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Vietnam’s growing agency in the twenty-first century 越南在21世纪的影响力越来越大
IF 2.1 2区 社会学 Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2021-11-01 DOI: 10.1080/09512748.2021.1998206
Thuy T. Do
Abstract The world is witnessing a dual process of power shift from West to East and power diffusion from the major states to the lower layers of the global power structure. However, inadequate scholarly endeavour is devoted to exploring the foreign policy thinking and practices of weaker states amid these dynamics. This paper analyses the changing patterns of Vietnam’s post-Cold War worldview, its engagement with the regional security order, particularly its current threat perception and strategic response to regional challenges such as China’s rise and the South China Sea disputes. It will trace how Vietnam, previously perceived as a small to medium country, has increased its agency in the twenty first century to the extent that an emerging middle power can maneuver in a multifaceted and fluid world. It argues from the case of Vietnam that weaker states are not merely dictated by structural developments but may now have greater agency in contributing to shaping regional or world orders. Such investigation will help enrich both the existing Western-dominated and structure-oriented accounts on small and middle powers.
摘要世界正在经历一个权力从西方向东方转移和权力从大国向全球权力结构下层扩散的双重过程。然而,在这些动态中,学术界没有充分致力于探索较弱国家的外交政策思想和实践。本文分析了越南冷战后世界观的变化模式,其对地区安全秩序的参与,特别是其当前的威胁感知和对中国崛起和南海争端等地区挑战的战略应对。它将追溯越南,以前被视为一个中小型国家,在21世纪如何增加其机构,使一个新兴的中等大国能够在一个多方面和多变的世界中机动。它从越南的案例中认为,较弱的国家不仅受结构发展的支配,而且现在可能在塑造地区或世界秩序方面有更大的作用。这样的调查将有助于丰富现有的西方主导和结构导向的中小大国账户。
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引用次数: 5
How does Indonesia exercise agency in the contested and complex regional environment? 印尼如何在充满争议和复杂的地区环境中行使代理权?
IF 2.1 2区 社会学 Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2021-10-28 DOI: 10.1080/09512748.2021.1998202
I. Wicaksana
Abstract Recent developments in the Asia-Pacific or Indo-Pacific region have illustrated the emergence of a contested region and unfolding regional order. Within the multiplicity, as argued in the introduction of the special issue, all stakeholders, including the weak state actors, not necessarily the superior ones, are participating in the process of order-building. This article looks at how Indonesia, the largest member country of ASEAN, pursues its agency amid the contested regional formulations between China and the US. The argument is that Indonesia promotes its concept of a rules-based interaction beyond the dominant great power politics, as a potential agency enabling the creation of a pluralised regional order. This agential position provides the basis to rethink the relevance of the established conceptual framework of hedging commonly used to understand small and middle powers’ foreign policies toward the major players. The author sees that Indonesia hedges in different ways, demonstrating a distinct conceptualisation which is likely to make a contribution to the project of Global IR.
摘要亚太或印太地区最近的事态发展表明,一个有争议的地区正在出现,地区秩序正在发展。正如特刊导言所述,在多重性范围内,所有利益攸关方,包括弱势国家行为者,而不一定是优势国家行为者,都在参与秩序建设进程。这篇文章着眼于东盟最大的成员国印度尼西亚如何在中美之间有争议的地区格局中寻求其代理权。其论点是,印度尼西亚将其基于规则的互动概念推广到主导大国政治之外,作为一个有可能建立多元地区秩序的潜在机构。这种代理立场为重新思考既定对冲概念框架的相关性提供了基础,该框架通常用于理解中小大国对主要参与者的外交政策。作者认为,印度尼西亚以不同的方式进行套期保值,表明了一种独特的概念化,这可能会对全球IR项目做出贡献。
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引用次数: 9
Overconfidence, missteps, and tragedy: dynamics of Myanmar’s international relations and the genocide of the Rohingya 过度自信、失误和悲剧:缅甸国际关系的动态和对罗兴亚人的种族灭绝
IF 2.1 2区 社会学 Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2021-10-28 DOI: 10.1080/09512748.2021.1996451
Enze Han
Abstract This paper makes a novel contribution by examining the puzzle of one Southeast Asian nation, Myanmar, and its dramatic shift of ‘fortune’ in its international status and the domestic consequences of that shift during the decade of 2010–2020. It highlights how the country’s changing international relations affected its domestic political decision-making process. It puts forth the argument that the amount of international attention the country received since 2011 as the target of competitive courtship between China, United States, and the West in general, and the consequent feeling of being valued as a geostrategic asset, created strong conditions for overconfidence on part of Myanmar’s government and military. This favorable international environment also coincided with perceived progress in democratization domestically. Similar to its past patterns of behavior toward ethnic minorities, the Myanmar military and the government overestimated their likelihood of success in dealing with the Rohingya minority while underestimating the likelihood of punishment by the international community.
