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Flexible intramedullary nails for the treatment of metacarpal fractures: A systematic review 弹性髓内钉治疗掌骨骨折:系统回顾。
IF 1.9 4区 医学 Q2 ORTHOPEDICS Pub Date : 2025-11-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.cjtee.2024.08.013
Oliver Scott Brown , Toby Oliver Smith , Ravi Kanth Mallina

Purpose

Flexible intramedullary nails (FIN) enable minimally invasive and immediate fracture stabilisation, while facilitating early active movement in metacarpal fractures. This systematic review aims to compare locked, non-locked, single, and double FIN and their post-operative outcomes in metacarpal fractures.

Methods

A primary literature search was performed on July 15, 2024. English-language studies investigating acute metacarpal fractures, treated with FIN were included. Analyses included: the 5th metacarpal neck fractures locked vs. non-locked FIN; 5th metacarpal neck fractures non-locked single vs. dual FIN; and the 2nd–5th metacarpal fractures locked vs. non-locked FIN. The National Institute for Health tool and the JBI tool were used to assess study quality for controlled trials and case series, respectively.

Results

Thirteen studies (n=649 fractures) were eligible, with 12 low risks of bias. There was no difference in overall complication rates between locked and non-locked, and single and double non-locked FIN. Non-locked FIN demonstrated reduced metacarpophalangeal joint penetration (odds ratio (OR): 3.30 (95% confidence interval (CI): 1.23–8.80; p=0.017 and delayed union (OR: 6.95; 95% CI: 1.86–25.97; p=0.004), but increased tendon irritation (OR: 0.19; 95% CI: 0.05–0.83; p=0.027 vs. locked FIN. Overall operative times were lower for single vs. double non-locked nails (mean difference: 9.17; 95% CI: 6.12–12.22; p<0.001).

Conclusions

These findings demonstrate low complication rates and excellent functional results using FIN to fix displaced metacarpal fractures. Although complication profiles are contrasting, there is no clear benefit in using locked or double nails compared to a single non-locked FIN.
目的:灵活的髓内钉(FIN)可以实现微创和即时骨折稳定,同时促进掌骨骨折的早期主动运动。本系统综述旨在比较锁定、非锁定、单鳍和双鳍及其在掌骨骨折中的术后疗效。方法:于2024年7月15日进行初步文献检索。纳入了用FIN治疗的急性掌骨骨折的英文研究。分析包括:第5掌骨颈骨折锁定与非锁定FIN;5号掌骨颈骨折非锁定单鳍与双鳍;以及第2 -5掌骨骨折锁定与非锁定FIN。分别使用国家卫生研究所工具和JBI工具来评估对照试验和病例系列的研究质量。结果:13项研究(n = 649例骨折)符合条件,其中12项为低偏倚风险。非锁定FIN与非锁定FIN的总并发症发生率无差异,非锁定FIN显示掌指关节穿透减少(优势比(OR): 3.30(95%可信区间(CI): 1.23-8.80;p=0.017,延迟联合(OR: 6.95;95% ci: 1.86-25.97;p=0.004),但肌腱刺激增加(OR: 0.19;95% ci: 0.05-0.83;p=0.027与锁定FIN相比,单钉与双非锁定钉的总手术时间较低(平均差异:9.17;95% ci: 6.12-12.22;结论:使用FIN固定移位的掌骨骨折并发症发生率低,功能效果好。虽然并发症情况不同,但与单个非锁定FIN相比,使用锁定或双钉并没有明显的好处。
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引用次数: 0
The observational chart for traumatic limb swelling enhances diagnostic accuracy for osteofascial compartment syndrome 创伤性肢体肿胀的观察图提高了骨筋膜室综合征的诊断准确性。
IF 1.9 4区 医学 Q2 ORTHOPEDICS Pub Date : 2025-11-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.cjtee.2025.08.004
Zhi-Wei Yang , Zhao-Di Wang , Jun-Sheng Yang , Liang-Cheng Tong , Lei Zhao , Wei Dai , Kun Pang , Ying Li
<div><h3>Purpose</h3><div>To evaluate the diagnostic accuracy of the observational chart for traumatic limb swelling (OCTLS) for osteofascial compartment syndrome (OCS).</div></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><div>This was a descriptive-longitudinal study. Data of 316 patients who underwent surgical treatment for tibial fractures in our department from January 2015 to December 2023 were collected. Patients with Gustilo type II or higher open fractures, vascular injury, or bilateral fractures were excluded from the study. Two groups of double-blinded investigators independently assessed patients for the presence of OCS using 2 distinct diagnostic methods. Three senior orthopedic trauma surgeons evaluated patients with post-fracture calf swelling for OCS and the need for fasciotomy based on clinical signs and their extensive clinical experience. Subsequently, fasciotomy was performed according to their judgment, followed by postoperative examination of muscle and soft tissue conditions. Additionally, a follow-up evaluation was conducted to assess for complications such as ischemic muscle contracture. Another 3 trained researchers used OCTLS to grade swelling severity and determine the need for fasciotomy. The final diagnostic gold standard of OCS was determined by referring to whether there was escape of muscles at fasciotomy and/or color change in the muscles or muscle necrosis intraoperatively, and neurological abnormality or contracture at the last follow-up. The results of the 2 diagnostic methods were compared with the final diagnostic result. Kappa consistency test, paired χ<sup>2</sup> test (McNemar test), and receiver operating characteristic curve were used to evaluate the diagnostic efficacy of the 2 diagnostic methods.</div></div><div><h3>Results</h3><div>Of the 316 patients, 211 were finally included in the study, including 160 males and 51 females, with an average follow-up time of (14.5 ± 2.7) months. Among the 211 patients with tibial fracture-associated swelling, 42 were definitively diagnosed with OCS. Based on clinical symptoms and signs judgment, among the 65 fasciotomy patients, 38 were confirmed as correct, while among the 146 non-fasciotomy patients, 4 developed ischemic muscle contractures. Based on the OCTLS for assessment, fasciotomy was correctly recommended in 36 out of 43 cases, while 6 out of 168 non-fasciotomy patients developed OCS. Compared to the use of the gold standard, clinical signs judgment showed moderate consistency (McNemar's test <em>p</em> < 0.001, Kappa = 0.618, <em>p</em> < 0.001), whereas OCTLS demonstrated strong agreement (McNemar's test <em>p</em> = 1.000, Kappa = 0.808, <em>p</em> < 0.001). Receiver operating characteristic analysis revealed higher diagnostic accuracy for OCTLS (area under curve = 0.908, 95% <em>CI</em>: 0.843 – 0.972) compared to clinical signs judgment (area under curve = 0.872, 95% <em>CI</em>: 0.812 – 0.933). OCTLS achieved superior accuracy (93.8% <em>vs</em>. 85.3%, χ<sup>2<
目的:评价创伤性肢体肿胀(OCTLS)观察图对骨筋膜室综合征(OCS)的诊断准确性。方法:采用描述性纵向研究。收集2015年1月至2023年12月我科316例胫骨骨折手术患者的资料。Gustilo II型或更高级别开放性骨折、血管损伤或双侧骨折的患者被排除在研究之外。两组双盲研究人员使用两种不同的诊断方法独立评估患者是否存在OCS。三位资深骨科创伤外科医生根据临床症状和他们丰富的临床经验评估骨折后小腿肿胀患者的OCS和筋膜切开术的必要性。然后根据他们的判断行筋膜切开术,术后检查肌肉和软组织状况。此外,还进行了随访评估,以评估缺血性肌肉挛缩等并发症。另外3名训练有素的研究人员使用OCTLS对肿胀严重程度进行分级并确定是否需要进行筋膜切开术。最终诊断OCS的金标准是根据切开筋膜时是否有肌肉逃逸和/或术中是否有肌肉颜色改变或肌肉坏死,末次随访时是否有神经异常或挛缩。将两种诊断方法的结果与最终诊断结果进行比较。采用Kappa一致性检验、配对χ2检验(McNemar检验)和受试者工作特征曲线评价两种诊断方法的诊断效果。结果:316例患者中,211例最终纳入研究,其中男性160例,女性51例,平均随访时间(14.5±2.7)个月。211例胫骨骨折相关肿胀患者中,42例确诊为OCS。根据临床症状和体征判断,65例筋膜切开术患者中,38例确认正确,146例未切开术患者中,4例出现缺血性肌挛缩。基于OCTLS评估,43例患者中有36例筋膜切开术被正确推荐,而168例非筋膜切开术患者中有6例发生了OCS。与使用金标准相比,临床体征判断具有中等一致性(McNemar检验p < 0.001, Kappa = 0.618, p < 0.001),而OCTLS具有很强的一致性(McNemar检验p = 1.000, Kappa = 0.808, p < 0.001)。受试者工作特征分析显示,OCTLS的诊断准确率(曲线下面积= 0.908,95% CI: 0.843 ~ 0.972)高于临床体征判断(曲线下面积= 0.872,95% CI: 0.812 ~ 0.933)。OCTLS具有更高的准确率(93.8%比85.3%,χ2 = 8.221, p < 0.001)和更低的筋膜切开率(20.4%比30.8%,χ2 = 6.023, p = 0.014)。结论:与临床体征判断相比,OCTLS可显著减少不必要的筋膜切开术,提高对OCS的诊断准确性,且可实现无创、动态、定量评估,具有临床应用价值。
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引用次数: 0
Establishment of a nomogram for early risk prediction of severe trauma in primary medical institutions: A multi-center study 建立基层医疗机构严重创伤早期风险预测nomogram:一项多中心研究
IF 1.9 4区 医学 Q2 ORTHOPEDICS Pub Date : 2025-11-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.cjtee.2025.10.001
Wang Bo , Ming-Rui Zhang , Gui-Yan Ma , Zhan-Fu Yang , Rui-Ning Lu , Xu-Sheng Zhang , Shao-Guang Liu

