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Cybersecurity in the U.S.-Philippine alliance: mission seep 美菲联盟的网络安全:使命渗透
IF 2.1 2区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-08-21 DOI: 10.1080/09512748.2022.2112064
Gregory H. Winger
Abstract This study examines the integration of cybersecurity within the U.S.-Philippine alliance. The growth of new forms of international conflict, like cybersecurity, occur below the threshold of a traditional armed attack and pose a direct challenge to security alliances designed to rebuff conventional military threats. Using a process-tracing approach, this article investigates the evolution of cybersecurity within the U.S.-Philippine relationship and how it has met this new challenge. It finds that despite mutual concern over cybersecurity, divergent approaches to the digital domain as a policy area has stymied alliance development. This finding highlights how issues like elite political discord, different threat perceptions, and divergent institutional preferences can hinder cyber cooperation between partners and stymie alliance development.
摘要本研究考察了美菲联盟内部网络安全的整合。网络安全等新型国际冲突的增长低于传统武装攻击的门槛,对旨在抵御常规军事威胁的安全联盟构成了直接挑战。本文采用过程追踪方法,调查了美菲关系中网络安全的演变,以及它是如何应对这一新挑战的。研究发现,尽管双方都对网络安全感到担忧,但将数字领域作为一个政策领域的不同做法阻碍了联盟的发展。这一发现突显了精英政治不和、不同的威胁认知和不同的制度偏好等问题如何阻碍合作伙伴之间的网络合作并阻碍联盟发展。
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引用次数: 0
The political economy of US maritime strategy in the Indo-Pacific 美国在印太地区海上战略的政治经济学
IF 2.1 2区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-08-14 DOI: 10.1080/09512748.2022.2111455
Thomas Furse
Abstract Political economy impacts and influences a state's military strategy. This article focuses on how the integration of the US political economy in the Indo-Pacific drives US Navy officers and the broader national security state to establish the Free and Open Indo-Pacific (FOIP). Investigating the strategic thought of senior Naval officers shows that they think far beyond military threats and engage with the United States and the Indo-Pacific political economy. Even as the US Navy competes with China's military, its FOIP strategy benefits corporate elites in both China and the US, whose cooperation creates a mutually supportive economic relationship. This argument leads to the finding that the US hegemony in the region is a strategy that avoids a bipolar 'New Cold War' of an entirely de-coupled US and China. The FOIP supported by the US Navy continues to integrate China into regional and global economies, even as it attempts to push back against China by gathering allies and partners. The emphasis on international political economy highlights how the region is a network of 'patchwork' relations, where states rely on one another for economic prosperity. Through investigating speeches and strategic papers from US Naval officials, this paper demonstrates how the US competes and cooperates with China in the context of relations in the region that are in constant flux.
摘要政治经济学影响和影响一个国家的军事战略。本文聚焦于美国政治经济在印太地区的一体化如何推动美国海军军官和更广泛的国家安全国家建立自由开放的印太地区(FOIP)。调查海军高级军官的战略思想表明,他们的思维远远超出了军事威胁,并与美国和印太政治经济打交道。即使美国海军与中国军方竞争,其信息自由法战略也有利于中美两国的企业精英,他们的合作创造了相互支持的经济关系。这一论点导致人们发现,美国在该地区的霸权是一种避免美中完全脱钩的两极“新冷战”的战略。美国海军支持的FOIP继续将中国融入地区和全球经济,尽管它试图通过召集盟友和合作伙伴来反击中国。对国际政治经济的重视凸显了该地区是一个“拼凑”关系网络,各国在经济繁荣中相互依赖。通过调查美国海军官员的演讲和战略文件,本文展示了在该地区关系不断变化的背景下,美国如何与中国竞争和合作。
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引用次数: 0
Reinvigorating India’s ‘Act East’ Policy in an age of renewed power politics 在强权政治复兴的时代,重振印度的“向东行动”政策
IF 2.1 2区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-08-12 DOI: 10.1080/09512748.2022.2110609
Chietigj Bajpaee
Abstract The year 2022 marks three decades of India’s ‘Look East’ Policy (renamed the ‘Act East’ Policy in 2014). The policy emerged in the aftermath of the Cold War amid efforts by New Delhi to revive the importance of Southeast Asia (and later East Asia and the broader Indo-Pacific region) in India’s foreign policy agenda. While the policy has proven to be resilient as a core component of India’s foreign policy agenda, looking ahead it faces three key challenges: domestically, India’s reform agenda failing to match the country’s foreign policy aspirations; regionally, the principle of ‘ASEAN centrality’ coming under growing scrutiny; and globally, an international order in flux amid a more pronounced rivalry between the United States and China (which has been exacerbated by the Russian invasion of Ukraine). Addressing these issues will be key to maintaining the relevance of India’s ‘Act East’ Policy as it enters its next phase.