摘要本文通过研究东南亚国家缅甸的困惑,以及其国际地位的“财富”急剧变化,以及这种变化在2010-2020年十年间对国内的影响,做出了新颖的贡献。它强调了该国不断变化的国际关系如何影响其国内政治决策过程。它提出了这样一种论点,即自2011年以来,缅甸作为中国、美国和西方之间竞争性求爱的目标而受到的国际关注,以及由此产生的被视为地缘战略资产的感觉,为缅甸政府和军队的过度自信创造了强大的条件。这种有利的国际环境也与国内民主化进程相吻合。与过去对少数民族的行为模式类似,缅甸军方和政府高估了他们在处理罗兴亚少数民族问题上成功的可能性,同时低估了国际社会惩罚的可能性。
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引用次数: 2
Justifying economic coercion: the discourse of victimhood in China’s unilateral sanctions policy 为经济胁迫辩护:中国单边制裁政策中的受害者话语
IF 2.1 2区 社会学 Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2021-09-27 DOI: 10.1080/09512748.2021.1980605
Enrico V. Gloria
Abstract China remains reluctant in claiming unilateral economic sanctions as a valid form of statecraft. China has consistently withheld official acknowledgment of its use of unilateral sanctions despite using them in different disputes. This has resulted to observations arguing that China is increasingly approaching the use of sanctions in a stealthier, therefore, more aggressive manner. It begs to ask, how does China’s reluctant attitude towards its use of unilateral economic sanctions fit into China’s overall foreign policy logic? More specifically, how does China’s victimhood discourse justify unilateral sanctions and at the same time, promote a positive identity of itself in light of coercion? This paper argues that China’s consistent vague acknowledgment and denial in claiming a direct hand on unilateral sanctions comes from its broad foreign policy objective of maintaining a positive identity through its discourse of victimhood. To uncover this understanding, this paper analyzes China’s official positions in six bilateral disputes where China has resorted to unilateral sanctions. While existing observations only stop at ‘plausible deniability’ as primary explanation for China’s vague rhetoric, analyzing China’s predication strategies provides a necessary nuancing in terms of how this peculiar behavior remains consistent with China’s overall foreign policy logic.
摘要中国仍然不愿宣称单方面经济制裁是一种有效的治国方略。尽管中国在不同的争端中使用了单边制裁,但中国一直拒绝正式承认其使用单边制裁。这导致有人认为,中国越来越多地以更隐秘、因此更具侵略性的方式使用制裁。它不禁要问,中国对其使用单方面经济制裁的不情愿态度如何符合中国的总体外交政策逻辑?更具体地说,中国的受害者话语如何证明单边制裁是正当的,同时又如何在胁迫的情况下促进自己的积极身份?本文认为,中国一贯模糊地承认和否认直接参与单边制裁,这源于其通过受害者话语保持积极身份的广泛外交政策目标。为了揭示这一认识,本文分析了中国在六起双边争端中采取单边制裁的官方立场。虽然现有的观察仅停留在“似是而非的否认”作为中国模糊言论的主要解释,但分析中国的预测策略提供了一个必要的线索,说明这种特殊行为如何与中国的总体外交政策逻辑保持一致。
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引用次数: 4
The political economy of agricultural trade liberalization in Northeast Asia: comparisons with the West and between Japan and Korea 东北亚农产品贸易自由化的政治经济学——与西方和日韩的比较
IF 2.1 2区 社会学 Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2021-09-17 DOI: 10.1080/09512748.2021.1977684
W. Moon, Takumi Sakuyama
