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On the Selection of Sensitivity Analysis Methods in the Context of Tolerance Management 公差管理背景下敏感性分析方法的选择
IF 0.6 Q4 ENGINEERING, MECHANICAL Pub Date : 2019-03-01 DOI: 10.1115/1.4043912
Björn Heling, Thomas Oberleiter, B. Schleich, K. Willner, S. Wartzack
Although mass production parts look the same at first sight, every manufactured part is unique, at least on a closer inspection. The reason for this is that every manufactured part is inevitable subjected to different scattering influencing factors and variation in the manufacturing process, such as varying temperatures or tool wear. Products, which are built from these deviation-afflicted parts, consequently show deviations from their ideal properties. To ensure that every single product nevertheless meets its technical requirements, it is necessary to specify the permitted deviations. Furthermore, it is crucial to estimate the consequences of the permitted deviations, which is done via tolerance analysis. During this process, the imperfect parts are assembled virtually and the effects of the geometric deviations can be calculated. Since the tolerance analysis enables engineers to identify weak points in an early design stage, it is important to know which contribution every single tolerance has on a certain quality-relevant characteristic to restrict or increase the correct tolerances. In this paper, four different methods to calculate the sensitivity are introduced and compared. Based on the comparison, guidelines are derived which are intended to facilitate a selection of these different methods. In particular, a newly developed approach, which is based on fuzzy arithmetic, is compared to the established high–low–median method, a variance-based method, and a density-based approach. Since all these methods are based on different assumptions, their advantages and disadvantages are critically discussed based on two case studies.
尽管批量生产的零件乍一看是一样的,但至少在仔细检查时,每个制造的零件都是独一无二的。原因是每个制造的零件都不可避免地会受到不同的散射影响因素和制造过程中的变化,例如不同的温度或工具磨损。由这些受偏差影响的零件制成的产品,因此显示出与理想性能的偏差。为了确保每一种产品都符合其技术要求,有必要规定允许的偏差。此外,通过公差分析来估计允许偏差的后果是至关重要的。在此过程中,对不完美的零件进行虚拟装配,并可以计算几何偏差的影响。由于公差分析使工程师能够在早期设计阶段识别弱点,因此了解每个公差对某个质量相关特性的贡献对于限制或增加正确的公差非常重要。本文介绍并比较了四种不同的灵敏度计算方法。在比较的基础上,得出了旨在促进选择这些不同方法的指南。特别是,将一种新开发的基于模糊算法的方法与已建立的高-低-中值方法、基于方差的方法和基于密度的方法进行了比较。由于所有这些方法都基于不同的假设,因此在两个案例研究的基础上批判性地讨论了它们的优缺点。
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引用次数: 3
Estimating Physics Models and Quantifying Their Uncertainty Using Optimization With a Bayesian Objective Function 利用贝叶斯目标函数优化估计物理模型并量化其不确定性
IF 0.6 Q4 ENGINEERING, MECHANICAL Pub Date : 2019-03-01 DOI: 10.1115/1.4043807
Stephen A. Andrews, A. Fraser
This paper reports a verification study for a method that fits functions to sets of data from several experiments simultaneously. The method finds a maximum a posteriori probability estimate of a function subject to constraints (e.g., convexity in the study), uncertainty about the estimate, and a quantitative characterization of how data from each experiment constrains that uncertainty. While this work focuses on a model of the equation of state (EOS) of gasses produced by detonating a high explosive, the method can be applied to a wide range of physics processes with either parametric or semiparametric models. As a verification exercise, a reference EOS is used and artificial experimental data sets are created using numerical integration of ordinary differential equations and pseudo-random noise. The method yields an estimate of the EOS that is close to the reference and identifies how each experiment most constrains the result.