Purpose

To analyze risk factors for severe trauma and establish a nomogram for early risk prediction, to improve the early identification of severe trauma.

Methods

This study was conducted on the patients treated in 81 trauma treatment institutions in Gansu province from 2020 to 2022. Patients were grouped by year, with 5364 patients from 2020 to 2021 as the training set and 1094 newly admitted patients in 2020 as the external validation set. Based on the injury severity score (ISS), patients in the training set were classified into 2 subgroups of the severe trauma group (n = 478, ISS scores ≥25) and the non-severe trauma group (n = 4886, ISS scores <25). Univariate and binary logistic regression analyses were employed to identify independent risk factors for severe trauma. Subsequently, a predictive model was developed using the R software environment. Furthermore, the model was subjected to internal and external validation via the Hosmer–Lemeshow test and receiver operating characteristic curve analysis.

Results

In total, 6458 trauma patients were included in this study. Initially, this study identified several independent risk factors for severe trauma, including multiple traumatic injuries (polytrauma), external hemorrhage, elevated shock index, elevated respiratory rate, decreased peripheral oxygen saturation, and decreased Glasgow coma scale score (all p < 0.05). For internal validation, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.914, with the sensitivity and specificity of 88.4% and 87.6%, respectively; while for external validation, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.936, with the sensitivity and specificity of 84.6% and 93.7%, respectively. In addition, a good model fitting was observed through the Hosmer–Lemeshow test and calibration curve analysis (p > 0.05).

Conclusion

This study establishes a nomogram for early risk prediction of severe trauma, which is suitable for primary healthcare institutions in underdeveloped western China. It facilitates early triage and quantitative assessment of trauma severity by clinicians prior to clinical interventions.
目的:分析严重创伤的危险因素,建立早期风险预测nomogram,提高对严重创伤的早期识别。方法:选取2020 - 2022年甘肃省81家创伤治疗机构收治的患者为研究对象。患者按年份分组,以2020 - 2021年5364例患者为训练集,2020年1094例新入院患者为外部验证集。根据损伤严重程度评分(ISS),将训练集中的患者分为重度创伤组(n = 478, ISS评分≥25)和非重度创伤组(n = 4886, ISS评分)2个亚组。结果:本研究共纳入6458例创伤患者。首先,本研究确定了严重创伤的几个独立危险因素,包括多发创伤(polytrauma)、外出血、休克指数升高、呼吸频率升高、外周氧饱和度降低、格拉斯哥昏迷评分降低(p < 0.05)。内验证时,受试者工作特征曲线下面积为0.914,灵敏度为88.4%,特异度为87.6%;外部验证的受试者工作特征曲线下面积为0.936,灵敏度为84.6%,特异度为93.7%。此外,通过Hosmer-Lemeshow检验和校准曲线分析,模型拟合良好(p > 0.05)。结论:本研究建立了一种适合西部欠发达地区初级卫生保健机构的严重创伤早期风险预测模式。它有助于临床医生在临床干预之前对创伤严重程度进行早期分类和定量评估。
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引用次数: 0
The surveillance and assessment of acute injuries in different age categories in national wrestling championships 监测和评估全国摔跤锦标赛中不同年龄组别的急性损伤情况。
IF 1.9 4区 医学 Q2 ORTHOPEDICS Pub Date : 2025-11-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.cjtee.2024.09.001
Sema Can , Erkan Demirkan , Mustafa Arıcı , Mehmet İsmail Tosun , Halil İbrahim Cicioğlu

Purpose

The purpose of this study is to surveil the injuries in wrestling according to the different age categories and wrestling styles throughout the competition season.