Abstract This paper contrasts agricultural protection of Japan and Korea with the West and identifies major differences between them. It characterizes agricultural protection of Japan and Korea (net heavy food importers) as “tariff-based and scarcity-sensitive” aimed at promoting survival and the West (net food exporters) as “subsidy-based and surplus-inducing” aimed at enhancing farm income. We then identify factors underlying the coevolution and divergence in the extent of agricultural trade liberalization between Japan and Korea since the launch of the Uruguay Round in 1986. Korea accepted deep cuts in agricultural tariffs in bilateral FTAs with the US and EU during the 2000s while Japan continued to protect farm interests by concluding low levels of FTAs with politically sensitive products excluded from tariff concessions. The two countries’ stances reversed since 2013 with Japan becoming proactive in pursuing high levels of FTAs with major agricultural exporting countries and Korea decelerating its opening of agricultural markets. To explain such divergences, this paper develops a political economy framework in which the incumbent political leadership would consider both national interests and sectoral (farm as import competing industries and business/manufacturing as exporting industries) special interests. Our analysis shows that President Roh (2002–2007)’s embracing of neoliberal paradigm in formulating foreign trade policies that would promote national interests underlies the unprecedented level of agricultural trade liberalization in Korea during the 2000s, while Prime Minister Shinzo Abe’s determination not to be outcompeted by the rising China and Korea’s ambitious FTA strategies underlies Japan’s proactive bilateral and mega-FTA drives since 2013.
本文将日本和韩国的农业保护与西方进行了比较,并指出了它们之间的主要区别。它将日本和韩国(粮食净进口国)的农业保护描述为旨在促进生存的“基于关税和对稀缺性敏感”,将西方(粮食净出口国)描述为旨在提高农业收入的“基于补贴和诱导盈余”。然后,我们确定了自1986年乌拉圭回合启动以来,日本和韩国之间农业贸易自由化程度共同演变和分歧的潜在因素。2000年代,韩国在与美国和欧盟的双边自由贸易协定中接受了大幅削减农业关税的做法,而日本则继续通过缔结低水平的自由贸易协定来保护农业利益,将政治敏感产品排除在关税减让之外。自2013年以来,两国的立场发生了逆转,日本积极主动地与主要农产品出口国达成高水平的自由贸易协定,韩国则放慢了农产品市场的开放速度。为了解释这种差异,本文提出了一个政治经济学框架,在该框架中,现任政治领导层将考虑国家利益和部门(农业作为进口竞争产业,商业/制造业作为出口产业)的特殊利益。我们的分析表明,卢武铉总统(2002-2007)在制定促进国家利益的对外贸易政策时采用了新自由主义范式,这是2000年代韩国农业贸易自由化达到前所未有水平的基础,而日本首相安倍晋三(Shinzo Abe)决心不被崛起的中韩雄心勃勃的自贸协定战略所压倒,这是日本自2013年以来积极开展双边和大型自贸协定运动的基础。
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引用次数: 0
Riding the tide: assessing South Korea’s hedging strategy through regional security initiatives 乘势而上:通过地区安全举措评估韩国的对冲战略
IF 2.1 2区 社会学 Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2021-09-13 DOI: 10.1080/09512748.2021.1977685
Yaechan Lee
Abstract This article examines how South Korea has used the ASEAN Plus security platforms to hedge between the US and China and why it has not participated in the FOIP strategy. It argues that the platforms’ neutral guise, owing to ASEAN centrality and their global norms-based agenda has allowed Korea to passively voice its alignment with the US, thereby answering to the pressure for a higher commitment from the US and clearing the political risk of linking the alignment decision to its own views. It asserts, therefore, that access to effective multilateral security platforms allows higher leverage to the weaker ally in an asymmetric alliance relationship.