本文报告了一种方法的验证研究,该方法将函数同时拟合到来自多个实验的数据集。该方法找到了一个函数的最大后验概率估计,该函数受约束(例如,研究中的凸性)、估计的不确定性以及每个实验的数据如何约束该不确定性的定量表征。虽然这项工作的重点是引爆烈性炸药产生的气体的状态方程(EOS)模型,但该方法可以应用于参数或半参数模型的广泛物理过程。作为验证练习,使用参考EOS,并使用常微分方程和伪随机噪声的数值积分创建人工实验数据集。该方法产生了接近参考的EOS估计,并确定了每个实验如何最大限度地限制结果。
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引用次数: 8
Towards Estimating the Uncertainty Associated with Three-Dimensional Geometry Reconstructed from Medical Image Data. 基于医学图像数据重建三维几何的不确定性估计
IF 0.6 Q4 ENGINEERING, MECHANICAL Pub Date : 2019-01-01
Marc Horner, Stephen M Luke, Kerim O Genc, Todd M Pietila, Ross T Cotton, Benjamin A Ache, Zachary H Levine, Kevin C Townsend

Patient-specific computational modeling is increasingly used to assist with visualization, planning, and execution of medical treatments. This trend is placing more reliance on medical imaging to provide accurate representations of anatomical structures. Digital image analysis is used to extract anatomical data for use in clinical assessment/planning. However, the presence of image artifacts, whether due to interactions between the physical object and the scanning modality or the scanning process, can degrade image accuracy. The process of extracting anatomical structures from the medical images introduces additional sources of variability, e.g., when thresholding or when eroding along apparent edges of biological structures. An estimate of the uncertainty associated with extracting anatomical data from medical images would therefore assist with assessing the reliability of patient-specific treatment plans. To this end, two image datasets were developed and analyzed using standard image analysis procedures. The first dataset was developed by performing a "virtual voxelization" of a CAD model of a sphere, representing the idealized scenario of no error in the image acquisition and reconstruction algorithms (i.e., a perfect scan). The second dataset was acquired by scanning three spherical balls using a laboratory-grade CT scanner. For the idealized sphere, the error in sphere diameter was less than or equal to 2% if 5 or more voxels were present across the diameter. The measurement error degraded to approximately 4% for a similar degree of voxelization of the physical phantom. The adaptation of established thresholding procedures to improve segmentation accuracy was also investigated.

特定于患者的计算建模越来越多地用于协助可视化、计划和执行医疗。这种趋势越来越依赖于医学成像来提供准确的解剖结构表征。数字图像分析用于提取解剖数据,用于临床评估/计划。然而,图像伪影的存在,无论是由于物理对象与扫描方式或扫描过程之间的相互作用,都会降低图像的精度。从医学图像中提取解剖结构的过程引入了额外的变异性来源,例如,当阈值化或沿着生物结构的明显边缘侵蚀时。因此,对从医学图像中提取解剖数据的不确定性的估计将有助于评估针对具体患者的治疗计划的可靠性。为此,开发了两个图像数据集,并使用标准图像分析程序进行了分析。第一个数据集是通过对一个球体的CAD模型进行“虚拟体素化”来开发的,代表了图像采集和重建算法中没有错误的理想场景(即完美扫描)。第二个数据集是通过使用实验室级CT扫描仪扫描三个球形球获得的。对于理想的球体,如果在直径上存在5个或更多的体素,则球体直径的误差小于或等于2%。测量误差降低到约4%的体素化程度的物理幻影。本文还研究了阈值分割方法的适应性,以提高分割精度。
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引用次数: 0
Epistemic Uncertainty Stemming From Measurement Processing—A Case Study of Multiphase Shock Tube Experiments 测量过程产生的认知不确定性——以多相激波管实验为例
IF 0.6 Q4 ENGINEERING, MECHANICAL Pub Date : 2018-12-01 DOI: 10.1115/1.4042814
Chanyoung Park, J. Matthew, N. Kim, R. Haftka
Experiments of a shock hitting a curtain of particles were conducted at the multiphase shock tube facility at Sandia National Laboratories. These are studied in this paper for quantifying the epistemic uncertainty in the experimental measurements due to processing via measurement models. Schlieren and X-ray imaging techniques were used to obtain the measurements that characterize the particle curtain with particle volume fraction and curtain edge locations. The epistemic uncertainties in the experimental setup and image processing methods were identified and measured. The effects of these uncertainties on the uncertainty in the extracted experimental measurements were quantified. The influence of the epistemic uncertainty was significantly higher than the experimental variability that has been previously considered as the most important uncertainty of experiments.