Methods

The study was designed as a descriptive study. The study was conducted during the wrestling competition season in 2023 (from January 2023 to July 2023), which includes 5 different age categories: U-15, U-17, U-20, U-23, and seniors, along with the Turkey National Wrestling Championships. The data of injuries was recorded immediately after the acute injury was treated by the medical expert during the competitions and evaluated according to the parameters that were obtained. In the statistical analysis, the frequency and percentage values were presented as descriptive statistics and the Chi-square test was used.

Results

The study incorporated a total of 6214 wrestlers and a total of 7151 wrestling bouts were performed during these competitions. The analyses indicated that the rate of injury incidence was 42.65‰ in all wrestling styles. When taking account of the injured body parts in all wrestlers’ exposures, the occurrence of injuries to the head-face, neck, trunk, upper extremity, and lower extremity, rates of 17.6‰, 1.3‰, 3.6‰, 13.5‰, and 6.6‰, respectively, were observed. According to the pre-diagnosis based on freestyle, Greco-Roman, and female wrestling styles, injuries with bleeding (39.6%, 46.3%, and 14.6%, respectively) and muscle strain (37.9%, 28.7 %, and 52.6%, respectively) most often occurred.

Conclusion

The study findings indicate that most cases of injury appeared to occur in bleeding and muscle strain in all wrestling styles. We suggest that medical experts should set up their health equipment with consideration to the injuries that occur most frequently.
目的:本研究的目的是根据不同年龄组别和摔跤风格,调查整个比赛季节摔跤运动中的受伤情况:本研究为描述性研究。研究在 2023 年摔跤比赛季节(2023 年 1 月至 2023 年 7 月)进行,包括 5 个不同年龄组别:包括 5 个不同年龄组:U-15、U-17、U-20、U-23 和老年组,以及土耳其全国摔跤锦标赛。受伤数据是在比赛期间由医疗专家对急性损伤进行治疗后立即记录的,并根据获得的参数进行评估。在统计分析中,以频率和百分比值作为描述性统计,并使用卡方检验:研究共涉及 6214 名摔跤运动员,在这些比赛中共进行了 7151 次摔跤比赛。分析表明,所有摔跤项目的受伤率均为 42.65‰。考虑到所有摔跤运动员受伤的身体部位,头面部、颈部、躯干、上肢和下肢的受伤发生率分别为 17.6‰、1.3‰、3.6‰、13.5‰和 6.6‰。根据自由式摔跤、希腊罗马式摔跤和女子摔跤的前期诊断,出血(分别为 39.6%、46.3% 和 14.6%)和肌肉拉伤(分别为 37.9%、28.7% 和 52.6%)是最常发生的损伤:研究结果表明,在所有摔跤类型中,大多数损伤似乎都发生在出血和肌肉拉伤上。我们建议医疗专家在设置医疗设备时应考虑到最常发生的损伤。
{"title":"The surveillance and assessment of acute injuries in different age categories in national wrestling championships","authors":"Sema Can ,&nbsp;Erkan Demirkan ,&nbsp;Mustafa Arıcı ,&nbsp;Mehmet İsmail Tosun ,&nbsp;Halil İbrahim Cicioğlu","doi":"10.1016/j.cjtee.2024.09.001","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.cjtee.2024.09.001","url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Purpose</h3><div>The purpose of this study is to surveil the injuries in wrestling according to the different age categories and wrestling styles throughout the competition season.</div></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><div>The study was designed as a descriptive study. The study was conducted during the wrestling competition season in 2023 (from January 2023 to July 2023), which includes 5 different age categories: U-15, U-17, U-20, U-23, and seniors, along with the Turkey National Wrestling Championships. The data of injuries was recorded immediately after the acute injury was treated by the medical expert during the competitions and evaluated according to the parameters that were obtained. In the statistical analysis, the frequency and percentage values were presented as descriptive statistics and the Chi-square test was used.</div></div><div><h3>Results</h3><div>The study incorporated a total of 6214 wrestlers and a total of 7151 wrestling bouts were performed during these competitions. The analyses indicated that the rate of injury incidence was 42.65‰ in all wrestling styles. When taking account of the injured body parts in all wrestlers’ exposures, the occurrence of injuries to the head-face, neck, trunk, upper extremity, and lower extremity, rates of 17.6‰, 1.3‰, 3.6‰, 13.5‰, and 6.6‰, respectively, were observed. According to the pre-diagnosis based on freestyle, Greco-Roman, and female wrestling styles, injuries with bleeding (39.6%, 46.3%, and 14.6%, respectively) and muscle strain (37.9%, 28.7 %, and 52.6%, respectively) most often occurred.</div></div><div><h3>Conclusion</h3><div>The study findings indicate that most cases of injury appeared to occur in bleeding and muscle strain in all wrestling styles. We suggest that medical experts should set up their health equipment with consideration to the injuries that occur most frequently.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51555,"journal":{"name":"Chinese Journal of Traumatology","volume":"28 6","pages":"Pages 485-490"},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2025-11-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142300511","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Corrigendum to “Dexmedetomidine reduces hippocampal microglia inflammatory response induced by surgical injury through inhibiting NLRP3” [Chinese J Traumatol 22 (2019) 161–165] 右美托咪定通过抑制NLRP3降低手术损伤诱导的海马小胶质细胞炎症反应[J].中华创伤杂志22(2019)161-165。
IF 1.9 4区 医学 Q2 ORTHOPEDICS Pub Date : 2025-11-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.cjtee.2024.12.001
Ji Peng, Peng Zhang, Han Zheng, Yun-Qin Ren, Hong Yan
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引用次数: 0
Complications among patients undergoing orthopedic surgery after infection with the SARS-CoV-2 Omicron strain and a preliminary nomogram for predicting patient outcomes 感染SARS-CoV-2 Omicron菌株后接受骨科手术患者的并发症及预测患者预后的初步nomogram
IF 1.9 4区 医学 Q2 ORTHOPEDICS Pub Date : 2025-11-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.cjtee.2025.02.003
Liang Zhang , Wen-Long Gou , Ke-Yu Luo , Jun Zhu , Yi-Bo Gan , Xiang Yin , Jun-Gang Pu , Huai-Jian Jin , Xian-Qing Zhang , Wan-Fei Wu , Zi-Ming Wang , Yao-Yao Liu , Yang Li , Peng Liu

Purpose

The rate of complications among patients undergoing surgery has increased due to infection with SARS-CoV-2 and other variants of concern. However, Omicron has shown decreased pathogenicity, raising questions about the risk of postoperative complications among patients who are infected with this variant. This study aimed to investigate complications and related factors among patients with recent Omicron infection prior to undergoing orthopedic surgery.