摘要本文探讨了韩国如何利用“东盟+”安全平台在美国和中国之间进行对冲,以及为什么它没有参与FOIP战略。它认为,由于东盟的中心地位及其基于全球规范的议程,这些平台的中立姿态使韩国能够被动地表达其与美国的结盟,从而应对美国要求做出更高承诺的压力,并消除将结盟决定与自身观点联系起来的政治风险。因此,它断言,在不对称的联盟关系中,获得有效的多边安全平台可以让较弱的盟友获得更高的影响力。
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引用次数: 0
Propaganda beyond state borders: the deployment of symbolic resources to mobilize political support among the Chinese diaspora 超越国界的宣传:部署象征性资源,以动员海外华人的政治支持
IF 2.1 2区 社会学 Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2021-08-24 DOI: 10.1080/09512748.2021.1968020
X. Yan, Li La
Abstract Today, authoritarian states, such as that of China, strive to cultivate political allegiance among their diasporic subjects through state-run propaganda operations beyond national borders. Aiming to construct a stable, exclusive, and institutionalized diasporic network of influence within host societies, autocratic states use extraterritorial propaganda to amass integrative capacity by dispersing carefully tailored discourses, penalizing opposing voices, promoting a unified interpretive framework for conceptualizing socio-political reality, forming a standard meaning system for diasporic communities, coordinating collective action, and forging an integrated patriotic identity through the repetition of codified communication. The early 21st century has witnessed the rise of pro-regime solidarity among diasporic Chinese, a global force buttressing China’s communist regime. In this article, we argue that this unprecedented forging of solidarity is the product of China’s extra-territorial propaganda. The ruling party-state consistently uses concise, catchy, and carefully tailored symbolic resources, such as ‘China insult’ (ruhua) incidents, to extend its political influence beyond national borders. This poses novel challenges to the Westphalian sovereign state. The state’s tactic overseas propaganda operations have facilitated the emergence of an extraterritorial Chinese ‘symbolic state’ that relies on shared symbolism and identity, rather than territorially defined Weberian coercion, to project control over a transnational socio-political domain.
摘要今天,像中国这样的威权国家,努力通过国家境外的宣传活动,在其流散的主体中培养政治忠诚。为了在东道国社会内构建一个稳定、排他性和制度化的流散影响网络,专制国家利用域外宣传,通过分散精心定制的话语、惩罚反对声音、促进统一的解释框架来概念化社会政治现实,形成散居社区的标准意义体系,协调集体行动,并通过重复法典化的传播形成一个完整的爱国身份。21世纪初,散居海外的中国人开始团结起来,支持中国共产党政权。在这篇文章中,我们认为,这种前所未有的团结是中国域外宣传的产物。执政党国家一贯使用简洁、朗朗上口、精心定制的象征性资源,如“中国侮辱”事件,将其政治影响力扩展到国界之外。这对威斯特伐利亚主权国家提出了新的挑战。该国的海外宣传行动策略促成了一个域外中国“象征性国家”的出现,这个国家依靠共同的象征和身份,而不是地域定义的韦伯里亚胁迫,来控制跨国社会政治领域。
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引用次数: 2
Japan’s strategic response to China’s geo-economic presence: quality infrastructure as a diplomatic tool 日本对中国地缘经济存在的战略回应:作为外交工具的高质量基础设施
IF 2.1 2区 社会学 Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2021-07-30 DOI: 10.1080/09512748.2021.1947356
H. Yoshimatsu
Abstract In the new millennium, Japan found a renewed interest in infrastructure investment and engaged in this policy issue with diplomatic initiatives and external partnerships with due attention to China’s geo-economic presence. In formulating strategies for infrastructure investment, Japan has presented and disseminated a specific idea of ‘quality infrastructure’ as a principal component of its external infrastructure push. This article seeks to trace the evolution of Japan’s ideational principles for quality infrastructure and elucidate policy motivation, policy objective, and external influence. It argues that Japan’s advocacy of quality infrastructure derived from domestic impetus to expand infrastructure exports and external impetus to compete against China’s infrastructural push through the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI). Japan advocated quality infrastructure as a strategic tool to pursue multiple policy objectives that shifted from justifying Japanese infrastructural push to using as means to check and accommodate the BRI, and to legitimising common governance principles for infrastructure investment. In relations to external influence, Japan’s persistence in norm-setting encouraged China to incorporate normative principles first at business dialogues and then embed common governance principles in its policy approach to infrastructure investment.