在桑迪亚国家实验室的多相激波管设备上进行了激波撞击粒子幕的实验。本文对实验测量中由于测量模型处理而产生的认知不确定性进行了量化研究。采用纹影和x射线成像技术获得了粒子幕的测量结果,包括粒子体积分数和幕边缘位置。识别和测量了实验设置和图像处理方法中的认知不确定性。这些不确定度对提取的实验测量不确定度的影响进行了量化。认知不确定性的影响明显高于实验变异性,而实验变异性被认为是实验中最重要的不确定性。
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引用次数: 5
Forensic Uncertainty Quantification for Experiments on the Explosively Driven Motion of Particles 粒子爆炸驱动运动实验的法医学不确定性量化
IF 0.6 Q4 ENGINEERING, MECHANICAL Pub Date : 2018-12-01 DOI: 10.1115/1.4043478
K. Hughes, S. Balachandar, N. Kim, Chanyoung Park, R. Haftka, A. Diggs, D. Littrell, Jason Darr
Six explosive experiments were performed in October 2014 and February of 2015 at the Munitions Directorate of the Air Force Research Laboratory with the goal of providing validation-quality data for particle drag models in the extreme regime of detonation. Three repeated single particle experiments and three particle array experiments were conducted. The time-varying position of the particles was captured within the explosive products by X-ray imaging. The contact front and shock locations were captured by high-speed photography to provide information on the early time gas behavior. Since these experiments were performed in the past and could not be repeated, we faced an interesting challenge of quantifying and reducing uncertainty through a detailed investigation of the experimental setup and operating conditions. This paper presents the results from these unique experiments, which can serve as benchmark for future modeling, and also our effort to reduce uncertainty, which we dub forensic uncertainty quantification (FUQ).
2014年10月和2015年2月,空军研究实验室弹药局进行了六次爆炸实验,目的是为极端爆炸状态下的颗粒阻力模型提供验证质量数据。进行了三次重复的单粒子实验和三次粒子阵列实验。通过X射线成像捕捉到爆炸物内颗粒的时变位置。接触前沿和冲击位置通过高速摄影获得,以提供早期气体行为的信息。由于这些实验是在过去进行的,不能重复,我们面临着一个有趣的挑战,即通过对实验设置和操作条件的详细调查来量化和降低不确定性。本文介绍了这些独特实验的结果,这些结果可以作为未来建模的基准,以及我们为减少不确定性所做的努力,我们称之为法医不确定性量化(FUQ)。
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引用次数: 7
Grid-Induced Numerical Errors for Shear Stresses and Essential Flow Variables in a Ventricular Assist Device: Crucial for Blood Damage Prediction? 心室辅助装置中剪切应力和基本流量变量的网格诱导数值误差:对血液损伤预测至关重要?
IF 0.6 Q4 ENGINEERING, MECHANICAL Pub Date : 2018-12-01 DOI: 10.1115/1.4042989
Lucas Konnigk, B. Torner, Sebastian Hallier, M. Witte, F. Wurm
Adverse events due to flow-induced blood damage remain a serious problem for blood pumps as cardiac support systems. The numerical prediction of blood damage via computational fluid dynamics (CFD) is a helpful tool for the design and optimization of reliable pumps. Blood damage prediction models primarily are based on the acting shear stresses, which are calculated by solving the Navier–Stokes equations on computational grids. The purpose of this paper is to analyze the influence of the spatial discretization and the associated discretization error on the shear stress calculation in a blood pump in comparison to other important flow quantities like the pressure head of the pump. Therefore, CFD analysis using seven unsteady Reynolds-averaged Navier–Stokes (URANS) simulations was performed. Two simple stress calculation indicators were applied to estimate the influence of the discretization on the results using an approach to calculate numerical uncertainties, which indicates discretization errors. For the finest grid with 19 × 106 elements, numerical uncertainties up to 20% for shear stresses were determined, while the pressure heads show smaller uncertainties with a maximum of 4.8%. No grid-independent solution for velocity gradient-dependent variables could be obtained on a grid size that is comparable to mesh sizes in state-of-the-art blood pump studies. It can be concluded that the grid size has a major influence on the shear stress calculation, and therefore, the potential blood damage prediction, and that the quantification of this error should always be taken into account.