Methods

A historical control study was conducted. Data were collected from all patients who underwent surgery during 2 distinct periods: (1) between Dec 12, 2022 and Jan 31, 2023 (COVID-19 positive group), (2) between Dec 12, 2021 and Jan 31, 2022 (COVID-19 negative control group). The patients were at least 18 years old. Patients who received conservative treatment after admission or had high-risk diseases or special circumstances (use of anticoagulants before surgery) were excluded from the study. The study outcomes were the total complication rate and related factors. Binary logistic regression analysis was used to identify related factors, and odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) were calculated to assess the impact of COVID-19 infection on complications.

Results

In the analysis, a total of 847 patients who underwent surgery were included, with 275 of these patients testing positive for COVID-19 and 572 testing negative. The COVID-19-positive group had a significantly higher rate of total complications (11.27%) than the control group (4.90%, p < 0.001). After adjusting for relevant factors, the OR was 3.08 (95% CI: 1.45–6.53). Patients who were diagnosed with COVID-19 at 3–4 weeks (OR = 0.20 (95% CI: 0.06–0.59), p = 0.005), 5–6 weeks (OR = 0.16 (95% CI: 0.04–0.59), p = 0.010), or ≥7 weeks (OR = 0.26 (95% CI: 0.06–1.02), p = 0.069) prior to surgery had a lower risk of complications than those who were diagnosed at 0–2 weeks prior to surgery. Seven factors (age, indications for surgery, time of operation, time of COVID-19 diagnosis prior to surgery, C-reactive protein levels, alanine transaminase levels, and aspartate aminotransferase levels) were found to be associated with complications; thus, these factors were used to create a nomogram.

Conclusion

Omicron continues to be a significant factor in the incidence of postoperative complications among patients undergoing orthopedic surgery. By identifying the factors associated with these complications, we can determine the optimal surgical timing, provide more accurate prognostic information, and offer appropriate consultation for orthopedic surgery patients who have been infected with Omicron.
目的:由于感染了SARS-CoV-2和其他相关变异,手术患者的并发症发生率有所增加。然而,Omicron已显示出较低的致病性,这引发了关于感染该变异的患者术后并发症风险的问题。本研究旨在探讨骨科手术前近期欧米克隆感染患者的并发症及相关因素。方法:采用历史对照研究。数据收集于两个不同时期接受手术的所有患者:(1)2022年12月12日至2023年1月31日(COVID-19阳性组),(2)2021年12月12日至2022年1月31日(COVID-19阴性对照组)。这些患者至少18岁。入院后接受保守治疗或有高危疾病或特殊情况(术前使用抗凝剂)的患者排除在研究之外。研究结果为总并发症发生率及相关因素。采用二元logistic回归分析确定相关因素,计算比值比(OR)和95%置信区间(CI)评估COVID-19感染对并发症的影响。结果:共纳入847例手术患者,其中新冠肺炎阳性275例,阴性572例。阳性组总并发症发生率(11.27%)显著高于对照组(4.90%,p < 0.001)。校正相关因素后,OR为3.08 (95% CI: 1.45-6.53)。术前3-4周(OR 0.20 (95% CI: 0.06-0.59), p = 0.005), 5-6周(OR 0.16 (0.04-0.59), p = 0.010)或≥7周(OR 0.26 (0.06-1.02), p = 0.069)诊断为COVID-19的患者发生并发症的风险低于术前0-2周诊断为COVID-19的患者。年龄、手术适应证、手术时间、术前COVID-19诊断时间、c反应蛋白水平、丙氨酸转氨酶水平、天冬氨酸转氨酶水平等7个因素与并发症相关;因此,这些因素被用来创建一个nomogram。结论:在骨科手术患者中,Omicron仍然是术后并发症发生率的重要因素。通过确定与这些并发症相关的因素,我们可以确定最佳手术时机,提供更准确的预后信息,并为感染了Omicron的骨科手术患者提供适当的咨询。
{"title":"Complications among patients undergoing orthopedic surgery after infection with the SARS-CoV-2 Omicron strain and a preliminary nomogram for predicting patient outcomes","authors":"Liang Zhang ,&nbsp;Wen-Long Gou ,&nbsp;Ke-Yu Luo ,&nbsp;Jun Zhu ,&nbsp;Yi-Bo Gan ,&nbsp;Xiang Yin ,&nbsp;Jun-Gang Pu ,&nbsp;Huai-Jian Jin ,&nbsp;Xian-Qing Zhang ,&nbsp;Wan-Fei Wu ,&nbsp;Zi-Ming Wang ,&nbsp;Yao-Yao Liu ,&nbsp;Yang Li ,&nbsp;Peng Liu","doi":"10.1016/j.cjtee.2025.02.003","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.cjtee.2025.02.003","url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Purpose</h3><div>The rate of complications among patients undergoing surgery has increased due to infection with SARS-CoV-2 and other variants of concern. However, Omicron has shown decreased pathogenicity, raising questions about the risk of postoperative complications among patients who are infected with this variant. This study aimed to investigate complications and related factors among patients with recent Omicron infection prior to undergoing orthopedic surgery.</div></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><div>A historical control study was conducted. Data were collected from all patients who underwent surgery during 2 distinct periods: (1) between Dec 12, 2022 and Jan 31, 2023 (COVID-19 positive group), (2) between Dec 12, 2021 and Jan 31, 2022 (COVID-19 negative control group). The patients were at least 18 years old. Patients who received conservative treatment after admission or had high-risk diseases or special circumstances (use of anticoagulants before surgery) were excluded from the study. The study outcomes were the total complication rate and related factors. Binary logistic regression analysis was used to identify related factors, and odds ratio (<em>OR</em>) and 95% confidence interval (<em>CI</em>) were calculated to assess the impact of COVID-19 infection on complications.</div></div><div><h3>Results</h3><div>In the analysis, a total of 847 patients who underwent surgery were included, with 275 of these patients testing positive for COVID-19 and 572 testing negative. The COVID-19-positive group had a significantly higher rate of total complications (11.27%) than the control group (4.90%, <em>p</em> &lt; 0.001). After adjusting for relevant factors, the <em>OR</em> was 3.08 (95% <em>CI</em>: 1.45–6.53). Patients who were diagnosed with COVID-19 at 3–4 weeks (<em>OR</em> = 0.20 (95% <em>CI</em>: 0.06–0.59), <em>p</em> = 0.005), 5–6 weeks (<em>OR</em> = 0.16 (95% <em>CI</em>: 0.04–0.59), <em>p</em> = 0.010), or ≥7 weeks (<em>OR</em> = 0.26 (95% <em>CI</em>: 0.06–1.02), <em>p</em> = 0.069) prior to surgery had a lower risk of complications than those who were diagnosed at 0–2 weeks prior to surgery. Seven factors (age, indications for surgery, time of operation, time of COVID-19 diagnosis prior to surgery, C-reactive protein levels, alanine transaminase levels, and aspartate aminotransferase levels) were found to be associated with complications; thus, these factors were used to create a nomogram.</div></div><div><h3>Conclusion</h3><div>Omicron continues to be a significant factor in the incidence of postoperative complications among patients undergoing orthopedic surgery. By identifying the factors associated with these complications, we can determine the optimal surgical timing, provide more accurate prognostic information, and offer appropriate consultation for orthopedic surgery patients who have been infected with Omicron.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51555,"journal":{"name":"Chinese Journal of Traumatology","volume":"28 6","pages":"Pages 445-453"},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2025-11-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144295367","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Early prediction and warning of MODS following major trauma via identification of cytokine storm: A prospective cohort study 通过鉴定细胞因子风暴对重大创伤后MODS的早期预测和预警:一项前瞻性队列研究。
IF 1.9 4区 医学 Q2 ORTHOPEDICS Pub Date : 2025-11-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.cjtee.2025.05.001
Panpan Chang , Rui Li , Jiahe Wen , Guanjun Liu , Feifei Jin , Yongpei Yu , Yongzheng Li , Guang Zhang , Tianbing Wang

