征定量分析的挑战
IF 4.8 3区 管理学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-02-14 DOI: 10.1002/sdr.1729
S. Haque, Hesam Mahmoudi, Navid Ghaffarzadegan, K. Triantis
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引用次数: 0
Improving Loops that Matter 改善重要的循环
IF 4.8 3区 管理学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-01-26 DOI: 10.1002/sdr.1728
W. Schoenberg, J. Hayward, R. Eberlein
The Loops that Matter approach to understanding behavior has proven easy to use and broadly applicable, but it has a shortcoming in its original formulation in that it does not give the same results when flows equations are combined or separated. This is because the original formulation treats the impact of a flow on a stock relative to the net flow, so that all scores tend to get very large in magnitude as a stock approaches equilibrium, but how big depends strongly on how the flows are specified. By reformulating the link scores from a flow to stock as the score from the flow to the net flow for the stock, this topological dependency is removed. Using this approach makes it easier to see how two loops, especially balancing and reinforcing loops, can work together to achieve an equilibrium or steady state. This makes the analysis of models showing a transition to a steady state both easier and more insightful. In addition, the mathematics behind this approach lines up more closely with the Pathway Participation and Loop Impact analysis methods making the relationship among these different approaches clear. The result of this, when applying the analysis to a variety of models, is that the determination of the structure responsible for behavior is clearer, and more clearly tied to work already done using other techniques.
事实证明,理解行为的“重要循环”方法很容易使用,而且适用范围很广,但它在最初的公式中有一个缺点,即当流动方程合并或分离时,它不能给出相同的结果。这是因为原始公式将流量对股票的影响相对于净流量进行处理,因此,当股票接近平衡时,所有分数往往会变得非常大,但有多大很大程度上取决于流量是如何指定的。通过将从流到库存的链接分数重新表述为从流到库存的净流的分数,这种拓扑依赖性被删除了。使用这种方法可以更容易地看到两个循环,特别是平衡和强化循环,如何一起工作以达到平衡或稳定状态。这使得对显示向稳定状态过渡的模型的分析既容易又有见地。此外,该方法背后的数学与路径参与和循环影响分析方法更紧密地联系在一起,使这些不同方法之间的关系更加清晰。当将分析应用于各种模型时,结果是对负责行为的结构的确定更加清晰,并且更清楚地与使用其他技术已经完成的工作联系在一起。
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引用次数: 2
Call for submissions to the 2023 ISDC 呼吁向2023 ISDC提交申请
IF 4.8 3区 管理学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-01-18 DOI: 10.1002/sdr.1727
Allyson Beall King, J. Ansah, Saras Chung
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引用次数: 0
Observations from a system dynamics modeling field school in Mali 马里一所系统动力学建模实地学校的观测
IF 4.8 3区 管理学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-01-11 DOI: 10.1002/sdr.1726
Laura Schmitt Olabisi, A. Sidibé
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引用次数: 1
Dynamic supply chains with endogenous dispositions 具有内生配置的动态供应链
IF 4.8 3区 管理学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-12-20 DOI: 10.1002/sdr.1725
James Paine
The movement of goods through a supply chain depends on both the physical flow of goods and on the economic decisions of each entity along the chain, including price discovery and inventory disposition decisions. This paper presents a methodological contribution to the system dynamics and supply chain research communities by developing a novel framework for supply chain models by combining three classic modeling methods: co-flow differential equation structures, spot price discovery, and multinomial logistic choice modeling. The relative economic values of possible dispositions of goods, including outright disposal, are considered. For work-in-progress, development is considered in terms of the economic value that an additional unit of time will bring to the finished good, and the interplay of these considerations drive goods through, or out of, supply chains. Incorporating these mechanisms can produce materially different behavior modes and can be applied to multiple levels of aggregation within a production process. © 2022 The Author. System Dynamics Review published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of System Dynamics Society.
商品在供应链中的流动既取决于商品的物理流动,也取决于链上每个实体的经济决策,包括价格发现和库存处置决策。本文通过结合三种经典建模方法:共流微分方程结构、现货价格发现和多项逻辑选择建模,开发了一种新的供应链模型框架,为系统动力学和供应链研究界提供了方法论上的贡献。考虑了货物可能处置的相对经济价值,包括直接处置。对于正在进行的工作,开发是根据额外单位时间将为成品带来的经济价值来考虑的,这些考虑因素的相互作用将货物通过或退出供应链。结合这些机制可以产生实质上不同的行为模式,并且可以应用于生产过程中的多个聚合级别。©2022作者。John Wiley &出版的《系统动力学评论》;儿子有限公司代表系统动力学学会。
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引用次数: 0
Sociotechnical interdependencies and tipping‐point dynamics in data‐intensive services 数据密集型服务中的社会技术相互依存性和临界点动态
IF 4.8 3区 管理学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-12-04 DOI: 10.1002/sdr.1724
Navid Ghaffarzadegan, Sarah Mostafavi, Hyunjung Kim
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引用次数: 0
Sublime reason: when Isaac Asimov met Jay Forrester 崇高的理由:当艾萨克·阿西莫夫遇到杰伊·福雷斯特
IF 4.8 3区 管理学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-10-04 DOI: 10.1002/sdr.1720
L. Malczynski, D. Lane
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引用次数: 1
Announcement of the system dynamics applications award 2020 2020年系统动力学应用奖公告
IF 4.8 3区 管理学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-10-01 DOI: 10.1002/sdr.1723
J. Morrison
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引用次数: 0
Foodborne transmission of norovirus: mechanism modelling, seasonality and policy implications (2020 System Dynamics Applications Award paper) 诺如病毒的食源性传播:机制建模、季节性和政策影响(2020年系统动力学应用奖论文)
IF 4.8 3区 管理学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-09-27 DOI: 10.1002/sdr.1719
D. Lane, Elke Husemann, Darren Holland, Abdul Khaled
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引用次数: 0
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System Dynamics Review
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