对于作为心脏支持系统的血泵来说,由于流动引起的血液损伤引起的不良事件仍然是一个严重的问题。通过计算流体动力学(CFD)对血液损伤进行数值预测是设计和优化可靠泵的有用工具。血液损伤预测模型主要基于作用剪切应力,通过在计算网格上求解Navier-Stokes方程来计算。本文的目的是与其他重要流量(如泵的压头)相比,分析空间离散化和相关离散化误差对血泵中剪切应力计算的影响。因此,使用七个非定常雷诺平均Navier-Stokes(URNS)模拟进行了CFD分析。应用两个简单的应力计算指标,使用一种计算数值不确定性的方法来估计离散化对结果的影响,这表明了离散化误差。对于19的最佳网格 × 106个单元,剪切应力的数值不确定性高达20%,而压头显示出较小的不确定性,最大不确定性为4.8%。在与最先进的血泵研究中的网格尺寸相当的网格尺寸上,无法获得速度梯度相关变量的网格独立解。可以得出结论,网格大小对剪切应力计算有重大影响,因此对潜在的血液损伤预测也有重要影响,应始终考虑该误差的量化。
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引用次数: 7
Assessment of Model Confidence of a Laser Source Model in xRAGE Using Omega Direct-Drive Implosion Experiments 使用Omega直接驱动内爆实验评估xRAGE中激光源模型的模型置信度
IF 0.6 Q4 ENGINEERING, MECHANICAL Pub Date : 2018-12-01 DOI: 10.1115/1.4043370
B. Wilson, A. Koskelo
Los Alamos National Laboratory is interested in developing high-energy-density physics validation capabilities for its multiphysics code xRAGE. xRAGE was recently updated with the laser package Mazinisin to improve predictability. We assess the current implementation and coupling of the laser package via validation of laser-driven, direct-drive spherical capsule experiments from the Omega laser facility. The ASME V&V 20-2009 standard is used to determine the model confidence of xRAGE, and considerations for high-energy-density physics are identified. With current modeling capabilities in xRAGE, the model confidence is overwhelmed by significant systematic errors from the experiment or model. Validation evidence suggests cross-beam energy transfer as a dominant source of the systematic error.
洛斯阿拉莫斯国家实验室有兴趣为其多物理代码xRAGE开发高能量密度物理验证能力。xRAGE最近更新了激光封装Mazinsin,以提高可预测性。我们通过验证Omega激光设备的激光驱动、直接驱动球形胶囊实验来评估激光封装的当前实施和耦合。ASME V&V 20-2009标准用于确定xRAGE的模型置信度,并确定了高能量密度物理的考虑因素。在xRAGE目前的建模能力下,实验或模型的显著系统误差会使模型置信度不堪重负。验证证据表明,交叉光束能量转移是系统误差的主要来源。
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引用次数: 4
Implementation and Assessment of a Residual-Based r-Adaptation Technique on Structured Meshes 一种基于残差的结构网格自适应技术的实现与评价
IF 0.6 Q4 ENGINEERING, MECHANICAL Pub Date : 2018-12-01 DOI: 10.1115/1.4043652
A. Choudhary, William C. Tyson, Christopher J. Roy
In this study, an r-adaptation technique for mesh adaptation is employed for reducing the solution discretization error, which is the error introduced due to spatial and temporal discretization of the continuous governing equations in numerical simulations. In r-adaptation, mesh modification is achieved by relocating the mesh nodes from one region to another without introducing additional nodes. Truncation error (TE) or the discrete residual is the difference between the continuous and discrete form of the governing equations. Based upon the knowledge that the discrete residual acts as the source of the discretization error in the domain, this study uses discrete residual as the adaptation driver. The r-adaptation technique employed here uses structured meshes and is verified using a series of one-dimensional (1D) and two-dimensional (2D) benchmark problems for which exact solutions are readily available. These benchmark problems include 1D Burgers equation, quasi-1D nozzle flow, 2D compression/expansion turns, and 2D incompressible flow past a Karman–Trefftz airfoil. The effectiveness of the proposed technique is evident for these problems where approximately an order of magnitude reduction in discretization error (when compared with uniform mesh results) is achieved. For all problems, mesh modification is compared using different schemes from literature including an adaptive Poisson grid generator (APGG), a variational grid generator (VGG), a scheme based on a center of mass (COM) analogy, and a scheme based on deforming maps. In addition, several challenges in applying the proposed technique to real-world problems are outlined.