Purpose

Early mortality in major trauma has decreased, but MODS remains a leading cause of poor outcomes, driven by trauma-induced cytokine storms that exacerbate injuries and organ damage.

Methods

This prospective cohort study included 79 major trauma patients (ISS >15) treated in the National Center for Trauma Medicine, Peking University People's Hospital, from September 1, 2021, to July 31, 2023. Patients (1) with ISS >15 (according to AIS 2015), (2) aged 15–80 years, (3) admitted within 6 h of injury, (4) having no prior treatment before admission, were included. Exclusion criteria were (1) GCS score <9 or AIS score ≥3 for TBI, (2) confirmed infection, infectious disease, or high infection risk, (3) pregnancy, (4) severe primary diseases affecting survival, (5) recent use of immunosuppressive or cytotoxic drugs within the past 6 months, (6) psychiatric patients, (7) participation in other clinical trials within the past 30 days, (8) patients with incomplete data or missing blood samples. Admission serum inflammatory cytokines and pathophysiological data were analyzed to develop machine learning models predicting MODS within 7 days. LR, DR, RF, SVM, NB, and XGBoost were evaluated based on the area under the AUROC. The SHAP method was used to interpret results.

Results

This study enrolled 79 patients with major trauma, and the median (Q1, Q3) age was 51 (35, 59) years (52 males, 65.8%). The inflammatory cytokine data were collected for all participants. Among these patients, 35 (44.3%) developed MODS, and 44 (55.7%) did not. Additionally, 2 patients (2.5%) from the MODS group succumbed. The logistic regression model showed strong performance in predicting MODS. Ten key cytokines, IL-18, Eotaxin, MCP-4, IP-10, CXCL12, MIP-3α, MCP-1, IL-1RA, Cystatin C, and MRP8/14 were identified as critical to the trauma-induced cytokine storm and MODS development. Early elevation of these cytokines achieved high predictive accuracy, with an AUROC of 0.887 (95% CI 0.813–0.976).

Conclusion

Trauma-induced cytokine storms are strongly associated with MODS. Early identification of inflammatory cytokine changes enables better prediction and timely interventions to improve outcomes.
目的:严重创伤的早期死亡率已经下降,但MODS仍然是导致预后不良的主要原因,创伤诱导的细胞因子风暴加剧了损伤和器官损伤。方法:本前瞻性队列研究纳入了2021年9月1日至2023年7月31日在北京大学人民医院国家创伤医学中心治疗的79例重大创伤患者(ISS bbbb15)。纳入患者(1)ISS bbb15(根据AIS 2015),(2)年龄15-80岁,(3)受伤后6小时内入院,(4)入院前未接受治疗。结果:本研究纳入79例严重创伤患者,中位(Q1, Q3)年龄为51(35,59)岁(男性52例,65.8%)。收集所有参与者的炎症细胞因子数据。其中35例(44.3%)发生MODS, 44例(55.7%)未发生MODS。此外,MODS组2例(2.5%)患者死亡。logistic回归模型对MODS的预测效果较好。10个关键细胞因子IL-18、Eotaxin、MCP-4、IP-10、CXCL12、MIP-3α、MCP-1、IL-1RA、Cystatin C和MRP8/14被确定为创伤诱导的细胞因子风暴和MODS发展的关键。这些细胞因子的早期升高具有很高的预测准确性,AUROC为0.887 (95% CI 0.813-0.976)。结论:创伤性细胞因子风暴与MODS密切相关。早期识别炎症细胞因子变化可以更好地预测和及时干预,以改善预后。
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引用次数: 0
The positioning of cephalon medullary nailing correlated with hidden blood loss during the perioperative period in patients with intertrochanteric fractures: A retrospective study 股骨粗隆间骨折围手术期头髓内钉定位与隐性出血量的相关性:回顾性研究。
IF 1.9 4区 医学 Q2 ORTHOPEDICS Pub Date : 2025-11-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.cjtee.2025.03.002
Yao Chen, Shaobo Zhang, Zhiqi Liu, Jiashan Li

Purpose

Hidden blood loss (HBL) during the perioperative period significantly impacts postoperative recovery and complications, yet it is frequently disregarded. This study aimed to investigate the effects of tip-apex distance (TAD) and calcar-referenced tip-apex distance (calTAD) on HBL in the treatment of intertrochanteric fractures utilizing proximal femoral nail antirotation (PFNA). The study also seeks to evaluate the possible decrease in HBL subsequent to PFNA treatment by optimizing nail positioning.