在新千年,日本发现了对基础设施投资的新兴趣,并通过外交倡议和外部伙伴关系参与这一政策问题,同时适当关注中国的地缘经济存在。在制定基础设施投资战略时,日本提出并传播了“优质基础设施”的具体理念,作为其对外基础设施推动的主要组成部分。本文旨在追溯日本优质基础设施理念原则的演变,并阐明政策动机、政策目标和外部影响。文章认为,日本对优质基础设施的倡导源于扩大基础设施出口的国内动力,以及与中国通过“一带一路”倡议推动的基础设施建设竞争的外部动力。日本主张将优质基础设施作为实现多重政策目标的战略工具,从证明日本推动基础设施建设的合理性,到将其作为制约和适应“一带一路”的手段,再到将基础设施投资的共同治理原则合法化。在外部影响方面,日本坚持制定规范,鼓励中国首先将规范原则纳入商业对话,然后将共同治理原则纳入其基础设施投资的政策方针。
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引用次数: 9
Japan’s contribution to peace, prosperity & sustainability: energy transitions in the Indo-Pacific region* 日本对和平、繁荣和可持续发展的贡献:印度-太平洋地区的能源转型*
IF 2.1 2区 社会学 Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2021-07-24 DOI: 10.1080/09512748.2021.1955950
Parul Bakshi
Abstract Japan has historically been a major player within the Indo-Pacific region due to its rapid post-war economic expansion, technological advancement, massive overseas development aid as well as its cultural outreach. As the Indo-Pacific today is marred with various challenges in the form of maritime and energy security, border conflicts, booming population, developing economies, and rising carbon emissions, among others. The region requires a multipolar balance of power wherein nations can lead by example and concerted action towards creating a peaceful, prosperous and sustainable future for an extensively dynamic Indo-Pacific. This paper focuses on one of the critical variables of the region, i.e., the energy sector, and attempts to place Japan’s role and contribution to the region’s ongoing energy transitions. The extent and means through which Japan can propel itself and the region towards a just transition with the help of regional and international cooperation have been analysed.
摘要日本历史上一直是印太地区的主要参与者,这得益于其战后快速的经济扩张、技术进步、大规模的海外发展援助以及文化拓展。今天的印太地区面临着各种挑战,包括海洋和能源安全、边境冲突、人口激增、经济发展和碳排放增加等。该地区需要多极力量平衡,各国可以以身作则,采取一致行动,为一个充满活力的印太地区创造一个和平、繁荣和可持续的未来。本文重点关注该地区的一个关键变量,即能源部门,并试图将日本在该地区正在进行的能源转型中的作用和贡献放在首位。分析了日本在区域和国际合作的帮助下推动自己和该区域实现公正过渡的程度和手段。
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引用次数: 1
Seeking shelter in the anthropocene: challenges and opportunities for Taiwan 在人类世寻求庇护:台湾的挑战与机遇
IF 2.1 2区 社会学 Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2021-07-14 DOI: 10.1080/09512748.2021.1948912
Egemen Bezci
Abstract The Anthropocene is an emerging concept that defines the challenges for international relations due to human activity altering the Earth on a planetary scale. The debates around the Anthropocene as a study of international relations are in infancy without a comprehensive theory to articulate its ramifications on the foreign and security policies of nation-states. This study aims to examine the challenges and opportunities posed for Taiwan in the Anthropocene. The research concludes that the Taiwanese foreign and security policy in the Anthropocene can find opportunities by seeking new social, economic, and political alliances as proposed by the Shelter Theory. These opportunities could help mitigate the dangers of this new phenomenon and allow Taiwan to reach its economic and foreign policy aims without exposing itself to future shocks.
摘要人类世是一个新兴的概念,它定义了由于人类活动在全球范围内改变地球而给国际关系带来的挑战。作为一项国际关系研究,围绕人类世的辩论还处于起步阶段,没有一个全面的理论来阐明其对民族国家外交和安全政策的影响。本研究旨在探讨台湾在人类世所面临的挑战与机遇。研究得出的结论是,人类世的台湾外交与安全政策可以像庇护所理论所提出的那样,通过寻求新的社会、经济和政治联盟来寻找机会。这些机会有助于减轻这一新现象的危险,并使台湾能够在不受未来冲击的情况下实现其经济和外交政策目标。
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引用次数: 2
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Pacific Review
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