本文采用网格自适应的r-自适应技术来减小数值模拟中连续控制方程的时空离散所带来的解离散误差。在r- adaptive中,网格修改是通过将网格节点从一个区域重新定位到另一个区域而不引入额外的节点来实现的。截断误差(TE)或离散残差是控制方程的连续形式和离散形式之间的差值。基于离散残差是域内离散化误差来源的认识,本研究采用离散残差作为自适应驱动。本文采用的r-自适应技术使用结构化网格,并使用一系列一维(1D)和二维(2D)基准问题进行验证,这些基准问题的精确解很容易获得。这些基准问题包括一维Burgers方程、准一维喷管流动、二维压缩/膨胀转弯以及二维不可压缩气流通过卡门- trefftz翼型。对于这些问题,所提出的技术的有效性是显而易见的,其中离散化误差(与均匀网格结果相比)大约降低了一个数量级。针对所有问题,比较了文献中不同的网格修改方案,包括自适应泊松网格生成器(APGG)、变分网格生成器(VGG)、基于质心类比(COM)的方案和基于变形映射的方案。此外,还概述了将所建议的技术应用于实际问题的几个挑战。
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引用次数: 1
Verification and Validation of the FLAG Hydrocode for Impact Cratering Simulations 撞击坑模拟中FLAG代码的验证与验证
IF 0.6 Q4 ENGINEERING, MECHANICAL Pub Date : 2018-09-01 DOI: 10.1115/1.4042516
W. Caldwell, A. Hunter, C. Plesko, S. Wirkus
Verification and validation (V&V) are necessary processes to ensure accuracy of the computational methods used to solve problems key to vast numbers of applications and industries. Simulations are essential for addressing impact cratering problems, because these problems often exceed experimental capabilities. Here, we show that the free Lagrange (FLAG) hydrocode, developed at Los Alamos National Laboratory (Los Alamos, NM), can be used for impact cratering simulations by verifying FLAG against two analytical models of aluminum-on-aluminum impacts at different impact velocities and validating FLAG against a glass-into-water laboratory impact experiment. Our verification results show good agreement with the theoretical maximum pressures, with relative errors as low in magnitude as 1.00%. Our validation results demonstrate FLAG's ability to model various stages of impact cratering, with crater radius relative errors as low as 3.48% and crater depth relative errors as low as 0.79%. Our mesh resolution study shows that FLAG converges at resolutions low enough to reduce the required computation time from about 28 h to about 25 min. We anticipate that FLAG can be used to model larger impact cratering problems with increased accuracy and decreased computational cost on current systems relative to other hydrocodes tested by Pierazzo et al. (2008, “Validation of Numerical Codes for Impact and Explosion Cratering: Impacts on Strengthless and Metal Targets,” MAPS, 43(12), pp. 1917–1938).
验证和确认(V&V)是确保计算方法准确性的必要过程,用于解决对大量应用和行业至关重要的问题。模拟对于解决撞击坑问题至关重要,因为这些问题往往超出了实验能力。在这里,我们证明了由洛斯阿拉莫斯国家实验室(新墨西哥州洛斯阿拉莫斯)开发的自由拉格朗日(FLAG)水力代码可以用于撞击坑模拟,方法是根据不同撞击速度下铝对铝撞击的两个分析模型验证FLAG,并根据玻璃入水实验室撞击实验验证FLAG。我们的验证结果与理论最大压力吻合良好,相对误差低至1.00%,弹坑半径相对误差低至3.48%,弹坑深度相对误差低达0.79%。我们的网格分辨率研究表明,FLAG在足够低的分辨率下收敛,将所需的计算时间从大约28 h至约25 min。我们预计,与Pierazzo等人测试的其他水力代码相比,FLAG可用于对当前系统中更大的冲击坑问题进行建模,从而提高精度并降低计算成本。(2008年,“冲击和爆炸坑数值代码的验证:对无强度和金属目标的影响”,MAPS,43(12),第1917–1938页)。
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引用次数: 13
Verification of Advective Bar Elements Implemented in the sierra/aria Thermal Response Code sierra/aria热响应代码中实现的Adventive条形元件的验证
IF 0.6 Q4 ENGINEERING, MECHANICAL Pub Date : 2018-09-01 DOI: 10.1115/1.4041837
Brantley Mills, Adam C. Hetzler, Oscar Deng
A thorough code verification effort has been performed on a reduced order, finite element model for one-dimensional (1D) fluid flow convectively coupled with a three-dimensional (3D) solid, referred to as the “advective bar” model. The purpose of this effort was to provide confidence in the proper implementation of this model within the sierra/aria thermal response code at Sandia National Laboratories. The method of manufactured solutions (MMS) is applied so that the order of convergence in error norms for successively refined meshes and timesteps is investigated. Potential pitfalls that can lead to a premature evaluation of the model's implementation are described for this verification approach when applied to this unique model. Through observation of the expected order of convergence, these verification tests provide evidence of proper implementation of the model within the codebase.
对一维(1D)流体对流耦合三维(3D)固体的降阶有限元模型(称为“平流杆”模型)进行了彻底的代码验证工作。这项工作的目的是为在桑迪亚国家实验室的塞拉/aria热响应规范中正确实施该模型提供信心。采用制造解方法,研究了连续细化网格和时间步长的误差范数的收敛顺序。当将此验证方法应用于此唯一模型时,描述了可能导致过早评估模型实现的潜在缺陷。通过观察预期的收敛顺序,这些验证测试提供了在代码库中正确实现模型的证据。
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引用次数: 1
期刊
Journal of Verification, Validation and Uncertainty Quantification
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