Method

A historical cohort study was conducted from January 2020 to December 2022. Patients diagnosed with unilateral acute closed femoral intertrochanteric fracture and who underwent PFNA internal fixation surgery met the inclusion criteria, and were grouped according to the value of calTAD and TAD. The participants were divided into low TAD group (TAD<20 mm) and high TAD group (TAD≥20 mm); low calTAD group (calTAD<7.625 mm) and high calTAD group (calTAD≥7.625 mm), respectively. The primary outcome measures were intraoperative blood loss (including HBL, overt blood loss, and total blood loss). Continuous data were analyzed using an independent sample t-test or Mann-Whitney U test, and categorical data were analyzed using the Pearson Chi-square test. Univariate analysis was used to evaluate the association between various indicators and perioperative HBL. A stepwise multiple linear regression analysis model was used to determine the independent factors affecting perioperative HBL. A p value less than 0.05 was considered statistically significant.

Results

A total of 131 patients were initially included, of which 80 were assigned to the calTAD group (with 61 in the high calTAD group and 19 in the low calTAD group), and 80 were assigned to the TAD group (with 34 in the high TAD group and 46 in the low TAD group). The average HBL for the low TAD group was 772.85 mL, whereas for the high TAD group it was 919.68 mL (p>0.05). The average HBL for the low calTAD group was 611.42 mL, whereas for the high calTAD group it was 904.97 mL (p<0.05). Subsequent analysis revealed that the patient's height, preoperative hemoglobin levels, changes in hemoglobin and hematocrit levels from pre- to post-surgery, and calTAD are independent risk factors influencing HBL.