摘要2022年标志着印度“向东看”政策(2014年更名为“向东行动”政策)的三十年。这项政策是在冷战结束后新德里努力恢复东南亚(以及后来的东亚和更广泛的印太地区)在印度外交政策议程中的重要性之际出现的。尽管该政策已被证明是印度外交政策议程的核心组成部分,但展望未来,它面临三个关键挑战:在国内,印度的改革议程未能与该国的外交政策愿望相匹配;在区域上,“东盟中心地位”原则受到越来越多的审查;在全球范围内,随着美国和中国之间更加明显的竞争(俄罗斯入侵乌克兰加剧了这种竞争),国际秩序正在发生变化。在进入下一阶段时,解决这些问题将是保持印度“向东行动”政策相关性的关键。
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引用次数: 1
Stabilizing Japan–Korea relations: Restraining nationalism, appraising Beijing, reassuring Washington 稳定日韩关系:抑制民族主义,评价北京,安抚华盛顿
IF 2.1 2区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-07-23 DOI: 10.1080/09512748.2022.2090594
Leif-Eric Easley
Abstract By the time Prime Minister Abe Shinzo and President Park Geun-hye took office, Japan-South Korea relations were already experiencing a downturn over history issues and Lee Myung-bak’s unprecedented presidential visit to the disputed islets of Dokdo/Takeshima. Park’s refusal to hold a bilateral summit became the symbol of strained ties. Then on November 2, 2015 — 980 days after taking office — Park met Abe for bilateral talks in Seoul. On December 28, the two sides declared a rapprochement with an agreement supporting survivors of wartime brothels. Tensions worsened again during President Moon Jae-in’s term (2017–2022), contradicting the narrative that leaders had turned relations around in late 2015. Yet the diplomatic relationship was not on a downward spiral. Japanese and Korean policymakers managed to put a floor under their interactions owing to three stabilizing mechanisms that operated during both the Park and Moon administrations. First, political elites practiced mutual restraint to limit vicious cycles of nationalist recriminations. Second, Tokyo and Seoul carefully calibrated policies toward Beijing while avoiding divergence from each other. Third, reassuring the United States about the cost-effectiveness of its alliances involved trilateral cooperation that also helped stabilize Japan-South Korea relations.