Conclusion

In summary, our investigation revealed a significant correlation between the positioning of nails in PFNA and HBL during the perioperative period. By optimizing the placement of the cephalic nail, specifically by ensuring a calTAD of less than 7.625 mm, a significant decrease in HBL can be attained. Additionally, we identified that height, preoperative hemoglobin, differences in preoperative and postoperative hemoglobin and hematocrit, and the positioning of the cephalic nail were independent risk factors for HBL.
目的:围手术期隐性失血量(HBL)对术后恢复及并发症有显著影响,但常被忽视。本研究旨在探讨利用股骨近端钉防旋(PFNA)治疗股骨粗隆间骨折时,尖端距离(TAD)和钙参考尖端距离(calTAD)对HBL的影响。该研究还试图通过优化钉位来评估PFNA治疗后HBL的可能降低。方法:于2020年1月至2022年12月进行历史队列研究。诊断为单侧急性闭合性股骨粗隆间骨折并行PFNA内固定手术的患者符合纳入标准,根据calTAD和TAD值进行分组。结果:最初共纳入131例患者,其中80例患者被分配到calTAD组(高calTAD组61例,低calTAD组19例),80例患者被分配到TAD组(高TAD组34例,低TAD组46例)。低TAD组平均HBL为772.85 mL,高TAD组平均HBL为919.68 mL (p < 0.05)。低calTAD组的平均HBL为611.42 mL,而高calTAD组的平均HBL为904.97 mL。结论:综上所述,我们的研究显示围手术期钉在PFNA中的定位与HBL有显著的相关性。通过优化头侧钉的位置,特别是确保尺径小于7.625 mm,可以显著降低HBL。此外,我们发现身高、术前血红蛋白、术前和术后血红蛋白和红细胞压积的差异以及头甲的位置是HBL的独立危险因素。
{"title":"The positioning of cephalon medullary nailing correlated with hidden blood loss during the perioperative period in patients with intertrochanteric fractures: A retrospective study","authors":"Yao Chen,&nbsp;Shaobo Zhang,&nbsp;Zhiqi Liu,&nbsp;Jiashan Li","doi":"10.1016/j.cjtee.2025.03.002","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.cjtee.2025.03.002","url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Purpose</h3><div>Hidden blood loss (HBL) during the perioperative period significantly impacts postoperative recovery and complications, yet it is frequently disregarded. This study aimed to investigate the effects of tip-apex distance (TAD) and calcar-referenced tip-apex distance (calTAD) on HBL in the treatment of intertrochanteric fractures utilizing proximal femoral nail antirotation (PFNA). The study also seeks to evaluate the possible decrease in HBL subsequent to PFNA treatment by optimizing nail positioning.</div></div><div><h3>Method</h3><div>A historical cohort study was conducted from January 2020 to December 2022. Patients diagnosed with unilateral acute closed femoral intertrochanteric fracture and who underwent PFNA internal fixation surgery met the inclusion criteria, and were grouped according to the value of calTAD and TAD. The participants were divided into low TAD group (TAD&lt;20 mm) and high TAD group (TAD≥20 mm); low calTAD group (calTAD&lt;7.625 mm) and high calTAD group (calTAD≥7.625 mm), respectively. The primary outcome measures were intraoperative blood loss (including HBL, overt blood loss, and total blood loss). Continuous data were analyzed using an independent sample <em>t</em>-test or Mann-Whitney <em>U</em> test, and categorical data were analyzed using the Pearson Chi-square test. Univariate analysis was used to evaluate the association between various indicators and perioperative HBL. A stepwise multiple linear regression analysis model was used to determine the independent factors affecting perioperative HBL. A <em>p</em> value less than 0.05 was considered statistically significant.</div></div><div><h3>Results</h3><div>A total of 131 patients were initially included, of which 80 were assigned to the calTAD group (with 61 in the high calTAD group and 19 in the low calTAD group), and 80 were assigned to the TAD group (with 34 in the high TAD group and 46 in the low TAD group). The average HBL for the low TAD group was 772.85 mL, whereas for the high TAD group it was 919.68 mL (<em>p</em>&gt;0.05). The average HBL for the low calTAD group was 611.42 mL, whereas for the high calTAD group it was 904.97 mL (<em>p</em>&lt;0.05). Subsequent analysis revealed that the patient's height, preoperative hemoglobin levels, changes in hemoglobin and hematocrit levels from pre- to post-surgery, and calTAD are independent risk factors influencing HBL.</div></div><div><h3>Conclusion</h3><div>In summary, our investigation revealed a significant correlation between the positioning of nails in PFNA and HBL during the perioperative period. By optimizing the placement of the cephalic nail, specifically by ensuring a calTAD of less than 7.625 mm, a significant decrease in HBL can be attained. Additionally, we identified that height, preoperative hemoglobin, differences in preoperative and postoperative hemoglobin and hematocrit, and the positioning of the cephalic nail were independent risk factors for HBL.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51555,"journal":{"name":"Chinese Journal of Traumatology","volume":"28 6","pages":"Pages 503-508"},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2025-11-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145276877","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Protective effect of sub-hypothermic mechanical perfusion combined with membrane lung oxygenation on a yorkshire model of brain injury after traumatic blood loss 亚低温机械灌注联合膜肺氧合对创伤性失血脑损伤约克郡模型的保护作用。
IF 1.9 4区 医学 Q2 ORTHOPEDICS Pub Date : 2025-11-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.cjtee.2024.10.003
Xiang-Yu Song , Yang-Hui Dong , Zhi-Bo Jia , Lei-Jia Chen , Meng-Yi Cui , Yan-Jun Guan , Bo-Yao Yang , Si-Ce Wang , Sheng-Feng Chen , Peng-Kai Li , Heng Chen , Hao-Chen Zuo , Zhan-Cheng Yang , Wen-Jing Xu , Ya-Qun Zhao , Jiang Peng
<div><h3>Purpose</h3><div>To investigate the protective effect of sub-hypothermic mechanical perfusion combined with membrane lung oxygenation on ischemic hypoxic injury of yorkshire brain tissue caused by traumatic blood loss.</div></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><div>This article performed a random controlled trial. Brain tissue of 7 yorkshire was selected and divided into the sub-low temperature anterograde machine perfusion group (<em>n</em> = 4) and the blank control group (<em>n</em> = 3) using the random number table method. A yorkshire model of brain tissue injury induced by traumatic blood loss was established. Firstly, the perfusion temperature and blood oxygen saturation were monitored in real-time during the perfusion process. The number of red blood cells, hemoglobin content, NA<sup>+</sup>, K<sup>+</sup>, and Ca<sup>2+</sup> ions concentrations and pH of the perfusate were detected. Following perfusion, we specifically examined the parietal lobe to assess its water content. The prefrontal cortex and hippocampus were then dissected for histological evaluation, allowing us to investigate potential regional differences in tissue injury. The blank control group was sampled directly before perfusion. All statistical analyses and graphs were performed using GraphPad Prism 8.0 Student <em>t</em>-test. All tests were two-sided, and <em>p</em> value of less than 0.05 was considered to indicate statistical significance.</div></div><div><h3>Results</h3><div>The contents of red blood cells and hemoglobin during perfusion were maintained at normal levels but more red blood cells were destroyed 3 h after the perfusion. The blood oxygen saturation of the perfusion group was maintained at 95% − 98%. NA<sup>+</sup> and K<sup>+</sup> concentrations were normal most of the time during perfusion but increased significantly at about 4 h. The Ca<sup>2+</sup> concentration remained within the normal range at each period. Glucose levels were slightly higher than the baseline level. The pH of the perfusion solution was slightly lower at the beginning of perfusion, and then gradually increased to the normal level. The water content of brain tissue in the sub-low and docile perfusion group was 78.95% ± 0.39%, which was significantly higher than that in the control group (75.27% ± 0.55%, <em>t</em> = 10.49, <em>p</em> < 0.001), and the difference was statistically significant. Compared with the blank control group, the structure and morphology of pyramidal neurons in the prefrontal cortex and CA1 region of the hippocampal gyrus were similar, and their integrity was better. The structural integrity of granulosa neurons was destroyed and cell edema increased in the perfusion group compared with the blank control group. Immunofluorescence staining for glail fibrillary acidic protein and Iba1, markers of glial cells, revealed well-preserved cell structures in the perfusion group. While there were indications of abnormal cellular activity, the analysis showed no sign
目的:探讨亚低温机械灌注联合膜肺氧合对外伤性失血所致约克郡脑组织缺血性缺氧损伤的保护作用。方法:采用随机对照试验。选取7只大约克羊脑组织,采用随机数字表法分为亚低温顺行机灌注组(n = 4)和空白对照组(n = 3)。建立外伤性失血致脑组织损伤约克郡模型。首先,实时监测灌注过程中的灌注温度和血氧饱和度。检测灌注液红细胞数量、血红蛋白含量、NA+、K+、Ca2+离子浓度及pH值。灌注后,我们专门检查顶叶以评估其含水量。然后解剖前额叶皮层和海马体进行组织学评估,使我们能够研究组织损伤的潜在区域差异。空白对照组在灌注前直接取样。所有统计分析和图表均采用GraphPad Prism 8.0学生t检验。所有检验均为双侧检验,p值小于0.05为有统计学意义。结果:灌注时红细胞和血红蛋白含量维持在正常水平,但灌注后3 h红细胞破坏较多。灌注组血氧饱和度维持在95% ~ 98%。NA+和K+浓度在灌注期间大部分时间正常,但在4 h左右显著升高。Ca2+浓度在各时期保持在正常范围内。血糖水平略高于基线水平。灌注液的pH值在灌注开始时略低,然后逐渐升高至正常水平。亚低温和温和灌注组脑组织含水量为78.95%±0.39%,显著高于对照组(75.27%±0.55%),t = 10.49, p结论:亚低温机灌注可通过持续供氧,维持离子稳态,降低组织代谢水平,改善外伤性失血引起的约克郡脑组织缺血缺氧损伤,延缓约克郡脑组织坏死和凋亡。
{"title":"Protective effect of sub-hypothermic mechanical perfusion combined with membrane lung oxygenation on a yorkshire model of brain injury after traumatic blood loss","authors":"Xiang-Yu Song ,&nbsp;Yang-Hui Dong ,&nbsp;Zhi-Bo Jia ,&nbsp;Lei-Jia Chen ,&nbsp;Meng-Yi Cui ,&nbsp;Yan-Jun Guan ,&nbsp;Bo-Yao Yang ,&nbsp;Si-Ce Wang ,&nbsp;Sheng-Feng Chen ,&nbsp;Peng-Kai Li ,&nbsp;Heng Chen ,&nbsp;Hao-Chen Zuo ,&nbsp;Zhan-Cheng Yang ,&nbsp;Wen-Jing Xu ,&nbsp;Ya-Qun Zhao ,&nbsp;Jiang Peng","doi":"10.1016/j.cjtee.2024.10.003","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.cjtee.2024.10.003","url":null,"abstract":"&lt;div&gt;&lt;h3&gt;Purpose&lt;/h3&gt;&lt;div&gt;To investigate the protective effect of sub-hypothermic mechanical perfusion combined with membrane lung oxygenation on ischemic hypoxic injury of yorkshire brain tissue caused by traumatic blood loss.&lt;/div&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div&gt;&lt;h3&gt;Methods&lt;/h3&gt;&lt;div&gt;This article performed a random controlled trial. Brain tissue of 7 yorkshire was selected and divided into the sub-low temperature anterograde machine perfusion group (&lt;em&gt;n&lt;/em&gt; = 4) and the blank control group (&lt;em&gt;n&lt;/em&gt; = 3) using the random number table method. A yorkshire model of brain tissue injury induced by traumatic blood loss was established. Firstly, the perfusion temperature and blood oxygen saturation were monitored in real-time during the perfusion process. The number of red blood cells, hemoglobin content, NA&lt;sup&gt;+&lt;/sup&gt;, K&lt;sup&gt;+&lt;/sup&gt;, and Ca&lt;sup&gt;2+&lt;/sup&gt; ions concentrations and pH of the perfusate were detected. Following perfusion, we specifically examined the parietal lobe to assess its water content. The prefrontal cortex and hippocampus were then dissected for histological evaluation, allowing us to investigate potential regional differences in tissue injury. The blank control group was sampled directly before perfusion. All statistical analyses and graphs were performed using GraphPad Prism 8.0 Student &lt;em&gt;t&lt;/em&gt;-test. All tests were two-sided, and &lt;em&gt;p&lt;/em&gt; value of less than 0.05 was considered to indicate statistical significance.&lt;/div&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div&gt;&lt;h3&gt;Results&lt;/h3&gt;&lt;div&gt;The contents of red blood cells and hemoglobin during perfusion were maintained at normal levels but more red blood cells were destroyed 3 h after the perfusion. The blood oxygen saturation of the perfusion group was maintained at 95% − 98%. NA&lt;sup&gt;+&lt;/sup&gt; and K&lt;sup&gt;+&lt;/sup&gt; concentrations were normal most of the time during perfusion but increased significantly at about 4 h. The Ca&lt;sup&gt;2+&lt;/sup&gt; concentration remained within the normal range at each period. Glucose levels were slightly higher than the baseline level. The pH of the perfusion solution was slightly lower at the beginning of perfusion, and then gradually increased to the normal level. The water content of brain tissue in the sub-low and docile perfusion group was 78.95% ± 0.39%, which was significantly higher than that in the control group (75.27% ± 0.55%, &lt;em&gt;t&lt;/em&gt; = 10.49, &lt;em&gt;p&lt;/em&gt; &lt; 0.001), and the difference was statistically significant. Compared with the blank control group, the structure and morphology of pyramidal neurons in the prefrontal cortex and CA1 region of the hippocampal gyrus were similar, and their integrity was better. The structural integrity of granulosa neurons was destroyed and cell edema increased in the perfusion group compared with the blank control group. Immunofluorescence staining for glail fibrillary acidic protein and Iba1, markers of glial cells, revealed well-preserved cell structures in the perfusion group. While there were indications of abnormal cellular activity, the analysis showed no sign","PeriodicalId":51555,"journal":{"name":"Chinese Journal of Traumatology","volume":"28 6","pages":"Pages 469-476"},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2025-11-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142903981","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Prognostic value of CT scoring systems and a simplified prediction model in pediatric moderate-to-severe traumatic brain injury. CT评分系统及简化预测模型在小儿中重度颅脑损伤中的预后价值。
IF 1.9 4区 医学 Q2 ORTHOPEDICS Pub Date : 2025-10-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.cjtee.2025.09.002
Yangyang Diao, Ping Liang