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引用次数: 1
Indigenous peoples activism on climate change in Southeast Asia: the role of regional scalar bridging organizations 东南亚原住民对气候变化的行动主义:区域标量桥梁组织的作用
IF 2.1 2区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-07-12 DOI: 10.1080/09512748.2022.2096681
Kim D. Reimann
Abstract Indigenous peoples in Southeast Asia have organized on issues that affect their rights at the local, national, regional and global level. This article argues that one important component of the rise of this activism is the presence of regional scalar bridging organizations that link activism across scales and support the growth of Indigenous movements by providing access to global and regional opportunities for action. In Southeast Asia, the Asian Indigenous Peoples Pact (AIPP) and Tebtebba play this role through their presence in global political arenas and their many activities with partner organizations in the region. Drawing on social movement theory, this article outlines how regional social movement organizations potentially support global activism in the Global South by scale bridging in the areas of (1) resource mobilization, (2) creation of political spaces and opportunities and (3) the diffusion of ideas. To illustrate this, the case of Indigenous peoples activism on climate change in Southeast Asia is presented through an examination of the work done in these three areas by the Asian Indigenous Peoples Pact (AIPP) and Tebtebba
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引用次数: 0
Of constraints and opportunities. Dependent asymmetry in China-Myanmar relations, 2011–2021 约束和机会。2011-2021年中缅关系中的依赖不对称
IF 2.1 2区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-06-30 DOI: 10.1080/09512748.2022.2091648
S. Dossi, Giuseppe Gabusi
Abstract This article argues that a peculiar pattern of dependent asymmetry – ‘dual dependence’, i.e. a combination of internal and external dependence – has come to characterize the structure of China-Myanmar relations since the late 1980s. The hypothesis we present is that shifts in this pattern of dependent asymmetry account for fluctuations in China-Myanmar relations between 2011 and 2021. We test this hypothesis against empirical evidence from what we identify as two shifts in the structure of bilateral relations: for each, we trace how structural changes were perceived in Naypyitaw and Beijing, and how such perceptions oriented an adjustment in their respective policies. Myanmar’s reduced external dependence on China in 2011–2012 expanded the set of the potential courses of action available to Myanmar’s decision-makers and reduced the set of those available to China; conversely, the opposite happened in 2017–2018, following Myanmar’s return to full-fledged external dependence on China. The paper finally speculates that the military coup in 2021 could well represent a third shift in the structure of bilateral relations, further strengthening Myanmar’s external dependence on China and constraining the military government’s room of manoeuvre.
摘要本文认为,自20世纪80年代末以来,中缅关系结构呈现出一种独特的依赖不对称模式——“双重依赖”,即内外依赖的结合。我们提出的假设是,这种依赖不对称模式的转变是2011年至2021年间中缅关系波动的原因。我们根据双边关系结构的两个转变的经验证据来检验这一假设:对于每一个转变,我们都追溯了内比都和北京对结构变化的看法,以及这种看法如何引导他们各自政策的调整。缅甸在2011-2012年减少了对中国的对外依赖,扩大了缅甸决策者可以采取的一系列潜在行动,减少了中国可以采取的行动;相反,2017年至2018年,随着缅甸恢复对中国的全面对外依赖,情况正好相反。文章最后推测,2021年的军事政变很可能代表着双边关系结构的第三次转变,进一步加强缅甸对中国的对外依赖,限制军政府的回旋余地。
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引用次数: 2
Minimal peace in Northeast Asia: a realist-liberal explanation 东北亚最低限度的和平:一个现实主义-自由主义的解释
IF 2.1 2区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-05-18 DOI: 10.1080/09512748.2022.2075441
Bhubhinda Singh
Abstract Northeast Asia is usually associated with conflict and war. Challenging this prevailing view, this article shows that the sub-region has achieved minimal peace since its peaceful transition from the Cold War to the post-Cold War period. The questions posed are: (a) what factors are responsible for Northeast Asia’s minimal peace?; and (b) how will these factors respond to the worsening US-China competition since 2010? This article’s argument is two-fold. First, Northeast Asia’s minimal peace is explained by three realist-liberal factors: America’s hegemony; strong economic interdependence among the Northeast Asian states; and a stable institutional structure in East Asia, including Northeast Asia. These factors kept a stable balance of power, ensured development and prosperity, and mitigated the political and strategic tensions between the states. Second, Northeast Asia’s minimal peace would be durable to counter the negative effects of the Sino-US competition in the coming decades. While the economic interdependence and institutional building factors have shown resilience, the US hegemony faces a robust challenge from China. Nevertheless, the US hegemony is durable because of America’s enduring relative strategic and economic advantages over China, the expanded role of America’s regional allies to preserve US preponderance and China’s problems in building an alternative regional order.
摘要东北亚通常与冲突和战争联系在一起。这篇文章挑战了这一主流观点,表明该次区域自冷战和平过渡到后冷战时期以来,实现了最低限度的和平。提出的问题是:(a)东北亚最低限度的和平是由什么因素造成的?;以及(b)自2010年以来,这些因素将如何应对日益恶化的美中竞争?这篇文章的论点有两个方面。首先,东北亚的最小和平是由三个现实主义自由主义因素解释的:美国的霸权;东北亚国家之间强烈的经济相互依存关系;以及包括东北亚在内的东亚稳定的体制结构。这些因素保持了稳定的力量平衡,确保了发展和繁荣,缓解了两国之间的政治和战略紧张关系。其次,东北亚最低限度的和平将是持久的,以应对未来几十年中美竞争的负面影响。在经济相互依存和制度建设因素显示出韧性的同时,美国霸权面临着来自中国的强大挑战。尽管如此,美国的霸权是持久的,因为美国对中国具有持久的相对战略和经济优势,美国的地区盟友为保持美国的优势而扩大了作用,以及中国在建立替代地区秩序方面存在的问题。
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引用次数: 1
Realism, liberalism and regional order in East Asia: toward a hybrid approach 现实主义、自由主义与东亚地区秩序:走向混合路径
IF 2.1 2区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-05-16 DOI: 10.1080/09512748.2022.2075443
T. V. Paul
Abstract East Asia offers a fertile ground for applying dominant theoretical perspectives in International Relations and understanding their relevance and limitations. As this region has seen much conflict and cooperation historically and is re-emerging as a key theater of great power competition in the 21st century even when states maintain high levels of economic interactions, our understanding of the regional order will be enhanced by the theoretical tools available in the larger mainstream IR perspectives. The existence of a peculiar regional order of no war, yet a number of simmering disputes (along with high levels of economic interdependence) can be characterized as cold peace which deserves an explanation. The paper applies two variants of realism—balance of power and hegemonic stability – and the key arguments in liberalism to analyze the cold peace in Northeast Asia and normal peace in Southeast Asia from a historical perspective. It finds both grand theoretical approaches have partial applications for understanding the East Asian order. A hybrid approach is more valuable to better explain regional order during diverse time periods and different sub-regions of East Asia. Although the presence of both hegemony and balance of power can prevent major wars for a period, they do not help resolve the pre-existing disputes. Deepened economic interdependence mitigates some spiraling tendencies as states fearful of losing too much economically do not escalate crises beyond a point.
东亚为运用国际关系的主流理论观点并理解其相关性和局限性提供了肥沃的土壤。由于该地区在历史上经历了许多冲突与合作,并且在21世纪重新成为大国竞争的关键舞台,即使各国保持着高水平的经济互动,我们对地区秩序的理解将通过更大的主流国际关系视角中可用的理论工具得到加强。存在一种特殊的区域秩序,即没有战争,但一些酝酿中的争端(以及高度的经济相互依存)可以被定性为冷和平,这值得解释。本文运用现实主义的两种变体——权力平衡与霸权稳定,以及自由主义的核心论点,从历史的角度分析了东北亚的冷和平与东南亚的正常和平。它发现,这两种宏大的理论方法都有部分适用于理解东亚秩序。混合方法对于更好地解释东亚不同时期和不同次区域的区域秩序更有价值。虽然霸权和均势的存在可以在一段时间内防止重大战争,但无助于解决已有的争端。加深的经济相互依存缓解了一些螺旋式上升的趋势,因为担心在经济上损失太多的国家不会将危机升级到一定程度以外。
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引用次数: 0
Keeping the peace in Southeast Asia: ASEAN and the quest for positive peace 维护东南亚和平:东盟与积极和平的追求
IF 2.1 2区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-05-16 DOI: 10.1080/09512748.2022.2075440
Mely Caballero-Anthony, Ralf Emmers
Abstract Southeast Asia has gone through a remarkable transformation in recent decades and seen peaceful change since the end of the Cold War era despite great power interference and rivalry and ongoing territorial disputes including the South China Sea conflict. The region has transformed its image from the so-called Balkans of the East in the 1960s and 1970s to an economically competitive and peaceful region today. Despite these accomplishments, the record of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) in maintaining regional peace and security has also been seriously challenged, particularly at the domestic and transnational level. The paper argues that the Southeast Asian experience of peaceful change calls for a different framework of analysis that goes beyond the traditional International Relations theories which do not provide a compelling answer to whether regional peace has prevailed. It reviews ASEAN’s approaches to managing peace and security in Southeast Asia and brings close attention to domestic and international dynamics. The paper claims that the Southeast Asian states’ approach to positive peace, reflected in the notion of comprehensive security and the building of national and regional resilience, is instructive in understanding peaceful transformations in the region.