Purpose: To evaluate the prognostic performance of 4 CT scoring systems in pediatric patients with moderate-to-severe traumatic brain injury (TBI) and develop a simplified, interpretable predictive model based on machine learning.

Methods: This retrospective study included 103 pediatric patients with moderate-to-severe TBI admitted to a tertiary children's hospital in Southwest China from September 2020 to December 2023. CT images were assessed using the Marshall score, Rotterdam score, Helsinki score, and Stockholm score. Clinical outcomes were defined by the Glasgow outcome scale (GOS) and categorized as favorable results (GOS 4-5) or unfavorable results (GOS 1-3). The dataset was divided into a training set (n=83) and a test set (n=20). Class imbalance was corrected using the random over-sampling examples method. Eight classification models were compared through 5-fold cross-validation. The Naive Bayes model showed the best performance and was simplified to include 5 key predictors. An interactive online application was developed to provide individualized prognostic estimation and visualization.

Results: The Helsinki score demonstrated the highest predictive accuracy among the 4 CT scores (area under the curve (AUC)=0.906), followed by the Stockholm score (AUC=0.897), Rotterdam score (AUC=0.837), and Marshall score (AUC=0.764). The simplified Naive Bayes model achieved an AUC of 0.930, with 100% sensitivity and 65.9% specificity in the test set. The model enables real-time outcome prediction and visual interpretation of contributing factors.

Conclusions: The simplified Naive Bayes model outperforms traditional CT scoring systems in predicting outcomes of pediatric moderate-to-severe TBI. Its easy use, interpretability, and web-based implementation support its potential for clinical application. Further prospective and multicenter studies are needed to validate these findings.

目的:评价4种CT评分系统对中重度颅脑损伤(TBI)患儿预后的预测效果,建立一种基于机器学习的简化、可解释的预测模型。方法:本回顾性研究纳入了2020年9月至2023年12月在西南地区某三级儿童医院收治的103例中重度脑外伤患儿。采用Marshall评分、鹿特丹评分、赫尔辛基评分和斯德哥尔摩评分对CT图像进行评估。临床结果由格拉斯哥结局量表(GOS)定义,分为有利结果(GOS 4-5)和不利结果(GOS 1-3)。数据集分为训练集(n=83)和测试集(n=20)。采用随机过采样方法修正了类不平衡。通过5倍交叉验证对8种分类模型进行比较。朴素贝叶斯模型表现最好,并被简化为包括5个关键预测因子。开发了一个交互式在线应用程序,以提供个性化的预后估计和可视化。结果:4个CT评分中,赫尔辛基评分的预测准确率最高(曲线下面积(AUC)=0.906),其次是斯德哥尔摩评分(AUC=0.897)、鹿特丹评分(AUC=0.837)和马歇尔评分(AUC=0.764)。简化朴素贝叶斯模型的AUC为0.930,灵敏度为100%,特异度为65.9%。该模型能够实现实时结果预测和促成因素的可视化解释。结论:简化的朴素贝叶斯模型在预测儿童中重度脑外伤预后方面优于传统的CT评分系统。其易于使用,可解释性和基于web的实施支持其临床应用的潜力。需要进一步的前瞻性和多中心研究来验证这些发现。
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引用次数: 0
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Chinese Journal of Traumatology
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