近几十年来,东南亚经历了显著的转变,自冷战时代结束以来,尽管存在大国干涉和竞争,以及包括南中国海冲突在内的持续领土争端,但东南亚经历了和平变革。该地区的形象已从20世纪60年代和70年代所谓的东方巴尔干地区转变为今天具有经济竞争力的和平地区。尽管取得了这些成就,东南亚国家联盟(东盟)在维持区域和平与安全方面的记录也受到严重挑战,特别是在国内和跨国一级。本文认为,东南亚和平变革的经验需要一个不同的分析框架,超越传统的国际关系理论,因为传统的国际关系理论并没有提供一个令人信服的答案,即区域和平是否已经盛行。它回顾了东盟管理东南亚和平与安全的方法,并密切关注国内和国际动态。本文认为,反映在全面安全观念和国家和地区韧性建设上的东南亚国家积极和平的做法,对理解该地区的和平转型具有指导意义。
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引用次数: 6
Middle powers amid Sino-U.S. rivalry: assessing the ‘good regional citizenship’ of Australia and Indonesia 中美关系中的中等大国。竞争:评估澳大利亚和印度尼西亚的“优秀地区公民”
IF 2.1 2区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-05-16 DOI: 10.1080/09512748.2022.2075444
Sarah Teo
Abstract This paper argues that amid intensifying Sino-U.S. rivalry, middle powers in East Asia have contributed towards regional peaceful change through the exercise of good regional citizenship, a concept which draws on and modifies from the more commonly known good international citizenship which is closely associated with middle powers. Specifically, good regional citizenship involves proactively strengthening inclusive multilateralism, enhancing the rules-based order, and contributing to bridging efforts in East Asia. The paper examines the good regional citizenship of two middle powers, namely Australia and Indonesia. It finds that while both countries have exercised good regional citizenship, their specific strategies or the outcomes of their initiatives on regional dynamics have varied as a result of their relations with the respective major powers and their general foreign policy approaches. Australia’s good regional citizenship has supported the preservation of U.S. leadership in East Asia vis-à-vis the rise of other regional powers, while Indonesia’s good regional citizenship has helped to narrow the gaps among regional actors through mechanisms led by the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN).
摘要本文认为,在中美关系日益紧张的情况下。在美国的竞争中,东亚的中间大国通过行使良好的地区公民身份为地区和平变革做出了贡献,这一概念借鉴并修改了与中间大国密切相关的更广为人知的良好国际公民身份。具体而言,良好的地区公民身份包括积极加强包容性多边主义,加强基于规则的秩序,并为东亚的衔接努力做出贡献。本文考察了澳大利亚和印度尼西亚这两个中间大国的良好地区公民身份。研究发现,尽管两国都行使了良好的地区公民身份,但由于与各自大国的关系和总体外交政策方针,两国的具体战略或区域动态举措的结果各不相同。相对于其他地区大国的崛起,澳大利亚良好的地区公民身份有助于保持美国在东亚的领导地位,而印度尼西亚良好的区域公民身份则有助于通过东南亚国家联盟(东盟)领导的机制缩小地区行为者之间的差距。
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引用次数: 4
期刊
Pacific Review
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